In the new print issue of
@NRO
, I have a longform essay on Nietzsche, Plato, the "Bronze Age" project, and the surprising resilience of modern life.
It all started when I was fifteen and found a used copy of "Beyond Good and Evil"...
Kind of wild to see the following vibe shift:
2020: "Kids are resilient. So we can close schools and mask 2-year-olds for 8 hours a day. Don't worry--they'll adapt."
2022: "This [deep harm to children] was to be expected. Of course closures hurt them. Now, let's do the work."
Two structural things the Oz-Fetterman debate illuminated:
*Profound crisis of reporter class. Months and months spent obscuring true extent of Fetterman's health issues. When NBC reporter dared to report on this, massive retaliatory campaign from colleagues (even
@AP
).
Pretty striking that a bill that would transform employment-based migration (for the benefit of a few industries) just passed the Senate and has gotten relatively little press coverage.
Radical Republicans are waging an insurrection against the United States Constitution and our democracy. The notion that there was any meaningful voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election is a dangerous, anti-democratic, treasonous, fiction.
As outsider politicians continue to gain power, it's worth remembering one of the reasons why they've had such an opportunity: The political center accepted as conventional wisdom ideas that, in reality, are quite extreme.
@PeterMoskos
Does this mean that kidnapping would no longer be a cause for incarceration? Or assaulting a police officer (as long as a deadly weapon was not used to cause serious injury)?
This offers an example of the way college education is used to reinforce a class hierarchy. Meadows got his degree 40 YEARS ago. For chief of staff, shouldn't the rest of his adult life matter more than whether he spent 2 or 4 years in college?
Some of the response around the WH to the Mulvaney/Meadows swap is: How does a small town real estate developer with an associate’s degree get to be chief of staff? “Meadows is there to be the President’s buddy,” one source told me.
At pp. 2468-9, omnibus includes a provision allowing DHS to issue extra H-2B guest-worker visas if there's a shortage of workers "who are willing, qualified, and able to perform temporary nonagricultural labor." (Even as millions of Americans are jobless...)
Your regular reminder that it's not simply the amount of testing the separates the US and South Korean responses. South Korea's approach to
#COVID19
involves a comprehensive system of granular surveillance and confinement that no central authority in the US has ever had.
It's fantastic that South Korea is reopening malls, restaurants, and clubs.
It's also important to be clear what that re-opening model entails: a test & trace apparatus capable of identifying and quarantining 1,000+ people in 48 hours if one family tests positive for the virus.
Not clear that DeSantis can win a battle with Trump over who is the most "based"--so he might be better off not trying.
Instead, he might have more luck returning to the kind of "normie" politics that fueled his 2022 landslide.
2020 really needs its own lexicon:
"disinformation" = "information I don't like"
"conspiracy theory" = "politically damaging claim"
"facts" = "unsubstantiated rumors I find appealing"
"fact-checking" = "editorializing to protect my friends and hurt my foes"
In many respects, a tight labor market is an egalitarian enterprise (and it's likely a pro-growth one, too). Contrary to some corporate talking points, rising wages are a vehicle for spreading economic growth--not a sign of a "worker shortage."
“The benefits of a strong job market are spreading in the form of higher wages for many of those left behind for much of the past decade’s economic expansion, including young Americans, low-income households and people with the least education.” via
@WSJ
These "protests" are one of the more prominent assertions of hierarchy and status in the contemporary United States.
Certain groups are permitted to break the law with near-impunity.
Reminder: In laying the groundwork for a governing majority, Ronald Reagan didn't spend that much time denouncing Richard Nixon or obsessing over Watergate.
Instead, he focused on developing his distinctive brand and addressing the problems facing the United States.
Peach State context for GA runoff:
GOP ran the table for statewide races in 2022 (other than Senate).
Republicans hold majorities in both houses of state legislature.
US House delegation is 9R-5D for next Congress.
This isn't a state hostile to GOP!
