A group of senior Tories have been holding discussions + have decided the following: the sacking of
@KwasiKwarteng
will prompt them to come out publicly next week + call on
@trussliz
to resign. My source: “These are serious people. The PM will find it difficult to survive.”
The sacking of Michael Gove is not going down well in the Conservative party. One former Boris Johnson ally tells me: “Sacking Gove is revenge. But Boris is now detached from reality. He is now like Putin.”
One of Boris Johnson’s closest allies tells me: It will all be over by this time tomorrow. No PM can survive the resignation of two senior cabinet ministers like that
A former cabinet minister tells me: “Brace for the mother of all U-Turns on the mini budget today. A friendly person in the know is advising us to steer clear of the media today to avoid the explosion. We wouldn’t want to look silly by tomorrow.”
#waitandsee
A Tory grandee turned to a member of the 2019 intake of MPs, who may play a decisive role in deciding Boris Johnson’s future, to ask their thoughts on PM’s statement. The 2019er told their fellow MP that the PM’s statement was meaningless and it’s over for him
Nigel Dodds tells me the UK should stay in the EU if that was only way to preserve NI’s place in UK. ‘I would stay in the European Union and remain rather than risk Northern Ireland’s position. That’s how strongly I feel about the union.’
A Conservative MP submitting a no confidence letter this afternoon to Sir Graham Brady tells me that will be one of two this afternoon. Both MPs due to go public
Break: Danny Kruger, former political secretary to Boris Johnson and now Conservative MP for Devizes, tells colleagues to stop demanding resignation of Dominic Cummings on the grounds that such calls are tantamount to a vote of no confidence in PM
@danny__kruger
As Jo Swinson prepares to launch manifesto senior Tories fear Dominic Raab could be under pressure from Liberal Democrats in Esther and Walton. “The chat among Surrey Tories is that Dominic Raab could be in trouble,” a senior Tory tells me
@joswinson
@DominicRaab
One minister tells me there is no comparison between Boris Johnson winning tonight by a higher margin than Margaret Thatcher in 1990. Minister: “Key difference in 1990 Mrs Thatcher was up against an actual and credible candidate. Today was entirely a judgement on him. Far worse.”
Some very long faces on supporters of
@BorisJohnson
after poll closed. One PM ally said of Tory MPs: They are a bunch of lying snakes. I don’t trust anything they say
Just asked ally of cabinet minister who is in No 10 calling on PM to go what would happen if he refuses. “Then Boris Johnson won’t have a cabinet,” came the swift reply
Senior Labour figures tell me
@CommonsSpeaker
was left in no doubt that Labour would bring him down after the general election unless he called Labour’s Gaza amendment
This is worthy of Yes Prime Minister. Govt source on challenge of reaching agreement between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn on a customs union: our position is a customs union but we don’t call it that. Labour’s position is not a customs union but they do call it that...
Break: I am told that a very tense meeting of the executive of the Conservative backbench committee 1922 has just concluded. Every Tory MP at the meeting and every MP who dialled in expressed deep concern at the impact of the lockdown on business
One minister who saw
@BorisJohnson
after the resignations of
@RishiSunak
and
@sajidjavid
tells me: Boris does not look like a PM about to relinquish the seals of office. He is bullish
Interesting to peruse list of Tory MPs publicly backing PM. This is what one of them told me in hushed tones a few months ago of the government whips: “They haven’t got a xxxxing clue what is going on. We have completely shut down. We are not telling them what we think….
My source tells me Liz Truss has made a mistake if she thinks her (outgoing) friend
@KwasiKwarteng
has no base in the parliamentary party. “People like Kwasi. He is friendly. He’s honest. Maybe a bit too honest. Maybe that’s his problem.”
