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Crémieux

@cremieuxrecueil

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I write about genetics, 'metrics, and demographics. Read my long-form writing at .

Earth
Joined March 2023
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
18 days
As of today, I've had Twitter for one year and one month! I'm thankful that 86,900 of you have decided to follow me since I started posting here, and I can only hope your numbers keep growing. Now it's monthly review time!
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
3 months
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Crémieux
1 month
Paleo artists often "shrink wrap" fossilized animal depictions The T-Rex, Utahraptor, Triceratops—popular depictions of each of these animals shows skin so close to bone that it might be unrealistic So let's shrink-wrap existing animals🧵 Can you guess what this is?
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
11 months
George Costanza was able to pull an endless sequence of stunningly beautiful women for casual sex while being short and bald, dressing like shit, and living with his parents. This was considered normal in the 90s when the show began.
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@wiz_train
financial wizard in training ✝️🇺🇸
2 years
The Simpsons own this home on a single salary from a husband who didn't go to college This was considered normal in the 90s when the show began
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
9 months
This is the East Asian circle of life
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Crémieux
2 months
I think this is my new favorite visualization of contributions to total NATO defense spending.
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Crémieux
1 month
France's national railway company pulled out of bidding for the high-speed rail contract in California in 2011. They said the state was awful to work in and they preferred to work somewhere less dysfunctional. So they went to North Africa.
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@Noahpinion
Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦
1 month
YOU CANNOT BUILD EVEN ONE SINGLE MILE OF HIGH-SPEED RAIL
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
2 months
In 2008, Swiss authorities arrested Gaddafi's son for beating his servants. His response was to propose the G8 dissolve Switzerland as a country.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
19 days
I can see one reason why Trump's hush-money trial won't be going anywhere.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
5 months
This is such a great chart for showing off how good economists have gotten at stabilizing the economy.
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Crémieux
2 months
Once again, it's only a few people doing the vast majority of the crimes.
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Crémieux
7 months
Elon's Twitter acquisition has majorly impacted the public perception of this event. Millions have been exposed to unfiltered gore for days on end and millions more have seen left-wing people and groups they respected totally discredit themselves by supporting Hamas. Worth it.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
10 months
When We Get Back Home was a humorous Japanese occupation-era comic series depicting what American soldiers would do when they returned from their time in Japan. The series is an excellent glimpse into how Americans viewed Japan. Here's a thread of some of my favorite panels.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
2 months
James "The Adonis" Polk ran on the promise he would achieve his agenda in one term and not run again. He then achieved his agenda and did not run again. But imagine if he had achieved his dream.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
1 month
@deverac_ This was drawn by some Japanese guy.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
7 months
This is a pretty large effect! TL;DR: People whose work is graded later tend to be graded more harshly. If your grading order is alphabetical, that'll unduly penalize people with alphabetically-later surnames.
@SarahHBana
Sarah Bana
7 months
What a great paper - with 30m Canvas records, they find that LMS design leads to disparities in grading.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
15 days
Does diversity make teams work better? Apparently not! A new, comprehensive preregistered meta-analysis found that, whether the diversity was demographic, cognitive, or occupational, its relationship with performance was near-zero.
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Crémieux
4 months
The New York times has just published a story supporting standardized testing. Thread
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
2 months
You have lived to see a man-made miracle beyond your comprehension
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Crémieux
1 month
Oregon has recriminalized hard drugs.
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Crémieux
4 months
American testers: We had a breach. Ten people's SAT scores from 1989 got leaked. We are so sorry. Indian testers: LOOK AT THE SMARTEST BOY AND GIRL
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
4 months
Vaccines are great. Here are some examples. Polio: after the vaccine came out, polio in the U.S. was quickly eradicated.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
8 months
Every so often, someone updates this plot and we get to see, again, just how bad the Brazilian murder rate is.
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Crémieux
7 months
Novo Nordisk is ending their trial of Ozempic for chronic kidney disease after finding overwhelming evidence that it works!
