Matthew Pines @matthew_pines Twitter profile

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Matthew Pines

1 year

My first novel, Expectation Value, is a story of spies, physicists, mercenaries, and billionaire cult leaders fighting to control world-changing technology. The catch? The secret lies in the mind of one man and he's terrified of what he knows... Order👇

Expectation Value

www.amazon.com

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Last Seen Profiles

@ThomasFarringt5

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@bigbreadpaul

@Chris91970332

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@simpforwanda_m

@bereacollege

@actressstark

@AshleyGochoco

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@timppuk

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@yuzu_ywj

@kyrebii

@Tenmar

@CoachWaddle

@STREAM_NKH

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

It won’t be QE, it will be “restoring financial stability”. It won’t be YCC, it will be “fixing market dysfunction”. It won’t be a bail-out, it will be “exigent & unusual circumstances”. It won’t be indefinite debt monetization, it will be “a targeted, limited intervention”.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

The idea of a bi-polar or multi-polar trading system just doesn’t accord with reality. China *dominates* trade even more than the U.S. did at its post-WW2 peak. This is an uncomfortable fact with which western geoeconomic strategy must reckon. We can’t live in a fantasy…

Elbridge Colby

@ElbridgeColby

1 year

"In place of a unified world trading system, many U.S. policymakers have resigned themselves to the idea that the world is sorting itself into two or more trading groups — one led by the U.S. and one by China."

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

12 days

I need a Netflix doc about the Aponte family. - Wealth of $100B++ - Richest family in Switzerland - Own world’s largest shipping firm - Run it as a family business - Intensely secretive - Dominate state-owned operations - Oh, and infiltrated by drug cartels

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

If MSTR is added to the S&P500, index funds have to buy it according to its market weight, which boosts its price, which increases the MSTR premium allowing Saylor to issue more equity & debt to buy more BTC, which makes BTC go up, which increases MSTR & index weight, etc… 🤔

David Bailey🇵🇷 $0.65m/btc is the floor

@DavidFBailey

2 months

You gotta love how Microstrategy went from a top 2000 company to a top 300 company by marketcap in less than a month lol We were just hypothesizing when they'd get added to S&P500 and now they're 2x the threshold...

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

28 days

Ok, this is gonna blow your mind: 🤯 Jeff Bezos’ grandfather was a naval officer during WW2 who moved to leadership in the Atomic Energy Commission’s Division of Military Applications, and from there helped found DARPA, working on “space technology and ballistic missile

Harald Malmgren

@Halsrethink

28 days

@jonst0kes According to DOD and DARPA records Jeff Bezos was at that time working on missile trajectories and also re-engineering "UAP objects acquired by DOD" in early 1960s!!!

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

6 months

A current very highly cleared DoD SES recently confided to me that AARO is “entirely a disinformation activity” designed to “cover and distract” with “no qualms about misleading Congress.” This person also indicated they were recently given a SCIF briefing on the “Grusch stuff”.

Rogue UAPTF

@RogueUAPTF

6 months

AARO is a fly paper operation, designed to shield a couple of very specific CIA, DOE, Air Force and NGO operational recovery, reverse engineering and advanced technology programs from would-be whistleblowers. They even have a website where would-be whistleblowers can blow away

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Russia leaning in to #bitcoin , while preparing for wartime sanctions. China banning bitcoin, while pushing their digital yuan. U.S. giving mixed messages, while dangling an EO and seizing a large BTC stash. IMF and BIS accelerating CBDC "pilots". What's context & signal here?

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

I keep coming back to these charts from @LynAldenContact , thinking about the ways “this time may be different”. A key difference imo is the nature of the Treasury market itself. Unlike 40s (or even 70s), USTs are the foundational reserve asset & collateral for global $ system.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Just about every major power/institution has made severe strategic mistakes: EU relying on RU energy. Putin invading Ukraine. Xi sticking to Covid-Zero. The Fed missing inflation. Japan monetary policy at a dead-end. The UK letting pensions almost trigger another Lehman.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Everyone is stuck, with no good options: Putin can’t win, but can’t retreat. Xi can’t grow, but can’t shrink. Fed can’t bid USTs, but needs to keep USTs bid. ECB can’t let Italian bonds go, but can’t keep seeing German PPI grow. BOJ can’t drop YCC, but can’t kill JPY. 🥴

