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Sameer P. Lalwani Profile
Sameer P. Lalwani

@splalwani

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Sr Expert, Asia Center @USIP ; NRSF @CSBAdc . Past: @StimsonCenter , @ElliottSchoolGW , @RandCorporation , @MIT_SSP . Deterrence, Alliances, Asia NatSec, Curry for 3!

Washington, DC
Joined December 2014
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
1 year
Last week, @USIP published my latest report, “A Threshold Alliance: The China-Pakistan Military Relationship”. I detail how the partnership has advanced considerably in arms transfers, military exercises, and prospects for PLA basing on Pakistan's territory. Buckle up...
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
7 years
My buddy took a picture of this car which took 7 tries to parallel park
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
Brought my dad to hear the Indian PM Modi speak alongside US Secretary of State Blinken. In the cab home, he says nonchalantly, “That’s the 2nd time I saw the Indian PM up close. The 1st was when Nehru & Khrushchev visited my elementary school and we all waved Soviet flags.”😳
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
I texted my parents this story where I was quoted made the front page of the @nytimes and they responded that there’s still time to apply for Med school 🤗
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
When your mother-in-law is staying for 2 more weeks past the holidays, you start counting your allies, and their relative strength...
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
7 months
“A frmr Sr US intel official said:“This is Modi looking at the world & saying to himself ‘The US conducts targeted killings outside of war zones. The Israelis do it. The Saudis do it. The Russians do it. Why not us?’ And none of the[nations] we just mentioned pay much of a price”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
In @WarOnTheRocks , @tsagerstrom & I argue the US is heading for a collision with India on CAATSA sanctions unless the Biden admin issues a waiver. Post-Afghanistan doubts are loud but sanctions—however small—will pose the real reliability crisis. THREAD
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
My essay in @politico today contends China is poised for military dominance of the Indian Ocean w/in a decade, the US bet on India is faltering, & focused US strategy can advance the US-India defense partnership to balance China’s influence in the IO.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Friends & Colleagues -- some professional news: Last week was my last at @StimsonCenter . It was a wonderful and stimulating 7 year intellectual journey. This week I began a new role as a Senior Expert in @USIP ’s Asia Center.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
My almost-3 yr old said he’d pack his own bag for family vacation and this is where we landed…
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
6 years
This story brilliantly captures India’s geopolitical contortions. India is building the biggest statue in the world to dwarf the current biggest one, in China of course, ...by employing “several hundred Chinese labourers.”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
Going to a “Friendsgiving” party this evening where everyone is supposed to bring a dish to celebrate their heritage. I’m rolling 30 samosas deep and a bottle of Black Label. Doesn’t get any more desi than that.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
This was so good, my snorting laughter woke up my toddler from his nap, and it was still worth it. Stay til the end for the win.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Seems significant: "In the first-ever ODA project in Andaman & Nicobar, Japan has approved grant aid worth ¥4.02 billion...to improve the power supply in the islands, stressing the strategic geopolitical location of the islands for an open Indo-Pacific."
