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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Profile
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

@FlorinBilbiie

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Max(Micro in Macro) s.t. Tractable Aggregate Demand w/ Heterogeneity/Inequality Aggregate Supply w/ Entry/Variety Monetary & Fiscal Policy #EconTwitter 1st Gen

Cambridge, UK
Joined November 2012
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
1/n "HANK Made Easy" Lecture notes/slides on Macro Policies in THANK (Tractable HANK). Having had to cancel several courses, I am sharing publicly the slides I use to teach TANK and (T)HANK
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
This fully-specified model fits all the observations and thus constitutes a plausible explanation of what's going on.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
True story
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Oldie-goldie 2007 Berkeley graduation speech by Tom Sargent, the best concise summary of econ I read (12 points) "Economics is organized common sense. Here is a short list of valuable lessons that our beautiful subject teaches. 1. Many things that are desirable are not feasible.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
So ... Republic vs Monarchy
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
It then follows immediately/can easily be shown that:
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
How about this for a logo/cover
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
7000 euros per *second*. One million every ~2 minutes. One billion every day and a half. (Thatโ€™s what EU countries pay Russia for gas and oil.)
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
New Paper! "Downward Wage Rigidity Matters" by Lionel Messi
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
A quarter century ago, a student in Romania, this would have sounded like a good (bad?) Aprilโ€™s Fool joke. I am happy, excited and (reverse) humbled to join the University of Cambridge (UK :) ). Enough said. The right words are hard to find, but also hardly needed. 1/3
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Happy to announce I will be replacing Robert Barro as QJE Editor.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
More bragging. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜„ ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—–๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜€๐˜€, ๐˜‘๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜”๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜บ ๐˜Œ๐˜ค๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ค๐˜ด 2020, was selected by the Editors for the ๐—•๐—ฒ๐˜€๐˜ ๐—ฃ๐—ฎ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—”๐˜„๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฑ. This is a personal thread on its genesis and journey. 1/N
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
So people will finally realize Peter Diamond and Doug Diamond are two different people.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
New short paper, "Social Distancing According to TANK": "Assume there are two types of agents. Stay away from both." End.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
"You are an economist? Maybe you can give me some hints about making money." "Oh no, I am very bad at everything that has to do with money--and that's okay for the kind of economics I do." "What kind of economics do you do?" "Monetary economics".
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
9 months
Exciting new paper with Diego Kรคnzig @drkaenzig : โ€œGreed? Profits, Inflation, and Aggregate Demandโ€, studying the interplay of corporate profits & income distribution in shaping inflation and aggregate demand within the New Keynesian framework: CEPR DP 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
5 months
I am incredibly happy, grateful, and honored to receive the Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen Prize for Economics by the Romanian Academy--the highest cultural forum for sciences, arts, and letters in Romania (our version of the โ€œAcadรฉmie Franรงaiseโ€). 1/4
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Thrilled that my paper โ€œNeo-Fisherian Policies and Liquidity Trapsโ€ has just been accepted at the AEJ: Macro. It has been around for ~3 years, but in the making much longer, >10 years ... 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
The sudden realization that the 1st year undergraduate students to whom you are telling about the 2008 Great Recession were like 5-6 year old at the time ...
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
A simple formula for the optimal tax rate ฯ„ (say, on wealth). Set it such that: S(ฯ„)=0, where S(.) is "propensity to go to Space".
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Old news but: "Keynesian" vs "Chicago" is no longer a thing and has not been a thing for some decades (unless" you clearly weren't there"). There is good macro, and there is bad macro.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
11 months
Very rare to see this level of Tayloring nowadays, even on the wealthy.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
You folks go to Italy and (try to) get a taxi, then tell me if Uber is a good or a bad thing.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
PS note the dynamic general-equilibrium nature of it.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Very impressed by @TimTkehoe 's distant first place in this ranking of giants. More than 100 advisees! Impressive and inspiring, especially if you know who some of those are... (poke @MortenORavn @KrusellPer @fabrizio_perri also featured in this top)
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
'Tis that time of year
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Perhaps the Swiss government is trying to increase GDP/capita by decreasing the denominator.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
on closer inspection, the model does seem to have some fishy elements
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
-Dad, why is my sister's name Nadia? -Because your Mom loves gymnastics and there was this gymnast, first 10 in history, etc. -Thank you Dad! -You are welcome, Mas-Colell Whinston Green!
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Laughing dictionary: hahahaha (most languages) ahahahah (Italian) jajajaja (Spanish) xaxaxaxa (Greek) kkkk (Brazilian Portuguese) 5555 (Thai) Do complete
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
Who is washing the Invisible Hand?
