Yellen: “A growing China that plays by international rules is good for the United States and the world”. Dear god, does she think other countries can’t see that the US has 3X the WTO cases against it than China? And has blown up its appeals body!? 😵💫😵💫😵💫
Seems a bit rich. When Beijing hit Australian exports, Washington didn’t request, let alone prevent, US firms from snapping up Australia’s lost market share in China. In fact, US companies picked up more $$$ than those from any other country.
Its unedifying stuff watching chest-beaters claim victory following the
@AlboMP
-Xi meeting. But they never explain why we had to shoot ourselves in the foot to get to where we are now, unlike any other US ally or partner. That'd require self-reflection🤡.
More evidence of A+ diplomacy from the
@AlboMP
government. Trade Min Don Farrell: "We don’t want to have to continue with the World Trade Organization disputes [against China]. We want to resolve these issues through discussions, and it’s my determination that we’ll do that."
Tianwen-1, China’s first interplanetary exploration, pulled off a spectacular soft landing on Mars on Sat. Chinese scientists developed a slew of solutions to help the craft survive the "seven minutes of terror," or rather the "nine minutes of unknown.
Ok, the proportion of Australians who think China will invade soon is at *just* 1 in 10. But even 1 in 10!? That this is double the proportion of Taiwanese who think the same shows just how successful the China threat inflation industry here has become.
As Peter Varghese wrote in May, the ratcheting up of attempts to thwart China, “will render impossible the construction of guard rails”, and so be a, “recipe for geostrategic instability”. Washington clearly not thinking straight. Allies need to speak up.
@ASPI_org
Peter Jennings says “You can choose the West or choose China, that’s the world.” No Peter, that might be the world of your fevered fantasies, but it’s not the real world. And it’s certainly not a world that’s in Australia’s interests.
US economic coercion can make China’s almost seem trifling. Countries like Australia would do well to pause and ask whether their interests are served by zero-sum strategic competition directed against their largest trading partner. We still have agency.
The condescension some Australian analysts display towards SE Asian countries is next level. They are dupes that do not understand China’s strategy, and fools for prioritising economic development. We need to push them to embrace competition and rivalry. 🙄
“Liberal MP
@DaveSharma
, a former senior diplomat, said the Chinese ship’s presence “does not strike me as the act of a friendly nation”. Seriously? The US/allies have spying assets hard up against China’s coastline. Every. Single. Day. For. Years.
Geoff Raby: “the Communist Party of China has a well-established pattern of dealing with these types of events. It moves from cover-up, to denial, to kill the whistleblower, to blaming everyone and especially foreigners...”
@adam_tooze
: “The upshot is that America welcomes China’s economic modernization…so long as China’s development proceeds along lines that do not infringe on American leadership…”. 🤪. Australia ought to distance itself from this bonkers position.
Finally, some media accountability for past assessments & predictions made around China by the likes of
@ASPI_org
Peter Jennings. Its been a major shortcoming of Australia's China debate. Allegations are made, get debunked, but the narrative just rolls on.
We've heard a lot about China's economic doldrums and the geopolitical differences btw Canberra & Beijing. Yet the importance of the Chinese market only grows. In the year to August, 🇦🇺 goods exports to 🇨🇳 reached another record high: $A195.4 billion. 1/3
Incredibly condescending piece towards Southeast Asia and their views of, and dealings with, China. Of course, we know better and need to push them to make “wise” choices that will bifurcate the region. Yes, that’ll be great for stability and prosperity 🤦🏼♂️
On China relations.
@australian
gets the headline wrong.
@FinancialReview
gets it right. Simple as that. Of course there’s scope to disagree with Beijing’s diagnosis but how does misrepresenting them better inform the 🇦🇺 public & advance 🇦🇺’s interests?
Vicky’s resilience in the face of this abuse is off the charts. But how utterly pathetic are the trolls who target her - could you find a bigger bunch of cowards? Thanks for making Australia your home, Vicky. The country is made better by you being here.
