D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive Twitter profile

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

Hard truth: 99% of founders pick nearby problems instead of valuable ones. How do you build a company that matters? Richard Hamming’s advice changed my life:

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

Big news: I’m joining @fiftyyears to help more founders build deep tech startups! Last year, Alphabet bought my startup Vicarious AI ($250M raised from Elon, Zuck, Bezos…). Why switch to VC as my next thing? ⬇️

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

8 months

Today we're launching the 50Y Progress Index, an open source project to quantify and track humanity's advancements. Food, energy, timber, and steel are 80-90% cheaper today than in late 1800s, air travel is 30X cheaper per mile than in 1950, computing is 10 trillion times

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

6 months

Live feed from inside the OpenAI board room

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

What happens when @vicariousai makes robots ubiquitous? A 🧵 Today we live in a world of infinite digital abundance because bits are ~free. Information at marginal cost ~0 makes the poorest person alive today information-richer than kings and presidents even 30 years ago.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

2/ Hamming worked on the Manhattan Project and led Bell Labs at its peak. He asked new researchers 3 questions: - What are you doing? - What are the top problems in your field? - Why are the two different?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

6/ Regardless of the problem you choose, the road to success is brutal. Knowing this from the outset, you might as well pick something that is worthy of the sacrifice. As Hamming says, “If you do not work on important problems, you will not do important work.”

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

3/ Most startup advice (Lean Startup book, YC "make something people want") is the opposite of Hamming. Founders are encouraged to react to customers rather than think from first principles about what new tech might push humanity forward most.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

After a whirlwind year integrating Vicarious + Intrinsic, I’m leaving Alphabet to begin a new chapter! No immediate plans to start something new – I first want to catch up with all of the progress in AGI and hard tech. If you’re working on something cool, feel free to reach out!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

@TaylorLorenz @balajis @TaylorLorenz his tweet is a copy and paste of yours (cropped out of your screenshot, how convenient). Honestly asking, why is it OK for you but not for him?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

Love to see it

Lithium discovery in US volcano could be biggest deposit ever found

Find could point to new ways to prospect for material in high demand for batteries.

www.chemistryworld.com

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

11 months

@dileeplearning I propose a six month pause on all gzip development until we can guarantee its safety

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

8 months

I'm working on charting technological progress in different mediums (electrons, atoms, bits, ...) over time. Know anyone who might want to work with me on a short term (1-2 weeks) data gathering and analytics project? Results will be open source. DMs open!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

5/ After years of working on small problems, I followed Hamming’s advice and started an AI company in 2010. Turns out, impactful companies are started in unpopular areas – electric cars, rockets, and search engines were VC dead zones when Tesla, SpaceX, and Google were founded.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@kscottz Kat - how unhinged do you think the drug, crime, and homelessness scene is in SF? Really surprised by the framing here / what seems 'more unhinged' to you.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@paulg I had the same experience of Watership Down as a ~10yo. An adventure with talking rabbits!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

10 months

@hooleil This market is being moved by 1 block @CommunityNotes

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@mattalexandersf Completely disgusted by your vote to hurt communities of color. Shame on you.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@eladgil Those people: vaccinated My kids: not

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

8 months

A few friends and I use @ouraring for 'competitive healthiness'. Oura doesn't have a leaderboard widget, so I decided to use their API to write one. I haven't written an iOS app in like 10 years, so I used GPT4 to explain APIs and do basic plumbing. I know I'm late to the

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

11 months

@jasonpjason @CommunityNotes these videos do not show what the poster claims

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

A corollary to the above is that there are no “premium products” in our shared digital reality. You and Elon use the same search engines, social networks, messaging apps, etc. This has never happened before. Marginal cost ~free is the most powerful force for equity and equality.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

The infinite abundance we experience in the digital world extends to our physical reality, and the materially poorest person alive in 2040 is materially richer than today’s forbes list.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@kscottz Should homeless people who refuse offers of shelter be allowed to camp wherever they like? What are your ideas for how to best help this problem?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

