As
#BRICS
undertakes largest membership expansion ever, building & sustaining policy convergence will become a greater challenge. Our recent
@EuroJournIR
article analyzes different BRICS policy convergence pathways, which will be used in the years to come.
For those who study this stuff, it's an open secret that the US provided ISR support to India in the 2017 Doklam crisis regarding Chinese force movements, but here is a publicly citable source for that datapoint -
With
@alexbollfrass
, the most comprehensive open-source analysis of Indian and Chinese nuclear, ground, and air forces as postured against each other, newly up at
@BelferCenter
@ManagingtheAtom
- Features interactive Google Maps of force locations.
Excited that the
@routledgebooks
Handbook of the International Relations of South Asia, co-edited w/Sumit Ganguly
@IUPOLS
, now available for preorder ! 🧵
Elated to join the
@StimsonCenter
South Asia Program
@savoices
as its new Deputy Director! Privileged for this opportunity to work with its stellar staff in cultivating new voices, dialogues, initiatives, and policy solutions conducive to improving Southern Asian security.
We are thrilled to welcome Frank O'Donnell
@frank11285
, as our new South Asia Program Deputy Director and Fellow! O’Donnell takes on the role after being a Non-Resident Fellow with the program.
Learn more in our latest press release:
My
@ForeignPolicy
debut with Sumit Ganguly, on the India-China Ladakh crisis, the Indian intelligence failures involved, and the history of Indian intelligence reform efforts - cc
@StimsonCenter
@FletcherSchool
Excited to join
@APLNofficial
as a Senior Research Adviser this month, and contribute to its important work! I'll remain based in Boston area, and focus especially on growing its US presence.
Excellent opportunity for US citizens eligible to enter grad school in Fall 2023 to receive up to $104k assistance toward grad school and join
@USAID
Foreign Service after graduation. Application deadline Nov 4.
"The accused shared data on technical components of surface-to-surface Agni missiles and the K-series missiles with a Pakistani spy. The K-series missiles are specifically manufactured for Arihant-class SSBNs."
“Moscow has sent India a list of more than 500 products for potential delivery including parts for cars, aircraft and trains…an Indian government source said the request was unusual in its scope.”
If the US really wants India to scrap the S-400, it should be undercutting the comparative price of the PAC-3 and THAAD systems it is discussing with India.
Thrilled to be joining the U.S.
@NavalWarCollege
in Newport, RI as a Postdoctoral Fellow in National Security Affairs this July! Thank you to everyone who has supported me.
@kbriceodonnell
and I are excited about this next step.
"India, with roughly 940 foreign service officers, has one of most understaffed diplomatic corps of any major country...vastly outnumbered by Japanese & Australian services of around 6k, the estimated 7.5k of rival China and the U.S. State Department’s service of nearly 14k."
I'm probably the last person to comment on this, but 🇺🇸policy toward 🇮🇳isn't based "on the presumption that 🇮🇳will respond favorably when 🇺🇸calls in a favor during a regional crisis involving 🇨🇳."
From official Brahmos website - "(Brahmos-II) hypersonic weapon" is "well suited to attacking hardened or deeply buried targets such as bunkers or nuclear and biological-weapon storage facilities." cc
@NarangVipin
@clary_co
@AbhijnanRej
@RRajagopalanJNU
Interesting view into the challenges faced by 🇨🇦diplomats trying to privately engage 🇮🇳on Nijjar before Trudeau decided to go public. Also oral briefing alone helps explain Jaishankar narrowly claiming he has not “seen” any evidence.
SCOOP –
#India
tells
#Canada
to withdraw 41 diplomats by Oct 10 as spat over murder claim escalates. Threatens to strip diplomats who remain of diplomatic immunity.
🇺🇸 cannot stand by during largest 🇮🇳combined public health and humanitarian crisis in decades. We need to break the vaccine patents, organize transfer of oxygen, PPE and other needed supplies, and treat this as the global emergency it is, never mind helping a close partner.
