Matt Burgess @matthewgburgess Twitter profile

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Matt Burgess

26 days

We have all these bad incentives that polarize us. How do we dig ourselves out of this mess? Over the past few years, I've come to believe that there is a surprisingly simple answer. THREAD 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 months

Communism may be the deadliest thing humans have ever done to each other. We should never forget or underestimate the dangers of militant utopianism. (figure from: )

Lulu Cheng Meservey

@lulumeservey

2 months

what did y'all think communism meant? vibes? papers? essays?

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

As one of the experts who was consulted on @willmacaskill 's What We Owe the Future (but did not respond to @xriskology 's request), I feel a duty to respond to this, as parts of this piece are misleading in ways that make me suspect this tweet might be misleading too. THREAD 1/

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists

@BulletinAtomic

1 year

In William MacAskill's book What We Owe the Future, he lists 30 experts as consultants on the climate. @xriskology wrote to them. 20 responded. Most said they disagree with the book's take on climate change. Some said they had not been consulted at all.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

New study finds pay is the most important factor limiting undergraduate students from underrepresented backgrounds' willingness to take environment and natural resource internships. Proud to be welcoming 3 paid undergrads this summer to our lab!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

10 months

I hope this is the year universities are finally ready to grasp & reckon with how deep of a trust hole we've dug for ourselves over the past decade. Many of us are afraid to say speak up, fearing repercussions, but these trust numbers should scare us more.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 months

Throwing soup and harassing commuters doesn't boost support for climate action. Peaceful protests targeted at key decision makers does.

Ed Maibach

@MaibachEd

2 months

Do climate protests have potential to foster more public support? Our new research suggests that some tactics and targets have more potential than others: @Mason4C @MasonResearch @GeorgeMasonISE @MasonCommDept @GeorgeMasonCHSS @VirginiaClimate

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Someone saying that they think there is a low probability of climate change causing total civilizational collapse or human extinction is *very* different from someone saying they don't think climate change is a big deal. 12/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Whether @willmacaskill has correctly interpreted the agronomy literature here is beyond my expertise, but I find the way @xriskology presents this quote out of context--to implicitly suggest that MacAskill doesn't think climate change is a big deal--to be misleading. 11/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Apropos nothing, here are 3 studies by top climate scientists in Nature journals supporting our ERL conclusion that 4-5C scenarios are looking implausible, 2-3C scenarios more plausible, 2C within reach*.1/2

Determinants of emissions pathways in the coupled climate–social system

Nature - A stylized model of the climate–social system could help to understand policy and emissions futures.

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

This brings me to why I chose not to respond to the request for comment for this piece. This was the request. It seemed odd to me that the focus of the request was on this one (in the context of the book, minor) quote, and not on the whole book. It smelled like a 'gotcha'. 15/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

No more school closures. Our kids are suffering.

David Leonhardt

@DLeonhardt

2 years

American children are starting 2022 in crisis. I'm not sure that many people fully grasp the depth of it. 🧵

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

But, I also think it doesn't make them a good candidate to do objective journalism on @willmacaskill 's work. And so, I ignored the request, rather than participating in what I suspected might not be a good-faith investigation of the book and the ways we were consulted for it. 17/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 months

The IRA has the potential to significantly reduce US emissions, as @JesseJenkins , @JEBistline and others have shown. In a new @NatureClimate paper, we discuss the supply, demand, and polarization challenges that could get in the way. 1/

Supply, demand and polarization challenges facing US climate policies

Nature Climate Change - Recent US climate bills mark a major step in domestic climate actions, while their successful implementation relies on strong assumptions. This Perspective discusses...

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Yet, it's also true that COVID did not come close to collapsing global civilization. If someone acknowledges this fact, are they being too cavalier about COVID? Do they not care about it? By the logic of the piece, the implied answer seems to be yes. 14/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

New @ScienceMagazine paper by @mjjuanjorda , & others incl. @NickDulvy measures status of tunas, billfishes, and sharks over 70 years. After declining, tuna and billfish status has improved since ~2005 while shark status has continued to worsen. Why? 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Again, I agree, at least re: nuclear war. I don't know enough about AI to comment intelligently. Even if I disagreed though, I wouldn't see it as my job as a reviewer to push back unless the deep uncertainty wasn't clearly expressed, and IMO, it was. 7/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

Just had a paper accepted after 4 rounds of review over 3.5 years at the same journal. Literally had two kids & moved halfway across the country between submission & acceptance. ECRs: if you have an experience like this early in your careers, don't get discouraged. It's unusual.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

