John Loeber 🎢 @johnloeber Twitter profile

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John Loeber 🎢

2 months

I dream about a future in which all businesses expose their functionality by API and you can select one of many interfaces to interact with it Dark mode, light mode? Why not power user mode? Low-bandwidth mode? Eg I want to browse Google Drive as if it were via my command line

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

@Biohazard3737 Topologically you are no longer “inside” the airplane once it has a hole

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@AviSchiffmann Zuck is fully rehabilitated. The 2010s are truly over

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@zillowgonewild Imagine you wake up in your idyllic forest home decorated by Herman Miller from start to finish. You're in the mood for a nice neighborhood morning walk and a coffee. You walk 37 minutes across the interchange, along an eight-lane highway to the local outdoor strip mall. :(

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@travis_robert Horrible! How am I now meant to park my Chevy Tahoe in Times Square?

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@d_feldman Nah he just didn’t pay the GCP contract that renewed June 30

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@ID_AA_Carmack A lot of junior engineers are very very aggressive about DRY when in practice, a lot of code is similar enough to tempt to abstract, but too different to create a *maintainable abstraction* Concern for future maintainability is key here

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

18 days

Imagine being a Tunisian citizen having a normal day and then you see one of the most powerful men on earth wearing a “Carthage must be destroyed” t-shirt and you’re like STILL?? it’s been 2200 years!!

yitong

@zhayitong

18 days

Wow who woulda thought 2024 Zuck would be wearing Cuban links while referencing war on Carthage

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@JohnArnoldFndtn @washingtonpost What are all these administrators even doing? In my time in undergrad, the administration was largely invisible to me.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

7 months

@zachtratar It was a 6-person board. Whatever happened must have taken at least (or maybe exactly) 4 vs 2.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

just one more $600m bro. i promise bro just one more $600m and it'll fix everything bro. bro. just one more $600m. please just one more. one more $600m and we can fix this whole problem bro. bro cmon just give me one more $600m i promise bro. please

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@nearcyan He does have strong redditor energy

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@d_feldman Look man, I love the Great Lakes more than most people do, but at that price point I’d rather hit the Antarctic

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

Imagine telling a guy in 1900 that a hundred years in the future, you can fly across the country in five hours for the price of 4 ham sandwiches. Is it dangerous? No, it is the safest form of transport People must love it! No, it is so commonplace that people whine endlessly

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

7 months

@_ali_taylor Seeing as Quora has been hot garbage for 5+ years, they would be actually kinda justified in shaking things up a bit

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@ad0rnai Macbeth BF, Lady Macbeth GF

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@wagieeacc the reason people thought it was plausible was: 1) FTX was pretending to be raking in huge fees (profitable!) 2) Alameda was rumored to be profiting $1B/y 3) FTX had held and driven huge price spikes in Solana, Serum and others 4) FTX began selling FTT Ofc 1 & 2 were false

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@kepano @ycombinator creates adverse incentives imo, encourages free-rider-ism and doesn't encourage folks to try their best because they can lean back on the bucket

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

There is one good Döner Kebab shop in New York. It’s called Berlin Kebab. I am in Berlin eating what is reviewed as the best kebab in Berlin. (Pic related) I am absolutely gobsmacked to find that Berlin Kebab in New York has tactically carbon-copied this very top-rated kebab

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@skominers [clears throat] Considering that there's an uncountably infinite number of people who don't exist, and there's a countably finite number of people who do exist, the probability that i exist is 0

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

@nabeelqu This is how technical debt is created: just slap another method on it

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

Nobody's talking about the impact of FedNow on credit card processing/interchange fees. Am I wrong to think this is a big deal? Maybe I don't know enough, but if FedNow takes a 2-3% fee down to a few bips, that (1) enables lower-margin businesses and (2) hurts a class of fintechs

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

I kinda wish there was an 80-year-old @bryan_johnson At age 40-50, the impact of many health treatments is not obvious Whereas at age 80, there’s an enormous difference between “in excellent health” and “in mediocre health”. The distribution of outcomes stretches dramatically

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@luke_metro Incredible tweet coming from “the art of purpose” Like, homie, the reason is in your name

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

4 months

@StefanFSchubert Tyler Cowen seems to have missed the fact that Keynes basically lived in a polycule for years (“Bloomsbury group”)

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@ID_AA_Carmack Yep! I have not-so-fond memories of exactly that. I would write a function to abstract over others, then find myself adding extra args to the function, conditioning on them inside the function, and suddenly there’s a whole hairball of complexity that has to be broken back out

