I am not a political person. I am not qualified in ANY way to assess what is going on outside our country.
Having said that, HERE IN THE USA, if you are a supporter of harassing/restricting the rights of ANY person of ANY heritage/race/country.
I want NOTHING to do with you.…
You want to go Gamble, have fun, have a chance to win, and not be a sucker.
1. Play Craps
2. Bet the Pass Line
3. Take 2x odds
.6% house edge. If a newbie, just ask the dealer how to do this.
Signs you likely are not very good at this betting thing:
1. Tease CFB
2. Tease NFL totals
3. Buy points
4. Bet more overs
5. Parlay big ML faves to make vig manageable
6. Have only 1 or 2 outs
7. Think CLV is VERY overrated
8. Your fav 3 cappers are really pretty
When you play the MoneyLine on a -6 NFL team, you are laying -260
When you TEASE them (at -120), you are paying -280.
Good bettors never tease 6 point NFL Favorites.
NEVER. NO EXCEPTIONS.
This is NOT my opinion
Go ask 100 MIT Geeks. They will ALL AGREE.
Jax 20 KC 27
Someone has to explain to me how the books don't get CRUSHED with a final score like this.
Every sharp betting KC wins their teaser legs
Every Sharp betting Jax wins with the points
I turn 55 soon. However, I am happy to report that age has not made me weake. I was able to Bench Press 155 x 8 last night, winning a "Podcast Bet" vs. an always gracious Brad
@BradPowers7
.
Perhaps with that tremendous NFL betting Acumen you possess, you could actually allow competent bettors to play against your Book, instead of barring/backing off anyone with a brain.
Until you do that, don't expect ANY respect
Circa CRUSHES your book, and you everyone knows it
The disrespect I get as an NFL analyst is insane. I guarantee I’ve correctly picked the Super Bowl champion before week 1 more than any other analyst the past 2 decades.
Jersey Mike's is WAY better than Subway (but more $)
Texas Roadhouse is WAY WAY better than the Outbacks/Sizzlers of the world. Why isn't EVERYONE choosing Texas RH nightly over these others?
In N Out Burger is WAY WAY better than BurgerKings/Wendy/MCdonalds
3Teamer
Make the Game a no Contest Cancel. Buffalo and Cincy will only play 16 games this year.
Let's all pray and Heal, and we will all move forward to Week 18 God Willing.
I just don't understand why anyone goes to Starbucks:
Coffee: B- (Dunk'n is better)
Service: C-
Food Quality: D- (convenience stores have better bakery items, MCDonalds better breakfast sandwiches
Value: F
Transparency: F (no menu prices)
Circa Survivor: As an investor, final Check will be 403k.
Circa Millions: Faded to 21st, 56-31-3. Great Year, poor finish. 24K.
W Super Contest: Finished 39th out of the Money
Westgate S Wins 21-10-1. Finished 6th, but missed the top 5 money. 3rd straight year top 6…
What if I told you:
WAY OVER 90% of those claiming to be Pro Sports Bettors :
Don't BET AT ALL or bet UNDER $100 a game and/or
Actually LOSE money on their bets for the year
***
Let's BE CAREFUL OUT THERE
A book just kicked me out telling me "You just see and follow the Steam and bet it".
I replied "I am not FOLLOWING the Steam. I AM THE DAMN STEAM".
Blue Horseshoe LOVES the STEAM
Ask 10 U of Chicago Math Geeks who bet sports seriously. EVERY ONE will tell you, there are rare exceptions, but in general:
Don't buy points
Don't tease CFB
Don't parlay things
Don't tease NFL totals
Pros RARELY do these.
Apologies all. I personally bet Purdue Moneyline and that was certainly a tough one.
I apologize for sharing that, and for anyone that followed my tweet after I called it out as a very good bet.
Our Country is so divided it is sad.
I don't want 18 year olds to be able to buy Assault Rifles.
I want Women to have control over their Bodies.
If I voice these views, almost 1/2 the country is furious at me....
My Weight update:
May 2022: 235
June 2023: 195
Top Three Tips:
1. Walk/Treadmill/Jog 4.5 miles a day
2. Don't Drink Any soft drinks (after a month a Zero Sugar Coke will test like a regular one)
3. Skip Lunch/lift weights instead
VEGAS tip of the day:
NO ONE works harder for their money than Room Attendants.
Skip the 20 minutes line for the ridiculous Vegas overpriced Starbucks where Coffee and a Bagel will run you $15.
Go for a walk/gym instead, drink water, and tip your room attendant that $15.
