Andrew Hong (he/him) @andrewmhong Twitter profile

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

2 years

If you've liked my maps & political analysis, read my newest data journalism piece on the '22 election in @SoSeaEmerald ! I analyze racial politics through economic & geographic lenses instead of lumping all POC in 1 bucket:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

Seattle needs to talk about how we let a dozen Seattle Times and Stranger editorial board members choose every single one of our elected officials.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

Bernie has filled the 23k #TacomaDome to capacity. People are standing outside of the stands in overflow to see Bernie in WA. #BernieSanders #Bernie #bernierally #Bernie2020

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA-03 2022 MAP BY PRECINCT: Trump+4, Smiley+7, R+9 District. @MGPforCongress (D) won in. Follows typical D-R trends, just bluer—especially in Vancouver suburbs, Longview, Cowlitz Co., and Pacific Co. Credit to @BAnderstone for statewide precinct shapefiles @ other amazing work

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

King5 News called the races for Saka (1), Hollingsworth (3), Moore (5), and Kettle (7). There is now a 5-0 moderate @SeattleCouncil majority, with 3 seats uncalled + 1 seat to appoint after Mosqueda resigns in January. Before this election, progressives held a 6-3 majority.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

7 months

I’ve written about these trends in WA. I argue it’s a class realignment more than a racial realignment. White working class voters have shifted right dramatically since 2000, now working class POC are. But not college-educated POC… [1/4]

John Burn-Murdoch

@jburnmurdoch

7 months

NEW 🧵: American politics is in the midst of a racial realignment. I think this is simultaneously one of the most important social trends in the US today, and one of the most poorly understood.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA-03 SHIFT HOUSE VS SENATE PRECINCT MAP 2022: @MGPforCongress won by improving her margins over @PattyMurray everywhere, but especially making gains in ancestral-Democratic Cowlitz County/Longview and her home Skamania County.

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA-03 2022 MAP BY PRECINCT: Trump+4, Smiley+7, R+9 District. @MGPforCongress (D) won in. Follows typical D-R trends, just bluer—especially in Vancouver suburbs, Longview, Cowlitz Co., and Pacific Co. Credit to @BAnderstone for statewide precinct shapefiles @ other amazing work

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

2023 Seattle social housing initiative precinct/city council district results. The numbers are 57-43 now, so it’s likely all 7/7 districts voted Yes when all votes counted. Compared to 2021 elex, D1 got more conservative (anti-housing) & D7 got more progressive (pro-housing)

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

SEATTLE PROP 1 Voting Reform Map Purple = Ranked Choice Voting Green = Approval Voting *light shades denote “No on Q1” voters want to keep status quo

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

7 months

POC are mostly working class. If Dems wanna keep POC, they need to appeal to *working class voters*. Too often, “working class” gets equated to just white Ohioans, then brushed aside to “flip the suburbs”. But catering to rich suburbs also costs the base: *working class* POC

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

3 years

Hi all! I just published an op-ed about about redistricting justice for BIPOC Southend communities :). Can y’all read + boost it to increase traffic??? 🥺❤️

Redistricting the South End Is a Civil Rights Issue

It's time to draw out Bellevue and draw in White Center, Burien, and Auburn.

www.thestranger.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA-08 2022 Precinct Map: Schrier ran it up in Eastside Seattle tech ‘burbs. Matt Larkin’s strength in rural Pierce, Kittitas, Chelan, and Snohomish weren’t enough. Schrier did much better in Wenatchee than typical Democrats, including bettering Biden’s #’s in DouglasCo by >7%

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

6 months

Haley wins richer, urban/Seattle, white precincts. Trump wins everything else in WA GOP primary @ King County. Notably, the only areas of Seattle that Trump beat Haley in are majority-BIPOC precincts in South Seattle.

