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Jonathan Heathcote Profile
Jonathan Heathcote

@Jonheathcote

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English economist at the Minneapolis Fed.

Minneapolis, MN
Joined November 2015
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
New/old paper with Hitoshi Tsujiyama now forthcoming. Paper tackles an old question – the shape of the optimal income tax schedule. Should marginal rates be flat (Friedman / Mirrlees), U-shaped in income (Diamond / Saez) or increasing (actual tax code)? 1/
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 months
The US is heavily dependent on immigrant STEM talent.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
11 months
@achenfinance It’s terrible. Has Harvard apologized? Next they must end legacy admissions — equally embarrassing.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Vincenzo Quadrini and I organized a special issue of RED to celebrate the 25th anniversary of "Frontiers of Business Cycle Research," a book edited by Tom Cooley in 1995. Please take a look! 1/3
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
Has any economy shrunk by more than Puerto Rico's over the past 20 years?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Monetary policy protip: it is Fed, not FED.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
The benefits of economic growth.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
95.7% of people who have died from COVID in the US have been over 50. It is wrong to be vaccinating healthy 20, 30 and 40 year-olds when many people in their 50s, 60s, and 70s have yet to be vaccinated. The UK and a few US states (CT) are doing it right. Most US states are not.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Super happy four awesome economists are joining the Research Department at the Minneapolis Fed next year: Jennifer La'O @jensqu4r3d , Michael Waugh, Christian Moser, and Kyle Herkenhoff. Also excited Andrew Goodman-Bacon @agoodmanbacon & Illenin Kondo are joining OIGI Institute
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
9 months
@RobinBrooksIIF Your plot obscures the fact that Ecuador has grown slightly faster than Argentina and Brazil (and the US).
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
@EricTopol @OurWorldInData This is Hong Kong compared to the US.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Annoying that the US and other rich countries didn't immediately buy COVID vaccines for the entire developing world population. The vaccines are cheap, and it would have been fantastic foreign policy as well as domestic public health policy. Still not too late to help.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
@MaxCRoser US looks better by deaths, which are more consistently measured.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Glover, Krueger, Rios-Rull and I have a new paper on the optimal economic policy response to COVID-19. We focus on differential implications of shutdowns by age and sector, and study the joint optimal shutdown and redistribution policy. Comments welcome!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
Andy Atkeson, Fabrizio Perri and I have extensively revised our paper, “The End of Privilege: A Re-examination of the Net Foreign Asset Position of the United States”. New version is here: I’m excited to tell you a bit about it. 1/7
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
I was teaching this morning, and super impressed with my students who are surviving an Econ PhD, at Minnesota, during COVID, with 300 consecutive hours below 0'F. Hang in there! Life is all downhill from here!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Thread on new project with Andy Atkeson and @fabrizio_perri on the unprecedented decline in the US net foreign asset position over the past decade. What has driven this decline? What are the welfare consequences? 1/7
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 months
First day of my month at @ScPoEcon . I’m excited to be here.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
9 months
@NateSilver538 @phl43 Have you ever visited France?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Three of the tallest economists at #SED_2022
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 months
Call for papers! As part of the NBER's Summer Institute, @raquel1fernan Roland Bénabou and I are organizing the "Inequality and Macroeconomics" workshop on July 16-17, 2024. Submission deadline is March 21. Please submit here:
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen making a case for allowing economists at central banks to belong to the NBER. I’m in favor!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
@leah_boustan We should be cautious, because there are clear border effects for testing rates. So are we picking up differential testing, or true differential disease incidence?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Vincenzo Quadrini and I are stepping down as Coordinating Editors at RED. It was a good experience, but a lot of work. Vincenzo was a fantastic partner. Also, all the other editors and associate editors were just great. I’m very excited Loukas has agreed to take over!
