Lee Stewart Profile
Lee Stewart

@tapas321

1,099
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An epidemiologist is good at drawing charts & lines, a successful trader's job is dependent on him reading between those lines. Data analyst (for profit)

Joined February 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
Covid twitter is worse than ever. Zerocovid & Antivax both deeply entrenched in completely ridiculous (in the real world) argument, just making things up as they go along. To make things worse there are senior professional scientists on both extremes. #followthescience my arse!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
NHS! YOU're paid to do a job, YOU're a service industry paid for by the taxpayer, the clue is in the name. Around 8% of our wages goes on YOU! YOU don't get to make the rules, YOU need to become more efficient to deal with an aging population and spend our cash more wisely.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
If you’re asked to build a model on Omicron severity & do so in denial that 95% of the country who have antibodies also have other serious defences mechanisms such as T cell & memory cell resistance, and label your results with 95% certainty, you have no credibility whatsoever.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@shoshanahjacobs @flo_mask My wife has been 3 years without Covid as well. Worked in a GP Surgery throughout the pandemic, no hepa, no distancing (impossible in that surgery), no enovid spray, no @flo_mask . Funny old game innit?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
So will anyone in the press step up to the plate and publicly shame Imperial for that garbage fictional nonsense they've put out today? You know, call them out for making up fairy stories? Preferably a top virologist? Ta!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Every f*cking where I turn on covid twitter is populated by people who honestly believe that masking is a silver bullet against covid infection, despite every kind of real world evidence to the contrary. I blame the messaging from the zero coviders & their armies of followers.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
4 months
Does Stephen Kinnock not understand that part of the production of steel involves a coal fired coking plant & his own party want coal banned from the UK by 2030? As such, what is the point of Tata Steel staying here? It’s over, jobs gone, they’ll simply move elsewhere.
@SkyNews
Sky News
4 months
Labour MP Stephen Kinnock says he urges Tata Steel to "sit down and listen very carefully to what the multi-union are saying". More than 3,000 jobs are at risk at the Tata Steel plant in Port Talbot, which is in Mr Kinnock's constituency. 📺 Sky 501
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
And there you have it, Daily Mirror first up with misleading headlines........
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
I have to say, these people need to live in the real world. What on earth do they expect the Govt to do when mortality is lower than pre covid levels and the majority of covid admissions are not 'for' covid? FFS, get over yourself!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
@onecrapguy @piersmorgan “Trump is a good friend. I have interviewed him more than 30 times and I have spoken to him on the phone every three or four weeks for years. "When I have had tough times, he has called me and we talk about personal stuff". Piers Morgan-2017
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Lots of people in hospital 'WITH' a very transmissible virus that loves it indoors shock! Meanwhile, ICU use, almost a month into Omicron, flat as a pancake & weekly deaths (England) are in fact showing a decrease of 50% since 5/11 although I'm sure there's a Xmas reporting lag!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@GaryLineker Unfortunately it’s now known that games were called off by the FA because they know that ‘certain football clubs’ have a long ‘history’ of not respecting the Monarchy and a propensity to boo the National Anthem.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
4 months
@AlbaTimi Does Scotland stand for indiscriminate bombing of innocent ships manned by innocent civilians on one of the busiest 'neutral' shipping straits on earth, with the consequence being that if they can't navigate that route we will all pay more for goods from the Asia & Middle east?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Got to say, I find the covid twitter pussyfooting around the obvious fact that omicron WILL lead to an increase in cases, but as yet an unknown amount of pressure on NHS...and the view that 'plan b' will make the remotest difference....by mathematicians....absolutely hilarious!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@barelyrepresse1 @MaesPiet Unvaccinated with 'only' mild symptoms sounds pretty bloody good to me.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 months
