Peter Lakewood @PeterLakewood Twitter profile

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@StilichoReads The generation above you did it and now they are in charge they expect you to do it too. That's the only reason.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby Taiwan is worried because the miniscule cost of Ukraine war (0.25% GDP) combined with a very obvious propoganda campaign seems to have plunged the American right into isolationist crisis mode. In Taiwan war US would actually have to send troops to die - does that seem credible?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@christiancalgie Deliberately confusing way to present it. If you earn 100K you will take home: £67,238 in England £64,627 in Scotland Average house price: £308,000 England £192,000 Scotland

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@John__Phipps Also found world's toughest judge...

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@Noahpinion @omgmrtea @DavidSacks Sacks is the guy from Die Hard who wants to give up McLane to "make a deal"

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

30 days

@Alex_agvg Aid for Ukraine amounts to less per year than the US spends on pet food

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby Easy to imagine Elbridge Colby in 2027 saying - "it's too late, we can't waste resources on Taiwan, we need to boost our defences in Japan"

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@BO3673 @christiancalgie Only tax geeks understand what it means. In this case I think the journalist is just using it to calculate highest scary percentage number he can. Ultimately our hypothetical 100K earner is £2,611 per year worse off in Scotland. But there are other obvious factors to consider

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@0xAlaric Women are keen to join DnD groups for “access to men”?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby “What they have to offer” is impressive, but it’s not for sale! India is not a mercenary for hire. They will do what’s best for India in all circumstances, if US is struggling to beat China in a war, no Indians are going to die to “help out”.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@WaifuverseAI @Indian_Bronson How do we know summer is hotter than winter if we can't predict the weather tomorrow?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@FromKulak Military age male death rate was 38%

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@PhillipsPOBrien Presumably, the closer the Ukrainian advance gets to the river, the more the Russians can fire artillery at them from the other side (ie without having to resupply over the broken bridges). Will this be a factor?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@adb0wen It's just a weird flex. She should already be at University somewhere.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@R_P_one "We're cavitating!"

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

11 months

@slantchev How were they planning to move the army from Manchuria to Japan?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@sambendett To perhaps oversimpify things: Does this work by emitting radio waves? Can a drone "home in" on this emission?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@LeoMars75 They were selling vegetables at Christmas and Easter for 15p a bag Of course, people complained about that too

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@ElbridgeColby "Skepticism about further aid is likely to keep growing" Yes, if the very obvious Russian influence operation in western media continues unchecked, this might happen

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@ElbridgeColby "The supplemental is unlikely to change the fundamentals on the battlefield in Ukraine" Except that if Ukraine runs out of ammunition they will certainly lose?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@BO3673 @christiancalgie I mean to get that figure you have to still be paying off a postgrad student loan from English university, live in Scotland, and earn over 100K PAYE. This is going to be quite a small number of people. And I'd guess those people chose to live in Scotland becuase they like it

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@GravitysRa1nbow The military goal is to make the Gaza Strip unliveable. The political goal is to show the people of Gaza that Israel can and will do this, and that Iran won't or can't intervene to save them

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@ElbridgeColby @TomRtweets Very relevant question for China: will US intervene? If US gives up on Ukraine because “it’s too expensive” then Xi knows that he just needs to make defending Taiwan expensive too

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@ElbridgeColby Without US leadership Europe would also do some “realist” thinking. Probably make a deal with Russia and push hard for more trade and better relations with China. Not clear US would be left in a stronger position by this…

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@ElbridgeColby "Money, weapons, and defense industrial focus spent on Ukraine will not be available for Asia." How do you get the artillery ammuntion "saved" from Ukraine (apparently they "don't need it") onto Taiwan Island without crossing Chinese Red Lines on arms transfers?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@teortaxesTex American dream is literally an Austrian handgun in the glovebox of your German sports car

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@DaveyProckett @ElbridgeColby $60 billion / $25 trillion = 0.25% Americans spent $63 billion last year on pet food

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@mtracey From the Russian perspective there were no serious punitive measures until February this year. In fact they were continually rewarded - NordStream 2 for example

