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Jack Clark Profile
Jack Clark

@jackclarkSF

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@AnthropicAI , ONEAI OECD, co-chair @indexingai , writer @ Past: @openai , @business @theregister . Neural nets, distributed systems, weird futures

San Francisco, CA
Joined October 2009
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Here’s what I’ve been working on recently: @anthropicai . I’ll be spending a lot of my time on measurement and assessment of our AI systems, as well as thinking of ways govs/others can assess AI tech. There’s a lot to do!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
One like = one spicy take about AI policy.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
As someone who has spent easily half a decade staring at AI arXiv each week and trying to articulate rate of progress, I still don't think people understand how rapidly the field is advancing. Benchmarks are becoming saturated at ever increasing rates.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
I became an American Citizen today.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
A mental model I have of AI is it was roughly ~linear progress from 1960s-2010, then exponential 2010-2020s, then has started to display 'compounding exponential' properties in 2021/22 onwards. In other words, next few years will yield progress that intuitively feels nuts.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
4 months
Just checking in on alignment of LLMs in China, it's going about how you'd expect.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
In the last decade: - figured out cut&paste for DNA (crispr) - reusable rockets (SpaceX) - crude but generally useful AI systems (llms, image/vid models, RL for inventory) - promising fusion approaches (helion, etc) This decade is going to be so wild. It's very exciting.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Stable Diffusion: $600k to train. I'm impressed and somewhat surprised - I figured it'd have cost a bunch more. Also, AI is going to proliferate and change the world quite quickly if you can train decent generative models with less than $1m.
@EMostaque
Emad
2 years
@KennethCassel We actually used 256 A100s for this per the model card, 150k hours in total so at market price $600k
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Happy New Year, Twitter. We live in the interesting timeline.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
I am delighted to announce that I've been appointed to the National AI Advisory Committee, which will advise the President and the National AI Initiative Office on matters relating to AI.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
The next five years of AI will see systems diffuse into the world that act on culture which will feed back into human society, changing it irrevocably. Some thoughts done this morning:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Many of the problems in AI policy stem from the fact that economy-of-scale capitalism is, by nature, anti-democratic, and capex-intensive AI is therefore anti-democratic. No one really wants to admit this. It's awkward to bring it up at parties (I am not fun at parties).
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 months
Excited to release my major research breakthrough, the 3D Transformer.
@jiawei6_ren
Jiawei Ren
7 months
Try our live demo for DreamGaussian to get your 3D model in under two minutes at 🔥 Thanks to @huggingface for the free GPU grant!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
5 years
Personal news announcement: I am now the Policy Director for @OpenAI . This reflects my focus (where I spend the majority of my time), and also several recent hires (eg, @apilipis who is going to be handling a growing chunk of our comms). I'm psyched!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
11 months
Import AI is skipping this week because I am exploring a new universe of emotions with my expanded family (and changing many diapers... so many diapers.)
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
One of the greatest stories of our lives is unfolding right now and you can read about it every day on arXiv for free. Absolutely wild.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Sometimes I think a lot of the breathless enthusiasm for AGI is misplaced religious impulses from people brought up in a secular culture.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
One gnawing worry I have about the rise of LLMs is that, for me, writing IS thinking. One reason I spend so much time writing my newsletter each week is I haven't figured out a better way to think about AI than to sit down and write about it regularly.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Google CEO writes letter re @timnitGebru Sundar: "learning from our experiences like the departure of Dr. Timnit Gebru" Translated Sundar: "analyzing why I let us fire Timnit Gebru and am now desperately trying to position myself as a bystander"
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Note that the reason The Register got this monster market-moving story was because it employs (and trains) extremely technical journalists. If you don't understand tech you get lied to. If you can read code it's way harder to get lied to. Other news orgs should follow!