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

Summary 🧵 of a long but must-read: A yearlong investigation uncovered evidence suggesting "Havana Syndrome" may be caused by directed energy weapons wielded by Russian GRU Unit 29155. Members of the unit have been placed at the scene of suspected attacks on U.S. personnel. 1/

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

Unraveling Havana Syndrome: New evidence links the GRU's assassination Unit 29155 to mysterious attacks on Americans, at home and abroad From @the_ins_ru , @christogrozev , and @michaeldweiss . English:

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

Why do I keep seeing this guy pop up? Always in spaces. Now at Davos? Getting major grifter/con-man vibes…

Mario Nawfal

@MarioNawfal

1 year

My message at Davos was simple: Crypto NEEDED to crash! We were all too greedy and we deserved it!

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Every house in the UK will soon be running a Bitcoin ASIC…

Javier Blas

@JavierBlas

2 years

BREAKING: UK government freezes gas and electricity bills for the average household at £2,500 at year for the next 2 years | #EnergyCrisis #EnergyTwitter

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

4 months

In 1945, Treasury Secretary Morgenthau set a cash reporting threshold of $10,000 to combat black marketeering during WW2. This threshold was codified & broadened in the Bank Secrecy Act in 1972 & never changed. W/ inflation, that $10K would equate to a ~$175K threshold today.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

@iAmTheWarax @JohnHultquist @oneunderscore__

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

The last thing you see when Guy Fieri takes power in a violent coup, declares the People’s Republic of Flavortown, and burns all counterrevolutionaries at the grill station…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

8 months

Things are getting weird…

Michael Shellenberger

@shellenberger

8 months

When a UFO whistleblower told Congress in July that the government had retrieved alien spacecraft and "biologics," many dismissed his claims. But now, dozens of whistleblowers have given testimony to Congress, the Pentagon, and the IC Inspector General corroborating his claims.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

6 months

The question is why? If there is nothing to this UAP stuff, what harm would it do to have an independent review board look into it? Seems we need some reporters to look into what exactly is motivating the “Mikes” to weaken the Schumer Amendment in the FY24 NDAA?

Ross Coulthart

@rosscoulthart

6 months

This story is 100% accurate. An extremely powerful Defense Aerospace lobby is pushing key politicians in Congress to block the Schumer Amendment to the NDAA.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

At a time when geopolitical & economic shifts threaten to disrupt the global monetary order, can #Bitcoin give the U.S. a national security advantage? The Bitcoin Policy Institute conducted an assessment of this question. Here is what we found: 👇 🧵

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

#Bitcoin is often maligned as shady money, a Ponzi scheme, an energy waste, even as a threat to the US dollar. Rarely discussed is how it can support U.S. strength by fostering renewable energy, help counter China, and drive innovation. Here's how:

Bitcoin Supports US National Economic Strength

Shortly after taking office, President Biden described a world at an “inflection point” and stressed the need for democracies to demonstrate they “can still deliver for our people.&r

www.realclearpolicy.com

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

8 months

👀

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

8 months

Things are getting weird…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Wait, I thought Bitcoin was the best tool for money laundering? Turns out it’s Deutsche Bank…

Michael Sallah

@MikeSallah7

2 years

SECRET RECORDS: Three times, Deutsche Bank found that oligarch Ihor Kolomoisky's company was moving millions in suspicious money into the US. And three times, the bank kept moving the money in amounts that later confounded laundering experts. w/ @Ashley__Murray and @TanyaKozyreva

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

By squeezing Germany out of global value chains, China would secure a dominant strategic position. The tripolar network of exports on its way towards unipolar (Chinese) dominance. China isn’t trying to setup its own “trade bloc”—it’s executing a hostile takeover of current one.

Harald Malmgren

@Halsrethink

1 year

China is refusing its export mix to claim dominant positions in world markets. China BYD EVs will soon overwhelm German EV output at much lower cost, crushing German Big 3 automakers. German industry hollowing out is coming

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

“Former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson claimed that Russian officials approached the Chinese in the summer of 2008 suggesting that both countries sell large amounts of debt issued by U.S. Government-Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs), such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…”

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

Seems like a story here, right? *scans MSM* *crickets*

UAP News

@HighPeaks77

5 months

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer calls out House Republicans trying to kill the UAP Disclosure Act in the NDAA. @SenSchumer

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

If there’s one thing you read this weekend, it should be this…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

In 2023, I significantly updated my credences on UAPs, ending the year effectively certain (95-99%) of the following core facts: (A) Non-human intelligences & associated tech/craft are real & proximate to us. (B) Increasingly many folks in official positions know (A) is true.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

4 months

I feel like something happened…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

Dave knows a lot & knows a lot of people that know even more. There are now a lot of people (in Congress, their staff, and the NSC/EOP) that know what they all know. They now know things they can’t “unknow”. It’s just a question of when & how *you* will know what *they* know.