In my case, the specific issue I was asked to comment on was the scenarios and the current thinking in the field re: most plausible emissions pathways. I think the @willmacaskill did a good job representing the state of the field on this in the limited space & for the audience.4/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

And so, I Googled and saw that much of Torres's popular writing over the past year has been opinion pieces critical of @willmacaskill and longtermism. That's fine; disagreeing with MacAskill is their prerogative, and I think some of their critiques are thoughtful. 16/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

That said, the general impression I got from reading the chapter (& later the rest of the book) was that @willmacaskill thinks climate change is a serious challenge, and making progress on the energy transition is unambiguously a good thing for society to prioritize. I agree. 5/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

When asked to review a popular book as part of the fact-checking process, I see it as my job to comment on the scientific merits of specific parts that fall into my area of expertise, and not editorialize on the authors' normative conclusions, etc. 3/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Fisheries and conservation folks: do you use climate change scenarios in your research and wonder what all the fuss is about regarding RCP8.5? We have a new preprint for you (which reviews published work). With Sarah Becker, @AFredston & @cassandrafish 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 months

Big announcement: I will be joining the faculty of @UWyoBiz in the fall, & taking up a Presidential fellowship to work with @UWyonews President Seidel on campus initiatives promoting civic discourse, incl. dialogs, a podcast, & serving as a mentor to their @BridgeUSA_ chapter. 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

"Stop encouraging people to catastrophize". - @mattyglesias A mantra worth taking seriously if we want to address the youth mental health crisis.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

My impression from reading the piece is that my instinct here was probably right. But, now that it's out, I feel a responsibility to correct the record regarding how @willmacaskill consulted me (and I suspect also my colleagues). 18/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

First, to the charge that we weren't told what we were reviewing: I can't speak for the other experts consulted (which includes many highly regarded scientists like @hausfath ), but it was very clear to me that I was being asked to review a chapter of What We Owe the Future. 2/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

To be clear, MacAskill's claim that this is an extremely low-probability emissions scenario is very uncontroversial. So, him speculating on whether this scenario would wipe out civilization doesn't really bear much on whether he thinks climate change is a problem. 9/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 months

Climate change policies lose popularity when combined with pausing regulations or with social justice policies. That's the headline finding of our new paper, led by @RenaeEMarshall , with @Prof_SEAnderson , @LaithAlShawaf , & Leaf Van Boven. THREAD 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

8 months

Publication bias is an important problem, in our field and many others. @PatrickTBrown31 provides a brave and honest account of his experience with it that's worth reading: But, before we get completely down on our profession, there are some nuances: 🧵1/

I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate Change Paper Published

I just got published in Nature because I stuck to a narrative I knew the editors would like. That’s not the way science should work.

www.thefp.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Since part of the book deals with speculating on what are the greatest threats of extinction-level catastrophes for humanity, MacAskill speculates that climate change is significantly less likely to cause human extinction than other things like nuclear war or AI takeover. 6/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

For an analogy, take COVID: COVID is horrific and has caused millions of deaths. It is one of the worst humanitarian disasters in recent history. Everyone agrees that society should do whatever is necessary to prevent it from happening again. 13/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

I can't comment on AI, but I agree that stagnation is an under-appreciated threat, as I've written about: 23/

Prepare developed democracies for long-run economic slowdowns

Nature Human Behaviour - The coming years are likely to see slowing economic growth, which has significant consequences for developed democracies. This Perspective by Burgess et al. considers the...

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

Standing up for people I know is apparently a theme for me this week. In light of the recent PNAS retraction of the MPA paper, I just wanted to say that @renielcabral is an excellent scientist of high integrity, and, based on what I know, he acted ethically in this situation. 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

But, unless you're an academic philosopher, I encourage you to focus on the basic and important points of the book, which FWIW I agree with: 1) We don't think enough about long-term future and how much it could be shaped by major consequences of decisions we make now. 21/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

As for What We Owe the Future, I encourage people to read the book and make up their own minds about it. My general take is the following: 19/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Much of the book focuses on important uncontroversial premises, and then, like any good academic philosopher, @willmacaskill tries to push his ideas to their logical extremes and in doing so, gets into admittedly speculative and critique-able territory. 20/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

2/ Major threats that deserve our attention include things already on our radar, like climate change, nuclear war, and pandemics (and @willmacaskill was sounding alarms on pandemics before COVID), as well as some things that are not, like AI and stagnation. 22/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

