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TheHappyHawaiian

@ThHappyHawaiian

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I’m buying silver, platinum, uranium, oil, and metals for the trades of the decade. I don’t live in Hawaii, just enjoy it immensely! Personal opinions only!

United States
Joined January 2021
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
9 months
Well, we've finally made it. The ratio of silver miners to #silver is at long term support The last two times this support was hit: Jan 2016, Over the next 7 months $SILJ +390%, Silver +53% March 2020, Over the next 5 Months $SILJ +256%, Silver +156% August 2023, ?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 months
POV, you’re a 45 year old white male You just got laid off from your white collar job Unemployment pays $400 a week, so you don’t sign up because Uber pays $600 Government doesn’t even acknowledge job loss as an issue You can’t get hired because no one is hiring and even if…
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 month
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@ThinkAppraiser
think like a real estate appraiser
1 month
What’s the best way to look at a solar eclipse?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
I'm overdue on updating the fed pivot indicator, and frankly it's showing we have arrived already We are at the point where the fed would usually halt rate hikes and begin easing again As they gear up for 75bp in a couple weeks, they would be knowingly blowing up the system
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
8 months
So is this a glitch or are we all fucked?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
11 months
@meghaverma_art Men being humbled by the beauty, mind, and personality of their bride and the magnitude of the moment may naturally cry as it hits them Strive to be a woman who can bring a man to tears of gratitude You currently don’t seem to be that type but perhaps you will grow!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
9 months
The Argentinan stock market is up a massive 2282% in just 6 years! In real terms? Down 12%
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
A short summary of @WallStreetSilv , aka @Galactic_Trader aka Jim Lewis aka James Morrison - Lied about being a “Merrill Lynch Trader” in his original account - grew to 10k followers off that - joined WSS after #silversqueeze - immediately started pushing out other moderators
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
One of the worst and most financially destructive takes I’ve ever seen on fintwit
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
The 2023 deficit is EXPLODING! For the first 3 months of 2023, the deficit was a whopping $679 Billion! An increase of 134% over Q1 2022 which was $291 Billion Receipts: $1,023 B vs $1,070 B (-4.4%) Outlays: $1,702 B vs $1,361 B (+25.1%) Lower revenue and higher spending!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
6 months
#Gold hits an all time record high Aaaannnddd zero enthusiasm in this space its crazy
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Holy shit, 20% of #platinum registered ounces withdrawn today, 37.3k ounces Only 156k remain Last year there were over 500k #platinumsqueeze is drawing ever closer This is a monumental drain of metal from COMEX and no one cares
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
#Silver just had it's 7th largest daily gain in history, rising 8.97% The largest daily increase was 13.26% on March 18th 2009, and today was the largest increase since that day! I see many downplaying the price action but today does stand out as monumental #silversqueeze
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
The US 30-year treasury is now inverted with the 1 year That didn’t even happen in the pivot of 2018/19 The fed is really hell bent on making history here it seems!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
8 months
The green line is the price of homes in the US The blue line is the cost build a home in the US I’ve said it before, but where many see unreasonable increases and bubbles, I see #inflation 🤷‍♂️ Do homes cost too many dollars, or did the government reduce the value of the dollar?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
@JustinWolfers This is a horrific chart crime in so many ways, as to be completely dishonest You posted annual change in immigrants compared to a total change over 2 decades for rent The number of immigrants has increased 50%, not decreased 50% over this period
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
The economy is so strong, that the 30yr and 2yr treasury yields have now inverted
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
In 2006-2008 the housing market was being supported by LOOSE credit The 2020-2022 housing market was supported by CHEAP credit And there’s a massive difference and many don’t understand or haven’t looked into the stats
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
I interrupt your doom scroll to note: Not a single hurricane yet and we’re halfway through hurricane season Remarkably calm
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 months
We use elevated suicide risk as a reason to cater policy directly for the benefit of certain populations Why is it ignored in this case? If the suicide rate for white males is quite literally 10x that for black females? Isn’t that a societal issue?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Dear Canadians Know that IF a bank run were to occur that there are $22 worth of deposits for every $1 of cash that exists And a lot of that cash is in circulation outside of banks Only the first 1-2% of people (maybe less) would be able to get their cash out of the bank
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Why does the #silver / #copper ratio matter? Copper is 99% industrial demand, while gold is 95% monetary demand, different hedges Silver is the one in the middle of the two When silver takes the baton from copper, it represents a shift back to precious metals from industrial
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
@Cobratate If this story is true it explains a lot about you actually Honestly it made me sad reading this Who would throw away a marriage over something so trivial. Your dad was not a good role model