@SEDmeeting
SED Meeting
4 years
The RED has a new Coordinating Editor, welcome Loukas Karabarbounis! #RevEconomicDynamics
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
24 days
My views, concisely, on this. 1. Tax incidence is messy., but @gabriel_zucman ‘s current assumption is reasonable in my view and is consistent with other recent work. See e.g. 2. I don’t agree with excluding the EITC when measuring tax rates. In fact I
@PhilWMagness
Phil Magness
25 days
🧵Thread on @gabriel_zucman 's claim that billionaires pay a lower tax rate than the average American, as published in yesterday's @nytimes . The short version: Zucman manipulates his data to fit a pro-tax political narrative. You can see this by comparing to his own earlier work.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
This is a paper with Storesletten and @glviolante on optimal age-variation in taxation, where the planner balances competing concerns: (1) inequality increases with age => case for more progressive taxes on the old. 1/4
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Tribute to Emmanuel Farhi - Jean Tirole - Econometric Society World Congress | TSE
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 months
I was very happy to contribute a bit toward this fantastic project by writing a chapter on fiscal policy with @KStoresletten and @mazzimon77 . The chapter is on the book website here:
@mazzimon77
marina azzimonti
3 months
We had this crazy idea to create a PhD macro textbook . It's still a work in progress, write to me w/ feedback/typos/ideas. @alisdairmckay @ToshiMukoyama @KrusellPer
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
If your research relates to inequality, please apply to visit the Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute at the Minneapolis Fed. Visits can be short or year long. It's a great research environment! Deadline for applications is Feb 15. Please share!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
New paper with @ZhifengC now forthcoming. We argue that rising income inequality is the main explanation for the dramatic observed growth in college tuition over the last 30 years.
@AEAjournals
AEA Journals
3 years
Forthcoming in the AER: "College Tuition and Income Inequality" by Zhifeng Cai and Jonathan Heathcote.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 months
@LeeHepner For every uber / Lyft driver in Minneapolis, working for Uber or Lyft was the best available job. For every rider, taking Uber or Lyft was the best available ride option. Every single Uber or lyft ride left both the driver and the rider better off — if it had not, either the
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
My colleague Jim Schmitz works on monopolies. He argues persuasively that they are much worse than you think, with lots of interesting examples.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
8 months
I have a new paper with @ZhifengC about quits and optimal unemployment insurance: Should workers who quit their jobs be entitled to UI benefits? In many countries they are; in the US they typically are not. Is there a reason to
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
10 months
@CharlesCMann That is nothing really to be proud of. The UK has reduced emissions to the level of 1860, and the level is one third that of the US.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
This is good advice. Equivalently: work on the paper that is closest to being finished. Which usually amounts to: work on the paper that you are least excited about. No-one actually does this — that would mean writing one paper at a time. But still, good advice.
@kmpjones
Kelly Jones
4 years
Advice from Duflo: If you have an R&R, drop everything else and attend to it. If you have a conditional accept, drop everything including your R&R's and send in the files. And treat a reject and resubmit just like a revise and resubmit #CSWEP #firesidechats
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Apparently I have been at the Fed for 15 years.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
Nice post emphasizing that inflation is not sticky in New Keynesian models, so standard intuition about how they work is wrong.