Those taxes are repaying over £400 billion of state debt created by Covid furlough & Energy support, an expense that not only did @UKLabour support but wanted to extend. Let that sink in.🙄
@RachelReevesMP
Rachel Reeves
2 months
Under the Tories, we have the highest tax burden in 70 years - and the tax burden is still rising each and every year. Let that sink in.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
@piersmorgan @FLOTUS @DrBiden “Trump is a good friend. I have interviewed him more than 30 times and I have spoken to him on the phone every three or four weeks for years. "When I have had tough times, he has called me and we talk about personal stuff". Piers Morgan-2017
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@theAliceRoberts The vulnerable are more than welcome to put an FFP mask on, what's the alternative seeing we absolutely know cloth masks don't stop transmission on public transport (see Scotland & France cases for proof)? Do you seriously want it mandatory for everyone to wear FFP masks forever?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Mortality data 'Plague Island' v the 4 major Western EU countries for the last 12 months.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@l_krishnan 7 days post wedding, similar amount of guests (approx 180). No masks, no hepa filters, lots of kissing, cuddling, dancing, singing, frivolity. NO covid cases reported to date. I bet we had a better time
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@IndependentSage I'd like to ask whether you feel at all guilty about your constant calls for 'dangerous' schools to be closed during covid, the result being an even more dangerous long term obesity issue as a result of them being locked indoors for months on end & the most deprived hardest hit?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@Keir_Starmer Nonsense. Inflation & rates are going up everywhere whether Govts are left or right of the political spectrum. Printing money, something Labour would advocate more of, would only add to that inflationary pressure 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Well that's a bit of an escalation. Carole seems to have gone from insisting upon hepa filters in schools to a nuclear war with Russia! 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
I bet this is a laugh a minute.🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
8 months
@drphilhammond Have you seriously never heard of Krugman’s Leprochaun Economics? Paul Krugman famously dubbed this phenomenon after Ireland’s GDP grew by more than 22% in 2015 due to tax shenanigans. Irish GDP was just a little over 500 billion euros in 2022. GNI is substantially lower.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
She's at it again! Big statements not backed up by facts. She failed to mention that in the last 12 months (11/2/21-10/2/22) Germany has reported 55,450 covid deaths (Worldometers) v UK 42,951. Even with larger population that's more deaths per million🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@zarahsultana 1) How are you going to get the likes of Shell & BP, who's profits are mainly earnt abroad, to pay that type of money? 2) How much tax do you think you'll get off them next year when they move to the EU to pay less tax, maybe holing in Dublin with the likes of Google & Amazon?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
So how are our mask wearing Italian pals getting on? An update shows they have 4 times the cases, infection growing more quickly & with twice the positivity rate (20% v 10%), all despite legally enforcing FFP2 masks in many settings. According to IndySage though masks work.🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@BallouxFrancois This made me laugh
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@JustStop_Oil No let’s be angry with YOU. Just let people get on with their lives, they’re not your enemy. You are alienating public support. Find another way!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
So I see that the 'follow the science' brigade who largely blamed covid for increased child hepatitis were wrong. To compound this, it seems the true cause was largely down to suppression of adenoviruses due to the restrictions they were keen to extend? 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
The 'extra testing' post half term case bounce is simply failing to materialise. Cases by reporting date -22% v a fortnight ago, Over 80's still dropping and over 60's again in negative territory. Next to come is case data translating into lower admissions, a matter of time!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
December UK Gas Futures price down to 243, the lowest level for 6 months, as futures market converges with today's spot price. That's a drop of 56% from the price before the mini budget & 27% of August peak. Even the OBR have to acknowledge this (as does the forthcoming budget).