Mike Colangelo

@MikeColangelo

5 months

David Grusch has Firsthand Knowledge 💥🛸 David Grusch says that the watering down of the Schumer/Rounds amendment is the greatest legislative failure in American history. Grusch also reveals that he does in fact have firsthand knowledge and will be able to tell more in a "few

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

The case for Bitcoin, as a long-term investment, simplified: End of long-term debt cycle & financial repression -> hard assets win. Rising geopolitical risk -> portable, neutral assets with low counter-party risk win. Global hyperconnectivity in EMs -> borderless networks win.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

So this is the fabled Lyn bump. Joke’s on you all: you’re now in for my random tweets on aliens and theoretical physics… 😉

Lyn Alden

@LynAldenContact

2 years

People should follow Matthew Pines @matthew_pines . National security expert. Constantly impresses me, and I am admittedly overloaded and thus very hard to impress. Few people impress me on a regular and recurring basis, but Matthew does. I recommend this description rarely.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

Note that the SSCI is ~8 months ahead of the HOC in their investigation behind-the-scenes (Grusch testified in secret in DEC2022 after ICIG referral). I expect the FBI/DoJ also has cases open to investigate criminal allegations (threats, fraud, etc). This has quite a # of legs.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

I detect a sea-change in UAP "strategic communications" evidenced by recent statements from: Sens. Rubio, Gillibrand & Warner (all SSCI members) & Rep. Gallagher (who chairs the House Select Committee on China). This is a serious issue that DC is slowly digesting... Context:🧵

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

One consequence of the extreme secrecy, dysfunction (and likely illegality) involved here is that the normal modalities of USG strategic communication haven’t yet kicked into gear… this is a problem that I suspect/hope the WH/NSC & Gang of Eight are now scrambling to address…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

Sounds like something important and newsworthy, but what do I know…

Chuck Schumer

@SenSchumer

5 months

It is an outrage the House didn’t work with us on our UAP proposal for a review board. This means declassification of UAP records will be up to the same entities that have blocked and obfuscated their disclosure for decades. We will keep working to change the status quo.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

7 months

The strategic objective of Iran (and China/Russia) is to kill India Middle East Corridor (IMEC). KSA-Israel “normalization” is just one press release from flipping back on, but these strategic geoeconomic alignments are the key crux. I’m not sure if IMEC is dead yet, but 🤷‍♂️.

Patrick Fox

@RealCynicalFox

7 months

Saudi Arabia has announced it will suspend normalization with Israel. This strategic Iranian victory was the point of the attack . It likely reduces the chances of full Hezbollah involvement. No point risking their second proxy now that the goal has been achieved.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

I’m pretty sure this is the most remarkable piece of legislative text the Senate has ever approved. Just a short set of provisions… that contains *multitudes*… (FY 2024 Intelligence Authorization Act, included in the National Defense Authorization Act passed 86-11 on 7/27.)👇

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

1/ Why are the US dollar & Treasury securities so dominant as global reserve assets? You might think it's just inertia or a lack of good alternatives, but a new paper by Dr. Hendrickson argues there's a fascinating deeper story here that goes back centuries. Summary thread:🧵

Josh Hendrickson

@RebelEconProf

2 months

At long last, the draft is here. "The Treasury Standard: Causes and Consequences"

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

4 months

@IWANTTOKNOWUK They were told of specific facilities by the ICIG. They will now try to gain access or door-knock.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

“BMW, Volkswagen, Volvo and Jaguar Land Rover have all partnered with China Unicom to develop 5G connectivity within cars in recent years. China Unicom was sanctioned by the US in 2021 over national security worries.”

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

4 months

It still surprises me how Bitcoin makes otherwise reasonable and presumably competent professionals absolutely lose their cool. There is a seething rage lurking beneath a post like this that doesn’t seem healthy.

