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@IAPolls2022

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πŸ—³οΈ Polling and Prediction Markets Aggregator πŸ“Š Live, unbiased 2024 election forecasts:

Joined August 2021
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@IAPolls2022
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8 hours
. @Polymarket - Swing States Odds (5/2) NORTH CAROLINA πŸŸ₯ Trump 73% 🟦 Biden 27% . GEORGIA πŸŸ₯ Trump 59% 🟦 Biden 41% . WISCONSIN 🟦 Biden 57% πŸŸ₯ Trump 43% . MICHIGAN 🟦 Biden 56% πŸŸ₯ Trump 44% . PENNSYLVANIA 🟦 Biden 55% πŸŸ₯ Trump 45% . NEVADA 🟦 Biden 55% πŸŸ₯ Trump 45% .…
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2 years
BREAKING: Trump-endorsed Republican Connie Conway defeats Democrat Lourin Hubbard in 2022 California's 22nd congressional district special election
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6 months
BREAKING: πŸ‡¦πŸ‡· Javier Milei has won the Argentine Presidential Election. Milei becomes the world's first libertarian president.
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BREAKING: πŸ”΄ Lauren Boebert (R) wins re-election to the U.S. House in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District
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BREAKING: U.S. Army Veteran β€” Republican John James defeats Democrat Carl Marlinga in Michigan's 10th Congressional District
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1 year
POLITICO: πŸ”΄ Mike DeWine (R) has won the race for governor in Ohio
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FLIP ALERT: πŸ”΄: Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) defeats Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) in Oregon's 5th Congressional District @OregonianPol β¦Ώ This seat is flipped from πŸ”΅βž‘οΈπŸ”΄ β¦Ώ Biden won OR-05 by 8.8% in 2020
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2 years
OHIO PRIMARIES TURNOUT Republicans: 1,069,000 (68%) Democrats: 510,000(32.5%) Republicans turnout INCREASED by 13% since 2018 Midterms
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BREAKING: Young Kim (R-inc) defeats Asif Mahmood (D) in California's 40th Congressional District @DecisionDeskHQ
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2 years
NEW POLL: Lee Zeldin has taken a lead against Kathy Hochul in New York Governor Race - Trafalgar (R) Lee Zeldin: 48.4% (+0.8) (D) Kathy Hochul: 47.6%
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DDHQ: Mehmet Oz (R) has built his largest-ever advantage over John Fetterman (D) in Pennsylvania's Senate race.
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BREAKING: Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-inc) defeats Marcus Flowers (D) in Georgia's 14th Congressional district - @DecisionDeskHQ
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FLIP ALERT: Navy Seal Veteran β€” Eli Crane (R) defeats Tom O'Halleran (D-inc) in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District β¦Ώ This seat is flipped from πŸ”΅βž‘οΈπŸ”΄
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1 year
NEW POLL: Should we have a national law that all ballots in elections should be counted within 24 hours of election day? YES β€” 69% NO β€” 31% Yes/No Dem: 66/34 GOP: 76/24 Indie: 63/27 Harvard/Harris, 11/16-17, 2,212 RV
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2 years
Nasdaq Performance 612 days in office President Trump: +44.17 President Biden: -19.24%
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11 months
CBS News Poll: Trump Posts Biggest Lead Yet Over DeSantis Trump β€” 61% (+38) DeSantis β€” 23% T. Scott β€” 4% Pence β€” 4% Haley β€” 3% Ramaswamy β€” 1% Hutchinson β€” 1% Burgum β€” 1% Elder β€” 1% Christie β€” 1% CBS Poll (B+) | 06/07-10 | n=586
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JUST IN: πŸ”΄ Mike Dunleavy (R) has won the race for governor in Alaska.
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2 years
BREAKING: Trump-endorsed Iraq War vet – John James wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Michigan's 10th Congressional District via @MIGOP
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6 months
JUST IN: Home Depot co-founder and Republican megadonor Bernie Marcus has formally endorsed Donald Trump for President.
