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Rob Ford

@robfordmancs

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Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" & "Brexitland" Senior Fellow @UKandEU "The Swingometer" -

Manchester
Joined November 2010
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@robfordmancs
Rob Ford
4 months
One of my favourite Krakow traditions is the “szopka” competition - each year cracovians of all ages construct elaborate nativity scenes. The best are put on display in the city museum
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Rob Ford
5 years
The mismatch between the ideal of 100,000 jolly patriots marching through verdant English countryside and the reality of a few hundred old men stomping miserably through mud is a really on point Brexit metaphor.
@chrisdeerin
Chris Deerin
5 years
this Brexit March is *fantastic*
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Rob Ford
7 years
I'm sure the BBC will be happy to broadcast what happens if you walk onstage at Glastonbury too Nigel.
@Nigel_Farage
Nigel Farage
7 years
Why should we pay the BBC licence fee just so they can promote @JeremyCorbyn ? Outrageous.
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Rob Ford
2 years
Seeing as the Bring Back Boris Barmy Army is now on the march, time for a little public service thread on Johnson's electoral appeal in 2019 and popularity since. Tl;dr - he wasn't popular then, and he *certainly* isn't now 1/?
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Rob Ford
4 years
Good piece of advice from the chief advisor to govt on epidemic modelling just now on Newsnight: don’t behave as if you’re trying to avoid getting the virus, behave as far as possible as if you *already have it* and are trying to stop others from getting it.
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Rob Ford
2 years
In an odd coincidence, I've been reading Kwasi Kwarteng's "Ghosts of Empire" (which is really good, highly recommended). One of the repeated themes is the dangers of handing massive discretionary power to inexperienced, out of touch graduates of grand public schools
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Rob Ford
5 months
The true figure is not 90%. It is 10% (thread with data and sources in next tweet). This is the kind of scaremongering campaign the BNP used to run back when Goodwin studied them.
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Rob Ford
4 years
“Do what’s in the best interests of your family what happens to everyone else is secondary” says Dan Hodges on national radio, defending Cummings. Illustrating exactly how this story has the potential damage adherence to isolation rules going forward.
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Rob Ford
4 months
This is rapidly becoming one of the more pernicious zombie myths regarding immigration. Recent arrivals to Britain *cannot* claim housing benefits or social housing (except asylum seekers whose claims have been accepted. “Foreign born” stat imcludes - and is mostly driven by -…
@tomhfh
Tom Harwood
4 months
Is it right that some recent arrivals to the UK have the same eligibility to apply for housing benefits as people who have lived here all their lives? A higher proportion of the foreign-born population live in subsidised social housing than the UK-born population.
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Rob Ford
6 years
I believe PM has just in one half hour of PMQs stated that there will be: 1. No hard border between NI and Ireland 2. No hard border between NI & UK 3. No customs union between UK & EU But it is impossible to have all of 1,2,&3. No wonder the EU get frustrated with us.
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Rob Ford
4 years
BBC should refuse and insist on Neil, empty chairing if necessary. We really need something like debates commission to oversee and properly regulate this kind of set piece campaign event
@MrHarryCole
Harry Cole
4 years
💥Tin hats on over at BBC. Bit a row over in W1A coming. Understand the Tories have offered up the Prime Minister for an interrogation by the BBC. ...on Andrew Marr's show this Sunday.
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Rob Ford
2 years
So the idea of Bring Back Boris has only a few small flaws: He isn't popular. He never was. He can't govern. He can't unify. Scandal & chaos follows him wherever he goes. And enough Con MPs know all of this to leave him unable to govern from day 1.
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Rob Ford
6 months
Revealing that Downing St strategists thought a bungled announcement to cancel HS2, dragged out over days, then announced in the city set to lose out most, would generate a positive public reaction
@Steven_Swinford
Steven Swinford
6 months
No 10 said to be 'bruised' that conference, particularly HS2, did not shift dial Tory MPs concerned King's Speech & Autumn Statement will underwhelm Economic constraints will severely limit room for manoeuvre in Autumn Statement
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Rob Ford
6 months
While this topic obviously stirs deep passions, it is nonetheless remarkable that we could be looking at multiple front bench resignations over what form of words a party not in government uses about a conflict not involving Britain, in a statement which will be ignored by all…
@ashcowburn
Ashley Cowburn
6 months
Shadow Home Office minister Naz Shah tells the Commons she will defy the Labour whip and vote for the SNP amendment for a ceasefire in Gaza. "Despite all the risk to our personal positions we must do what it is right," she says.
