Matt Singh @MattSingh_ Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

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@eli_elilema

Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Hidden message within the Queen's message...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

11 days

Unpopular view but the Truss lectern looked great

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Londoners have been taking this precaution since 1863

Reuters

@Reuters

3 years

Don't talk on the subway, say French doctors, to limit COVID-19 spread

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Vice President, Indian!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Labour lost its deposit in Tiverton and won Wakefield on a decent swing. Lib Dems lost their deposit in Wakefield and won on a huge swing in Tiverton. This is industrial scale tactical voting, and it's a big deal...

Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Watch how Labour does in Tiverton and how LDs do in Wakefield. By-elections, because of the intensity of the campaigning, tend to see a lot of tactical voting, but if they really crash, that implies tactical voting on steroids and worth keeping and eye on

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Hey everyone, I've identified a group of seats in the far South West, all currently Conservative-held but with very interesting and unique characteristics, and some especially interesting residuals in my regression model. I propose to call it the Corn Wall.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

I'm going to start using "herd impunity" to describe a situation where people feel safe breaking a rule because everyone's doing it

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Final scores: Biden 81,282,376 Trump 74,222,576 Or as percentage shares of the two-party vote.... 52-48

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

I was told communism is bad by people who needed a 4 metre high wall to stop them escaping from it

Armani

@historyofarmani

4 years

you were told communism is bad by people who said slavery was good

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

I bet you've never seen Oxford Council and Superted in the same room...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

6 years

Are you Mad? I am now 😂 #starbucksfail

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Lord Ashcroft's report on Labour, based on a poll of 10,000 and 18 focus groups in seats Labour lost. Nothing in these two paragraphs is unexpected, but it's great that he's collected the evidence to back up what many of us have been saying for years.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Re Starmer, few of the ordinary punters that see any of this will remember the details two years (or even two days) from now, but they will remember the tone. And the tone is better than anything Labour has managed in recent years

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

11 days

@M8rkmywords Because we’re getting new PMs every five minutes

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Anyone know when the next “Britain is so messed up” piece from the NYT is due?

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

Grieve amendment passed 321-299. Or in percentage terms, 52-48...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

Government loses 328-301, or in percentage terms, 52-48

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Southgate suggesting (at 5:15) that a lot, but not all, of the racist abuse is the work of overseas trolls: “A lot of that has come from abroad. People that track those things have been able to explain that”. Interesting.

England

@England

3 years

Watch live as Gareth Southgate reflects on a second-placed finish at #EURO2020 for the #ThreeLions :

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

10 months

@alexsakalis Saw this online. Posted without comment...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

From who? The lockdown is literally one of the most popular policies in the history of British polling

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Labour has lost this election after taking completely the wrong message from the LAST election. Instead of the celebration of its 2017 campaign surge, it should have asked why, despite the Tory manifesto, missteps and opportunism in calling that election, Labour STILL lost it.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Biggest % point increases in gov party vote share in post-war Westminster by-elections: 7.3 (Lab, Preston 1946) 8.5 (Con, Copeland 2017) 8.9 (Lab, Hull N 1966) 9.8 (Con, Barnsley 1953) 12.0 (Lab, Bournemouth 1945) 23.0 (Con, Hartlepool 2021)

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

"Lottery" implies randomness, which isn't the first thing that pops into my head when I see this map

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

If you want a measure of how topsy-turvy this #Olympics is, Kenya didn’t win the men’s steeplechase. In football terms, this is Germany losing on penalties..,

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

There is no excuse for taking hostages

Lewis Goodall

@lewis_goodall

3 years

NEW: Conservatives hold Galloway.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Seats Won By Labour leaders 1983 Foot 209 1987 Kinnock 229 1992 Kinnock 271 1997 Blair 419 2001 Blair 413 2005 Blair 356 2010 Brown 258 2015 Miliband 232 2017 Corbyn 262 2019 Corbyn 203

Jamie Driscoll

@JamieDriscollNE

4 years

How yesterday compares to recent elections. #LabourParty

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Since its high watermark in 1997, Labour has lost more seats than it now has #GE2019

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

"Which of the following do you think was the best Labour leader of recent times?"

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

This is not what happened. Two separate polls (by us and Opinium) done BEFORE Johnson announced his positive test on 27th March put the Tories on 54% with a 26 point lead. We had him on 72% satisfaction. Neither that, nor his ICU admission, had a discernible effect on the polls.