9/ And if you’re a scientist or founder developing a ‘big if true’ idea in atoms, electrons, cells, bits, or beyond, let’s talk about how we could pull forward the future together.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

4/ Like everyone else, my first startups were reactive: a gaming news site, P2P filesharing app, a retail POS tablet. How did I pick these ideas? They were easy to build and seemed like they might make money. I spent little time thinking about the ratio of impact to effort.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

Fast forward to a world with billions of robots. Physical labor scales with electricity like compute scaled with electricity in the previous decades. The marginal cost of atoms drops to ~free the same way it did for bits.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@eladgil This is a great chart! I reverse my position.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

Watch my brilliant cofounder @dileeplearning 's interview with @lexfridman : . It's been 10 years since we started @vicariousai , and his technical vision is still miles ahead of everyone else in the field. His interview is a masterclass on brain-inspired AGI.

Dileep George: Brain-Inspired AI | Lex Fridman Podcast #115

Dileep George is a researcher at the intersection of neuroscience and artificial intelligence, co-founder of Vicarious, formerly co-founder of Numenta. From ...

www.youtube.com

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@ESYudkowsky This, but for all government policy. We have 50 states, let’s use them!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

Exciting news I solved AI safety and also introspection thank me later

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@AlexSharenko @balajis @micsolana You: "Disregarding musk's ideas out of hand is actually good leadership" Never good leadership to disregard ideas out of hand. Counts triple when the person with the ideas has Elon's track record, and 100x and when the person doing the disregarding has yours.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

11 months

💯 – for the first few dozen researcher hires at @vicariousai , interview day began with a 90 minute written test that was almost impossible to complete in 90 minutes.

Seth Bannon 🌻

@sethbannon

11 months

Founders are often afraid to run an intense interview or reference process for fear of losing great candidates. But the reverse is true - top talent want to work for companies with extremely high bars and a thorough process shows you have one.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

6 months

Gemini displaying true AGI level capabilities here

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@jsfour . @fiftyyears funds lots of projects like these! The trick is connecting the long term goal with intermediate steps that show traction along the way. Will write a future post with details.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

8/ Thanks for inviting me to join the team @elamadej , @sethbannon , @alexteng101 , and everyone at Fifty Years!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

6 months

I have completed a deliberative review process of the OpenAI board, which concluded that they were not consistently candid in their communications.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

2/ When I was in my early 20s, I realized I got the most joy from helping others. I looked at lots of different ways to help at scale, like policy and science. AI had the best reward-to-effort ratio of every idea I evaluated.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@3blue1brown <3 next do one on transformers!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@bryan_johnson I want to party with Evening Bryan

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

Congrats on the launch @balajis ! Excited for this whole series 💪

Balaji

@balajis

1 year

Introducing the Network State Podcast. The first episode features me and @VitalikButerin . We talk about starting new countries, upgrading Ethereum, and improving yourself!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@divyekapoor @brian_armstrong @d_feldman Read it again :) “If the pencil is pointing straight out from the wall (at a 90-degree angle), then it would be perpendicular to the ceiling.” This is incorrect: it would be parallel.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@sama I find haters are usually motivated by emotion or tribal identity rather than a crisp detailed evaluation of an idea. It's more like self-defense than analysis.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@JTLonsdale Ports too @typesfast

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

Would we still have a polio vaccine if Jonas Salk divided his attention between the many important causes of his era? Radical focus generates radical results. @brian_armstrong and @coinbase have true grit.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@Peters_Glen Let's make the energy green instead of making our ambitions smaller.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

“The Selfish Gene for Digital Twins”: 1. Early computer age: people built digital twins that were passive observations of the physical world. Eg, an inventory database or a shipping manifest. Painful to manually synchronize, always out of date. Ground truth is the physical world.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

4/ Vicarious was born with @dileeplearning . We invented great tech, published in Science, raised a lot of money, shipped a lot of robots, and sold to Alphabet.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@balajis nearly 100% of China tech sector (Baidu, WeChat, etc) banned their way to #1 over western companies

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

An API for moving atoms around the globe is a huge deal. Congrats @typesfast !

