Will Robbins @whrobbins Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

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@stw_pdg

@colin_beazley

Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

Red Bull is worth 20B, Monster is worth 50B. Someone should build an energy drink brand for the productivity-chasing professional managerial class

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

Has anybody ever pejoratively described the airlines as a "Boeing wrapper"

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low status

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

Underrated predictor of success: willingness to be low status

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

One of the stated reasons that Travis Kalanick was booted from Uber was his extreme spending on the autonomous division. Just 6 years later, it's increasingly likely that TK was the only one who correctly acted on the future

Mike Simonsen 🐉

@mikesimonsen

8 months

I’ve been taking the driverless robotaxis around SF. They’re safe and fun. Also slower and less efficient than Ubers, because they’re strict rule followers. What’s wild is that we’re back to a world human-taxis are expensive and hard to find. Suddenly it’s easier and cheaper

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

Zepto grew to millions of users in less than 3 years. I flew to India to discuss with @aadit_palicha and @v0hra — how to build an online grocer — what growing up was like for India's newest tech icons — Zepto's four values Watch the full video we recorded in a warehouse:

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

I've become convinced that charisma is 75% physical energy level

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@BackpackerFI I used to work at a startup that advertised on Craigslist. It was a tedious challenge to post ads and give them our money. Wonder how many billions they’ve left on the table by doing zero product innovation in a decade

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

@mrexits Per usual, sci-fi writers imagined all of this in the 60s

Light of Other Days - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

Instead of sponsoring base jumping stunts and monster trucks, simply sponsor chess tournaments and YC demo day

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

The untold history of many great companies — from Facebook to Snapchat — include very young founders working closely with top people decades their senior. E.g. 20 year old Zuckerberg hired 40 year old Jeff Rothschild (2-time IPO billionaire) as his founding engineer.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

2500 words on Contrary's hiring process and lessons learned interviewing 100+ venture investors

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

LA is the "barbell" startup scene. Every company is either a fake web3 creator economy startup, or a hardcore industrial manufacturing co that calls itself a tech startup. No in-between

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

I remember being at a career fair when @scale_ai was quite young. Everyone at the event had recruiters collecting resumes. But @alexandr_wang printed out a really hard probability theory question, and a dozen people were sitting around trying to solve it. Totally different

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Remarkable that in Silicon Valley elite circles there is more talk about longevity drugs like metformin than on getting real nutrients from real foods

Palladium Magazine

@palladiummag

2 years

From obesity and microbiome decline to autoimmune disorders, the modern industrial diet has become a species-level biosecurity threat. Today from @davideoks

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@zanemountcastle I was stunned how quickly competitors emerged. There was lots of narrative which made it feel like a singular advance. Not sure what to make of that!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Speed is a massive advantage for VCs. We aim for: - Monday intro call - Tuesday full-team call - Wednesday formal offer - Thursday references, discussion - Friday signing, wiring, portfolio onboarding But it's surprisingly hard to execute this pace

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Read the leaked email written by 23 year old Evan Spiegel discussing: - fundraising during hyper-growth chaos - turning down the FB acquisition offer - thoughts on the market generally

23 Year Old Evan Spiegel's Leaked Email

The market from last decade wasn't too unfamiliar. How did a world-class CEO navigate it?

notes.willrobbins.org

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

🚨1/ We've raised $75M for our third venture fund! @contrarycapital exists to relentlessly support the world's most talented founders for life. Can't wait for everything we have in store (beyond a nice new website at )!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@pmarca Enough to prop up a cottage industry of drug dealing in the Metaverse

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

3 months

Notice that "minutes worked" is a metric that Devin shares with users. The first AI company to successfully sell their software as *labor* rather than *SaaS* will print money. Imagine if ChatGPT charged you $20 per "hour of research" rather than $20/month flat rate

Varun Shenoy

@varunshenoy_

3 months

Devin is 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘳𝘦𝘥𝘪𝘣𝘭𝘦 at data extraction. Over the past few weeks, I've been scraping data from different blogs and Devin 1. writes the scraper to navigate the website 2. executes the code 3. returns a labeled CSV file Devin is a multi-step agent that actually works 🤯

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

🚨 Dropping a new role in venture! 🚨 I'm looking for a Chief of Staff to do everything alongside me and the investing team. High agency role. Optimizing for talent, not credential.