Better Markets

@BetterMarkets

4 months

The @SECGov 's action today has changed nothing about this worthless financial product: #Bitcoin and #crypto still have no legitimate use; remain the preferred product of speculators, gamblers, predators, and criminals; and continue to be cesspools of fraud, manipulation, and

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

8 months

The IC IG states that it has NOT conducted an “audit, inspection, evaluation, or review of alleged UAP programs…”. Note the official taxonomy for IC IG activities includes: “audits, investigations, inspections, and reviews.” Is it curious that an “investigation” is not denied?

D. Dean Johnson

@ddeanjohnson

8 months

CONGRESS UFO UPDATE Inspector General of the Intelligence Community (IC IG) Thomas A. Monheim responds to six individual members of the House of Representatives: "As a matter of discretion, IC IG notes that it has not conducted any audit, inspection, evaluation, or review of

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 days

David Grusch was doing his duty in making sure he would be absolved by ODNI CAPCO before sharing sensitive CIA HCS-Operations Restricted Handling (RH) information with AARO. RH is reserved for exceptionally valuable and fragile CIA human source information. Often *single

Christopher Sharp

@ChrisUKSharp

12 days

AARO staff have been unwilling to address in writing the specific handling of classified compartmented information, such as the CIA Directorate of Operations’ compartmented data on human sources and non-UAP related but adjacent compartmented programs. Ball is in AARO'S court.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

At this point, it should be clear that the Executive & Legislative branches of US Government (on a bipartisan basis) are treating UAP Disclosure as an issue of the highest national significance. It is incumbent on national leadership to address it directly & prepare the public.

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

All this seems to implicitly confirm @rosscoulthart 's reporting about members Congress being well-informed on this topic. Which should lend credence to his reporting that NSA Sullivan "attended at least one of these [crash retrieval] meetings."

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Phugoid dynamic instability…

TheHappyHawaiian

@ThHappyHawaiian

2 years

I'm overdue on updating the fed pivot indicator, and frankly it's showing we have arrived already We are at the point where the fed would usually halt rate hikes and begin easing again As they gear up for 75bp in a couple weeks, they would be knowingly blowing up the system

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

The power to decide what is money—and who can use it—is a special power. How it is wielded—in the hands of a state, across blocs of competing states, or via a distributed consensus of individuals—will shape the future. I examine possible futures here:👇

The Future Geopolitical Order and Bitcoin: An Initial Assessment

Written by Matthew Pines “The days move along with regularity, one day indistinguishable from the next, a long continuous chain. Then suddenly, there is a

bitcoinmagazine.com

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

The last thing you see when Guy Fieri takes power in a violent coup, declares the People’s Republic of Flavortown, and burns all counterrevolutionaries at the grill station…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

I would take Sen. Warren more seriously & in good faith if she hadn’t used proven incorrect data & the emotional charge of a terror attack & war crisis to push a surveillance agenda. This is the same sort of tactic the left accused Bush of for pushing the Patriot Act after 9/11.

Elizabeth Warren

@ewarren

5 months

For the sake of our national security, crypto firms should have to follow the same anti-money-laundering rules as other financial institutions. And I’ve got a bipartisan bill to make it happen.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

It’d be funny* if the Fed dollar-milkshak’ed its own banking system. *funny = ironical late-stage reserve issuer debt trapping its own financially repressed regional banks into eating losses on HQLA capital while knee-capping its tech sector & West Coast political donor class.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

This week, @LueElizondo briefed Reps at an offsite w/ a DARPA scientist, military UAPTF member, pilot witness & Obama political advisor… Loeb spoke in front of senior officials at the Munich Security Conference… & @uncertainvector met w/ senior Senate staff on UAPDA next steps.

Spacecowboy78

@Spacecowboy781

3 months

Rep Ralph Norman 2 days ago after a classified meeting on UFOs: "My God, I guess we're just going to be unprepared and just take it."

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

If someone w/ Grusch’s professional bona fides in the US intelligence community came forward alleging corruption & institutional malfeasance w/in the security apparatus, I wouldn’t take that as meeting the burden of proof… but I damn well would expect Congress to investigate

Joe Murgia

@TheUfoJoe

1 year

Disinformation and Non-human Bodies... Grusch: "There's a sophisticated disinformation campaign targeting the U.S. populace, which is extremely unethical and immoral. We're definitely not alone. Absolutely, the data points, empirically, that we're not alone, yeah."

