Henry Olsen @henryolsenEPPC Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

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Senior Fellow, @EPPCdc . Host of Beyond the Polls podcast - …

Washington DC (aka Mos Eisley)

https://t.co/5QeqVTBJ3v

Joined October 2014

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@henryolsenEPPC

Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

14 days

This week on Beyond the Polls - @EchelonInsights ’ @PatrickRuffini talks about his book, Party of the People, and the multi-ethnic working class GOP future. Plus dueling ads of the week!

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Party of the People

Patrick Ruffini of Echelon Insights joins to discuss his new book, The Party of the People: Inside the Multiracial Populist Coalition Remaking the GOP. He and Henry consider why the shift has...

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@asusually_

@SHINOHARAA98176

@henryolsenEPPC

Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

Dear Mr. President, You cannot "order" American companies to do anything. Sincerely, The American Constitution

@realDonaldTrump

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

5 years

....better off without them. The vast amounts of money made and stolen by China from the United States, year after year, for decades, will and must STOP. Our great American companies are hereby ordered to immediately start looking for an alternative to China, including bringing..

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

113,000 Election Day votes now counted in AZ. Trump winning over 64%.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Salt Lake County drops 20,000 votes, GOP candidate Burgess Owens gains 1,000 to extend lead to 1,780. This is almost done; another likely GOP House gain.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

This is when Milwaukee County, which everyone knew was counting its nearly 200,000 ballots in one place, released its count. Not fraud.

@realDonaldTrump

Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

3 years

Look at this in Wisconsin! A day AFTER the election, Biden receives a dump of 143,379 votes at 3:42AM, when they learned he was losing badly. This is unbelievable!

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

We're up to 133,361 Election Day votes in AZ. Trump winning 65.1% of them.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

54,000 Election Day votes reporting in AZ. Trump winning 61% of them. Remember, if there are as many outstanding as I think there are, that's the level he needs to have a shot.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Big news here - Garcia increases his lead in CA 25 on votes from LA County, where Smith leads overall.

@rpyers

Rob Pyers

3 years

🚨L.A. County updates in #CA25 , with 2,241 votes breaking 55.96%/44.04% in FAVOR of incumbent Republican @MikeGarcia2020 , extending his lead over Democrat Christy Smith by 267 votes to a new lead of 371

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

They’re not her colleagues: her colleagues are at the Law School. These are faculty members at the undergraduate college who likely have never met her.

@jonathanalter

Jonathan Alter

4 years

BREAKING: 88 of Amy Coney Barrett’s faculty colleagues at Notre Dame have released a letter saying she should withdraw from consideration for the Supreme Court.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Maricopa County AZ uses Dominion machines to count ballots. It completed its legally required hand count test on Nov 9 to check whether the machines accurately counted the paper ballots. The check found no errors for any race in any precinct. 1/2

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Please explain to me why FL, OH, and TX have not yet been called for Trump. He's got big leads that have gotten larger as the night has worn on and there's 85-95% of the vote in for each.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

I said last night that if Trump won about 60% of those, he would win. He was winning over 60% in the votes counted last night. He will now win AZ if gets about 57-8%. Game on in AZ.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

So there's enough of the votes in in GA, OH, and NC that I think Trump has a very good shot of winning them all. Not calling it - but the early vote is not strong enough for Biden in OH or NC for him to be sure of holding off a Trump Election Day surge. Look to PA - again.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Slow hauling in AZ. 147,923 Election Day votes counted, Trump 65.3%.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

If the Orange County update in 45 minutes breaks Kim's way too, I think we can put this as another seat in the GOP win column.

@rpyers

Rob Pyers

3 years

🚨Update from San Bernardino County adds 2,878 votes in #CA39 that break 67.2%/32.8% for Republican @YoungKimCA , widening her lead over incumbent Democrat @RepGilCisneros from 3,095 votes to 4,085 votes.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

This is an excellent summary of why virtually every Trump claim of voter fraud - and all of the important ones - is bunk. And it's on a conservative Republican elections analysis site. Read it if you want the truth about 2020.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

First batch of Election Day votes in from Pima (Tucson) the largest Dee vote sink in AZ. Trump wins 7,238 to 3,266. Fox may end up being right, but watch this puppy tighten a LOT.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

This is called “nullifucation,” a theory discredited since John C. Calhoun advanced it in the 1830s.

