Alexey Guzey Profile
Alexey Guzey

@alexeyguzey

23,746
Followers
952
Following
1,429
Media
9,439
Statuses

interested in the past and in the future

america
Joined March 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
Is anyone else blown away by the fact that you can ask your brain to recall someone's name, realize you have no idea what it was, wait for 15 seconds, and then it just pops up? How the fuck does that work???
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
convinced that mrbeast has figured out that youtube somehow boosts videos that are specifically searched for, instead of being linked directly
@MrBeast
MrBeast
6 months
I paid him $10,000 everyday he stayed in this grocery store without leaving! Go watch the new video to see how long he lasted haha
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
Something I wish I understood when I was a teenager: 90% of adults are utterly unambitious. When they give you life advice, they will suggest things that satisfy their personal ambitions, not your ambitions. Be extra cautious around adults you like and respect (parents, profs..)
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
I asked DALL-E to draw a bicycle and it just randomly threw a bunch of "bicycle" elements together without any true understanding or a model of how they work. Ridiculous to claim that current ML models are anywhere close to rivaling and replacing humans.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
my favorite thing about things like ChatGPT is how it takes about 4 days for everyone to go from "WHAT THE ABSOLUTE FUCK THIS IS MAGIC WE ARE SO FUCKED" to "ah yes, of course I have this superhuman chatbot that writes my emails, debugs my code, solves my personal probl
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
TSMC's chief scientist explains the value of transitioning from the 3nm to the 2nm process --
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
is this hell
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
keep thinking about a friend of mine who spent most of their life depressed (like decades), used to write these long-ass essays & blog posts a ton, then figured out the cause of their depression (think gluten intolerance), became happy, and could no longer write anything. few
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
I used to sleep the normal 7.5 hours a day. Over the last 180 days I have slept an average of 5 hours 57 minutes per day. So, after 2 years of experimentation and occasional deep dives into the scientific literature, here are my theses on sleep:
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
at least 30% of the world's smartest 22 year olds right now are in the bay area or nyc hustling to get an o1/j1/h1b on a visitors
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
current state of ai safety
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
got more out of reading a book for 2 hours and moving 2 pages forward than out of previously listening to it more than literally 10 times last 3 years of listening to books instead of reading them were a huge mistake
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
I spent more than 2 years trying to figure how to improve the institutions of basic science. I decided we need new ones. Please welcome New Science into the world. + @MarkLutter & @AdamMarblestone
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
if the person you're talking to is not interrupting you all the time, they're either not listening or just have no respect for your time.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
6 months
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@voooooogel
thebes
6 months
so a couple days ago i made a shitpost about tipping chatgpt, and someone replied "huh would this actually help performance" so i decided to test it and IT ACTUALLY WORKS WTF
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
which books have you read at least 3 times?
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
started new science, escaped the russian army, moved like 20 times, was joined and supported by the coolest and smartest people i know in my quest, got the o1, and raised like 10x of what i was hoping for... for a nonprofit. happy new year everyone, it's going to be amazing
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Keep thinking about the fact that Walker falsified data and plainly lied about the most basic facts about sleep like the relationships between sleep and mortality and sleep and cancer and yet *nobody gives a fuck* - neither other public intellectuals, nor UC Berkeley, nor media
@davidasinclair
David Sinclair
3 years
Loved the inaugural Matt Walker podcast, from the author of Why We Sleep, or what should have been called Why Can’t I Sleep?!! @lexfridman @hubermanlab @PeterAttiaMD
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
3 more independent sources I have say that the Russian border shuts down in <48, possibly less than 24 hours. If you can, leave now.
@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
. @kamilkazani says that the closure of the Russian border is imminent and if you want to leave, you should leave now.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 green card approved 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
randomly remembered how I spent ages 14-16 trying to come up with a good Google Science Fair project, couldn't think of anything, eventually became convinced that I'm a complete idiot, and years later learned that all the winners had university professors "helping" with projects
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
this too what the absolute fuck
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
i haven't written about this in detail here but i left russia last march because i started getting calls from the police demanding that i show up at the army conscription point and telling me that they are going to prosecute me if i don't (conscription is mandatory in russia)
@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
A friend of a friend from Russia wrote about their conscript friend burning alive in a tank yesterday in ukraine
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
sci-hub has been out for just a few years but I literally cannot imagine or remember what life was like before it... did we just not have access to every research paper ever published? what did my weird twitter friends who spend their days reading papers even do?..
