Some personal news! Friday was my last day at Vox. Today I'm launching a newsletter called Volts, devoted to my twin passions: clean energy and politics. (And I am now, yes, drvolts.)
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In Whitefish, Montana, a young woman named Samantha Francine is confronted by a large white man with balled fists, shouting, "Black Lives Matter? Fuck you! Fuck you! Fuck you!" She does not look away.
This is America, 2020.
(Photo by Grace Jensen)
I randomly had a 10-hour layover in Dubai once & took a tour & it was one of the creepiest, most unsettling places I've ever been. Like the scene in the apocalypse movie just before the apocalypse. Pre-post-apocalyptic. This video captures the vibe well.
It is so wild to me that they're holding CPAC in Hungary, openly celebrating Orban's defeat of democracy, openly planning to do the same in the US ... it's just all out in the open now. And still the media can't seem to convey it clearly to the public.
There were 600 marches for abortion rights in the US yesterday. How much coverage did they get relative to the tiny handfuls of people protesting vaccine mandates?
Does anyone in the world have an actual positive case to make for continuing to attach health insurance to employment in the US? Is there any good reason at all to keep doing this?
I still think frequently about the fact that a pandemic came & created an undeniable moral imperative for solidarity -- for acting together, on one another's behalf -- and it caused an eruption of fury among conservatives that is still raging.
I really think people have forgotten how horrible it was to live through the pandemic with Trump in charge. He was talking about drinking bleach. Openly saying he wouldn't help blue states. Just flat out lying about the numbers. All of this, day after day after day.
The idea that the child tax credit should have a work requirement -- that children's food & shelter should be contingent on Joe Manchin's judgment of their parents' choices -- is so facially repugnant to me that I hate sharing a species with the people who support it.
I've said this before but the most pathetic thing about current RW culture wars is that they are defending a lifestyle -- giant SUVs, highways, strip malls, fast food, suburbs, poisonous/deadly consumer products -- that is 100% a creation of late-20th century corporations.
To me the most damning part of the Trump scandal is the simple question *why*? He took all these files, clung to them, moved them around with him, lied about them repeatedly ... why? Why would he want so badly to have these files?
Once you ask, the answer is obvious.
In practice, only one kind of person in the US has ever expected -- would ever *dream* -- that they could say whatever the fuck they want in public without fear of social consequences. That kind of person is feeling slightly constrained now. Thus the current moral panic.
The most striking thing about the entire pandemic, to me, is the raw, spontaneous, primal anger some people felt at being asked to make personal sacrifices in the name of the public good -- a kind of gut-level anti-solidarity.
It was an assassination attempt on a Democratic leader -- the third most powerful person in the country -- by a man radicalized by right-wing propaganda that is echoed by Republican officials at every level, every day.
It couldn't be more plain. And it will be a 1-2 day story.
The most painful thing on Twitter in the wake of a Big Thing happening is watching earnest liberals spend hours & hours crafting arguments & offering citations & cross-linking threads as though there is an actual good-faith debate happening.
Remember "Sharia law"? You laugh but there was a time when RW media was very seriously predicting that Sharia law was on the verge of taking over US courts. Like so many of these episodes, no one ever looked back to reassess or correct or apologize -- just on to the next one.
Remember the rules: you can judge The Left as a whole by referencing the craziest fringe shit you can find on Twitter or in some student group, but it is unsporting & uncivil to judge The Right as a whole by referencing what its most prominent elected leaders say.
Boy, Alito is the conservative's conservative: in a position of near-total power, with zero accountability, getting everything he wants, but still aggrieved, still whining, and still taking every opportunity to get in nasty, graceless jabs at his opponents. What an asshole.
Just FYI, as several commenters have noted, the guy's name is Jay Snowden, 51 years old. He was arrested & charged with one count of disorderly conduct. There's video here, if you can stomach it.
Whistleblower from ICE detention facility files complaint alleging "'jarring medical neglect' within the facility, including a refusal to test detainees for the novel coronavirus and an exorbitant rate of hysterectomies being performed on immigrant women."
It's difficult to get perspective when you're in the middle of things, but every so often I'm struck again by a simple fact: one party attempted a coup, to hold on to power despite losing an election, and it is going to do them, to a first approximation, ZERO electoral damage.