@KariLake

Kari Lake

2 years

When I’m Governor, Arizona will not recognize unconstitutional Gun Laws in our state. We just won’t do it. What are the Feds going to do? Fly down here and arrest a sitting Governor? Call my bluff.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I'm calling Florida Governor for DeSantis. The latest Broward dump means there should be less than 100,000 votes total left and DeSantis' lead should withstand that surge. It, too, will be very close, 50,000 votes either way.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

The process is overseen by representatives of the Democratic, Republican, and Libertarian parties, each of whom select in turn which precincts to count. The counters are also selected in teams of 3 with no more than 2 of the same political party to ensure accuracy. 2/2

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

If this is true, it means (a) Ukraine’s Air Force still exists and (b) its older planes can beat Russia’s newer ones.

@IAPonomarenko

Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦

2 years

🇺🇦Ukraine’s Air Force says Ukrainian Sukhoi Su-27 downed two Russian Su-30s in dogfight

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Biden's numbers with independents continue to crater. His 5-poll average among I's from this morning's RCP is 34.2-57. Minus 23 among independents is ten points worse than just a week and a half ago when I sounded the alarm. He's gone from +13 in 2020 to -23 in 11 months. 1/2

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I've seen enough in MO. Hawley is ahead by 137,000 and there still lots of rural counties to report. Still lots of votes out in St. Louis County and a few in the city, but not enough to overcome this lead. I call it for Hawley - that's +4 for the GOP tonight.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I know why the networks are cautious, but I called Rick Scott an hour ago. He's 66,000 votes up with 99% in. IT'S OVER!!! CALL IT!!

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I'm calling Florida Senate for Rick Scott. Not enough votes left in Broward, Miami and Palm Beach to gain 76,000 votes. That's the second GOP Senate gain and eliminated the possibility of Democratic Senate control.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Last night on Twitter I was criticized for saying that there were between 900,000 and 1 million votes left to count in AZ. In the last hour we learned that late arriving ballots means there are ~ 600,000 votes left to count - on top of the over 300,000 xtra counted last night.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

I had not met @Nigel_Farage or @Jacob_Rees_Mogg when I wrote this @PostOpinions piece. Now that I have, I’m more convinced than ever that Brexit is right for Britain.

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Opinion | Brexit would be hard for Britain. Staying in the E.U. would be worse.

The European Union is in crisis, and it’s only going to get worse.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

The headline below says it all. My scathing denunciation of Trump’s abominable suggestion to delay the election, only @PostOpinions -

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Opinion | Trump’s suggestion to delay the election is the most anti-democratic thing any president...

Every conservative should immediately, forcefully and vocally repudiate Trump's statement.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Re: #OH12 - Balderson will win despite the urban (Delaware/Franklin) share of the vote approaching 65%. It's at 63.7% now and all the votes left are in Delaware. Was 59% in 2012. So rural Trump voters turned out at much lower rates and the Dems STILL lost. THAT'S big news.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

And California's unique system meant there was no Republican on the general election ballot, only two Democrats, thereby artificially inflating the Dem/GOP margin. I would have thought you knew that. Oh, maybe you did.

@brhodes

Ben Rhodes

6 years

More Americans voted for a Democrat for Senate (in total vote) and President (in popular vote) in 2016. So whatever is happening now, it's not an accurate representation of what a majority of Americans wanted.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Bernie carries unmarried men in MO by 9; loses both sets of married by gender and unmarried women. Bernie Bros are a thing.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

Wake up Democrats! Ilhan Omar is your Steve King: Deal with her anti-Semitism before it’s too late. My latest for @PostOpinions -

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Opinion | Ilhan Omar is the Steve King of the left

The freshman Democratic congresswoman deserves to have her committee assignments taken away.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

So as predicted, McSally is ahead. 1.3 million votes - ignore the precincts in, look at the vote. If the Election Day vote trends GOP, as it has elsewhere she'll win. We'll now soon, but it's looking good for McSally.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