Washington Community Alliance

@WACommAlliance

6 months

NEW: We've published precinct results from the presidential primary election! Updates will be periodically uploaded to include votes counted after last night as well as from other counties. Best wishes to this precious soul who voted for Ron Desantis! 🔗

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Spent 2 hours not doing homework and instead trying 6 different methods of predicting final Seattle City Council voteshares from 2019, 2021 results. You can hold me to these: 1: Saka 54% 2: Morales 50% 3: Hollingsworth 52% 4: Davis 50% 5: Moore 65% 6: Strauss 54% 7: Kettle 51%

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

6 months

WA just finished its 2nd redistricting in the 2020’s. I took a deeper look: After courts struck down the anti-Latino gerrymander in Yakima, 13/49 LDs changed to ensure compliance w/state & fed laws, namely the Voting Rights Act The result was a bluer, more representative map:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Final results for 2023 @houseRneighbors I-135 social housing initiative by precinct & council district. 7/7 districts voted YES in a low-turnout election. Good news for lefties running for city council in ‘23. D1’s open race appears to be the hottest contest this year.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

2023 King County Prop 1 (Crisis Care Centers Levy) results by precinct. Seattle overwhelmingly carried this measure with about every other city (save Shoreline and Mercer Island(!?)) opposing it 73% of Seattle voted for Crisis Care Centers vs 57% for Social Housing in February.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

I bet getting either paper's endorsements is worth like, $1M+ in campaign donations in terms of netting votes.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

6 months

WA has new LD maps! For the 1st time, Latinos in Central WA have the ability to elect their own representatives to Olympia. The new 14th LD is 4% more POC CVAP + 8% more Dem. than the last gerrymander. LDs 12 & 17 (both w/all R reps) also got bluer w/Biden winning both in 2020.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

7 months

Calling the rightward shift w/ Black & Latine voters a “racial realignment” muddles what’s really happening: Rich Asians (& other POC) in Atlanta ‘burbs, Orange Co., NoVA, etc. are still blue; its poor Chicanos in South TX and rural Black ppl in the Deep South moving red [3/4]

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA-03, where conspiracy theorist Joe Kent unseated pro-impeachment GOP’s Jamie Herrera Beutler, has a Democrat leading better than I’ve seen ever: 2020 -> 2022: Clark: R+5 -> D+18 Lewis: R+41 -> R+28 Pacific: R+9 -> D+5 Wahkiakum: R+29 -> R+8 … Total: R+13 -> D+6 (54% in)

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Races I’m watching in today’s primaries! (Coming from a WA fmr campaign consultant & organizer, focused on progressive wins)

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

10 months

2019 and 2023 Seattlewide City Council election result maps:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

King5 has retracted their call in Seattle City Council D7 👀

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

King5 News called the races for Saka (1), Hollingsworth (3), Moore (5), and Kettle (7). There is now a 5-0 moderate @SeattleCouncil majority, with 3 seats uncalled + 1 seat to appoint after Mosqueda resigns in January. Before this election, progressives held a 6-3 majority.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

2016-2022 WA US SENATE SHIFT MAP: KING COUNTY Since @PattyMurray ’s last run, the wealthier Eastside suburbs and North Seattle nhoods shifted blue, while working class and BIPOC suburbs in South King County & SE Seattle nhoods shifted red. Countywide shift: D+5

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

I feel so happy about this one. Big win for restorative Justice & overpoliced communities in King County, and a big L for the school-to-mass-incarceration pipeline.

Guy Oron

@GuyOron

2 years

At the Jim Ferrell election party now. The mood is pretty somber as the results come in showing that he is losing 55% to 44%. Some local politicos are here too such as Sara Nelson and Mike Solan. Ferrell said that he is waiting to see the results of tomorrow's ballot drop.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 month

In Seattle City Council Pos 8 Primary, @Alexis4Seattle swept every district. She was strongest in D3 (CapHill/CD) and D6 (Ballard); weakest in D7 (Downtown/QA) and D2 (Southend). After Tanya Woo lost D2 in 2023, every other district rejected her in 2024.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

Today is WA Primary Day! WA has a top-2 primary where the top 2 candidates go to the general regardless of party. The WA primary very predictive of the general election results. So tonight is one of the best indications of how the general election will go in WA & nationally 🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

Redistricting is back. WA Latino voters won a Voting Rights Act lawsuit to undo the gerrymander in Central WA, and WA must draw a new LD map that ensures a true Latino-opportunity district in Yakima.