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
So yeah, helping vaccinate Africa is in your interest too.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Micro with Macrofoundations: the next frontier.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
You know all these (so many) brilliant Italian economists in the top US and European departments? You can trace most of them back in some way to Alesina, Giavazzi, and Tabellini. Such an enduring intellectual heritage.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
translation: "I am NO Putin fan, but let's be honest: I actually am".
@MazzucatoM
Mariana Mazzucato
2 years
Iโ€™m NO Putin fan, but letโ€™s be honest: What would the United States do if Mexico, on itโ€™s border, joined some sort of Russian and/or Chinese security alliance? โฆ @JeffDSachs โฉ provides wise advice: US should compromise on Nato to save Ukraine.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
There is no well-accepted justification for having such strong opinions on things one knows so manifestly little about. A little modesty would go a long way here.
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@Noahpinion
Noah Smith ๐Ÿ‡๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
200bps rate hike. There is no well-accepted theoretical justification for smoothing interest rate increases. Go directly to the optimal level.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
1/n Need holiday reading? New paper w/ ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐œ ๐Œ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ณ: "๐ด๐‘”๐‘”๐‘Ÿ๐‘’๐‘”๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘’-๐ท๐‘’๐‘š๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐ด๐‘š๐‘๐‘™๐‘–๐‘“๐‘–๐‘๐‘Ž๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘› ๐‘œ๐‘“ ๐‘†๐‘ข๐‘๐‘๐‘™๐‘ฆ ๐ท๐‘–๐‘ ๐‘Ÿ๐‘ข๐‘๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘œ๐‘›๐‘ : ๐‘‡๐˜ฉ๐‘’ ๐ธ๐‘›๐‘ก๐‘Ÿ๐‘ฆ-๐ธ๐‘ฅ๐‘–๐‘ก ๐‘€๐‘ข๐‘™๐‘ก๐‘–๐‘๐‘™๐‘–๐‘’๐‘Ÿ" Slides A Thread
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Ben Bernanke was also a pioneer in the literature on investment under uncertainty (option values, etc.). E.g. this 1983 (!! before Dixit, Pindyck, Bertola etc.) @QJEHarvard article.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Lucas' top five most cited papers. Notice: 1. all single-authored (like much of his work) 2. outlets
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
I hope to live to see the day when this stops happening.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
note 2: the model is pretty linear. It does have (sort of) heterogeneous agents though.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
New Paper! (version โ€ฆ) HALT: Heterogeneous-Agent Liquidity Traps Looks at liquidity traps analytically, using the tractable (T)HANK model I developed in separate work; nests other analytical HANKs too. What does HA do to LT? 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Your password needs to contain 10-20 characters, 1 majuscule, 1 minuscule, 1 number, symbol #*, 1 Cyrillic, 1 Greek letter, 1 Sanskrit, 1 Chinese symbol, 1 hieroglyph, a limerick, a haiku, one of the fundamental equations in math or physics, a theorem, and the Holy Grail.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
I'm not objective, but Diego is objectively a star. Solo AER macro time series, cool (if I may say) JME RR macro theory, widely cited EER w/ micro data during COVID. Outstanding JMP blending all 3 lodes to address 2 hot issues, climate & inequality. Talk to him, you'll see.
@drkaenzig
Diego Kรคnzig
3 years
As the COP26 summit heads into overtime, let me take this opportunity to tell you a bit more about my job market paper: "๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐˜‚๐—ป๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฎ๐—น ๐—ฒ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ฐ ๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—ป๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—พ๐˜‚๐—ฒ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ณ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ฏ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด" JMP link: #EconTwitter
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Warning: bragging Very proud of my 2008 JET paper that introduced the analytical TANK model and happy when it gets recognized. It's the most cited JET published that year Most flattering 22nd all-time most โ€œrelevantโ€ (def below). The company is humbling and somewhat dizzying. 1/2
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Varoufaksplaining: when a Varoufakis fan you just met in Greek taverna explains to you, a professor in macroeconomics, how the economy works, economics is Evil, and all that.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
In light of the Federal Reserveโ€™s recent move towards Price Level Targeting PLT(-ish), a reminder of this paper where I show (among other things) this policyโ€™s virtues in T(ractable)-HANK Two such virtues: 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
When they said "standing on the shoulders of giants" ...
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Positive TFP shock happening as we speak (Facebook, Whatsapp, Instagram down).