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@benedictevans I am in continuous bafflement that I know people who will pull one all nighter a week writing software from a plastic picnic chair and then complain that the flight from SF to NYC is “uncomfortable” and “hard to sleep on”

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@AviSchiffmann Enormous amount of respect for Zuck: (1) always doing his best to run things responsibly (clear in retrospect) (2) dealing with an endless, multi year torrent of stress and hostility Weaker men would’ve aged a thousand years

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

Air travel is incredible. It is probably the best example of a well-regulated highly competitive market economy creating an almost at-cost public utility, ceding oodles and oodles of surplus value to the consumer

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@devonzuegel I’ve seen a number of coffee shops that double up specifically as wine bars at night. It seems to work reasonably well since it’s a similar setup — lots of single tables, compared to regular bars which tend to be more group-social. Curious why there aren’t more. Liquor licenses?

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@JosephPolitano It’s a meme about 2020! Mid lockdowns! July 2020 **sucked**! This was well known at the time!

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@natfriedman @NeedBirds The guy deleted his tweet so this is just for posterity

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@inerati In practice, this is the position of the US govt. no joke

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@zackmdavis @allgarbled You would not believe what statistical relationships I can find with a log(log(log(x))) graph and a thick line

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@tomgara I live in NYC and it’s actually effective. There’s an air filter inside the hood vent. I have an air quality monitor in my kitchen — baseline CO2 is 500ppm. If I cook without the hood vent, I spike it to ~1300. If I activate the hood vent, it increases only marginally.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@levelsio Is starlink going mainstream actually viable? Satellites have bandwidth throughout limitations. My understanding is that part of the reason why Starlink is so successful right now is because overall usage numbers are still quite low.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

4 months

@depthsofwiki nominative determinism: foiled

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@Jonathan_Blow Think twice — there’s a good argument that the real name policy turned Facebook into the cesspool it is now

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

@danprimack This is what title insurance is for!

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@Nexuist Part of it comes out of vesting schedules. Eventually the work is done! But the employee is still locked in for another two years. The stock is marked up, so they can’t plausibly leave. But they can’t look idle or they’ll get fired. So they have to just kinda… create work.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

The video game industry is well known to be a meat grinder for its employees, but every now and again it still manages to surprise you

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@htmx_org Only <select> is real Select maximalists, where you at Every time I see a drop-down as a button plus divs, I wince

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

18 days

imagine your home town loses a huge war, going from metropolis to rubble, and then two thousand years later people are still talking about it, like a big meme

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@lethalrejection There’s an academic explanation: I recall a paper that showed pretty clearly that what women find physically attractive in men has much greater variability than what men find physically attractive in women => that ugly bf is subjectively hot to his gf; the opposite is more rare

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

Contrarian take: I think today’s kids are vastly smarter than in the past I think folks (especially academic types) are underestimating just how low student performance was even just 20 years ago

alz

@alz_zyd_

5 months

If learning technology is getting so much better (video lectures, youtube, etc) why are the kids not getting smarter

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@michaelcurzi @goblinodds All a man needs is a big rock Maybe a small tungsten cube

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

@allgarbled It’s that time of the month again

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@TaylorRuleSwift @linakhanFTC @CFTC there’s villainy on your watch

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@reverend_5 @seraph76 Nope. Extremely uncommon in the US. Baffling

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@Johnggee @sfstandard @SheriffSF “In break from historic precedent, the city of San Francisco begins half-heartedly enforcing the previously sneered-upon law”

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 years

Perhaps a naive question about FTX/SBF: how did the level of capital expenditure not raise red flags earlier? Some line items: FTX Ventures: $2B Anthropic: $500M Voyager: $1.4B Blockfi: $250M Robinhood: $650M 1/5

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

9 months

@AleResnik There are quite a few not on this list, and many more private companies pulling in a nice quiet $100M+ ARR and not having a public “valuation” even though they’d be priced at $1B+ if they did

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@ChrisExpTheNews @wanyeburkett The $10k properties always owe huge back taxes and need gut renovations. Sticker price is wildly lower than the full cost of ownership

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@tangjeff0 And bought by a company that only raised $9m…? Something strange must have happened

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@kimmaicutler

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

SF Residents in the 1920s: we will build these wooden clapboard houses that are super cheap and easy to replace with whatever later Hippies in the 1960s: we will paint them teal and purple SF Supervisors in the 2020s: sorry this flooded basement is a National heritage site

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

15 days

@brianwilt @Waymo Waymo’s execution is quite literally a story of “slow is steady, steady is fast” Interesting how they played it safe vs Cruise and Uber ATG, and now they’re so far ahead

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

@tinyrevver The popular culture and language of therapy has given more powerful tools to those feigning sincerity. Saying all the right things, lying at greater emotional depth than ever before

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

11 months

@dwr Probably git rebase master; git force push production origin

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

@bryan_johnson That’s great; I’m happy to hear that! Have you considered sharing his health regimens so other folks can see what works? Or is he just on Blueprint/following your lead?