Federal judge orders redrawing of Yakima Valley legislative district • Washington State Standard

The judge ruled that the current boundaries undermine the ability of Latino voters to participate equally in the elections.

washingtonstatestandard.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

After redistricting and an election cycle, somehow Capitol Hill is represented by a Seattle Times endorsee and most of Magnolia is repped by a Stranger endorsee on @SeattleCouncil lol

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Here are the 10 bluest, reddest, and purplest (bellwether) voting precincts in WA from the 2020 & 2022 elections: 🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

Only about 2/3 of the line has made it in #Bernie #bernierally #WAForBernie #bernie2020

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

7 years

@SpeakerRyan The people of America need your promise that it won’t be them next. 90% of Americans want stricter gun laws. You work for us. Do you job.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

7 months

In Seattle’s Eastside tech suburbs, college-edu East/South Asians remain solidly Dem., even increasingly Dem. But working class Black, Latine, SE Asian (and poor Chinese in Chinatown-ID) in South Seattle/KingCo +Latinos in Eastern WA shifted right [2/4]

How Race and Class Converged in the 2022 Elections in Seattle | South Seattle Emerald

by Andrew Hong We just had a historic election last month, and we all learned a lot about what it means for the composition of our federal and state governments. However, deep in the election data...

southseattleemerald.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Last night was bad for right wing extremists: • Lauren Boebert losing CO-03 (Trump+8) • Joe Kent losing WA-03 (Trump+4) • John Gibbs loses MI-03 (Trump+9) • MTG underperforming Trump by 9% They may cost R’s the House. DCCC strategy to uplift extremists worked

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

2022 KING COUNTY PROP 1 CONSERVATION LEVY Crazy how the 145th St Seattle northern city line marks a visible shift in support for levies. As a local, ppl just across either side are very similar, so being in Seattle city limits vs not affects public support for taxes a lot.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA State Leg. partisan analysis from Election Night #’s (NOTE: these #’s will change as votes get counted). TLDR: Dems maintain power in both chambers if you add up totals by party. Senate goes 28-21 Dems, House goes 57-41 Dems (exact same) More in🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

4/5 commrs chose to break charter law (waterways) and dice up a renter community (Fremont) into 3 districts to cater to Magnolia residents. This dilutes D6 renter power. All while dozens have testified for @RedistrictJWA ’s map that splits less neighbors + fully complies w/law.

Daniel Beekman

@DBeekman

2 years

Magnolia, Fremont poised to swap Seattle council districts in redistricting

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

3 years

Thank you @GirmayZahilay for uplifting Redistricting Justice for Washington’s fight for fair maps for South Seattle and the Chinatown-International District!

Girmay Zahilay

@GirmayZahilay

3 years

CALL TO ACTION: Most @RedistrictingWA commissioners removed South Seattle & the CID from the majority-minority 9th congressional district. Final maps are due in under a week! Please email them to keep the South End in the 9th: comment @redistricting .wa.gov

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

“The commission’s first stab at a final map shows they value equity, but now they must show resilience and stand firm under pressure for our city’s most underserved communities.” See my op-ed on Seattle City Council Redistricting here:

Redrawing of Seattle's council districts shows equity is possible | Op-Ed

Seattle's Redistricting Commission’s new map shows it values equity, but now members must stand firm in support of our most underserved communities.

www.seattletimes.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

‘22 Seattle Mun. Court Pos 3 was the only ‘22 Seattle City race that pitted @seattletimes vs @TheStranger endorsees against each other. This race is the best harbinger for ‘23 city council races that are dominated by similar political dynamics. Tldr: good news for lefties 🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Comparison maps:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

🧵 Chicago recently held their city alderman elections. They have 50 districts vs Seattle’s 7. I was curious what Seattle City Council would be with 50 districts, so I drew them instead of doing CS hw 😚 I-135 (social housing) won 7/7 districts but would’ve won 40/50 districts

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

10 months

How @seattletimes '23 endorsees did vs @MayorofSeattle : Harrell won all 7 districts in '21. Times '23 candidates underperformed Harrell in 5 (D1,2,4,6,7) Hollingsworth (3) & Moore (5) outdid Harrell. Lewis (7) & Strauss (6) were the strongest Stranger candidates relative to '21

