Judge Glock Profile
Judge Glock

@judgeglock

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Director of Research and Senior Fellow, The Manhattan Institute, Author of "The Dead Pledge." Opinions are my own.

Austin, Texas
Joined November 2014
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
It's worth remembering that Pete Buttigieg's "cathedral mind" somehow can't comprehend that the Jones Act is bad transportation policy.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
The encounter of citizens of socialist countries with supermarkets actually was transformative, and it was not just Yeltsin. Socialism justified itself as a path to economic abundance for the masses, and when Western stores proved that was a lie they felt betrayed. A thread/
@herandrews
Helen Andrews
7 months
Honestly I wish Americans wouldn’t feel so smug about the Yeltsin supermarket story. Consumer abundance had been a staple of our Cold War propaganda going back to the Kitchen Debate in 1959. Russians knew we had that advantage. But it wasn’t quite so simple. /1
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
Many people are unaware of how absurdly wasteful small city transit systems are. In IN, these systems lose $18 PER PASSENGER TRIP in operating costs alone, forgetting capital costs. Don't sales tax the poor more to subsidize a wasteful system.
@sam_d_1995
sam
9 months
@mualphaxi yeah, you’re not going anywhere… in Carmel because there’s no public transit
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Why this isn’t bigger news mystifies me. US Gov lost $400 billion to fraud or waste in COVID programs. This is more than half of the direct costs of the whole Iraq war and there’s barely a peep of outrage about it from the public.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
The article uses “ultraconservative” several times to describe banning DEI offices and taxpayer funds for abortions and gender transitions. Whatever one thinks of them, they got majority votes in the House and usually poll majority support among public. This is just name-calling.
@kevinrkosar
Kevin R Kosar
11 months
Gosh, NYT, tell us your politics without telling us your politics.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
I'm thrilled to announce that today I start my new job as senior fellow and director of research at the @ManhattanInst . MI has an amazing group of scholars whom I've read throughout my whole career, and I feel very fortunate to start working with them.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
6 months
To those still considering investing in China: if the government has tips for corporate boards about how to explain to your investors that your CEO has been “disappeared,” you might not be dealing with a normal capitalist country.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 month
This is beyond classic. The Senate will soon consider the "Eliminate Useless Reports Act," which requires agencies to create a report of all the useless reports they are required to create.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
I still don't understand some of those on the left or right who say that contemporary America is fundamentally corrupt or broken. The question is always, "Relative to what?" By almost any standard the US is more functional than 99.9% of other societies throughout history.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
The national conservative claim that free markets encourage amoral behavior is just confused. Economic liberty creates responsibility because it makes people responsible for the effects of their actions. Government creates irresponsibility by divorcing actions from consequences.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
Team Transitory was right insofar as all life is fleeting and transitory, and thus inflation, as with all things of this world, will eventually pass. They were wrong about the only relevant policy issue, which was whether the Fed would have to hike rates a lot to fight inflation.
@paulkrugman
Paul Krugman
11 months
Gotta say it: the original Team Transitory proposition was that inflation would subside without the need for a big rise in unemployment. Not looking so wrong now (supercore is core ex used cars and shelter, 6m annualized) 1/
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
@ishapiro @GeorgetownLaw Tragic and tough decision, but I’m sure you made the right one. Kudos for standing up to bullies.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
The argument against Effective Altruist longtermism is the same as that against all millenarian cults. Any amount of present suffering and crime is justified when everything is divided by infinity. Communism and Islamist terrorism share the same fundamental problem.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 month
Yes, don’t adopt the model of one of the most affordable fast growing places on Earth because it “looks like this.” The triumph of elite aesthetics over empirics.
@dpherriges
Daniel Herriges
1 month
"Texas's housing policies" mostly look like this photo. I don't know where, or whether, people think California should be building more of this. CA should upzone a ton, reduce delays, fees, and avenues for NIMBY obstructionism. But that doesn't really amount to emulating Texas.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
Defector Victor Belenko was confused by the sight of a US supermarket and was convinced for awhile that they were set up by the CIA, because such material abundance couldn't be possible for the masses. Others thought they must just be for the US elite.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
Looking at biggest companies in 2008 feels like a time warp. 7 of top 10 had been around since the 19th century. Today only 1. We went from mainly oil and consumer goods to mainly tech. Past 15 years have been one of greatest periods of creative destruction in business history.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
This is an insane question. You give people two options, one: "better jobs and higher pay" or two: "higher immigration" which is here explicitly contrasted with the first answer. The fact that they got even 15% to say they didn't want "better jobs" is the only surprising thing.