But it is Trump-skeptical.
Worth noting that the filibuster protects federalism, too. Because a narrow majority does not have a blank check to impose its vision on the nation, states have room for policy diversity and innovation.
The Senate was designed to make it difficult to have radical change in the country unless there are huge majorities on one side or the other. The filibuster prevents extremism. Democrats want to eliminate it so they can fundamentally change the structure of America forever.
More evidence that Trump is more interested in dominating the Republican Party than winning elections.
(More of a desire to beat a challenger within the GOP than to win on Election Day...)
ROLLING STONE: Trump advisor says regarding Ron DeSantis: "Team Trump doesn't want to just beat him. Team Trump wants to humiliate him maybe more than they've ever wanted to humiliate anybody on a national stage"
Georgetown Law's admission rate was 13% last year. Its median LSAT was somewhere around the 97th percentile. The students here are not wallflowers but driven winners in the meritocracy.
In making these demands, the students are using the tactics approved by American power-elite.
Even more than politics, though, this clip also offers a window on when many institutions of popular culture were more vital.
Back in the 1990s, SNL was more heterogeneous. It didn't need to shoehorn Republicans into simply being the "bad guys"--and the comedy was richer.
In 1995 the republicans celebrated their first 100 days of being in the majority by having Chris Farley address them as Speaker Gingrich. Apparently politics used to be fun
One of the things I was trying to get at in this piece is that 2020 was a dramatic experiment: to rip away the traditional democratic limits on power.
That experiment had many failures, and there should be an accounting of them to avoid future missteps.
Seriously, if you're going to be suspending any migration category, what's the common-good argument for not suspending the H-1B program? Millions of new college graduates are about to enter the worst employment environment since the Great Depression.
It's actually "temporary" worker programs that should have been paused first. They're not really temporary (most end up staying) but they're not free workers, able to change jobs/occupations/locations at will, and so undermine US workers even more than extra green-card holders.
So to say that it's "un-American" for some people to want to have different standards misses how US public education currently works (policymakers are already imposing standards, some with significant ideological weight).
The relaxation of dress code for senators but not staff offers a window into a broader shift in psychology of the American elite: From the idea that power demanded some kind of personal restrictions (formal dress, etc.) to idea that power should mean escape from restriction.
Two ironies:
Warren herself has constantly supported filibusters.
The abolitionist Charles Sumner, who once held Warren's Senate seat, used filibuster to protest an early form of reconstruction in Louisiana because he believed it did not do enough to protect civil rights.
Warren: "The filibuster has deep roots in racism, and it should not be permitted to serve that function, or to create or to create a veto for the minority. In a democracy, it's majority rules."
Signatories to this letter calling for more H-2B visas include Lindsey Graham, Elise Stefanik, and Doug Collins. A good reminder that defending the president in cable-news hits is not the same as supporting a pro-worker policy platform.
In the past,
@SenMikeLee
and others have criticized using an omnibus bill to pass a legislative buffet. Omnibus negotiations are characterized by rushed secrecy, which might be a reason not to bundle immigration legislation into the omnibus.
Report that omnibus could include immigration bill that would remove country caps and potentially cause a global logjam for the recruitment of talent (for scientific research, academic institutions, businesses, medicine, the arts, etc.).
@USTechWorkers
@RyanGirdusky
@kausmickey
Congress is about to slip in the OMNIBUS spending bill a horrible IMMIGRATION bill (HR 1044)that will end immig. through employment for decades except for Indian nationals. If they can pass bad laws like HR 1044 DEMAND inclusion of DACA/TPS NOW in Omnibus.
CNN just called the Iowa causes for Trump. Some precincts haven't even finished voting yet and it's already this clear from what's coming in.
I've never seen a caucus called anywhere near this fast.
@SaysSimonson
A powerful shift going on right now in the ethos of the Internet more broadly: from "the more information and transparency, the better" to "expunge unhelpful information--I mean MISinformation."