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Partner in crime @BAnderstone calculated out the raw vote projection for D2 if the rest of the votes are like today’s: Morales 12,971 Woo 12,927 👁️_👁️

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Seattle City Council projected results, based off of Thur returns Saka (1), Hollingsworth (3), Moore (5) look safe; Martinez (4), Strauss (6), Kettle (7) favored: D2 is close Note: today was a mix of mod Wed + lefty Thur ballots (due to Wed’s mishap), Fri drop is likely leftier

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

@joemcginnissjr @NateSilver538 Not Biden: 82% Not Pete: 85% Not warren: 87%

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA State Senate map on 11/08: 29-20 Dem majority (+1D flip: LD42)

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

3 PA counties fully reporting votes: • Wyoming: +7.2% D shift from 2020 • Elk: +7.8% D shift from 2020 • Forest: +9.7% D shift from 2020 All Trumpy rural white counties. Fetterman is running very strong in rural PA.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

2022 KING CO PROSECUTOR MAP: Geography is the big differentiator in this one. FedWay Mayor @JimFerrellMayor dominates in South King, but gets swamped in Seattle. Eastside suburbs tilt the edge for @leesamanion .

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Some things I ( @RedistrictJWA coordinator & campaign organizer w/50k+ WA doors knocked) looking for in next week’s #waelex primaries w/WA’s new district lines, focusing on redistricting impacts + voter trends. A thread:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

*Initial/Tuesday* (not up-to-date) precinct-level results in the closest @SeattleCouncil races: Typical Seattle political trends except in D2 Morales lost a lot of support in Beacon Hill and Chinatown from the primary (and her 2019 race) *orange=Stranger, green=Times endorsee

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

I support Bernie because he talks about issues that matters. He’s unafraid to bring affordable housing to the national stage. He does this because cares about Americans, not just what’s politically beneficial. Please fill out this survey! #myberniestory

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Seattle City Council projected final results based on Friday’s (lefty) vote trends (& few ballots left to count): Morales (2) pulls ahead while it seems Rivera (4) and Kettle (7) will bareeeely squeeze by. Also happy to say my initial predictions were p good 😊

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Spent 2 hours not doing homework and instead trying 6 different methods of predicting final Seattle City Council voteshares from 2019, 2021 results. You can hold me to these: 1: Saka 54% 2: Morales 50% 3: Hollingsworth 52% 4: Davis 50% 5: Moore 65% 6: Strauss 54% 7: Kettle 51%

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

@teamster412 @wittelstephanie @JakeP_Lane @ewarren What has Bernie himself said?

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

SEATTLE RCV/AV PROP 1 MAP: Turnout disparity btwn Q1-2. Dark = voted Q1 & left Q2 blank. @SeaTimesOpinion urged voters to vote No on Q1 then leave Q2 blank/gave no rec. Rich waterfront voters who typically vote w/Times endorsements did exactly that.

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

SEATTLE PROP 1 Voting Reform Map Purple = Ranked Choice Voting Green = Approval Voting *light shades denote “No on Q1” voters want to keep status quo

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

I will never understand why so many people want to be a Seattle city council member. U will literally just get nonstop hate and ur future political career destroyed.

Hannah Krieg

@hannahkrieg

2 years

A (sorta) comprehensive thread of D3 candidates in case you can't keep track

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Late election night thoughts: after a relative unexpected Democrat overperformance in 2022 and underperformance in 2020,,, perhaps the shift of white educated voters (consistent off-year voters) to Dems have slightly eroded Republicans’ advantage in low-turnout off-year elections

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

@ElBLogan @harshitbatra007 @emilyslist @ewarren @amyklobuchar @KamalaHarris @SenGillibrand @marwilliamson Strongly disagree. I need that woman in my life to fight off the dark psychic forces. Everyone needs more Marianne Williamson.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

4 years

Yale Twitter is far superior to Stanford twitter. Leftist Yale is even farther superior compared to leftist Stanford. Why did I leave Yale again? 😭

