From Hopium today:
- Biden governs and leads
- WSJ calls US economy “envy of the world”
- Crime/murder rates in US plummeting
- Political warning signs are blinking for Rs now
- “Bad candidate” problems for Rs in AZ, NC
More 👇
Grandfather, been in the US for 50 years, since he was 13. He’s a legal resident. Went to high school here. Taken away by ICE on a Sunday morning. Stop telling us it is about MS-13.
Holy moly folks. Lets make sure this crashes the Internet tonight. This is what the election is all about.
Thank you
@BarackObama
for your patriotism, courage, brilliance. You lift us all up. At a critical moment.
Not sure people understand that we are looking at the biggest and most profound scandal in American history which involves many of the leaders of one of our two political parties and hundreds of its elected officials.
Scale and scope of this is enormous.
#BREAKING
: FBI agents have served a search warrant on Nevada’s top GOP official as part of the investigation into the fake elector scheme, sources tell the
@8NewsNow
I-Team’s
@gknapp
.
Let's take a step back, and review what's happened in recent months:
- Trump steals nation's secrets, lies about it to FBI. Historic security breach.
- Trump's CFO pleads guilty to 15 felonies.
- Trump takes the fifth 440 times in an investigation into his crooked finances.
On July 16, 2018 Trump reiterated he took Putin’s word while betraying the United States. Tonight we learned in 2017 not only did Trump acknowledge Russia meddled in the 2016 election. He told the Russians in the Oval Office he wasn’t concerned.
GOP election pitch:
- yes we tried to overthrow US Gov’t, but we *failed*
- our last 3 POTUS brought recessions and higher deficits
- we want the planet to warm faster, more kids to die in schools, tens of millions to lose health insurance
- Slavery was good, child labor too 1/
Think it needs to be mentioned a bit more often that the 3 people who've worked most closely w/Rudy on this Biden stuff - Bannon, Fruman and Parnas - have all been arrested and are on their way to jail.
The other collaborator is a Russian spy.
OK, let’s discuss.
The most significant thing that’s happened in America in the last decade is Putin’s successful penetration of Trump and the Republican Party.
Reminder that Republicans, at this moment, are holding up the appointment of 300 senior Pentagon officials and the next Ambassador to Israel.
We also lack a Republican Speaker of the House to pass additional support for Israel.
All of these things might be useful right now.
Since 2019 with the illegal shakedown of Zelensky, Trump and his GOP have tried to make Hunter Biden's business dealings the central story of our time.
Meanwhile Trump, his family and Elon have all taken billions from the Saudi government. And it's all somehow OK.
Just want to stress how potentially huge the Ukraine scandal is. Pence, Pompeo, Barr, Mulvaney, Maguire all directly involved. Could be dozens of staff in WH, State. Went on for months, was in essence a big conspiracy of entire leadership of Trump Administration.
AG Barr: Democrats are now the "Rousseauian Revolutionary Party that believes in tearing down the system"
"They're not interested in compromise. They're not interested in [a] dialectic exchange of views. They're interested in total victory...It's a substitute for religion."
We are reminded tonight that the conspiracy to overturn to the 2020 election was a Republican party wide conspiracy involving hundreds of Republicans officials across the US, including the Chair of the RNC.
Serious stuff.
Trump is now broke. His party is broke. He has stolen America’s secrets and shared them with others - already. He’s sided w/Russia.
The country is now looking at a grave national security risk as Trump will look abroad for financial and political help.
From Justice Engoron's scathing civil fraud ruling:
"Their complete lack of contrition and remorse borders on the pathological. [...] Donald Trump is not Bernie Madoff. Yet, defendants are incapable of admitting the error of their ways."
Story soon,
@just_security
Turns out having the most experienced person to ever enter the Oval Office has been a blessing for America in a tumultuous time.
House rule for Ukraine funding passes 316-94!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Turkey’s conflict in Syria took a major turn today. First alleged atrocities by Turkish-backed Arab militias, executing Kurds. US military officials tell me it's true, and they are DEEPLY concerned it opens the door to BOTH ethnic cleansing of Kurds and return of ISIS/Al-Qaeda
Blows my mind that neither Trump or Pence got asked in the 3 debates about why so many of Trump's top aides have ended up arrested or in jail. It's everyone who's been close to Trump - how can this not be something worthy of discussion?
Rs want the economy to crash, the border to be in chaos, Russia to win, the planet to warm faster, more dead kids in school, more women to die and our democracy to end.