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: Bloomberg/Morning Consult WISCONSIN Trump 49% (+5) Biden 44% . PENNSYLVANIA Trump 48% (+3) Biden 45% . NEVADA Trump 48% (+8) Biden 40% . GEORGIA Trump 49% (+8) Biden 41% . MICHIGAN Trump 47% (+5) Biden 42% . NORTH CAROLINA Trump 49% (+10) Biden 39% . ARIZONA…
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2 years
The Economist’s poll-of-polls for Brazil’s presidential election trends Sept 28 (PT) Lula 57% (+14) (PL) Bolsonaro 43% October 6 (PT) Lula 53% (+6) (PL) Bolsonaro 47% TODAY (PT) Lula 50% (=) (PL) Bolsonaro 50%
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7 months
BREAKING: Republican Jeff Landry has won the race for Governor in Louisiana. πŸ”΅ Dem ➑️ πŸ”΄ GOP Flip
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2 years
NEW: WPXI Online Poll Who won the PA Senate Debate? (R) Mehmet Oz β€” 82% (D) John Fetterman β€” 18%
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1 year
BREAKING: Donald Trump files FEC paperwork to run for President of the United States in 2024
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1 year
Illegal Border Crossings to US From Mexico: President Trump: 2017: 415,517 (lowest since 1971) 2018: 521,070 2019: 977,509 2020: 458,088 President Biden: 2021: 1,734,686 2022: 2,378,944 (All-Time High)
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8 out of 10 House Republicans, who voted to impeach President Trump, won’t return to Congress: ❌Tom Rice ❌John Katko ❌Fred Upton ❌Adam Kinzinger ❌Anthony Gonzalez ❌ Peter Meijer ❌ Jaime Herrera Beutler ❌ Liz Cheney βœ… David Valadao βœ… Dan Newhouse
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1 year
BREAKING: Republican Ron Johnson defeats Democrat Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin Senate Race, @NBCNews projects
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1 year
Massachusetts 2024: Trump Holds 41-Point Lead for Republican Nomination Trump β€” 59% DeSantis β€” 18% Pence β€” 10% Haley β€” 4% Cheney β€” 3% T. Scott β€” 1% Sununu β€” 0% 2-Way: Trump β€” 70% DeSantis β€” 30% UMass-Amherst | 03/28-04/05 | RVs
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BREAKING: Republican Rand Paul defeats Democrat Charles Booker in Kentucky Senate Race via @DecisionDeskHQ
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11 months
FLIP ALERT: Republican Abden Simmons has won the race for Maine House of Representatives District 45 πŸ”΅ Dem ➑️ πŸ”΄ GOP Flip
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2 years
🚨 NEW RCP SENATE PROJECTION β¦Ώ Republicans β€” 54 β¦Ώ Democrats β€” 46 GOP Pick Ups: βœ… Nevada βœ… Georgia βœ… Arizona βœ… 𝐍𝐞𝐰 π‡πšπ¦π©π¬π‘π’π«πž βœ… GOP Hold: Pennsylvania
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3 months
Nevada Republican Primary (90% in) "None of these Candidates": 42,534 (62.9%) Nikki Haley: 21,735 (30.8%)
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2 years
JUST IN: Republicans Lead Democrats by 27,341 in Early Voting Turnout in Georgia (5 day total) Republican: 94,761 (+27,341) Democrat: 67,421
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2 years
BREAKING: 25-year-old America First Conservative β€” Karoline Leavitt wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional district via @Redistrict
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1 year
2024 National Republican Primary Donald Trump: 46% Ron DeSantis: 23% Mike Pence: 7% Nikki Haley: 6% Mike Pompeo: 3% Marco Rubio: 2% Ted Cruz: 1% Tim Scott: 1% Head-2-Head: Donald Trump: 56% Ron DeSantis: 44% Harvard Caps/Harris | RV's | Feb 15-16
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1 year
FLIP ALERT: Republican Tom Horne defeats Democrat Kathy Hoffman in Arizona Superintendent of Public Education Race β¦Ώ Dem πŸ”΅ to πŸ”΄ GOP Flip β¦Ώ Tom campaigned on opposing CRT, DEI, bilingual education and ethnic studies programs
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1 year
Decision Desk HQ projects Republicans have won a majority in the U.S. House with at least 218 seats.