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Crémieux
29 days
In case you're not sold on genetically engineered Streptococcus mutans for preventing cavities, be aware, it also seems to eliminate morning breath.
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Crémieux
1 month
Remember: the previous president of the United States disproved the idea that looking at the sun for a few moments will blind you.
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Crémieux
1 month
This was when we achieved AGI
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Crémieux
1 year
"Food deserts" are a good example of social scientists getting causality backwards They saw poor people eating unhealthy foods and blamed local supply. They should have blamed demand Using data from 13 years of supermarket entries, there's basically no effects on healthy eating
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Crémieux
1 year
German researchers gathered a large sample of healthy men and women, and also 60 elite female athletes. Their goal? To test their strength. The results? 90% of women were weaker than 95% of men. The strongest elite female athlete in their sample was at the male 58th percentile.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
5 months
Letting kids skip grades gives them more time to live their lives. Gifted adolescents who were allowed to skip grades earned more doctorates, published more papers, and filed more patents, and they did so at earlier ages. We need more grade skipping.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
8 months
The adoption of cellphones by Keralan fishermen is, I believe, the most stunning example of the contribution of information technology to market performance. Take a look at this graph for background: in three different regions of Kerala, phones were adopted at different times.…
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
2 months
Have you ever wondered why advertisements heavily feature Black people when they're only 12-14% of the U.S. population? A new paper might have an explanation: Blacks have a strong preference for seeing other Black people in media, whereas Whites have no racial preferences.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
10 months
PNAS recently published what is hands-down the most detailed study of the relationship between measured personality and intelligence Let's go through it First up: Neuroticism and the General Factor of Personality Intelligence is negatively related to uneven temper and anxiety!
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Crémieux
8 months
I found more detailed breakdowns of graduate student abilities by field! I see the results for History of Science, Finance, and Comparative Literature as the most surprising.
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Crémieux
5 months
In 2015, El Salvador was one of the most dangerous countries in the world with a homicide rate of 103. This year, they were practically as safe as Canada. To replicate these results in your country, follow these two steps: 1. Lock up criminals 2. Keep them locked up It works!
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Crémieux
8 months
When I first saw this graph, the main thing that stood out to me was that Japan has the world's least spicy food. Even Brits eat spicier food.
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Crémieux
2 months
Are you a fan of Tokyo? Then let me introduce you to America's Tokyo. It's called Atlanta! It has the same temperature range as Tokyo:
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Crémieux
8 months
El Salvador is beating homicide rate projections made in May of this year. They are on track for their safest year ever, and all it took was locking up their criminals. As of June, Nayib Bukele has a 92.9% approval rating, 90.9% reelection support, and 92.4% crackdown support.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
1 year
Let's check in on El Salvador, home of the world's highest homicide rate just eight years ago. From January 1st to April 30th, there were only 51 homicides, making the homicide count 85.3% lower than it was over the same period in 2022.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
4 months
Words known better by women than men and vice-versa.
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Crémieux
17 days
This Wikipedia article contains a falsehood (highlighted) that the tweet below shows to be wrong. Editors don't seem to consider a link to the tweet as admissible evidence that the page is built around an obvious falsehood. Wikipedia really needs to oust bad faith editors.
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@St_Rev
St. Rev. Dr. Rev ⏭️☯️🏴😻
10 years
Wow. The Onion's AV Club just turned into a pile of hot garbage. Who is behind the ongoing enshittification of web design?
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Crémieux
9 months
One of the best pieces every published in The Atlantic is this 97-year-old piece by "A Woman Resident in Russia". In it, she described the chaos that resulted when Communists destroyed the institution of marriage. Let's read about what happened when Soviets ruined marriage🧵
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Crémieux
2 months
Who's getting married to whom in America?
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
23 days
Recommended reading
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@rSanti97
Santi Ruiz
29 days
One quarter of all kidneys from organ donors get thrown in the trash. At Statecraft, we uncovered why a corrupt monopolist has managed organ procurement for 40 years, and how it’s getting fixed.