"Democrats are you listening? You're running against a party whose two platforms this year are: let the economy crash and keep the border open."
—
@JoeNBC
breaks down Trump's policies
This is total BS Ed. Last two Democratic Presidents decreased annual deficits by $100s of billion, Clinton got it to surplus. Last 3 Rs incl Trump saw annual deficit increase on their watch. No comparison. Dems party of fiscal responsibility, Rs fiscal recklessness.
Trump won this NH district in 2016 and 2020 and tonight we won it by 12 points!
Dems strong overperformance in races across US since Dobbs continues. It’s time this becomes a bigger political story.
HUGE flip in the New Hampshire House tonight: Democrat Hal Rafter wins in a landslide! GOP margin now 198-197. If Dems win another special in a safely blue seat on Nov. 7, they'll tie the chamber. Much more ➔
The new, large sample Economist/YouGov poll has Biden up 5 points over Trump 45-40.
The new, large sample CNN poll of NH has Biden up over Trump by 12 points, 52-40.
In dozens of specials across US this year Dems are outperforming 2020 by 8 pts.
Have a nice day.
Don’t let him distract you. *This is what he doesn’t want you to watch. His deportation force violently stealing away a man who has lived in this country for 25 years & then strangling the woman who had the courage to film it.
It's time for all of us to have THE conversation about Fox.
There is a Republican political organization PRETENDING to be a news organization operating here in Washington and key states across the country.
The country, Dems, cannot look away any more. Things have to change.
Cannot overstate what a crisis this is for the Roberts Court. Thomas helped raise money for one of the largest political organizations in the country, and then defended the right of this organization to keep its activities hidden.
Clarence Thomas wrote this concurring opinion in AFPF v. Bonta.
He wrote that asking this Koch dark money group to disclose its donors violates those donors’ 1A rights.
Now we have learned that he was secretly (“anonymously”) HELPING the Kochs SOLICIT MONEY from these donors.
So just looked at the October polls on
@FiveThirtyEight
in GA, NV, PA. Of the 37 polls I found there, 19, more than half, are Republican polls.
GOP appears to be flooding the zone and polluting the averages more aggressively than usual.
Why I'm focused on the early vote.
Wow. An independent judge reviewing the Flynn case has written that Barr's intervention was a "corrupt and politically motivated favor unworthy of our justice system."
Confirms the big play here - Barr’s crusade to undermine the Russian investigation is a way to exonerate Flynn, Manafort, Stone and other allies (Putin) who have been part of Trump’s ongoing years long crime spree.
“General Michael Flynn’s attorney is demanding that charges be immediately dropped after they found that FBI Agents manipulated records against him. They say that James Clapper told a reporter to “take a kill shot at Flynn. This has been a complete setup of Michael Flynn....
Inflation! Recession! Balloon! Fentanyl! The Border! Hunter's laptop! China! CRT! Antifa! Debt!
Our national discourse has become a never ending stream of red wavy right wing bullshit.
Media has to get better at not taking the bait, recognizing the bad faith behind it all.
It needs to be understood that Trump is being accused of having committed new crimes, a massive new fraud, by his FAN BOY BUSINESS PARTNERS.
THIS IS A HUGE STORY.
Trump's blocking of US military aid to Israel and Ukraine has made the Iranian attack on Israel more likely. He has made the West, the US and Israel less safe. He is a danger to us all, an ally of Russia and Iran.
REPORTER: Why won't you let Fauci testify before the House?
TRUMP: "Because the House is a set up. The House is a bunch of Trump haters ... they, frankly, want our situation to be unsuccessful, which means death."
Becoming a very big night for Democrats.
Since Dobbs we've been winning elections again and again all across the county, and we did so again tonight.
Congratulations everyone! We head into 2024 with the wind at our back!
Kraft at a Treasury dinner, strippers at his Doral club, a Chinese prostitution ring at Mar-A-Lago, a new credible rape account, and a new NYTimes story which details a private event with just Epstein and Trump and dozens of young women flown in. Who needs a peepee tape?
Appears big thing Rs fought for to the end was cutting funding for Ukraine. That's it. A very dramatic gesture to help Putin.
It's long past time to acknowledge there is a pro-Russian, anti-Western, anti-US fifth column in American politics. Time now.
We have to stop being naive about what is happening right now in Washington. There is an a Russian-aligned American Fifth Column working to undermine the United States and our war effort in Ukraine.
The most important least understood story in US politics today is in this age of globalization, the economy has prospered under Dems, and suffered under Rs. Repeatedly.