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Fed balance sheet increased this week, which likely surprised people They’ve increased the balance sheet by about $20 billion this month, so to hit their goal of reducing it by $47.5 billion, they need to sell $67 billion over the next week Doesnt seem likely QT = bluff so far
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
25 days
Was it over $30? No Was it over $29? Still no Was it the highest weekly close on #silver in over 11 years? Actually yes it is
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
Look it’s fine if you want Trump in prison, but let’s be fair and put the entire Biden family and the Clintons in there too And everyone on the Epstein list And the members of Congress and the fed who insider traded their way to insane wealth And Janet Yellen and Bill gates…
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
This chart is essentially proxy for the acceleration rate of interest expense for the US government, and has been a reliable indicator of fed pivot for 30+ years as the fed has ensured the US doesn't enter a debt death spiral
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 months
Highest closing price for #gold in history!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
And #silver breaks out of the 2 year flag! Here we go!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
I got a post live on WSB, silver has been censored there for weeks but a mod helped me get by. If you support #silversqeeze #Silver $PSLV then please upvote, bots are trying to bury it
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 month
The last time #silver was at $29 $AG was at $23 and $SILJ was at $18 Now that we’re back to $29 silver $AG is at $8 and SILJ is $11
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
8 months
I really don’t understand how there haven’t been revolts yet What an absolute cunt this guy is
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
US life expectancy for men is 5 years less than that of women Why isn’t the male retirement age 5 years less than that of female? Based on our apparent desire to cater to inequalities between groups this seems an egregious oversight no?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
I was banned after posting this about Melvin Capital. #Silver @wsbmod what is going on here?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
The Credit Suisse CDS explosion to a level above 2008 doesn’t mean they’re going bankrupt It means they’re going bankrupt IF central banks continue to be hawkish So the fed/ECB have the choice, pivot or destroy a global systemically important bank
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Found out my father passed yesterday from a ventricular aneurysm, so I’m processing that currently He was 68 and still substitute teaching at the local high school as he was extremely passionate about history (especially US), it was his favorite thing to talk about by far
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Inventories of metals continue hitting new lows even as prices continue to fall, and there’s no cappex spending bringing on new mines either Once we go back to expansionary times we’re not going to have the inventory cushion we had coming out of COVID Metals will go vertical
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
9 months
@Black_Pilled Nah he said melting pot It’s a beautiful thing that we used to have with different cultures and races “melting” slowly into a homogenous American group via assimilation Now we encourage people to highlight differences and division. Balkanization
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
@ninaturner You forgot to mention the part where people keep their entire paycheck so they have more money to spend, as payroll and income taxes are eliminated And the part where everyone gets a UBI so they have even more money to spend
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
For anyone feeling discouraged about the #silversqueeze because #silver is back to $25, just know that under the surface the squeeze is happening. And it’s intense. Banks/shorts are in the fight of their lives and barely hanging on. The dam is close to breaking so don’t let up
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Buying precious metals is naturally a contrarian position, as they do well when the seeds of economic mismanagement begin to sprout So we have a lot of contrarians in this space I’d say it’s currently contrarian to think home prices will continue to increase rather than crash
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Let’s be honest, if the US had more than 8000 tons of #gold , it would be on the balance sheet If they had exactly 8k tons they’d allow an audit There’s a reason people have been asking to audit the gold for 50+ years and are continually refused It’s likely much less than 8k
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
#BTC just crossed $50k For $50k you can buy 2 of the 1,000oz #silver bars BTC total supply is 21 million Supply of 1k oz silver bars is only 2 million Silver has real usage in every high tech industry It’s 10x as scarce, half the price, and has real intrinsic value Retweet!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
#Tether burns another $800 million of $USDT last night to fall below $70 billion mkt cap, lowest since October 2021 Down $13 billion over 6 weeks time And still no $1 peg achieved
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
My younger brother is in his mid 20s, got the Moderna vax in July and August 2021 Called me today saying he's going to the doctor because he's been having chest pain for almost exactly a year now He'd never even heard of myocarditis or the moderna vax connection Pisses me off
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Imagine if the average home price went from $300k to $3 million in the course of a year Then fell back to $1.5 million and people celebrated that home prices were down 50% This is what the transitorians are currently celebrating in terms of shipping rates #inflation
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
11 months