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

4 years

Gen Z is what millennials like to think they are

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

My work for the last 20 months 💜 So proud and grateful to have helped lead what @WACommAlliance @Kamaumaumau @makememargot and so many others helped build. See our redistricting wins ⬇️

Redistricting Justice for Washington

@RedistrictJWA

2 years

Redistricting is done in Washington for the 2020 cycle. We are now closing our coalition’s work until the 2030 census & redistricting cycle. People like you powered our historic coalition and big wins. Thank YOU for your support. Here’s what you helped us accomplish 🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

Thread. 4 data visualizations that show how race, class, and partisanship interact in WA state politics:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

State Leg. Dems are projected to hold their 58-40 WA House maj. + gain the 10th LD Sen. for a 30-19 Sen. maj. Below is the avg. primary-general partisan shift since 2018. It differs by LD, but most LDs' primary predicts the general w/ <2% error.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

Check out initial/day 1 primary results in @WACommAlliance ’s Data Hub Election Dashboard! Seattle City Council D2,3,4,7 pictured here, but the whole state is in:

Washington Community Alliance

@WACommAlliance

1 year

Our Primary Dashboard now has precinct data available for #waelex ! Curious about the details of specific races? Now you can find out the numbers using our dashboard! Check it out Primary Election Dashboard:

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

#AmyKlobuchar just said “uh” exactly 15 times in 1 minute during #CNNTownHall

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

One of the few competitive post-Super Tuesday 2020 D primaries was WA (home <3). Biden beat Bernie 38-37%.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

The newly-drawn District 5 is the 3rd most progressive district (behind D2,3). It’s the best progressive pickup opportunity. @RedistrictJWA fought hard to ensure BIPOC low-income D5 communities in Northgate & Aurora Ave weren’t divided into 2 districts.

Hannah Krieg

@hannahkrieg

2 years

CM Debra Juarez will not seek re-election in 2023, according to her comments in today's council briefing

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

6th CD: Randall ‘22* (est. by LD26 #’s): 57-43 Franz ‘20: 55-45 26th LD: Randall ‘22: 51-49 Franz ‘20: 49-51 2020 was a more Dem year than ‘22. Adjusting for year diff: 6th CD: Randall ‘22*: 57-43 Franz ‘20* (adjusted): 52-47 26th LD: Randall ‘22: 51-49 Franz ‘22*: 47-53

Rich Smith

@richsssmith

11 months

WA State Sen. Emily Randall, who reps Bremerton, says a run to replace Rep. Kilmer is "an opportunity I have to consider," but she can't say for certain without first talking to her wife.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

6 months

@astrohxncho CHAZ was a strong 75-25 Haley win (6 votes in GOP primary tho lol). #AnarchistsForHaley

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Knocked a middle-aged white woman’s seattle house with a union sticker and trans flag—assumed she was a typical white liberal. I mentioned gun control. She turned out to be an NRA member. That led to an hour convo about leftist gun rights theory by a socialist lesbian misandrist

NGP VAN

@NGPVAN

2 years

What’s your most interesting canvassing story?

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA LD’s have an inherent GOP advantage. If Murray is truly only winning by +5%, it puts the State House majority into play. 🧵: What to look for early on in WA leg. races to tell what’s happening: (pic 1: ‘22 house primary results; pic 2: senate)

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

Today’s WA Primary will be among the best indicators of Nov’s presidential race WA’s Primary is historically very predictive of the general—better than polls were in 2020 Clallam Co. WA is the only county to vote for the Pres winner since 1980. How it votes today will say a lot

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

Today is WA Primary Day! WA has a top-2 primary where the top 2 candidates go to the general regardless of party. The WA primary very predictive of the general election results. So tonight is one of the best indications of how the general election will go in WA & nationally 🧵

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Yes turnout affects outcomes, but @leesamanion also simply won precincts that voted >65% for Davison Turnout wasn’t everything. Manion crucially won the persuasion game. As a leftist, I want us to internalize that too Manion proved smart lefty messaging can win Seattle, by +30%

The Stranger 🗞

@TheStranger

2 years

Why did the "tough-on-crime" candidate win in Seattle in 2021 but not in 2022? @willjcasey investigates.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