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BREAKING: Mark Robinson wins North Carolina Republican primary for governor, NBC News projects
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1 year
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 Presidential Election Poll (R) Trump: 48% (+3) (D) Biden: 45% Independents (R) Trump: 50% (+9) (D) Biden: 41% 5 point swing towards Trump from Sept. poll by the same pollster (46/48 - Biden +2) ABC/WP | 895 RV | Jan 27-Feb 1
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DDHQ: πŸ”΄ Kevin Kiley (R) defeats Kermit Jones (D) in California's 3rd Congressional District
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3 months
BREAKING: Louisiana Senator John Kennedy has officially endorsed Donald Trump for President.
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2 years
Lee Zeldin on Crime in New York
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1 year
𝐍𝐄𝐖 ππŽπ‹π‹: Herschel Walker holds 7 POINT lead over Raphael Warnock in Georgia Senate Race Herschel Walker (R) 51% (+7) Raphael Warnock (D-inc) 44% @EchelonInsights , LVs, 10/31-11/02
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2 years
When Biden took office: Inflation: 1.4% Gas: $2.39 30 year Fixed Mortgage: 2.65% Median asking rent: $1,625 Nasdaq: 13,342 TODAY: Inflation: 8.3% Gas: $3.75 30 year Fixed Mortgage: 7.08% Median asking rent: $2,039 Nasdaq: 10,829
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FLORIDA EARLY VOTING STATEWIDE: πŸ”΄ 1,555,567 Republicans (+6.09%) πŸ”΅ 1,337,732 Democrats MIAMI-DADE: πŸ”΄ 128,306 Republicans (+0.35%) πŸ”΅ 127,160 Democrats
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11 months
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 Presidential Election Poll (R) DeSantis: 47% (+1) (D) Biden: 46% (D) Biden: 48% (+2) (R) Trump: 46% Trump performs 8 points worse than DeSantis among independent voters β¦Ώ Quinnipiac (A-) | 05/18-22 β¦Ώ 1,616 RV | D31/R27/I42 (D+4) | Β±2.9%
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JUST IN: U.S. Navy Seal Veteran β€” Ryan Zinke (R) defeats Monica Travel (D) in Montana's 1st Congressional District @DecisionDeskHQ
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1 year
Washington Post: @henryolsenEPPC 2022 Midterms Forecast SENATE Republicans β€” 54 Democrats β€” 46 βœ… GOP Pick Ups: AZ, GA, NV and NH HOUSE Republicans β€” 246 Democrats β€” 189
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11 months
CBS POLL: (Republicans) β€” 61% say that Trump's indictment won’t change their views about Trump β€” 76% say that Donald Trump's indictment is politically motivated β€” 80% say that Trump should be able to be president even if convicted over classified docs
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2 years
BREAKING: Trump-endorsed John Gibbs defeats pro-impeachment Rep. Peter Meijer in Michigan 03 Republican Primary via @Redistrict
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🚨 RCP SENATE FORECAST Republicans β€” 53 Democrats β€” 47 βœ… GOP Pick ups: AZ, NV and GA β˜‘οΈ GOP Holds: PA, NC, OH and WI
