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Rajesh Rajagopalan Profile
Rajesh Rajagopalan

@RRajagopalanJNU

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Professor of International Politics, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi {Retweet is not necessarily endorsement}

Joined November 2014
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Recent essays: "Evasive Balancing: India’s Unviable Indo-Pacific Strategy" in International Affairs "Did India Lose China?" in The Washington Quarterly "India’s Strategic Choices" Carnegie India
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
Ukraine & Taiwan gave up nukes for American security guarantees. India, after a lot of waffling in the 1960s, went the other way. Not that I ever doubted that the latter was the better choice, but what Ukraine & Taiwan are facing today reaffirms my conviction.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
2020: what a time to be alive! A country running concentration camps for an entire minority population is dishing out advice on human rights for minorities!
@CGTNOfficial
CGTN
4 years
"Black lives matter and their human rights should be guaranteed," said #China 's FM spokesperson on Monday, urging U.S. to eliminate racial discrimination, protect minorities
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Some cultural norms are powerful. I think most Indians (me included) will have trouble walking up these stairs. (Actually, even looking at this photo makes me uncomfortable!) (Only commenting on photo, obviously)
@hauteblood
⋆ ✧ bec. (tv) ✧ ⋆
3 years
girls don’t want boys girls want a book staircase
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Russia to India: You're on your own.
@DevirupaM
Devirupa Mitra
4 years
Kremlin spokesperson's response to the violent face-off between India and China violent stand-off
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
China’s undeniable achievement: Pushing Indians towards Realism & India into balancing partnerships. What can I say but a heartfelt 'thank you'.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
India badly needs a center-right movement/party that is not tied to religion.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Escalation carries risks for India, but backing off now will strengthen Pakistan's belief that it can deter Indian military response to terror (now, cause of Indian intolerance for any risk & w/o even resorting to nuke threats). A much worse outcome for India.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
It’s been a year since India became Chair of WHO Executive Board. Curious: As Chair of WHO-EB, has India pushed to understand the origins of the virus, especially given its terrible effect on India? Anyone know? Hoping that becoming Chair wasn’t an end in itself.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
We already know that @ImranKhanPTI doesn't control Pak nukes or its Kashmir or Afghan policy. A serious question now is whether he even controls his @Twitter account.
@ImranKhanPTI
Imran Khan
5 years
India has been captured, as Germany had been captured by Nazis, by a fascist, racist Hindu Supremacist ideology & leadership.This threatens 9m Kashmiris under siege in IOK for over 2 weeks which shd have sent alarm bells ringing across the world with UN Observers being sent there
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Trying to recall if the Germans showed up to protest concentration camps in Xinjiang . . . Or the takeover of Hong Kong . . . Or . . .oh, never mind.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Well, if you can have a 'peaceful' nuclear test, I suppose you can have 'non-military' air strike. 🤦‍♂️
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Eyes on the ball folks: what is important is not that China's effort at the UNSC failed, but that China tried at all. Mebbe, just mebbe, we should have been drinking a lot less of the 'Wuhan spirit'.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
A new Cold War is good cause it'll ensure India is not facing China alone, but both US & India need to recognize their positions are weaker this time around compared to the last Cold War, I write in @ThePrintIndia
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
One of the advantages of being a Realist is that you won't be surprised by hypocrisy in foreign policy, by Pakistan or India or anybody else. Oh, also, you look at what states do, and their capabilities, not at what they say.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Sino-Indian border?
@TheresaAFallon
Theresa Fallon
3 years
Hey, guess where I am?
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
The sad part is that we have to depend on China's usual foolishness to keep New Delhi from drifting towards its usual foolishness. Repeatedly.
@sidhant
Sidhant Sibal
2 years
MEA slams Chinese FM on Kashmir comments hours before his visit to Delhi reported to begin. The visit is yet to be announced by both Delhi and Beijing.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
The deepening Russia-China alignment aims to weaken the US, which is not in India’s interest. Prudence dictates India reduces its mil dependence on Russia because Indian & Russian national interests are now in conflict, I argue in @ThePrintIndia
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Meritocracy is hard on people.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Do not mock, insult, taunt or physically assault any Chinese either. The quarrel is with the CCP and PLA, not with someone who happens to be Chinese.
@pythoroshan
Doctor Roshan R 🌍
4 years
Dear India, This should not have to be said but sadly, needs to be: Do not insult, taunt, mock or physically assault anyone who according to you 'looks Chinese' in the coming days.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Frankly, I have a hard time seeing Chabahar as a loss. But then again, I had a hard time with the whole pot-of-gold-in-Central-Asia thesis anyways.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Jeez, not this again! (US tried this pre-65 war, gave up; Soviets tried this post-65 war, gave up)
@ThePrintIndia
ThePrintIndia
4 years
India can focus more on China if it calms Pakistan ties: Foreign policy expert @RichardHaass told Editor-in-Chief @ShekharGupta in #ThePrintOTC @NayanimaBasu brings you the report
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Terrific from @MohanCRaja on how Afgh is driving India & Russia further apart [a serious question that must be asked: is there any int'l political issue on which ND & Moscow agree on?]
