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Matt Landes Profile
Matt Landes

@LayOfTheLandes

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Exploring the lay of the land in sports betting & craft beer | Host, @PropsAndHopsPod & @primesportsbook 's "Prime Suspects" | NFL contributor, @VSiNLive

Los Angeles, CA
Joined July 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
5 months
When I started betting, I occasionally heard about price sensitivity. I understood the concept, but a concrete breakdown would've saved me time and money. Here's my attempt at a concrete breakdown to save you time and money, wherever you are as a bettor 🧵
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
What's one thing you wish you knew when you started betting? 🧵 For me, it's how to convert US odds to break-even percentages. Divide the odds by the sum of the odds plus 100. For underdogs, subtract that # from 1. -110 = 110 / 210 = 52.4% +110 = 1 - (110 / 210) = 47.6%
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
5 years ago today, we lost a legend. RIP David Malinsky Dec. 30, 1960 - April 14, 2018 Friend and father figure Partner and mentor Point Blank, the best man I've ever known
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
4 years ago today, we lost a legend in David Malinsky. Until this week, I couldn't bring myself to revisit the podcast we created in 2017. Today, the vault is unlocked. Enjoy this compilation episode of Dave at his best: 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
First annual Bet Bash David Malinsky Memorial Lunch at Lotus of Siam with @MitchMossRadio , @lasvegascris , @michaelroselli and @paulyhoward . Amazing food, even better company.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Sports betting is one of the best forms of decision education 🧵
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
3 months ago, I left a good job to pursue a dream job. It didn't work out. If you know anyone who needs someone for content creation, marketing or media strategy, I'm available and ready to go.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
(3/3) Rest In Peace, Dave. Friend and father figure, partner and mentor, point blank the best person I’ve ever met. It was an honor to know you and it will be a privilege to carry out your legacy for the rest of my life, forever using your light to guide the way. #DavidMalinsky
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Career news: I’ve joined @TheHammerHQ as Head of Marketing #HammerTime 🔨
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
2nd Annual David Malinsky Memorial Meal at (where else?) Lotus of Siam. Thank you @michaelroselli , @MitchMossRadio , @paulyhoward and @lasvegascris for keeping the spirit alive. A @bet_bash tradition unlike any other.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
I made a bet yesterday at a book that hasn't moved the odds but still won't take another bet from me. Hang a number, take a hit, move the line -- or at least take another hit. What am I missing?
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Memorial Day Weekend hazy crusher 🇺🇸 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
149. NFL Preseason Betting with Pro Bettor "Hitman"
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Are you in the LA area and interested in sports betting? If so, let’s hang out 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
First @bet_bash beer. Thanks, @adamchernoff 🍻 🇨🇦
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
What's the most important skill in betting? @spanky makes a compelling case for money management. Watch below for his insight on the art of staying in the game 👇 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
I was one of many to bet Falcons-Jets under 42. Line closed 38. Game landed 40. For the “CLV doesn’t matter, just pick winners” crowd: What do you make of this?
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Happy 62nd Birthday, David Malinsky 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
From Bet Bash in Vegas to Beer Bash with Mrs. Props & Hops in Stockholm 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
Latest on the search for #DavidMalinsky , from a close friend: A crew of 8 is searching. Lead person has a canine. A helicopter is there. Thank you for the prayers.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Farewell from @bet_bash . I didn’t think last year could be topped but @spanky and @CircaLasVegas pulled it off, highlighted by a @theSGHOF induction ceremony that might never be matched in terms of sports betting wisdom in one room. Unforgettable finale to an unforgettable week.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Next stop: @bet_bash ✈️
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
When you’re dressed almost as well as @RoxyLasVegas …congrats to a worthy first-ballot Hall of Famer.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
The bash before Bet Bash. Had a blast working with @SixthSenseNFL and @lasvegascris all NFL season and just as much fun finally getting together in person 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Belated birthday hike and bagel toast to a legend. Happy 61st, David Malinsky 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
I couldn’t have scripted a better endorsement from better bettors. Thank you @robpizzola and Johnny and thank you to all followers, new and old. From the props to the hops, let’s keep finding edges 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
“Beer Bash 1” is in the books, and it was one for the books. Unforgettable L.A. sports betting meetup last night. Thanks @joeyisaks , @MLBksPSYCHIC , @richpsm , @Ronacesports , @spanky , @RichPalmTree and everyone who showed up. Great beer and food, even better company 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
#DavidMalinsky update: Metro and Red Rock Search and Rescue have new information. Search planned for tomorrow (Thursday) - volunteers needed. Harris Springs Road/Kyle Canyon Road at 7:45 a.m. FB event page w/ details: . #FindDavidMalinsky
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 months
Cris is a living legend. The strength and clarity he summons to deliver this news make it arguably his best work yet. To call Gambling Twitter polarizing would be an understatement, but I think we can all agree this video is worth watching and Cris is worth supporting.