Carole Cadwalladr

@carolecadwalla

4 years

A reminder to all Americans that the net effect of our prime minister catching COVID-19 was that it prompted a surge of patriotic support. From which he emerged with renewed popularity. Which enabled him to tear up key functions of the state

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Why would any drugmaker ever again produce a lifesaving drug at cost for the public good? It's the world's poorest who will suffer

*Walter Bloomberg

@DeItaone

3 years

GERMANY AND HUNGARY AGREE TO JOIN OTHER EU MEMBER STATES IN LAWSUIT AGAINST ASTRAZENECA AZN.L OVER VACCINE SUPPLIES, EU DIPLOMATS AND EU SOURCE SAY

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

The problem is those who THINK they’re liberal but think ethnic minorities with “wrong” views are fair game for the crap that fox basher is spewing, or should know their place, or be held to different standards (eg bringing up Priti Patel’s family). It’s not liberal, it’s racist

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Top five reasons for Labour losing According to defectors: Brexit Corbyn Division No longer represents its traditional voters Undeliverable promises According to Labour members: Brexit Mislead by media Mislead by Tories Voters are wrong Voters are racist

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

You know the Lib Dems are doing well when they tweet bar charts with y-axes to scale...

Tom Brake

@thomasbrake

5 years

Polls show @LibDems are rising in the polls & the largest #StopBrexit party! Help us beat the Brexit Party. Vote #LibDems on Thursday to reject the botched Tory #Brexit , aided & abetted by Labour & #DemandBetter for Britain!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Why the hell is (what appears to be) a death threat being allowed to trend? This site is rotten

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

The PM's letter to Donald Tusk

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

The UK is currently vaccinating more than 8 people per second

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

This makes no sense, it can’t be an anonymity issue - there are sadly far too many deaths for that - so why is consent needed for *aggregated* data? Transparency, accurate dating and timeliness are overwhelmingly in the public interest here - people are modelling based on this

Sienna Rodgers

@siennamarla

4 years

Well, this is very interesting from @nicholaswatt – the govt is changing the way it is releasing death figures, which “may not actually be the deaths that have taken place over the last 24 hrs” as family consent is now required:

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Still digging

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

NEW MRP model from Focaldata: CON 337 LAB 235 SNP 41 LD 14 PC 3 GRN 1 BXP 0 Speaker 1 CON majority 24 #GE2019

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

If you wanted to sum up the increasingly unhinged nature of political "debate" in one sentence: "Sue, you're shouting at tea"

Yorkshire Tea

@YorkshireTea

4 years

@sulaAlice Sue, you're shouting at tea. Please do look after yourself and try to be kind to others. We're going to mute you now.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Am muting notifications on this as I’ve frankly had it with replies from (overwhelming white) mainland Europeans implying that racism is an English thing and can’t possibly come from elsewhere. Try being a brown guy living on the continent, you might have a different perspective

Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Southgate suggesting (at 5:15) that a lot, but not all, of the racist abuse is the work of overseas trolls: “A lot of that has come from abroad. People that track those things have been able to explain that”. Interesting.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

And 52% now vaccinated. Therefore vaccines have an overwhelming mandate.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

This from Natascha Engel, whose Red Wall seat went blue in 2017, really gets to the point about culture. It’s not even that voters there necessarily disagree - it’s that they don’t share the liberal obsessions of the metropolitan bubble

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

So much this. Thank you, science.

James O'Malley

@Psythor

3 years

Imagine how much bleaker the one year anniversary of lockdown would be if we didn’t have a vaccine.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Do people saying "Chequers is a second home" genuinely think that 10 Downing Street is a normal first home, rather than, say, a building where dozens of people work?

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

The right way to report this stuff👇🏽

Ryan Struyk

@ryanstruyk

2 years

Latest CDC data by vaccine status: Unvaccinated: 451 cases per 100k Vaccinated: 134 cases per 100k Boosted: 48 cases per 100k Unvaccinated: 6.1 deaths per 100k Vaccinated: 0.5 deaths per 100k Boosted: 0.1 deaths per 100k

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

I worked in banking from 2005-2011. The idea that the industry or people working in it favour no-deal Brexit is one of the most ridiculous things I’ve ever heard in my life.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Do you think you're ready to hear the lived experience of a brown man, Fox Basher QC?

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Has the Guardian ever apologised for its cartoon depicting Patel as, in her words, “a fat cow with a ring through its nose”?