A subtheme of this
@FredBarnes
column: A hyper-polarized, trench-warfare Congress gives increased power to federal judges and executive-branch bureaucrats.
@HotlineJosh
@jaketapper
And, frankly, does a ban on ballot harvesting count even as a "strict voting regulation"? Many states with high rates of voter participation ban it.
Republicans on the Hill like to complain about "Big Tech," but some are considering inserting a law into the omnibus bill that would reward Silicon Valley by paralyzing employment-based immigration from most of the world & for many other economic sectors.
If a "populist" or "nationalist" politician in Europe had called for scrapping a 200-year-old parliamentary protection for the minority party, how many columns would the Washington Post devote to calling him a threat to "liberal-democratic norms"?
Biden on Obama’s call to get rid of the filibuster: “I'm on record as saying that if the Republicans — if there's no way to move, other than getting rid of the filibuster that's what we'll do.”
@realchrisrufo
@ZaidJilani
"Dude dude dude have you ever considered that the 'oceans' that supposedly 'separate' 'continents' are actually just the product of an authoritarian impulse to create some 'geological' Other!????"
Here are 29 pages promulgated by the state of Oregon laying out standards for "social sciences integrated with ethnic studies." Whether you like it or not, states already have granular requirements for education.
@toad_spotted
Pearl Harbor is a rather inconvenient event for the chic dogma that the United States is a vast empire of evil inflicting suffering on a passive world.
While Trump's team is calling for an end to the primary, only 62% of *Republicans* think that Trump should run again for the presidency.
Rural voters (which Republicans have relied more on in recent cycles) oppose another Trump run 45%-41%.
This is not overwhelming enthusiasm.
In 2017--not the 1960s, 70s, or even 80s--
@SenBobCasey
signed a letter pledging to oppose any effort to weaken the filibuster. When he was in the minority, Senator Casey was a great defender of the filibuster.
#norms
.
It’s not just that the filibuster is not in the Constitution – it’s that it has evolved into one of the biggest roadblocks to progress in the Senate.
This isn’t the Senate of the 1960s, ‘70s or even ‘80s. We must change with the times if we hope to accomplish lasting change.
The Gaetz gambit (team up with Democrats to oust a Republican Speaker) reveals how coalitional incentives make a narrow Democratic majority considerably more politically disciplined than a narrow Republican majority. And that can have strategic costs for GOP...
Crazy idea: "Republicans buy sneakers, too" was actually in the interests of both corporate profits and civic comity.
Using big business to push vanguardist ideology (often with extreme hypocrisy) opens door to a lot of disruption.
As Congress continues to negotiate over the omnibus, a reminder that a proposed immigration component could reward Silicon Valley while threatening the employment-based immigration system for other economic sectors.
@EsotericCD
One of the weirdest things about the argument that "harming millions of children was a necessary price for containing COVID" is that many other nations did not come close to the draconian policies imposed in many US districts--and yet they had no worse COVID outcomes.
.
@billscher
punctures some myths about the filibuster here (no, civil rights measures were not the only ones blocked by the filibuster after Reconstruction):
Two potential big winners from this court-packing proposal:
@JoeManchinWV
and
@SenatorSinema
.
This offers a huge piece of evidence for their claims that the filibuster is constitutionally important for blocking partisan overreach.
Congressional Democrats plan to unveil legislation expanding the size of the Supreme Court from 9 justices to 13.
The bill is led in the House by Jerry Nadler, Hank Johnson, and Mondaire Jones.
In the Senate, the bill is being championed by Ed Markey.
Not necessarily endorsing the "center-right" framing, but one could conversely observe that Republicans have won the House in 10 of the past 14 elections. Not sure American political dynamics can be reduced to the presidency...
Actually, it would be 51 senators "setting back" a presidential agenda. Even if they're not in the majority, Republicans are still senators!
The idea that senators are obligated to serve a president's agenda undermines the principle of checks and balances.