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DDHQ: πŸ”΄ David Valadao (R) wins re-election to the U.S. House in California’s 22nd Congressional District β¦Ώ Biden won CA-13 by 13% in 2020
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2 years
New CBS poll: β€œinvestigating January 6th” was the LEAST important issues to voters
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: Bloomberg/Morning Consult WISCONSIN Trump 45% (+4) Biden 41% . GEORGIA Trump 49% (+6) Biden 43% . MICHIGAN Trump 46% (+4) Biden 42% . PENNSYLVANIA Trump 46% (+2) Biden 44% . NEVADA Trump 47% (+3) Biden 44% . NORTH CAROLINA Trump 49% (+9) Biden 40% . ARIZONA…
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1 year
BREAKING: Republican Katie Britt defeats Democrat Will Boyd in Alabama Senate Race
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1 year
CBS Poll - Are Biden’s policies... Making your own family's finances better or worse? Better - 18% Worse - 49% Making political division better or worse? Better - 19% Worse - 50% Making illegal immigration better or worse? Better - 21% Worse - 51%
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NEW POLL: Should the House... Investigate the Hunter Biden Laptop? Yes β€” 65% No β€” 35% Investigate the origins of Covid Virus? Yes β€” 71% No β€” 29% End the Jan 6th Committee? Yes β€” 62% No β€” 38% Harvard/Harris, 11/16-17, 2,212 RV
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4 months
BREAKING: North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum has officially endorsed Donald Trump for President.
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DDHQ: πŸ”΄ Anthony D’Esposito (R) wins election to the U.S. House in New York’s 4th Congressional District β¦Ώ This seat is flipped from πŸ”΅βž‘οΈπŸ”΄
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FLIP ALERT: πŸ”΄ Joe Lombardo (R) has won the race for Governor in Nevada - @DecisionDeskHQ πŸ”΅ Dem ➑️ πŸ”΄ GOP Flip
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8 months
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 Presidential Election: CBS News (R) Trump 50% (D) Biden 49% Independents (R) Trump 57% (D) Biden 42% YouGov (B+) | 2,385 LV | 09/12-15
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BREAKING: πŸ”΄ David Schweikert (R) wins re-election to the U.S. House in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District @DecisionDeskHQ projection
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2 years
𝐍𝐄𝐖 ππŽπ‹π‹: Kari Lake holds 𝟏𝟏 ππŽπˆππ“ lead over Katie Hobbs in Arizona Governor Race (R) Kari Lake 54% (+11) (D) Katie Hobbs 43% β¦Ώ Insider Advantage β¦Ώ 10/11-17 | 550 LV | MoE Β±4.2%
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2 months
BREAKING: States may not unilaterally disqualify Donald Trump from the ballot, the Supreme Court rules unanimously.. Only Congress can decide.
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1 year
CNN EXIT POLL: 73% of Americans are either β€œangry” or β€œdissatisfied” with the way things are going under President Biden
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2 months
BREAKING: Trump endorsed Mayra Flores wins Republican Primary in Texas's 34th Congressional District.