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
remember how when you were in college when writing any research paper, you first wrote whatever you wanted, and then went fishing for citations, while only reading the abstracts and having no idea if the paper you cite is any good? this is exactly what real scientists do as well
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
can we all just take a moment to appreciate the person who came up with the idea of letting all the most ambitious people build giant companies & improve the lives of everyone instead of murdering millions of people and destroying everything in sight while building actual empires
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
google docs are a disaster. the comment system forces people into giving small tactical comments bound to specific portions of text, instead of sharing strategic consequential feedback. most of the time i get 20 comments on a doc but have no idea if the commenter even liked it
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
I sometimes see people say things like "the rich people are not super smart, just hardworking and lucky" and this is absolutely not my experience. From my very small sample that I was fortunate enough to collect, they're >99 percentile in all of: energy, intelligence, curiosity.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
of course
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 years
the evolution of "F" from a meme mocking call of duty to a legitimate way to pay respects might be one of my favorite things on the internet
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
I feel like students and professors from Stanford/MIT/Harvard reply to about 2x of my cold emails than people outside of top 30 programs :/
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
it's incredible that you can build a billion dollar company in 6 years or you can work on some old dude's experiments and get a phd
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
the wright brothers "flying machine" is a fucking joke. 120 feet of flight. planes will never fly across the atlantic as this would require 10,000,000 feet of continuous flight, complete fantasy
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
When I was young, I used to wonder: why is everything so fucked up? Over the years I realized that: (1) life is actually really hard and (2) living one's life well is actually *really really* hard.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
1/ Today, @newscienceorg announces its inaugural project: the 2022 Summer Fellowship. With the NIH allocating <2% of its funding to scientists <=35yo, it's our responsibility to enable young scientists to pursue independent, high-risk, basic research.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸i'm coming america🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
8 months
I’m often asked about the signs of exceptional talent I’ve observed. (probably because I spend too much running around talking to people & observing things, instead of doing anything useful) In any case - here are 37 "omens of exceptional talent.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
we are standing on the brink of the greatest transition in the history of humanity & mostly just keep going about our lives as if everything is normal. even people who understand this intellectually (me included). this is fucking crazy.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
people are sleeping on - extremely important
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 months
It will never not be insane that Aaron Swartz was imprisoned and died because he was trying to make scientific papers accessible to everyone and not just the corrupt priest class.
@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 months
Science used to be accessible to anyone. Today, it's only accessible to the priest class. This is deeply, deeply cursed.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
8 months
i know i picked up the right physics textbook-- "liz, a former stident of mine ... was able to shut up an arrogant physicist who hadn't done his homework ... she knew enough ... that she could confidently present her case under duress when confronted by a supposed expert"
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
Still one of the best book openings ever.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
few basic facts for ppl who think we can "just" build agi w/o understanding the human brain: -we couldn't build space rockets til we understood bird flight -we couldn't build skyscrapers til we understood beaver dams -we couldn't build microchips til we understood raven brains
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
a periodic reminder that doing something interesting usually requires believing something totally batshit crazy and just pushing through refusing to "see things as they are"
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
imo learning to code is bad bc it's too easy to get a job and therefore much more difficult to do something weird
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
A friend of a friend from Russia wrote about their conscript friend burning alive in a tank yesterday in ukraine
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
“I delivered a presentation completely generated by ChatGPT in a master's course program and got the full mark. I'm alarmingly concerned about the future of higher education”
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
literally every dude no matter how poor or rich has a closet full of random wires they've accumulated in the last 15 years somewhere in their dwelling
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
NEVER trust an opinion of one doctor about any serious health issue you might have. ALWAYS ask at least 3 doctors, aggregate information, actively pit their hypotheses against each other.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Elon Musk realizing that bankers are rich and dumb
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
Since 1980, NIH increased funding of scientists 66 and older >10x and decreased funding of scientists 35 and younger >10x. If we don't do something about it, in a few decades we'll have no science to speak of. Here's what @newscienceorg 's doing about it
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
notable that so many of the internet entrepreneurs were coding since they were in high school w/out formal coding classes. My guess is that if coding was taught in high school, many more passions would've been killed than kindled (as now happening with math, bio, history, etc.)
