According to
@KLalh
,
#Canada
needs "a new, democratic approach to managing the growing number & increasing intensity of public protests."
"A growing concern is the ability of Canadian law enforcement to manage these protests effectively."
Once you begin to look for it, you’ll find Russian literature is full of imperialist discourse, romanticized conquest and cruelty, and silence about the consequences, Volodymyr Yermolenko writes.
Preliminary investigations conducted by the Chinese authorities have found no clear evidence of human-to-human transmission of the novel
#coronavirus
(2019-nCoV) identified in
#Wuhan
,
#China
🇨🇳.
Deleted a previous tweet that suggested that
@CPC_HQ
caucus revolted over conversion therapy.
Seems clear now that that was a smear. The real problem is
@erinotoole
’s complete and total lack of leadership after this weekend’s events.
Bring on the review.
#cdnpoli
boomers really be like:
i worked really hard to purchase my house for 150k. getting that 15k downpayment was backbreaking. i am the wolf of wall street since that house is now worth $1.5MM. any attempt to tax that massive gain in personal wealth is literally communism
In no uncertain terms, I am endorsing
@PierrePoilievre
for the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.
Housing, affordability, fairness, and fiscal responsibility are the priorities of my generation, and he's the only candidate that can deliver.
#cpcldr
#cdnpoli
I'm going to go against the grain here and say a Liberal majority is more likely than not. (Yes I am acutely aware of what the polls and projections are saying).
There are a few environmental factors that are in play here that are worth flagging: (thread)
#cdnpoli
Thread:
CPC gains in the provinces of ON and BC didn’t translate into seats into the GTA and GVR.
To investigate this, I sliced the electoral map against some demographic values. Two values jumped out at me: visible minorities (generally) and ethnic Chinese.
#elxn44
#cdnpoli
We have decided to take the necessary step of suspending all Government of Canada advertising to Facebook.
We cannot continue paying advertising dollars to Meta while they refuse to pay their fair share to Canadian news organizations.
@liberal_party
Thank you for reminding all young Canadians that because of your policies, they are further subsidizing boomers when they cannot afford to buy homes. 🫡🫡
Ah yes, in an affordability crisis where young people can't afford to buy homes, let's remind everyone of when you transferred additional wealth from working folks to seniors.
Bold strategy!
When Pierre Poilievre and Stephen Harper wanted to raise the retirement age from 65 to 67 – our Liberal team said no. We reversed that reckless policy, and we boosted OAS and GIS payments.
When Conservatives try to make cuts, Liberals will always have your back.
Not feeling great? Your appointment can wait. If you or your child are coming to one of our clinics but are feeling sick, please call & rebook your appointment for when you are well. Thanks for helping keep our patients and staff safe & healthy.
As a former staffer for the CPC, let me say that re the NDP/LPC deal to keep the LPC in power until 2025, everyone is pretending to be mad, but they're really popping bottles right now.
#cdnpoli
MPs have a base salary of $194,600 a year.
Are you absolutely awful with money or has the government you support completely failed on the housing file?
Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party is making fun of the fact that for many millennials the path towards homeownership hasn’t been easy,
I’m in a privileged position but my story is actually one that so many Canadians, and immigrant families have experienced.
One of the hardest parts of photoshop is getting the shadows right…they are all in the same room…or are they…this many shadows from different angles is odd…especially when sunlight outside is back lighting the range of exposures and angles…Sgt Pepper Lonely Candidates Band
9. In the case of this election, it probably cost the party a dozen seats.
Our overwhelmingly white journalists don’t do a good job covering the shadow campaigns that occur in ethnic media. All sorts of misinformation is peddled in Punjabi, on WeChat, WhatsApp, FB, and Signal.
The POC in this country are showing what accepting an apology means & to judge someone for their current acts not long-past mistakes. A lesson in forgiveness & rational thinking that some loud white people would do good to learn from. Thank you POC for choosing Canada.
big 3d chess play for mark gerretsen who was preoccupied taking cellphone videos of pierre and accordingly was the only one who didn't applaud for the nazi
The goal for O'Toole here is to deny a majority, and that remains an uphill battle. If he can do that, then he'll have a good shot on more favourable terms in ~2023, but this talk that the CPC have a shot is nonsense. The LPC isn't naive--they know exactly what they're doing. Fin
Notley's path to a balanced budget means 30% higher revenues in 6 years without new taxes. The UCP's plan was reviewed by independent economists. You tell me which is more credible.