"Casey won't fly commercial," so the DeSantis campaign ended up spending more on private jets than on TV advertising.
Never has anyone more palpably wanted to be First Lady.
If I were in charge of a mainstream political news organization and I found out that the majority of the American public did not understand very basic facts about what Biden has done in office and what Trump would do, I would consider that a failure & try to remedy it.
If psychedelics turn out to be as effective as they look in early trials, we're going to look back at the last 50 years of prohibition & realize we just sat by & allowed oceans of unnecessary pain.
“Two months after treatment, 67 percent of participants in the MDMA group no longer qualified for a diagnosis of PTSD, compared with 32 percent in the placebo group.”
I despair of screaming this into the void, but voters are not primarily responding to inflation, they are responding to a massive, highly coordinated propaganda campaign across multiple media designed to freak them out about inflation.
OK, I will probably regret this, but I'm going to do a thread on Afghanistan, because something about the current discourse is baffling me. I'll lay out the situation as I see it & then hopefully someone smart can answer my question.
It's kinda wild that this entire Biden-is-old press freak-out has proceeded without a single person offering a single example of anything Biden has done poorly as president as a result of his age.
One of the greatest mistakes America ever made was failing to utterly crush the South after the Civil War -- dismantle its power structures, imprison its leaders, expressly disavow its values & traditions, & put it under the equivalent of receivership for several decades.
Older generations in the US do not appreciate the fact that Gen X & younger Americans have never seen functional politics based on shared facts & compromise. To them it might as well be a fairy tale. They've *only* see a conservative movement descending into reactionary madness.
Not sure people appreciate how quickly this could turn into a stampede & how *utterly fucked* the state of Florida will be without all the tax revenue from its real estate market.
One of my most unpopular opinions is that gambling is terrible & we should maintain a strong social stigma against it & it should be illegal in most cases & we *sure as fuck* shouldn't be *advertising it during sports broadcasts*. The current trend is horrific.
I grew up in a small town. I went to college in a small town. The idea that small towns are close-knit communities where everyone supports one another is hazy nostalgic bullshit. Most people I knew felt hemmed in by mean, small-minded, judgmental ppl & couldn't wait to GTFO.
I have become semi-obsessed with this subject. The car-dependent suburban lifestyle is ***so bad for kids***. They develop no spatial sense; they are utterly dependent on others to get anywhere; they have no freedom or autonomy.
With 58% of all trips nationally made by bike, teenagers are among the biggest beneficiaries of Dutch infrastructure.
From a young age, they enjoy the freedom of a driver’s license; without the added stress, cost and danger.
The scene outside our son’s high school this morning.
I know lots of people are saying this, but: the starving of social services, the militarization of police, the flooding of streets with guns ... fear, anxiety, & anger are not accidental side effects of these policies, they are the *point*. Reactionaries win in this atmosphere.
"If you hold us accountable for our behavior, we will react with violence" has been the reactionary refrain for the entire history of the US. Cowering in the face of it does not improve matters. It does not even forestall the violence. Appeasement always fails.
Sometimes I think about how Kansas elected GOP supermajorities & a GOP governor & implemented the idealized GOP economic program - no influence or interference from Dems - & it left the state in utter smoking wreckage & no one on the right learned a single goddam thing from it.
My new post: US Postal Service trucks average 28 years old & badly need to be replaced. Electric mail trucks would be cheaper to fuel, easier to maintain, & produce radically less noise, air, & carbon pollution. Sounds like some good stimulus spending!
All right, I really should be doing literally anything else with my time, but I have certain compulsions, so here's a short thread on the Harvard thing.
Or actually, not about Harvard per se, because I, like most Americans, don't really give a shit what goes on at Harvard.
Something everyone in US politics should understand: the GOP is the farthest right major party in any developed democracy. To find analogues you have to look to splinter neo-fascist parties in the EU.
As it becomes clear it's gonna be a Biden/Trump election, I got to thinking how there's an entire rising generation of young people in the US who have never experienced a normal election or anything resembling normal politics.