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

So, Sen. Rubio says that multiple witnesses (“serious people” who’ve held “very high clearances”) have given 1st-hand testimony (over several *years*) to the SSCI re: off-book UAP programs & that “some frankly are fearful of harm coming to them” as a result…‼️ This is not ok…

StandForBetter.org

@StandForBetter

11 months

🔥BOMBSHELL FROM @NewsNation Senator Marco Rubio has received first-hand accounts from high-level government officials who have seen first-hand crashed UFOs in government possession. David Grusch is not the only whistleblower. #ufotwitter #uaptwitter #ufos #uaps #AARO

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

So it turns out this guy wasn’t a responsible risk manager??

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

“Beijing is not, for now, attempting to make the yuan an internationalized currency. It does not seek to dethrone the U.S. dollar and replace the dollar’s dominance in the global system with the yuan. Instead, it is taking steps to make the yuan…”

China Is Quietly Trying to Dethrone the Dollar

Regional groups and small banks are helping insulate Beijing against sanctions.

foreignpolicy.com

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

Sen. Schumer’s top four legislative priorities this year: Fentanyl Strategic competition w/ China AI & … UAP disclosure And yet, compare the distribution of think tank analysis, press reporting, and mainstream discussion across these issues. What seems underrepresented…? 🤔

Jonathan Davies 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

@IWANTTOKNOWUK

10 months

Latest comments

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

Rise of vibes-based policy making…

FinancialJuice

@financialjuice

1 year

FED'S GOOLSBEE: I'M GETTING THE “VIBES' THAT A CREDIT SQUEEZE IS BEGINNING.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

If you sent this video to folks not following the UAP issue, 99% would believe this was a deepfake. No way a sitting US senator would say something so absurd & have the Majority Leader (from the opposite party) immediately concur w/ it. Only a conspiracist would think it real.

Daniel Miller (SiCcOp)

@SicCoP1

3 months

Our leaders think we may have hidden NHI craft and bodies and nobody said *anything*, lmao.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 days

The aesthetics of this annoy me. Typical gilded French grandeur offset by stale corporate boardroom furniture and a hideous carpet. I expect better of the French.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

The AARO Historical Review Report is a good historical summary, and includes valuable details and context. However, the investigative procedure leading to its core assessments was fatally flawed and wholly inadequate to address the relevant core allegations. 🧵

All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office

@DoD_AARO

2 months

Today the DoD released our Historical Record Report Volume 1. AARO’s report covers more than 70 years of the U.S. record relating to UAP, draws from interviews, archival research, and partnerships across government and industry. Read it here:

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

I did this with one hand while eating a sandwich…

Dave Troy

@davetroy

3 months

1/Weird thing: Karl Nell, whom @lesliekean says worked for the US Army with the UAP task force in her Debrief article this past June, claims on his LinkedIn profile that he works (or worked) for Army Futures Command. But Army Futures Command says they've never heard of him.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

“Over decades of…delusional thinking…about turning China into a friendly “stakeholder” in a peaceful international system, Washington heedlessly ceded shipbuilding, aircraft parts & circuit boards over to China & other cheap overseas labor.”

The Pentagon Is Freaking Out About a Potential War With China

(Because America might lose.)

www.politico.com

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

Zoom out. See those grey recessions? See the few with the slightest wiggle of “deflation”? One can easily confuse absolute changes in price level with its first and second derivatives. Markets trade on the margin of the latter two, but consumers *feel* the former.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

Either senior DoD/IC officials are misleading (intentionally or unintentionally) @ChrisKMellon —a former DASD-Intelligence & -Security & Info Ops, & SSCI Staff Director—or they have told him the truth about non-earth origin tech. No version of this is good for national security…

UAP James

@UAPJames

10 months

Christopher Mellon on NewsNation “I’ve been told that we have recovered technology that did not originate on this earth by officials in the Department of Defense and by former intelligence officials.” #ufotwitter #ufo #uap

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

US national security & monetary policy seem to be increasingly working at cross-purposes. Now, we see the Fed & Treasury driving the USD up even as the WH/Congress push industrial policy & the Pentagon is increasingly focused on rebuilding the defense industrial base (DIB). 🧵

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

Replacing economist-trained central bankers with computer-science trained central bankers isn’t an improvement.