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

5 months

@FRHoffmann1 The same reasoning made people predict Russia would use tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine - “escalate to descalate” etc. It was nonsense in the end. Putin is ultimately cautious (eg no mobilisation) with maintaining personal power in Russia as the guiding principle.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@runews Odd argument that we can make a deal with Putin because "he doesn't want to invade Poland" He doesn't want to invade Poland NOW, because he's busy invading someplace else He'll get round to it. When Putin has in KGB Russia's borders were even further West than Poland

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby If India is “vital” then the Chinese may have already won because India has not shown any indication it will help USA in that conflict

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@Noahpinion If you’re American, or even West European, its easy to think “just let Russia have Ukraine, and China have Taiwan - what’s the big deal?” Consequences of this need spelling out…

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@Scholars_Stage In some cases they just play too many compuer games...

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@itsjoeturner @RufusTSuperfly Because she doesn't really hit him with the broom? It has got bits that you wouldn't "write" if it was a skit: it starts very late into the conflict. He takes ages to get the knife out. It's just a stanly knife. He throws the knife away.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@Sam_Dumitriu But Sam! There's not enough water in Cambridge, they will all die of thirst. And there's also too much water in Cambridge, so they will all be flooded. We just can't build there. It's too hard. Need to give up.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@ElbridgeColby It won't happen like that. China will declare something like a "special customs zone" around Taiwan and America will have the choice to challenge it by force or acquiesce to "new realities".

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@maxseddon Prepare for 1 hour on how CIA/Ukraine was threatening Russia with unisex toilets

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

30 days

@haravayin_hogh I remember reading that the casualties from Afghan war were a huge problem for the regime - USSR's "Vietnam" etc. However we see vastly more casualties in current war has no effect on Putin. I do therefore suspect the old histories might be completely wrong!

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@BO3673 @christiancalgie People who earn 100K are thinking about how to earn 200K. They are not moping around refusing to work because "government steals all my money".

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@maxseddon Probably the railway line, the most important link, is not permanently damaged? Of course, if they hit it once, they could presumably hit it again...

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

9 months

@PhillipsPOBrien @MBielieskov People misunderstand how important this is. What is point of controling Crimea, what is point of "land corridor" if Black Sea Fleet is not safe in Sevastapol? Whole Russian Strategic plan in ruins! The only reason for Russia to fight on is to avoid embarrasment of retreat.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@niall_gooch In "Riding the Retreat" Richard Holmes compares the excitement of young British cavalry officers picking out horses in 1914 to their decendants in 1995 being given the keys to a garage full of sports cars

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@PhillipsPOBrien Russia can’t win naval war. Russia has no strategy to win naval war. Ukraine won’t stop attacking. Russian sailors being massacred for no reason. West needs to stop sending journalists to help Russia. Russia should negotiate to preserve what’s left of Black Sea fleet.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@AzorInfo If only US had some kind of delivery system, that could move hundreds of tons of self guided weapons, to a point high above the South China Sea, leaving from a base in the US, and striking its targets within an hour 🤔

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@thomasforth Maybe we can make fun of Ireland?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@PhillipsPOBrien There was already a "deal". Russia signed agreement with Ukraine over borders in 1994. Of course, in 2022 Putin simply said that deal "wasn't valid".

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

10 months

@knrd_z @aClassicLiberal What do they score on LSAT?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

10 months

@knrd_z @aClassicLiberal LSAT not easy though? How do they get a good score?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 year

@pptsapper Well we come from the farms and the city streets of a hundred foreign lands And we spilled our blood in the battle's heat Now we're all Americans