Government chief whip Mark Spencer has started to call in declared Tory rebels to say: I’m afraid I am going to have to remove the whip from you tonight
My exclusive: group of Tory grandees planning next week to call on
@trussliz
to resign. They said not tenable for PM to remain after sacking
@KwasiKwarteng
who was implementing the programme that won her the Tory leadership
“These are serious people. The PM will find it hard to survive"
Prime Minister Liz Truss will be called on to resign by senior Conservative politicians, the BBC understands
Breaking: I have learnt that some cabinet ministers are giving serious consideration to resigning tomorrow to vote in favour of preventing the next prime minister from suspending parliament. No final decisions made yet on resignations. More at 22:30 on Newsnight
@BBCNewsnight
I’m picking up considerable ministerial unease at
@SuellaBraverman
’s attack on the civil service - among others - for blocking government action on small boats. One minister - a fellow Brexiteer with Braverman - tells me: “You just cannot do that as a minister. It is really bad.”
One former minister told me there are MPs on list of those publicly supporting the PM who have been saying in private they would vote no confidence in
@BorisJohnson
Tory rebellion alert. Senior backbench MP William Wragg says he will vote for the Keir Starmer proposal to exempt all care staff from the Health Immigration Surcharge
@BBCNewsnight
I will support the nhs fee exemption for migrant nhs and care workers. Now is the time for a generosity of spirit towards those who have done so much good. I am sure that
@Conservatives
colleagues will be supportive.
Well that was quick. I broke the news late last night of a Tory backbench rebellion in favour of the Labour call to exempt care workers from the NHS migrant Surcharge. And now a No 10 U Turn
...so the source says the challenge is to persuade Jeremy Corbyn to sign up to Theresa May’s non customs union customs union and not call it a customs union. This would put the UK in a customs union with the EU which would then not be called a customs union
@BBCNewsnight
The Labour chief whip
@alancampbellmp
positioned himself right next to commons speaker to shout repeatedly “no no” when
@LindsayHoyle_MP
asked whether MPs supported the Boris Johnson report. His shouts triggered an actual vote
Apologies to
@BBCNewsnight
viewers. My two way on Sue Gray was cut short so I was unable to report on what
@UKLabour
are saying. I was going to report that Labour is very relaxed if the Tories want to remind people about
@BorisJohnson
and
#partygate
An old ally of
@boris_johnson
tells me the mood among Conservative MPs is turning against the PM rapidly and decisively. This person tells me: “It is moving very quickly. We have passed the tipping point.”
Quite a night on our two islands where universal agreement is rare. It is a no to the European Commission invoking article 16 from Sinn Fein, the DUP, the UUP, the SDLP, the Alliance Party, the UK government + concerns raised by the Irish government
Break: Ian Paisley, the DUP MP, tells me: the Windsor Framework “does not cut the mustard”. It provides no basis for the DUP to go back into government + Rishi Sunak needs to enter fresh negotiations with the EU
A brief marriage ends. DUP learning today that many in ERG = Brexiteers first Unionists second. DUP = Unionists first and Brexiteers second. So DUP would countenance long extension / customs union over PM’s deal while ERG will support PM’s deal over long extension / customs union
One of those long faces included a strong supporter of the PM who said of the rebels: I could throttle some of my colleagues. They want to hand our country to a coalition of Labour, the SNP and the Liberal Democrats. It will be votes at 16 and then who knows what will happen?
The message was: you will need our votes to be re-elected as speaker after election with strong indications this would not be forthcoming if he failed to call the Labour amendment
Churchill’s biographer appears not to know about Leo Amery’s landmark call on Neville Chamberlain to go which helped pave way for Churchill to enter No 10
Word amongst Tory MPs in the tea room is
@RishiSunak
has pulled off quite a deal. One tells me: “It is absolutely jaw dropping what
@RishiSunak
has managed to get out of the EU.” Early signs from Tories familiar with DUP thinking: they are encouraged
Real anger in
@PennyMordaunt
camp after her supporter
@Tobias_Ellwood
stripped of Tory whip for missing last night’s confidence vote in the government after he failed to return in time from trip to Moldova
A cabinet minister tells me the game is up for
@BorisJohnson
. Minister tells me: “I don’t see how Boris can turn it round. I think the only person who does think that is Boris. I hope it is done and I hope it is done quickly.”