Chief of Staff, Investment Team | Notion

ABOUT CONTRARY

contrary.notion.site

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@zebulgar Screenshotted this section yesterday. Absolute legend

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

You can grow on Twitter by 1) constantly posting “serious” opinions about an ever-expanding list of topics or 2) memeing with increasing absurdity and irony Weird things happen when these two strategies occupy the same timeline

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

5 months

Another idea would be to systematically show how weak the peer review process is in some fields. It’s not just a plagiarism problem. Hire 1000 Alan Sokals and let them repeat the Sokal Affair

Sokal affair - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Bill Ackman

@BillAckman

5 months

My wife, @NeriOxman , was just contacted by Business Insider claiming that they have identified other plagiarism in her work including 15 examples in her dissertation where she did not cite Wikipedia as a source. Business Insider told us that they are publishing their story

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

Stopped at a red light in San Francisco, sketchy guys will leer at me. Stopped at a red light in Mumbai, a friendly guy knocks on the car window and sells me a bootleg copy of Zero to One for 500 rupees. What a special place 🇮🇳

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

5 months

With @BillAckman 's recent Harvard work, I thought back to this side-by-side comparison. I would recommend reading the full 1978 and 2022 commencement addresses. Night and day difference in scholarship and vision.

Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Fascinating to compare the 1978 Harvard Commencement Speech with the 2022 Commencement Speech. Both comment on the fragility of the Western world '78: '22: One is a deep sociopolitcal analysis, one blames social media algorithms.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

10 months

Uber driver got paid $10 for a $28 ride. Seeing a rather negative sentiment with drivers lately, wonder what that means long-term for ride share. Had a $120 ride where the driver was getting $50, so we cancelled the ride and split the difference in cash

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

I love the phrase “zero interest rate phenomenon” because it basically addresses “decadence” in a more popular, less moralizing way

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

@rex_woodbury Goes even deeper - this was the assumption underpinning Marxist thought in the 19th century. It turns out that even in a post-scarcity world, there is still unlimited demand for competition of status (if not subsistence resources) between people. So it makes sense to work that

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

One of the best career decisions I've made: going to a college surrounded by 100 miles of cornfields in every direction. A few years of relentless focus was exactly what I needed. I can't imagine anything more productive than my time being single in an Illinois winter

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

@paulgb @MidwitMilhouse @krrishd I think it was because some frustrated bank customers thought they’d get more attention and support when popular accounts are tagged in a complaint. So they reply hoping that the top-level poster with 2M followers is factored into the bank’s customer support urgency.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Observation: most founders we work with fit 1 of 4 categories - lucky to be born with overflowing energy - drinks caffeine when working, recovers when not - puritanical avoidance of alcohol/drugs - stringent fitness routine and diet The energy you have is the life you have!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

4 months

Remember when @pmarca tweeted looking for an app to manage 10,000 PDFs, and then never again mentioned that library of secret knowledge?

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

6 months

@nikitabier You get more days you can go outside, but arguably as much *time* you can go outside. No such thing as summer nights - freezing after dusk in LA & SF. And many places are too hot at midday. The sun is closer to Greece or Africa strength rather than Western European strength!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

🚨 The world's supply chain today runs on tech developed a generation ago. It gets the job done — a stunning 77% of all transactions globally touch an SAP system — but the modern economy demands more. That's why we've backed @recurrency , ERP for the 21st Century.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@RickTheRoofer09 @BackpackerFI Valid! My guess is not that much since Craig could just hire a CEO for relatively cheap. Marketplaces like this are clearly stable. But still fair point.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

@simonsarris I think a Liquid Death style office, home, and on-the-go form factor is most compelling to people

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

5 months

@paulg Would highly recommend @bryan_caplan 's book "Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids" Walks through all of the research on this and related topics, in an accessible plain-English way. Can't argue with twin studies!

Selfish Reasons To Have More Kids

www.amazon.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Privacy software stack: @brave browser @signalapp messaging @skiffprivacy docs & email @PrivacyHQ payments What else?