IT'S OV-AH! Abigail Spanberger (D) holds on to VA 7, saved by the late counted early cast mail vote in Prince William County. She's ahead by 2% with only a couple of precincts left. Big hold.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Hang on to your hats. I have a spreadsheet that lets me calculate the estimated Election Day vote out once all the early votes are reported. In AZ, I estimate there are 950,000 to 1 million votes left to count (based on a 78% turnout of RVs). Trump needs 60% of these to win.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Just checked the AZ SOS site. PIma almost all in and McSally gained votes there in the E Day ballots. Sinema is now 24,500 votes behind and there will not be enough ballots left for her to make that up, even if there Maricopa does count a lot of votes Thursday. GOP wins AZ Senate

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Just did some math. If 77% of AZ RV voted, there are roughly 850,000 votes outstanding. If Trump wins then 61-38, he gains 195,500 votes on Biden. Biden's lead right now: 196,600.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Heller is gone. Clark County (Las Vegas) dropped its early ballots and he's behind statewide by 8.5%. He's also behind in Washoe (Reno) which he needed to win. Dem's first Senate gain of the night, bringing it down to +3 GOP.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

I just looked at NJ and almost every county now shows swings to the GOP large enough to defeat Phil Murphy. Lots of votes left, and I don't know which areas are out or whether the early vote gets reported late in some places. But this is a real race, much to my shock. 35/x

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

Here's an example of why I am very leery of calling things early tonight. 2 hours ago, I tweeted that Warnock was beating his 21 margins in Glynn and Richmond counties by 5 and 12 points, respectively. But with 88% in in Glynn, he's now 1% behind 21. In Richmond, he's 3% behind.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

DeSantis is ahead by 15% - and NONE of the GOP heavy Panhandle is in yet!!!

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

This. The Cold War ended in 1989 - you have to be nearly 50 to have any adult memories of that.

@mattbai

Matt Bai

2 years

Biden was fine today. But were I writing the State of the Union, I would begin by telling the story of what NATO is, why it was founded, and why it still matters. Voters remember almost nothing about the Cold War. It might be wise to catch them up.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Perdue will get an extra 30-35,000 vote margin when five rural GOP counties yet to report come in. But that gets his lead up to only about 85,000. DeKalb alone will swamp that.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Here's the Perdue problem in a nutshell. NYT model, which has been excellent all night, roughly estimates he gains 2k votes over Ossoff expected margin in all D counties except DeKalb. But it has him winning DeKalb by 151k, swamping Perdue's current 62k lead.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

8 years

President Trump.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I'm calling VA-7 for Spanberger. Very little of the vote out, all of it in Spanberger territory. Unless the ten precincts out in Chesterfield are much more GOP than the whole county, Brat is gone.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

This @PressSec statement is crap. Trump could have said all this yesterday. He didn’t. Does anyone believe he had anything to do with it? Note she says the statement came from “the Administration,” not the President.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Things happening too quickly for me to complete this, but the margins in Republican GA not looking large enough to offset big Dem turnout in Black areas. DeKalb County still has most of its vote to drop and Ossoff and Warnock will get close to 130-150,000 vote margins there.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Simi Valley in Ventura County gives Garcia (R) a 15.4% lead on 35,000 ballots. That's a 5,475 vote lead. But registered R's cast only 4,400 more ballots per politicaldata inc. So that means Garcia carried independents, too. #CA25

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

A majority of Americans don’t want to impeach Trump. But a supermajority of Democratic voters do. That’s Pelosi’s problem.

@ForecasterEnten

(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten

5 years

Here's a roundup of polling on impeachment since April... Asks different ways and in swing states too. You can see why Pelosi is hesitant.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

Wow. The GOP has trailed the Democrats for virtually the entire time since 1930. If this is replicated and holds up for an entire year, nearly a century of US politics is upended.