@JohnHCochrane
John Cochrane
1 year
The Grumpy Economist: How do interest rates lower inflation?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
I saw some great papers at the SED. One by @cristinarellano Amador and Aguiar. They take an Aiyagari economy, with proportional taxes, debt and LS transfers. They show that when the equilibrium interest rate is negative, one can construct Pareto improving tax reforms!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
8 months
@zoeschlanger @TheAtlantic I’d like to know why Phoenix is the fastest growing city in the US, even though it is crazy hot, and why the Miami housing market is booming, even though the city may soon be under water.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
26 days
First time on Spotify! You can listen to me talking to @cfarrellecon about my work with @_jofleck @KStoresletten and @glviolante on differences in taxation across U.S. states for @HellerHurwicz
@HellerHurwicz
Heller-Hurwicz Economics Institute
26 days
The federal income tax code is progressive. Now, we all know that, but what about state and local taxes? How progressive are they? And how much does progressivity vary among the states? Economist Jonathan Heathcoat investigates: listen here 👇👇
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 months
@ATabarrok They rebuilt the I35 bridge in Minneapolis in 13 months at a cost of 250m in 2007-08. I would recommend using the same company — Flatiron Construction.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
6 years
@Ocasio2018 @IlhanMN @AyannaPressley @RashidaTlaib It is important to remember that healthcare and college are expensive to provide. Someone has to pay for their provision, so they cannot be "free" to everyone. And it seems reasonable, for example, that people who attend college pay the cost rather than people who do not attend.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
A lot of awesome names on this list, especially (for macro) Manuel Amador, Chris Edmond, Chad Jones, Greg Kaplan, Matthias Doepke, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Nicola Fuchs-Schundeln, Martin Schneider, probably others I missed.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Congratulations to Job Boerma for a very successful defense!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
A simple tip for all research economists. Do not (exclusively) post links to journal versions of your articles, or to NBER versions of your working papers. Lots of people won't be able to access them, and fewer people will get to read and cite your work.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
6 months
@cristinarellano and I wrote a paper, a long time ago, about one possible benefit of dollarizing. The idea is that, once dollarized, a country cannot use monetary policy, via seigniorage, to respond to fluctuations in spending needs. Thus, preserving access to international
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
@sc_cath Good question. No one who cannot answer it should be advocating for a wealth tax.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
@arpitrage Isn’t the answer Africa for everyone?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Great news!
@M_De_Nardi
Mariacristina De Nardi
4 years
I am thrilled that Kjetil Storesletten will be joining the Economics department at the University of Minnesota as the Fink Professor of Economics!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
9 months
Our original COVID paper is finally published, and available ungated here. In the final version we introduced an analytically tractable model of optimal redistribution through taxes, transfers, and government debt. We show that the extent of optimal shutdowns is quite sensitive
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 years
The three tallest and most beautiful economists at the NTA conference. ( @Abdounomics Jon Boerma, and me)
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
For those (still) interested in COVID, shutdowns, unemployment, redistribution through taxes & transfers, vaccines etc, @andyecon , Krueger, Rios-Rull and I have drastically revised and updated our Health versus Wealth paper:
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Javier is working for all of us!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Check out this awesome new issue of RED. There is something for everyone!
@SEDmeeting
SED Meeting
3 years
Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume 42 (October 2021) is out! Read it here: @RevEconDyn
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
This is very very sad. I knew Tom from Penn, co-taught with him at Stern, and worked recently with him and Vincenzo on a special issue of RED to commemorate his revolutionary Frontiers of Business Cycles book. He was wonderful as an economist and a friend.
@lee_ohanian
Lee E. Ohanian
3 years
So sad to say that my PhD adviser, Tom Cooley, passed away yesterday after a battle with heart disease, which he had fought his entire adult life. A wonderful and loving person, an exceptional economist, and a great friend, Tom will be deeply missed, but never forgotten.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
I wrote a summary for Vox of my paper with Andy Atkeson and @fabrizio_perri on the dramatic decline in the US net foreign asset position.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 years
Conference tomorrow at Penn to celebrate 25th anniversary of "Frontiers of Business Cycle Research" edited by Tom Cooley.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 months
City I dislike: St Paul City I think is overrated: St Paul City I like: Minneapolis City I love: Minneapolis City I feel most myself in: Minneapolis City I still need to visit: St Paul City I dream of living in: Minneapolis
@ProfJAParker
Jonathan A. Parker
5 months
City I dislike: Chelmsford City I think is overrated: Brookline City I like: Somerville City I love: Boston City I feel most myself in: Newton City I still need to visit: Taunton City I dream of living in: Wellfleet
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Huge loss for the NY Fed and the Fed System.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Another great issue. And Robert Barro finally gets a paper published in RED!