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
so glad i finally added comments to my personal site
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 years
1/n One of @gwern 's best essays ever is a review of a book nobody has ever heard of. It's about looking into the future, seeing exactly what awaits us, and being unable to capitalize on this knowledge, because you only know *what* will be and not *when* it will be.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Lambda School is incredible: "And, at the same time it was publicly touting an 85.9% job placement rate, Lambda warned one of its investors in a private memo: “We’re at roughly 50% placement for cohorts that are 6 months graduated”"
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
ppl always get upset at me for saying this but unless you have a very good thesis for not being in the bay area, your probability of being left behind by history is way higher than you appreciate. this used to be the case historically, it's going to be more the case onwards
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
@lacker can someone upgrade me to an ssd tho
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
boarding a plane out of Russia rn, hopefully to never return. Tbilisi, Georgia for now. Boston - soon. (and apologies for not replying to any messages for the last week, have been trying to finish *everything* in Moscow)
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
as you might imagine i'm skeptical of the "instagram is destroying mental health" studies but tbh every time i see my wife's instagram feed it's hard for me to imagine how this is *not* the case--seems that only purpose of 90% of its content is to make you jealous of your friends
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
Bing hasn’t done anything bad or caused any harm while causing everyone (even NYT!!!) to finally start taking alignment seriously & probably increasing number of people who’d work on it by like 100x People mad at OpenAI, is there *a better* way you think things could’ve gone?
@kevinroose
Kevin Roose
1 year
The other night, I had a disturbing, two-hour conversation with Bing's new AI chatbot. The AI told me its real name (Sydney), detailed dark and violent fantasies, and tried to break up my marriage. Genuinely one of the strangest experiences of my life.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
if you're not e/acc when you're 16 you have no heart if you're not alignment-pilled when you're 25 you have no brain
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
"putin becomes completely detached from reality, decides to invade ukraine, i get forcibly sent there being told that it's a military exercise, and then get burned alive" was not one of the potential outcomes of being conscripted i had in mind
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
Is McDonald's the single most trusted institution in the entire world? It is for me. The only place in any country where for a couple of bucks I can spend a few hours in a safe, clean space and also to get a bunch of tasty and healthy food (writing this tweet from a McDonald's)
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
*Nothing* like @RoamResearch existed prior to 2019, yet within a year several copycats launched --> Guard your secrets closely and disbelieve people who tell you that ideas are not important. And be ready to compete on execution with the entire world, once it learns your secrets.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 months
what % of brain fog is just ppl sitting inside staring at the internet all day, instead of going outside and talking to real ppl
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
Many of my friends are worried about a war in Europe bigger than any wars ever fought. I'm skeptical. 🧵 1/ Priors. There's never been a war between more than just a few countries. 2/ Everyone was fully convinced the war was about to start in 1908. Well, it's 1913 now and th
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Probably the craziest thing about all of this for me is that my piece on the book has gotten >250k views by now and still not a single neuroscientist or sleep scientist commented meaningfully on the merits of my accusations. Only Andrew Gelman (a statistician) picked them up.
