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Anton Spisak

@AntonSpisak

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Political economist. Formerly at the Tony Blair Institute, UK civil service and the FT. Long-distance runner.

London, UK
Joined June 2011
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Not one of the Tory candidates talked about jobs, or housing, or stalled wages, or ultra-low productivity, or low trade openness after Brexit, or how to fix a stalemate over the Northern Ireland Protocol and avoid a trade war with the EU. Not a single one.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Lord Frost's resignation exemplifies a pattern among all the loud sovereignty purists: upon realising that there are difficult trade-offs inherent in their own choices, they pack their bags and leave, blaming others for the self-inflicted mess.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Wait until Moscow or Beijing invokes "the doctrine of necessity" to override its international obligations. The damage that UK ministers are doing with this bill - simply because they cannot accept their mistake and negotiate in good faith - goes far beyond Northern Ireland.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
I feel strongly that every comment on the NI Protocol must start from a simple statement of fact: When Johnson agreed to the revised Protocol in October 2019, he knew exactly what the consequences were, but he did so out of pure self-interest (to win the 2019 election).
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
A minister of HM Government showing a middle finger to the public. I can’t imagine this happening before 2019 and the minister not being sacked within minutes. Shows how much the standards in public life have fallen in the last 3 years.
@bphillipsonMP
Bridget Phillipson
2 years
Ministers aren’t expected to be perfect. But is it really too much to ask that they don’t treat the public like this?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
I was in the civil service when the pandemic began. I can tell you there was no “complacency” from civil servants. Nobody was spending their mornings on Pelotons, midday yoga, or anything else you read in the Telegraph. Rather, there were crisis teams, burnouts, and anxiety.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
As it happens, I have become a UK national today. In my oath I was asked to pledge that, as a citizen of this country, I will show tolerance and respect for others. It is shameful that the Home Secretary shows so little respect for these British values.
@doctor_oxford
Dr Rachel Clarke
2 years
. @ukhomeoffice has denied entry to a 69 yr old Ukrainian widow, fleeing the fighting in Kharkiv, to join her daughter in the UK. They suggested she apply for a visitor visa or remain in France, where she has no relatives & doesn’t speak French. Sickening.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
What the UK is proposing to do is to rewrite a part of the binding international treaty, into which the UK voluntary entered, through primary legislation in domestic law. This is an act of a rogue state, not something "consistent with international law", as Truss argues.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
When I visited Brussels recently, there was real nervousness about Truss and her prime-ministerial prospects. She is seen as unreliable and untrustworthy not only by EU institutions, but also key member states. This sense of nervousness is likely to grow after today.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
This is a highly misleading article by BBC. There’s no UK-India trade deal (and there won’t be one for a good while). What is being announced are various business export deals which may or may not add up to £1bn.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
In this entire Protocol saga, one cannot help but feel for Theresa May. Her govt collapsed over the refusal of her party to agree to concessions that would have prevented east-west checks; kept NI in the UK's internal market; and avoided a substantive hit to the UK economy.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Five years after the Brexit referendum that has sapped all the energy of the British state away from tackling genuine challenges facing the UK, the most surprising thing for me is what a small political price the governing party has paid for the biggest blunder in modern history.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
1 year
I was part of the team renegotiating the Protocol in the autumn of 2019. I don't know anyone who thought the consequences were "unforeseen". In fact, they were all laid out to MPs as part of the Impact Assessment on the Withdrawal Agreement Bill (p44-60):
@DJBond6873
David Bond
1 year
NI Secretary Chris Heaton-Harris tells @KayBurley that the authors of the NI Protocol didn't understand the ramifications. "Politicians are legislators. Legislators are very good at creating law but when the rubber hits the road sometimes you get unforeseen consequences."