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
12. Because market prices aggregate tradersโ€™ information, it is difficult to forecast stock prices and interest rates and exchange rates." That's it. So beautiful. (was reminded of it by a fcbk post reposted by Francesco Lippi)
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Can't help thinking that the tragedy in Ukraine today is a result of a lack of post-communist โ€œnever againโ€ . A lack of acknowledgement of the depth and gravity of the mass tragedy we suffered for decades in that part of the world, and of the correction necessary thereafter. 1/2
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Reminder
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Overly excited to spend the rest of the academic year at Cambridge as a visiting professor and โ€œdirector of researchโ€, starting in January. Looking forward to two productive terms! @Cambridge_Uni @CamEcon @janewayinst
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
Flatten the curve! Source:
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
28 days
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@the_wilderless
River Kenna
29 days
What's a book that changed your life? Not subtly, I'm talking about the lightning strikes
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Stokey and Lucas, with Prescott
@kissyvolkov
elisa
1 year
name a book who destroyed you like that
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Plot twist: the roads meet again beyond the hill, in a place called Macroeconomics.
@KhoaVuUmn
Khoa Vu
1 year
Which way, Western man
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Today is Keynes' death anniversary. And I confess that I did not know, or never noticed, one piece of information that appears here in the Wikipedia page: his height!
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
4. Everyone responds to incentives, including people you want to help. That is why social safety nets donโ€™t always end up working as intended. 5. There are tradeoffs between equality and efficiency.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
10. When a government spends, its citizens eventually pay, either today or tomorrow, either through explicit taxes or implicit ones like inflation. 11. Most people want other people to pay for public goods and government transfers (especially transfers to themselves).
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
Argentina, rotated. Knew it was big, did not realize it was *this* big. Inspired by @JoseILopez 's map for Colombia. (they could have called it "size matters")
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
2. Individuals and communities face trade-offs. 3. Other people have more information about their abilities, their efforts, and their preferences than you do.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Professional announcement: stepping down as (co-)editor of the European Economic Review, EER. Due to personal reasons i.e. other changes that risked impacting my work as editor, it seemed fair that I step down in anticipation. 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
6. In an equilibrium of a game or an economy, people are satisfied with their choices. That is why it is difficult for well meaning outsiders to change things for better or worse.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
Perhaps we should have Nobel: Macro, Nobel: Micro, Nobel: Applied, & Nobel: Econ. Policy (wait, this reminds me of something )
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Why have "economists" not worked on useful stuff like bank runs, liquidity, deposit insurance, etc. Totally your fault, economists.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 months
Humbled to report that I will join MIT as the Germinal Ershtfish endowed chair, starting on Sept 31st 2024.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 months
TANK, HANK, RBC, RANK
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
"Inequality and Business Cycles" Tune in tomorrow Fri 4.30 Boston time, see Giorgio @gprimice present our joint paper with Tamba @tamba_NYC at the NBER SI. Entire program is great (see youtube link) Draft Thread: next week (maybe).
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
I think what Draghi needs to do in Italy now is basically apply the conclusions of Ch. 3 of his 1976 MIT PhD thesis (HT @Undercoverhist ).
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@ULojkine
Ulysse Lojkine
3 years
La thรจse de Draghi, 1976, dirigรฉe par Franco Modigliani. Mesure de la productivitรฉ, thรฉorie de la dรฉvaluation, arbitrage entre court et long terme. cc @Undercoverhist
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
@mckSt3ve Those important extensions are beyond the scope of the current study and left for future research.
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Diego is a fantastic macroeconomist (and still a PhD student!) and this is his first paper. He even managed to put "American Economic Review" in bold italics in a Tweet, that's how good he is :) Lucky to be his coauthor!
@drkaenzig
Diego Kรคnzig
3 years
Very happy to announce that my paper โ€œThe macroeconomic effects of oil supply news: Evidence from OPEC announcementsโ€ has been accepted at the ๐˜ผ๐™ข๐™š๐™ง๐™ž๐™˜๐™–๐™ฃ ๐™€๐™˜๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ข๐™ž๐™˜ ๐™๐™š๐™ซ๐™ž๐™š๐™ฌ. To celebrate, let me briefly summarize the main insights and conclusions (Thread).
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
This Halloween, I will dress as that second-order condition you forgot to check.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
10 months
DYNARE is Nobel-worthy imho. Hard to beat if you think of impact on the profession. (OK I may be a little biased, dearly remember sitting in some of those team meetings at Chevaleret, wondering what language these people were speaking :)) cc @MichelJuillard @DynareTeam
@Undercoverhist
Beatrice Cherrier
10 months
Who create new paradigms in economics? Not just famed theorists & modelers But also lesser-known econs who write computational algorithms & design software @cescoeco , A.Saidi & I wrote a history of how DSGEs became dominant. It's the history of Dynare
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
5 years
1/n Best issue to date ( :) ) of the AEJ Macro is out. Honored to have two papers (by coincidence) in it. One, with @FabioGhironi and Marc Melitz, started in 2004 (!), circulated since 2006, a normative companion to our 2012 JPE; the other, solo, started in 2015. Details follow
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
HANK/TANK -- DSGE -- NK -- RBC
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
You cannot be a macroeconomist without being a microeconomist (too), But you can be a microeconomist without being a macroeconomist.