"Dixieland" w/lyrics- Steve Earle and the Del McCoury band

Earles' tribute to the 20th Maine and Joshua Chamberlain

www.youtube.com

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

30 days

@CalumDouglas1 Would you say that you were also helped by modern technology? I think you mentioned having digitized luftwaffe meeting transcripts where you could search for specific keywords? Historians of previous generations just didn't have tools like that?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@RealCynicalFox That is roughly what happened? Offensive operations ceased shortly after this Ukraine didn't have the forces to counter attack so the Northern invasion force simply retreated back to Belorussia. The Southern and Eastern invasion forces stopped advancing but didn't retreat.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@jamesjhistory There is a huge advantage in air combat to being above your enemy. Even if your aircraft is slower than theirs, if you dive down onto them, there is not much they can do. Early radar warnings gave slow Hurricanes enough time to gain the altitude needed to still be effective.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby What happens is that Europe stops listening to USA on China. All the sanctions the US wants the EU to impose - Europe starts asking what they get out of it? China is no military threat to Europe whatsoever.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@FischerKing64 I don't recognise this "activist HR" meme? HR is normaly very tight with management - they are there largely to make sure the company doesn't do things its employees could later sue for. Why would they want to get rid of it?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@mtracey Need to make a distinction here: your work is clearly an asset to the current Russia regime. Probably 90% of the things you tweet about are talking points they’d like to see amplified in the West. More correct to say you are a source of Russian aid.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@RWApodcast Russia’s strategic goal is defending “land bridge” to Crimea Strategic importance of Crimea is the Black Sea naval bases Black Sea fleet has moved out of Crimea to avoid attacks like yesterday’s What then is the strategic point of the war effort?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

5 months

@Sam_Dumitriu The study is based on Americans. They live in a different world to us. American will drive V8 truck 50 miles to garden center every spring to buy 1 ton of compost, and 300 feet of irrigation hose, for "hobby garden"

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@DavidSacks @Noahpinion Ukraine already had two signed agreements with Russia that guaranteed her borders. A third “peace” deal with Russia would be worth what exactly?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@hkarthik @Noahpinion No, this is stupid. When Russia was supplying North Vietnam (with far more weapons than we’ve given Ukraine) to fight America, they didn’t spend any time stressing about “what’s the end game” or “escalation”.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@Solarchitects now do crannies

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@JRFBoy They don't really believe this. If you suggest we "learn" from Singapore's low crime rate, high attainment in Chinese schools, or America's high economic growth, they will roll their eyes.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@TypeForVictory Yes, London streets look like this:

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

11 months

@BretDevereaux A broader point: The Spartans in “300” are a fiction then clearly but why shouldn’t a modern infantry unit take inspiration from this fiction? Was it also wrong to name an artillery shell after Excalibur?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@thehistoryguy That Soviets defeated Germans on their own and UK + USA efforts were irrelevant

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@BO3673 @christiancalgie If this is what you care about, then you must admit that it's not really a much better situation in England is it? So these people are just going to stay in Scotland and moan about the taxes, which is probably what they were doing before anyway.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@thinkdefence What is the realistic probability of UK actualy mass producing this "Orlan Drone Interceptor"?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ArmandDoma They're perfectly safe They're statistically safer than other cars They weren't safe but we've fixed it They aren't safe but we're going to fix it They're not safe but you "don't understand tech" if you think they should be We've sold millions of them - it's your problem

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

9 months

@Archer83Able Those vessels were in dry dock for months. Surely just looking at a satellite photo would be enough to reveal their location?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

8 months

@Empty_America So true. If fact, many Russians thrived during USSR GDP collapse! It was not because of "preps". It was because both before and after collapse they were hustlers.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 year

@jordanschnyc I think this is probably not what contemporary historians would argue.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@Empty_America Even in WW2 both sides could have used chemical weapons much more widely but chose not to

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@Empty_America I like this idea. But my intuition is that somebody who could move to third world and make successful import/export business would succeed 10x more in NYC finance career? People who used to do this had no choice? Like second son who didn’t inherit big English Estate?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@Kevin_Theriaul @lordandyswain @thunderf00t You can even watch him watching it

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@Indian_Bronson Exactly. These "soft kids" are actually learning that this shit is a deadly weapon, and when they get "real jobs" they'll use it on incumbent management (who will be terrified) to get exactly what they want.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ShepherdWales @tomhfh rent has shot up?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