Of the 49m jobs created since 1989, 47m have come under Dem Presidents. 96%.
Trump's blocking of US military aid to Israel and Ukraine has made the Iranian attack on Israel more likely. He has made the West, the US and Israel less safe. He is a danger to us all, an ally of Russia and Iran.
Republicans playing with fire here.
What is their narrative? More dead kids? More 10 year olds raising babies? Crashing the global economy? Warm the planet faster? Making it harder for people to vote, have health insurance?
What are Rs offering us?
OK, let’s discuss.
The most significant thing that’s happened in America in the last decade is Putin’s successful penetration of Trump and the Republican Party.
Listen to
@JoeNBC
preach about
#MoscowMitch
’s repeatedly doing Russia’s business not America’s. GOP’s betrayal of our nation has been profound; time for it to end.
"He is aiding & abetting Putin’s ongoing attempts to subvert U.S. democracy, according to the Republican FBI, CIA, DNI…All Republicans are saying Russia is trying to subvert U.S. democracy & Moscow Mitch won’t even let the Senate take a vote on it. That is un-American.--
@JoeNBC
Some new Hispanic data:
2020 Biden/Trump, 2022 Polling
AZ 61-37 (+24) Kelly-Brnovich 67-21 (+46)
NV 61-35 (+26) Cortez Masto-Laxalt 63-25 (+38)
PA 68-27 (+41) Fetterman-Oz 64-18 (+46)
TX 58-41 (+17) Beto-Abbott 54-38 (+18)
All movement is towards Dems, not GOP. 1/
It's been a tornado of malevolence and venality unlike anything we've seen in American history.
It's why this election matters so much. Voters must reject what the GOP has become or it will get worse.
Things are moving our way but we cannot let up.
Been a big elections week, and have updated my core election analysis:
- Ds overperformance in MN, NE, NY, KS confirm Ds have mo', closing strong
- Rs OTOH are closing ugly: bad poll numbers, money problems, infighting, epic extremism/criminality 1/
Every Western democracy and everyone here on Twitter needs to see this tweet, and consider what it means, who Elon has become.
This is no own-the-libs shit. It's a direct call for the ending of American democracy by force, a violent coup against a sitting American President.
I didn't believe this was real but I went to look and it is.
Sulla the Dictator is remembered two thousand years later as a terrifying butcher - the first man to seize power in Rome by force. Thousands died in his bloody purges - on a whim, or so he could take their property.
Pence told us 5m tests would be in place by Mar 13th.
We only hit a million tests total yesterday. What happened to the rest of the tests? Are they all in Florida? Some states like NY, WA have generated their own tests....
Where are all the tests?
2/After ramp up, daily testing in US has stalled (h/t
@COVID19Tracking
)
Mar 22 - 45k
Mar 23 - 66k
Mar 24 - 65k
Mar 25 - 113k
Mar 26 - 107k
Mar 27 - 108k
Mar 28 - 114k
Mar 29 - 95k
Mar 30 - 113k (1m total)
Did Pence lie about 5m tests?
WTF is going on?
There are a lot of reasons not to vote Republican next year but the relaxation of child labors laws, making it easier those under 18 to work in dangerous jobs and work overnight shifts while going to high school, should be high up on everyone’s list. It’s barbaric.
Republicans finally admitting that a chunk of their party is openly working as a Russian fifth column here in the US.
This should be a much bigger story.
.
@RepMikeTurner
tells me it's "absolutely true" that Russian propaganda has "infected" a portion of the GOP base, calling out "anti-Ukraine and pro-Russia messages, some of which we even hear being uttered on the House floor."
A "GOP flooding the zone w/shit polls" update.
In GA last 5 "A" rated independent polls have Warnock up an average of 3.2 pts, and he leads in every poll.
In October Rs have dropped 15 different polls by *10* different pollsters. The last 5 of these have Walker up 4.4 pts. 1/
One of our most important 2024 lines is going to be something along the lines of:
"I need to point out that the crime rates for immigrants and undocumented immigrants are far lower than that of native-born Americans and the Republican nominee for President."
Until Republicans staff our military, allow an Ambassador to Israel to be appointed and elect a Speaker no one should listen to a single thing they say about the attack on Israel.
Reminder that Republicans, at this moment, are holding up the appointment of 300 senior Pentagon officials and the next Ambassador to Israel.
We also lack a Republican Speaker of the House to pass additional support for Israel.
All of these things might be useful right now.