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
🧵: I'm surprised at the persistence of Indian sympathy for Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Not sure if its historical residues, elite cues, (dis)information, or genuine sentiment. But Indian public opinion seems quite distant from Europe, Quad, but also some BricS countries. 1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
In addition to GOP Senators backing a 10-yr CAATSA sanctions waiver for India which will soon induct the Russian S-400, this by @politico 's @alexbward is as significant: "A SASC staffer hinted that this whole issue likely will be solved in the latest NDAA"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
9 months
“New Delhi’s new stand has also prompted the IND milt to make an assessment of India’s response in case of a Chinese attack on Taiwan… CDS Gen. Anil Chauhan has asked the 3 services to come up with…options for India in the event of a full-blown crisis.”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
The arc of US national security interests over 2 decades
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
11 months
Buying the MQ-9b armed drone would be an significant move by India, not because of the sale, but because it signals India’s commitment to build a joint maritime reconnaissance complex w/ the US (+Quad?) w/ P-8Is, MH-60Rs & MQ-9bs to track Chinese vessels.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
Astonishing: “Most of the 800,000 immigrants currently waiting for a green card are Indian citizens. Because of quotas...Indians can expect to wait up to 50 years for a green card since their representation among immigrants is so high in the US.”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
If you haven’t had enough Sino-Indian border crisis, here's a weekend read on key takeaways for US-India balancing efforts, and how US defense strategists might lean in to this opportunity. But if the ice in your 🥃is melting, I'll try to summarize: 1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
INDUS-X launched by @DefMinIndia & @DeptofDefense yields ambitious collaboration agenda including: “joint prize challenges for start-ups, roundtable events, mentor-protégé initiatives btwn major primes & start-ups, and the formation of a Sr. Advisory Group”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
My toddler just strolled into my makeshift office with no pants on, handed the remnants of a corn muffin to me, and said "back to work daddy"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Difficult to see how India can rely on Russia for modern weapons in future: “Russia is cut off from modern semiconductors…Russia can still import low-end chips from China but it is the high-end chips that are…vital for todays advanced weapons systems"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
In this excellent discussion on US-India relations, Amb. Juster notes of CAATSA: “The legislation was designed to affect Russia, not to harm partners like India...With this legislation we’re raising the risk of sanctions…I think this is crazy”(hastily scribbled down so inexact)
@CNASdc
CNAS
3 years
LIVE: Amb. Kenneth Juster, Amb. @RichardRVerma , @RHFontaine , and @LisaCurtisDC discuss the future of the U.S.-India strategic partnership— #CNAS2021 :
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Re Quad, Tellis argues India has the greatest potential but remains a hesitant partner: "It is extremely difficult to get an expansive agenda of Quad activities not because there’s a lack of willingness on the part of the other 3; the lack of willingness is entirely in New Delhi"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
When I was young, my mother once broke me out of school Ferris Bueller style to go see Home Alone in the theaters--a move so unlike her--but one I cherished. So I was thrilled to pull my daughter from school mid-day yesterday on a perfect day to watch her first @Nationals game!
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
Meanwhile in Bangladesh... “As many as 100,000 people flocked to the namaz-e-janaza of Maulana Jubayer Ahmed Ansari.” In one of the most densely populated countries in the world, a NYT update points out high risk of super-spreader event.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
"PAF has collected vast amounts of experience in EW during the bilateral Shaheen series exercise w/ China. These exercises offer the PAF a rare opportunity to both fly and contest against the Chinese Su-27 & Su-30 aircraft to learn about their capabilities, weaknesses & tactics"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
I'm thinking about Michael Krepon a lot this week. I want to share this tribute to him—"The Gift of Meaningful Work," named after a speech he gave in 2015—created by several of us who've been fortunate to call him a colleague, teacher, mentor, and friend.
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@ArmsControlWonk
Dr. Jeffrey Lewis
2 years
Michael Krepon has been an incredible friend and mentor to me. After 13 years, he's written his final post at Arms Control Wonk because his time with us is drawing short. I am little choked up, to be honest.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Incorrect. Anyone working in Washington knows the Biden admin is laser focused on competition with China and the Indo-Pacific in all aspects for FP. It just may be surprising to some that a superpower can walk and chew gum at the same time.