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Rob Ford
3 years
Here's a little story about the @DVLAgovuk - the organisation in charge of managing the legal registration of cars. To register a car to the DVLA, all you need to do is fill in a form saying you live at an address. No proof is required 1/?
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Rob Ford
3 years
What do we call it in other countries when a minister from the governing party threatens the national broadcaster with funding cuts for criticising the national leader?
@timespolitics
Times Politics
3 years
Nadine Dorries has privately expressed her fury at the BBC’s Nick Robinson after he told the prime minister to “stop talking” during a tense interview The culture secretary has told allies: “Nick Robinson has cost the BBC a lot of money.”
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Rob Ford
4 years
Denial is an understandable reaction to shock but it is still depressing to see many Labour supporters reacting to their party's worst defeat since 1935 by portraying the voters who rejected them as stupid or bigoted. Insulting voters is no route to recovery
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Rob Ford
7 months
A v strange claim to make when we have just had several days of unambiguously radical right rhetoric being rolled out on prime time TV by sitting cabinet ministers, and the current PM saying he would welcome the most prominent radical right politician in Britain into his party.
@mrianleslie
Ian Leslie
7 months
Very good from Janan Ganesh on why Britain is now one of the few countries in Europe without a powerful far right movement
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Rob Ford
6 years
Isabel Oakshott journalistic ethics: Masses of emails linking leading Brexit campaigners to Russia: "No need to publish yet,we need to see these things in context" Single anonymous source claims Cameron snagged a pig's head decades ago: "This must be published immediately!"
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Rob Ford
6 years
Greens now polling twice what AfD have ever polled. Yet weirdly not getting the avalanche of media attention AfD got with half the support #narratives
@EuropeElects
Europe Elects
6 years
Germany, Forsa poll: CDU/CSU-EPP: 27% (+1) GRÜNE-G/EFA: 24% (+3) AfD-EFDD: 13% (-1) SPD-S&D: 13% (-1) LINKE-LEFT: 9% (-1) FDP-ALDE: 9% Field work: 29/10/18 – 2/11/18 Sample size: 2,502
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Rob Ford
7 years
But the people already voted for him. Shouldn't you respect the mandate Nigel? Or do changed circumstances require a second vote?
@SkyNewsBreak
Sky News Breaking
7 years
Former UKIP leader Nigel Farage says "we will write to every house in Clacton" to ask people whether they want Douglas Carswell as their MP
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Rob Ford
9 months
If you wanted to be honest with people about a complex problem, maybe endless repetition of a simplistic, unachievable three word slogan wasn’t the best way to frame things?
@ITVNewsPolitics
ITV News Politics
9 months
. @RishiSunak is unable to confirm whether he will be able to 'stop by the boats' by the next general election 'I want it to be done as soon as possible but I also want to be honest with people that it is a complex problem,' he says
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Rob Ford
2 years
Boris backers imagine that Johnson can turn this around. But you can't unburn toast. Here are Johnson's final ratings with YouGov on different characteristics: Competence: -43 Trustworthiness: -65 Decisiveness: -35 Strength: -24 Likeability: -13
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Rob Ford
6 years
I tell my graduate students not to trust data from an unrepresentative non-random sample of 30 with a tiny response rate (5%), an unreliable measure (self-reported hours) and where response bias is likely (workaholics more likely to participate, and more likely to exaggerate)
@NAChristakis
Nicholas A. Christakis
6 years
I tell my graduate students and post-docs that if they’re working 60 hours per week, they’re working less than the full professors, and less than their peers.
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Rob Ford
5 years
Today's random survey fact: When asked what was the most important issue facing the country, 11 out of 3,075 respondents to the 2010 British Election Study named "Britain's relations with Europe". 0.4% of the total sample.
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Rob Ford
3 years
The cost-benefit on "shutting things with a vaccine literally being rolled out" is not the same as the cost-benefit on "shutting things with no idea when a vaccine will come, if ever." Can we please stop pretending the policy debate now is the same as then?
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Rob Ford
2 years
Here is a word cloud of descriptions of Boris Johnson from @jamesjohnson252 polling in April 2022 - just 6 months ago. People imagining these impressions have somehow disappeared or been reversed are deluding themselves.