Cause he is just a complete utter jerk. ZERO empathy for his fellow man, that might need that life changing money.
A true Pro Advantage Gambler would ask for a little more than his entry was valued out, not WAY WAY WAY more.
I have ZERO respect for this guy.
Someone out there, there is a bettor that had a big bet on the Saints to beat the Rams AND Maximum Security to win the Derby. And he is shaking his head wondering how he could run this bad.........
EVERY overpaid Exec at these Sports Books should be REQUIRED to try to place 10 "normal" bets on their companies horrible apps, including teasers, parlays, live bets, etc.
By bet 5, they would be FIRING whoever designed an App that you need to be F*** Magellan to Navigate it.
This guy and Vegas Dave should both drive Their Lambos and meet at the most expensive restaurant in Vegas Tonight to show everyone how great they are at sports betting.
7 Signs your sports betting "expert" isn't one:
1. They tease CFB
2. They tease totals
3. They just teased +16 to+22
4. They just teased -12 to-6
5. They like coaches that kick fgs 4th and goal from 2
6. They don't like preseason and final week NFL
7. They don't live bet
Want To Gamble, and have a good chance to win,drink for Free, and not think?
1) Play Craps, and bet small
2) ONLY bet the Pass Line
3) Take your 2x odds
4) Don't bet ANYTHING ELSE
The house edge of .6% will be overcome easily by your free drinks
OR
Just Wing it and lose big
I went a fully 100% Documented 0-5 in CBB yesterday.
Terrible job by me.
However:
Anyone who does not have days like this is simply not being truthful.
I am +500 Units since 2013 on my released plays. However, it is not without big swings.
Today IS the day to get the VAX.
I want to personally thank ALL of the younger people out there, that realized the vaccine pros and cons were unclear to you, but opted for the vaccine recognizing that it was very likely a + for the better good of the country, and did it.
Steve
@FezzikSports
made it to 187 today,I am still 193-194 range. We could have pushed to 180,however after medical consultation,we decided to end the bet and call it a tie. Overall a great experience for me to lose 111 pounds in 186 days.Thanks to Steve for a great competition!
Not so bold prediction: In the future, the history books will be at an utter loss to try to explain how 1/2 the country chose to not get vaccinated in a timely manner.
LOL at everyone just guessing about taking the ball in OT:
It's a close but clear call, you take the ball.
Yes going 2nd gives you a big info Advantage.
However,
The punt/punt
3/3
Scenarios
Results in a HUGE edge to the team taking the ball.
Brian Flores FIRED. I have not seen such an injustice, since Brad Hamilton was let go from All American Burger just after winning Employee of the Month.
Fast Times, Ridgemont High
Was playing 21 last night. Gentleman bet $200 and had 18. Dealer made a 4 card 18 and took his money.
I told her she misread the hand; I insisted she back up the cards.
She reluctantly did so, and refunded him the money.
Two hands later, he tipped her.
"I don't get it"
BIG
20 years ago, I heard a bettor went into the Hard Rock; LSU was -35 vs. Lafayette CFB. Hard Rock opened LSU PLUS 35.
He bet 100 2 team parlays, $99 dollars each, keying in LSU +35. They barred him when he cashed. he replied "Why? Lsu won by 40, the spread didn't matter"
My 2024 NY Resolution: Helping hard working good people to win.
IF you are a guy that has been working to hard to win in 2022/2023, but somehow it just has not worked for you. And you TRULY want to win, AND work hard.
Contact me. We will make it happen in 2024.
I have been accused of over emphasizing Game Management decisions in the past, but the Steelers REALLY blew this end game. Really, how hard is it to take $200,000 and hire even a moderately sharp guy to tell you when to call time out/go for it?
Did the Denver Coaching Staff forget, and think they were in Denver??
Why try a 64 yarder, 10% success rate tops there??
4th and 5 50% success ish, then 50% to kick the fg?
I just returned from spending Family Time in San Diego.
Whenever I see "City Rankings" for Vacation spots, I always marvel at how lousy the power Ratings are.
You could EASILY make a case for SD being No1.
UNDERRATED: San Diego
OVERRATED: Ny, Philly, Wash, LA
You should not be Teasing the SB Total.
Playing a 6 points teaser is like betting each leg -280.
You will be able to find an ALT total at the same price at -230.
Betting something -280 when it is available -230 is not wise.
BLUE HORSESHOE LOVES Oregon -700 Golden Nugget, -750 South Point.
AMAZING great Bet.