8 months

@RichardHanania Look, the Bayesian priors are damning - we've got trillions of times the computing power we had back then. Do you really expect me to believe mankind hasn't walked on the moon since 1972?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@RealAirPower1 Gulf War 91 was a huge defeat for the US Navy

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@absynot @cremieuxrecueil Did you know 25% of the tanks defending Moscow in 41 were British?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@SwannMarcus89 The major blunder was replacing the very successful "hide and bide" strategy with "wolf warrior" diplomacy They would have quitely grown into absolutely unassailable position had they not done that.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@ElbridgeColby You’re guaranteed to be on the other side of this argument when China copies these tactics over Taiwan…

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@graham025 @barefootboomer Silly way of looking at it. It's like asking: in percentage terms which span of a bridge contributes most to getting your car across a river?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

6 months

@nicholadrummond I prefer @Justin_Br0nk conclusion: if you don't build a force to win and exploit air superiority then you need lots of artillery and infantry and the war becomes very long and expensive.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 month

@echetus It's a bizarre story. As far as I can see they resigned over embezzling a mid range camper van that they "hid" on his mum's drive. How can this be a serious country?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

Immune to jamming or spoofing. Give it a simple job - cross the front lines, identify a train or a truck, crash into it and blow up. American should be supplying Ukraine with thousands of things like these...

Ian Laffey

@ilaffey2

4 months

we designed, 3d printed and built a <$500 drone with that calculates GPS coordinates without a signal using a camera + google maps in 24h

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@ElbridgeColby Fiscal reality? Aid to Ukraine is a fraction of a percent of US GDP. Americans spend the same amount on pet food.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@willis_macp Main reason he is "still an active player" is because he quit ODI team

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

4 months

@TylerGlaiel I build this at higher level of abstraction. Function would return AnswerToQuestion struct. It would have internal state Yes/No/Don’t Know. It has Boolean readonly props Yes, No, YesOrNo, NotYes, NotNo etc This is too verbose for some, but it’s very easy to maintain and debug

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

5 months

@ElbridgeColby What are we thinking this partner will do for the USA? India will never join a US alliance against China or Russia for example.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@DrChrisCombs It won’t make any sense to send humans to Mars for decades. First we should send building materials and thousands of autonomous construction robots.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

7 months

@Empty_America “Anglosphere” is just whatever is happening in the US though? The England football team decided they had to “take a knee” before every game because of George Floyd for example.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

5 months

@PhillipsPOBrien And you get idiots saying Japan shouldn't send Patriots to Ukraine "becuase they need them for China". They are literally shooting down the planes that JSDAF would otherwise have to intercept over Sea of Japan. Incredible money saver!

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

9 months

@Noahpinion Proposing “solar” on its own is not serious. Need to specify solar + storage, or solar + gas backup etc. It’s not clear to me how these are superior to nuclear? Cost maybe, but I believe that if we did nuclear at scale it would be much cheaper

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

5 months

@d_foubert A tiny part of that map is still part of France. Great Britain and Spain are gone completely.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 year

@XiXiDu Policy genius, Sir @nickclegg , now head of "Global Affairs" at Facebook, but then Deputy Prime Minister of the UK, didn't think it was a good idea to build nuclear power stations in 2010 because they "wouldn't be ready until 2021"...

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@mtracey Pro tip: to avoid these "swarms of accusations", occasionally say things that the FSB would disagree with. You could try "On balance, I do actually support giving some military aid to the Ukraine, but I have serious reservations about escalation".

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

3 months

@Empty_America The Chinese ships harassing the West Pacific have “CHINA COAST GUARD” painted on them in huge Latin characters. Most of the ship yard workers probably can’t even read it.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@ElbridgeColby Russia even losing strategic bombers now. Not really "obvious" how this makes them stronger?

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 years

@mtracey Ceasefire calls which Russia has completely ignored. Not surprising then that none of those countries recognise Russia's annexations as legitimate.

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

1 year

@traderstacy254 @heyBarsee She got six fingers

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Peter Lakewood

@PeterLakewood

2 months

@heatloss1986 Tech enthusiasts fall for this con The controls are only on touchscreens because it’s cheap to do that.

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