Very excited to share this new paper, led by my postdoc, Ryan Langendorf (who is on the job market): "Empirically classifying network mechanisms" 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

But this is where the quote @xriskology highlights comes from. @willmacaskill speculates whether "the low-probability but worst-case climate scenario, in which we ultimately burn through all recoverable fossil fuels" would cause enough climate change to make humans extinct. 8/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Thrilled to announce that I've accepted a TT position at @CUBoulder in @CIRESnews , @CUBoulderENVS , and Economics (courtesy appointment) starting August 2018!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

Although I think Twitter is not a good place to have some of these convos (listening to Twitter is how we got here), I want to make a quick comment on the @DorianAbbot de-platforming, since I think standing up for people you know personally when they're smeared is important. 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

11 months

New paper: We present multiple lines of evidence suggesting that slow-growth, slow-income-convergence economic scenarios such as SSP4 might be best-case--not worst-case--scenarios for 21st-century growth and inequality. 1/

Multidecadal dynamics project slow 21st-century economic growth and income convergence

Communications Earth & Environment - Socioeconomic scenarios with persistent inequality like that projected in SSP4 may represent best-case rather than worst-case scenarios for economic growth...

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Beyond that, I encourage people who are not academic philosophers to take the stuff about colonizing space, how do you weigh quantity & quality of long-term future lives, etc as what it is: an academic philosopher philosophizing. 25/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

3) Given deep uncertainties, three good things to focus on are: learning, building options, and doing things which are unambiguously good (like cutting CO2 emissions, which incidentally is one of the examples @willmacaskill uses). 24/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

But, as part of this speculation, MacAskill asks whether it would become physically impossible to grow crops anywhere on Earth in this scenario, and speculates that it would not, citing a 2015 study by King et al on crops' lethal limits. 10/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

10 months

"if (we) continue to openly and preferentially support the progressive wing of the Democratic party’s preferred positions and causes, then we shouldn’t be surprised if (our) public support eventually approximates its support for the progressive wing of the Democratic party"

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Now published: "Plausible 2005-2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 and 3 degrees C of warming by 2100" with @RogerPielkeJr & @jritch .

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

People sometimes argue that scientific orgs should leverage their trusted position in society to push preferred political candidates and causes. This survey illustrates that view's naivety: it takes public trust for granted and misses how we lose it by becoming politicized.

The Honest Broker

@RogerPielkeJr

1 year

“In 2020, Nature endorsed Joe Biden in the US presidential election. A survey finds that viewing the endorsement did not change people’s views of the candidates, but caused some to lose confidence in Nature and in US scientists generally” @ArthurLupia

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

END of thread. 26/26

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

"Catastrophic climate risks should be neither understated nor overstated". My comment, with @RogerPielkeJr & @jritch on the recent 'Climate Endgame' paper. 1/

Catastrophic climate risks should be neither understated nor overstated | Proceedings of the...

Catastrophic climate risks should be neither understated nor overstated

www.pnas.org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Fixing overfishing could have substantial collateral benefits for endangered marine mammals, turtles, and birds: our new paper in @sciencemagazine @grant_mcdermott @sfgucsb

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Heartbroken for our community.💔

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Our review & meta-analysis of climate change scenarios in fisheries and aquatic conservation is published, in @ICES_ASC Journal of Marine Science: @cassandrafish @AFredston @csef_cuboulder @CIRESnews @CUBoulderENVS #speciesonthemove 1/

Climate change scenarios in fisheries and aquatic conservation research

Abstract. Scenarios are central to fisheries and aquatic conservation research on climate change. Scenarios project future greenhouse-gas emissions, which

academic.oup.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Marine protected areas are announced before they come into force. New research in @PNASNews by @grant_mcdermott et al. shows that, as a result, fishers tend to fish extra hard in the interim period, setting back the gains about 1.5 y in the case of PIPA.

The blue paradox: Preemptive overfishing in marine reserves | Proceedings of the National Academy...

Most large-scale conservation policies are anticipated or announced in advance. This risks the possibility of preemptive resource extraction before...

www.pnas.org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

Honored and humbled by this, and greatly appreciative of my @CUBoulderENVS & @CIRESnews colleagues for nominating me and supporting my development of the Sustainable Economies course (spaces still available for Spring, CU students) and reducing polarization dialog series. Thanks!