Biden came into office and ended the Afghanistan war, cut back on the drone program, brought COVID under control, engineered a rapid economic recovery, took historic action on climate, and sparked a manufacturing renaissance in the hardest hit areas of the country. Yet ...
Of all the horrors of the last however many years, the Kavanaugh hearings still stand out to me. The one thought that has stuck with me ever since: I don't think there was actually much disagreement about what kind of person Kavanaugh is.
Why is every single Dem forced to answer for the most cartoonish caricature of a slogan that only a few activists ever used, while Republicans are not forced to answer for actual elected officials publicizing violent fantasies about killing their colleagues?
I renew my plea for a big org --
@nytimes
or
@CNN
or whatever -- to do a simple service for voters: compare a state with a new Dem trifecta to a state with a new GOP trifecta. You want to see what the parties stand for, what they want? Look at what they do when they gain power.
Justice Engeron: The Trump family's "complete lack of contrition and remorse" for their extensive fraud and egregious financial misconduct "borders on pathological."
Here's a media bias: If a person lied to me, again & again, day after day, for years, I would change the way I treated that person. I would greet that person's new claims with higher skepticism. I would raise the bar of proof. I would assume bad faith, pending evidence. But ...
One thing I think about alot: the exurban & rural places in which US conservatives live are utterly bereft of public spaces. Church attendance is declining. There are virtually no civic groups & associations left. These people live in *profoundly* alienating circumstances.
I've said before: perhaps the most difficult part of political analysis for the engaged & informed is keeping in mind that the American public is deeply, thoroughly ignorant of even the most basic political facts.
It's pretty amazing that, starting in 2009 when Ds began pushing the ACA, Republicans have been claiming to have an alternative healthcare plan, or to be *almost* ready to debut an alternative plan. And they've kept that bullshit line going for ELEVEN YEARS.
GOP argument is always:
1. It's illegitimate for Dems to do anything without at least some cooperation from us.
2. We're not gonna cooperate on shit.
The logic is that Dems can't ever do anything legitimate. And that is exactly the point.
Consider: have you ever, in your life, a single time, seen a piece in mainstream media framing it as a problem that the GOP has completely lost cities? That the party's brand is "toxic" in urban areas? Are any Republicans taken to task for that or forced to answer for it?
Joe Biden is going to be more politically hurt by his unwillingness to engage in theatrical "calls for" a ceasefire than he is politically helped by the fact that, behind the scenes, *he actually brokered one*.
The US info environment has created perfectly perverse incentives.
Is it a common thing to feel a certain sense of dread as a big trip approaches, even if the big trip is something you want to do & fully expect to enjoy?
Of course Alito was the leaker. Of course it wasn't the first time. Of course all the strenuous accusations toward Dems after the last leak were projection. Perhaps some day these things will no longer surprise anyone.
Trump famously didn't read briefings, didn't show up to work until noon, and spent fully half his presidency on his golf course. And yet somehow it didn't "raise questions" or "cause jitters," because the media decided not to cover it that way.
I said it in 2016, I'll say it again: US journalism simply cannot accept a presidential election in which one candidate is clearly unfit & thus the other candidate is the only responsible choice. It recoils. It will fight that to the death. It will muddy that choice at all costs.
"A right-wing authoritarian movement is engineering minority white rule" is a one-sided story. Literally the most important story in the world right now! But it makes US journalists uncomfortable. You can feel their palpable & increasingly desperate need for an "other side."
Couple things to add to this. First, here's a CNN interview with the extraordinary Samantha Francine. Her father (dead 16 years) told her, "No matter the threat, always look them in the eye so they have to acknowledge you’re human."
Reminder that in WA, OR, & CO -- vote-by-mail states -- participation & satisfaction rates are high, everyone has voted, & the count is proceeding without difficulty.
All the voting problems in this country are self-generated for political purposes. They're easily solvable.
The more I think about the Bruce Springsteen Jeep ad, the more disgusted I get. It's allegedly a call for unity, but it is drenched in a very particular culture's iconography: a Christian church (that superimposes the cross on the US flag), farms, rural living, "the middle" ...