@oren_cass
Oren Cass
9 months
How far is today's conservatism from the stereotype of the "Country Club Republican"? By 85% to 15%, GOP voters see employers struggling to find workers to hire as a good "tight labor market," not a bad "labor shortage."
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Judge Glock
2 months
People tend to underestimate how hard it is to move real wealth through time. Almost everything depreciates, which means that in a Robinson Crusoe-world, the expected return on most "savings" is sharply negative.
@ByrneHobart
Byrne Hobart (SF/Berkeley 6/7-6/9)
2 months
This is correct—whether you're counting on Social Security + Medicare or a 401(k) and IRA, your standard of living when you're old is dependent on the output of future workers.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
Many pro-transit types have no limiting principle or conception of costs vs. benefits. If transit costs $100 a trip, well, we just need more of it. It's just hard to admit that sometimes, in some places, transit doesn't work. For these, we need less ideology and more calculators.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
Even today, as the always impressive @DanielDiMartino can attest, people from socialist regimes can still be shocked by American supermarkets.
@DanielDiMartino
Daniel Di Martino 🇺🇸🇻🇪
10 months
A day like today, seven years ago, I flew to America. I wanted to recreate this picture from when I was a teenager visiting, impressed by the food that wasn't available in my home of Venezuela, because it symbolizes a lot of great things about America to me. Thank you USA 🇺🇸
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
To my mind, one of the most significant and counterintuitive findings of political science in recent years is that governments defy regulations more than the private sector. This has huge implications for how we structure both regs and government.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Too often “power to the people” has turned into, “power to the people who love meetings.” There is no group of people I’d less like to be ruled by than the people who love meetings.
@mattyglesias
Matthew Yglesias
1 year
Let the elected officials decide! That’s democracy!!
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
@DanielDiMartino I actually have thought of compiling an oral history of all these stories of encounters with the supermarket since they are so common among former socialists or communists who moved West. If anyone knows people who still remember this I'm happy to hear from them! /end
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 months
Mind-blowing to claim that the modern "consensus" in Britain has been to build more housing. Actual house-building has trended down for decades. @WorksInProgMag
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@LSEpoliticsblog
LSE British Politics and Policy
2 months
💥New! The cross-party consensus that the way to tackle the housing crisis is to build more homes isn’t working. Instead, we should be pursuing innovative policies that make efficient use of the existing housing stock.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
Gorbachev was astounded by Canadian supermarkets during his tour there in 1983 and it helped him and the Soviet Ambassador to Canada Yakolev realize that the USSR was far behind.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
In Svetlana Alexeivich's beautiful book "Secondhand Time" about the fall of the USSR people discuss "fainting" at the sight of supermarkets or seeing "a hundred different kinds of salami. A hundred different kinds of cheese. It was baffling."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
One writer discussed how he was quite convinced of the "deep emotions" stirred in Yeltsin since his encounters with American supermarkets after living in Moscow were an "awe-inspiring events."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
8 months
In fact, people got much more upset about inflation back in the day.
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@whstancil
Will Stancil
8 months
The thing is, WE HAVE HAD INFLATION BEFORE, and it didn’t make people this upset. If you told someone to model today’s economic approval using pre-2019 trends, they’d come to the conclusion that the public should be somewhere between pleased and thrilled.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
I'm happy to be featured in the recent documentary on homelessness that we put out with PragerU. It explains why the typical "Housing First" solutions fail, and offers some alternatives. I think this will be of interest to anyone curious about the problem.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@mattyglesias Obama agreed. His early unpublished manuscript urged forsaking race-focused policies, and, even if one wanted to improve the plight of African-Americans specifically, to use "class as a proxy for race."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
Even video of the supermarket could be confusing for Soviets. In the documentary "Disco and Atomic War" Soviets watching secret broadcasts from the West were astounded by ads of packed supermarket shelves, and couldn't believe it was possible.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
Utilitarianism has two strands. One believes that philosophers or experts can divine the "utils" for everybody. This belief tends towards technocracy. The other believes utility is best found in the revealed preference of existing individuals. This belief tends towards freedom.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
3 months
The reason the Gov stopped including things like mortgage rates in inflation measures is because they didn’t want it to look like raising rates increased inflation. But raising rates does increase the pain on households and businesses. That’s how the rates work.