It's kind of weird when pundits say that Trump betrays the GOP legacy as the "party of Lincoln" by opposing "free trade." Like many of the great statesmen in the Federalist-Whig-Republican strand of American politics (Hamilton, Coolidge, etc.), Lincoln was a tariff supporter.
Via
@NRO
: The Massachusetts legislature considers a number of bills to institute a “critical approach and pedagogy” for a curriculum of ethnic studies, “decolonization,” and “social justice” instruction.
Noteworthy: These draft documents contain some specific policy proposals:
*Scrap Section 230
*Require Remain in Mexico
*Criminalize fentanyl analogues
*Place hold on federal funds for DAs who refuse to enforce laws
*Expand school choice
NEW: Kevin McCarthy will formally roll out a four-part "Commitment to America" in Pittsburgh on Sept. 19 to tell voters why they should vote for Republicans — not just against Democrats
w/
@AndrewSolender
@TheEliKlein
@SIfill_
And it's not just closures. Much of the world also did not mask small children in early schooling and daycare facilities (the consequences of which we're just starting to understand).
There was no medical justification for masking therapists for kids with speech delays.
So far, Trump Super PAC spending more invested in settling old scores ($500,000 v. Liz Cheney and $4 million in opposing Kemp in the primary) than winning seats for Republicans in general election.
News: Republicans want Trump to move his $99M in PAC money into the Senate races.
McConnell advising Trump-friendly candidates/senators to urge Trump to transfer millions into super PACs supporting GOP candidates, per sources
@meridithmcgraw
Mandatory E-Verify bills "have faced fierce pushback from Florida’s agriculture, tourism & construction industries, including major GOP donors. But DeSantis has made the controversial proposal one of his top priorities for next year’s legislative session."
Two figures Senate Republicans might keep in mind when weighing the politics of voting to convict Trump: Jeff Sessions and Mitt Romney.
One shows how little Trump repays past loyalty; the other hints that opposing Trump doesn't necessarily lead to political annihilation.
The point here is not whether or not they are good standards. It's that they are granular, non-neutral standards. They enshrine a certain intellectual approach.
Back in January 2021, I said that, if it were successful, Trump's strategy to overturn the 2020 election would have been a constitutional Rubicon.
In 2023, Trump's opponents have their own Rubicon moment: Using the 14th Amendment to start throwing candidates off the ballot.
The kind of constitutional chaos required by the overturn-the-election campaign would have wreaked havoc with internal American politics--with geopolitical implications. (The VP just nullifying Electoral Votes would have been a constitutional Rubicon.)
A thread from almost exactly four years ago thinking about the broader consequences of leaking Trump's phone calls with foreign leaders.
A number of troubling precedents were set during the Trump years...
Just an observation: Probably not a good idea for former high-ranking US officials to say that half the USA is worse than ISIS, Soviet Communists, and Pol Pot. That kind of vitriol exacerbates polarization and risks undermining trust in valuable national-security institutions.
The El Paso Times demands that “Congress police its own and vote to expel Cruz.” If your Senator has not yet committed to voting to expel Hawley and Cruz, you can reach them through the Capitol switchboard: 202-224-3121.
The past few weeks, Senator Schumer laid the groundwork for declaring 2022 "rigged."
Now, President Biden is preemptively casting doubt on the legitimacy of American elections.
Along similar lines, it's interesting that outlets that have been warning about the existential threat of the "Big Lie" for the past year have not pressed Senator Schumer on his claim that US elections are a "rigged game" unless his preferred bills can pass.
@charlescwcooke
"We're in a battle for the soul of the Constitution, so I now need to take unilateral executive action. Anything to avoid negotiating with Congress!"
Georgia (along with Arizona) is ground zero for how indulging Trump costs Republicans winnable elections.
Kemp led a successful effort to block Trump-branded challengers to incumbent Republicans--and GOP was rewarded with electoral victories in 2022.
Every Republican running for President would be better than Joe Biden.