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

10 months

Lots of people branding themselves as investors in fintech, dev tools, "SaaS," "american dynamism," and so on. Nobody's built an investor brand focused on ERP, but it's one of the most epic software categories. Could be a career-making space for someone to specialize in.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

🚨 Moment has raised a Seed led by @contrary and a Series A led by @a16z ! Fixed income is the world's largest asset class, but the industry runs on infrastructure far behind the state of the art. I witnessed this first hand growing up, as my father was a bond portfolio manager.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

There's recently been talk about the pace of innovation at Google. Search, Maps, Gmail, Android, etc were all game-changing. But what's happened over the past decade? In July 2012, two titans of industry sat down for a fireside chat. Eric Schmidt, then

Google Has $50B, Doesn't Innovate

10 years ago, Google had more cash than ideas. Has it come time to reap what has been sown?

notes.willrobbins.org

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

4 months

@JohnArnoldFndtn Now compare commencement speeches…

Will Robbins

@whrobbins

5 months

With @BillAckman 's recent Harvard work, I thought back to this side-by-side comparison. I would recommend reading the full 1978 and 2022 commencement addresses. Night and day difference in scholarship and vision.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@jbrowder1 Wait isn’t the restaurant one reasonable if diners skip a reservation? That takes tip money out of waiters pockets, and restaurants rarely stay afloat, especially in SF!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

My latest in @TechCrunch : a defense of generalist investing. In an era of VCs focused on AI, crypto, climate, and other verticals, the challenge of finding transcendent talent is as strong as ever, and it'll emerge in spaces we don't expect!

Why generalist investors will always win | TechCrunch

How can a generalist compete with a specialist when it comes to customer introductions, or tactical advice? We can’t, but we don’t need to.

techcrunch.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Fascinating to compare the 1978 Harvard Commencement Speech with the 2022 Commencement Speech. Both comment on the fragility of the Western world '78: '22: One is a deep sociopolitcal analysis, one blames social media algorithms.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

3 months

Can't help but notice the symbolism of Hallow (faith, transcendent purpose, and local community) duking it out with Temu (consumption of ever-cheaper plastic goods) for the #1 slot in the App Store last week. Does this Super Bowl ad showdown foreshadow where our culture is

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Being responsive is exceptionally impactful to one’s career. I find myself about 50x more likely to send info or opportunity to someone that responds in < 1hr compared to >24h. Same on the receiving side. Serendipity and opportunity is a terrible thing to miss out on.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Contrary hired a research team to study the top 3 reasons that founders start companies. They are: 1. innate desire to own a single-word .com domain 2. freedom to HQ in The Cloud (parent's basement) 3. firm belief that crypto money laundering is a form of "privacy"

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

7 months

In the past week: * NYT headlines Hamas' fake news * TechCrunch suggests that @pmarca doesn't care for poor people * Lex's interview with Jared Kushner shows that someone ridiculed by media for 4 years is actually remarkably competent Interesting moment we're in right now

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Had no idea that one of the greatest biographers of our generation just writes out million-word books by hand and then transcribes his pages with a typewriter. Another good reminder that productivity tools have incremental effect while focus has revolutionary effect

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

This is similar to the “automation will kill jobs” debate of the 2010s. Where exactly do you draw the line between robot that replaces factory worker, and more efficient operational processes that also increase productivity? Can you ban McKinsey from making a biz run smoothly?

Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸

@pmarca

1 year

👀

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

@CalumDouglas1 Reminds me of this video my dad showed me when I was young. Around The Corner - How Differential Steering Works (1937)

Around The Corner - How Differential Steering Works (1937)

How the automobile differential allows a vehicle to turn a corner while keeping the wheels from skidding.Differential steering From Wikipedia, the free encyc...

www.youtube.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@alexeyguzey It's remarkable to me how many institutions are essentially pay-to-play immigration efforts, or simple status laundering. US masters degrees if you did foreign undergrad, magazine lists of people, TED talks, various awards/associations, etc

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

The older I get, the more I see that in reality, execution speed is actually correlated with quality, not a trade-off

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@FlavioRump @Carnage4Life Switzerland has 800 years of practice running relatively localized governments LA and California are far more large and diverse yet have no social fabric to incentivize sanity (I’m a CH citizen living in LA!)