Australia's own intelligence & security agencies haven't even recommended a broader
#TikTok
ban. It was the subject of a lengthy review just last year. But now we must now follow the US because its hairy-chested domestic politics on China dictates it!?
China's trade strikes on Australia were never simply about calling for a COVID inquiry. It was always that comments made by senior ministers gave the distinct impression they were coordinating with the Trump administration to attack China over COVID. Big difference. Now this 👇
@ASPI_org
Peter Jennings delivers his usual polemic rather than serious analysis. Claims China wants to lock Australia into mining, not processing. Yet Australia’s first lithium processor was made possible by Chinese investment and technology! 🤦🏼♂️🤡
We know the only reason Australia has any lithium value-adding (processing) capacity is because of technology transfer from China's Tianqi Lithium. The second one will be built by a US company. But guess what? Chinese technology transfer again! And it /1
Stan Grant: “This...toxic dispute is not in Australia's interests and was not driven purely by standing up for Australian values. The Morrison Govt has followed an American line on China that has gone from competition and cooperation to confrontation.”
Andrew Forrest: "Actually, engaging with China is a very good thing for our national interest. And if you quote the national interest and then not engage with China, then you are politicking, and worse, betraying the national interest".
Come on Beijing, just let Cheng Lei return to Australia. This is the priority, not trade issues. Her kids will get their mum back and the whole bilateral relationship will breath a sigh of relief, setting up the possibility of further positive engagement.
Extraordinary results on Australian public fears of a Chinese military attack.
@MConleytyler
: “It is doubtful that any military planner in the world would agree with this assessment, which begs the question of what is stoking this fear?” 🤔
The US and China will, of course, have their own bilateral to and fro. But here we have Washington putting its own priorities above a responsibility to serve as a constructive regional player. I doubt the leaders of many APEC economies will be impressed.
Scrutiny of
@ASPI_org
, like Hamish McDonald provides here, has nothing to do with Beijing’s critique. That’s cheap distraction. ASPI is not a private think-tank. Australians have every right to ask and get answers on why it has strayed from its mandate.
How good is sovereignty? Allan Gyngell: "The capability they [the US] provide is only available to us if we cede a degree – quite a high degree in this case – of Australian sovereignty".
Look, I'm not trying to be a sh*t stirrer, but Washington reckons that Australia's economic relationship with the US contributed $131 bn to Australia's economy in 2019. And this made the US Australia's 'most important economic partner'. But last year China bought $169.1 bn so...?
“Something that will not change is the United States’ position as Australia’s most important economic partner.” Ambassador Culvahouse marking 15 years of the
#USwithAUS
Free Trade Agreement. View part 2 of the
@USSC
webinar here:
Hugh White: “...our government seems to have no idea how serious...our situation has become...one of the biggest failures of statecraft in Australia’s history”. Can’t we just keep repeating “Strategic patience”, “new settling point” & “happy coexistence”?
@benjaminbland
: “Indonesia’s position on China is really different from Australia’s and, if anything, it’s moving closer to China. It’s undeniable Indonesia and Australia are moving in literally polar opposite directions…”
Dear god, give me a break! Example
#25478
of why its so hard to have a sensible discussion of China and relations with Beijing in Australia. Here's my actual critique of
@ASPI_org
, which ended with a call for it to lift its game or be shrunk. But sure, smack down that straw man!
@ASPI_org
’s rigorous work was questioned by some trolls and academics, with calls for ASPI to be shrunk. But ASPI have now been vindicated by the UN despite intense CCP pressure. These trolls and academics owe ASPI,
@xu_xiuzhong
,
@Nrg8000
and others a retraction and apology.