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@robfordmancs
Rob Ford
2 years
David Cameron's successful efforts to get talented young ethnic minority candidates selected for safe Conservative seats may end up being one of his most consequential legacies
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Rob Ford
6 years
I knew Brexit debate would get ugly when reality started to bite. I didn't think it would get "shadowy Jews are pulling the strings says former PM adviser" ugly. Disgraceful of Telegraph and Nick Timothy to weaponise the far right's favourite conspiracy theory.
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Rob Ford
6 years
If it's Grayling we will probably end up joining the Euro
@BethRigby
Beth Rigby
6 years
May to announce her new Brexit secretary after 9am. One Brexiteer source reckons Grayling or Fox - they have been the most loyal. Gove possible too; but trickier to handle
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Rob Ford
3 years
I don't think referring to your opponents' victory in a free and fair election as a "coup" is remotely helpful to anything. Losers' consent is a vital principle for democratic stability. We only have to look across the Atlantic to see what happens when it is lost.
@LeanneWood
Leanne Wood 💚💛
3 years
Miriam Margolyes is right.
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Rob Ford
2 months
Jeremy Corbyn's resistance to calling out anti-semitism a few years ago looked to be rooted in a deep resistance to admitting such prejudice against Jews existed among some of his most passionate supporters on the radical left, even when the evidence for this was very clear.…
@SayeedaWarsi
Sayeeda Warsi
2 months
This is absolute nonsense Kemi and you know it. I met you alongside other colleagues over a year and a half ago and the definition was explained to you in detail - you were asked to detail your concerns / any objections and the basis of it . You DID NOT follow up. Instead all…
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Rob Ford
4 months
Claiming only people born in Britain count as British is far right ethnic nationalism. Goodwin now makes this claim over and over again, day in and day out.
@GBNEWS
GB News
4 months
'Fundamentally, British people need to be housed first.' @GoodwinMJ says 'close to half of all social housing in London goes to households who are headed by somebody who is not born in Britain'. 🔓 Become a GB News Member:
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Rob Ford
5 years
What an ugly and ignorant view, to assume that someone's exam results at 16 should be a final judgement on their intelligence and worth for life. Someone needs a better education here, and it isn't Angela Rayner.
@AllisonPearson
Allison Pearson
5 years
No GCSEs above a D. Our shadow Secretary of State for Education.... Scary.
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Rob Ford
5 years
Regardless of the merits of this individual case, we should all be rather worried by a government claiming the power to unilaterally revoke citizenship rights.
@RohitKachrooITV
Rohit Kachroo
5 years
Breaking: ITV News learns Shamima Begum has been deprived of British citizenship
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Rob Ford
1 year
This is a frankly bonkers stance from a public opinion perspective - voters have incredibly positive views of migrant NHS workers. For every voter favouring this stance there are four voters taking the opposite view
@BBCNews
BBC News (UK)
1 year
Keir Starmer: Too many people from overseas recruited to NHS
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Rob Ford
2 years
Boris Johnson was *not* popular in 2019. He was less popular at every point of the campaign than Theresa May was in the 2017 campaign (see graph). He had the good fortune to run with two strong fair winds - a toxic opponent (Corbyn) and a winning issue (Brexit). Both gone now.
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Rob Ford
5 years
This *will* mean Dutch, German, Polish,Spanish born pensioners being thrown out of their homes, denied healthcare, deported in the middle of the night after decades living here. That *will happen* 5 yrs from now unless there is fundamental reform of Hostile Environment policies.
@the3million
the3million
5 years
BREAKING: Secretary of State @BrandonLewis confirms that EU citizens in UK WILL be subject to full immigration enforcement and liable to removal if they miss Settled Status deadline in exclusive Interview with @StefanieBolzen in Germany's @welt 1/
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Rob Ford
6 months
In more depressing but not surprising news, that slogan is back yet again. Obstinate refusal to consider the offence it causes isn’t really helping the marchers’ cause.
@lewis_goodall
Lewis Goodall
6 months
“Palestine will be free, from the river to the sea.”
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Rob Ford
6 years
Underlined why claiming Tommy Robinson is a major national political figure, as Newsnight recently did, isn’t very credible.
@JBickertonUK
James Bickerton
6 years
However badly your day went you can rest assured it didn’t go as badly as the EDL’s ‘national demonstration’ in Manchester.