The 2023 deficit is exploding! For the first 5 months of 2023, the deficit was an insane $743 billion! An increase of 1416% over 2022, which was $49B through May Receipts: $1,969 B vs $2,323 B (-15.3%) Outlays: $2,712 B vs $2,371 B (+14.4%) Lower revenue and higher spending!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
16 days
Why is the average person not happy with the economy? No matter you measure it, family, household, real median incomes peaked in 2019 It’s been declining standards of living for 4 years Nominally we’re all great. But adjusted for inflation it’s decently rough out there
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
what is a debt death spiral? It's an increasingly large debt load, with ongoing deficit, that only gets exponentially larger as interest expense increases The treasury has to issue more bills/notes/bonds to fund interest which drives up supply and can overwhelm demand
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
@LynAldenContact I have friend in wealth management, he said the average PPP benefit he saw across his clients was 7 figures. And a lot of those were to shell companies essentially He also said they constantly complain about welfare They’re tone deaf
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
10 months
@JohnPompliano This article is garbage, look at the criteria, lol
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
10 months
In just the first 6 months of 2023, the federal deficit was nearly $1 TRILLION Only 6 months, not even during a recession The deficit is up 607% YoY! Receipts 2022: $2,783 2023: $2,387 (-14%) Outlays 2022: $2,921 2023: $3,358 (+15%) Deficit: 2022: $137B 2023: $971B (+607%)
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
11 months
Forget the vaccine stuff, it’s divisive This is what I want to hear every candidate say
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
I know it’s not #hyperinflation yet but it’s sure starting to feel like it Lumber up 198% since 1/1/20 Wheat up 102% Corn up 88% Oil up 84% Coal up 196% Nat Gas up 117% Uranium up 94% Tin up 84% Nickel up 102% Copper up 66% The list can go on much further
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 months
Notice in the chart the more white and the more male you are the more the societal pressure to off yourself White females have a suicide rate several multiples of minority females Above them minority men are even more likely Then of course white men are truly despised
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
2.26m ounces of #silver out of registered today, down to 110m Another big win for #silversqueeze !
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 month
#silversqueeze is happening All while investors in the west aren’t even participating ETFs with ongoing outflows, dealers paying under spot to buy back metal There’s near 0 hype outside the niche It’s incredible how much juice is left here
@Sino_Market
CN Wire
1 month
Shanghai #Silver futures hit a 7% limit up on Monday morning, and #gold futures are rising 3%. #China
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
10 months
@elonmusk Couldn’t get out of the lease could you?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
2 weeks to flatten the middle class
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Social security recipients are on track to get a 9.8% hike in their checks for 2023 While the trust fund only earns 2.7% on their treasuries Real wage growth is at -4% The trust fund will have to liquidate treasury holdings at an ever increasing pace QT will end soon
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
$8000 #Gold $500 #silver Make sure you tell your LCS that you will be coming in 2028 to sell at that price, and they’re going to need a lot of cash
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Retail traders want $GME and $AMC, ban them from buying it! Retail traders want #nickel ? Reverse the trades to save a bank! Retail traders are buying #oil ? Shut down $OIL! Retail wants to go long VIX? Shut down $VXX! You aren’t allowed to play once real money is being made!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
Honda Civics aren't the only type of car out there, but they're an extremely common car make and model and one that isn't flashy in any way Since 2020 the price of a new Honda Civic is up 48%, but new car CPI is only up 21%
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
Wednesday: four 25bp hikes in next four meetings Monday: two 25bp cuts in the next four meetings
@zerohedge
zerohedge
1 year
Sept is now -65bps from +110bps. These are 10-sigma moves
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
The fed reduced their asset portfolio by $21 billion this week, far short of the $67 billion they needed to reach their goal of $47.5B in monthly reduction Instead of $47.5B, they reduced it by… $1.5B for the month of June QT remains a bluff so far
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
Woke up to being number one on #WSB and #silver is green at the moment. It’s gonna be a good day. Let’s drain the COMEX and $SLV! #Silversqueeze
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
To avoid this, the fed will need to pivot soon otherwise they risk having to do even more easing and monetizing of debt down the road To keep this line 'inbounds' they need the middle of the curve to fall ~75bp between now and the 24th
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
Zerohedge contributor added my post, pretty cool. Thanks @jameshenryand ! #Silver #silverqueeze if it gets taken down again at least it’ll be up on that site
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
How does a CEO invest $2 billion into Bitcoin and not know about the environmental argument
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
thus increasing interest expense even more as yields increase and this spirals out of control, with the only way to make payments being issuing even more treasuries For the past 33 years the fed has used monetary policy to ensure this spiral doesn't occur
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
Why does anyone believe this payrolls report anymore?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
I have no clue when @Sprott followed me but I’m honored to join the club. Keep stacking $PSLV !