- Jan 6th investigations establish Trump led a massive illegal conspiracy, involving hundreds of GOP officials incl Sens Graham and Johnson, which sought to overturn an American election and unleashed a violent attack on Congress as part of its strategy.
If you are unhappy with Iran today, first thing you should do is come out for funding Ukraine fully. Nothing will embolden Iran more than a Russian victory in Europe.
Just as Democrats never should have waited for Mueller, we should not wait on Jack Smith - we need to make the case against Trump's historical awfulness now, with everything we have. He's unfit, and we need to say it. More unfit than anyone who has ever run before.
Democrats on TV can say: "I don't think US is going to elect someone who is a sex offender; lead an insurrection vs US; committed massive financial fraud; stole America's secrets, lied to the FBI; took more money fr foreign govts than anyone else ever." Name and shame now folks.
We need to stop talking about Elon. Truly.
Watch, learn, understand yes - but our time together should be far more about promoting our good works than jumping up and down about their depravity.
It's what he wants. Don't give it to him.
- The Trump family took $2b from the Saudi government, and launched a new business venture with them here in the US.
- The Supreme Court goes on an extremist field day, ending Roe, legalizing coercive prayer, weakening common sense guns laws.
As we end this crazy week I am struck that somehow the claim that Biden's memory is faulty has gotten more attention than a jury confirming that Trump raped E. Jean Carroll in a department store dressing room.
Ah yes, who among us hasn't gotten a $285 million "loan" in the final days of an election from a bank known the world over for laundering dirty Russian money? And then tried to set up a secret way of communicating outside reach of US intelligence w/Russian govt days later?
Federal prosecutors in New York are examining a $285 million loan that Deutsche Bank made one month before election day last year to the real-estate company run by Jared Kushner
The President is STEALING SEVEN BILLION DOLLARS from the Treasury to buy votes for his re-election.
This is perhaps the single most corrupt act in American history; its more money than both parties will likely spend in all campaigns, combined. Scale of it is incredible.
The Trump Administration is pledging to borrow almost $7b in potential future savings from a program that does not yet exist to send $200 prescription drug discount cards to some Medicare beneficiaries "in the coming weeks."
Since 1989 and a new age of globalization began, 51 million jobs have been created in America.
49 million, 96%, have been created under Democratic Presidents.
Essentially all of them. Over 35 years.
States in 2022 where Dems overperfomed 2020 in a "red wave" year - AZ, CO, GA, MI, NH, PA.
It remains incredible, amazing, deeply problematic for Rs in 2024.
Dear Democrats across the US - we should be drowning the Internet and social media with the news that the Dow hit an all time high. Show time peeps. Get to work, please and thank you!
Election Day morning!
Latest early vote data fr TargetEarly:
- Turnout is 42m, up 8% over 18
- Ds up 50-39 (+11), 4.7m natl vote lead
- In 18 at this point 47-45 (+2), in 20 48-41 (+7)
- D state "firewalls" grew across US this weekend
- Electorate keeps getting younger 1/
It's critical that someday, soon, the story of Russia's deep penetration of the Republican Party be written.
We need to understand how a hostile foreign power got so deep into one of our parties, and ensure it never happens again.
Read this thread from
@SteveSchmidtSES
. 2008.
I had no interest whatsoever in running a Presidential Campaign in 2008. One of my closest friends was running John McCain’s campaign and John Weaver was the chief strategist. There were two factions in the campaign. There was a pro-democracy faction and there was
- Election deniers have won GOP primaries across the country. Some of them will get elected this fall.
- Liz Cheney lost her primary to an absolute fucking lunatic.
- Trump has encouraged violence against the FBI/DOJ and attacks have taken place.
- States pass medieval abortion restrictions, creating a public health crisis in the United States.
- A leading Republican organization brings Putin's closest ally in Europe, Hungary's Orban, to US while we are fighting Putin in Ukraine.
- More mass shootings.
Happy Monday all!
Been a good few days, Ds closing strong:
- Ds big early vote lead keeps growing
- Ralston calls NV for Cortez Masto
- Last 6 non-partisan natl tracks have Ds up 1.5 pts
- Ds favored to keep Senate in non-partisan polls
- red wave may come, not here yet 1/
AZ-1, AZ-6, CA-13, and CA-22 are all trending decent to good for Dems so CA-41 is the big question mark - w/out need a big surprise from a CA seat or CO-3 recount
217 feels doable, 218 would require a lucky break
On MSNBC former Senator McCaskill reminds us that the Trump Justice Department looked at the facts of this Stormy Daniels case and decided to bring charges against Michael Cohen.