Any candidate who does not commit to supporting the eventual nominee is putting themselves ahead of the future of our country.
2024 is too important for political games.
In 2018, anti-Trump bestseller "How Democracies Die" said some "authoritarian" indicators were:
*Taking legal action against political opponents
*Saying that opponents were agents of a foreign government
*Calling opponents existential threat to country
Some of what motivates contemporary "populists" is less the rejection of expertise (contrary to some chic myths) and more the belief that those who hold power have failed to live up to their responsibilities--not the abolition of the establishment, but its reform.
Part 2: "We aren't anti-elite, we just want a better elite....an elite that doesn't go to Harvard and work in private equity or fix bread prices, an elite that owes something to the American working class"
Turning to the United States: Giving the People's Republic of China permanent normal trade relations was also an incredibly extreme position: It gave an authoritarian regime that had no interest in the free market the ability to intervene in the American economy.
It really is remarkable how Trump 2024 is in so many ways diametrically opposed to Trump 2016.
2016: Outsider candidate focused on policy interventions on trade and migration.
2024: Candidate of Beltway Republicans running an issue-light campaign.
Correct. In 2016, he was talking about immigration. Voters loved it and the media hated it.
In 2024, he's talking about himself, claiming the 2020 election was "stolen," denouncing all the people HE hired, making the same promises he broke as president, and calling himself…
@chrislhayes
Unfortunately, the popularization of conspiracy theories to delegitimize presidential elections predates Trump. Hillary Clinton still holds that the 2016 election was not "on the level." See also challenges to 2000 and 2004 elections.
@walterkirn
@mtaibbi
Does a disservice to readers to portray anyone who's not a party-line journalist as a "conservative." Both Weiss and Taibbi are critical of many of the practices of major media outlets--but that doesn't make them conservatives!
Trump's signature issues for 2024 so far are overturning the 2020 election and fighting numerous legal investigations.
The Trump Show sucked up the oxygen for policy movement when he was president. Any signs that Trump has learned how to govern since then?
This kind of encapsulates the serious civic problems with the 14th Amendment strategy.
Going 14A is a radical break with tradition of open elections--political nitroglycerin.
Rather than being measured in talking about it, CO SoS slips into standard partisan massaging.
Not an original insight at this point, but I'll say it anyway: The continued paralysis of House Republicans is a sign that some members still haven't reckoned with the fact that Republicans whiffed on the 2022 midterms--let alone why they did so poorly.
By the way, it probably would be a mistake to let means-testing slow down this stimulus. You can always back-end means-test it by making it taxable income (I forgot who first mentioned that) or by having a one-year mini-tax-hike on upper-income households to compensate for that $
One of the weirder turns of 2020 is how, in responding to coronavirus, the Trump campaign has not emphasized some of the policy themes that helped him win in 2016: border controls, made-in-the-USA industrial policy, decoupling from the PRC, etc.
@guypbenson
@brithume
Probably worth mentioning that, if you look at polls, opposition to teaching divisive "woke" identity politics can be found across ethnic groups.
Angela Merkel's open-door approach to migration is also quite radical. "Wir schaffen das" became a slogan for a utopianism disconnected from the realities of concrete political life.
Would that the
@POTUS
were anywhere near as zealous about safeguarding the lives of Americans from an epic pandemic as he is to preserve Confederate statues.
A norm worth considering: Posting videos meant to shame or humiliate a random person (like a hotel clerk or a passerby) should be viewed as an act of aggression.
@baseballcrank
2016: Trump attracted enough working class voters and conventional Republicans to pull an inside straight.
2020: Trump alienated enough voters that formerly reliable Republican states (AZ and GA) flipped to the Democrats and he washed out in key Rustbelt states (PA, WI, MI).
@JacobAShell
Not to discount contemporary challenges (and there are a lot!), but 400K seems high. I know many, many kid-age families in the Boston suburbs who make much less than that and have most of those features (maybe not trips abroad).