@bpmehlman

Bruce Mehlman

2 years

Big shift in Party ID in 2021: GOP +7, DEM -7

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Lots of GOP rural counties yet to report in TX SEN. Cruz will go in front on the early vote by 1-3% by the time it is all in.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Indiana is looking GREAT for Braun. As the Election Day vote comes in, Donnelly is slipping everywhere. He is now running behind his 2012 margins in both Marion (Indy) and St. Joseph's (South Bend). He needed to run AHEAD of his 2012 margins here to hold off Braun's rural surge.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

Zelensky understands what the US does not. His death, if it comes to that, means more for his nation's survival in the long run than being whisked out by US special forces. #Courage

@shaneharris

Shane Harris

2 years

New tonight: US stands ready to evacuate Zelensky as Russian forces move in on Kyiv.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

If Katie and Ducey are right, this is consistent with what I said an hour ago. Up to 1 million uncounted votes after early votes, and 113k have been counted already.

@KatiePavlich

Katie Pavlich

4 years

Just spoke to AZ Governor Doug Ducey's office. There are at least 900,000 votes outstanding that haven't been counted. About half are Maricopa. W/ every update, they say it's breaking significantly toward Trump 2-1. Doesn't mean a Trump win, but that's still a lot of uncounted

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

The mostly male pundit class panned @amyklobuchar 's ripostes with @PeteButtigieg last night. I'll bet women saw it completely differently. Far from dooming her, this could be the fuel that propels her into the top tier. My latest for @PostOpinions -

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Opinion | Forget ‘Minnesota nice.’ Amy Klobuchar’s rage is exactly what she needs right now.

Klobuchar knows the struggles that all ambitious women face at work. Modern men should be smart enough to value her toughness.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

The last AZ county, Apache, has dropped its early votes. Still almost no Election Day ballots counted. Will report as they are reported! Meanwhile, watch IA -1 for a potential GOP House pickup.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

House IT'S OV-AH wrap! Rs will flip NY 17, 18, & 19, seizing the entire Hudson River Valley. They will also flip IA 3 - the one county out is a big GOP one and the margin will exceed Axne's lead. Ds will flip OH 1 (Chabot) and win NC 13 (open - notional R).

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Kemp has won the GA Gov race. He's ahead by 1/4 million votes and while 1/3 of heavily Democratic Fulton County is out, Abrams has only received 250,000 votes so far. There are not enough votes left for her to make up her deficit.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

I'm going a bit out on a limb, but I'm calling WI Gov for Scott Waker. Evers has been averaging a bit over 600 vote lead per precinct in Dane (Madison) but there are only 11 left. Walker has lots of votes yet to report in rural areas and the Fox River Valley. Walker by 12-25,000.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

Early tip on Latino vote: not only are Rubio and DeSantis carrying Miami-Dade, home to Cuban and South American Latinos, but both are carrying Osceola county south of Orlando. That's the only US mainland county with a plurality of Puerto Ricans!

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

What’s happening in Commons right now: Speaker after Speaker says they have no confidence in Boris Johnson’s government to follow the law. Yet they will not pass a motion of no confidence to remove it.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Many European allies strongly opposed Trump's "America First" foreign policy, arguing that multilateral, global cooperation was superior to nationalism. The EU's vaccine nationalism exposes how much that was a sham. My latest for @PostOpinions :

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Opinion | Vaccine nationalism is a corrective to often-naive views of globalism

This is a useful moment to correct naive views regarding globalism as an end unto itself.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

Here's a taste of what the EDay vote shift will look like in many places. In FL 13, Democrat Eric Lynn led by 6% with 71% of the vote counted. With 93% in, GOPer Anna Paulina Luna now leads by 6%. That's a GOP+50-60 margin in that 22%. IT'S OV-AH - first flip of the night!

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

VA 7 - Yesli Vega (R) leads Abigail Spanberger (D) by 9% with 45% in. She's running 14% ahead of Trump's margin in two big counties, Spotsylvania and Stafford, and is 5% ahead of Trump's losing margin in the largest county, Prince William. Have mail votes been counted yet?

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Bingo. Only a conservative-populist GOP can win the future.