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Rob Ford
5 years
Sing along if you know the song: A majority for Leave in a Labour seat doesn't mean a majority of Labour voters in that seat supported Leave. In nearly all cases, a majority of the Lab support in Lab Leave seats came from Remain voters.
@BloombergUK
Bloomberg UK
5 years
Why Labour also needs to deliver Brexit
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Rob Ford
5 years
Incredible. Less than 100 days from the no deal cliff edge and people who were recently in Cabinet either don’t understand what it means, or do understand but are happy to lie about it
@Haggis_UK
Haggis_UK 🇬🇧 🇪🇺
5 years
Here's deluded Esther McVey still saying there will be a transition with a #NoDealBrexit 🤔 #BBCBreakfast #PeoplesVote #FinalSay
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Rob Ford
3 months
Firstly, as many are pointing out, foundation courses are not same thing as standard courses. This is not an apples for apples comparison. Secondly, if anyone imagines cutting overseas student intakes wld free up spaces for UK students, they don't understand uni finances at all
@forster_k
Katherine Forster
3 months
My middle son is hoping to study economics at uni from September - this makes my blood boil: Cashfor courses: top universities recruit foreign students on low grades
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Rob Ford
5 years
Thugs in black outfits intimidating the free press. This is what fascism looks like.
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Rob Ford
5 years
Absolutely vile. Soros spent his childhood in hiding from the Nazis - to call him a Nazi collaborator is truly sickening.
@Mendelpol
Jack Mendel ✍️
5 years
Toxic stuff from @RaheemKassam and @andywigmore falsely saying @georgesoros was “not Jewish” and “a Nazi collaborator”
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Rob Ford
5 years
Warning signs... Roman bust profile pic Angry dog profile pic Political hashtag in profile name Random string of numbers in twitter handle "Classical liberal" Profile boasts about who's blocked them Only tweets are angry replies to other ppl Aaron Bastani
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Rob Ford
3 years
This was predictable, and predicted, by many who urged govt to act sooner in November/December. Great successes in 2021 on vaccine rollout should not blind us to the huge policy failure which immediately preceded it - a policy failure which cost thousands of lives.
@RussInCheshire
Russ Jones
3 years
The real meaning of Christmas #COVID19
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Rob Ford
2 years
Boris Johnson was also *not popular at all* for most of the last year of his premiership. His lowest ebb was a net rating of -46 with MORI, the 6th worst ever & only 5 points better than Truss's worst rating. This period ended all of three months ago!
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Rob Ford
5 years
Succinctly but wrongly. Most Labour voters in nearly every seat, including John Mann’s, are Remain voters and more Labour voters everywhere are middle class than working class and have been for a while
@AllisonPearson
Allison Pearson
5 years
“Most Labour Party members are middle-class Remainers. Most Labour voters are working-class Leavers.” Problem succinctly put by @JohnMannMP @BBCNewsnight
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Rob Ford
6 months
“What if we made up a job that’s got all the stuff Suella rants about in the title but it’s got no power or portfolio so the holder can’t actually *do* anything stupid or harmful. A sort of minister for anti-woke hot air?”
@Peston
Robert Peston
6 months
Esther McVey will be minister without portfolio within the Cabinet Office. She will attend cabinet though won't be a full cabinet member. Her role will be to represent Rishi Sunak's government on TV and radio as much as possible, and to speak what he sees as "common sense" on all…
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Rob Ford
4 months
I do think the change in political tone and urgency we are going to see on this next year will be abrupt. If Lab win a majority we go from a Con govt whose base are largely insulated from housing crisis to a Lab govt whose base is drawn from those hit hardest. Massive shift in…
@jburnmurdoch
John Burn-Murdoch
4 months
NEW: we don’t reflect enough on how severe the housing crisis is, and how it has completely broken the promise society made to young adults. The situation is especially severe in the UK, where the last time house prices were this unaffordable was in ... 1876.
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Rob Ford
3 years
I think Today producers, editors and presenters have some serious questions to answer about why they have today invited a discredited scientist with a repeated track record of making falsely dismissive claims on COVID threat to offer her views to the nation this morning
@soniasodha
Sonia Sodha
3 years
Update: the answer is no, no reflection from Gupta on why she’s been so wrong. She just doubled down in on @BBCr4today this morning, reasserting unscientific beliefs about herd immunity & questioning the infectiousness of new variant despite the figures.