10 bluest precincts are all in Seattle. 6/10 are in the 9th congr. district’s Central District (historically Black nhood, now gentrified & maj-college educated white). The bluest precinct in WA is in Ballard. 10min walk from Green Lake & Ballard HS. It went 97.0-2.7% for Biden

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Here is the turnout by precinct in 2023 February election. Clear racial turnout gap w/ Asian, Black, and Latine nhoods in CID, beacon hill, rainier beach, and south park w lowest turnout. Most nonvoters were progressive, signaling more potential for growth among lefties in ‘23.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

Update: they’re still flowing in without an end in sight at the WA Bernie Rally! #bernie #bernie2020 #waforbernie #bernierally #berniesanders

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA pt 1.5: US House • WA-08: Dem. Schrier vs GOP challengers. Swingiest district. In 2020 primary totals were GOP 53-47, but Schrier won 52-48 in Nov. • WA-09: moderate D’s Smith vs lefty challenger Gallardo vs GOP challengers. Gallardo will likely need ~22% to lock R’s out.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

WA Latines shifted >15% to Republicans in 2022, I find in my analysis. I model the source of this shift: lower turnout vs ppl shifting GOP To combat this, Dems need to invest in a progressive economic-focused message. Read my analysis on @nwprogressive :

Democrats in Washington lost ground with Latino voters despite 2022 wins, data shows - NPI's...

Democrats in Washington declared the 2022 cycle a resounding victory, but a 17% decline in support within the state's fastest-growing minority group spells trouble for the party's future.

www-nwprogressive-org.cdn.ampproject.org

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

@humansonbikes 50% give or take some tenths, with write ins affecting some other tenths. In a sentence, I’m saying it’s a 1pt race.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

If SCOTUS rules state legislatures can overturn redistricting maps, @WAHouseDems & @WASenDemocrats could draw a 9-1 House map and 36-13 LD map. This would cement a 2/3 constitutional Dem supermajority in Olympia, allowing Dems uni-party power to rewrite the state constitution

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

11 months

Seattle DSA endorsed 0 candidates on the ballot this election.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

Dems had a great night in Tuesday's WA 2024 Primary. Dems are outdoing their 2020 perf. by ~2% across statewide races. If that translates nationally in Nov, Dems flip NC + retake the House majority. 🧵of my WA Primary takeaway piece in @nwprogressive :

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

@zakclapham @narakxm @PeteButtigieg @m_kimaya The revolution won’t be televised. Every moment of courageous youth activism won’t be televised. Fortunately there‘s been moments of Pete’s condescending (lack of) leadership captured: (start at 0:11) Only Pete could be that dismissive. I believe her.

Bernie Issues “No Billionaires” Challenge | The View

Subscribe to our YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/2Ybi4tM MORE FROM 'THE VIEW':Full episodes: http://abcn.ws/2tl10qhTwitter: http://twitter.com/theviewFacebook...

www.youtube.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Seattle Prop 1 Q map: Yes (green) vs No (red) on changing voting system to RCV or approval voting. Follows standard Seattle political divisions semi-well with “Yes” precincts correlating with lefty precincts.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

In 2020 WA presidential primary, support for candidates who dropped out AFTER ballots were mailed out was HIGH (~25%). WA is all-mail. 25% of WA didn’t get counted. @FairVoteWA is fighting for ranked choice voting in pres primaries that would’ve let those vote count.

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

One of the few competitive post-Super Tuesday 2020 D primaries was WA (home <3). Biden beat Bernie 38-37%.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

As a progressive, I’m excited to see how an amazing slate of incredible progressives perform: Sharlett Mena, Melissa Taylor, Yasmin Trudeau, Stephanie Gallardo, Shukri Olow, Dulce Gutiérrez, Emijah Smith, Nimco Bulale, and many more im sure I’m missing!