Ryan Petersen

@typesfast

9 months

Very proud of the @Flexport team for launching our new offering for entrepreneurs and small businesses today. Flexport started as a tech-enabled freight forwarding platform, but we have always had a bigger vision. Now we’ve connected our international shipping services with

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

3/ But, was I 100 years too early? AlexNet didn’t exist, the ecosystem was in AI winter, and nobody wanted to fund AI. After extrapolating out compute speed, data availability, neuro understanding, I decided to go all in on AI.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@paulg I’m only a few months post M&A with Alphabet, but no BS it’s been amazing. Maybe the variance depends more on which division you join (vs which co)?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

Update: needs slightly more training not to be a degrowther

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

5/ After the sale, I was at a crossroads. Should I start another AI company? Lots of brilliant people are already building at every level of the AI stack now, so it seemed like the marginal AI contribution I could make was much lower than when I started Vicarious.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

ROS + Intrinsic! Huge day for the future of robots and humans.

Intrinsic

@IntrinsicAI

1 year

To help elevate a new generation of robotics developers, we’re welcoming Brian Gerkey and his team at OSRC — @OpenRoboticsOrg ’s commercial subsidiary — to Intrinsic through an acquisition.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

In case you were wondering about the plausibility of the cat premise I had it add more details

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

7/ I found @fiftyyears . Their mission: solve the world’s biggest problems with deep tech entrepreneurship. I love the team, the founders they’ve backed so far, and helping other pioneers navigate many of the challenges I faced at Vicarious.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@xiao_ted @ericjang11 @1x_tech @julianibarz @adcock_brett @clonerobotics @UnitreeRobotics @coreylynch @Figure_robot @Tesla_AI How’d you leave out Agility! IMO they are the furthest along in actually production-ready humanoids.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

I just bought $6 "cold pressed" lemonade from a 5-year-old. The inflation is looking less and less transitory.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

6/ At the same time, I still wanted to help people and was excited about lots of new frontiers: materials, energy, computation, space… Maybe I could help others, help others?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@typesfast If autocomplete is successfully completing your sentences please confirm that you are available to confirm your appointment available available for next week please confirm please please confirm your appointment available for tomorrow please confirm

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

So grateful for your partnership @wendytanwhite !

A new chapter for Intrinsic | Intrinsic

Advancing our mission as one team – ready to build a software platform that unlocks industrial robotics for millions more businesses and developers.

www.intrinsic.ai

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@Tesla Auto-identify when a supercharger station is not working properly: look for when a customer plugs in to one station, and then soon after plugs into a different station at the same location. That way field team can fix faster.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

Amazing company & talk by my dear friend @dwidmaier

TED Talks

@TEDTalks

2 years

Do you give "mush-room" 🍄 to thinking about what your clothes are made of? Here's why @dwidmaier says you should:

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

8 months

@ikirigin Yep, love RoP! This is intended to be a quantitative companion to Jason's philosophical work. Open source time series dataset of costs of commodities, energy, computation, as well as introduction dates of inventions, companies, and policies and how they relate.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

@justinkan Summoning @JTLonsdale

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@JeffDean Thanks for clarifying this to the community Jeff. Really appreciate your transparency and integrity.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

7 months

@sethbannon Not a founder, but Satya Nadella is high interpersonal empathy.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

Does X cause Y? A meta analysis:

Does X cause Y? An in-depth evidence review

This summarizes the frustratingly ambiguous state of the evidence for pretty much any "Does X cause Y?" question you might have.