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Rob Ford
5 years
So what you’re saying is that shutting down a decision making forum to prevent it from delivering a result you don’t like is wrong?
@LeaveEUOfficial
Leave.EU
5 years
Philip Hammond's local association are desperate to shut down the huge deselection campaign we have going on in his constituency by reselecting him on the sly - and guess what? The reselection meeting on Monday isn't open to members... How democratic! @CCHQPress @PhilipHammondUK
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Rob Ford
2 months
When 30p Lee says it, it is unacceptable. When one of the front runners to be the next Tory leaders says it, it becomes acceptable
@PippaCrerar
Pippa Crerar
2 months
Deputy PM Oliver Dowden asked by ⁦ @SkyNews ⁩ if Suella Braverman's comments that Britain is being taken over by an "islamist mob” were acceptable. "I don't believe the language used by Suella Braverman has crossed the line, where she should apologise for it, no I don't."
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Rob Ford
6 years
This was a bit too lazy and glib on my part. This subject deserves more careful, clear explanation on what's wrong and why here. So that's what I'm going to do here 1/?
@robfordmancs
Rob Ford
6 years
I knew Brexit debate would get ugly when reality started to bite. I didn't think it would get "shadowy Jews are pulling the strings says former PM adviser" ugly. Disgraceful of Telegraph and Nick Timothy to weaponise the far right's favourite conspiracy theory.
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Rob Ford
4 years
This claim re: trust in the BBC bothered me a bit - the decline seemed implausibly large and, to the extent there has been a decline in trust, this seemed unlikely to be a BBC story.
@GoodwinMJ
Matt Goodwin
4 years
In only twenty years trust in the BBC has crashed from 80% to 44%. I'd hazard a guess that it is things like this -BBC journalists included in openly partisan takes- that plays a role ...
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Rob Ford
5 years
This projection has pro-EU liberals and Greens gaining as many seats this month as anti-EU radical right nationalists. One of these trends is getting constant media attention. The other, in my experience, is barely covered at all. Why is this? Bad news bias? Power of narratives?
@PippaN15
Pippa Norris
5 years
Neat Polity data viz est. the outcome of the EU elections based on most recent polls. Basically, a pox on the mainstream parties but gains for the Greens/ALDE AND authoritarian-populists.
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Rob Ford
3 years
Another sleeper story in the English locals results is Con decline and LD/Lab advance in "blue wall" constituencies which voted Remain in 2016 but returned Con MPs in 2019.
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Rob Ford
4 months
Nothing demonstrates a commitment to expunging sleaze and scandal like picking the girlfriend of a disgraced MP as your candidate to replace him in a by-election triggered by Parliamentary sanctioning of his behaviour
@sundersays
Sunder Katwala
4 months
The Conservatives have chosen Helen Harrison for the Wellingborough byelection. She had the support of outgoing MP Peter Bone,her partner. Bone is now unlikely to stand as an independent candidate, having indicated he may do so if Harrison was not selected
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Rob Ford
6 years
"Every criticism of a Jew" isn't antisemitism. Portraying George Soros as a shadowy puppetmaster - a trope employed by *every far right movement in Europe and the US*, building on a *long established antisemitic trope of shadowy Jewish puppetmasters* IS antisemitism. Not hard.
@LeaveEUOfficial
Leave.EU
6 years
Behave! If every criticism of a Jew is now anti-Semitism then the current leadership of the Labour Party really does have a lot to answer for... X
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Rob Ford
2 years
As for scandals, where to start? Partygate, Pincher, Paterson, Barnard Castle, Lebedev and much, much more. He is still under investigation by the Commons Privileges Committee, who could yet recommend suspending him from the house *next month*.
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Rob Ford
2 years
We literally are a "papers, please" society - the whole and explicit point of the "Hostile Environment" policies introduced by this government's predecessors, and still in force, is to make a wide range of service providers demand papers of every not-citizen resident here.
@darrenmccaffrey
Darren McCaffrey
2 years
Conservative MP Marcus Fysh who is opposing vaccine passports this morning on BBC "we are not a 'papers please' society" "This is not Nazi Germany," he says "It's the thin end of an authoritarian wedge"
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Rob Ford
5 months
“Immediate and massive action” would mean huge cuts to one or more of the following groups, who drive most of the inflows: Foreign students whose fees most universities rely on Migrant workers in the NHS and social care High skilled workers in other sectors
@NeilDotObrien
Neil O'Brien MP
5 months
Here's net migration since 1947. In every election since 1992 we have promised to reduce migration. Today's extraordinary numbers mean the PM must now take immediate and massive action to do that to do just that.