Pledditor

@Pledditor

3 months

🚨🚨 Ethereum Foundation's Michael Neuder wants to change the issuance curve of Ethereum; takes inspiration from the Central Bank of Japan

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

Two backup slides not shown on Col. Nell’s video presentation below, but that are very much worth pondering given who Nell is & that he acknowledged senior SSCI & SASC staff. Note the portions of the “proposed taxonomy of UAP origin hypotheses” that are marked out in red… 🧐

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

Ret. Col. Karl Nell gave a very important presentation at the Sol Foundation at Stanford last Nov. He is a *very* serious former national security official who has worked closely w/ senior Senators & staff. His words should be taken very seriously… 👉

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

I’m beginning to suspect these three things are deeply intertwined…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

6 months

Former senior DoD intelligence official & SSCI Staff Director gave a recent presentation with this 👀 slide👇. He claims his sources have affirmed USG recovery & reverse engineering of UAP materials. Note Chris has been working closely w/ the Senate on the UAP Disclosure Act…

Patterns Tell Stories

@patternspodcast

6 months

New UFO presentation by Chris Mellon.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

Ret. Col. Karl Nell gave a very important presentation at the Sol Foundation at Stanford last Nov. He is a *very* serious former national security official who has worked closely w/ senior Senators & staff. His words should be taken very seriously… 👉

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

Note that it was drafted w/ bipartisan concurrence in complete secrecy. Nary a leak until NYT got the 24 hrs heads up (from someone…), but it’s clear that they didn’t get the full bill (or Julian intentionally downplayed what he did see). Just a bomb dropped on the DC press…

MarikvR

@MvonRen

10 months

After reflecting on Sen. Schumer’s remarkable legislation, a thought: Given the decades-long stigma associated with UAP, the level of credibility, specificity and corroboration of the underlying intel must have been *extraordinary* to make it a priority for the US’ top lawmaker.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

This is just *prescriptions*. How many more take it off the books? Is half of the workforce and student population on this drug?

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

@LynAldenContact Good thing most of the solar manufacturing value chain is not controlled by our principal geopolitical adversar-

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

@RichardTCasey @LynAldenContact @AnnaKokkalis @AndrewDesiderio It’s not about pricing oil, it’s about where marginal OPEC/Chinese export surpluses get recycled. USD global reserve *currency* status in mostly stable equilibrium. UST global reserve *asset* status in fragile meta-stable equilibrium. UST doomsayers been pretty right so far…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

Reading this FASCINATING job-market paper by Matthew Ferranti of Harvard Econ tonight: **Hedging Sanctions Risk: Cryptocurrency in Central Bank Reserves** Need to do a more thorough review that I might tweet later. But this abstract is YOWZA!

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

It is a matter of HE (Grusch et. al) said, THEY (USG & corporate officials) said. As far as I’m aware, none of the latter has given testimony at risk of perjury in an official setting, while at least Grusch (& apparently many others) have done so, in front of Congress & in SCIFs.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

An example of what passes as Bitcoin “expertise” making its way into the hallowed halls of our legislature and the congressional record. The bar doesn’t have to be this low.

Level39

@level39

1 year

Watch as @ProfHilaryAllen misinforms @SenatorMenendez by erroneously claiming that #Bitcoin could be changed by fewer than 10 core developers and miner support. This is false. User nodes can, and have, overruled such power grabs, as proven in "The Blocksize War" circa 2015-17.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

10 months

“Is it possible there is some secret program that you’re just not aware of?” Kirkpatrick: “I don’t think so. I have access to anything & everything I need.” Schumer: I believe the “Executive Branch was concealing important information regarding UAPs over broad periods of time.”

ABC News Live

@ABCNewsLive

10 months

“Do you think extraterrestrial life is out there?” “I think it’s statistically unrealistic to think it isn’t.” In an exclusive interview, @DevinDwyer sits down with Dr. Sean Kirkpatrick, the top U.S. official investigating hundreds of unidentified aerial phenomena, aka UFOs.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

What about FTX was decentralized?