People making this personal are hilarious. I’m a lawyer. My parents are affluent.
My argument isn’t personal. I’m simply saying one shouldn’t need to be like me (a professional with rich parents) in order to buy a house and start a family.
Thank you for attending my TED talk.
3. Everything the Liberals are doing is with the framing that they deserve a reward for their pandemic response, and the provinces dropped the ball (helps that 8/10 are now conservative-ish). Meanwhile, CPC and NDP are trying to convince it's not about the pandemic.
Under Mayor Tory, Toronto had implemented some of the strictest COVID measures across the entire country. Little did we know that Tory is also a huge proponent of Pfizer's other flagship product.
2. The attacks force the CPC to be on the defensive, they have to respond to the attacks instead of establishing a narrative early (important!)
Why important? Few paying attention now, while in the background COVID cases are clearly on the rise.
1. The Liberal war room knows that their attacks are weaksauce and are probably annoyed that Twitter is mocking them. However, the headlines I'm seeing seem to indicate that the Liberal framing is still making its way into the press: (headlines about abortion, LGBTQ rights, etc)
7. The polling numbers are bullish for the Liberals not necessarily in terms of the toplines, but two trends are worth noting:
Libs have a fairly comfortable lead among older voters, that ordinarily are more CPC-oriented. (Over 10% in some polls).
BQ support is trending down.
5. When we come back from Labour Day weekend and have debates, folks will start to pay attention again, and the media will put COVID as the backdrop again to every story. September to October is also the time for booster shots, so vaxx procurement will also be back in the news.
6. In sum, the environmental factors at play here help the Liberals more than they hurt, and I'm seeing little evidence of a counternarrative that's sticking. With a short campaign, the CPC and NDP absolutely need something by the end of next week, and I don't see it yet.
Here's my prediction on how the CPC leadership race and next election will go based on random thoughts that I had + some minutes looking at Twitter. Take it for what it's worth.
#cdnpoli
🧵
1st: beyond COVID, the
#1
issue is personal finances, or abstractly, the economy... 1/24
I told you I would look Galen Weston square in the eyes and demand answers to your questions - thousands of them.
I did exactly that.
This is just the beginning. I promise, I won't stop fighting to lower your grocery bills.
Want to know how a party will react to a current event? Here is a helpful guide:
#cdnpoli
BQ:
Love Quebec
Hate Canada
NDP:
Hate themselves
Hate winning
CPC:
Love themselves
Hate winning
LPC:
Love themselves
Love winning
GPC:
Exist
Hate existence
PPC:
Hate (generally)
10. As well, pollsters do a disservice to our public debate by failing to poll on visible minority populations and in ethnic languages.
As far as I know, only
@quito_maggi
and
@Counselpa
released polling results on visible minorities. Imo this is a disservice.
I am shocked that the same band of clowns that brought Jaspal Atwal on a diplomatic mission and gave Laith Marouf hundreds of thousands of taxpayer dollars, gave a standing ovation in Parliament to a member of the Waffen-SS.
Just a great week for Canadian foreign affairs.
8. Both of those trends are helpful in Quebec where there are the most opportunities to gain seats. Note that the Liberals are just 13 seats shy of a majority.
Even though Ontario is showing some tightening, this will be blown back open once COVID cases start to tick up more.
@jenniferelle_
Also just using some common sense here. Most liberal MPs are in the GTA and around Montreal. Most conservative MPs are out west and rural. Which do you think would have higher travel expenses getting to Ottawa?
9. The main reason why the Liberals were denied a majority in 2019 was because of a relatively unforeseen BQ surge. The party was moribund in 2018-19 until resurrected by YFB in the TVA debate. Will that happen again? Who's to say, but the BQ bleed is helpful for the Libs.
Today was my last day with
@UCPCaucus
as I am leaving to complete my articles.
Thank you to the tremendous team there of whom there are too many to name and thank. It was a pleasure working with you all for the past several months. :)
MPs resigning from caucus due to disagreement with the leader aren't being "principled." A principled MP would resign and give up his/her pension and allow their constituents to elect a new member, especially when an election is 3 years away.
#cdnpoli
#cpcldr
No. Show me how many 24 yr olds own a “normal house” (what is that, exactly?) in New York City. Or San Francisco. Or London. Or any other world class city. My parents didn’t until they were in their 50’s. I didn’t until my 40’s. The difference is we didn’t complain about it.