@TheRegister
The Register
6 years
Intel CPUs have a security bug that's forced Linux, Windows kernel redesigns. The fix was almost named FUCKWIT
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Like 95% of the immediate problems of AI policy are just "who has power under capitalism", and you literally can't do anything about it. AI costs money. Companies have money. Therefore companies build AI. Most talk about democratization is PR-friendly bullshit that ignores this.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Today, I testified to the U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, & Transportation @commercedems . I used an @AnthropicAI language model to write the concluding part of my testimony. I believe this marks the first time a language model has 'testified' in the U.S. Senate.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
The real danger in Western AI policy isn't that AI is doing bad stuff, it's that governments are so unfathomably behind the frontier that they have no notion of _how_ to regulate, and it's unclear if they _can_
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Facebook is deploying multi-trillion parameter recommendation models into production, and these models are approaching computational intensity of powerful models like BERT. Wrote about research here in Import AI 245: Paper here:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Untethered 'Atlas' robot backflip. Pretty incredible stuff from Boston Dynamics.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
I typically stay out of stuff like this, but I'm absolutely shocked by this email. It uses the worst form of corporate writing to present @timnitGebru firing as something akin to a weather event - something that just happened. But real people did this, and they're hiding.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
4 years
The most depressing things about conspiracy theories is they tend to rely on governments being incredibly competent, technically advanced, and astonishingly well run. This is rarely the case.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
I've moved on from OpenAI to work on something new with some colleagues (). I'm also going to be continuing a lot of my work on technology assessment with @indexingai and the @OECD , and am very excited about stuff in the pipeline there!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
AI really is going to change the world. Things are going to get 100-1000X cheaper and more efficient. This is mostly great. However, historically, when you make stuff 100X-1000X cheaper, you upend the geopolitical order. This time probably won't be different.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Apple's Face ID security unlocked via a mask containing a silicone nose, 3D printed frame, and printed pictures:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
The default outcome of current AI policy trends in the West is we all get to live in Libertarian Snowcrash wonderland where a small number of companies rewire the world. Everyone can see this train coming along and can't work out how to stop it.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
There's pretty good evidence for the extreme part of my claim - recently, language models got good enough we can build new datasets out of LM outputs and train LMs on them and get better performance rather than worse performance. E.g, this Google paper:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Things are getting... Extremely weird. Think about what this graph may look like in spring 2023 (was published April 2021). From the excellent Dynabench paper
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
AI is such a rapidly growing field I think we forget how juvenile it was within recent memory; back in 2014 received wisdom was basic computer vision was an impossible task. Now it's a commodity deployed to users on their phones. (Has issues, e.g bias, but still... wild)
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Arrival of increasingly general AI systems means next few years will be defined by a massive expansion in the ways we measure the impacts and capabilities of AI systems, how humans use them, and how AI systems influence the world. Measurement is crucial to effective AI policy.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
New jobs announced for @AndrewYNg startup. Description makes jobs seem anti people with families. Horrible message.
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@AndrewYNg
Andrew Ng
7 years
Want to grow your career? We're finally hiring! Thanks also everyone who'd previously tried to volunteer. :)
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Current top entry on the @OpenAI Retro Contest Leaderboard has learned to glitch through a test level. Devious RL!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
The Stock Photo industry is probably not ready for generative AI. Generative AI seems better for 80% of use-cases. In other words, NYT still gonna do illustrators, but a random website will probably find economics of gen models more attractive than a Shutterstock subscription.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
It's covered a bit in the above podcast by people like @katecrawford - there's huge implications to industrialization, mostly centering around who gets control of the frontier, when the frontier becomes resource intensive. So far control is accruing to the private sector (uh oh!)
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Stability AI (people behind Stable Diffusion and an upcoming Chinchilla -optimal code model) now have 5408 GPUs, up from 4000 earlier this year - per @EMostaque in a Reddit ama
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
'Skynet begins to learn at a geometric rate. It becomes self-aware at 2:14am. At 2:15am it segfaults due to driver problem.' ~FIN~
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
5 years
People in AI like to complain about the standard of journalistic coverage of AI. It is therefore v confusing to me that #NeurIPS2018 has banned journalists from attending workshops. That's where the debates and new stuff are. How do we get better coverage without sharing more?