@RevEconDyn
Review of Economic Dynamics
3 years
Volume 39 (January 2021) is out! Learn about rare events, involuntary unemployment, production networks, inter-dealer trades, sectoral labor productivity, unobserved heterogeneity and skill loss, and much more. Don't miss it!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
@1954swilliamson It’s horrible. Hate how some people only want to put economic ideas and economists into partisan boxes.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
People complain about gas prices, but gas in the US is pretty cheap. Suppose your car gets 35mpg and you drive 35 miles per day. You need 1 gallon of gas per day, which is about $3.50. About the same price as a latte at Starbucks. Less than the cost of public transport.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
I discussed a very nice paper by @TitanAlon , Kim, @LagakosDavid and VanVuren on the impact of Covid-19 across the world income distribution at the IMF Annual Research Conference in November. David's presentation and my discussion (at minute 25) are here:
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
@FlorinBilbiie AEJ Macro is for macro papers, AER is for micro papers. AEJ Micro, AEJ Applied and AEJ Policy are for more micro papers.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Zhifeng Cai and I have updated our paper on college tuition. The message is that the main driver of tuition growth since 1990 is widening income inequality.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 years
If you looking to hire in macro / labor this year, you should be on the Job market. Because Job Boerma is fantastic! Here is his webpage: Let me know if you would like to know more.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
A graphic nicely illustrating the massive racial discrimination against Asian students at Harvard.
@michelletandler
Michelle Tandler
2 years
Harvard is nixing the ACTs & SATs through 2026 and when you look at these charts it's pretty easy to understand why.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
@BBCNews This is a poor article. If we vaccinate everyone with a 90% effective vaccine the virus will quickly die out.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Egor explores optimal taxation of single and married couples. Should the US move to tax at the individual rather than household level? Egor finds the answer is no, but married couples should be taxed in a less progressive way than singles.
@HellerHurwicz
Heller-Hurwicz Economics Institute
3 years
Candidate @egor_malkov looks at "Optimal Income Taxation of Singles and Couples." His research agenda centers on topics in macroeconomics, labor economics, and public economics. Egor's advisors are @fatihguvenen , Larry Jones, and Fabrizio Perri.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
11 months
Impressively long check in line at the Sonesta
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Our work on the distributional effects of shutdowns
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 years
@dynarski They are absolutely top notch economists. But their argument is primarily moral and political rather than economic. They simply want a society in which there are no very rich people.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
Awesome Simon is sticking with us!
@Simon_Mongey
Simon Mongey
1 year
Incredibly excited to join the @MinneapolisFed Research Division in a permanent position. Between the Fed and the U, this is a truly remarkable environment for a macroeconomist. We're thrilled to be here. Thanks to all that have made it happen.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
6 years
This is extremely generous. But likely not the best use of money. Returns to early childhood education are likely much larger. Also, the research Bloomberg references shows that elite private schools are not the best engines of upward social mobility.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 month
@FOX9 @MayorFrey I don’t know about the foot traffic statistics, but the crime numbers in the article are wrong. Robberies are up 25 percent year on year. Homicides are flat, it down. (I’m looking at the Minneapolis crime dashboard).
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Old and young disagree about the optimal size and duration of shutdowns, as do workers vulnerable to shutdown versus essential workers. When redistribution is costly, disagreement is especially acute, and more moderate shutdowns are better
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Another great issue of RED!
@RevEconDyn
Review of Economic Dynamics
4 years
The October Volume is out! Great papers that you don’t want to miss:
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
@JonSteinsson Yours is a nice essay Jon. But it’s not as though we didn’t know MPCs were big in heterogeneous agent models till HANK came along. My dissertation was on that topic. I agree that monetary economics was late to heterogeneity, but not so much macro in general.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Disgraceful
@robin_j_brooks
Robin Brooks
2 years
EU imports of Russian Energy 1. Oil: Jan - May 21: €25 bn Jan - May 22: €43 bn => +71% 2. Gas: Jan - May 21: €6 bn Jan - May 22: €21 bn => +260% 3. Coal: Jan - May 21: €1.5 bn Jan - May 22: €4.0 bn => +170% You wouldn't know there's a terrible war in Ukraine...