@lasvegascris
Cris (lvc)🏈
4 months
**My Toughest Handicap** I ask ALL my followers to PLEASE take a moment to view the 1st few minutes. The full content has no sales, commercials, & has information that is of benefit to all. I appreciate you taking the time to briefly watch, & hopefully the full video will
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
@JoeyKnish22 @stoolpresidente @BSSportsbook “We fight tooth and nail for every advantage that our player can get.” 🤔
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Great running into the one only @RoxyLasVegas at @bet_bash speed networking 🤩
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Local craft beer by day, bucket list concert by night…keep rocking, Denver 🤘 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
They say all good things come to an end. @bet_bash was as good as it gets. Thank you @spanky , @CircaSports and @theDlasvegas for making it possible and to everyone from @PropsAndHopsPod Bet Bash interview series guests to those who simply said hello for making it unforgettable.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Whether you're deciding on a bet or a relationship or a job, it's about all you can do to: 1. Seek and consider all available and meaningful information, 2. Make the best decision you can, and 3. Accept the results up front -- trusting that, over time, the process is the result.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
All-time beat on shortest TD under 1.5 yards? 💸 1st & goal at 1: TD overturned, very iffy 💸 2nd & goal at 1-inch line: No gain 💸 3rd & goal at 1-inch line: Delay of game 💸 3rd & goal at 5: 4-yard rush 💸 4th & goal at 1: Incomplete pass All after THREE 2-yard TDs...
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
(1/3) "If there is a universal message that we can establish, let it be one of the light being eternal, always shining regardless of whether our temporary circumstances allow us to see it, and the understanding that the light isn’t a particular place or moment..."
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
"Everything is a bet." - @AnnieDuke Allyson discusses the profound simplicity behind this concept and how we're all bettors, all the time. Full @PropsAndHopsPod episode:
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Merry Christmas from Mr. & Mrs. Props & Hops 🎄
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Introducing the newest addition to the @PropsAndHopsPod “studio”
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Beer bash meets @bet_bash 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
Had a blast talking betting and beer today on @LastWordCheetah ! Check it out at 🏈 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
And away we go #BetBashPics
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Early front runner for best Bet Bash Vegas discovery: Monroe High Limit Speakeasy at Circa
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
🚨 New @PropsAndHopsPod 🚨 First interview episode of the season! Pro bettor @MLBksPSYCHIC on props, networking, and addition by subtraction 💰 🟣 🟢 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
The risk, uncertainty and variance inherent in betting has so much in common with the risk, uncertainty and variance inherent in decisions across all walks of life.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
(2/3) "...but is what makes it possible to better understand the incredible mysteries and beauties of our existence across all places and all moments. Without it, sometimes we only see clouds..." -David Malinsky
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
It might sound crazy for -500 to have value. -500 = 500 / 600 = 83.3% Trevor Penning is -500 to go in Round 1. Unless the Raiders trade for every Day 1 pick to draft Day 3 talent, it's happening. -500 on Penning Round 1 is more valuable by a mile than +2000 on Howell top 10.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
A setting worthy of Celebration 🏈 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
The hops are ready, and so are the props. Happy Super Sunday and thank you to everyone who’s made it a super season by hopping on @PropsAndHopsPod and connecting elsewhere to talk betting and beer 🏈 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Where does Vegas disagree with the college football coaches poll -- and how can you bet accordingly? Pro bettor @BradPowers7 "Volunteers" his take on a wager worth making 👇 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Super Bowl Experience with Mrs. Props & Hops 🏈 🥰
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
(1/2) Props & Hops update: After considering what’s best for myself and the show’s growth, I’ve decided to keep hosting P&H on The Hammer. Full-time job status aside, I kept coming back to making P&H the best show it can be.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Tip of the day: Don't bet out of FOMO. I was late to see a tip Friday on Brooks Lee to go #1 in the MLB Draft. Refused to miss out and laid -300 after big plus money had been scooped up. Paid the price. Betting has a way of repeatedly teaching us the same basic lessons.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
🚨 New @PropsAndHopsPod 🚨 Handicapper @ClevTA on finding betting edges in the NFL, consulting teams and coaches with @SharpFootball , and balancing gambling with his day job 🟣 🟢 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
2018 NFL preview thread for the Point Blank community is live at . In honor of the one and only #DavidMalinsky , let's go find some edges. @teddy_covers @SBRSportsPicks
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
No major updates from Wednesday's search for #DavidMalinsky . Thanks to all for keeping going strong. Closing in on $12.4K in less than 24 hours and every bit counts. We continue doing our best to use every available resource to #FindDavidMalinsky .