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

Zepto raises 200M at 1.4B valuation. Most of the dark stores are EBITDA-positive. Doing over half a billion in annualized sales. Epic.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

AI Art in the ⁦ @contrary ⁩ NYC office: visualization of a 6M item data set by ⁦ @nomic_ai ⁩

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

All the AI companies should be proud to be OpenAI wrappers and argue that they'll drive their cost-of-intelligence down to zero over time. Lean into the "OpenAI wrapper" critique with pride.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

European policy

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@varianceswap You assume genius would lead to better health decisions, maybe he’s like Erdos and that chain is reversed!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@ChrisJBakke A testament to how much having a mission you care about and a real challenge is critical to our sense of purpose

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Gen Z will become the “High Variance Generation” Some have had the world’s information at their fingertips since infancy, some have had their brains turned to mush by dopamine-optimized content feeds Best way to describe the future is high variance

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@amasad Link for those interested in reading more. Really enjoyed Hard Drive. Best title for a biography too

Hard Drive: Bill Gates and the Making of the Microsoft Empire

www.amazon.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Re-reading my "30 one-sentence views on the venture industry" and am convinced they are still as true as ever

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

True for basically everything, Delian’s right. There were no GREAT sharing economy companies after Airbnb, and no GREAT gig companies after Uber. And so on

delian

@zebulgar

8 months

Do most people realize The Anduril of X Is going to just be Anduril

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

29 days

Every time a friend is interested in an investing career, I send them this instant-classic @semil post. "Context" on the world is central to all fields and life itself. In the internet age, there is no excuse for not picking up context left and right!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

6 months

Who would win: one craftsman in Ojai or 100 SWEs in fluorescent cubicles? Article on the Mythic Computer Co:

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

10 months

In the West, there's deep skepticism of grocery delivery. But India is a structurally different market. India may "leapfrog" the Western world and go straight from kirana stores to online cloud grocers. @aadit_palicha and @v0hra are making it happen!

Report: Zepto Business Breakdown & Founding Story

A report from Contrary Research. Discover Zepto's founding story, product, business model, and an in-depth analysis of the business.

research.contrary.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@Altimor I also find it interesting that the issue is somewhat politically coded in my observation. That’s 1) a problem, and 2) odd since health seems like it should be obviously nonpartisan. (a big part of the effect is due to more obesity, but still it’s a scary trend after adjusting)

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

If we installed solar panels in some nature-like fractal pattern instead of ugly grids, people might be more excited to install them in public

\newcommand{\femb0t}{

@__femb0t

1 year

Iceland is installing electrical columns in the form of walking iron giants.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

The more that products such as @Replit or @googledocs move work to the cloud, the more pressure for a better browser experience builds up Not a trend I’d bet against over the next decade. Probably a 100B opportunity

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Massive opportunity to build a worldview focused on "social fabric" a la American Dynamism. - country club 2.0 - dating apps that aren't a scam - sports-league-as-a-service - what else? These business models all work. Airbnb had interesting elements of this back in the day.

roon

@tszzl

2 years

wall-e is real

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

We're about a decade into the "Khan Academy Era" where world-class educational content is free and available. There was talk of "flipping the classroom" to focus on problems rather than lectures. But seems like nothing really changed broadly? The "exit vs reform" debate will

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

"Twitter is developed in code written in Scala, a concise 18-year-old programming language, compared to Python, a 31-year-old programming language that Tesla engineers are currently using." The people writing these articles have no idea they're completely outing themselves

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@luke_metro And one day if the US fixes high-skill immigration policy, there'll be no need for all these Masters degrees used to launder credentials for the immigration office

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

New post: a more nuanced answer to the in-office vs remote work debate. The "war room" model:

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

What are the most "hardcore" startups to work at these days? In the academic world, I think of Caltech, Harvard's Math 55, and the Putnam Competition as truly truly challenging even for the best students. Unclear to me who has reached parity with these examples in tech/venture

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Basic questions such as “is my loaf of bread significantly less nutritious than ancestral methods of agricultural processing” seem to be unanswered and uncared for, for the most part

Evidence of decreasing mineral density in wheat grain over the last 160 years - PubMed

Wheat is an important source of minerals such as iron, zinc, copper and magnesium in the UK diet. The dietary intake of these nutrients has fallen in recent years because of a combination of reduced...