"It simply illustrates what has been hiding in plain sight for three decades: one of the most relentless military build-ups in history. Beijing’s armaments spending has consistently outpaced economic growth". You sure about that,
@Rory_Medcalf
? 🤔
Australia comes of age as an Indo-Pacific power - my commentary on AUKUS and unpicking Beijing’s myths of regional opposition, just out in
@FinancialReview
Ugly nationalism is ugly wherever it comes from: China, the US or Australia. A scholarly critique is one thing but the vile attacks against
@xu_xiuzhong
aren't normal or acceptable in any sense. They're just ugly and need to be called out.
If you missed
@UTSEngage
Prof Wanning Sun deliver the
@anu_china
annual lecture last week, which looked at the role local media has played in shaping Australia's understanding of China, the full text (and video) of her talk is now available here 👇
NEW: In
@SCMPNews
I show that as China unleashes trade punishment on Australia, the US is 0/6 in standing with 🇦🇺 if it involves actions that incur a cost. This is not reason for 🇦🇺 Australia to panic. But let's be clear who is paying the price.
@UTSEngage
Paul Kelly: “…where is Australia?…Biden can meet Xi, but Morrison’s Australia cannot. Biden’s America can do deals, but Morrison’s Australia cannot. & what future deals might 🇺🇸 do with 🇨🇳 that don’t align with 🇦🇺 interests?”. Bingo.
Shanmugam: “last year, when China signed a security agreement with the Solomon Islands, there was considerable alarm in Australia about a possible Chinese military presence…– 2000km away from Australia. I think Kyiv is about 500km away from Moscow.”
Ouch.
@HonJulieBishop
: “In my experience if they were truly a spy from any nation who was engaged in such high level espionage, that person would be enveloped in our intelligence community and would be nowhere near the media”.
Deliberately sensationalising Chinese government spying/influence/interference stories is not only poor ethical practice. It misleads viewers and readers. And amongst others Australians it weakens their trust in media, a vital democratic institution.
LOL. China's total goods imports from Australia finished at their second highest-level ever: $114.8 b in 2020 v $119.6b in 2019. Meanwhile, affected Australian companies and the public aren't becoming lobbyists for Beijing either. Targeting trade has proven a losing strategy.
#Australia
's constant hostility toward
#China
throughout 2020 may have put a significant dent in its export-reliant economy: Chinese imports from Australia recorded an annual decline of 5.3% in US dollar terms.
The revoking of visas to visit Australia for Chen Hong
@chenhong_sh
and Li Jianjun will require some explaining. They aren’t like Huang Xiangmo. They are friends to scores of Australian academics, including me, known for years.
Geoff Raby: “Maintaining good relations with China is not a policy end in and of itself. Having good relations with any country is a means to advance Australia’s national interests.”: PM's virus inquiry was a lose-lose call
ICYMI: here’s a copy of the print version of my article in
@canberratimes
yesterday. It deals with
@ASPI_org
& specifically the quality of its work in providing policy contestability to government and informing public discussion in Australia around China.
Oh please, bugger off. Unnamed Five Eyes intelligence officer: "The East Asian mind and the Western mind are fundamentally different in the way they think...Western thought is based on causality; East Asian thinking is like a spider's web..."
After a couple weeks in China, I'm just catching up on Australian commentary and the frames adopted in a significant chunk of media reporting on
@AlboMP
's
#China
visit. Gosh, the panic that 🇦🇺 might actually have a constructive relationship with 🇨🇳 is barely concealed, isn't it?
#BRI
& Darwin Port. As the "China threat" industry has grown (as opposed to informed assessments about real 🇨🇳 risks), a lot of Johnny-come-latelies have emerged. Alas, some of us having been watching 🇦🇺🇨🇳 relations closely for years.
@MichaelPascoe01
👇
This is what, the 4th story featuring the same names, with the same sinister framing and suggestions of leaked genuine intelligence when in fact its nothing of a sort? If
@MarisePayne
@dfat
really care about misinformation and social cohesion, they’d proactively call this out.