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11 months
2024 National Republican Primary β€’ Trump β€” 56% (+34) β€’ DeSantis β€” 22% β€’ Pence β€” 7% β€’ Haley β€” 3% β€’ T. Scott β€” 3% β€’ Ramaswamy β€” 3% β€’ Cheney β€” 2% β€’ Noem β€” 1% β€’ Christie β€” 1% β€’ Hutchinson β€” 1% Morning Consult | 3,485 RV | 06/02-04
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2024 National Republican Primary: Trump 46% DeSantis 28% Pence 7% Cruz 3% Haley 2% Rubio 1% Pompeo 1% T. Scott 1% Harvard Caps/Harris Poll, 11/16-7
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BREAKING: πŸ”΄ Lauren Boebert (R) leads Adam Frisch by 1,229 votes in CO-03 Lauren Boebert (R): 160,432 (+1,229) (50.19%) Adam Frisch (D): 159,203 (49.81%)
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2 years
NEW: @PolymarketHQ Senate Odds NC (R) Budd β€” 86% (D) Beasley β€” 14% OH (R) Vance β€” 83% (D) Ryan β€” 17% NV (R) Laxalt β€” 64% (D) Cortez Masto β€” 36% GA (R) Walker 60% (All-time high) (D) Warnock 40% PA (R) Oz β€” 60% (All-time high) (D) Fetterman β€” 40%
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JUST IN: πŸ”΄ Michelle Steel (R) wins re-election to the U.S. House in California’s 45th Congressional District @DecisionDeskHQ
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FLIP ALERT: Michael Lawler (R) defeats Sean Patrick Maloney (D-inc) in New York's 17th Congressional District β¦Ώ This seat is flipped from πŸ”΅βž‘οΈπŸ”΄ β¦Ώ NY-17 is Biden +10.1% seat
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1 year
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² DeSantis vs Biden: Independents Quinnipiac: DeSantis 50% (+9) Biden 41% PPP (D): DeSantis 46% (+4) Biden 42% Yahoo/YouGov: DeSantis 51% (+21) Biden 30% Echelon Insights: DeSantis 48% (+16) Biden 32% Cygnal (R): DeSantis 46% (+12) Biden 34% AVERAGE: DeSantis +12.4%
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2 years
BREAKING: Retired U.S. Army General β€” Don Bolduc wins Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in New Hampshire Don served 10 tours in Afghanistan. He survived both a bomb blast, and a helicopter crash and was awarded five Bronze Star medals, and two Purple Hearts
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2 years
Florida Governor Fundraising: May 1. Ron DeSantis (R-FL): $143.1 Million 2. Charlie Crist (D-FL): $9.2 Million 3. Nikki Fried (D-FL): $7.6 Million 4. Annette Taddeo (D-FL): $2.09 Million
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1 year
JUST IN: Republican Brandon Williams defeats Democrat Francis Conole in New York's 22nd Congressional district β¦Ώ @DecisionDeskHQ projects β¦Ώ Biden won NY-22 by 7.4% in 2020
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2 years
𝐍𝐄𝐖 ππŽπ‹π‹: Herschel Walker holds πŸ“ ππŽπˆππ“ lead over Raphael Warnock in Georgia Senate Race (R) Herschel Walker 48% (+5) (D) Raphael Warnock 43% β¦Ώ @Rasmussen_Poll β¦Ώ 1,053 LV | 10/23-24 | MoE Β±3%
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2 years
JUST IN: Republicans Lead Democrats by 21,305 in early voting Turnout in Georgia (4 day total) Republican: 71,335 (+21,305) Democrat: 50,030
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10 months
JUST IN: Hung Cao (R) has filed FEC paperwork to run for U.S. Senate in Virginia to challenge Democrat Tim Caine
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NEW: πŸ”΄ Republican Tiffany Polifko projected winner of Loudoun County Virginia School Board Broad Run District race
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FLIP ALERT: Jennifer Kiggans (R) defeats Elaine Luria (D-inc) in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District - @CNN projects β¦Ώ This seat is flipped from πŸ”΅βž‘οΈπŸ”΄ β¦Ώ Biden won VA-02 by 1.9% in 2020
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7 months
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: ABC/WP POLL (A) (R) Trump 52% (+10) (D) Biden 42% Independents (R) Trump 52% (+13) (D) Biden 39% ABC/WP (A) | n=890 RV | 9/15-20
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11 months
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 Presidential Election Poll (R) Trump: 45% (+6) (D) Biden: 39% β¦Ώ @Rasmussen_Poll | 986 LV β¦Ώ June 12-14 | D36/R33/I31 | Β±3%
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6 months
BREAKING: Republican Nancy Landry has won the race for Secretary of State in Louisiana.