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Having now taken a few days to digest the detail of the UK-EU agreement, here's a couple of observations from me on the deal, what it means, how we got here, & where it might take future UK-EU relations. (A long thread)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
9 months
The most interesting thing about this latest episode is that this is no longer the question of government readiness but rather cost to consumers. It the most explicit acknowledgement by the UK government that Brexit trade barriers are inflationary.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
My biggest takeaway from crossing borders of 4 European countries in the last few weeks: EU countries have well-coordinated systems, including for transit, which treat vaccinated people differently from the unvaccinated ones, while the UK has an utterly dysfunctional one.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Is this the most important chart of our time?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Having had two jabs (one in the UK and one in the EU), I will have to self-isolate for 10 days upon arrival to the UK, a country with 630 new cases per a million, when coming back from Slovakia, a country with 3.69 new cases per million. UK Covid policy defies basic logic.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
As it happens, 15 May 2020, the same day that this party took place, was my last day in the civil service. I resigned because it was hard for me, in good conscience, to support the work of the government. It still feels like the right decision.
@PickardJE
Jim Pickard 🐋
2 years
ever get the feeling you’ve been cheated
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Having binge-watched the excellent BBC Blair-Brown documentary last night, I've been most struck by the sheer contrast between their generation of politicians, who had the dedication, intellect and ability, and the present one, for whom all those qualities are a rare exception.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
11 months
Today I've made an error of opening my student loan balance. Interest rate: 6.9% on a government loan, or accruing £284 to my balance in *interest alone* every month. Every single month. The UK's student finance system is broken.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
7 months
Slovakia, a small central European country and EU member, is facing a parliamentary election this week. It might be one of the most consequential elections in the country’s 30-year history, with ramifications for the EU, Ukraine and the West. A thread:
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
When I was 15, my first contact with the UK was through @BritishCouncil and their excellent Active Citizens programme. It turned me into an anglophile. Any UK government that can find £200m for a royal yacht, but not £10m for British Council has its priorities completely wrong.
@SKinnock
Stephen Kinnock
3 years
UK govt has refused to find £10m for @BritishCouncil - forcing closure of 20 vital overseas offices. A hammer blow for our soft power. Since 1934 BC has won friends & influenced people worldwide, yet @DominicRaab @RishiSunak seem determined to lose friends & alienate ppl. 1/3
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Home Office is asking me for the evidence of UK residence specifically for the time when I worked for the Civil Service. Peak public sector efficiency.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
It is beyond belief that, at the very moment when the rules-based international order is under the greatest pressure since 1989, the UK government chooses to override an international treaty in domestic law.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Since David Frost and Boris Johnson both claim that they didn’t know what the Protocol would imply, and how tricky it would be to make it work, why not publish the advice from officials and legal officers when the Withdrawal Agreement (incl Northern Ireland Protocol) was agreed?
@GeorgeWParker
George Parker
3 years
“The boundary for trade purposes is proving more of a deterrent to trade and more of a generation of trade diversion than many people expected.” David Frost, Spectator. "There will be no border down the Irish Sea," Boris Johnson 2020
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
I’m going to offer a full analysis of the UK-EU deal later, but after a quick read, I’m astonished how thin the deal is. With no equivalence for SPS, no recognition of conformity assessment for regulated goods, no regulatory provisions for financial services, this falls (1/2)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
A new national lockdown, yet anyone arriving into the UK can enter without (a) a proof of a negative Covid test at the border, or (b) a requirement to be tested within days of arrival. Most countries have such requirements to stay atop of transmission from abroad, not the UK.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Over the course of Raab’s term as the Brexit secretary, his entire private office resigned. And there was a lot of fury when the submissions exceeded Raab’s limit of 2 pages. Go figure the rest.
@henrymance
Henry Mance
3 years
The Economist on Dominic Raab
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 months
An idiotic policy. Many other countries would do anything for their universities to be as globally competitive as the UK’s. But the UK government has decided to undermine one of its most successful exports just like that.
@RishiSunak
Rishi Sunak
4 months
From today, the majority of foreign university students cannot bring family members to the UK. In 2024, we’re already delivering for the British people.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
1 year
@steve_hanke Please take down this false video. I’m in Slovakia right now and there’re no such protests. You’re sharing a video of the anti-vaccine protests from October 2020 and feeding the pro-Kremlin propaganda.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
10 months
En route back to London from Brussels after a couple of days of good meetings and reflecting on how rapidly and profoundly the EU is changing from the bloc that the UK was once part of. Heavily underappreciated within the UK.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
I mean, of course, Britain could "survive" a trade war with the EU. But the question that the British electorate will have to ask at some point is whether all Britain aspires to do is "surviving".