The South Asia version of my new book with
@Yogeshjoshidec1
is available for preorder from
@OrientBlackSwan
, release date June 20 . Worldwide version, published by
@GUPress
, is also available for preorder, release date Oct. 12.
Our new
@StimsonCenter
policy paper by
@antaragsingh
explores China's evolving strategic perceptions of India, and how these should inform Indian statecraft. A must-read!
Note the resource mismatch, in that China is fielding relatively low-cost and more expendable drones for probing operations, while India must scramble Su-30MKIs to respond. This imposes asymmetric costs on IAF flexibility and readiness.
If he is of such political confidence that he believes he has been appointed by God, then he should use it to tackle some of the slightly bigger problems in his in-tray...
I write for
@9dashline
on the implications for India's nuclear doctrine and nuclear-relevant operations of the ongoing Ladakh China crisis - cc
@StimsonCenter
"The Indian Express has learnt from two sources, one Indian and another Sri Lankan, that earlier this month, India passed on specific intelligence to Sri Lankan authorities that a terrorist attack was imminent there."
Pleased to debut in new
@TWQgw
issue, arguing for a multilateral missile test pre-notification agreement as an effective arms control measure (and in an ideal world, complemented by US re-entry to INF and renewal of New START).
Happy to have cover for new book w/
@Yogeshjoshidec1
, to be published in South Asia by
@OrientBlackSwan
this spring. Worldwide version will be published by Georgetown University Press later this year. For more book details, please see "Book Project I" at
I have an article on "India’s nuclear counter-revolution: nuclear learning and the future of deterrence" in South Asia special issue of
@TheNonproReview
, convened by Sumit Ganguly and expertly shepherded by
@Joshua_Pollack
, Rhianna Kreger
@JamesMartinCNS
Happy to join Rising Power Alliances
@CIERP_Fletcher
@FletcherSchool
@TuftsUniversity
from April. I'll be a Postdoctoral Scholar, managing a team of RA's on a major project investigating intra-BRICS and BRICS-US diplomacy. Excited for this new challenge!
“More than 20 (mostly Western) countries and their allies attending,” incl. Australia, Germany, Israel, Singapore, Japan, New Zealand. 🇺🇸, 🇨🇦pulled out “for different reasons,” shelving planned Quad, Five Eyes + 🇮🇳 mtgs.
@suhasinih
:
The "12 missiles" which India readied in Rajasthan at height of Pulwama-Balakot crisis, convincing Pakistani leadership of imminent missile attack () were reportedly Prithvis (). These are dual-use. (1/2)
Must-read, as ever with
@ajaishukla
, but this stood out: “The Pakistan military’s operational and intelligence assessments conclude that an Indian Cold Start offensive can be held off with conventional forces alone.”
"India is in an advanced stage of negotiations with the US to procure 30 MQ-9B Predator armed drones at a cost of over USD 3 billion," after the US leased two to India to assist with surveillance during the 2020 Ladakh crisis.
.
@wgbh
video, transcript of 1987 interview with K. Subrahmanyam. Mostly concentrates on India's internal nuclear debates during 1960s. He also states that he believed Pakistan had the bomb at that point in time (1987).
Honored to join
@Journal_INDOPAC
editorial board, and looking forward to further building its impact in the field. Please don't hesitate to reach out with your q's about submissions, and I look forward to reviewing and hopefully publishing your work!
“Japan will seek to purchase hundreds of U.S.-built Tomahawk cruise missiles as part of a major defense buildup unprecedented in the postwar period, Japanese and U.S. officials said.”
If this report is accurate - that 🇵🇰is supplying 🇺🇦with artillery shells via 🇬🇧- this would mark a real 🇵🇰commitment to improving rels with 🇺🇸🇬🇧, in taking a step likely to incur significant costs from 🇨🇳
@AthertonKD
@TryCrying
Pelosi and Schumer will now drop everything to find this person and build their policies and political messaging entirely around his/her whims
🚨New opportunities with
@StimsonCenter
South Asia Program - apply today!