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Or maybe they'll allow a brief spike above, and given the length of that chart, maybe 'brief' can be a number of months But as far as what would be normal fed behavior, we're at the tightening limit for interest rates
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
#Silver is now less than a 10% gain away from $30
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
120m ounces of #silver just disappeared from the LBMA’s books Lots of commentators were pointing to the fake number showing there is plenty of silver Any reaction now that a massive amount of metal we thought existed doesn’t? Maybe it’s time to audit the LBMA (it’s been time)
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
In case you thought the #silversqueeze was fake, just look at COMEX deliveries on a 12m trailing basis. And this is before we get blowout April deliveries too Absolutely nuts. #silver
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
#WSB has proven marginal buyers matter. No analyst says that $TSLA is worth $700 billion thus retail buyers don’t matter. They don’t say $BTC is worth $1T so retail doesn’t matter. But apparently #silver at $75 billion is too large for retail to have an impact. #silversqueeze
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
People pile into #silver when it’s rising sharply. Everything is a momentum trade now In the past they piled into $SLV which didn’t affect physical supply Now they will pile into $PSLV which really does affect it, thus adding gas to the fire Just need to get momentum
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
#silver miners are one of the miserable trades I’ve ever been a part of Incredible how they just continue to stay at such low levels vs their underlying metal Still massively on sale, but feels like a department store where it’s always on sale $SILJ / Silver ratio
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Japan is finally saying enough is enough to the fed They have $1.2 trillion in treasuries they could sell for dollars to defend the Yen if they wanted to Would make yields soar and cause instability in the UST market, begetting fed action to buy them and expand balance sheet
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
28 days
It’s been 134 months, more than 11 years, since #silver closed a week over $29 We are fighting against such a massive line in the sand right now Shorts know it’s over if they fail here
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
The fact that @PeterSchiff defended unallocated #silver accounts again on his show, but without adding anything of substance, shows what a great job the true precious metals community is doing Keep educating people as to what these accounts are, get a refund, buy real metal!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Can’t confiscate what’s hidden in the attic, Or buried Or at the bottom of a lake
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
This could be a huge month for #silver in December Dec 2020: 47m oz delivered Dec 2021: 46m oz delivered Currently there are only 36m oz of registered inventories in COMEX vaults If we had 45m oz delivered for Dec 2022 it would be the 1st time that deliveries exceed registered
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
I’ve asked random people I know, variety of wealth classes, All of them think inflation is transitory and if I mention gold or silver I’ve mostly gotten made fun of This asset class is so hated They will come around!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
#Silver ’s rally peaks, to it’s August bottoms: April 2004: $8.43 August 2005: $6.63 Difference: -21% Next: +129% in 9 months May 2006: $15.17 August 2007: $11.03 Difference: -27% Next: +93% in 7 months August 2020: $29.83 August 2021: $22.55 Difference: -24% Next: ? Retweet
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Me at the bank tomorrow: “I’d like $20,000 in nickels please, yes I’ll wait”
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Registered #silver down another 5 million to below 63 million ounces #silverDrain
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
The 2yr yield has dropped another 60bp since JPow’s “hawkish” 25bp hike and “continued focus on inflation”
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
After reducing the balance sheet and hiking rates by 375bp so far The fed has managed to get inflation from 7.0% in 2021 to 7.1% in 2022
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
BREAKING: registered #silver declines by SIX MILLION ounces in a single day I love it so much I broke my silence just to tweet it Now back to being quiet till 12/8 Let’s go!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Nearly back to the capitulation floor on #silver , ~$17.05 Every time we've hit this line it has been a generational buying opportunity No one wants fire insurance during a flood, and no one wants dollar value insurance with the fed pumping $DXY via rates hikes and recession
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Holy shit! 37% of registered #platinum inventories gone today as 44k ounces leave the category Bottom of the barrel in sight now! #platinumsqueeze is for real
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
No one trusts this rally in precious metals Nice
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
The 2023 deficit is still EXPLODING! For the first 4 months of 2023, the deficit was a whopping $503 Billion! In 2022 the same time period had an $18B surplus Receipts: $1,661 B vs $1,934 B (-14.1%) Outlays: $2,164 B vs $1,916 B (+12.9%) Lower revenue and higher spending!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
3 years
If @stoolpresidente used 30 min to read this DD from #WSB he would buy $1m of $PSLV and $SILJ #Silver is ready to explode, and it’s so heavily shorted by the suits 1% of US/Canada buying $800 worth of $PSLV breaks it wide open Retweet! Remember these?
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
2 years
Merry Christmas to all my fellow #silver bugs!
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
And the M2 figure for February is out, money supply shrunk another 0.6% Year over year that's a decline of 2.4% THE LARGEST DECLINE SINCE 1930, the Great Depression Our economy is built on ever expanding money supply, this is wholly unsustainable
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@ThHappyHawaiian
TheHappyHawaiian
1 year
There's one other time since 1900 that the US has experienced multiple consecutive months of YoY money supply shrinkage The great depression in the 1930s That's the path the fed has us on currently with M2 shrinking, and it's the path they will pivot hard from
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