@Chellaney
Brahma Chellaney
2 years
Biden has been gradually easing pressure on China. As if to allay China's concerns, he has diluted the Quad's Indo-Pacific focus by broadening its agenda to everlasting global challenges like climate change and sustainability. Now he has brought in Ukraine and European security.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Concerned about chatter on CAATSA--that US would apply "very mild" sanctions on India, not to make a big deal & "mitigate an Indian backlash"--significantly underestimates Indian reaction. What US deems routine could spiral into another Khobragade crisis.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
My toddler loves the view of the US Capitol building on the drive in to school. This morning, she says, “It’s so beautiful...Who made this for me?” Tripped up by the profundity of the question, I thought for a several moments, and then replied, “The people!”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Trader Jyoti has struck gold! I kid you not friends, it’s almost as tasty as Haldiram’s with probably half of the heart attack risk.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
From @ajaishukla : India's Mathura-based 1 Corps being repurposed as "a Mtn strike corps that would strike into Chinese territory from Ladakh...shifting an Ind strike corps from the Pak border to the border w/ China constitutes a powerful strategic signal"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
I offer 4 takeaways from Trump’s India trip in @washingtonpost @monkeycageblog . 1. The good: defense relations, arms sales 2. The bad: no trade deal 3. The ugly: disturbing communal violence sure to raise US eyebrows 4. The surprising: praise for Pakistan
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Clearing out the closet and stumbled across some gems from the past. This one gave me a “…hmm 🤔…” moment, considering the source.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Despite yesterday’s declared ceasefire, today marks the 2nd anniversary of the 2019 India-Pakistan crisis. In @WarOnTheRocks I suggest the new admin prepare for the next crisis to protect US interests: nuclear non-use, its citizens & Indo-Pacific strategy.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
11 months
“This is more tech transfer than the US has ever authorised. We are breaking through into new frontiers” Detailed piece on the GE jet engine deal with India by @prashantktm where an anonymous source, @Cold_Peace_ , and I are quoted. cc @USIP
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
IR/Security Profs: you can assign this new, amazing, *free* @StimsonCenter online course (chapters or full) on Deterrence, Coercion & the Indo-Pacific w/ lectures frm luminaries like Acton, Akhtar, Jervis, Khan, Li, Narang, Posen, Sagan, Sethi, Tannenwald, Talmadge, Zhang & more!
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Hard not to read the Pakistan’s Special Asst to PM lauding a smooth power transition as endorsement of Taliban attempts to forcibly take power in Afghanistan & directly contradicts what PM Khan wrote in June “We oppose any military takeover of Afghanistan”
@RaoofHasan
Raoof Hasan
3 years
Afghanistan is presently witnessing a virtually smooth shifting of power from the corrupt Ghani government to the Taliban. According to some sources, this is being facilitated by the US and its associates. Virtually everything you claimed would happen has been blown away + 2/5
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
One thing we know for sure, the South Asian auntie/uncle mafia are going to be even more insufferable if that was at all possible ... “Sure you’re a doctor but why can’t you try to be a VP?!?”
@nytpolitics
NYT Politics
4 years
BREAKING: Senator Kamala Harris of California is Joe Biden’s pick for vice president. She’s the first Black woman on a major party ticket.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
And so it begins... “Before writing off COIN, it is worth noting that it actually worked in Afghanistan when and where the United States committed sufficient forces to implement it.” 🙄
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
India building base on Mauritius's Agalega island to stage P8s: "India regards the new base to be essential for facilitating both air & surface maritime patrols in the SW Indian Ocean, and as an intelligence outpost." @NSC_ANU 's Bashfield in @LowyInstitute
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
Quite a time for this story! “India open to including Australia in Malabar naval exercise” by @suhasinih & @dperi84 “The inclusion of Australia in the Malabar exercise would be a major shift from the past for India’s Indo-Pacific plans”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
“One of India’s advantages is geopolitical…the war in Ukraine has all but ended Russia’s role as a competitor...Likewise, the USG would be more likely to approve any Am. company’s sending milt-grade tech through India than through China” writes @travelli
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
India's stock of major military equipment reveals India's dilemma. Despite serious efforts at diversification over 2-3 decades, the dependence is still astonishing. "Stock" matters because it still demands a "flow" of spares & support for sustainment affording Russia leverage. 3/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Even while I think India's arms dependence on Russia is v. sticky & the US has to plan around it, I'm starting to think Russia's invasion of Ukraine + the likely outcomes will compel India to significantly rethink its strategic partnership with Russia 10/
@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
I've written a bit on motives & composition of India's strategic partnership w/ Russia, but as we think about how this war ends for Russia, I expect a major rethink in New Delhi. A quick sketch of 4 outcomes based on the two most salient variables--most are bad or worse for India
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
You discover the adult “walk of shame” when your 6 y/o insists on a one-way Frozen bike ride to school, and you’re left to lug it home past dozens of people who think you’re an Elsa bike thief.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