🔵Research Asst, quant analysis (deadline this Thu!)-
🔵Deputy Editor,
@SAVoices
-
🔵2023-4 Junior Fellowship -
New essay out in Asian Security jrnl, reviewing 3 excellent works by
@PerkovichG
&
@toby_dalton
, Moeed Yusuf
@USIP
, &
@splalwani
@HHaegeland
(eds.), while offering own thoughts on future of nuclear Southern Asia. Link w/ free 50 downloads -
Interesting research by
@joshuatwhite
suggests that US may have been more willing to directly support India in Doklam crisis than was/is commonly assumed. p. 423.
🇺🇸instead still aims to help strengthen 🇮🇳as a mil and econ power that can pose an independent challenge to 🇨🇳and complicate 🇨🇳's threat calculus. The broader q is whether 🇮🇳actually wants to become "a great power capable of balancing China independently."
Our
#BRICS
@FletcherSchool
@CIERP_Fletcher
Rising Power Alliances webinar is on Fri Sep 10 from 12-1pm! We'll discuss how BRICS & 🇮🇳presidency is responding to Afg., 🇮🇳-🇨🇳 rels, climate change, pandemic, financial instability & more. Sign up
"China has deployed Su-30s in rear positions and they have been carrying out regular sorties close to the Indian territory. Long-rang air defence batteries of long-range have also been detected, to tackle the major threat from IAF operating in the area."
Once again, why is the BJP's IT/social media team focusing on this and not on the kind of crowdsourcing of oxygen/med/PPE supplies that many individual citizens have been forced to do? With the BJP's social media footprint and scale of org, think how many lives could be saved?
Great piece by
@Cold_Peace_
- "The Quad is best viewed as a symbolically and substantively important addition to an existing network of strategic and defense cooperation among four highly capable democracies."
New piece with Debalina Ghoshal in the latest
@TheNonproReview
on the multiple pressures on India's credible minimum deterrence approach, and the two distinct pathways open to Indian policymakers to address these issues.
@NavalWarCollege
@StimsonCenter
India announces it now has a tested hypersonic vehicle capability for military purposes. While those who follow 🇮🇳 defense tech know that fielding a proven capability is likely still years off, this is still a significant step with implications for regional strategic stability.
Launching my paper on stabilizing Sino-Indian security relations
@CarnegieEndow
on Tues July 10 at10am. Excited to have a stellar lineup, including
@PerkovichG
as moderator and
@splalwani
&
@tanvi_madan
as respondents. RSVP here!
Interesting points here in this update on Agni-P and how it sits within 🇮🇳's evolving missile force. 1. "The missile will become the prime deterrent in the 1000-2000km range w/ Agni-5 providing the full cover to India against regional adversaries"🧵
Pleased to be contributing to two excellent
#ISA2022
panels! One paper further develops research w/
@StimsonCenter
on 🇮🇳-🇷🇺 military doctrinal interactions, and second explores the extent of the
#BRICS
challenge to US security policy interests.
@CIERP_Fletcher
@FletcherSchool
In Super Mario 64, Mario's health is not restored when entering a course. By precisely timing fire damage, it is possible to enter Lethal Lava Land with 0 health. Mario will play the entering animation as normal, but die immediately upon touching the ground.
A mentor, guide, and analyst without parallel. During times when you might have lost some of your self-belief or self-confidence in this field, he had a 6th sense for knowing when to reach out or reiterate that he believed in you. He has now passed the torch to all of us.
We are deeply saddened to share the news that Michael Krepon, co-founder of the Stimson Center and tireless advocate for international peace and security, passed away today at his home in Charlottesville, VA. Our thoughts are with Sandra, Misha, Joshua, and the entire family.
@ArmsControlWonk
@nktpnd
Pfifer distinguishes btwn "assurances" vs. "guarantees" in test, but would Ukr. have signed if they knew "assurances" was so meaningless?
Finished
@DrJSarkar
's excellent
@CornellPress
book, "Ploughshares and Swords: India's Nuclear Program in the Global Cold War." The new must-have reference text for the history of the intertwined civil and military Indian nuclear program up to the 1980s.