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Increasingly convinced we shouldn't jump to conclusions. PM's statement was disturbing, but was on live TV & possibly garbled, in that he possibly did not mean to convey what he actually appears to have said. Hopefully, we'll have greater clarity in coming days & weeks.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
1 year
Funny, there isn't anything in this long, frustrated, genocidal rant about NATO expansion.
@MedvedevRussiaE
Dmitry Medvedev
1 year
WHY WILL UKRAINE DISAPPEAR? BECAUSE NOBODY NEEDS IT 1. Europe doesn’t need Ukraine. The forced support of the Nazi regime, by the American mentor’s order, has put Europeans into a financial and political inferno. All for the sake of bandera’s unterukraine, that even the snobby,…
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Not sure I've heard this language (usually used by China) from MEA before: "urge them to discipline and control their frontline troops"!!
@Geeta_Mohan
Geeta Mohan گیتا موہن गीता मोहन
4 years
#Breaking India says, even as military talks are on, Chinese troops AGAIN engaged in provocative action on Aug31. India lodges protest through diplomatic and military channels. China is in violation. China engaged in provocative military manoeuvres. @MEAIndia #IndiaChinaStandoff
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
The Balakot & F16 controversies are good examples of a key distinction between Nationalists & Realists: --Nationalists want more national power & see questioning of the state as undermining it. --Realists want more national power & see questioning of the state. . . 1/2
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
We need to both worry about China's miscalculations & act with other powers to counter its intimidation: My latest in @ThePrintIndia "Don’t suffer alone — India and the world need to act against China’s intimidation tactics"
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Excellent. Looks more & more like Indian forces did a fait accompli of their own. Fait accompli is one response to a fait accompli. The other is escalation. It would be prudent to expect & prepare for that from China. This isn't over.
@globaltimesnews
Global Times
4 years
Experts said that #China - #India border tensions will surely escalate this time, and China must be tough against India's latest provocation; otherwise, the trouble would be endless.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
I am only surprised that folks are surprised at Chi bringing up its '59 line. This is just an excuse. Excuses change. Reality doesn't. Chi's power is a problem that can't be negotiated or reasoned with. Choices are either to capitulate or counter. How many warnings are needed?
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
8 months
". . . it is safe to presume today that anything new and multilateral outside American influence now will be dominated by China. The SCO and BRICS are only two examples." Terrific piece and a reality check from @ShekharGupta @ThePrintIndia
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Highly-placed GoI source on possible Ind mil response: “The view in the Government is that if you start thinking of consequences, you will not be able to move forward.” Interesting: some tentative thoughts. 1/5
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Seventy-plus years and the same talking points . . .
@ANI
ANI
3 years
Our nation's aspiration of becoming a regional power cannot rely on borrowed strength. India's wars have to be won with Indian solutions. We cannot be import-dependent if we have to fight and win future wars. Indigenisation, therefore, is the way forward: CDS General Bipin Rawat
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Kashmir in UNSC: China stand is perfectly Realist and understandable. India can't respond effectively because nationalism is not. My piece in @ThePrintIndia
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Facing a much more challenging external security condition, India's security planners need to consider taking the army out of counterinsurgency, I argue in @ThePrintIndia "Take Indian Army out of counterinsurgency. It has to tackle leaner, modern PLA"
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
The primary purpose of the US-India partnership is balancing China, not dealing with Afghanistan or the problems facing Indian democracy, I argue in @ThePrintIndia
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
"India must begin with the daunting acknowledgement that (🇨🇳) is its primary long-term geopolitical and geoeconomic rival . . . the time for hiding behind ‘strategic ambiguity’ is over." Strong piece from @samirsaran via @orfonline
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Schrödinger's Quad.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Mebbe India needs a security crisis every couple of years cause that seems to be the only way to cut through the decisionmaking red tape and general incompetence.
@ETPolitics
ET Politics
4 years
Army to use special powers to procure 72,000 Sig 716 assault rifles. @manupubby reports.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
My quick take on #BalakotStrike : Why previous Indian strikes haven't deterred Pakistan & what New Delhi should do now: | One strike isn’t enough to establish deterrence via @orfonline
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Ideas matter only when they are backed by material power. Ignoring this relationships makes for a thin foreign policy debate, I argue in my latest, for @orfonline
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
Would be nice if GoI could stir itself to say something too.