1 year
In a @ForeignAffairs debate—"Will India Ditch Russia?"—I argue India will stick w/ Russia despite hope of a split. India's geopolitical calculus differs from the West, dependence on Russian strategic arms persists, & elite+public sentiment favors Moscow. 1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
“A company boss living in Gwadar…says that construction on the port project has been mothballed. ‘There is almost nothing going on in terms of building. We keep on waiting for China’s promises to follow through but there has been very little so far…”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Today is Michael Krepon's birthday so I'm sharing a toast I gave at his retirement party before he passed. At the time, I didn't know Michael was sick again. But after losing mentors in the pandemic w/o being able to tell them what they meant to me, I needed these words to count.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
My mother just forwarded me an email from @csa_stanford advertising this jr fellowship and suggested I could have made something of myself if I had applied for it🤦🏾‍♂️ #DesiParents
@grace_easterly
Grace Easterly (graceeasterly.bsky.social)
3 years
📣📣📣 Applications for the @StimsonCenter South Asia Junior Fellowship are now open! 📣📣📣 Apply here (deadline Feb 15):
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
"The invasion happened on a Thurs & by the next day, Elon had called together a meeting & said ‘I want to get Starlink up over Ukraine'…By Sun, the link was active. By Mon, 500 ground terminals showed up in UKR. By Wed…all but 25 terminals were alive&providing real-time data…"
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Claims the US/West denied defense equipment to India seem unfair & incomplete. All parties made choices. Price & tech leakage were factors, as were political strategies. The USSR sought to foil Indian diversification to keep it on the hook & Delhi sought to appease Moscow. A 🧵1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
This is no sermon, just good strategy. Tellis: “What India must do better is not simply to ask for more privileges from the US but rather create opportunities that yield sufficient benefits for the US to induce it to consider meaningful policy change.”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
[THREAD]: Yesterday @USIP published this report by me & frmr @StimsonCenter colleague @GillianGayner : “India’s Kashmir Conundrum: Before & After the Abrogation of Article 370”. Here I unpack the report which focuses as much on pre-Aug. 5, 2019 as after. 1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
I've written a bit on motives & composition of India's strategic partnership w/ Russia, but as we think about how this war ends for Russia, I expect a major rethink in New Delhi. A quick sketch of 4 outcomes based on the two most salient variables--most are bad or worse for India
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@manupubby
Manu Pubby
2 years
Ukraine crisis: India examines exposure to Russian arms. DMA has collated info on current deals, pending payments, impact of delays. Immediate and 6 month impact being assessed. Concern as banks have deferred scheduled payments. via @ETPolitics
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
Page A1 of @nytimes : Every piece of this article on BRI/CPEC’s “military turn”—from Beidou sharing, to the PAF agreement, to total debt liability, to Chinese efforts to prevent disclosure in IMF negotiations—is important. Read it all.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
The @StimsonCenter South Asia team is hiring! We're looking for a research asst to work in particular on our @nuclearlearning initiative. If you're hungry to study/work on nukes, deterrence, Asia security issues, & neat social science research, join us!
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
“[BECA] will take India into a select group of long-range missile powers, which can strike targets thousands of km away with an accuracy of 100 metres or less...The classified military signal of GPS is reputed to have an accuracy of one metre.“
@ajaishukla
Ajai Shukla
4 years
India makes itself eligible for receiving high-tech US equipment, missile guidance and navigation by signing the Basic Exchange and Cooperation Agreement on Geospatial Cooperation (BECA). I describe the fourth and final "defence foundational agreement".
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
“Indo-Pacific Command told the Washington Examiner Friday that India stands to benefit from some of the PDI investment, especially infrastructure to improve multinational command-and-control and maritime situational awareness.”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
THREAD: After toiling in obscurity, our humble India-Russia research made the big leagues thanks to @abigailngwy 's CNBC article (citing our 85% figure) so allow me to elaborate w/ art the nature of India's arms dependence on Russia which shapes its risk exposure in this crisis.1/
@avasudeva_87
Akriti (Vasudeva) Kalyankar
2 years
Glad to see @CNBCi citing @splalwani @frank11285 @tsagerstrom & my research on India's arms dependence on Russia. Our paper on the historic, political, ideational, & material factors driving India-Russia ties is available here:
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Thrilled to see this work with my colleagues @clary_co & @NiloSiddiqui finally make it into print. I want to take a moment though to say something about the genesis of this paper and how we can think of "policy relevant research" as a dialogue. 1/
@clary_co
Christopher Clary
3 years
An advance version of our article, "Public Opinion and Crisis Behavior in a Nuclearized South Asia" is now online! Thanks to the OUP/ISQ team for quickly getting it through the copy-editing process.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
There are many ways for toddlers to cope with 99 degree heat during a pandemic. One of them is hosting a first birthday for 🐼
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
A day late but I've been been thinking all day about Michael Krepon, his reservoirs of kindness, and his moss garden that seemed to bring him peace.