Remember when Trump was president & he wouldn't actually start working until noon & he wouldn't read briefings & he would watch Fox most of every day & he spent half his time playing golf? You might have forgotten b/c the media hasn't made it a goal to remind you every day.
We're going to end up locked down again, for another miserable season or two, because we're trapped in a country with a bunch of morons. And while that is happening, the morons will be incessantly whining about how unfairly they're treated.
Instead of "reaching out," why don't we take this opportunity to make very clear that racism, xenophobia, and authoritarianism are repugnant to a decent society. Let's reject them, loudly & publicly, & extend social disapprobation to those who support them.
Twitter is so painful to read right now. People want the merits of the impeachment case to matter so badly. They want the anguish & eloquence of those whose lives were threatened to matter. They want TRUTH to matter & decency to finally win a round. But it's not going to happen.
Politics rarely offers tidy morality tales, but here's one: Joe Manchin & Kyrsten Sinema are directly responsible for 3.7 million American children falling back into poverty, explicitly because they didn't want to tax billionaires. It is utterly repulsive.
The thing to understand about the work-from-home debate is, there's a set of workers for whom meetings are an annoying distraction from work, and there's a set of middle managers for whom meetings literally *are* the work. You'll never guess which set wants to return to offices.
AOC got elected & set about becoming an excellent rep at a time when there is basically no reward for doing so, when all the incentives push toward showboating & engagement-bait & red meat. She gets little credit from media, the left, or Dem leadership. She just does the work.
The one thing I will never, ever understand is how people can look at Trump and see strength. Every single thing he does, including surrounding the White House with a
#babygate
, just reeks of fear. It drips off him.
The political press could decide to make the fact that nazis are freely mingling with the crowd at CPAC into a thing, a narrative, by banging on it day after day & coordinating a whole slate of op-eds about it, like they did on the Harvard stuff. They just won't.
More than 100 newspapers called on Bill Clinton to resign after he lied about sex with an intern. We recently learned that Russia put a bounty on the heads of US soldiers & Trump knew & did absolutely nothing about it. Calls for resignation so far: 0.
The US political establishment really doesn't get it. Americans WANT to transition off oil & gas to clean energy. It polls through the f'ing roof, across parties, across regions-- has for decades. It's not something Dems need to hide from, it's something they need to champion.
Nothing makes me feel crazier than the need to say, out loud, that Trump is very bad. No matter what you care about, he will be worse on it -- Israel/Palestine, the economy, speech, civil rights, gov't accountability ... I mean literally name it. How the F does this need saying?
Everyone's already had a go bashing this, for lots of great reasons, but I just want to highlight what a perfect example of Murc's Law it is.
Murc's Law says, basically: only the left has agency; the right is merely reacting, having its hand forced, being "pushed" or "shaped."
Sometimes I think about the fact that Trump called the top election official in GA, explicitly asked him to "find" enough votes to engineer a Trump victory, was *recorded doing so*, & now we're having "debates" & "investigations" about whether Trump tried to steal the election.
I'll probably say this 5K times before the 2024 election, but: keeping a fascist party out of office is a perfectly adequate substantive case for voting for Democrats up & down the ballot. It may not be the best pitch in marketing or messaging terms, but substantively, it's fine.
This is a trivial example, but very revealing: no one is asking CB's reactionary customers to eat fake meat. They are enraged that *other* customers are going to eat it. They are enraged it's offered at all.
It's not about personal freedom -- they just don't like change.
Why did Trump want any of the perks, symbols, & accouterments of power? *To show them off.* He wanted to rub them in other people's faces, to flaunt what a big deal he is.
That's why he wanted these files, with all the nuclear & national security secrets: to show them to people.
I stopped Glass Onion to explain to my family that the "hydrogen fuel" at the center of the plot doesn't make any sense, but did they appreciate the insight? No, it's all "shut up nerd" this & "start the damn movie" that.
One thing I don't hear enough people talking about is the pretty obvious fact that this was a dry run, a dress rehearsal for the right, and they're going to try it again.
HANNITY, March 9: "This scaring the living hell out of people -- I see it, again, as like, let's bludgeon Trump with this new hoax."
HANNITY, March 18: "By the way, this program has always taken the coronavirus seriously. We've never called the virus a hoax."