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Little evidence Jacob Rees-Mogg tells the truth. It would be one thing for a government minister to argue that the 15-percent trade reduction with the EU is worth some bigger prize, whatever it may be. But it’s something else entirely to lie.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
The thing is, if the govt's problem with the Protocol was primarily about ensuring frictionless movement of goods from GB to NI, they would be trying to address that problem. But they aren't.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Johnson says at the PMQs that the Brexit trade deal “enables us to deal with such threats as the European super league ... and to deliver the freeports”. Neither has anything to do with the EU. But if anyone was ever in doubt about the sovereignty dividend, here you have it
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
7 months
This is a bad day for Slovakia, for Europe, and for the West.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Some noises today that the EU might refer the UK to the WTO, in the very first formal trade dispute after Brexit, for an alleged breach of local content requirements in the UK's offshore wind turbines. An interesting one to watch.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The whole of Europe is watching what’s happening in the UK and asking why open up an entire country and then toughen up travel restrictions for countries with exponentially lower volumes of cases. The whole of Europe thinks the UK has completely lost the plot.
@SamCoatesSky
Sam Coates Sky
3 years
So there's a live discussion in gvt about whether France should go on the red list - requiring £££ hotel quarantine from those who come back. As per @breeallegretti and @HarryYorke1 Some health figures in favour, but it's a massive call requiring ministerial agreement 1/
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
7 months
Shocker exit poll in Slovakia: Progressive Slovakia expected to come first in the election, overtaking Robert Fico’s Smer! Fico’s prospective ally, the nationalist SNS, predicted not to enter parliament, at 4.4%
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
A lot of discussion about Article 16 of NI Protocol, especially after Johnson said that he would consider invoking it to prevent a border down the Irish Sea. A thread to clarify what Article 16 really is, & why it doesn't offer a solution to the Prime Minister's problem: /1
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
What I’ve found most striking about the Tories in the last week or two is that, once you strip away the ‘levelling up’ slogan, you find the complete lack of coherence on their economic story, even on the most basic stuff. What’s happened to the Tories’ economic thinking?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
This is a seriously misjudged move by Truss. By setting out a 48-hour deadline, the fishing dispute will escalate further mid-week, threatening to overshadow the first week of COP26. What sort of clumsy diplomacy is this?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
It is stomach-churning to hear the same people who once talked about getting an “an excellent deal” – despite knowing what the deal meant and not caring – now saying that its their obligation to “protect” the GFA and its institutions with the new Protocol legislation.
@ConorBurnsUK
Conor Burns
2 years
We have a duty to protect the Good Friday Agreement and restore power sharing in Northern Ireland. As PM’s Special Representative to the US on the NI Protocol I’m explaining to our US friends we want an agreement with the EU yet will act to protect NI’s stability if we have to.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
7 months
Starmer is here talking about the fact that his government wouldn’t diverge from EU minimum standards on the environment and labour standards. In both areas, Labour has made clear for a while now that it would improve the current regulatory baseline. This policy has a widespread…
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@SamCoatesSky
Sam Coates Sky
7 months
EXC “We don’t want to diverge” - Keir Starmer previously unseen footage from Montreal on Saturday on EU rules Likely to cause a row
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
It's true, as @JGForsyth says, that No10 prefers no-deal to a deal that would curb UK ability to subsidise domestic business. But this view is based on a false view of the reality. No-deal would, in fact, be a double surrender on state aid (THREAD)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Amid all the announcements today, it's easy to overlook that the OBR has updated its scenario on a no-deal Brexit. It exposes an undeniably hard reality for the Govt that claims that the UK would "prosper mightily" under no-deal next year. (Short thread)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The new reality begins. Nearly 6bn of euro-denominated share trading shifted away from the City to new EU hubs on the first trading day of 2021.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Lots of self-congratulation about the UK's response to Russia on the Conservatives' benches during PMQs. But not one "sorry" for taking donations from Russia's oligarchs and helping make the City of London to be the hub for dirty Russian cash over the last decade.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
1 year
I’m glad this clip exists for the historical record because it shows Johnson’s extraordinary ignorance of the very deal he negotiated. “There will be no non-tariff barriers [after Brexit]. Instead, there will be a giant free-trade zone.”