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@StimsonCenter
Stimson Center
2 years
We are deeply saddened to share the news that Michael Krepon, co-founder of the Stimson Center and tireless advocate for international peace and security, passed away today at his home in Charlottesville, VA. Our thoughts are with Sandra, Misha, Joshua, and the entire family.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Unnamed sources on India-Pakistan ceasefire citing 5 recent "thaw" developments: -Bajwa “hand of peace” speech -toned down Kashmir solidarity day -decline in ceasefire violations -not raise Kashmir at SAARC -PM Khan’s plane allowed to use Indian airspace
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Notable confirmation: “Beijing’s request to the Taliban came after a joint China-Pakistan investigation showed ETIM & TTP colluded in a 7/14 bus bomb attack that killed 9 Chinese engineers working on the CPEC-related Dasu hydropower dam project in Pakistans upper Kohistan region”
@JJSchroden
Dr. Jonathan Schroden
3 years
#Taliban won't readily cut ties with anti- #China ETIM - Asia Times
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
With condemnations from Turkey, Malaysia, Indonesia, and now Iran, it’s clear now that India’s domestic religious nationalist dynamics could have meaningful foreign policy consequences.
@khamenei_ir
Khamenei.ir
4 years
The hearts of Muslims all over the world are grieving over the massacre of Muslims in India. The govt of India should confront extremist Hindus & their parties & stop the massacre of Muslims in order to prevent India’s isolation from the world of Islam. #IndianMuslimslnDanger
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
11 months
“If India & the United States are going to be strong partners, both sides need to learn how to navigate serious disagreements w/out sweeping them under the rug, even if that means suffering some unpleasantness”. A thoughtful, nuanced essay by @MarkeyDaniel
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
As both of India’s borders have heated up this summer, highly recommend this incisive analysis by @SushantSin in @WarOnTheRocks on India’s two-front dilemma and how it might navigate a path between (or potentially a modus vivendi with) Scylla and Charybdis
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
“If Pakistan knew that it couldn’t count on U.S. diplomatic cover to pull its chestnuts out of the fire, it would be more reluctant to risk a war” writes @ElbridgeColby
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
This is why India will have a very bad strategic+polit reaction to even "modest" sanctions. Sanctions could even backfire and convince India it needs to rely less on the US and *more* on Russia. 6/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
“India’s Chief of Defence Staff General Bipin Rawat announced last month that India will prioritize submarines over its third aircraft carrier.” Sea denial > sea control Good piece by @Suyash_desai of @TakshashilaInst
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
“Not more than 350 cellphones and around 2,000 specially arranged satellite phones, mostly in possession of senior government functionaries, would remain functional”
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
Former defense secretary Jim Mattis: Pakistan is country he fears most
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
THREAD: @RichardRossow & @upadhyaya_kriti suggest India has no way out from CAATSA sanctions: 1) US NatSec interests alone insufficient 2) S-400 cant escape “significant transaction” designation 3) difficult to defend taken “reduce [Russian] inventory” 1/
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
As we approach 2yr anniversary of the Pulwama-Balakot crisis, Im happy to see @NinaTannenwald 's paper published by @StimsonCenter : "23 Years of Nonuse: Does the Nuclear Taboo Constrain India & Pakistan?" Stay tuned for upcoming @SAVoices discussion series!