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

9 months

Mari Sugiyama, Linh Thai would be great choices for Southend/D2. @SeattleCouncil & @CMSaraNelson should make good on their promise to support small business in the CID & D2, and appoint a council member from/who’s worked in D2 and *who hasn’t been voted down by D2 voters*

Hannah Krieg

@hannahkrieg

9 months

NEW: The City Clerk has posted its list of applicants for the vacancy appointment. You'll recognize a ton of recent candidates such as Ry Armstrong, Preston Anderson, Kate Martin, Tanya Woo, Shane Macomber and some familar faces in Kate Martin, Vivian Song, and Mark Solomon

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

And the swingiest of all is Lacey 57 in Lacey, Thurston Co. It’s in WA-10 and LD35, about a 15min drive from the State Capitol Building. It’s home to Capitol City Golf Club. 77% white, middle class suburb It voted 57.2% @PattyMurray & 58.0% Biden—precisely how WA statewide voted

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 months

America's bellwether is trending left too. In Clallam Co, Dems are outdoing their 2020 margins by 14% (R+1 -> D+13 for Gov). Clallam is the only county that's voted for the pres. election winner every time since 1980. If you're superstitious, it's a good day to be a Kamala fan.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

3 years

Yes! LD maps are also important! is tackling LD maps next, join our coalition to help us draw equitable, fair Southend LD maps!

Mid Beacon Hill

@midbeaconhill

3 years

Agree with @andrewmhong ’s new Stranger article about redistricting as a civil rights issue. My watershed is in my LD but my bus stop is not.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Nevada Senate 85%+ reporting counties: 2020 (Biden+2.5%) -> 2022 • Esmeralda: R+67 -> R+62 • Churchill: R+49 -> R+48 • Mineral: R+25 -> R+26 & Clark County (59% in): D+9 -> D+13 Dems (so far) running slightly ahead of 2020. Good sign to keep NV, w/ GA, AZ, PA = 51 seats

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

9 months

Well on our way for a new 11th congressional district in 2030 😍

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

4 years

If anyone for some reason still has a @ElectScott2019 yard sign plz dm me. I also *need* a @SheraeForState @NikkitaOliver and @RashidaTlaib sign.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

1 year

Where did Crisis Care Centers outperform Social Housing @houseRneighbors ? Answer: pretty much everywhere, BUT the most BIPOC nhoods in mainly South Seattle/D2. Most of the precincts that preferred social housing > mental healthcare centers are majority-Asian.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

5 years

@SeaPubSchools @SeattleSupt You’re literally gonna kill 5-year-olds.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

2021 comparisons are *relative* to other district trends/numbers. All 7 districts got more progressive in 2023, but D7 voted disproportionately more lefty on I-135 & D1 disproportionately more conservative on I-135.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

9th CD (my home): Smith’s most credible progressive challenger this year will give a better picture of CD9 voters. This race vs 2018’s will shed light on the influence (or lack of) of @TheStranger endorsement and how a serious *POC* challenger affects voter choice & turnout.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Side by side comparison of initial Night 1 results vs final certified results. Not even 67% of votes were counted on Night 1. Progressives swung the late votes from +6% -> +14% margin or victory.

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

10 months

How did @JoyForSeattle Hollingsworth flip @SeattleCouncil District 3? I looked at the data: 1) a moderate citywide political environment 2) lower (progressive) turnout 3) she big gains in the historically-Black Central District Read more here:

How Joy Hollingsworth flipped City Council District 3, Seattle’s most progressive district

By Andrew Hong, special for CHS Despite a close primary contest, Joy Hollingsworth won the November general election for Seattle City Council District 3 by a 6-point margin against Alex Hudson. Her…

www.capitolhillseattle.com

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Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

Results: • tipping senate race LD38: 59-41 D • tipping house races LD44, 5: 58-42 D & 55-45 D. Democrats clearly keep their majorities in the State House & Senate. These #’s look within 0-2% of the primary, so they may not lose any seats at all. Huge win for D’s.

Andrew Hong (he/him)

@andrewmhong

2 years

State Senate Tipping Point: LD 38 (Robinson-D) State House Tipping Point: LD 5 Pos 2 (Callan-D) & LD 44 Pos 2 (Berg-D). party must win both for a majority. projections are based on the primary. D’s advantaged, but watch these districts to determine majorities early on.

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