It looks like the Northern Ireland secretary Julian Smith has made a significant intervention in the commons. He confirmed that he was not consulted on the prorogation of parliament. He stated that the cabinet was simply updated before the announcment was made
@JulianSmithUK
Break: ERG number crunching shows
@RishiSunak
needed opposition MPs to get his Northern Ireland deal passed. There were 48 Conservative abstentions which they say = 24 no votes. Add that to 22 actual No votes and you have 46 No votes which = loss of government majority
Labour source points out privileges committee has a Conservative majority. “Any Conservative MP considering voting to block this investigation would be voting for a cover up. They should reflect on the mess they got themselves into over Owen Paterson before falling into line."
An ally of Nick Boles tells he was so angry with Conservatives because Theresa May ordered a particularly aggressive whipping operation against his Common Market 2.0 proposal
Am told Labour chief whip Nick Brown told PLP if the government doesn’t grant time for Jeremy Corbyn’s no confidence motion in Theresa May then Labour will escalate: no confidence motion in government as a whole under Fixed Term Parliaments Act. That has to be granted time
And the final irony of the climate protest on our flight. We cannot take off until we have taken on extra fuel...to replace the fuel used up during the protest, our pilot notes with humour
Breaking: I understand the DUP will vote against the 29 October Budget if
@Theresa_May
breaches their
#Brexit
red lines at next week’s EU summit. Losing a budget vote has traditionally been seen as a confidence issue
So Boris Johnson loyalists in the lords helping out the PM. Am told 90 amendments have been tabled to an opposition business motion for tomorrow which is designed to find time to debate the anti no deal bill
It has been one of the greatest privileges of my working life to count you as a colleague Mark. I admired your work before I joined
@BBCNewsnight
and now admire you as a caring colleague. When I want to understand the world in this defining era you are always my guiding star
🚨personal news🚨I’ll be leaving the BBC at the end of May. Newsnight in its current format will end then, so most posts will go. I decided not to apply for other BBC jobs. Working there for 35 yrs has been life defining: an eyewitness to history collaborating with such brilliant
U-Turn talk reminds me of this from a former minister I quoted on
@BBCNewsnight
last night: “It is checkmate for the PM. Either she embarks on a screeching U turn on her tax cuts, which means she is finished politically, or she does nothing and then we are finished politically”
Tonight on
@BBCNewsnight
I reported on a devastating collapse in confidence in Liz Truss among her MPs and how a dinner attended by multiple Tory MPs in recent days was dominated by one topic: how to get rid of the PM
#Newsnight
’s Political Editor
@nicholaswatt
examines whether momentum is building within the Tory party to replace the PM
Where does Liz Truss go from here?
New: UK, US and Canada conclude that Russian intelligence services are behind hacking of Covid vaccine programmes to steal information. APT29 group, also known as the Dukes or Cozy Bear, behind the hacks
This ally describes the tearoom after prime minister’s questions: “In the tearoom Nadine Dorries is sitting with a handful of loyalists. On every other Tory table MPs are plotting how to get rid of Boris Johnson. That includes ministers who haven’t resigned.”
The Speaker’s office have been in touch to say: “This is not true.” For clarity: senior Lab sources briefed me on the messages: you will need our support after the election and this may not be forthcoming. The speaker met multiple MPs this week because he has an open door policy
A row has broken out in government over a special parliamentary bill to allow ministers to take maternity leave. Ministers are raising concerns because the bill says maternity leave is taken by persons. NHS guidance on maternity leave refers to women. Key part of bill below
Very long faces in Boris Johnson’s inner circle at his suggestion that he might try to trigger a general election. One member tells me: “The Queen needs to be busy next week so the PM can’t meet her.”