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Crémieux
23 days
How long is your tax code on a scale from Switzerland to America? 🧵
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
10 months
The man holding this squid is Bajau, a member of an Austronesian ethnic group known to spend their lives living on the water. Bajau have an amazing adaptation: they can stay underwater for a very long time. Thanks to chubby seals and Korean pearl divers, we know why.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
1 month
Preemptive note: All of this artwork is from C.M. Koseman, whose book (which is way more extensive than this thread) and some other material is linked at the end of the thread. The last animal was a rhinoceros—the thing with the cooling heat sail! Any idea what this animal is?
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Crémieux
5 months
This is incredible. Researchers in Russia just found evidence of stone age military fortifications made by hunter-gatherers. In some places, defensive forts might have preceded agriculture! Here's an aerial view🧵
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
2 months
Some people haven't yet learned that the ability to digest lactose as an adult is incredibly uncommon outside of Europe. Here's a map of the percentage of adults who can do it:
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
6 months
Stalin sent millions of people to the Gulag. Among them were the "Enemies of the people"—the bourgeois educated elite. Despite having everything taken from them, their descendants are more educated than their peers today. Short🧵
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
3 months
What happened when Portland embraced depolicing? People died.
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Crémieux
2 months
Daily reminder: Nixon wanted to be the American Messmer, constructing a fleet of 1,000 nuclear plants, making American a clean country from then all the way through to today.
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@olliemilman
Oliver Milman
2 months
The 2021 closure of Indian Point nuclear plant in New York was hailed as a huge win by environmentalists. But there's been a sting in the tail - NY's emissions have since gone up. “This has been a cautionary tale," an expert told me about the clean energy transition
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Crémieux
2 months
Incredible stat: the 1% of male adoptees with biological parents who had three+ convictions were responsible for 30% of the sample's convictions. Crime is very concentrated.
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Crémieux
1 month
Who had "The first class of drugs that works for weight loss is also the first class of drugs that stops neurodegeneration"?
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Crémieux
5 months
What happens when you assign groups of people to - Exercise without steroids - Exercise with steroids - Not exercise without steroids - Not exercise with steroids The guys who take steroids and don't exercise gain more muscle than the guys who exercise without steroids!
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
6 months
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@JohnathanPerk
Jay P
6 months
To racists, affirmative action [was] Black people taking more-qualified white jobs. To them, by definition, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson was not the “objective” best for SCOTUS. And yet in vital ways Justice Jackson is MORE qualified than her colleagues—Her Honor has had to be.
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Crémieux
6 months
This is the typical pattern: the more obsessed a field is with ethics, the less ethical it is.
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@RamFishman
Ram Fishman
6 months
The campus debate on the #IsraelHamasWar is also Humanities vs. STEM + Econ. @Columbia faculty issued two open letters, one defending and one condemning students' defense of Hamas. Here are their affiliations.
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Crémieux
1 month
That metal-breaker was a hippopotamus. This pack-hunting animal has a killer stare and wields a set of five switchblade claws on its forefeet. What might it be?
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
9 months
Between 2003 and 2006, 57 schools in Perth were enrolled into an infant simulator intervention designed to reduce teen pregnancy rates. The program backfired and the girls exposed to the fake infants were more likely to get pregnant in the five years after the intervention.
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Crémieux
8 months
Check out this German Empire poster about the establishment of German Samoa in 1899. "Hurray! Samoa is ours!"
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Crémieux
1 month
The last picture was of a cow. What about this monster? Its jaws can crush a steel car.
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Crémieux
6 months
Here's a chart of interest rates over seven centuries. But something stands out: Where are all the Jewish loans? Jews have had a reputation for making loans for centuries, but this analysis explicitly omits them. The reason is simple: Jewish loans were different. Short🧵
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Crémieux
9 months
Remember that time economists used a gravity model to find ancient lost cities from the Bronze Age? If you do or you don't, check out this thread🧵
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Crémieux
5 months
Crazy how all of history's "intergenerational trauma" came into existence in the last decade.