@scottlincicome
Scott Lincicome
3 months
New @nberpubs : "The Cost of Money is Part of the Cost of Living: New Evidence on the Consumer Sentiment Anomaly" "lows in US consumer sentiment that cannot be explained by unemployment and official inflation are strongly correlated with borrowing costs..."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
Calls from some on the right to revive unions ignore how they've changed. Now half of members are public sector and almost half have BA degrees (1/3 higher than public) Unions are now a public/upper-middle-class group designed to extract funds from workers
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
The @nytimes story on homelessness makes the now typical argument that Houston is some kind of mecca for the "Housing First" philosophy. In fact, unlike many cities, Houston has not tried to build its way out of the problem. A thread/
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
In current NatCon/FreeCon debate, I think it would be more productive to have NatCons spell out their economic differences with the Left rather than traditional Rs. Forget obvious social stuff, like ESG, but where do they differ with Ds on Social Security, taxes, regulation, etc?
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 months
YIMBYs solely focused on density don’t wrestle enough with the overwhelming fact that cities that are sprawling, low density and car dependent are generally affordable and cities that are high density and transit accessible are not. There’s a lot of cope around this.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
My letter-to-the-editor was just published at @TheEconomist . It's about how the Soviets helped block the publication of George Orwell's Animal Farm in the UK.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
4 years
The New York Times just published my op-ed "Thanksgiving is a Celebration of Freedom," which shows that the true origins of the holiday lie in the battle against slavery, and how it should remind us of America's tradition of expanding liberty.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
4 months
The New Yorker has two political profiles this week. I wonder if it's possible to notice any subtle differences in how their photos portray the embattled Republican and the embattled Democrat.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
The author claims these "right-wing" policies have hurt St. Louis: the state cut income taxes, sued on mask mandates, banned street camping, and ensured police funding. Obv other cities have thrived due to high taxes, masks, tent cities, and less policing.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
This is just as insane as everyone says. Britain is demolishing a massive apartment complex, because, in part, the "final towers look more solid and bulky" than in the plan. This is a helpful reminder that although much of US housing policy is bad, we're one of the least bad.
@Royal_Greenwich
Royal Borough of Greenwich
9 months
We've taken the decision, as the local planning authority, to progress with enforcement action against the Comer Homes Group’s Mast Quay Phase II. Read the latest... 👉
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
@sam_d_1995 Ugh, See above, but one this is mainly buses driving the same roads as everybody else, so you can add the road subsidies to the bus total too if you like. Two is there ANY time you would admit transit is just a bad investment? If it’s not $18 a trip, when? (Plus capital costs)
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
3 months
My latest in @WSJOpinion explains why Buy America requirements are sabotaging U.S. infrastructure. This will be relevant for the Key Bridge rebuilding.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
5 months
My new report from @ManhattanInst estimates that about 20% of the American welfare state is simply returning funds to households that paid at least that amount in taxes that year. By most measures this is a huge waste. Short 🧵
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
A US District Court in Tennessee has just struck down federal racial contracting programs, with extensive citations to the SFFA case. These contracting programs should be the next racial programs to fall at SCOTUS. h/t @VolokhC
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
I'm very happy to be in the latest edition of @worksinprog , where I explain how to make local governments actually want to grow again. Giving cities and neighborhoods incentives to embrace growth is the best way to encourage it.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
Remember inflation hits everything. Your S&P index fund is not down 6.6% in a year. It is down 15.7% in real terms.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Those surprised by the guarantee of uninsured depositors at SVB might have forgot that in October 2008, just two weeks (!) after Congress extended the insured limit to $250,000, the FDIC decided to guarantee all transactions deposits at all banks. Dodd-Frank, the supposedly/
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
My recent piece for @CityJournal explains the many ways the government is encouraging drug abuse, especially among the homeless. I think even many people who work with the homeless don't appreciate how extensive such subsidies for abuse are. A thread. 1/
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Also, worth remembering this from 2008, when Presidential candidate Obama told the Seafarer's International Union that "your members can continue to count on me to support the Jones Act."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
6 months
Everyone should read James Bennet's account of his ousting at the @nytimes . It's filled with indelible lines. A short thread with my favorite:
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@sam_d_1995 Los Angeles ranks last of largest 36 metros in terms of freeway miles per resident. It’s also by some measures the densest metro in the country. “Too many highways” does not explain LA traffic.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
The reason I think NatCons don't want to make comparisons of their economics with the Left is that they like to position themselves as the true "conservatives," but on the econ issues that occupy most policymakers' time, they advocate policies that are moderate to Left Democratic
@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
In current NatCon/FreeCon debate, I think it would be more productive to have NatCons spell out their economic differences with the Left rather than traditional Rs. Forget obvious social stuff, like ESG, but where do they differ with Ds on Social Security, taxes, regulation, etc?