@besttrousers
Matt Darling ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ—๏ธ
3 years
@wb_thorne @Joshua_Z_Miller @coreeconteam If you aren't a macroeconomist before 20, you have no heart. If you aren't a microeconomist after 20, you have no brains.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Here's to more of this in sports, science, arts etc. -- in life in general. (HT @jmgmoron )
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
I mean after Putin was so severely condemned and sanctioned internationally after the Navalny case, how did Lukashenko think he would get away with this. (Oh wait ...)
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Self-citations be like
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
A little reminder of this Swiss Economists' Open Letter to the federal Government asking for (much) stricter measures in *early November*, 6 weeks ago. Deaths increased 2.5 times since then ...
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Exciting news and times for Economics in Europe! CEPR headquarters moving to Paris. Annual symposium (NBER SI-style) also in Paris -- like many of us have been "asking for" since long. @cepr_org
@cepr_org
CEPR
3 years
CEPR President @bweder announces a major expansion for Europeโ€™s leading Economic Policy Research network. Today in Paris, le Ministรจre de l'Enseignement supรฉrieur, de la Recherche et de l'Innovation (MESRI) hosted a ceremony to celebrate a declaration of partnershipโ€ฆ
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Maybe this is one thing we can teach our students
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
4 years
My contribution to an important topic #EconTwitter In my defense, Mike does use the word "Taylor" a lot in that book, and even has a paper with that word in the title. Coincidences? I don't think so!
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
A short interview on national TV in your home country, followed by the realization that *to your mother* that trumps any number of top publications, prizes, professorships, and honors.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Seriously, we should now *encourage* rather than penalize the Russian scientists & artists (& their young followers) who have been dissenting voices for all these years. Give them shelter, because real profound change in Russia can only come from them, and that's what we want.
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
11 months
In summer 2022, Marc & I did a major revision of this. New important findings, summary: a โ€œreasonableโ€ business-cycle model (=able to replicate some key comovements, see below) NEEDS ALL of: 1. Endogenous entry-exit 2. Sticky prices 3. Sticky wages 1/n
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
7. cont'd ... The lesson here is this: before you make a promise, think about whether you will want to keep it if and when your circumstances change. This is how you earn a reputation.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Football, an inexhaustible source of counterexamples to transitivity.
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Excellent development, and I think there is still space for (not really joking): --RMS (Review of Macroeconomic Studies) --QJM (Quarterly Journal of Macroeconomics) --Macroeconometrica
@GregWKaplan
Greg Kaplan
2 years
Very excited to announce the launch of #JPEMicro and #JPEMacro - new journals in the #JPolEcon family! I will be initial Lead Editor of JPE Macro, with a fantastic set of editors: @cristinarellano , Anmol Bhandari, @arielburst Chris Tonetti @JoeVavra
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
Make no mistake, Putin was behind Brexit & the rise of all nationalistic governments in (esp. eastern) Europe (possibly behind Trump too). This is yet another step to dismantle Europe. It is about the integrity of Europe and NATO and I am baffled by the lack of swifter action.
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
Did you know? If properly used, ChatGPT can be used to quickly solve and estimate HANK models. Here are the necessary steps. (A thread) 1/n
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@FlorinBilbiie
Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
22 and a half years ago I took my very first flight, to London, to start an MSc. Now in 2022, sitting in seat 22A of a flight to London.
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
Tomorrow Tue 06.04 at 6pm Moscow time (5pm CET, 11am ET), presenting "Monetary Policy and Heterogeneity: An Analytical Framework": feedback welcome, in the middle of revising it! Joint CBR/HSE/NES seminar, join here:
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
10 months
If in Barcelona for the EEA-ESEM congress come to the invited session "Inflation and Heterogeneous Agents" August 29, 6pm (Catalan time ;)) papers by 1. @a_auclert Matt Rognlie @ludwigstraub ; 2. Marcus Hagedorn @SorryToBeKurt 3. @drkaenzig & yours truly
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
1 year
I have a joke about macroeconomics but it is not compulsory.
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
3 years
@LevyAntoine Je vois une causalitรฉ trรจs claire: AZ rรฉduit le risque de thrombose en le diminuant par 10! :)
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Florin Bilbiie ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
2 years
MMT, I finally got it, stands for "Money Made by Trees"
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