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

There is a very underrated story in YouTube comments turning from mean cesspool to positive and well-spoken over the past few years Perhaps it is possible to effectively fight outrage posting, clickbait, and polarization

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

Frequently in the history of innovation, there have been highly funded, successful businesses run by extremely capable entrepreneurs, whose margins had been squeezed to near-zero by the time they were able to take profits

Garp Capital

@garpcapital

10 months

Wonder how Stripe investors are feeling. As a smart locked anon said “GDP of the internet” sounds a lot sexier than “we make 15bps with dozens of competitors that will compete that down to zero”

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

I think it’s very interesting that humans have a fundamental I/O asymmetry: - I can speak about 2x faster than I can type - I can read about 4x faster than I can listen Ideal output is spoken, ideal input is visual

Alan Cowen

@AlanCowen

2 months

Voice interfaces are inevitable. Speech is 4x faster than typing; frees up the eyes & hands; carries more info in its tune, rhythm, & timbre. So we built the first AI with EQ to understand the voice beyond words. It can better predict when to speak, what to say, & how to say it.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

@BucknSF One guess is that they’re so effective at increasing prices YoY that multi-year passes might leave too much money on the table Another guess: they have plenty of predictability given that the roll-ups operate large portfolios of ski resorts, reducing aggregate variance

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@d_feldman I’m aware! I’ve looked at their Antarctic cruises before. Super nice. The only thing that has me confused is that the ships don’t seem to have a gym on board 🤔

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@dieworkwear Are these companies lying to their customers in the hopes they’ll sell more product? No. That couldn’t be. That would be crazy

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

21 days

It is a curious pattern that virtually all popular architecture is now illegal to build, while most of what we build, after getting it through arduous local govt approval, is perceived as ugly I wonder what we could do to fix this!

Arpit Gupta

@arpitrage

21 days

Love these pre-zoning beauties; before FAR caps and setbacks thwarted NYC architecture

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

To be fair, this is exactly what you’d expect to hear from someone whose business is investing in growth/pre-IPO companies: if there’s no public access for investors until $10B+ valuations, then the implication is that investors need to get access via funds like Coatue

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

29 days

@TheSeaMouse The Moroccan high speed rail is built by a French specialist organization that built, among others, France’s National Railway. They were hired to build CA’s high speed rail, but found working with the CA gov “too dysfunctional”, quit, and went to help Morocco instead

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

One of the main reasons I am such a big fan of @farcaster_xyz is because of its distributed architecture, which ensures that no matter what the whims of @dwr and @varunsrin are, the network is ultimately uncensorable and fully portable.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

Gf: what do you want me to fetch you for breakfast Me, Icelandic citizen: how about a big bowl of guac Gf: ?? Me: yea and top it with blueberries, coconut, and strawberries Gf: ???? Me: call it a smoothie but serve it in a bowl

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

Airports should have an extra fast security line for people with no carryon luggage All you have is a phone and wallet? Walk right through the scanner, 15 seconds per person

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 month

@varunramg [airbnb host’s questionnaire flowchart for renting 1 bedroom in their house] Will your bf/gf be coming with you? [yes] Are you guys in an open relationship? [no] Are you sure? [yes] Okay but hypothetically if

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

@metakuna I interview LaTeX resumes probably at a 5x higher rate than non-LaTeX resumes

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

Ordering delivery from Wendy’s

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

Publishing crisis comms on a blogging website that tries to paywall everything looks fundamentally unserious, sorry

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

You think this venture market is tough? Cisco got to $3M ARR in ~18 months, and still could only raise $3M on $9M post after being passed on by 75 VCs. Oh and the founder/ceo got replaced too. Different times!