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
3 years
Banning street camping is not a left-right issue. Any urban area that wants to survive simply cannot allow people to set up homes in the middle of streets. LA proves this.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@mattyglesias Yes, the big change is postal workers. Down from almost 800,000 in 90s/early 2000s to 500,000 today. Rest is stable but much smaller vs population.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
My latest for @WSJopinion argues that the media consensus on partisan voting is backwards. Rs tend to be more focused on economic issues and Ds more on social issues. Popular belief in limited government also provides an electoral advantage for Rs.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 months
My latest report with @ManhattanInst , on "Source of Income" discrimination laws, which mandate landlords accept people with housing vouchers. I show the research demonstrates small benefits and real costs. There are better ways to help voucher-holders.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
6 months
Some antitrusters say we need to break up big corporations because they have too much political power. In fact, historically, industries with many dispersed companies have had more political pull than concentrated ones (ie neighborhood banks, doctors, lawyers, car dealers.)
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
10 months
@ModeledBehavior Isn't this just Rosen-Roback? Cities cannot have consistently higher real wage premiums because otherwise they'd have constant in-migration. The absence of the real wage premium is not the problem, the absence of that wage premium at a too low level of in-migration is the problem
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
I appreciated @michaelbd piece on NatCon and freedom conservative policies. But this NatCon statement, which wants to restore manufacturing "critical to the public welfare" and then, in the NEXT sentence, rails against "selective promotion" of companies, is just a contradiction.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
@arpitrage Yep, overwhelmingly. Usually in realm of 60-80% of operating expenditures in Indiana.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@asymmetricinfo “We don’t want to encourage TBTF banks, so we’ll make much smaller banks TBTF”
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
Anyone shocked by the ACLU's recent embrace of coercive state power against its enemies should remember its origins. The ACLU's founder, Roger Baldwin, wrote a terrifying book, "Liberty Under the Soviets," which embraced one of the most murderous regimes in history. A 🧵
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
The @NewYorker runs a story about a homeless housing project in Brooklyn where 16 have died so far this year and where drug dealing and crime are rampant. They declare it an obvious success. My latest with Stephen Eide for @CityJournal
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
My latest for @WSJopinion , which explains the surprising scale and cost of government racial contracting programs and why they will likely fall under the standards the Supreme Court announced in the SFFA v. Harvard case.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Most Americans who see this poll will see it on a personal computer or mobile phone with high-speed internet connection that allows them access the entire cultural history of humanity with a few clicks. Basically that entire last sentence was incomprehensible to someone in 1973.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
24 days
@arpitrage I think the best counter to this is simply urban or suburban “infrastructure” is just not a large part of budgets. Roads are about 5% of state and local spending and smaller at local. All the big categories are education, welfare, police etc .
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
This is a friendly reminder that the "externality" of cars causing traffic is borne by other drivers. Congestion charges that internalize that externality actually lead to increased throughput and even utility for drivers. Transit types assume they are supposed to punish cars.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
8 months
Most don't recognize how the modern Left's obsession with social issues has scrambled their whole "de-colonialist" narrative. The Left's historic focus on economic issues made them tout undeveloped nations as examples of pre- or anti-capitalism. Now, the West is obviously more in
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
4 months
@drvolts @asymmetricinfo You are doing an amazing job proving her point that you see journalists’ job as activism (“try to stop fascism”) and not reporting on things.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
“Wage slavery” has to be the most absurd term ever. Not getting paid for work is literally what defines slavery.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@DavidBeckworth Yes, and because wages are stickier than consumer prices, and wages are the largest cost of business, business profits increase during inflationary periods, as Keynes noted exactly 100 years ago.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
anti-bailout law, extended that guarantee until 2012. The main difference now is that the Feds are seemingly also guaranteeing savings and other accounts at SVB, continuing the tradition of expanding financial guarantees to ever more individuals.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 months
I want to again point out the absurdity of just giving billions of dollars to a for-profit company in exchange for nothing, purely as a grant.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Many have written about how Buy American requirements or labor deals drive up the cost of infrastructure. More should look at the vast reach of minority-contracting laws, which also increase costs and encourage fraud. My latest for @CityJournal magazine
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
The difference on homelessness from 1992 to today is then George Carlin could say "there's no money in that problem." Now there are billions of dollars spent annually just in California alone. And there are a lot of people who've found ways to profit off not solving the problem.