Ummm...leave aside Huawei and the UK for a second, is the claim that China does not allow Western companies to build its communications systems true? Not that truth is important these days of course....🙃
Since 2014 I’ve been proud to serve as Deputy Director of
@acri_uts
under
@bobjcarr
. This month I’ve taken over the reins of Australia’s only research institute devoted to informing Australia-China relations 👍
@UTSEngage
Our deputy PM, ladies and gentlemen, describing our biggest trade partner, our most prolific scientific collaborator and source country of some of our hardest working immigrants: “[China] is the one that really can take the liberties off your children.”
Peter Varghese: "If we tether ourselves to the cause of US primacy we leave ourselves exposed to US policies which may make sense for the US but not necessarily for Australia."
Does seemingly every story about
#APEC
in
#PNG
have to be framed in terms of geopolitical competition between the US and China? I’m rather keen to hear more about
#PNG
and the Pacific island countries themselves. They do still hold some agency...
And there you have it! Both the Australian and Chinese leaders with smiles and the message that, "It was a positive and constructive discussion". Hats off to the diplomats on both sides who brokered the meeting more than six years since the last one.
It was good to discuss our relationship with China’s President Xi Jinping today. It was a positive and constructive discussion. We will cooperate where we can, disagree where we must, and engage in our national interest.
Hugh White: “Their [US/UK] reason [for sharing technology] has nothing to do with…shared values and…a free and open Indo–Pacific. It has everything to do with the US’s hard-nosed strategic interest to tie us…to its military strategy against China”.
🤔 After laying out a dystopian future with apparent conviction, Greg Sheridan finishes with, “These are worst-case scenarios. Probably they will never come about…we have absolutely no idea of whether a victorious Beijing would do these things or not.”
“Chinese diplomacy is dying, in full public view. It is starting to no longer focus on external audiences...instead becoming an appendix of China’s propaganda apparatus, focusing on domestic audiences” h/t
@SuLin_Tan
Queensland has 4 trade & investment offices in China.
@ASPI_org
Peter Jennings says this is “absurd”, arguing it “has no business in foreign affairs”. IMO, it is absurd Jennings is paid $426K/yr to comment on topics he clearly knows little about.
On Tuesday I had the pleasure of meeting with the new Chinese ambassador to Australia, Xiao Qian, welcoming him to
@UTSEngage
@acri_uts
. We had a broad-ranging discussion on 🇦🇺🇨🇳 relations and I look forward to meeting with him & exchanging views regularly during his posting.
Here’s another example of why the line that “China is a bully and that’s all you need to know” falls short: “The [🇦🇺] government has secretly rejected several other Chinese takeovers in the past six months, beyond traditional critical infrastructure...”.
Quite some comments from
@ASPI_org
Executive Director, Peter Jennings. It’s completely normal for the boss of an organisation getting a $20 million, non-competitive base funding grant from Australian taxpayers to jump to amplify this “research”.
On 🇦🇺🇨🇳 relations, I don’t regard myself as playing a team sport where I must pick a side and barrack for them mindlessly. I’m an academic. Yes, that can mean you cop it from all sides. But so be it. And no, I’m quite happy speaking out thanks, calling things as I see them.
Beautiful day in Canberra for 50th 🇦🇺🇨🇳 anniversary celebrations at the Chinese embassy. A large crowd in attendance. Thinking back to where things were this time last year, you’ve got to have particular admiration for the diplomats on both sides. 🥂
On the
@DanielAndrewsMP
VIC government
#BRI
stuff, have folks simply forgotten the federal government’s position on this? It wasn’t just 2017. They were happy to send Frances Adamson to Beijing and say this in April 2019. This was 6 months after VIC MOU was signed.
@Gallo_Ways
Let's celebrate Beijing's release of
#ChengLei
firstly, and most importantly, at a human level - what it means for her personally, what it means for her family and closest friends. Then we can reflect on what it says more broadly about Australia-China relations. The timing,...1/n
Banyan – Australia’s debate about China is becoming hot, angry and shrill: "If the [China] hawks’ tactics end up making Australia seem a less civil, tolerant or welcoming place, then the country will be the poorer for it".