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Rob Ford
4 months
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@Telegraph
The Telegraph
4 months
🗣 "We know you who you are, Starmer: you are a lawyer, not a lance corporal. Stop trying to pretend you know one end of a bazooka from another," writes @RossjournoClark . Read more here ⬇️
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Rob Ford
5 years
People seem to be forgetting there are a lot less Labour Leave votes in Labour Leave seats now than in 2016 because a lot of them switched to Cons in 2017. So BXP candidates in Lab Leave seats will usually take more votes from Cons (mostly Leave) than Lab (mostly Remain)
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Rob Ford
5 years
Zeno’s Brexit paradox: Labour is always moving towards backing a 2nd referendum but somehow never arrives at this destination.
@politicshome
PoliticsHome
5 years
John McDonnell says Labour ‘moving towards’ backing second EU referendum
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Rob Ford
4 years
Opposition leader satisfaction ratings, 2 mths in, per IPSOS-MORI: Starmer: +31 Corbyn: -3 Miliband: +9 Cameron: +15 Howard: +1 Duncan Smith: +6 Hague: -3 Blair: +14 Smith: + 7 Kinnock: + 13 Foot -21 Callaghan + 13
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Rob Ford
6 years
One of the most depressing things about the post-Brexit political debate has been the total ignorance so many Brexiteers have about Northern Ireland, and in particular why "the will of a narrow majority must be respected without compromise" is such a dangerous stance there.
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Rob Ford
4 years
If this is what “partisan journalism” looks like then I’m all for it. Public sector broadcasters who hold incumbent governments to account are an asset to democracy. When such broadcasters kowtow to governing elites they become a tool or corruption and oppression.
@lewis_goodall
Lewis Goodall
4 years
There's a small but significant number of students who have not been helped at all by the govt u-turn. They've neither been upgraded, or downgraded. Because they have no grade and now, a v uncertain future. They're the external exam candidates. For example, Ferdaus. (Thread)
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Rob Ford
5 years
He's not even the best candidate to unite the Johnson family.
@GuidoFawkes
Guido Fawkes
5 years
Boris Seen As Candidate 'Best Placed To Unite Country'
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Rob Ford
8 years
"Vote Leave" team announce new slogan to replace "Take Control".
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Rob Ford
2 years
A very significant development. With Unite also calling for electoral reform, and Labour's membership also strongly in favour of it, the chances of Labour going into the next election committed to fundamental reform of the electoral system are the highest in a long time
@WEBylines
West England Bylines 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦
2 years
Breaking news - Unison, one of the UKs largest and most powerful unions, has just voted, today, to support Proportional Representation. This is MASSIVE and means that, her majesty's opposition will almost certainly have to commit to PR at the conference in Sept this year.
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Rob Ford
5 years
One of the most damaging zombie beliefs in the whole politics of Brexit debate is the "Lab needs to win/hold Leave seats and therefore needs to win/hold Leave votes". The second does *not* follow from the first.
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Rob Ford
5 years
I've made this prediction before and I'll repeat it now: If we end up with no deal, public support for no deal will fall by double digits within a month or two. Support for Cons & PM will drop substantially too. Voters who welcome the idea of no deal won't welcome reality.
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Rob Ford
3 months
This is horrific. A Kafkaesque tale where everyone involved can see data protection rules but no one can see a desperate son trying to trace and help his stricken mother.
@classiccarguru1
Darren Collins
4 months
A few days ago I found out my 86yr old mum with dementia had had a fall & been admitted to hospital I didn’t know which hospital so had to cold call the ones in the area No luck I thought this can’t be so called them all again Fortunately I got a different receptionist at one….
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Rob Ford
1 year
Has any politician ever had a better name than this?
@ALGOP
ALGOP
1 year
Congratulations Young Boozer! #ElectionDay
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Rob Ford
2 years
The Johnson government was characterised from start to finish by chaos, scandal, self-inflicted blunders, and screeching U-turns repeatedly humiliating ministers who defended unpopular lines only to see them abandoned hours later. Again, this all happened only a few months ago.