@irishagreement
Irish Agreement
1 year
@Jacobbe79601492 @HeleneBismarck How can @pmdfoster be claiming the Trade & Cooperation Agreement created non tariff barriers when Boris said there would be none ?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
A weird thing to say after voluntarily signing up to the EU’s first proposal from March 2018 (which TM described as something that “no British Prime Minister could ever sign up to”), selling it as an “oven-ready deal” to win GE 2019, and then hoping to wriggle your way out of it.
@MirrorPolitics
Mirror Politics
3 years
Boris Johnson's Brexit chief blames Northern Ireland chaos on his predecessors under Theresa May
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
When exactly did the UK turn into a failed state?
@globalhlthtwit
Anthony Costello
3 years
BREAKING: The UK now cannot do most blood tests. No tubes. GPs are forced to ration. Read this BMA press release from last night. “At a very perilous point”…
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
A super-forecaster note for No10: you’re willing to sacrifice a trade deal with the EU on the altar of a goal of building a $1tn UK tech firm. Yet, because you’ve breached the WA, the EU will retaliate - but not in the NI Protocol but where it hits you: cross-border data exchange
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
The outcome of the NI Assembly election promises to be a nightmare for those in Westminster wishing to scrap the Protocol. Likely to be a majority support for the Protocol in the Assembly, meaning that it won't be rejected in the critical 2024 consent vote.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Booking the Day 2 Covid test for my arrival into the UK, I’m shocked how many of the govt-approved test providers claim to offer tests for £25-40 on - but when redirected to book the test on their website, it costs £80-100. Govt should take them down.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
1 year
Is there a book club for policy nerds in London? I’m not aware of one, but I’m wondering if there’d be interest to get together once a month to discuss an interesting policy relevant read, perhaps with a Q&A with an author (and a drink), and exchange ideas. Any takers?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
In an alternative universe, the Prime Minister Theresa May got the backstop through Parliament, took the UK out of the EU with the country staying in the single market for goods, recovered her reputation with solid management of the pandemic, with her approval rating at its peak.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Social mobility is dead in Britain. It is insane, and deeply unjust, to tax young people who beat the odds and acquire good education with a marginal tax rate over 42%.
@AvaSantina
Ava-Santina
2 years
Student loan repayment rise confirmed National insurance rise confirmed Energy bill spike confirmed Cost of living rising what a great time to live and work in Britain 🙃
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
To think that the EU would have agreed to a deal in the absence of a solution on the Irish border is equivalent to spending the last five years living in a cave. And, to believe that there could have been no deal and, simultaneously, no Irish border is plainly wrong.
@SirSocks
Christopher Meyer
2 years
In all the fury over Article 16 one thing is forgotten. The UK should never have accepted in the first place the avoidance of a hard border as our problem. It was always the EU’s-to protect the Single Market. We should have said: it’s your problem, you sort it. We don’t want one.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The whole debate about whether Johnson should or shouldn’t have read the EU deal is absurd. The question isn’t whether he’s read or not; it is whether he understands the content and its implications. The problem is he doesn’t - remember that “there are no non-tariff barriers”?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
Amid all the noise, let's take a look at what would actually happen if the UK were to legislate contrary to its international commitments in the withdrawal treaty. What would be the consequences? (THREAD)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Spending the weekend in my native Slovakia, I’m struck how many times I’ve heard the pro-Russia apologists here (yes, they exist) evoke John Mearsheimer and his speech on NATO’s eastward expansion as a common-sense view of what’s happening in Ukraine. The damage the man has done.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
What an extraordinary mess. The UK is considering extending mutual recognition on EU exports to the UK, reducing costs for EU exporters. All this while UK exporters into the EU (and from GB to NI) face the highest costs ever. Well done.