The original iteration of this case was brought by Trump's own team. And they got a conviction.
Need to break the Internet with this one peeps. It’s powerful, inspiring - the words and images of a strong party, a compelling leader and a winning campaign.
It will be very hard to write an accurate history of early 21st century America without a long discussion of how the tossing of the 2000 election to Bush by an unelected SCOTUS taught the GOP they could gain power through illiberal, illicit means.
BREAKING: Copies of text messages obtained by CBS News and The Washington Post reveal Ginni Thomas, Justice Clarence Thomas' wife, exchanged texts with former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows about efforts to overturn the 2020 election.
Another special election, another Dem win, another GOP struggle.
Congrats to
@KeenForFL
for flipping this state house seat in the middle of DeSantis’ Florida!
A huge THANK YOU to all our supporters, volunteers, and voters who believed in our vision for a better, brighter District 35. Your dedication, hard work, and votes have brought us to this incredible moment.
#WeWon
#ElectionVictory
#TomKeenForFL
#District35
#ThankYou
Stop calling Trump a strong candidate. He
- isn't leading or favored in national polling 👇
- was outraised by Nikki Haley last month
- is burning through $$$$
- underperformed NH polls by 10-15 pts
- is losing all his court cases, badly
- his party is broke, struggling
- NY-3!
Today, Twitter has intervened in the Turkish election, shutting down opposition accounts the day before election.
If it is done once, it can now be done again, anywhere, at any time, including against the Democrats here in the US next year.
Twitter restricting access to accounts the day before an election in NATO member Turkey.
Western/NATO governments should be demanding full, immediate transparency for what could an intervention on behalf of a Putin friendly Erdogan.
Democrats in NJ flipped a +35 Trump district tonight.
Getting reports of Dems outperforming expectations in local races across US. Anxious to learn more tomorrow.
Hello GOP talking points:
- illegal border crossings down 70%
- murder rates down 12%
- economy is strong/recession not imminent
- inflation/deficit down
- Putin struggling in Ukraine
- Trump family took $2b fr Saudi gvt
- Your dude betrayed the country 1/
RFK is there to defeat Biden, help Trump win. From the campaign itself.
Whole thing is an epic fraud. Kennedy is spouting Russian propaganda, is now openly betraying the country. It’s a big, disgusting, rancid Russian-MAGA op.
#Spoiler4Trump
Rita Palma, NYS director for RFK Jr’s campaign, gives away the playbook for the campaign’s mission — it’s shady AF‼️
@ritamollerpalma
openly admits the plan is take electoral votes from Biden in blue states, in order to force a contingent election so that the…
The first stop Trump is making tomorrow, after his Iowa win, is a trial where the court has ALREADY determined he has committed sexual assault.
The Republican frontrunner is a sex offender. Full stop. How can a man like that lead anything? That is the story tomorrow.
Far more work needs to go into understanding where the threshold is here, as Trump has already been found by courts to have:
- sexually assaulted a woman in a department store dressing room
- lead an insurrection against the US
- committed massive, decades long financial fraud
Just so everyone's clear: This would mean that Russia successfully used Grassley, Comer, Fox News and others to damage the President of the United States and make fake info about him an article of faith on the right.
Imagine if there was a permanent, well funded national campaign to register young people, supported by famous stars and media organizations?
It would transform American politics.
My last pre-election thread! Feel good, am optimistic.
- Dems have built early vote "firewalls" across US
- Last wave of natl tracks very positive for Ds
- Red wave may be coming but not here yet
- Been an honor to fight alongside all of you! 1/
So, here's my main Sunday update.
- Dems are kicking ass in the early vote
- Non-partisan media polls show close, competitive race
- Red wave may come, but its not here yet
Despite it all, we've got a shot.
Let's make history in the next few days! 1/
Inconvenient truth, fiscal responsibility edition:
Biden is now the 3rd consecutive Dem President to have seen the annual deficit drop significantly on their watch.
It rose significantly under the last 3 GOP Presidents.
There’s no reason for any media org to report Trump’s fundraising totals from last night without an itemization of every contribution. He’s already perpetuated massive financial fraud schemes and has been lying about the 2020 election for years.
Amazing stat.
Dems have outperformed Rs in statewide elections in both AZ and WI in the last 2 elections. Here's the Congressional delegation in the next Congress for each:
AZ: 3 Ds, 6 Rs
WI: 2 Ds, 6 Rs
That's the House R majority.