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Rob Ford
5 years
Lab MPs like this are as illogical and destructive as the ERG. Spring this year: "I want Brexit, but I won't vote for May's deal because it is too damaging" Now: "I want Brexit and will vote for the most damaging of all possible Brexits because reasons".
@BBCPolitics
BBC Politics
5 years
Labour MP Sarah Champion on #Brexit without a deal “If it came to it, I would take no deal, if that meant we could leave, because we have to leave” #politicslive
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Rob Ford
3 years
“The best way to protect free speech is by threatening people with government action for their views.” This rubbish is just beyond parody.
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Rob Ford
2 months
I think this misunderstands the reasons for Johnson’s ouster. Partygate was both proxinate cause but more importantly symptom and illustration of a deeper problem - a PM who ignored all rules, who could not be trusted and whose behaviour towards colleagues and everyone else over…
@richardmarcj
Richard Johnson
2 months
Of course, there was much outrage over 'partygate', but much of the furore was media-driven and amplified by people who hated Boris quite specifically for his role in Brexit. I was never convinced it mattered as much for the Tories' 2019 coalition, especially in the long run.
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Rob Ford
6 months
Swings required for seat to fall: Sunak (PM) - 23.6 pts to Lab Dowden (Deputy PM) - 20.4 pts to Lab Hunt (Chancellor) - 7.3 pts to LD Cleverly (Foreign Sec) - 24.4 pts to Lab Braverman (Home Sec) - 22.8 pts to Lab Shapps (Defence) - 10.5 pts to Lab
@JonnElledge
jonn elledge
7 months
Is anyone keeping the "Portillo list": Tories who are probably going to lose who haven't ruled themselves out of humiliation by standing down?
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Rob Ford
7 months
Given what a disaster appointments systems are this could go down as one of the all time great policy blunders. Millions of poor and unwell elderly receiving fixed penalty notices for appointments they were never told about or reminders sent to ancient & wrong addresses/phone nos
@PippaCrerar
Pippa Crerar
7 months
Rishi Sunak’s leadership pledge to fine people £10 for missing a GP or hospital appointment is also understood to be back on table…
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Rob Ford
3 months
A strangely unbalanced article. Seems to imply there is no evidence of switching from Con to Lab - but there is lots of evidence for this and it is easily available! Might be useful to speak to public opinion researchers as well as Conservative sources?
@LiamThorpECHO
Liam Thorp
3 months
This piece, which seems desperate to downplay Labour’s by-election successes, uses only Conservative source quotes at any point
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Rob Ford
2 years
Is the argument really “we need Johnson around because there might be a major crisis to handle”?
@PickardJE
Jim Pickard 🐋
2 years
some Tory MPs believe Johnson may receive a temporary reprieve from an unlikely source: the Kremlin. “If you look at what’s happening in Ukraine, I don’t think now’s the time for a leadership contest,” said one Tory MP
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Rob Ford
4 years
By our count Lab have now lost at least 15 seats which they have held in all general elections since 1945
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Rob Ford
2 years
OK, so that's the polling, how about his performance in actual elections. He's a proven winner, right? Erm... There were 5 contested by-elex after"partygate" scandals. Averaging Con fall across all 5 was -17.3% Average Con fall across 3 Con-Lab or Lab-Con contests was -11.2%
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Rob Ford
25 days
Starmer has school age kids. I don’t think they should face harassment at their home because their father is a politician.
@LBC
LBC
25 days
Campaigners stage protest outside Keir Starmer's house over arms sales to Israel
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Rob Ford
5 years
This is pretty significant - relaxation among "Leave" voters about "no deal" is driven by super-relaxed attitudes among economically secure leavers. Struggling Leave voters are a lot more worried about what No Deal will mean.
@chrischirp
Prof. Christina Pagel
5 years
But, among Leave Voters, support for No Deal is driven by those most likely to weather any economic downturn. Financially struggling Leave voters are MUCH MORE worried… it's not the "left behind" who really want No Deal... 3/6
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Rob Ford
5 years
Good news, bad news on this front. Good news: the ID checking app worked fine Bad news: “We need more evidence”. My mum’s been here over 40 years, most of them working in the NHS. She draws two NHS pensions (second widows pension for my dad who was also nhs) 1/2
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Rob Ford
5 years
On my way down to London to help my mum (Dutch citizen but here since the mid-1970s) with the EU citizens registration process. Very much hoping the app and website outages reported yesterday are now over. Fingers crossed...