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@GaryLineker @ollysmithtravel It's a ridiculous argument is for you to suggest you sitting in an air conditioned studio/ 5 star Hotel in Qatar reporting on a match we can all see on the tv is remotely similar to being a war journalist who is putting his life at risk trying to find out what's actually going on
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
@timspector In Havering there has been an 'emergency' list compiled of people on the front line (NHS staff and volunteers) who can get to the vax centre at short notice. They get a call and get the jab to avoid wastage. Not sure why Watford not doing same.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
9 months
@LondonEconomic It’s a lot of old bollocks to be honest. Thousands lose their bank account without explanation every year. Farage has done these people a service. NatWest lied, they broke client confidentiality rules/ laws, Farage, like those thousands, IS a victim. It really is that simple.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
London admissions still looking promising....early days of course and a lot of holiday noise but green shoots nonetheless.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@timspector Tim, 1) Your survey is a symptomatic survey. ONS also has asymptomatic. ONS should be a far higher no than Zoe, that simply isn't the case now. 2) Zoe is meant to be real time. ONS a lag. ONS has shown cases dropping since 31st January, Zoe showed cases rising until last weekend
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@devisridhar Except Help Out to Eat Out, which only occurred in August, according to ONS Infection Study, had no bearing on cases? (ONS numbers below). But you crack on with your misguided political opinion Devi! 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
@PaulNuki @ScienceShared I wish Deepti and ‘some’ of iSage who continuously abuse JCVI and other professionals would occasionally take a deep breath before ranting and raving, getting thousands of retweets from the cabal along the way. It’s not a good look and highly unprofessional.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Just a word of caution re exponential growth. It only lasts for a short of time. To the peak it's not lasted more than a couple of weeks before it tails off, whether in England or elsewhere, seemingly South Africa now. It could go very high but will burn itself out very quickly
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Why I get a pit pissed off with lazy journalism, the likes of @Peston @PaulBrandITV who STILL peddle the redacted mini budget as the cause of BOE hike today? FWIW 5 year bonds since pre mini budget. UK + 6 basis points US +64 bp Italy +39bp Germany +29bp France +29bp #lazyjournos
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
9 months
@LizWebsterSBF What diminishing returns are they Liz? After the initial expected shock the UK has outperformed EU economically for nearly 3 years now?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@sheencr @BBCNews I'm not anti vaxxer, far from it, but 'independentsage' and 'factchecker' is an oxymoron.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@devisridhar If I've learned anything from covid twitter during the pandemic, it's that the term 'epidemiologist' holds little water when accurately dealing with numbers. Too many scientists allow political leanings to cloud the science. There are far too many examples to list here.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@Gab_H_R I had BA.2 last week, tested positive for 5 days, no more than a drippy nose.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@skepticalzebra Spot on. I'm feeling shit today, I got covid March 2020. does that mean I've got long covid or a hangover?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@andrew_lilico Last week he was putting himself up as a journo alongside those brave war reporters in Ukraine putting their necks on the line (with some getting killed along the way)🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@fact_covid @UKHSA The booster effect has been absolutely amazing. Infections (England) in first boosted 80+ age group are down 54% in a month, 60+ down 40%. Admissions in over 65's down 46% in a month from 3,795 a week to 2,062.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@doctor_oxford They want a "NINETEEN POINT TWO PERCENT" payrise FFS! Ridiculous!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
8 months
@DrFrancesRyan 1) 126 admissions 'for' covid on 8th September. 2) Covid critical care beds 78 in the whole of England (56.5 million population). 3) Beds taken up 'for' covid less than we saw throughout 2022. A sense of proportion please or does Covid make you relevant?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
10 months
@brianmoore666 And how many left wing hacks were quick the label him an illegal money launderer.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@timspector What messaging would you like Tim? Even you're charts are showng a slowdown, as is dashboard. Cases will peak in the next week or so and then come down again.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@cjsnowdon Does he consider the cost benefit for people's mental health upon now re-entering a state of purgatory?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Chris Whitty: keeping Covid restrictions will only delay wave | Coronavirus | The Guardian
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@OwenJones84 Imagine thinking that suffering excess deaths following the closure of hospitals to non covid patients who were awaiting urgent operations was ‘avoidable’? 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@chrischirp He hasn’t said people should no longer self isolate has he? He’s just removed the legal requirement, a legal requirement that never existed in most countries in the first place….eg Scotland. 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
5 months
@BallouxFrancois Sorry Francois it was IMO clearly put that way so as not to apportion any blame to Hamas, in a country who mostly don’t want to apportion any blame on Hamas.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@ConversationEDU @UNSW Yep, masks are working a treat! 🤣
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Lee Stewart
2 years
@EssexPR Not a lot of people know that Brent Crude is currently only 8.24% above it's pre covid peak in October 2018. Oil is our main energy source.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
10 months
@MartinSLewis The question should be "Are you prepared to pay a lot more money for more green energy"?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
BuT zOe sAyS thAt cAsEs hAvE bEEn gOinG uP fOr 2 WeeKs
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@mariel_turner Loads of Italians legally bound to wear FFP2 masks, it doesn't seem to be making much difference? Maybe it's not the silver bullet people think it is?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
This says everything about twitter, think of a number, double it, add a couple of zeroes on the end and post it out as fact, 10k likes, nearly 6k RT's 🙄
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
New cases - dashboard! DOWN! I know Zoe is reporting higher cases but find that difficult to believe! 1) still 1 mill+ tests being recorded on the system daily 2) recent hospital data still reducing. Await ONS for confirmation though! Biggest dashboard % drops in over 60's!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@BBCNewsnight Why do you simply accept these 'professional' answers without questioning? Where is the evidence masks 'work' on a population level in the Omicron era? Many of these same professionals ( @IndependentSage )were calling for school closures until the (impossible) eradication of Covid!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
So happily, as predicted Covid Admissions now dropping on a weekly basis, covid hospital beds will follow suit in 2 or 3 days time. BA.4/5 wave admissions peaked at 12% less than BA.2 (13,049 week ending 13/7 v 14,809 week ending 31/3).