PiQ

@PiQSuite

1 year

⚠️ "JPM CEO JAMIE DIMON SAYS FTX WAS A DECENTRALIZED PONZI SCHEME- CNBC INTERVIEW" -

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 years

A story in 2-parts… To be repeated many many more times in the near future…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

Dr. Green is spot on. Every journo, C-suite executive, senior govie, etc uses Signal to conduct sensitive convos. This is all fine and dandy until it gets widely adopted and the *norm* of expecting interpersonal private comms spreads to the average joe… no no, can’t have that…

Matthew Green

@matthew_d_green

1 year

Happy almost-2023. Here is a very stupid NYT op-ed on why Signal and privacy are actually bad.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

5 months

The former Director of AARO explicitly requested, almost pleaded, with the “academic and scientific community” to “start writing some papers” on “if there’s an extraterrestrial civilization: how did they find earth, how did they get here, how are they refueling and moving around,

Dr. Phil Metzger

@DrPhiltill

5 months

“Why most scientists don’t get too excited about UAP phenomena.” I was thinking to write this as an op-ed, but realistically I don’t have time. Here’s the outline for your reading pleasure. ==== 1. Scientists are generally not against the idea of aliens visiting and watching

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

7 months

Here I thought I was bullish and then in comes the Director of Global Macro for Fidelity calling Bitcoin “exponential gold”.

Jurrien Timmer

@TimmerFidelity

7 months

Bitcoin is volatile but its scarcity and adoption curve create the potential for it to be a high-powered hedge against monetary shenanigans. I think of it as “exponential gold.” 🧵

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

8 months

The Senate & House conferees are meeting this week to hash out the FY24 NDAA/IAA (which has some 👀 Senate provisions for “UAP Disclosure”…). As good as time as any to stretch those democratic muscles and respectfully engage your representatives…

End UAP Secrecy: One-Click Calls with Ready-to-Use Scripts

Our goal is clear: to end UAP secrecy and ensure the American public is informed and empowered with the truth. Join us in this pivotal journey as we work towards revealing what has been kept hidden...

www.uapcaucus.com

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

Note that last network chart is from 2020. Since then, China has taken direct aim at the remaining major node (Germany), just running the tables on automative exports (including BYD). A weakening CNY fuels this further. We need to face up to facts.

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

By squeezing Germany out of global value chains, China would secure a dominant strategic position. The tripolar network of exports on its way towards unipolar (Chinese) dominance. China isn’t trying to setup its own “trade bloc”—it’s executing a hostile takeover of current one.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

The US *must* maintain an open capital account for foreign savings (especially from surplus nations like China, OPEC, Japan) to flow in. USD-UST recycling system in essence is a trade of our equity for consumer goods (i.e., trade deficit ~ NIIP). This is now a big problem…

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

16 days

Yes. Japan doesn’t have a currency problem. The UST has a Japanese problem.

Richard Casey

@RichardTCasey

16 days

Comparing the situation in Japan to an emerging market currency crisis 🙄 Japan has $1.3tn international reserves, $3.5tn NIIP, current account surplus, debt in its own currency, low inflation, floating exchange rate with real effective exchange rate at 50 year low...which

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

7 months

I’ve heard three explanations for WHY NOW?: 1. Decay/leakage of legacy programs given shifting norms/generational turnover & RE progress stalling. 2. China catching up by throwing 10x more ppl on their programs. 3. The time-table is out of “our” hands… @rosscoulthart on #3 👇

🜃Meta Material

@MetaStudioLogic

7 months

Ross Coulthart at a recent Q&A: "Yes there are a lot of people who hint darkly that the reason that the U.S. government is pushing this issue is that there is a timetable." #ufo #uap

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 years

I was scheduled to give a short keynote @BitcoinConfEUR tomorrow on "Geopolitics and Bitcoin". Unfortunately, COVID has kept me grounded stateside, so I'm sharing the material I would have presented here. 🧵👇

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

7 months

It’d be real bad for SpaceX’s private valuation if chemical rockets were shown to be moot tech..

Ian Miles Cheong

@stillgray

7 months

Elon Musk says there's no evidence of aliens whatsoever. "If anyone would know, it would probably be me and I've not seen any evidence of aliens." "What this perhaps suggests is that this tiny candle of consciousness that is humanity is all that exists in a vast darkness. And

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

The threat isn’t to the “petrodollar” from yuan oil pricing… It’s to the “petrotreasury” from KSA shifting from USD-UST recycled *savings* into gigaproject *spending*, domestically in riyal & euro/yuan for the contractors building Neon/etc*… *assuming they don’t fall apart.

Michael Pettis

@michaelxpettis

1 year

2/4 Normally higher oil prices are bad for global growth because they convert foreign demand into Saudi savings, most of which is simply parked in the US and other advanced economies, and so doesn't fund an increase in investment that balances the original reduction in demand.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

If the solution is “create a new intelligence agency”, we don’t understand the problem…

Paul Triolo

@pstAsiatech

1 year

Opinion | We Already Have 18 Intelligence Agencies. We Still Need 1 More. The Commerce Department needs its own intel officers to take on China.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

11 months

This inference would be true for most members of congress, but it fails when it’s the leadership of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence pushing most aggressively, not just to *investigate*, but *legislate* on the issue (as they already have, twice & likely again this FY).