Heterodox Academy

@HdxAcademy

3 years

We are thrilled to announce the 2020 Open Inquiry Awards winners: @JohnHMcWhorter , Leadership; Amy Lai, Exceptional Scholarship; @JustinTosi & @BrandonWarmke , Exceptional Scholarship; Princeton Open Campus Coalition, Outstanding Student Group; and @matthewgburgess , Teaching.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 months

📢New @csef_cuboulder report on climate change opinion and recent presidential elections. 📢 We find that climate-conscious voters are ~2/3 of voters; they strongly prefer Democrats; & climate change opinion probably cost Trump the 2020 election. 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

9 months

Good article on the move from despair to hope in the climate movement, and the need for more of it. I am quoted, along with @_HannahRitchie , @KHayhoe , and others. @CIRESnews @csef_cuboulder @CUBoulderENVS

What's the best weapon against climate change? Hope

As young people battle anxiety over extreme weather and a foreboding future, scientists and advocates try a new message to ease worries—and help save the planet

www.newsweek.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

In March, I read in the @dailycamera about an amazing local HS junior, Henry Westfall, who had won a regional science fair with an agent-based model of political polarization. I decided to track him down and offer him a summer job working in our lab. 1/

Three Boulder County students win best in show at regional science fair

Mandy Roth, a sixth grader at Flagstaff Academy in Longmont, competes with her dog, an 80-pound mutt named Kimmie, in agility competitions.

www.dailycamera.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

NSF CAREER proposal submitted! Now, the waiting...

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

5 years

We're recruiting a cohort of three PhD fellows--fully funded for 5 years--to study effects of emerging technologies on food security and the environment! Please RT and pass along to networks from colleges large and small across the country!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

For those interested in the climate scenarios debate, I made a figure (for a working paper summarizing it for a fisheries audience) that tries to combine the emissions story with the climate sensitivity story. Warming ranges in B are from AR6 Ch 4 Table 4.5. Hope it's helpful! 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

US Fish & Wildlife is hiring 4 conservation social scientists!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

New paper alert! "Opportunities for agent-based modelling in human dimensions of fisheries" w/ @ErnestoCarrella @jenskoedmadsen @renielcabral @michaelaclemenc @sfgucsb @LRichLitt @i_vanputten @DrEmilySKlein @OurOcean folks & others. THREAD 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

. @marge_hegwood , Ryan Langendorf & I have a new paper out: "Why win-wins are rare in complex environmental management", in @naturesustainab . @CIRESnews @CUBoulderENVS 1/

Why win–wins are rare in complex environmental management

Nature Sustainability - Modelling studies suggest that large-scale win–win solutions are available, but practitioners confronted with real-world complexity are sceptical. This study shows...

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

5 years

We're hiring an Assistant Professor in Coupled Human-Natural Systems Modeling and Analysis! Looking for someone who uses machine learning, AI, complex systems modeling, or another quantitative approach, on an interdisciplinary environment-related topic.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

16 days

Yep. Lots of room for debate on policy, but the basic fact that humans are causing global warming through our greenhouse gas emissions could not be clearer.

Christopher Barnard

@ChrisBarnardDL

16 days

Pretty remarkable how almost every “alternative” explanation (solar activity, volcanoes, aerosols, etc.) for climate warming actually has a *negative* impact on temperatures since 1850, or is neutral.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Excited and honored to announce that I have joined the Fish and Fisheries editorial board. It's a great journal. Keep sending us your best work!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

5 years

New paper with @AlexaLFH , Tilman, Loreau, Gaines ( @sfgucsb @emLabUCSB ): we show that broadly inflicted stressors (e.g., pollution, habitat loss, climate change, multispecies harvesting) cause what we call 'ecosystem thinning' via species competition. 1/n

Broadly inflicted stressors can cause ecosystem thinning

Theoretical Ecology - Many anthropogenic stressors broadly inflict mortality or reduce fecundity, including habitat destruction, pollution, climate change, invasive species, and multispecies...

link.springer.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 month

Good post. I suspect patriotism will be important to addressing climate change--an all-of-society public goods project. I suspect the climate movement underappreciates the importance of patriotism because it negatively correlates with climate concern.

Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦

@Noahpinion

1 month

I re-upped my post on patriotism from 2021, with some added thoughts for 2024:

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

New preprint: "IPCC baseline scenarios over-project CO2 emissions and economic growth." w/ @jritch , Shapland, & Pielke Jr. cc @hausfath @Peters_Glen @SteveDavisUCI THREAD: 1/

IPCC baseline scenarios have over-projected CO2 emissions and economic growth

Scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are central to climate science and policy. Recent studies find that observed trends and International Energy Agency (IEA)...

osf.io

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Just submitted my first-ever 'accept with no revisions' review on a first-round review of a paper. Nice job, authors!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

8 years

New study: stats in ecology becoming more complex, PhD curricula not catching up … cc @ESA_org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

10 months

@KenCaldeira Not only that, our paper the article reports on implies it is just as good, only in different ways (more food security, less environmental gain).

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Thanks! Honored to be in the cohort with @LauraEllenDee , @Amanda__Carrico , @kyrib , @Dr_Scott_Taylor and others.

CIRES

@CIRESnews

1 year

Congratulations to CIRES/ @CUBoulderENVS ' Matthew Burgess ( @matthewgburgess ), who has been named a 2023 @CUBoulder Research & Innovation Office (RIO) Faculty Fellow! Read more from RIO ⤵️

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

I love our community, and my heart goes out to our colleagues, students, and neighbors who were affected by this. American voters are overwhelmingly united behind common-sense gun reforms. No other advanced country has this chronic mass-shooting problem.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

10 months

The causes of this decline of trust--driven mostly by Republicans and Independents--are not a big mystery. @RogerPielkeJr

Partisan Science is Bad for Science and Society - HxA

When science becomes partisan, public trust in science decreases. Scientific institutions would improve their scholarship and public trust...

heterodoxacademy.org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

Now published: "IPCC baseline scenarios have over-projected CO2 emissions and economic growth" with @jritch @RogerPielkeJr See threads below for summaries of this and related papers (part of my lab's ongoing focus on growth futures & the environment).

Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

Another, somewhat related, preprint: "Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation" w/ Ryan Langendorf, @IppolitoTara , & @RogerPielkeJr THREAD: 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 months

On the supply side, there has been lots of discussion about permitting reform. Indeed, most IRA benefits go away without permitting reform; major projects regularly take 6-10+ years to get federal permits; and construction productivity has decreased since 1950. 2/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 month

Detailed & convincing reply by @JonHaidt to his critics who claim that he hasn't demonstrated causal links between social media & mental health. The exchange reminds me of this @StatModeling post about how "banning common sense" leads to research failure.

Jonathan Haidt

@JonHaidt

1 month

A review in Nature, by @candice_odgers , asserts that I have mistaken correlation for causation and that “there is no evidence that using these platforms is rewiring children’s brains or driving an epidemic of mental illness.” Both of these assertions are untrue.…

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

Interesting: After getting rid of mandatory SAT/ACT, MIT studies the evidence and reinstates the requirement *on equity grounds*. tl;dr it's easier for talented and disadvantaged students to do well on a test than to accrue fancy extra curriculars.

Will Kinney

@WKCosmo

2 years

Impotant quote: "not having SATs/ACT scores to consider tends to raise socioeconomic barriers to demonstrating readiness for our education" Why isn't this more widely recognized?

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

With dynamic ocean management, we could reduce bycatch by 57% with minimal target catch loss: new study by Maite Pons et al., incl. @DanOvand0 , @elhazen , @kate_richerson , @hilbornr , others, in @PNASNews

Trade-offs between bycatch and target catches in static versus dynamic fishery closures | Proceed...

While there have been recent improvements in reducing bycatch in many fisheries, bycatch remains a threat for numerous species around the globe. St...

www.pnas.org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

New preprint: "Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C of warming by 2100", by @RogerPielkeJr , myself, & @jritch 1/

Most plausible 2005-2040 emissions scenarios project less than 2.5 degrees C of warming by 2100

Emissions scenarios used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) are central to climate change research and policy. Here, we identify subsets of scenarios of the IPCC 5th (AR5) and...

osf.io

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

9 months

We ordered a heat pump for our house this weekend. We're excited to reduce our emissions and save energy and $$.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

8 months

Nuanced, counter-narrative papers do sometimes make it into Nature. E.g. this one by @AFredston came out on the same day as Patrick's: 2/ Does that mean there's no bias? No. But it does mean that submitting counter-narrative findings isn't hopeless.2/

Marine heatwaves are not a dominant driver of change in demersal fishes

Nature - Of 248 marine heatwaves between 1993 and 2019 in North American and European seas, the effects on fish biomass were often minimal, and the heatwaves were not consistently associated with...