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
6 months
This really is no more than binary nonsense from Vallance & whoever else wishes to repeat it. Unless there was a similar EOTHO initiative in the EU, it's clear that the policy wasn't the driver of infections. Pat ain't a numbers man, he's a Chief Exec of GlaxoSmithKline FFS!🙄
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@janemerrick23
Jane Merrick
6 months
NEW: Rishi Sunak's Eat Out To Help Out scheme drove a second wave of Covid, Sir Patrick Vallance has told the #CovidInquiry . This is the 1st time the link has been confirmed by a senior figure in govt at the time @theipaper :
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Lee Stewart
1 year
@cjsnowdon Indeed! Absolutely ridiculous! It's like congratulating a murderer who has been charged with 3 counts of murder & only been convicted of 1 count.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@IndependentSage @chrischirp @ReicherStephen @SGriffin_Lab @SusanMichie @BinitaKane @HelenRSalisbury @globalhlthtwit @trishgreenhalgh @sheencr @Zubhaque Can you let us know why, despite your total insistence on NPI’s, particularly masking, it seems that nearly every member of Independent Sage have now caught covid at least once. As such, are you sure you are the guys to advise on ‘safe’ environments?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@chrischirp What is your solution to protect pre school babies from building an immune system to Covid/ Omicron? There isn’t an approved baby vaccine anywhere on earth, they don’t go to school, they don’t understand masking? I don’t understand what you suggest we do?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@GNev2 @Conservatives Surely this is more horrible @GNev2 ?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
3 years
@ShaunLintern And if I hear one more time about the issues within the NHS being all Covid related, rather than due to underfunding for 30-40 years, I am also going to lose it. Beds are full up with respiratory sufferers every winter. There were 5 times more covid cases in hospital in January!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
11 months
@devisridhar My main issue is that you clearly are not impartial. 1) Sweden barely locked down yet have one of the best covid records on earth. 2) Scotland have almost identical excess deaths as England yet you never criticised Sturgeon.
@dobssi
Paul C of 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 i 🇸🇪
1 year
ASMR excess estimates with latest data.... Nations and Western European cities/regions. First, overall to latest data points: 1/
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@timspector Tim, Zoe has no trend correlation with ONS whatsoever over the end of Jan/ start of Feb. If your app were right hospital data would have shifted sharply upwards.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@devisridhar I want to know why, despite masking mandates in place in Scotland, the hospitalisation numbers there have been so much higher than in unmasked England?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
I'm confused. The big 2 items of the mini budget were 1) the reversal of the 1.25% hike in NIC's. This will put a bit of cash into working people's pockets. It will cost about £16 bill a year. 2) the energy cap to keep people warm this winter. What are people complaining about?