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
We were just about to name our gingerbread house build back better…
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
It appears the Indian Air Chief used past tense but very significant if this implies India *continues* operational use of Ayni Air base in Tajikistan. Also yet another reason it maintains close ties with Russia. Cc @LadyPutz
@dperi84
Dinakar Peri
3 years
A rare public comment by service chief on India's Ayni air base in #Tajikistan , @IAF_MCC Chief ACM Bhadauria: It is an area that gave us huge capability in terms of being able to operating from there. It has given lot of goodwill and strategic importance and is going well.
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@splalwani
Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
Guys, this looks like a great event and I’m an avid consumer of your work, but there are at least 20 women within a mile who would have been great on this panel and you couldn’t find one? @HudsonInstitute
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Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
Frmr ISI chief Durrani: "war in some hybrid form is already on...the only choice we have is to fight it now, or when our allies in IOK have been neutralised. Those in biz know how to fight it smart & also how to keep it below any perceived nuc thresholds"
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Sameer P. Lalwani
1 year
“The US lacks almost 40 ambassadors…This is a situation that the Senate and Mr. Biden need to rectify quickly. Consider India — a critical partner in pressuring Russia and China. It has not had a confirmed ambassador since January.”
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Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
In @WarCasts , @Justin_Br0nk : "The biggest [lesson] that comes out of this [war] is just how effective medium-range SAMs are even when they’re not well-integrated into a larger defense system, and so we need to start taking SEAD seriously again across NATO"
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Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
I've been thinking about this for a while but @SandeepUnnithan said the quiet part out loud: "Why India will Never Turn its Back on Russia"
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Sameer P. Lalwani
1 year
What fortunate accident that I forgot my metro card and had to 🛴 home yesterday evening
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Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
This will be an interview worth watching. Regardless of how you feel about the positions, Moeed Yusuf is a wartime consigliere and his contentions will likely reflect how the Pakistan strategic establishment approaches a whole range of issues from Kashmir to Afghanistan to China.
@thewire_in
The Wire
4 years
In the first interview to the Indian media by any Pakistani official after the constitutional changes in Jammu and Kashmir in August 2019, @YusufMoeed revealed that India has sent a message expressing a desire for talks. Highlights of the interview:
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Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
2) India brings extra value as a partner because its NOT a US ally. A state not beholden to US security protection standing for key ordering principles—rule of law, freedom of navigation+overflight, peaceful dispute resolution &territorial integrity—carries unique legitimacy…10/
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Sameer P. Lalwani
4 years
“Multiple sources within the Indian Army in Jammu & Kashmir and New Delhi have now confirmed to [ @AdityaRajKaul ] about a BAT Action by Pakistan...The BAT action resulted in mutilation but the extent of the mutilation hasn't been officially confirmed yet.”
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Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
Good analysis and digging into claims and counterclaims by @saikatd . “US officials shoot down Indian claims of F-16 kill”
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Sameer P. Lalwani
10 months
Two key passages from @prashantktm 's interview w/ @JakeSullivan46 before PM Modi's State visit : 1) "...Any technology transfer with respect to jet engines is a vote of confidence in the strategic partnership with another country"
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Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
I never had the honor to study under or work for the late Stephen P. Cohen but I still learned a great deal from him. Though many others knew him better and I mostly admired him mostly from afar, I've been moved by others fond recollections to share some memories:
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Sameer P. Lalwani
5 years
"all Pakistani F-16s are subjected to three kinds of monitoring. First, a 24/7 verification by remote cameras; second, periodic checks of aircraft; and, third, snap inspections." by @Iyervval in @moneycontrolcom
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Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Folks commenting on Afghanistan need to engage with this real counter factual analysis.
@CChivvis
Chris Chivvis
3 years
The Taliban would have been energized by America reneging on Trump’s deal. American troops would obviously still be in the line of fire. To be sure, the Taliban wouldn't have made the gains it did, but America would almost certainly have had to put more forces in to respond. 8/18
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Sameer P. Lalwani
2 years
Beautiful afternoon on the mall to remind us what we can be grateful for. Happy Thanksgiving everyone.
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Sameer P. Lalwani
3 years
Last week I wrote in @WarOnTheRocks why the US should avoid sanctioning India on the S-400. On the eve of the Quad summit, I write in @htTweets why India should appreciate the US's Russia dilemma & Indian actions that could improve CAATSA waiver prospects.
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