@marcorubio

Marco Rubio

4 years

#Florida & the Rio Grande Valley showed the future of the GOP A party built on a multi-ethnic multi-racial coalition of working AMERICANS

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

IT'S OV-AH! Monica DeLaCruz will flip TX-15 for the GOP. She's up by 9 in this gerrymandered seat and the Dem vote left in Hidalgo county won't be enough to erase DeLaCruz's lead.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

It's over for Bernie in MI. Oakland County now has dropped 120,000 votes. Biden 56, Bernie 40.5. Sanders cannot win statewide losing the second largest county in terms of votes by 16 points. Unless this is an error, I am calling MI for Biden right now.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Twitter has implicitly decided that it’s not a “glorification of violence” for someone to promote rioting or murdering the President, but it is when the president says rioters should be stopped. That double standard won’t fly. My latest for @postopinions .

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Opinion | Twitter’s double standard has become painfully clear

Twitter’s decision to block direct access to a presidential tweet is unconscionable and justifies every conservative’s fears about content-driven censorship.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

North Carolina is a great example of what will happen in many places tonight, a red or blue mirage depending on what type of votes are counted first. NC like many states counts its EV first. That's why Beasley (D) is ahead of Budd (R) in the Sen race by 10%. That will drop fast.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Pro-democracy 278 Pro-Beijing 42 Unaligned 24 via @scmpnews

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

Note for Kamala Harris - even most countries with universal health coverage permit, or even encourage, supplementary private health insurance.

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@henryolsenEPPC

Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

News he won’t tell you - Putin also demanded Ukrainian surrender as a pre-condition.

@johnpilger

John Pilger

2 years

News you won't read. On Thursday, Putin reportedly offered peace if Ukraine embraced neutrality and rejected Nato's arms. Ukraine's president Zelensky was elected in 2019 largely by ethnic Russians on a platform to make peace with Russia.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

@NateSilver538 People still overlook the key fact from 2016. 18% of voters did not like either candidate, much higher than in 2012. Trump won that 18% by double digits. That's why his share of the vote (46%) was 8% higher than his fave while HRC's (48%) was only 5% higher.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

Democrats will huff and puff but they can’t blow the GOP midterm wave down. It’s baked in the cake and Dems should feel lucky if they lose only 20-35 House seats this fall. My latest for @PostOpinions !

Tweet card media

Opinion | The GOP midterm wave is set — and Democrats can’t do anything about it

Democrats will be thankful if they lose only 20 to 35 House seats this fall.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

7 years

There are still 8-10 millions vote left to count. When they are, Trump will easily pass Mitt and HRC will approach and maybe pass Obama.

@jonward11

Jon Ward

7 years

If these #s hold for this election, Trump will have received fewer votes than McCain and Romney. But HRC got way less than Obama

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Tories take Bishop Auckland, a Labour seat since 1935, by 18%. 18% margin - 13% more than YouGov's projected margin. This is an earthquake election for the UK.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

If Republicans LOSE the nationwide Hispanic vote by only 10%, it would be a sea-change that likely shifts as many as 10 House seats. Running even with Latinos would unleash a political earthquake.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

Trump job approval now the highest on the RCP average since March 2 2017.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Yup.

@JoshKraushaar

Josh Kraushaar

4 years

Trump now UP by 2.4 points in OHIO -- with GOP E Day vote still left to count. Ohio's going for Trump, boys and girls.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Gallup poll shows Trump approval up 2% to 43% from late October. Impeachment and removal opposed 50-48%.

@aedwardslevy

Ariel Edwards-Levy

4 years

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Newhouse (R - WA) announces he will vote yes on impeachment.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

If Biden is at 47 in NM, he’s in the low 40s in every swing state.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

WI-Sen: Despite Barnes leading with half the vote in, Ron Johnson should pull it out pretty handily. The two Dem bastions, Dane and Milwaukee, are significantly over reporting and even there Johnson is doing better than Trump in 2020. Johnson should pull ahead to stay soon.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

Trump didn't get what he wanted from Kim, but by walking away he came out a winner. My latest for @PostOpinions -