Last night: PM said anyone who cannot work from home “should be actively encouraged to go to work”. Tonight: PM said anyone who can’t work from home should speak to their employer about going back to work
Since I broadcast this the mood against Liz Truss on her backbenches and in the ministerial ranks appeared to have hardened. Talk of how there could be decisive moves against the PM tomorrow with a mountain of letters calling for a confidence vote expected to head to Graham Brady
“This looks like a government that is falling apart in front of our eyes”
#Newsnight
’s Political Editor
@nicholaswatt
examines how today’s turmoil in government will affect the PM’s precarious position
Looking like
@theSNP
MPs minded to sign the Will Wragg EDM expressing no confidence in
@CommonsSpeaker
. One Tory: When the Tories and SNP agree then something big is afoot
The Red Arrows and La Patrouille over fly Downing Street for Emmanuel Macron and Boris Johnson et pour l’entente cordiale
@EmmanuelMacron
@BorisJohnson
Turns out Jacob Rees-Mogg is a unifying figure: MPs from all sides united in agreeing that the “Mogg conga” voting is a farce. MPs snaking round passageways and courtyards of Parliament not knowing which vote they are lining up for
Jeremy Corbyn confirms Lab will vote against brexit bill on Friday: ‘...by putting an impossible timetable for a good deal with the EU, Boris Johnson has already shown that his priority is a toxic deal with Donald Trump that will sell out our NHS and risk the safety of our food.’
‘Peace be with you. How are you? Long life to you.’ Rory Stewart’s opening remarks when he bumped into a Dari speaker from northern Afghanistan in Barking this afternoon. Stewart spent three years in Afghanistan from 2005
Clearly John Bercow is relishing confrontation with government and Tory critics. The smile on his face shows he has been waiting and preparing for this moment, the most significant of his speakership and perhaps of any modern speakership
Repercussions from
@CommonsSpeaker
decision to call Labour Gaza amendment: Conservative MP William Wragg has just tabled an Early Day Motion saying: This member has no confidence in Mr Speaker
Danny Kruger, whose family is close to Dominic Cummings and his wife Mary Wakefield, says Cummings is arguably guilty of a minor infraction of the rules
And tonight
@BBCNewsnight
will be presented by one of the true greats. In a volatile and divided world our
@MarkUrban01
never puts a foot wrong. Public service broadcasting at its finest
The honour of presenting
@BBCNewsnight
falls to me tonight. I have worked on the programme for 32 years, around the world, risking my life many times for its journalism. You can well imagine my feelings at cuts to our staff and budget of more than 50%
Am told the sentiment at the 1922 was: unless the lockdown starts to be lifted soon the UK may not have much of a functioning economy to come back to. Fears expressed that thousands upon thousands of businesses could soon go under
And the verdicts are coming in. I asked a former cabinet minister how
@trussliz
can survive sacking the chancellor who implemented her programme. Succinct answer: “She shouldn’t”
"I understand that a group of senior Tories decided that if Liz Truss sacked the Chancellor, they would come out and call for her publicly to go"
#Newsnight
's
@nicholaswatt
says the PM is facing 'big trouble' despite dismissing her Chancellor today
So those figures appear to confirm Tory rebellion on covid passes just over 100, as I said on
@BBCNewsnight
last night. Ally of PM tells me: this is catastrophic
Gareth Snell and Ruth Smeeth have just told me they will vote for Boris Johnson’s
#brexit
deal if it is approved by the EU. They are two of the more prominent Labour MPs who represent Leave voting seats
Blog on Tory resentment of Irish power within EU. After centuries of troubled Anglo-Irish relations it is smaller of two islands which appears to be exercising greater power for first time
@BBCNewsnight
@theresa_may
Govt now facing ministerial resignation alert. Govt planning to whip against their no deal motion because it has now been amended to rule out no deal in all circumstances. If govt whips against that ministers say they will resign