@SystemUpdate_
System Update
11 months
The great George Carlin in 1992: "If you could find a solution to homelessness where the corporate swine and the politicians could steal a couple million dollars each, you'd see the streets of America begin to clear up pretty God damn quick."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
Anyone who doubts that China has bureaucracy in its bones should visit Dongyue Daoist Temple in Beijing. There the afterlife is depicted as 76 "departments" overseen by angel/demon bureaucrats, including, my favorite, "The Department for Implementing 15 Kinds of Violent Death."
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
9 months
Many people keep saying “but car subsidies.” One, even the most implausible car subsidies don’t amount to $18! per intracity trip. Two this is mainly buses going along the same roads that get “subsidized” so you can add the road costs to this transit total if you like.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
4 months
It's amazing what the government can do at the stroke of a pen. A proposed workplace standard by OSHA will affect a million firefighters and EMS across the country and cost $600 million a year to implement. Also amazing the Feds can do this to local govs.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
10 months
This is wild to me. You have North America and Europe being significant net exporters of food, and developing Asia and sub-Saharan Africa, where over half of the population are farmers, being net importers. You can see why these countries rail against agricultural subsidies.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
5 months
Real electricity prices in California are about double what they were almost 50 years ago. It's hard to overstate what an amazing failure this is. Energy has absorbed more government research money and seen more regulation than just about any sector.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
2 years
Essays in Economic and Business History just published my piece on what's actually new and what's problematic in the "New History of Capitalism" literature, with @VincentGeloso
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
@mattyglesias One might even argue that the Confederacy was an attack against American culture. I think they fought a war about that.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
8 months
@asymmetricinfo The "Critical Mass" cycling campaigns, which began in the 1990s, seemed to be a turning point of disrupting traffic for the specific point of pissing off drivers and getting attention for the cause. Now the connection to cars is often more tenuous.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
For those who haven't read it yet, you should definitely check out this eye-opening @nytimes piece on the homelessness crisis in Phoenix. I've been working in Phoenix on the issue for years now and the area the locals call "the Zone" really is that bad.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
@besttrousers I call this the Soviet error: that "economic growth" has some definable relationship to "stuff." Growth is a pure utility concept. 2% growth means we like our stuff 2% more than the previous year. Ketchup bottles with the pour at the bottom is growth but takes no more resources.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
6 months
@mattyglesias This goes to the problem that the economic justification of congestion charges is actually to improve drivers experience, but many activists think it’s a way to attack cars.
@judgeglock
Judge Glock
7 months
This is a friendly reminder that the "externality" of cars causing traffic is borne by other drivers. Congestion charges that internalize that externality actually lead to increased throughput and even utility for drivers. Transit types assume they are supposed to punish cars.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
11 months
One of the surest signs of a totalitarian government is an exit visa. If you need permission from the government to leave, that's because they know their society is effectively a prison.
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
6 months
@nytimes Publishing a Taliban op-ed “It’s puzzling: in what moral universe can it be a point of pride to publish a piece by an enemy who may have American blood on his hands, and a matter of shame to publish a piece by an American senator arguing for American troops to protect Americans?”
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
5 months
It is worth noting that this footnote from Marshall has nothing to do with trade policy, as the article implies, but deals with Marshall's attack on Ricardo's "iron law of wages": the supposed tendency of wages to fall to subsistence levels.
@oren_cass
Oren Cass
5 months
4/ Under the heading "The Narrowness of Ricardo and His Followers," Marshall chastised the Ricardians for having “laid down laws with regard to profits and wages that did not really hold even for England in their own time." And look at this footnote:
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@judgeglock
Judge Glock
1 year
One nonpartisan reform possibility that I'm always amazed gets little attention is expanding the number of judges sitting on lower courts. This speeds justice for businesses, families, police, those accused of crimes, everyone. And judges are a tiny fraction of gov costs.
@otis_reid
Otis Reid
1 year
Growing body of literature on the importance of court speed/efficiency for firms and credit markets
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