Timothy B. Lee

@binarybits

11 months

The fact that some members of congress are pushing to investigate this more does not seem like a reason to take it more seriously at all. There are 535 members of congress and they are not exactly a high-wattage bunch. It would be surprising if it didn’t include some nutters.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

JP Morgan is quietly helping ByteDance—a Chinese tech firm considered by the US to be a national security threat—develop & expand a global payments platform. Several JPM execs have even flipped over to lead the effort. Jamie D. chose profit over values.

Squawk Box

@SquawkCNBC

1 year

“Bitcoin itself is a hyped-up fraud,” says @jpmorgan CEO Jamie Dimon. “Crypto is a decentralized Ponzi scheme…It’s a pet rock.”

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

4 months

It is *very likely* that China has advanced drones with a non-traditional morphology. It is *likely* that AARO may have contributed to DoD’s attribution of such. It is *also* likely that Dr. K is using this fact as a convenient smokescreen for non-conventional unattributed UAP.

Disclosure Diaries

@Disclosure_D

4 months

🚨 Dr. Kirkpatrick makes an appearance on @peterbergencnn 's In the Room podcast Amongst other things, he suggests the 'metallic orbs' seen 'all over the world' may likely be next-gen Chinese drones Listen to the full conversation here:

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

2 months

Every thought you ever had only got there because some other person’s thoughts were compressed into acoustic or optical signals that your brain decompressed & encoded into neural activations. Humanity just is the emergent pattern of this brain-to-brain network of networks.

Andrej Karpathy

@karpathy

2 months

Reading a tweet is a bit like downloading an (attacker-controlled) executable that you instantly run on your brain. Each one elicits emotions, suggests knowledge, nudges world-view. In the future it might feel surprising that we allowed direct, untrusted information to brain.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

Since we now know this threat is a Russian space-based capability, note that Kosmos-2575 (a classified payload) was launched on 09FEB24 in a way that made it co-planar to Kosmos-2574 launched on 27DEC23. USSF confirmed they have identical orbital parameters. New ASAT or …?

Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

"Two sources familiar with the matter & a US official tell CNN the threat is related to Russia." Sullivan was prepared to brief the House Go4 tomorrow, but Turner front ran it, released that statement & invited the whole House into the SCIF. Very messy.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 year

“The $80T-plus in outstanding obligations to pay US dollars in FX swaps/forwards and currency swaps, mostly very short-term, exceeds the stocks of dollar Treasury bills, repo & commercial paper combined.” The predictable moral hazard of Fed swap lines.

Dollar debt in FX swaps and forwards: huge, missing and growing

FX swaps, forwards and currency swaps give rise to dollar obligations that were backstopped in 2008 and 2020 by central banks acting on little information about who owed the debt. For non-banks...

www.bis.org

*Walter Bloomberg

@DeItaone

1 year

LONDON, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has warned that pension funds and other 'non-bank' financial firms now have more than $80 trillion of hidden, off-balance sheet dollar debt in the form of FX swaps.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

3 months

If the stability of the UST security as a global reserve asset comes under strain, the USG stands to gain vastly more from the monetization of BTC than our adversaries gain from the relative monetization of gold. $1M BTC would put Bitcoin at ~ gold parity. No national collapse.

joshua steinman (🇺🇸,🇺🇸)

@JoshuaSteinman

3 months

To be clear — and I love BTC — the sheer financial catastrophe of 1BTC=1MM$USD would infer a kind of national collapse that most would consider a national failure of historic proportions. Be careful what you wish for. Even if you are preparing for it as a worst case scenario.

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Matthew Pines

@matthew_pines

1 month

That’s just normal shedding. All 737s molt in the spring.

R A W S A L E R T S

@rawsalerts

1 month

🚨 #BREAKING : A Boeing 737 Southwest Airlines had to Make a Emergency Landing after parts of the Engine Cowling Detaches 📌 #Denver | #Colorado Currently, emergency crews and authorities are on the scene after a Boeing 737-800 Southwest Airlines Flight WN3695/SWA3695 departing

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