So some personal political news! I'm happy to say that I will be joining
@CPC_HQ
for the summer with the election readiness team. After exams and doing what I can to help
@jkenney
paint the map blue, proud to do the same for
@AndrewScheer
!
10. The Liberals are winning this election, that much is pretty much certain. To me the question is more: did they call it too early? There are only 4 weeks between now and e-day. Will the 4th wave crest high enough to give the Libs their majority?
4. The CPC made a conscious choice to campaign against China (particularly the Communist Party), and as a result it suffered electoral defeats in ridings get had a larger proportion of Chinese voters.
I enjoy history & the learning process. There are conflicting accounts of how Eastern Europeans viewed 2 monsters, Hitler & Stalin & why some joined Nazi units. There is not 1 answer.
It's complex!
But "You're a Nazi" "I'm not a Nazi" makes learning & dialogue on X impossible
15. Unfortunately we won’t find out because of the lack of demo data being fed to the press by pollsters. Maybe parties know, but the general public certainly doesn’t. Maybe it’s worth having that conversation! Fin.
1/ A day that marks 100 years of the Chinese Immigration Act and calls from the Indigenous community to note that Canada Day historically is for and by white people and Indigenous people weren’t acknowledged as Canadians for years, does warrant a look at how we celebrate.
#yyccc
gov’t will always support quality, fact-based and local Canadian journalism in a fair digital marketplace. This bill makes it harder for big digital platforms like Facebook and Google to steal local journalists’ articles and repost them without credit on one of their networks 3/3
4. This framing will depend on the environmental factors: i.e. where are we with COVID management. Early indications seem to be that the cases are up-ticking at a rate more similar to Oct-Nov 2020 instead of Aug-Sept 2020.
Only in the hallowed halls of the Globe and Mail newsroom will you find a broad agreement for a whole ass new party that will commit to keeping the LPC's woke nonsense coupled with a 1.5% reduction in the corporate tax rate.
#cdnpoli
Complaining about labelling the CBC "Government-funded Media" is low energy.
It's a factually correct label and should be embraced. The CBC should be used to promote Canadian values.
New from me this morning. I make the very very very unfashionable case that the CBC as an institution is valuable even if conservatives hate the content.
11. Public pollsters should poll and release data on the voting intentions of ethnic minorities. Our public discourse is poorer because pollsters never release political vote intention information on the ethnic minority vote.
13. Instead, we decided that age, sex, income, and education were the only cleavages worth talking about. Why not religiosity? Why not race? You had pollsters talk about vaccine hesitancy among those who had lower education, and as a result we spent all election talking about…
Worth pointing out the CPC vote (per polling) is more "efficient" than in 2019. The race in Ontario is tighter than it was for most of the 2019 campaign, and the CPC in 2019 ran up the score in AB (69% of the vote).
If this holds, expect LPC and BQ losses, and CPC and NDP gains.
It's wild to me that the feds would rather give billions of dollars to multinationals for battery plants instead of spending the money to build nuclear reactors. What will have a more meaningful impact on emissions?
There's plenty of private demand for better batteries anyway!
Every Canadian has had their freedoms restricted over the past two years.
I couldn’t visit my family members in the hospital for one.
That isn’t to say that these restrictions weren’t justified, but most of us DO want our freedoms back — responsibly of course.
@Aella_Girl
I think what you’re doing can be fairly called proto-scientific research. If anything, it certainly is interesting and could prompt someone to do a more robust, formal, study on the same questions. I think the work still has value even if it’s not publishable in a journal.
14. …how antivaxxers were overconcentrated among the less educated. Would the conversation have been different had pollsters found out that perhaps it was visible minorities those who are more vaxx hesitant? Would the Liberals have been so eager to push on that wedge?
Mark Carney says he hasn’t ruled out a Liberal leadership bid
“I’m not a lifelong politician. You tend to see people who – often – are lifelong politicians have a very simplistic view of markets. They don’t understand how decisions are really made.”
A proposal for a
#CPC
constitutional amendment:
Following an election loss (i.e. no CPC PM), a review should be completed and made public within three months. Three months after the publication of the review, there should be a leadership vote.
#cdnpoli
My dad called me this morning and asked if
@PierrePoilievre
won on the second ballot. I said “No he won on the first??”
He then asked “why did [my brother] say he came short? What number did he need to win?”
Folks, he was referring to this from the family group chat:
#cpcldr