@SenateForeign
Senate Foreign Relations Committee Ranking Member
2 years
It's shameful that #Beijing chose a torchbearer for the #Olympics2022 who's part of the military command that attacked #India in 2020 and is implementing #genocide against the #Uyghurs . The U.S. will cont. to support #Uyghur freedoms & the sovereignty of India.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
One of the points I've made more than once before is that India can't play the nonalignment or hedging game between US & China (unlike US/SU during the cold war) cause China is a neighbor, and one with which India has an active border dispute. More validation.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Indian policy must now clearly aim at containing China. It won't be easy or cheap, except when compared to the alternative, I argue in @ThePrintIndia "India can’t free-ride others to limit China. It needs to lead the containment strategy"
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
All international orders have rules of some kind & these are almost always framed by the strongest powers in that order. The question is not about the hypocrisy of any particular order, but whose hypocrisy is less undesirable.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
The brilliance of India's strategy is a wonder to behold.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
In @ThePrintIndia , I argue that multilateral agencies are as much creatures of power politics. So preventing China from gaining disproportionate influence over them is in India's interest + supporting India's partners important for credibility.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
The perfect car for NCR traffic!! [I have fantasized about this for soooo long!]
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Sound familiar? And this was a couple of weeks before Moscow was aware of the Cuban missile crisis.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Replug: two of my essays on India, China and the US: 1. "India's Strategic Choices: China and the Balance of Power in Asia" (Carnegie India) 2. "Did India Lose China?" The Washington Quarterly,
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
1 year
Not surprised at Macron's effort at appeasing Xi, despite failing to appease Putin. Failure costs Macron nothing; it's others who pay the price. That's why some Europeans, especially Germany and France, cannot be counted on to help balance China. As I wrote last week:
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Today's a pretty momentous day in Indian diplomatic history: the Indo-Soviet Friendship Treaty was signed this day, 50 years ago. A masterly move by PM Mrs. Indira Gandhi to, essentially, entrap Moscow in the coming India-Pakistan war.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
1/7 A thread on a fascinating essay by Yun Sun on Beijing's view of India & the current crisis, which should be required reading for Indian officials dealing with China & for analysts. "China’s Strategic Assessment of the Ladakh Clash"  @WarOnTheRocks
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
For once, I entirely agree with @HappymonJacob : It's not that Pakistan was/is not a threat, but that China was always a more serious one because it was/is far stronger of the two. So, it should have been the focus of the greater Indian security attention & preparation.
@HappymonJacob
Happymon Jacob
3 years
I am going to stick my neck out and say this: India's unhealthy obsession with Pakistan has been one of its biggest strategic mistakes.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Sadly, as I pointed out last week, India seems mute on this important issue. And again, sincerely, please correct me if I've missed anything.
@NSC_Spox
Adrienne Watson
3 years
Read the full statement by President Joe Biden on the investigation into the origins of COVID-19:
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Indian anger towards Biden admin is understandable but don’t link it to the US-India strategic partnership or to US moral leadership etc, I argue in @ThePrintIndia "India-US ties not built on morals, but necessity. Biden’s Covid help delay won’t matter"
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
I am only surprised why people are surprised by Mahbubani's views. It's not new. Maybe cause, for a long time, he was applauded in India while he railed against the US, conveniently ignoring the other side of the coin & its implications. Entertainment isn't free, folks.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
A warning from @MohanCRaja :The Muslim world may be divided but India needs to remove growing negative perceptions of its domestic policies in the Muslim world if it is not to squander Modi's achievements in diplomacy with Gulf states
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
The Quad was not about vaccines and climate change?? Shocked, I say, shocked!!!
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Based on FS press briefing, it appears that most of the Modi-Trump discussion was on Pak/terror. FS didn't even mention China/Indo-Pacific. Piddly little Pak isn't worth so much attention, esp. when Ind faces a far more serious threat from Chi. Strategic misfocus.
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
The India-Russian difference re Afghanistan are only one symptom of a larger strategic condition that is driving the two apart. It is unlikely to change in the near future. Best to adjust Indian policy accordingly, I argue: via @ThePrintIndia
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
I argue that China's salami-slicing poses an asymmetric challenge & defense alone won't work. India needs an escalation strategy, but unlike with Pakistan, not a military escalation but diplomatic escalation. In @ThePrintIndia
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
. . . . as helping generate more national power by making the state more efficient and competent. Plenty of Nationalists in India. Unfortunately, not many Realists. 2/2
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Whether the US will fight jointly w India at LAC is the wrong criterion to judge the partnership; its purpose is to strengthen Indian military capability to better meet China's mil threat & to balance China’s political power: My latest for @CSDR_India
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
Strong US statement on Chinese military pressure on Taiwan, but also: "We will stand with friends and allies to advance our shared prosperity, security, and values in the Indo-Pacific region . . . "
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Wow, a bridge laid and an entire river crossing in less than 20 seconds.