www.cold-takes.com

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

10 months

@realGeorgeHotz Only way to go from here is up

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@danielgross I thought this was going to end in a joke where you have copilot autocomplete it’s own feature suggestions

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@SmokeAwayyy Agility Robotics my dude

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@IDoTheThinking Is there a thoughtful critique somewhere pointing out the flaws in his work I can read to educate myself? This is the first post I’ve seen on the issue so I’m curious to learn more.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@mustafasuleymn @dileeplearning Thanks Mustafa!!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

7 months

@Austen Only mid cap and recap for our age group

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

Grateful to have been interviewed by the MACHINE team for their excellent documentary on AI and society, out today on iTunes:

Machine - Apple TV

An examination of the immense impact of artificial intelligence upon everything from identity and creativity to longevity and sexuality.

tv.apple.com

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@pmddomingos At @vicariousai 's customers!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@dileeplearning I’m not sure this is a fair critique - it’s just following your false premise like a good Bing

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@ID_AA_Carmack Summoning @dileeplearning

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@jackclarkSF @MichaelTrazzi I remember @daltonc telling me that there was a time shortly after it launched when he watched every video on YouTube. Like, all of them. 😂

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

6 months

@mikeydoubled I also like that it's second choice was an envelope full of tea

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

3. Technology companies create value by building digital twins. Their value is proportional to size of the slice of reality they are twinning, and how expressive of an API they implement. @Airbnb : living space. @Uber : transportation. @Coinbase : currency. @VicariousAI : labor.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@alexkesin Deep learning!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@amasad @Twitter @elonmusk @CommunityNotes I will chip in $10,000 to fund an implementation of this as a default feature in Firefox. Are you in?

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

7 months

@xlr8harder 1. What

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

@ikirigin @semiDL @SashaOstojic @nabeel @bznotes @CovariantAI @vicariousai No, it's . For context, here's someone else's explainer blog post series about RCN: Most of our customers are sensitive about their operations and how much we can say.

Understanding the AI Model that Broke CAPTCHAs

A deep dive into the structure of Recursive Cortical Networks

towardsdatascience.com

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

1 year

@tejasdkulkarni @sama Sounds like a job for learning a mental simulation!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

“We must slay the octopus.”

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@balajis Can even update algorithmically based on behavior - better and public “social credit score.” Imagine AI used to auto update assessments of the honesty of a persons public statements, or their say/do ratio, or prediction accuracy etc.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

8 months

@elamadej @alexisxrivas Great suggestions, thanks Alexis!

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

My favorite writer got an agent! So proud of you @_joanna !!! ❤️🎉🚀

Joanna Phoenix

@_joanna

3 years

I’m thrilled to share that I'm now represented by @sarah_redfoxlit of @RedFoxLiterary . I can’t wait to work with such awesome people in their cozy den. #childrenslit #writerslife #whoohoo

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

2 years

@dileeplearning @GaryMarcus Could you collapse this into time is causality? Then we’d just have causes as the prior.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@JTLonsdale @JTLonsdale Please don't cede the word "equity" to morons. Instead say "I care deeply about an equitable society, and think there's a better way to create one than throwing vaccines in the trash."

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@chophshiy @JonSundin @vicariousai I didn’t start Vicarious until I was 28! Never too late to set a new course.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@eladgil @solreader Let me know how well the mouthpiece fits

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

3 years

@JTLonsdale This is a really good point. I agree - we should maximize the outcome for all people and not minimize the distance between outcomes.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@garrytan We don't brace, we accelerate into it.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

4 years

@ikirigin @semiDL @SashaOstojic @nabeel @bznotes @CovariantAI @vicariousai Hi Ivan! If you haven't read them, check out some of our peer reviewed papers or customer case studies. There's also an open source reference implementation of the Science paper on github, which is an impoverished version of what runs on the robots. Hope you've been well.

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D. Scott Phoenix

@fuelfive

9 months

@AliceXinliZhang @AstraZeneca Congrats Alice, this is huge!

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