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
In late May, I had back spasms for 24 hours, then couldn't walk for a week, then spent a month+ recovering. It was one of the worst experiences of my life and I'm glad I seem to now be mostly recovered. Here are some things that happened that seemed notable during that time:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Every one of these images has been generated by an AI system. A+ GAN insanity from NVIDIA
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Facebook flips entire translation backend to neural network (LSTMw/attention) +11 BLEU 4.5bn translations per day
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
4 years
Here's a thread about doing things for yourself vs doing things the world thinks you should do. As I've got older, I've noticed that the more time I spend on the things that make sense to me, the more stable and fulfilled I am.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 month
Every senior politician or military official in any nuclear-armed nation should be forced to read Annie Jacobsen's "Nuclear War: A Scenario". Easily the most frightening thing I have ever read (fiction or otherwise). A brilliant, factual account of the infernal logic of MAD.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
8 months
10 years.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Many AI policy teams in industry are constructed as basic the second line of brand defense after the public relations team. A huge % of policy work is based around reacting to perceived optics problems, rather than real problems.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
4 years
Q: How is the cultivation of impact-aware, ethical, sensitive research in AI going? A: The Liar's Walk: Detecting Deception with Gait and Gesture
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
It's ironic to me that more and more of Google's papers reference JFT, a secret in-house image dataset. JFT is going to be the 'fuel' for a significant number of Google's AI advances (e.g, DM just pre-trained on it to set a new ImageNet SOTA.) Yet...
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Many technologists (including myself) are genuinely nervous about the pace of progress. It's absolutely thrilling, but the fact it's progressing at like 1000X the rate of gov capacity building is genuine nightmare fuel.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Google's 'Talk to Books' AI experiment is... uncanny. Talk to a library like a person and have the library reply like a person. A good example of how AI can reframe interactions between us and data to make data more of an active protagonist. Spooky!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Let's battle the hype of AI by coming up with boring alternate terms! I'll start. Deep Learning ===> Stacked Function Approximators
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Microsoft trains a 530billion parameter GPT3-style language model. This is the largest LM in existence. (There's also the mysterious multi-modal 1.5trillion+ 'Wu Dao' MOE model but little known about it). Microsoft trains on 'The Pile' dataset.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Here's a system that beats Stratego, a game with complexity far, far higher than Go.
@_akhaliq
AK
2 years
Mastering the Game of Stratego with Model-Free Multiagent Reinforcement Learning abs: introduce DeepNash, an autonomous agent capable of learning to play the imperfect information game Stratego from scratch, up to a human expert level
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Modern AI development highlights the tragedy of letting the private sector lead AI invention - the future is here but it's mostly inaccessible due to corporations afraid of PR&Policy risks. (This thought sparked by Google not releasing its music models, but trend is general).
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
The vast majority of AI policy people I speak to seem to not be that interested in understanding the guts of the technology they're doing policy about
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Most people working on AI massively discount how big of a deal human culture is for the tech development story. They are aware the world is full of growing economic inequality, yet are very surprised when people don't welcome new inequality-increasing capabilities with joy.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
GPT-4 should be analyzed as a political artifact just as much as a technological artifact. AI systems are likely going to have societal influences far greater than those of earlier tech 'platforms' (social media, smartphones, etc).
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
A surprisingly large fraction of AI policy work at large technology companies is about doing 'follow the birdie' with government - getting them to look in one direction, and away from another area of tech progress
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Anyway, how I'm trying to be in 2023 is 'mask off' about what I think about all this stuff, because I think we have a very tiny sliver of time to do various things to set us all up for more success, and I think information asymmetries have a great record of messing things up.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Computational cathedrals: - Google's core codebase: ~2 billion lines of code ~9 million unique source files.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
4 months
I'd sum up 2023 for me with these two pictures: In one, I'm speaking to the UN Security Council about AI and its immense impact on the world. In the other, I'm passed out with my baby. The second photo was taken about 30 minutes after the first one.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
5 years
Thrilled to announce I've become a Research Fellow @ the Center for Security and Emerging Technology in Washington, DC: I'll be hanging my hat there sometimes when I'm in DC, and will be figuring out creative ways to publicly bridge SV&DC re AI policy
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Creative Writing major here who pivoted to AI. DIY education for the win. Anyone can learn anything, given time&patience, I believe.