@PDChina
People's Daily, China
4 years
China speed! Chinese #PLA troops built a pontoon bridge to move tanks across a river during a drill.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Very true, as I have pointed out before:
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@Cold_Peace_
Jeff M. Smith
4 years
To my foreign comrades quietly cheering "America's decline," we're surrounded by allies and oceans. We have leading tech, a global reserve currency, a vast network of military allies, 5K+ nukes, and 10 aircraft carriers. We'll be OK if China's rise takes a nastier turn. Will you?
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
India abstains on both China and Sri Lanka related resolutions at UNHRC, but criticizes Sri Lanka while keeping mum on China. Since consistency has been mentioned as a factor . . .
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
Real American exceptionalism is the amount of time American IR scholars devote to arguing about American exceptionalism.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Serious Q: Is there a concept/term/word for response/retaliation that is clearly at a lower level than the original attack, apparently to demonstrate you will respond but also to indicate interest in de-escalation? (Iran missile attack but also Pak response to Balakot).
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
7 months
Those intentionally targeting unarmed men, women and children--especially children--murdering them, or kidnapping or taking them hostage, are absolute scum, irrespective of their causes or grievances. Those excusing or justifying such actions are not much better either.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
I argue that unless the assumptions behind India’s foreign policies are questioned, we risk returning to the same flawed policies, my latest in @ThePrintIndia "Why has India’s China policy been such a failure? Question New Delhi’s assumptions first"
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
1 year
Happy to have contributed a chapter to this excellent volume by Ashley Tellis, @MohanCRaja and @bibekdebroy . A brief preview:
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
"the decision was based on the advice of Sweden’s military and security services, which apparently described China as “one of the biggest threats against Sweden.” " I mean, how the hell do you manage to irritate SWEDEN?
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
There is rarely a possibility to test IR predictions. But here's a live one. A lot of the 'nuke danger in SAsia' is based on assumption Pak will ESCALATE if Ind responds militarily to terror attacks. Always struck me as unlikely. Let's see what happens.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
This is very late & very long but I explain in an @ORFonline occasional paper why I am unconvinced by the evidence @clary_co & @NarangVipin present in their @Journal_IS essay about Ind moving towards n-counterforce.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
As I started reading this brilliant @samirsaran piece, I thought I'd make a thread out of some of his lines. But I gave up. This needs to be read in its entirety, together. So read, as he takes a blowtorch to Ind strategic policy 👇: via @orfonline
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
At this point, it's probably best for Chinese diplomats to keep quite and let others wonder whether China is a threat, than open their mouths and remove all doubt.
@China_Amb_India
Embassy of The People's Republic of China in India
4 years
Basic judgment that we are partners&opportunities rather than rivals&threats to each other remains unchanged.We should put boundary question at appropriate place & not allow differences to disturb relationship.Our relationship should move forward, rather than backward or reverse.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Seems about right
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
Great piece from @Iyervval arguing that instead of a communication blockade, India needs to leverage communications intelligence, which will allow for discriminate tactics than targeting innocent Kashmiris:
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
If you’re not yet tired of Afghanistan takes, here’s mine: India's lack of influence in its own region should matter but unlike Pakistan, India is still responding rather shaping its environment. OTOH, no more excuses for US re Pak. via @ThePrintIndia
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
8 months
Another terrific piece from Michael Beckley: why it might not be possible to avoid an intense Sino-American great power contest. Many great thoughts here. Some apply to India as well. Should be read in full, but a few standout quotes: via @ForeignAffairs
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
Genuinely confused . . . Does this mean India has been provoked or not yet?
@ndtv
NDTV
4 years
"India Can Give Fitting Reply When Provoked": PM After Ladakh Clash #NDTVNewsBeeps
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
2 years
I am not sure this is particularly useful, but like any guilty pleasure, soooo satisfying . . .
@IndiainSL
India in Sri Lanka
2 years
➡️We have noted the remarks of the Chinese Ambassador. His violation of basic diplomatic etiquette may be a personal trait or reflecting a larger national attitude.(1/3)
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
5 years
"India has strictly adhered to this doctrine. What happens in future depends on the circumstances." ". . . IN FUTURE" So, no, India's NFU policy hasn't changed today. Jeez.
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Rajesh Rajagopalan
3 years
People keep referring to foreign great powers being defeated in & fleeing from Afghanistan. Foreign non-great powers faced the same fate too, of course, or has everybody forgotten the Kunduz airlift?
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@RRajagopalanJNU
Rajesh Rajagopalan
4 years
GoI source is on the mark here: always worrying about consequences can ensure you are paralyzed & others take advantage. For stability, both sides must worry about consequences, not just one. Good that GoI is beginning to think along these lines; necessary for deterrence. 2/5
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