Opinion | No, the North Korea summit was not a loss for Trump

Trump proved his critics wrong and shrewdly walked away from the negotiating table.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

it's only 8% of the precincts, but Hawley is ahead and all of McCaskill's urban counties have released early results while most of the rural counties have not. I'll wait, of course, but it's really hard for me to see how Hawley doesn't win.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Loudoun has now clearly included its early vote in its total, as I thought, and the news is fabulous for Youngkin! He's trailing by only 5.6% in a county Northam won by 20%, and with 15 precincts left that margin should shrink more. Ground Zero for CRT producing for Glenn. 13/x

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Remember all that talk about how sexist Republican voters were in 2016? The GOP has flipped seven Democratic-held seats. Six were won by women. Women also filled a number of GOP-held seats, too, and did so by beating men in GOP primaries. #ItsIssuesNotSexism

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Perdue's lead up to 62,000 as three of those counties report, but it's still not likely to be enough unless swing/GOP late reporting areas are either better for him on the margin or show higher turnout than they have so far.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

6 years

How odd that @KrystenSinema tells Texans that they have to stop their state from becoming her home state, Arizona.

@ReaganBattalion

Reagan Battalion

@ReaganBattalion

6 years

BREAKING: LEAKED VIDEO: in a 2011 speech in TX, Democratic Senate candidate @kyrstensinema mocks Arizonans as “Crazy” and calls Arizona the “crazy” state.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

This. Biden's margin out of Detroit was smaller than Clinton's. Pretty incompetent "fraud" job, if you ask me.

@Redistrict

Dave Wasserman

3 years

2016 presidential results in Detroit, MI: Clinton 234,871 (95%) Trump 7,682 (3%) 2020 presidential results in Detroit, MI: Biden 233,908 (94%) Trump 12,654 (5%)

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

I opposed the first impeachment effort. The events of the last 2 months and the last week especially have changed my mind. Republicans should vote to impeach Trump today. My lates for @PostOpinions -

Tweet card media

Opinion | Republicans should impeach President Trump

We know now beyond a reasonable doubt what he is capable of.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

It’s official - GOP wins CA 25.

@rpyers

Rob Pyers

3 years

Christy Smith concedes to incumbent Republican @MikeGarcia2020 in #CA25

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

Note that Klobuchar is at 8% already.

@ForecasterEnten

(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten

5 years

Emerson (see attached) has Sanders 27%, Biden 25%, Harris 12%, Warren 9% in NH. Average of polls since beginning of year: Biden 25%, Sanders 22%, Harris 11%, Warren 10%.

Tweet media one

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

2 years

IT'S OV-AH! Sarah Sanders Huckabee leads 81-19 and will be the GOP nominee for AR Governor, and will surely succeed her father as Governor after the general election. Election Twitter - will she be the first daughter to succeed a father as any state's governor? 36/x

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

5 years

This fact is almost never mentioned but as huge political importance.

@amconmag

The American Conservative

5 years

"Circa 1800, 80 percent of Americans were self-employed. By 1870 it was 41 percent. By 1940 it was 18 percent. By 1967 it was only 9 percent."

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Livingston County, MI's wealthiest, just reported more votes than were cast in the 2016 primary. Bernie won it by 21% in 16; he's losing it by 13% tonight. Put. A. Fork. In. It.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

4 years

Biden is up 350,000 votes in OH and Hamilton County (Cincinnati) hasn't reported. No large GOP counties left to report the early vote, although a smattering of medium sized ones will get some of the vote back. Question now is whether the Election Day vote can win it for Trump.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

1 year

VA 2 - Repub Jen Kiggans leads Dem inc. Elaine Luria by 15% in EV from Virginia Beach. Biden won VB by 6% and Luria must win it by at least 3% to have any shot of holding this Biden +2 seat. VA 2 might be the first flip of the night.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

8 years

Ohio looking VERY good for Trump. But waiting on Cuyahoga.

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Henry Olsen

@henryolsenEPPC

3 years

Game, set, and match for the VA GOP in the House of Delegates! They now lead in all 45 of their seats and in 15 Dem-held seats with 50% or more counted. They probably won't win all of them, but if they win 6 they retake control and that's pretty much a lock. 26/x

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