@hardmaru
hardmaru
7 years
Don't let 4 years of your youth define what you can do for the rest of your life. Your undergraduate studies shouldn't limit who you become.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
US AI researchers: Big models have loads of problems and it's mostly not appropriate for academia to develop them. Chinese AI researchers: Here's a 200 page roadmap for why big models are really important and why we should develop them
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Today I'm testifying in Congress about AI and public policy. I'm going to discuss the importance of developing shared ethical norms, the need to support AI development & education, and why we need government-led measurement and forecasting of AI.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
One of the amazing and also frightening things about AI is how it magnifies and repeats the 'culture' that it is trained on, where culture is a bunch of implicitly ideological choices on the part of the people that create the underlying datasets.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Both of these results were published TODAY. These results happen at a delay, so this is probably old information on order of 3-9 months. There are easily 5 labs and probably 10 with enough compute to play at this level. Imagine what we don't know right now?
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
GPT-2 was announced four years ago today.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Here's MINERVA which smashes prior math benchmarks by double digit percentage point improvements
@GoogleAI
Google AI
2 years
Language models have shown strong performance on a variety of #NLU tasks but are weaker at solving tasks that involve quantitative reasoning. Learn how #Minerva uses step-by-step reasoning to achieve a new state of the art on quantitative reasoning tasks→
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
I'm not sure that having a liberal arts degree has done fantastic things for my career, but it does bring me joy every day when I read AI research papers and think 'Baudrillard would love this!' or 'this is a Borges story!' or 'these LM outputs read like Amy Hempel'.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
11 months
Will write something longer, but if best ideas for AI policy involve depriving people of the 'means of production' of AI (e.g H100s), then you don't have a hugely viable policy. (I 100% am not criticizing @Simeon_Cps here; his tweet highlights how difficult the situation is).
@Simeon_Cps
Siméon
11 months
Wow guys, Falcon-40B (SOTA open-source, probably already dangerous from a misuse perspective) has been trained with ~400 A100s over 2 months😮. It means that if we want to avoid that a random org trains in less than 1y a SOTA open source system and releases it or leak it bc…
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
I'll one day write about the experience of trying to explain LLMs before anyone gave a fuck and how strange and alienating it was, but not today! Just remember - 4 years between gpt2 and where we are right now. Prepare for the next four.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Working in AI right now feels like how I imagine it was to be a housing-debt nerd in the run-up to the global financial crisis. You can sense that weird stuff is happening in the large, complicated underbelly of the tech ecosystem.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
Pubs with dedicated AI reporters: - NYT - Wired - Quartz - The Register - The Verge - Recode - MIT Tech Review Good! But should be more.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Christmas can be an incredibly hard time of year for some people, so if anyone is out there who wants to talk (it doesn't even have to be about AI!) I'm available - just drop me a line in email in bio or DM. Happy Holidays to all, there will be a (festive) newsletter tomorrow.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Nice analysis of AlphaCode from Scott Aaronson. Yes, AIs make all kinds of mistakes and have various deficits, but. the field has massively advanced in recent years.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
Universities need access to computational infrastructure at equivalent scale as private sector, or I worry about long-term democratic governance of technology. I gave a short talk @ Stanford today about why I think a National Research Cloud would help.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
11 months
@LondonBreed @OpenAI Hiya, I worked at OpenAI for many years and I've got to say that some of my colleagues didn't feel safe walking home at night because of how dangerous chunks of the mission were. I think SF got extremely lucky with OpenAI but you really need to get a handle on crime and housing.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
AI systems are solving math olympiad problems, becoming competitive with humans in programming competitions, speeding up science via improved protein structure predictions, writing poems and fiction that people enjoy, and revolutionizing our ability to monitor a changing climate