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 years
Many people seem to be arguing that (1) shutdowns matter very little if at all for economic activity and (2) shutdowns matter a lot for reducing COVID infection and mortality. These two views are inconsistent.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Johannes is a great student -- & co-author! His exciting JMP is about variation across US states in MPCs out of stimulus checks (a la @ProfJAParker & Souleles). He correlates this variation with cross-state variation in tax progressivity & connects the two in a structural model.
@EUI_ECO
Economics at EUI
2 years
Johannes Fleck's job market paper shows that fiscal policies of US state governments determine the household consumption response to stimulus payments 👉 #EconJobMarket #EconTwitter #EUI
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 months
NBER Inequality and Macro submission deadline is this Thurs March 21, midnight. 👇
@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
4 months
Call for papers! As part of the NBER's Summer Institute, @raquel1fernan Roland Bénabou and I are organizing the "Inequality and Macroeconomics" workshop on July 16-17, 2024. Submission deadline is March 21. Please submit here:
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
The college application essay is the perfect application for ChatGPT. Writing these essays is a painful task, and automating it should allow students to devote more time to their studies. Perhaps ChatGPT can grade the essays too, delivering fairer and more efficient admissions.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
8 months
@zackstephenson I hope you were not coming to run the Marathon.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
10 days
There is apparently a deal in place for Uber and Lyft minimum payments to drivers in Minnesota. The Strib article lays out the per mile and per minute rates, and gives an example in which a driver would make at least $17.45 for a 15 minute trip. The city of Minneapolis initially
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Cookies increase learning by 20%!
@emollick
Ethan Mollick
3 years
Hmmm... maybe student evaluations don't actually measure learning? Sections had the same teachers & curricula, except some were given cookies at the final class. In the class evaluation, teaching scores for the🍪group were much higher & they also reported they learned 20% more!
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
5 months
@MplsWard9 Jason. You voted against funding to recruit and retain police in Minneapolis. Who do you think should be responding to and investigating these violent crimes?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
Current stimulus proposal implies large increases in marginal tax rates for households in the phase-out region. A married household with 2 kids making between $150 and $200k will face around a 10pp higher marginal rate (losing 4*1,400 as income rises from 150 to 200k). 1/2
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
@binarybits But what do these stats even mean? Are all these paycheck to paycheck households contributing zero to 401k’s? Are they building zero home equity? Are they investing nothing in their kids’ educations?
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
3 years
@mdoepke Reminds me of this paper by Boar and Lashkari which argues that children from affluent families tend to choose more fun but less lucrative jobs (eg academia).
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
The latest version of our paper on the US net foreign asset position. We will present it this Friday at the NBER EF&G Winter Meeting , and are looking forward to @helene_rey 's discussion.
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
2 years
Wow. Three awesome hires! We are super sorry to be losing Mark. Congrats St. Louis!
@oksana_leukhina
Oksana Leukhina
2 years
I would like to extend a warm welcome to our three most recent hires: Mark Wright @MarkLJWright (FRB- Minneapolis), Alexander Bick (Arizona State) and Serdar Ozkan @serdarozkanEN (previously Toronto). Welcome aboard @stlouisfed research: .
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@Jonheathcote
Jonathan Heathcote
1 year
Hybrid is always the worst option.
@BachmannRudi
Rudi Bachmann
1 year
The #ASSA2023 is dead. This major policy section on “Economic Shocks, Crises, and their Consequences” once would have been a major event at the ASSA with a full in-person panel. Of the 5 panelists, only 2 are here. The 3 from the sacred zip code did not bother to show up.
6
8
89
3
0
27