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3 months
BREAKING: Republican Michael Murphy has won the Special Election for New Hampshire State House Coos 6 (Biden +12 in 2020) πŸ”΅ DEM ➑️ πŸ”΄ GOP FLIP
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 SWING STATES GE: @WSJ PENNSYLVANIA πŸŸ₯ Trump 47% (+3) 🟦 Biden 44% . NEVADA πŸŸ₯ Trump 48% (+4) 🟦 Biden 44% . MICHIGAN πŸŸ₯ Trump 48% (+3) 🟦 Biden 45% . NORTH CAROLINA πŸŸ₯ Trump 49% (+6) 🟦 Biden 43% . ARIZONA πŸŸ₯ Trump 47% (+5) 🟦 Biden 42% . WISCONSIN 🟦 Biden 46% (=) πŸŸ₯…
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Nielsen: State of Union TV Ratings President Trump: 2017 β€” 48 Million 2018 β€” 45.6 Million 2019 β€” 46.8 Million 2020 β€” 37.2 Million President Biden: 2022 - 38 Million 2023 - 27.3 Million (the lowest audience in 30 years according to Nielsen)
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Kentucky: Trump Holds 56-Point Lead for Republican Nomination β€’ Trump β€” 70% (+8 from April) β€’ DeSantis β€” 14% (-9) β€’ Pence β€” 4% β€’ Haley β€” 3% β€’ Ramaswamy β€” 3% β€’ Christie β€” 2% β€’ T. Scott β€” 1% Emerson (A-) | 05/10-12 | 500 LV
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FINAL POLL By Trafalgar Group MI Governor (R) Tudor Dixon: 48.5% (+0.3) (D) Gretchen Whitmer: 48.2%
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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² 2024 GE: @RCPolitics Polling Average ARIZONA πŸŸ₯ Trump 49% (+5.4) 🟦 Biden 43.6% . GEORGIA πŸŸ₯ Trump 50.8% (+5) 🟦 Biden 45.8% . NEVADA πŸŸ₯ Trump 48% (+4.3) 🟦 Biden 43.7% . MICHIGAN πŸŸ₯ Trump 47.5% (+3.7) 🟦 Biden 43.8% . WISCONSIN πŸŸ₯ Trump 47.8% (+1.2) 🟦 Biden 46.6% .…
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JUST IN: πŸ”΄ Lauren Boebert (R) has just taken the lead in CO-03 (est. 95%) Lauren Boebert (R): 157,805 (+433) (50.7%) Adam Frisch (D): 157,372 (49.93%)
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2 years
NEW POLL: Karoline Leavitt holds 𝟲 π—£π—’π—œπ—‘π—§ lead over Chris Pappas in NH-01 Race Karoline Leavitt (R): 51% (+6) Chris Pappas (D-inc) 45% @SaintAnselmPoll
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2 years
TRUMP ENDORSED CANDIDATES WENT 22-0 IN TODAY'S OHIO AND INDIANA PRIMARIES
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BREAKING: NBS News projects Steve Garvey (R) advances to the general election for US Senate in California.
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Harvard/Harris Poll: Trump Posts Biggest Lead Yet Over DeSantis β€’ Trump β€” 59% (+45) β€’ DeSantis β€” 14% β€’ Pence β€” 8% β€’ Haley β€” 4% β€’ Ramaswamy β€” 3% β€’ Scott β€” 2% β€’ Christie β€” 2% 2-Way: β€’ Trump β€” 67% (+34) β€’ DeSantis β€” 33% June 14-15 | RVs
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2 years
BREAKING: Trump-endorsed Kari Lake wins Republican nomination for governor in Arizona primary election via @DecisionDeskHQ
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1 year
If the 2024 Republican Primary were held today, who would you vote for?
Donald Trump
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Ron DeSantis
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Tim Scott
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Nikki Haley
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BREAKING: Former MMA Fighter β€”Markwayne Mullin (R) defeats Kendra Horn (D) in Oklahoma Senate Special Election
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6 months
BREAKING: Republican Liz Murrill has won the race for Attorney General in Louisiana.
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DDHQ: πŸ”΄ Ken Calvert (R) wins re-election to the U.S. House in California’s 41th Congressional District
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