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Lee Stewart
2 years
@danielgoyal Sigh! It’s pretty much replaced the flu at this stage. I still see your thread is being retweeted everywhere, mainly by Indy, without correction? This makes you no better than a smiley I’m afraid. Omicron iS nOt sIx tIMes as bAD aS tHe fLu! Please take it down for accuracy sake!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
So the loonies on the warpath about how 'Help Out To Eat Out' caused a covid wave after wassapps from a then misguided Health Minister. For the record, Covid incidence was lower by the end of August than it was at the end of July. The scheme was in place only in August. C/o ONS!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@EssexPR It's a throwaway comment but IF “ All guests returned negative antigen tests before the event but more than half are now isolating. The infected staff were all fully vaccinated & are showing no symptoms ” that throwaway comment were true, the pandemic IS statistically over.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
So following on from my tweet last night, we did get that mortality catch up from NHS, the revised number was 365, a weekly DECREASE of 1.3% from previous week despite us well into Omicron wave now. Sounds harsh but I'll settle for a DECREASE of 29% from week ending 5th Nov
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@MartThorn2024
MartThorn
2 years
NHS England have reported 365 new Covid hospital deaths over the period 25-30th Dec.. These I think will be added to today's 4pm number so I expect lots of noise on here about the high death number.. This is how hospital Covid deaths look including this:
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Word of warning re poss high mortality data tomorrow as a result of Christmas backlog. In the week ending Dec 23rd in England we had 684 deaths. To get to 685 deaths for the week ending Dec 30th we will need a daily no of 375 tomorrow. Anything less & weekly deaths reducing....
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@ReicherStephen That article assessed 46 unvaxed, previously covid naive, severely ill inpatients in 2020. No relevancy to our population now. Do IndySage ever stop to consider the damage they may be doing to their followers' mental health with this constant, now irrelevant bad news overload
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
Below were Independent Sage's requirements from 17th September 2021, more than 18 months into the pandemic. All the elderly by this stage had the chance of 2 vaccinations & the offer of a winter booster. They were effectively demanding a dystopian society!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@ClaudiaWebbe Would you support a charitable organisation, with a huge balance sheet of expenses, to support white women only? This charity doesn't even support women of mixed race? Asking for a friend?
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Lee Stewart
2 years
@IndependentSage I would ask @IndependentSage what they suggest doing about the long term educational, mental & physical health damage to children they have encouraged throughout the pandemic by requesting longer lockdowns and school closures? That 5% increase in child obesity is shocking!
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Lee Stewart
2 years
@andrew_lilico I’m not sure what evidence is required when front line S Africa are saying that after 4 weeks they have no one on oxygen or dead. It’s clear from their CPR that they’re getting multiples of reported daily cases. We have 95% with antibodies, probably 99% with b/T-cell immunity.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Latest England Numbers last year v now 2020 2021 % Change Admissions 2,886 2,370 -17.9% In Hospital 22,728 12,395 -45.5% In ICU 1,899 789 -58.45% Mortality 820 178 -78.29%
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@jonlis1 They have absolutely no right whatsoever to turn up with loadhailers & spoil the enjoyment of 10's of thousands of people who have come a long way to enjoy the ceremony. And that has been the case since the Public Order Act 1936 was introduced.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
The most recent factual comparison I can find from on 8th December 2022
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@NHSConfed @FRSAMatthew @BBCBreakfast Those asymptomatic staff currently off 'with' covid should be at work, as they were when they had colds, remember them?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@GaryLineker They've paid nearly 80% of their UK profits in taxes FFS! BP lost £18 billion in 2020, did anyone offer to put their hand in their pockets to cover their losses that year?
@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
I find it incomprehensible that @RachelReevesMP is pretty much nailed on to be our next Chancellor! BP made less than $2.8 bill North Sea profit (<10%) & will pay $2.2 bill in tax. That's around 79% tax on UK profits. Does she want to drive all business away from the UK?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@SGriffin_Lab Except cases peaked before the school holidays.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
6 months
@Peston But you didn't, you wrote an article about Herd Immunity at that time, you never complained.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
1 year
@doctor_oxford How about the 20% that goes into their pension pots every year on top of the numbers quoted above? They should be included as well.
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
Anyway, I'm off to the theatre & on to a restaurant in London to see in New Year, so apart from an occasional browse I'm out of here. Here's to a wonderful New Year, Omicron proving to turn out how I suspect, not nice but leading to endemic state & covid twitter free 2022. HNY!
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
9 months
@LizWebsterSBF £/€ was trading at 1.02 in 2008 when we were still in the Euro, it’s now 1.17. Your point is?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
9 months
@TomLondon6 Why don't you try turning up in US/ EU/ Australia or pretty much anywhere without a passport or a visa & see if they'll leave you free to walk into their country?
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@tapas321
Lee Stewart
2 years
@andrew_lilico So they're not happy with the 25% reduction in admissions in the last month, or 22% reduction of covid patients in hospital? FFS!
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