Mayweather/McGregor ish.
Worst bettors in the world betting Colo Moneyline bringing this one down.
Obviously, All The Chargers had to do was hold all the receivers at the line of scrimmage, take the Def Holding call, and they would have headed to OT.....
Yet MILLIONS and Millions spent on Coaches....... no one advises this strategy that does not play on the Pats.....
What if I told you.....
3 months ago I weighed 230
I thought I was "A little overweight"
Today, I weight 204, and I am 100% sure
I am overweight.
Killian is LYING TO US saying plus size is aok. This extra weight we are ALL carrying is ruining our quality of life.
I mean EVERYONE I talk to knows this.
With UNDER 50 seconds left you NEVER kick into the endzone and give them the 25, AND no time off the clock.
Yet, seemingly EVERY NFL team get Jelly in the Belly, thinking the miracle KO return that heppens once a Harvest moon will beat them
Congrats to CastleRocker3 who rolls 5-0 in the Circa Millions and has taken over the Chip Lead
CastleRocker 44 (5-0)
Fezzic2 43.5 (4-1)
12 Straight Winning Weeks, and we will see you Week 13!
@CircaSports
If you like a team to win the tournament, just bet them on the ML in each game, and keep rolling it over. This Mechanical parlay when it is done will often pay you back 50% more than you would get from the futures pool.
I am unfollowing every media guy that thinks Buff should have kicked the fg last night. Along with all the guys teasing 5 to 11.
"Expert" sports bettors.........my A**
A great tell on whether a "pro" Sports bettor is legit, happens when they are in Vegas. If they post about how they are playing Roulette/Slots/Craps MASSIVELY downgrade their chance of being legitimate
By Contrast, if their gambling is all Sports Betting/Poker UPGRADE them
Hello? Why do you think all these Sports Books are pushing these Same Game Parlays? Because it allows them to CLOBBER you with extra vig, that is hidden.
Baltimore lost this game because they kicked off into the endzone with :35 left, and LV out of time outs. If they do a kickoff to the 5, they win this game.
20 crazy minutes later Raiders win, but this is all brought about by a fundamental basic strategy late game error.
The idea that ANY pro football player thinks a Vaccine poses any significant health risk vs. a 300 lb lineman suplexing you is mind boggling to me. By definition, your health is massively compromised playing Football. However, you are worried about the Vaccine effects??
12th Straight Winning Week is guaranteed Circa Millions as I am 3-1.
@CircaSports
Ottomatic1 and CastleRocker3 have been styling ALL YEAR LONG also.
Any of us could be 1st by Monday Night.
I have Chicago +3.5
Let's go.
Just want to let everyone know:
My thoughts and prayers go out to all who are being singled out and persecuted, especially at our American Colleges.
I am proud to be friends with many Jewish People, and I think it is TERRIBLE the way many are being selective treated in our Land…
Top 10 Las Vegas Sports Books
1. Circa
2. Caesars/Will Hill
3. Westgate
4. MGM
5. South Point
6. Station
7. Golden Nugget
8. Wynn
9. Coast
10. Treasure Island
The Bengals when playing under a Harvest Moon in October, when 2 planets are visible, on odd Dates, when the Temperature is 55-64 degrees but not 59, are
17-0 ATS.
JUST STOP with the DUMBO random trends people......
Whenever I see "pros" posting 25k and 50k bets vs. non Circa/non Caesars shops I have to laugh
To quote the Sting
"They Wouldn't let you Play (like that) if they didn't think you were a sucker pal" .......... Paul Newman
Ga/Cin I am so frustrated by ESPN rules "experts" who come on and literally have no idea what they are talking about making multiple misstatements.......
After seeing Jersey Mike's staff prepare my fresh sliced Italian Sub, with preparation Mike's Way that a Sous Chef would be proud of, I have to ask.
Why is ANYONE eating at Subway anymore??
Nebraska 4th and Goal at the 1, opts for the FG.
Like seeing a 21 player stand on Ace 6, that's really ALL I need to see to know Nebraska Head Coach Scott Frost has NO idea what he is doing in game management.....
Chargers Score a TD. Refs rule him down on the 1/2 yard line. The Replay is BEYOND conclusive, it is a TD........
EVERYONE knows it is a TD...
Yet, somehow it is ruled "inconclusive"
Now, many will say the 49ers -9.5 was a bad beat for 49er bettors. The truth is you had ALL SUMMER and all week to bet -7-120, -7-120, or to tease the 49ers -1.5. If you lost with 49er bets today, that is on you.