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Crémieux
1 month
That last one might seem to be a dog, but it's actually a horse. It's not so clear what this graceful beast might be.
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Crémieux
1 month
That was the house cat. This one's a bit more mysterious, and clearly adapted to be a stealthy predator, right?
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Crémieux
9 months
MATH FACT This is the optimal way to pack sixteen squares into a larger one
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Crémieux
7 months
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Crémieux
7 months
The FBI has finally released crime statistics for 2022! Let's have a short thread. First thing's first, here's how recent violent crime trends look:
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Crémieux
8 months
There are a lot of shocking things about Japanese culture, but the idea that visiting a prostitute isn't widely considered to be "cheating" has to be among the most shocking.
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
10 months
Show me some of your favorite pro-American images. I'll start:
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Crémieux
5 months
Amazing. A while back, it was found that, among Russian ministers, obesity and corruption were associated. Then it was found that, across countries, corruption and public officials' BMIs were associated. Now, an anti-corruption campaign inadvertently reduced officials' BMIs!
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@JonathonPSine
Jonathon P Sine
5 months
An unconventional approach to measuring the impact of Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign: "We find that the anti-corruption campaign significantly decreased the BMI and overweight rates of pubic sector employees."
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Crémieux
2 months
This is an interesting prospect. TL;DR: If you qualify, a company will freeze your eggs for free, but they keep half the eggs.
@KylerCora
cora
2 months
i'm scared .. what's the catch
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Crémieux
2 months
This study should be retracted, both for issues the authors can address and issues with the underlying data. Short thread.
@SteveStuWill
Steve Stewart-Williams
2 months
Exercise can be more effective than antidepressants for depression... and it's about as effective as therapy.
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Crémieux
8 months
France used to be the "China of Europe"—1 in 25 people globally was French and 1 in 5 Europeans was French. Now, France is smaller than Germany and virtually identical in population to Britain Why? Thanks to some wonderful new work, we probably know the answer!🧵
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Crémieux
4 months
Are you ready for the American Century?
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Crémieux
10 months
Von Neumann, who described himself to the Senate as "violently anti-Communist and much more militaristic than the norm", responded to Oppenheimer saying Manhattan Project scientists had "known sin" with the reply "Sometimes someone confesses a sin in order to take credit for it."
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
5 months
With the latest PISA results, America has proven once again that it has one of the smartest populations and, perhaps, the best education systems. American Asians and Whites topped the charts; American Hispanics beat all other Hispanics; American Blacks did well. 🧵 Means first
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Crémieux
1 month
If you guessed that was a spider monkey, kudos to you. Future paleontologists might consider it an arboreal variation on humans, its cursorial relatives. What of this one? It's not clear to future paleontologists if it's quadrupedal or bipedal.
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Crémieux
1 month
How we think about ancient animals is probably distorted by a tendency to shrink wrap their depictions and a desire to find function in form. But much of what we observe in animals today, we still can't explain. Skin also drags, and feathers and fur abound (but not universally).
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Crémieux
4 months
Rice University has a course called "Afrochemistry" where students will "apply chemical tools and analysis to understand Black life in the U.S."
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Crémieux
3 months
It's pretty clear that gay men beat a potential monkeypox crisis by getting vaccinated. By not being vaccine hesitant, they caused a pandemic to peak and recede in under a year's time.
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Crémieux
1 month
That's the toad, which paleontologists might consider to be a long-legged forest ambler. Any idea what this one is? Without preserved feathers, guessing might be hard!
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@cremieuxrecueil
Crémieux
8 months
Have you ever wondered why America has such a high incarceration rate? If you weren't even aware of that fact, consider this graph from Prison Policy: To understand why America is like this, consider that, when Stalin died, Beria released more than a million non-political…
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Crémieux
2 months
This paper was finally accepted! TL;DR: The Communists persecuted intellectuals, but the intellectuals persisted. The areas the Soviets sent those "Enemies of the People" to are more successful today, with higher GDPs, more profitable firms, and greater average wages. Short🧵
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@AEAjournals
AEA Journals
2 months
Forthcoming in AEJ: Macroeconomics: "Enemies of the People" by Gerhard Toews and Pierre-Louis Vézina.