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
9 months
5 Football Friday Follows you need: @Hitman428 @suuma810 @lasvegascris @SharpClarkeNFL @Clevta 5 Football Friday Follows you didn't know you need (<5K followers and deserving of more): @SH8Model @Ronacesports @PiskyPositivo @CLARS24 @jason_nadel
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
🚨 New @PropsAndHopsPod 🚨 Craft beer draft with @enosarris , Danny of @thefullpint , and Cody of Beer Night in San Diego ( @ThreeBZine ) 🍻 Who drafted the best California brewery lineup? 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
🚨 New @PropsAndHopsPod 🚨 Professional bettor and ESPN alum @SportsCheetah on in-game wagering, bankroll management, and a hidden angle on NFL teasers 🟣 🟢 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
5 months
I don’t always bet parlays. But when I do, I prefer correlation. DAL 1H ATS NYG 4Q ML +339 If Dallas is up big at halftime, Philadelphia likely calls off the dogs at the Giants. Parlays typically beg for bankroll management, but I like this at anything better than +300.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
When your ad read makes it onto your favorite podcast by mistake 😆 Nice save, @robpizzola — I’m sure @thepowerrank won’t mind 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
The Super Bowl beer lineup… Thank you to all who made this the biggest season yet for @PropsAndHopsPod . Plenty to build on moving forward. For now, here’s to the best day of the year to enjoy both the props and the hops 🏈 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Top 5 March Madness Betting Tips (Thread) 1) Use pool size to inform bracket strategy. In small pools (~10 entries or less), think boring and pick favorites. In intermediate pools, pick spots to be contrarian. In big pools (100+ entries), go nuts. h/t @thepowerrank
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Going live in an hour at 4 p.m. ET/1 p.m. PT with @Hitman428 for a Props & Hops NFL preseason betting primer. Tune in right here for real-time insights from one of the best.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
6 years
#DavidMalinsky update: Dave's niece has set up a Facebook group called Find David Malinsky to keep everyone posted and share information. Please join and spread the word. #FindDavidMalinsky
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
150. College Football Betting with Pro Bettor Brad Powers
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Teaser Talk 🧵 I'm hearing a lot about teasers losing at an alarming rate this season, and you can bet my bankroll is feeling the pain. I'm not, however, hearing much underlying logic as to why teasers are losing at an alarming rate. Possible explanations 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
NFL Betting Prep 🧵 There's a ton of free and actionable NFL betting preview content (h/t @SharpClarkeNFL , @ClevTA and @lasvegascris to name a few) -- but if you're doing all your prep in front of a screen, I'd argue you're missing something vital.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
🚨 New @PropsAndHopsPod 🚨 NFL deep dive with pro bettor @FezzikSports : Preseason primer, regular-season angles, and edges that run the gambling gamut 🟣 🟢 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
Best bet: This bettor, beer drinker and podcaster will be at @bet_bash ! Thanks @spanky for making it happen. Fun bonus content to come for @PropsAndHopsPod and @DimersCom .
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
NFL Draft Week Betting Tips 🧵 1) Value and vig can coexist. Some bets listed at +500 should be closer to +5000. Others listed at -500 should be closer to -5000. Big payouts are more enticing than big vig, but often the juice is worth the squeeze.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Traveling to Vegas for @bet_bash ? Prepare like a pro with the Props & Hops Bet Bash interview series 👇 Thanks to everyone who’s joined so far: @mjc257 @Hitman428 @DavidPurdum @beatingthebook More interviews daily throughout the epic weekend!
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Bet Bash Rehash: Top 5 Highlights 🧵 Unable to share a timely podcast recap due to travel plans, so will be sharing thoughts here on Bet Bash -- the highlights, tips for future attendees, and notes to my future self. Starting with the top 5 of too many highlights to mention...