Certainly a fair expectation. But perhaps even more worryingly, whoever feed them the story could read Chinese, but lacked skills in research methodology or, more likely, integrity. This combination, combined with a media worker and hangers-on happy to play the game, is toxic.
@australian
@SharriMarkson
Can you find someone who can read Chinese before reporting?
This embarrassing story is totally based on a conspiracy theory book that actually says SARS was made by the US military. And you can buy the book on Amazon, it’s not a leaked document.
Singaporean PM on China relations: “There will be rough spots … and you have to deal with that…But deal with them as issues in a partnership which you want to keep going and not issues, which add up to an adversary which you are trying to suppress.”
All of "the-world-supports-Oz-on-China" headlines this week overshadowed the distinctly cool appraisal from Singapore's Lee Hsien Loong whose speech only a few years ago on regional geo-politics won a big tick from
@ScottMorrisonMP
@JDWilson08
: “This is not about Australia or barley any more...It’s actually about Chinese exceptionalism and the question is are they bound to core WTO rules that have been developed and refined over the last 70 years or can they make stuff up?”
NZ is taking care not to unnecessarily politicise or securitise relations with China. It’s got nothing to do with rolling over to China. It’s called smart diplomacy and the challenge for Australia is to rediscover it. And good morning
@davidcapie
!
NEW: In
@australian
,
@WeihuanZhou
and I explain why China's bid to enter
#CPTPP
should be welcomed. That doesn't mean agreeing to entry on weak terms. But the case against starting negotiations too often lacks relevant context & the full suite of facts.
It’s almost as if 1.4 billion Chinese never reached one-quarter of US GDP per person. Or weren’t entitled to do so without being a US protectorate. American exceptionalism is a helluva trip. Serious discussion about specific 🇨🇳 capability/behaviour is possible without delusion.
Agreed, but I’d go one step further: an Asian “arms race” has been underway for over two decades now. It’s just that it’s been extremely one-sided. Those who don’t get this don’t understand, or prefer to ignore, what China’s been doing.
It'll be very interesting to see whether these Chinese companies in Australia work just as hard to send supplies in the opposite direction now. There's no legal obligation to do so but their social license to operate may well depend on it.
With the "14 demands" narrative having lost currency, roughly the same crowd in 🇦🇺 now claim that 🇨🇳 has issued a new list of "4 demands"/"musts". Yet a bunch of fluent Chinese speakers I've spoken to say this is an extreme interpretation. Judge yourself.👇
Here's my take on what a new Australian 🇦🇺 government means for relations with China🇨🇳. The return of diplomacy in Canberra, an FM who values regional capitals for insight and past responses to new govts by Beijing are all causes for optimism.
@UTSEngage
Be clear what’s happening here: an American company is turning to China to get their Australian lithium processing facility working. Why? “China is good at this…there’s a machine in China that’s just very good at this”. Say hello to 🇨🇳 as the tech leader.
Calling
@ASPI_org
Peter Jennings a security "expert" when it comes to ports is a helluva stretch. Don't forget when his views on Darwin Port were slapped down by the Secretary of Defence, the Chief of the Defence Force and the boss of ASIO. 😱 2 days ago 👇
“Belt and Road has become a form of debt-trap-diplomacy...”. I really can’t believe we still have commentators pushing this misinformation. Have they really swallowed US government talking points hook, line and sinker?
Let's be clear what has been cancelled: a non-legally binding MOU that didn't commit the VIC state government to do anything, let alone the national government. There was an option to just let it lapse and not approve new agreements. A choice was made to send a message to 🇨🇳.
I see others have responded to this call to make Australia's foreign interference laws China-specific. I'll note something else: the author apparently can't bring himself to say "Chinese government". Instead, 37 times, its "CCP". Reveals much about the author. China? Not so much.