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

Okay I propose that if someone is caught having plagiarized their phd thesis entirely from Wikipedia, the PhD award should be transferred to the authors of that Wikipedia article, since clearly they have met the standard for a PhD from that institution

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@shakoistsLog

near

@nearcyan

3 months

google may end up with the best base models yet still be perceived as a laggard due to excessive RLHF

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

The zero-sum view of work-life balance is common but misguided; some people do well in literally all of these areas. The key is making these areas mutually overlap, which is the same as focusing in several ways on the few things that you really enjoy

Pranay Srinivasan

@utekkare

1 year

To not suck at life: - You need to pick 2 of the following 5 you absolutely crush; - You need to pick 1 more that you can half-ass; - You need to be OK almost never doing the other 2. The 5 are: - Family / Spouse - Career / Money - Health / Fitness - Friends / Social Life -

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

7 months

@benparr before close of public markets doesn't mean anything here. OpenAI isn't public and MSFT is too far removed.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

@mynamebedan He’s baiting a particular crowd for outrage. They reply, dunk, etc. but that only spreads his reach. Adversarial marketing 101

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

5 months

@henrysward You need a better PR team. The right headline is “Carta is killing its secondary market, effective immediately”. The rhetorical question does not help — people will not open the article to find out your position

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

Another day, another instance of a nice new thick white t shirt meeting its natural predator, a bowl of spaghetti bolognese 😔

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 years

WeWork’s product hasn’t adapted very well to the remote work environment: people don’t need places to work together, they need places *to take calls*. WeWork is ill-suited for taking calls. Less open plan space, more 1- or 2-person offices rentable for the day

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

Dragonfruit presents one of the greatest deltas between interesting-looking-ness (very intriguing) and flavor (nothing)

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

I tell people I churned from Slack over 300ms of keystroke lag and they laugh Performance is the most unambiguous, easily measured product quality factor in any app. Faster is *always* better. Slowness — especially unexpected lag — ruins immersion, the overall feel of software

Mosquito Capital

@MosquitoCapital

1 year

Absolutely insane stats on the correlation between site performance and usage, from a 2008 Zuck email

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@inerati Or the opposite — as the “secure, private” messaging service, it has always been bonkers that it requires me to give out my phone number

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

@yiqinfu Economically rational shift in students applying to way more colleges. The low probabilities at play make the whole application season more of a game of chance, so the optimal move is to maximize your chances by applying to 20+ schools.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

It is neat that after decades of building highly deterministic logical systems -- austere and cold in their functioning aesthetic -- LLMs now bring us back to working with opaque, not-quite-deterministic systems that feel more organic, like working with biological lifeforms

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

17 days

Modern conveniences are something. When I got to college, getting a desk took days of waiting on delivery, or organizing a trip to the office store. Today I decided I need more desk space, so I ordered a desk off DoorDash. As if it were delivery food — here in under an hour.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

1 year

Weird outcomes in governance, where successful societies are somehow unable to achieve easy wins, all have one thing in common: veto power I used to think that it’s culture, electorate, etc. that matters, but no: it’s really *which small special interest groups hold veto power*

Paul Graham

@paulg

1 year

@amasad I don't think it's accurate to say that ideology *runs* large orgs. It's more that highly ideological people can often hijack them, if everyone else is indifferent. Lobbies representing small but very dedicated groups often do this to the US government.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

10 months

@agreeahmed @Austen Yep. The exchange’s edge in getting volume came because Alameda was a money-losing counterparty on trades, which meant that third-party traders could make more money on FTX than elsewhere. But that’s not sustainable, of course.

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

6 months

@michaelcurzi American Economy remains the world’s most efficient at deliciously feeding its people

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 years

@amasad Scott Alexander suggested the same, you may find interesting:

New Atheism: The Godlessness That Failed

Thucydides predicted that future generations would underestimate the power of Sparta. It built no great temples, left no magnificent ruins. Absent any tangible signs of the sway it once held, memor…

slatestarcodex.com

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

2 months

The fact that Merton and Scholes won the Nobel prize in economics for the options pricing model, then started a massive hedge fund, and promptly blew up like a couple of boys heading to the casino for the first time, will never cease to be funny to me

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

3 months

@somewheresy Was there a second date?

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

7 months

Sam Altman Sam Bankman Writing a regex to find companies run by people named Sam C*man and shorting them

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

9 months

@nearcyan Not to mention cutting through 18mm of steel requires a serious instrument and several minutes of time. In other cities, that would be far too risky, it’s not a smash-and-grab. The implication is that the criminal sees virtually zero risk

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John Loeber 🎢

@johnloeber

8 months

@rrichrs @buccocapital The Federal Reserve cannot do what you are suggesting. They do not issue mortgages, and they cannot create home builder incentives. They have very few tools at their disposal, most notably setting the single interest rate at which banks can borrow from the Fed.

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