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Crémieux
3 months
Men and women agreed: the biggest green flag in a partner is reading. When it came to red flags, they disagreed. For men, the biggest red flag was being a communist; for women, it was being a MAGA Republican.
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Crémieux
1 month
That was an iguana, and due to fur being found on other small vertebrates like rats, it's assumed to have fur too. Who's this courser?
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Crémieux
3 months
I'm not sure where he got this idea. Tests from 2022 and 2023 supported - An Asian mean IQ of 106 - A Hispanic mean IQ of 90 - A Black mean IQ of 84
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@whstancil
Will Stancil
3 months
Race science creeps don't care that their data is decades old and heavily debunked, that gaps they treated as innate have magically closed. They're not interested in the truth of anything. They just want some statistical talisman to wave around and say "See! Black people dumb!"
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Crémieux
1 month
That's a python, and it might be assumed to have feet to support its body, much like the lizards its skeleton resembles. After all, we only have fragmentary remains! Who's this guy?
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Crémieux
1 month
If you guessed the "Swan" and the "Tadpole" (mistakenly believed to be a form of fish), then you were right. What about this cute little predator?
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Crémieux
1 month
Huberman promoted a lot of studies that were clearly p-hacked. As it turns out, a large portion of all the papers in various fields are p-hacked. A clear indication of this fact is that the proportions of all significant results which are between 0.05 and 0.01 are enormous.
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Crémieux
10 months
The Coolidge Effect is the observation that males have greater sexual responsiveness to and lower sexual refractory periods for multiple females. The name comes from an old joke: President Coolidge and his wife were being separately toured around a government farm. Mrs.…
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Crémieux
12 days
Because TikTok is controlled by the Chinese Communist Party, they suppress topics that are politically sensitive in China. 🧵
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Crémieux
1 month
If you guessed "Vulture", you're correct. But you probably didn't guess that! You almost certainly won't guess this one.
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Crémieux
1 month
That was a rabbit, but we wouldn't know it because posture is poorly preserved in fossils! Now this one is simultaneously reassuring and disheartening. What might it be?
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Crémieux
7 months
This is a great way to see just how much nothing has been happening in the Russia-Ukraine war.
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Crémieux
1 month
There's an eclipse coming next week. The covered area is visible via AirBnB.
@mikesimonsen
Mike Simonsen 🐉
1 month
This is incredible. From @Jamie_Lane where AirBnBs are fully booked next week.
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Crémieux
1 month
That's a manatee. Remember, habitats change. A sea creature might be found in what's now a forested mountain. We might also only have remains like skulls. This guy has a balloon-like facial sac. What might he be?
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Crémieux
10 months
Only one Supreme Court Justice has ever led the NFL in rushing yards
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@kynakwado
Kyle D.
10 months
It's hilarious how transparently obvious it is that this graphic was constructed by working backward from Brown Jackson's resume and evaluating how Brown Jackson-y the other judges are. Also unsure why private HS is a minus, but Ivy League law school is a plus.
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Crémieux
1 month
That was a species of casque-headed hornbill, and paleontologists might suspect they use the casque for mating rituals. But we don't even know what they do with them in many cases today! How's about this twofer? Note predator and prey:
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Crémieux
4 months
This is pretty incredible. More recent birth cohorts have greater cranial volumes, more gray matter, and larger hippocampuses. Newer generations have bigger brains!
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Crémieux
3 months
We've seen state-level IQs, but what about American IQs at the county level?
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Crémieux
3 months
Which U.S. state is the smartest? Which one tops the health metrics? Which one has the best handle on crime? Let's start with smarts. New Hampshire clocks in with the highest mean IQ!
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