@adampayne26
Adam Payne
3 years
Exclusive: The government is currently looking at a menu of options for postponing checks on EU imports planned to be in place by July 1st One is gradually phasing them in from July 1st, while another is delaying them altogether, I'm told
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Some thoughts on the UK's new Command Paper on Northern Ireland, what it means, and where it leaves us. (A thread)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The real problem is this. It doesn't matter whether the EU's ban is justified on the grounds of "averting serious societal difficulties" (Art 16). The EU appears to have already breached the terms of NI Protocol by *failing to notify* the UK of its intention to impose this ban.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
I fear that the UK's tactical invoking of Article 16, if used to unilaterally implement its command paper, will be the biggest strategic blunder in the history of Brexit yet. (A short thread)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
So, with all respect to the Prime Minister, I struggle to see one thing: what legitimacy does he still have to talk about the Northern Ireland Protocol - let alone to threaten "renegotiate it or remove it" - without appearing like a complete fool?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
The US and UK have now cut off Russian banks from dollar and sterling clearing. But the EU and its regulators haven't yet reciprocated with euro clearing. The lack of coordination among the Western governments on what should be uncontroversial measures is shocking.
@Frances_Coppola
Frances 'Cassandra' Coppola
2 years
US sanctions announced today will shut Russia's two biggest banks out of international dollar clearing. I remind you that all dollar transactions, anywhere in the world, except those in physical cash go through the NY Fed.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Lord Frost has resigned over the inevitable capitulation over the Northern Irish Protocol that will come soon. It’s his own fault; he has set the bar too high in the July Command Paper, pledging to remove all EU law from the Protocol. An impossible ask which has backfired on him.
@BethRigby
Beth Rigby
2 years
Via Mail on Sunday. Senior govt source said Lord Frost's departure had been prompted by intro of 'Plan B' Covid measures. That final straw after months of growing discontent over tax rises and the staggering cost of 'net zero' environmental policies.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties, Art 27: “A party may not invoke the provisions of its internal law as justification for its failure to perform a treaty.” A state cannot escape its international commitments by referring to its domestic legal situation.
@Joe_Mayes
Joe Mayes
4 years
The Attorney General is defending the government's stance on breaking international law in the Commons. `It’s entirely proper, it’s entirely constitutional and lawful in domestic law to enact legislation that may operate in breach of international law or treaty obligations' 1/
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
A note to UK journos: next time a government minister confidently name-drops "Australia-style deal", remind them of a EU-AUS Framework Agreement. It provides cooperation on foreign policy. Ironically, this is exactly the type of agreement the UK said it does not want with the EU.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The first section - the Govt's take on "how we got here" - is an extraordinary attempt to rewrite history. We are told that we are in the current mess because of (1) Theresa May, (2) Parliament (Benn-Burt Act), & (3) the EU. Everybody but the man who agreed to the deal.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Britain’s political leaders have been ignoring longstanding structural problems facing UK economy for decades. The idea that EU membership was the driver of those problems and that a hard Brexit suddenly enables us to tackle those problems is utterly ridiculous.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
A solid contender for the most stupid idea ever uttered by a government minister.
@votepoliticsuk
Vote Politics UK
2 years
🚨 Treasury minister Chris Philp says no business with under 500 staff will be subject to business regulation
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
To add: This is a direct consequence of the UK’s strategy to drop most offensive asks in favour of hoping to win the argument over LPF. True, the UK did negotiate down EU opening offer on LPF but didn’t win the big argument & ended up with a minimal deal.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
1. Truss justifies domestic legislation almost entirely on the basis that the Protocol undermines the Good Friday Agreement. However, she doesn't address the fundamental question of why this wasn't a concern for the govt when signed the treaty in 2019 and knew about the risks.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
A couple of thoughts on Liz Truss's statement on the N Ireland Protocol:
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
He didn't read a single word of it, did he?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
Looking at the list of regulations for reform announced by Lord Frost, most have nothing to do with the EU. So many random ideas, it's as if you asked government departments to come up with any ideas, and as quickly as possible. Embarrassing.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
What a misleading article. There is no “deal on financial services” and there isn’t going to be one. There will only be a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding. At best, it will cover things like regulator-to-regulator dialogue on financial stability and data exchange.
@hendopolis
Neil Henderson
3 years
FINANCIAL MAIL ON SUNDAY: City plans Brexit deal by March as talks start #TomorrowsPapersToday
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
5 months
The only way that these changes to migration policy make sense is if your intention is simultaneously to a) cut the UK’s already abysmal growth prospects, b) make the UK less attractive to global talent, and c) divide families. Great work, guys.