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨
In the new ASPI report 'Losing our agnosticism: How to make Australia’s foreign influence laws work' author Daniel Ward explores Australia's 'country agnostic' policy & how it is detrimental to combating foreign interference
Read report:
Alrighty then: “A Donald Trump victory would be better for Australia than a Joe Biden presidency. This counterintuitive view is widely, if semi-secretly, held in Australian national security circles, and it is almost certainly right”.
The beat up about the CCP/spies/Australian diplomatic missions continues, with quotes from the usual folks, including anonymous intelligence sources. What a shame this crap appears in our national broadsheet. But doesn’t undo the good work by others there.
This is a deplorable slur, Tim. Surely Australians can expect better from MPs. Disagree with Geoff on the merits of his arguments by all means. But saying he’s batting for China rather than Australia...wow, how did this become acceptable behaviour?
Well said, and with key points made by many others too: “Australia, by contrast, is determined to deal [with China] in black and white, which leaves us no room for statecraft at all”. Yet the local cheer-leaders keep cheering and Canberra keeps listening, digging the hole deeper.
OPINION | Australia insists on viewing Beijing in black and white. But that’s ill-matched with China’s expertise in the grey zone, writes the
@LowyInstitute
's
@mcgregorrichard
.
Who’s surprised? And if you are, I’m tipping you live in Canberra or Washington: “Japanese companies operating in China remain bullish: Just 7.2% of them said they were moving or considering moving production out of China”: Decoupling denied: Japan Inc...
Tony Abbott: "China has exploited the West’s goodwill and wishful thinking to steal our technology and undercut our industries...". This is unhelpful inflammatory rhetoric and mostly factually wrong. Australia is too smart to go the full Trump...right? 😬
A multipolar region won’t be kind to hypocrisy - whether from the US or China. Wonder whether that penny will drop first in Washington or Beijing. Or perhaps never in both! 🤦🏼♂️
Michael Wesley delivers a very frank assessment on Australia-China relations: “The place to start in reconceptualising our relationship with China is by admitting our strategy so far has failed”. Doubt that’ll go down well in the Canberra blob.
A new Australian government means an improved trajectory in relations with China is a real possibility. Not a “re-set”. And nothing will change unless Beijing is willing to start talking again & restore trade ties. But diplomacy really does matter. And now it’s back in Canberra.
“The danger of seeing everything through the prism of a U.S.-China contest is that it reduces the world’s regions to playing fields and its countries to prizes, rather than engaging with them as actors with their own interests and needs.” 👍
Great piece on the unreflective herd mentality on demonizing China that dominates in Washington. The author IMO correctly assesses the dangers of such silliness. This isn’t about not pushing back where needed. It’s about grasping the complexity of...
Two years ago, 20 Indian soldiers died in a border clash with China. Yet within a few hours of the 🇨🇳 MU5735 tragedy, 🇮🇳 Modi expresses what certainly reads as genuine condolences . 🇬🇧 Johnson/🇨🇦 Trudeau too. But 🇦🇺 Morrison, Payne? Still nothing. Something is broken in Canberra.
Deeply shocked and saddened to learn about the crash of the passenger flight MU5735 with 132 on board in China’s Guangxi. Our thoughts and prayers are with the victims of the crash and their family members.
Really excited by
@ChengxinPan
joining us at
@acri_uts
in an adjunct role. In my view he’s long been one of Australia’s most original international relations scholars on the topic of Australia-China relations.
.
@acri_uts
is delighted to announce the appointment of Dr
@ChengxinPan
as an Adjunct Associate Professor. Dr Pan is Associate Professor of International Relations
@Deakin
and specialises in China's foreign policy & int relations; Chinese politics; Aus, US foreign policy
I thank the Amb. of the People's Republic of China to AU 🇦🇺, H.E. Xiao Qian for accepting my invitation to participate in a public event at
@UTSEngage
today. To quote
@RichardMarlesMP
, "when relationships are complex, that's when dialogue matters most".