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Looking to chat with all startups building in BalloonTech right now

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Has any great company been started because of a "request for startups" post? As tempted as I am to suggest ideas to talented people looking to start companies, I'm unclear on whether startups can be born inorganically.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Counter to the metaverse narrative, it's never been a better time to invest in "real-world startups" Seeing huge opportunity in supply chain, software for physical activities, defense/security, cities, silicon, etc.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Very well said! Raw energy is rarely discussed as a trait to hire for or invest in, but is directly correlated with success in my experience. This should be discussed more!

Geoff Lewis

@GeoffLewisOrg

2 years

Society has a hidden energy crisis, and our entrepreneurs are our power plants.

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

@zebulgar Reminds me of the classic LA Speed Story. Strongly recommend if you haven't read it already

The Ultimate Ground Speed Check - Tales from the Blackbird

I don't know of any ludicrous speeding tickets so I can't participate in today's QOTD, but it did remind me of my favorite SR-71 story.

web.archive.org

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

Vesto has come out of stealth with a Contrary-led seed round! In this post I cover everything about Vesto's treasury management platform, why we invested, the treasury market, and what lies ahead:

Why we backed Vesto

Imagine you just raised a $10 million seed round for your startup. Congratulations! This means more hiring, more building, more expansion, and enough runway to ride to new milestones and your next...

notes.willrobbins.org

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

The middle-aged guy next to me on this plane runs a business leadership consulting firm and has spoken at many conferences He also spent 20 min googling "difference between copyright and trademark" The confidence of the F500-consultant TEDx-speaker class is impressive, frankly

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

10 months

Over-discussed: the power law of financial returns in venture. Under-discussed: the power law of reputational returns in venture. This one piece of paper did more for @a16z 's brand than 100 podcasts!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

My latest in @TechCrunch : what are VCs building in 2023? Lots is changing in the venture world. Firms need to build moats to stay relevant in the long-run. I cover 6 ways that firms are trying to innovate.

In the new normal for VC, builders will win | TechCrunch

We are never going back to the days where venture capital firms can win by being the only term sheet on the table.

techcrunch.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

@s4m4rn0ld Spot on. Sleep quality, workout habits, etc matter so much for my output and motivation. Hard to justify anything besides treating yourself like an athlete in terms of health if you’re serious about high mental/emotional performance

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

So glad to finally unveil something the Contrary team has been working on for a while! Read on:

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

I always loved @semil 's post about "context" as an essential ingredient. Applies to every career and part of life!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

This product earns $30 Billion in revenue each year. Remarkable. We're still so early!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

For our team offsite we decided to Live Free or Die. Such a beautiful state, truly!

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

@nikitabier @HannahKonnn We get closer and closer to the billion-dollar one-man startup every year @gerstenzang

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

8 months

We need this for home furniture instead of rocket manufacturing. West Elm should not be charging $599 for a night stand made out of wood (literally grows on trees)

Trung Phan

@TrungTPhan

9 months

SpaceX used the “idiot index” to bring down the cost of manufacturing rockets

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 years

All @netflix has to do is host a decent business news show, and millions of users will be able to expense their subscriptions to their employers. Instant growth and retention

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

9 months

@pitdesi I believe they're still 20, not 21! We offered to invest at 17 and had to wait until Aadit's 18th birthday in September to sign the docs :)

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

2 months

The headline speaks for itself. by @refsrc

India's Zepto zooms to $1.2B in annualized sales in 29 months, Goldman says | TechCrunch

Indian quick-commerce startup Zepto has surpassed the annualised sales milestone of $1 billion within 29 months of its inception, Goldman Sachs wrote in a Popular quick-commerce platform Zepto has...

techcrunch.com

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Will Robbins

@whrobbins

1 year

Increasingly convinced there are several gigantic vertical automation businesses to be built. @AlloyAutomation is one example focused on ecommerce, but more will come.

Contrary Research

@Contrary_Res

1 year

Zapier has become a critical layer in no-code automation Their network effect extends over 4K+ integrations for the long-tail of prosumers From a bootstrapped hacker tool, they've grown to over $100M ARR Let's unpack the rise of Zapier:

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