www.nature.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Academic friends: what is your most under-appreciated paper? I.e. the one that you like the most compared to the attention it has gotten so far. Reply with links below. I look forward to reading all the hidden gems! #AcademicTwitter

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

Just found out my fall in-person class was moved to a soccer field. Naturally, I ordered a @impactmontreal jersey and mask to wear to class. We're going to have fun with it. Kudos to our facilities folks for getting creative with the socially distanced classrooms.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

Really cool new preprint by @FishingForFeed et al. comparing profits and conservation threats in fisheries across space and gear. Check it out.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

But it's also a false dichotomy, as @JonHaidt and @glukianoff show in The Coddling of the American Mind: shielding students from ideas they don't like doesn't actually make them safer. Instead, it promotes cognitive distortions that increase anxiety and lower ability to thrive.

Heterodox Academy

@HdxAcademy

4 years

"In keeping with previous surveys, we find that there are three groups of students: one group consistently supporting emotional safety over freedom, another backing free speech over safety, and a significant undecided group." @epkaufm @Policy_Exchange

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

11 months

Some constructive takes on today's SCOTUS ruling: 1) Anyone who has been on a campus in the past decade--especially the past 3 yrs--will recognize the dynamics Tyler Austin Harper describes in the passages below, not just in admissions. We can do better.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Weather and climate damages (% GDP) have been lower than the Stern review predicted in 2006. An interesting piece of good news. @RogerPielkeJr

Off Target: An Evaluation of the Stern Review's Climate Disaster Predictions

Escalating climate destruction has yet to occur as forecast

rogerpielkejr.substack.com

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Wow, a tuna breach caught on video. That's really cool.

Ronald O'Toole

@RonaldOToole1

6 years

My FIRST EVER Tuna sighting! Holyrood Sept 29, 18. @ExploreNL @DestinationSJ @visitstjohnsnl @ExperienceNL @ExploreCanada @Nature_NL @NatureCanada

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

4 years

Please join me in congratulating @IppolitoTara on receiving an NSF GRF! Our lab and @CUBoulderENVS is beaming:).

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

My parents are getting vaccinated today. Very grateful to all the scientists and healthcare workers who made this possible. My sons often ask when they can see their grandparents again. The answer finally feels like "soon".

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

5 years

Climate models have been over-projecting emissions, in part because they have been over-projecting economic growth. My honors student John Shapland, defending in two weeks, looked at the implications of pessimistic (I would say realistic) growth for 2100 emissions. Stay tuned.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Arrived in Colorado! Updated website here: I will be recruiting a funded postdoc and a PhD student to start in 2019. Stay tuned for official postings: . Feel free to email me anytime if interested.

Burgess Bioeconomics Lab - Opportunities

PI Contact [email protected] Postdoctoral There are no postdoctoral opportunities with pre-existing funding available at this time. Please check back later. However, I am always open to...

www.mattgburgess.ca

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

5 years

Breaking my Twitter silence to say huge congrats to @harpactes on being a 2019 @SmithFellows !! @boykoff and I are so excited to work with you at @CIRESnews and @cu_cstpr !

Smith Fellows

@SmithFellows

5 years

We are thrilled to announce the 2019 Class of @SmithFellows ! Congratulations Anat Belasen, Charlotte Chang, Joan Dudney, Max Lambert, and Amy Teffer!!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

2 years

In case you missed it over the holidays, quick thread on our new Nature Human Behaviour paper: "Prepare developed democracies for long-run economic slowdowns". Excellent summaries by @CUBoulder and UCSB: 1/

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

3 years

@mwtingley @AFredston This is a great one! by Adler, @e_seabloom , @e_borer , et al.

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 year

Thrilled to be co-chairing (with Pete Newton and Pilar McQuillan) one of the inaugural @HdxAcademy Campus Communities here at @CUBoulder . See announcement and Chronicle coverage here:

HxA Launches Campus Community Network with Inaugural Cohort

The new Campus Communities, organized by HxA members at each university, will promote HxA values to improve institutional practices and culture. 23 Campuses

heterodoxacademy.org

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

6 years

Inspired by @ElenaBennett , I have included a Resources page on my new lab website. It covers research advice, job market advice, mental health, and more. Suggestions welcome!

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Matt Burgess

@matthewgburgess

1 month

"A person entirely unconcerned about environmental behaviour is estimated to be just over 50% more likely to go on to have a child than a deeply committed environmentalist." I.e., It's not just the surveys. We need a more pro-human environmentalism.

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