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Wow that's a lot of people with no sense of humour😂

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

We got our million dose day!!! 919,521 jabs yesterday, including 846,466 boosters and third doses. And with the weekend Welsh numbers included, there were 1,024,833 doses on Saturday (940,606 boosters/3rds) Congrats to the NHS, volunteers, @HugoGye and everyone else involved!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

No, TIG is not the first parliamentary group to be majority female. The Greens have been 100% female at Westminster since 2010.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

The Conservatives are currently on a higher vote share in Scotland than in England #EP2019

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

This is what's known as a non-neutral question wording

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

7 years

All plots converge...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

I see polling ethnic and religious minorities BADLY is back in fashion. Would politely suggest that if you want to claim Labour is losing half its Muslim voters, you need to do something rather more robust than put a survey link on Twitter and weight it by age/gender and region🤦🏽‍♂️

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

These focus group quotes are as brutal as you'd expect for a party that lost 59 seats to a not-too-popular PM after almost a decade in opposition:

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

"Have you ever lied to a pollster, or not?"🤔

Ipsos UK

@IpsosUK

4 years

I am/we are buying things in bulk that we wouldn’t normally do: 18-35 year olds: 14% 35-55 year olds: 6% 55-75 year olds: 2% Our latest poll on attitudes to #COVID19

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

15 days

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Of course, it can simultaneously be true that Britain is racist AND that it is less racist than other countries.

Britain one of the best countries in world to be black, says Minister for Equalities

Kemi Badenoch defends Government's record over concerns people from BAME backgrounds are more likely to die from Covid-19

www.telegraph.co.uk

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Opinium/Observer voting intention numbers provide no respite for Labour – the Conservatives are 26 points clear on 55%, their best poll share since March 1979 (immediately after the Callaghan government fell) and a new all-time record while in office

John Rentoul

@JohnRentoul

4 years

Opinium voting intention Con 55% +2 since last week Lab 29% -1 Keir Starmer net approval +26 compared with Jeremy Corbyn's final rating of -36

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

This is disgusting. @sundersays is one of the most conciliatory voices on race (and other things) I can think of. But even if he weren’t, this would not be a reason to dismiss his objections to a reprehensible tweet at a British Asian politician

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

Most Labour seats voted Leave. Most Labour voters voted Remain. These statements are not contradictory.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Yep. Anti-racism has solid public support, this sort of overreach doesn’t. It’s a great way to lose hearts and minds. Smacks of TV execs being happy to inflame things further just to avoid even the slightest bit of bad PR.

Keiran Pedley

@keiranpedley

4 years

It’s really annoying to watch TV execs trying to ‘do the right thing’ and end up making things worse. Fawlty Towers? Seriously? People will end up blaming BLM for things they never asked for!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Reasons given by defectors for not voting Labour

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Sunderland would have counted the 2024 results by now #IowaCaucuses

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Imagine insulting large parts of the country, whose support you'll need to win back at some point, and thinking that *they're* the stupid ones

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Just in case anyone still thinks this stuff doesn't matter...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

John Curtice, asked if SNP is doing enough to get a majority: "At the moment, no"

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Call me biased towards robust evidence, but I'm not entirely sure what boos from a crowd tell us that we didn't already know from polls and focus groups?🤷‍♂️

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

#LabourLeadership most chosen words Starmer: “Competent”, “up to the job”, “potential election winner” RLB: “Out of touch”, “out of her depth“, “arrogant”, “doesn’t listen” Thornberry: “arrogant”, “smug”, “out of touch”, “doesn’t listen” Nandy: “likeable”, “out of her depth”

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

A year ago this week, the Ashcroft report on Labour, including arguably the most brutal polling result in the history of brutality:

Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

"Which of the following do you think was the best Labour leader of recent times?"

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

10% swing from the 2019. Also roughly the swing Labour got in 1997...