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
Annual pour of Pliny the Younger: The passing of the torch from the props to the hops 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
4 months
When Chris launched his podcast in 2015, I was instantly hooked. If you would've told me then that I'd not only become friends with Chris, but also be invited to break down the Super Bowl on his hit show, my jaw would've hit the floor. Hope you enjoy it as much as I did 🏈
@HarrisFootball
Christopher Harris
4 months
Final Pod Before Our Winter Break!!! 🚨🚨🚨 I'll review a ton of Kyren Williams game film to describe how he did what he did in '23... ...and then @LayOfTheLandes will join to preview the Super Bowl and discuss why the books are offering what they're offering! (link is 👇)
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
4 months
After a successful Super Stream debut last year, I've made the cut for Jack's epic thumbnail this year. The pressure is on.... "A" game coming in hot with both a prop and some hops. Come hang out with us 🏈 🍻
@capjack2000
Captain Jack Andrews
4 months
26 Hours from now - it's the defining event of the year. 🕖 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT 🗓️Saturday, Feb. 10 📺
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
"It's completely ridiculous." - @suuma810 on the Colts' unsustainable turnover luck as a key factor in liking the Bucs -3 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
@TheHammerHQ launch ✅ Between the Lines with @suuma810 @PropsAndHopsPod with @Hitman428 And we’re just getting started. An all-timer of a week calls for an all-timer of a beer. Time to finally sit back, relax and recharge 🍻
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
3 years
What’s the opposite of “garbage in, garbage out”? From Zach to the Jets and Mac for OROY (🤞) to interviews with me on @PropsAndHopsPod , thanks @whale_capper and @AndyMSFW for filling almost a full 1% of my year with all the expected value and entertainment value one could want.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
While the stakes and circumstances are constantly changing, we're constantly making decisions. We're constantly betting. So sports betting prepares us for life. As @AnnieDuke says in Thinking in Bets: "Everything is a bet."
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Pumped to share my interview with @tejfbanalytics and @arjunmenon100 , two of the brightest young minds in football analytics. Here's a clip on the Chargers and Success Rate, EPA and variance 👇 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
1 year
How to bet on the NFL playoffs with more conviction 🧵 This thread is for recreational bettors who don't need huge limits. I put myself in this category. We hear a lot about opening lines being the softest lines -- but how can we spot a beatable opener when we see it?
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
What happens in Vegas
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
5 months
David Malinsky birthday hike. Happy 63rd to our Old Friend in the Highest of Places.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
3. @theSGHOF induction ceremony. May go down as the most sports gambling wisdom ever gathered in one room, and I'll probably never sit at a sharper table of bettors including @RufusPeabody , @jtdpeabody , @TelemachusModel , @Gambleballs and @robpizzola . The event of the conference.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
4 months
Digging the show so far. Can't wait to hop on at about 9:15 ET with @capjack2000 , @PlusEVAnalytics and @whale_capper 🏈 🍻
@UnabatedSports
Unabated
4 months
SuperStream 58 is LIVE! 👀
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
👑 The queen is back! 2nd annual post-Super Bowl episode with Mrs. Props & Hops: 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Bet Bash Rehash: 5 Notes to Future Self 1. Invite locals and early arrivers to hike Mt. Charleston prior to the Malinsky Memorial Meal at @LotusOfSiam (h/t @FezzikSports ) 2. To preserve your voice, take speed networking conversations outside the main room (h/t @capjack2000 )
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
🚨 Programming Alert: Interviewing @adamchernoff tomorrow at 1:30 p.m. ET/10:30 a.m. PT about his @Covers article on the perilous power balance between regulators, sportsbooks and bettors, and what's next. Watch the live stream via my profile.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Experience as a negative? @BradPowers7 on using college football Week 0 results to unlock Week 1 value 👇 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
What's the best first step for a new bettor? Pro bettor @Gambleballs makes the case for small markets: "It's a lot easier to start out winning than start out getting your ass kicked." 👇 Full @PropsAndHopsPod : 🟣 🟢
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
(2/2) Working with @Hitman428 , @suuma810 and @jacob_gramegna , I think Props & Hops is as good as ever and look forward to building on that with them in the coming weeks and months. Week 4 props episode with Hitman coming today.
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
10 months
Greetings from Stockholm 🇸🇪 No new episode this week, but thanks to @BradPowers7 for the evergreen college football betting tips and insights 🍻
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@PropsAndHopsPod
Props & Hops
10 months
Finding edges betting college football, revisited: @BradPowers7 on Vegas vs. the Coaches Poll, using Week 0 results to uncover Week 1 value, and navigating breaking news 👇
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@LayOfTheLandes
Matt Landes
2 years
Sports betting can help you develop a sound process for bigger bets. And we all face bigger bets. No matter your bankroll, the biggest bets you make are on yourself and loved ones.
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