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Many of the immediate problems of AI (e.g, bias) are so widely talked about because they're at least somewhat tractable (you can make measures, you can assess, you can audit). Many of the longterm problems aren't discussed because no one has a clue what to do about them.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
3 years
I've been keeping some form of journal for 15/20 years or so - some years have been incredibly sparse and some years have involved writing stuff every day. Through this, I've discovered a meaningful link between journaling and mental health. Here's a thread of what I've learned:
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
Making a new presentation on AI progress - synthetic image advances have been totally mindblowing.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Playing around with the latest ChatGPT replication (OpenChatApp) and it's a) quite good, and b) neatly illustrates how crazy-powerful instruction-tuned models are compared to stock LLMs. Compare OpenChatGPT (20B params) on left to OPT (GPT3-replication, 175B params) on right.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
China has a much more well-developed AI policy approach than that in Europe and the United States. China is actually surprisingly good at regulating things around, say, synthetic media.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
8 months
One thing I regularly obsess about is how 'today's AI systems are more powerful than they appear' - here's a nice example for Claude via @AnthropicAI of how by prompting your system more intelligently you can eke out significant performance boosts
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@AnthropicAI
Anthropic
8 months
We’ve published a quantitative case study on prompt engineering for one of our most popular features, Claude’s industry-leading 100K token context window.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
7 years
What is the best paper on AI you've read that is more than ten years old? (And doesn't directly involve Bengio/Lecun/Schmidhuber/Hinton.)
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
If AI is a new industrial revolution shouldn't we be... incredibly concerned? The industrial revolution was a time of great chaos and misery for millions of people, and it occurred during a period with less extreme weather and a less connected world.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
8 years
Google research paper shows how to combine deep learning with differential privacy
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
Me: OK brain time to read these AI research papers! Brain: CLIMATE CHANGE MEANS YOUR CHILDREN WILL LIVE TO SEE HELL. Me: OK brain that's enough of that let's think about neural architecture search! Brain: THE DESTINY OF HUMAN IS DEATH BY ITS OWN TOOLS.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
I'm hiring someone to work with me at @OpenAI on scientific communications. This will involve reading a lot of papers and helping to write and edit the OpenAI blog as well as creating educational materials for policymakers / VIPs and (soon) general public. Is this you?
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
6 years
A lot of the criticisms people use to talk about AI (influence on inequality, monopoly-burnishing capabilities, bias towards underrepresented people, mostly opaque to the public, etc) are also equally valid criticisms of neoliberalism. AI augments the system it is deployed in.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
8 years
*local grocery store in Oakland* Me: I was at a Google festival Store dude: Oh yeah? Man I hear they're glueing people to cars now!
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 years
People wildly underestimate how much influence individuals can have in policy. I've had a decent amount of impact by just turning up and working on the same core issues (measurement and monitoring) for multiple years. This is fun, but also scares the shit out of me.
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
1 year
Pretty eery: AI models learn to reflect user views back at them (since I figure getting low loss rewards monitoring the _context_ of whatever emitted the input tokens). Pretty weird to see it in the wild. LLMs seek to reflect the views of people that talk to them.
@andy_l_jones
andy jones
1 year
pulling out my favorite chart here: large models are really, really keen to tell you what you want to hear if you thought the last decade's echo chambers were bad, hooo boy
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@jackclarkSF
Jack Clark
2 months
Thrilled about these new models - I've been playing around with Claude 3 Opus a lot and it's very capable and useful. Like with most frontier models, it has chewed through a bunch of evals so we need to now build more complicated evals to better understand its capabilities.
@AnthropicAI
Anthropic
2 months
Today, we're announcing Claude 3, our next generation of AI models. The three state-of-the-art models—Claude 3 Opus, Claude 3 Sonnet, and Claude 3 Haiku—set new industry benchmarks across reasoning, math, coding, multilingual understanding, and vision.
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