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Rob Ford
4 years
A nice illustration of why compulsory statistics training for journalists is a good idea.
@DPJHodges
(((Dan Hodges)))
4 years
We were told we were seeing the rate of infection accelerating exponentially. But again, what does this graph actually show has been happening for most age groups.
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Rob Ford
5 years
The BBC is wrong about this I think. Social norms are a powerful force for good in society but they rely on figures of authority calling out and stigmatising unacceptable speech and acts. Trump's statement was, beyond doubt, racist. The BBC could, and should, call it so.
@bbcpress
BBC Press Office
5 years
Explaining the Editorial Complaints Unit's decision on BBC Breakfast and President Trump's comments
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Rob Ford
5 years
The Polish government is at the end of its term and it is completely standard to end legislative activity for an election campaign. This is an utterly disingenuous comparison as you must know.
@SteveBarclay
Steve Barclay
5 years
In Poland to discuss a deal minus the backstop so we can deliver Brexit on 31st Oct. Polish government has prorogued its Parliament for a General Election on 13th Oct. Remain MPs in UK surprisingly quiet about this prorogation.
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Rob Ford
3 years
This was the guy who hired the guy - Lee Atwater - who convinced millions of white Americans that his 1988 opponent was going to release black rapists in their neighbourhoods. Polite concessions are nice but let’s not overstate the grace of past times.
@Freedland
Jonathan Freedland
3 years
At the time, this was a routine political moment. Now I find it quite moving
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Rob Ford
2 years
You don’t get to fly that flag with pride until you open our doors to those fleeing the butcher of Moscow. Ukraine’s citizens need safe refuge not gestures. Your inaction shames us all.
@ukhomeoffice
Home Office
2 years
🟦🟦🟦🟦🟦 🟦🟦🟦🟦🟦 🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨 🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨 Today we're flying Ukraine's flag in support of the Ukrainian people, including those here in the UK. #StandWithUkraine 🇬🇧🇺🇦
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Rob Ford
7 years
Next time you're trying to buy a house, start by saying "Accept my offer or I will burn down my own house" & see how negotiations go
@JamesCleverly
James Cleverly🇬🇧
7 years
Next time you’re making a significant purchase, a house perhaps, start by saying “I will not accept no deal” and see how the negotiations go
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Rob Ford
2 years
Johnson supporters may have forgotten all this, but voters and more critical MPs have not. Much of it happened this year, after all. We are already seeing MPs pledge to resign the whip and/or trigger by-elex rather than serve under a Johnson Lazarus administration
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Rob Ford
6 years
Tory commentators: Momentum are angry fanatics aggressively pursuing anyone who dares deviate from their ideological doctrine Also Tory commentators: DESELECT BREXIT SPLITTERS
@montie
Tim Montgomerie 🇬🇧
6 years
Hopefully, deselected soon
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Rob Ford
2 years
Great column today by @stephenkb on why, despite all of this, Johnson may well make the ballot on Monday (and may well win a vote with members). If he does, I suspect buyer's regret won't be long in coming (nor will internal opposition):
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Rob Ford
6 months
"Muslims make up a majority in more than 30 constituencies" - that seemed off to me so I checked. Census 2021 data is easily available. This is incorrect. Muslims were a majority of the 2021 resident population in 3 constituencies, not 30.
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Rob Ford
11 months
This is disturbing. I find it highly unlikely the majority of UCU members share the STW view of Ukraine conflict. Unrepresentative hard left activists hijacking the union agenda once again. I find this code abhorrent, is hard to remain in a union which would endorse it.
@UkraineSol
Ukraine Solidarity Campaign 🇺🇦✊🏽🚩
11 months
We think UCU members should be outraged that the STW motion, calling in a few words with little explanation for an end to UK arming Ukraine, was passed. We look forward to working with the growing network of pro-Ukraine UCU members to push back, while organising active solidarity
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Rob Ford
3 years
Pretty revealing that when the Society of Editors asked themselves "who do we want to get to defend us on broadcast re: this sensitive matter?" the answer they came up with was "shouty middle aged man who talks over female presenters".
@TomHourigan
Tom Hourigan
3 years
Quite the exchange between Victoria Derbyshire and the head of the Society of Editors this morning
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