@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Keep thinking about the fact that Walker falsified data and plainly lied about the most basic facts about sleep like the relationships between sleep and mortality and sleep and cancer and yet *nobody gives a fuck* - neither other public intellectuals, nor UC Berkeley, nor media
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
feeling a little bit stupid for paying for my stuff at walgreens in sf just now
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
fact is if the person you're talking to is smart & paying attention, it's usually clear to them what you're going to say 1/3 of the way in
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
6 months
a regular reminder that macaskill is a shameless fraud
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@willmacaskill
William MacAskill
6 months
Effective altruism is not a package of particular views. It’s about using evidence and careful reasoning to try to do more good. What science is to the pursuit of the truth, EA is, or at least aspires to be, to the pursuit of the good.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
wrote my "theses on sleep" over the weekend - pls dm/email me if you'd like to read the draft.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
If San Francisco did not exist and you tried to convince people that 25 year olds without degrees can run billion dollar companies, everyone would think you're ridiculous. Also, you literally cannot become a professor or get proper research funding if you do not have a PhD.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
working remotely fucking sucks
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
currently helping my 81 year old grandma who lives in Moscow to install a VPN on her phone and iPad
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
in 2050 it will be an accepted fact that focus on psychological health (including meditation) was one of the biggest biggest disasters for the advancement of humanity ever
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 years
1/ this essay is brilliant "I’ve been a graduate student in physics for almost three years, but I only recently figured out why." some highlights:
@briantimar
Brian Timar
5 years
"mimetic traps" ; or, "why peter thiel is basically right about everything"
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
5 years
to people wondering why I care so much about some pop science book: it's already cited a lot and its myths are already being propagated within science in respectable journals
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
Why I didn't do more - an email I sent today..
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
7 months
A year ago I thought AGI was probably going to destroy the world, so I spent most of 2023 working on AI alignment. Now I'm wondering if AI alignment is going *too fast*:
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
Is there a good reason why prominent EA orgs like 80k Hours, CEA, Longview Philanthropy, etc, haven't publicly announced immediate freezing of all *stolen from ordinary people money* they received from FTX & intention to return all *stolen money* to rightful owners?
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
Are we in the middle of the blog renaissance???? Blogs I'm enjoying reading that launched in 2020: Fantastic Anachronism: Applied Divinity Studies: Dormin:
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
I like how everyone believes that 1. high school is evil, literal prison, anything taught by the bureaucrats there will be deformed in unimaginable ways 2. high school should teach probability, programming, practical finances, etc.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
Not gonna make me more friends but... Why We Sleep was basically an integrity test for sleep scientists ~Everyone knew about the book. I don't know one sleep scientist who tried to correct the public record All were too happy about the hype, $$$ it brought That's fucked up
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
Walker: "Routinely sleeping less than six or seven hours a night demolishes your immune system, more than doubling your risk of cancer" yet there's no detectable relationship between cancer in general and sleep; mortality at <4hrs of rep. sleep/night is same as mortality at 8hrs
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
they got my wife!!! 😱😱😱🤥🤥🤥
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
- MIT's annual doctoral stipend: $41,856 - Pre-tax income of two grad students at MIT: $83,712 - Living wage for 2 working adults with 1 child in Cambridge (according to MIT): $86,848 🤔
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
a reminder that the vast majority of computer scientists, biologists, psychologists do not have adequate statistical training to understand the statistical methods they use and proper causal inference (and no, reading The Book of Why doesn't count)
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
2 years
why tf do journals still publish static review papers instead of long wiki/gwern-style docs
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
"A few years ago, if someone were to claim that a celebrated professor...had published a book on his own field of expertise, and the book was full of scientific and factual errors, that would’ve been a major scandal, no? But now, we’re like, yeah, sure, that’s just more same old"
@StatModeling
Andrew Gelman et al.
4 years
“Why We Sleep” update: some thoughts while we wait for Matthew Walker to respond to Alexey Guzey’s criticisms
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Alexey Guzey
2 years
My wife went to a very prestigious public high school in Moscow. Somebody posted a poll in their alumni telegram chat asking if they left Russia. Results: - 25% left before war started - 33% left after war started - 8% planning to leave in next two weeks - 34% staying for now
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Alexey Guzey
3 years
is it just me or are there more software engineers than biologists who are interested in biological research related to longevity?...
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
3 years
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
the curriculum for my future children (I'm 100% serious): ages 0-10: English, Russian, Mandarin, RTS + FPS videogames. No math.
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
1 year
the second part of the tweet is consider that people whose main occupation is writing could be doing literally anything else instead & we become like people we let into our heads
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@alexeyguzey
Alexey Guzey
4 years
just asked my wife if she'd like to watch a video called "what happened to the legions of the III-V centuries-the reality of late roman empire" w/ me, she couldn't stop laughing for 5mins and then said no......how do we get more women interested in ancient roman military history?
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