@PippaCrerar
Pippa Crerar
5 months
James Cleverly tells MPs he'll cut record net migration to UK by 300,000 👇 - min salary for foreign skilled workers up to £38.7k - min income to bring spouse same level - ban on care workers bringing dependents - shortage occupation list scrapped - review of 2yr graduate visa
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
Johnson describing a near-complete rewrite of the Protocol though primary legislation as "a trivial set of adjustments" and "a bureaucratic change" is utterly dishonest. At least own your bloody bill, ffs.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
I, for one, look forward to the spectacle of trying to resolve the NI Protocol during the French presidency of the EU in the first half of next year.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
An extremely striking chart from OECD on productivity growth over the 10 years. The UK is at the very tail end, on par with Italy and only better than Greece. The lost decade.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
He knew too, during the TCA negotiations in 2020, that a thin trade agreement that pulls GB away from the EU and puts a premium on the absolutist view of sovereignty, while NI is de facto a member of the single market for goods, will create enormous problems.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
My letter in the FT today: The UK’s plans to enact legislation that would grant ministers the powers to override parts of the Northern Ireland protocol that they dislike are a spectacular error of judgment and strategy.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The Brexit deal marks a new beginning of a complex relationship in which Britain and the EU will have to learn to live together differently. This is the new institutional infrastructure set up by the treaty. New Partnership Council, 19 specialised committees, 4 working groups.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 months
Bratislava tonight. Over thirty thousand people gathered in protest in the Slovak capital, and thousands more in smaller towns across the country, to oppose Fico’s government and his efforts to undermine the rule of law. A fourth mass protest since the start of the year.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
In summary: a statement ripe in inconsistencies.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
This is what the Foreign Office calls "corruption" in other countries.
@JolyonMaugham
Jo Maugham
3 years
Leaked Government documents reveal special procurement channels for ‘VIPs’ and Cabinet contacts - and opportunities for 35-45% profit margins for insiders. #goodlawproject
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
8 months
Today, 55 years ago, the uninvited Soviet tanks and soldiers invaded Czechoslovakia to crack down on political liberalisation. My grandfather decided it was finally the time to leave the Communist Party, for which he later paid a hefty price. The bastards left 23 years later.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
If she becomes PM, I think it will be virtually impossible to solve the stalemate over the Northern Ireland Protocol. Unlike Sunak, who could appeal to the EU with a fresh start, Truss simply isn't trusted. The result will be a trade war with the EU when the NIP bill becomes law.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
As France and Germany inches closer to endorsing Ukraine’s EU candidate status, it’s worth remembering the pressure Central and Eastern European states – the Baltics, Poland and Slovakia – have been putting on Macron and Scholz. The full credit should go to those countries.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
The third takeaway: If you have a UK passport, I’m sorry to inform you that the queues at the EU airport controls are now much longer for you. And if you have an EU passport and are flying out of the UK, your true Brexit dividend is a short, fast-moving queue.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
If only the Prime Minister read the agreement he signed. If only he didn’t create this entire mess. If only…
@nickgutteridge
Nick Gutteridge
2 years
Boris Johnson tells the Commons that the EU is implementing the NI Protocol 'in an insane and pettifogging way, and we need to sort it out.' He says '200 businesses have stopped supplying NI, foods are being blocked, and Christmas cards are being surcharged'.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
even below the standard of some recent EU FTAs. Yet, it does ask the UK to comply with more extensive obligations on LPF (state aid, non-regression, & rebalancing for future divergence). None of this is surprising, but it’s hard to see this as anything as an unbalanced deal (2/2)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
3 years
It has been more than 4 years since we heard the oft-repeated mantra ‘Brexit means Brexit’. Yet, when UK Parliament votes on the UK-EU agreement later today, it will be the first time that they know what Brexit really means. They will do so without any proper scrutiny or debate.
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
4 years
16. We're now in a bizarre situation when No10 is prepared to take the risk of no-deal - and to accept its enormous consequences economically and politically - in the hope of securing an unattainable goal of full control of the post-Brexit state-aid policy. Astounding. (ends)
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
The real mystery of tonight is, who are all these trade envoy MPs appointed by the government? Do these jobs exist just to keep the government payroll as wide as possible?
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@AntonSpisak
Anton Spisak
2 years
He has consistently chose to put the loud voices of the sovereignty purists in his party before the interests of Northern Irish people (across all communities), Northern Irish business, and the UK's national interest.
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