Election Maps UK

@ElectionMapsUK

2 years

Westminster Voting Intention: LAB: 41% CON: 33% LDM: 7% GRN: 6% SNP: 5% Via @focaldataHQ , 9-10 Dec.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Since no-one asked, the swing to the Conservatives was clearly bigger in constituencies with no or few branches of Starbucks than those with lots of them

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

“At the Tegel vaccination centres in Berlin, which give only the AstraZeneca product, fewer than 200 people are turning up for the 3,800 daily appointments”

Germans are turning down Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid vaccine

Germany’s vaccination programme is in trouble, with people failing to keep appointments if they are going to be given the Oxford AstraZeneca vaccine.Only 150,000 out of 1.5 million doses of the...

www.thetimes.co.uk

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Panic buying is collectively irrational but individually rational. Discuss.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

I got a screenshot of the disgraceful tweet, obviously

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Relevant anecdote from John Golding re the hard left's attitude to opinion polls, from the 90s BBC doc Labour: The Wilderness Years

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Obviously a slow day for real news🤷🏽‍♂️

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

Meanwhile the UK has given first doses to more people than every country in the EU put together

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

6 years

"Best since 1971" is London-centric nonsense. Here's the PNS. Labour's best local election result was a 21-point win over the Tories in 1995, which was biggest by 5 points. All of Labour's biggest wins came during the 1992-97 parliament.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

17% is the Conservatives' worst Westminster poll since records began in 1943.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Senior Tory backbencher says go to bed

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

This research is *potentially* hugely valuable to Labour (and would not have been cheap). After Ashcroft's 2005 report, David Cameron was able to take the Conservatives back into power. But Cameron listened to this kind of stuff. The next Labour leader really needs to do so too.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Jimmy Carter is only 95 and not term limited

Keiran Pedley

@keiranpedley

4 years

Bernie Sanders is 78 Mike Bloomberg is 78 Joe Biden is 77 Bill Clinton is 73 Crikey!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

There’s been a lot of hot air around Focaldata’s MRP model for Best for Britain, but those of us that have looked at it (including @chrishanretty , @benwansell and myself) couldn't find anything inconsistent in its endorsements. See the latest NCP briefing:

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

More than half of the Conservatives' council seats so far are gains

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

7 months

I don’t know how widely this is believed among Conservatives, but it’s not going to help them. Turnout was not *that* low, and the idea that all of Labour’s GE vote turned out but two-thirds of Tories stayed home is silly, that’s just not how it works.

Anushka Asthana

@AnushkaAsthana

7 months

One senior Tory said issue for party is “mass abstentions”. And altho Tory MPs often argue Starmer isn’t exciting voters like Blair - they also admit voters think he’s competent, and “safe”. Which they worry allows fed up Con voters to stay home as they don’t fear alternative

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

3 years

23 years years ago tonight, a proper red wall...

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Anti-vaxx "strongest man in Belgium" kickboxer dies of Covid

‘Corona-ontkenner en ‘Sterkste man van België’ overleden aan de gevolgen van Covid-19’

Kickbokser Frédéric Sinistra (40), volgens een collega de ‘sterkste man van België’ bij de zwaargewichten, is overleden. Waalse media berichten dat hij overleed aan de gevolgen van het coronavirus....

www.demorgen.be

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

I'm from the northern Midlands, near a few mines, from a 51/49 seat that's voted with the country since 1974, went to a state school, am the mixed-race son of an immigrant dad and working class mum who met working in the NHS, and not a journo, so fuck off.

Ꮢ☭ᏕᏕ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

@rossmcgovern

4 years

Trouble at t‘mill. Can tha help this la-di-dah southern journalist understand what us generic northern folk like? Aside from bread and dripping that is mother!

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

8 months

This survey is, I'm afraid, of zero quantitative value. From the report itself (p25): "Overall, then, our survey sample is not statistically representative of the Black British population across the nation as a whole". Yet this tweet generalises to the population. Not good.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

Posted without comment

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

9 days

London is so slow to count that it would have been quicker just to send the ballot boxes up to Sunderland

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

5 years

Before people start making assumptions about turnout, the last winter election (February 1974) had a turnout of 79%, which has not been matched since. If people want to vote, they will.

Number Cruncher Politics UK

@NCPoliticsUK

5 years

PM calling for December 12th general election

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

6 years

RT if you’re getting a great reception on the doorstep #LocalElections

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

IMO this is the most significant takeaway. 12.7% swing to Labour in Wakefield is the sort of by-election result they were getting 2010-14, suggesting it's got its act together in by-elections (and in general). 29.9% to LDs in Tiverton and Honiton is one of the biggest ever.

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

4 years

When schools reopen, please can they teach exponential growth in GCSE maths? It could literally save lives

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Matt Singh

@MattSingh_

2 years

Lord Ashcroft has managed to do a poll in Ukraine. Many results are as lopsided as you'd expect, but there are some interesting points. Little difference by tUkrainian/Russian ethnicity. Ukrainians want the West to do more, but look how well the UK scores: