Rick Rieder Profile Banner
Rick Rieder Profile
Rick Rieder

@RickRieder

45,550
Followers
235
Following
772
Media
3,118
Statuses

@BlackRock CIO of Global Fixed Income | Emory and Wharton Alum | Go Orioles! Lead PM for BINC, BSIIX, MALOX, MAWIX Content intended for a U.S. audience

New York, New York
Joined August 2017
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Thanks so much for the kind words, @ptrmadurai , and as we both know from managing large and complex organizations, it’s the great talent that you can develop that both brings the organization its success and makes the work so enjoyable!
@ptrmadurai
Dr P Thiaga Rajan (PTR)
3 years
At my 1st real job (aged 35) ⁦ @RickRieder ⁩ was my co-manager for first 5 yrs. I learnt a lot from Rick, incl. a work ethic, that market timing>>direction & the crucial value of finding & mentoring talent🙏 Happy but not surprised how far he’s gone👏
18
130
1K
8
97
1K
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
To elaborate on my interview last week on @BloombergTV , as well as my response to @elonmusk , a thread. Restrictive policy rates have succeeded in slowing the rate-sensitive segments of the U.S. economy (including goods inflation), but a >5% Fed Funds rate is not doing much to…
Tweet media one
48
155
686
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
We’re in the midst of witnessing #BondMarketHistory , as the peak to trough drawdown for the Barclays Long Treasury Index now exceeds -20% (not including today’s move), its worst #drawdown going back 40 years and meeting what many consider to be a bear #market !
Tweet media one
24
185
522
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
8 days
The story of today’s CPI print is one told by Core Services ex- Shelter, which saw its largest MoM decline since Oct’22 and its first negative print in over two years. While Shelter remains stubbornly solid, the aggregate inflation picture looks to be moderating to a healthy…
Tweet media one
15
61
334
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
While there is still considerable uncertainty over the forecast for #inflation , we think both Core #CPI and #PCE inflation peaked in March and February, respectively, and should move appreciably lower by the end of 2022.
Tweet media one
16
99
318
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
16 days
This morning’s job openings data shows a labor market that has almost completely normalized from the pandemic shock. Measures of labor market tightness have completed their roundtrip as employers have found the right balance for their needs, all with very little job destruction.…
Tweet media one
14
45
300
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 month
CIO Chart of the Week: Several service components that had been hot this year showed signs of moderation in the April CPI print. This positive development lends credibility to the idea Q1 may have seen some excess seasonality and keeps the chances of rate cuts this year alive.
Tweet media one
12
41
274
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 months
Today’s much anticipated #CPI report provided greater detail on the current #inflation picture, and importantly, on what the @federalreserve is most focused upon these days, and unfortunately, it’s hard to see it as anything other than a #setback .
20
29
271
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
I’m deeply saddened to learn of the passing of @ScottMinerd . I was fortunate to get to know Scott over the years, and his insights on markets and policy were truly extraordinary. My thoughts are with Scott’s family and his team @GuggenheimPtnrs .
4
5
245
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
The November #CPI report is notable in part due to the fact that it displays the second consecutive month of more moderate price pressures, providing some signal that the underlying trend of #inflation is decelerating.
20
75
239
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
7 days
Why is the savings rate so low today? Debunking a common myth on ‘Excess Savings’… There are several widely circulated ‘Excess Savings’ models that show the U.S. Consumer having spent down the above-normal savings accumulated during the pandemic. These models, which are…
Tweet media one
14
36
230
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
As always, thanks to @SquawkCNBC and @BeckyQuick for a great conversation on the #economy and #markets this morning!
@SquawkCNBC
Squawk Box
2 years
"It's going to be sticky high for a while driven largely by the wage component. But it won't be at these levels we're seeing today," says @RickRieder on why #inflation will cool off later this year.
10
5
33
19
14
205
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
14 days
Incredibly, corporate net interest payments are dramatically down in recent years. Because much of the corporate credit market termed out its debt at <1% interest rates, companies are seeing significantly lower net interest payments than in the 2010s (despite significantly higher…
Tweet media one
11
39
184
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
6 months
I’d like to thank @WilliamGreen72 for inviting me onto the #RicherWiserHappier podcast. We had a great, and wide-ranging, conversation that was a lot of fun:
@WilliamGreen72
William Green
6 months
I'm thrilled to share the latest episode of the #RicherWiserHappier podcast: my conversation with the remarkable @RickRieder , who's responsible for $2.6 trillion at @BlackRock . He probably manages more money than any other investor on Earth. To listen:
Tweet media one
14
30
198
14
12
173
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
23 days
Over the last three months, consumer confidence for the lowest-income cohort has fallen dramatically to the lowest levels since the depths of the pandemic, reflecting the disproportionate share of stress this cohort is taking on from high interest rates today.
Tweet media one
26
27
171
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 month
It’s a very rare point in time when so much of the #market ’s, and corporate executives’ and consumers’ attention is so laser focused on the monthly #inflation prints. To be more precise, it is now #service level inflation that commands virtually everyone’s attention.
8
15
163
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
23 days
CIO Chart of the Week: Over the last six months, the rates market (U.S. Treasury 10-Year yield) has run with several different narratives, resulting in a winding path that has ultimately left us almost exactly where we started. Meanwhile, equities (S&P 500) have returned +17%…
Tweet media one
6
28
159
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 months
The last several weeks have been remarkable in that a series of considerably firmer #inflation , #wage and #economic data points have dramatically re-rated the market-implied probability of @federalreserve policy rate cuts by year end.
Tweet media one
4
23
159
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
The headline #inflation data today moderated a bit on the back of falling #gasoline prices, but it’s still running at a worryingly high rate.
11
24
153
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
22 days
While rate sensitive segments of the economy are increasingly stressed, demand for services continues to boom – aided by high returns on cash & liquid investments that are accruing almost entirely to the largest spenders. The share of respondents planning a vacation to a foreign…
Tweet media one
25
26
150
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
21 days
For most of U.S. history, economic output was a majority goods consumption and investment, which made it both more cyclical and more rate sensitive. Today, with services consumption at nearly 50% of GDP (up from 25% in the 1950s), more of the economy is insensitive to rates than…
Tweet media one
3
36
147
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
5 years
A year ago, we called for #Fedpause 1.0 - an end to rate hikes. Today, we call for #Fedpause 2.0 - an end to rate cuts after next week’s presumed 25bps cut (barring major shock). From there, a focus on providing liquidity will be more effective policy, which the #Fed understands.
12
40
133
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
7 years
Strongly believe that the student loan crisis remains one of the most under-appreciated negative side effects for the US economy as a whole.
@MarketWatch
MarketWatch
7 years
Student debt is delaying millennial homeownership by seven years
7
39
41
7
59
128
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Thank you to @BeckyQuick and to @SquawkCNBC for a great conversation this morning.
@SquawkCNBC
Squawk Box
3 years
"I think we need to taper. The amount of liquidity that has gone into the system has been immense," says BlackRock's @RickRieder . "The question I get from clients everyday is are we overheating? There is some concern."
16
25
87
7
18
127
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 month
I want to thank @RaoulGMI for a great conversation on the @RealVision platform; about #markets , #investments and how to think about #macro . I greatly enjoyed it!
@RaoulGMI
Raoul Pal
1 month
A wonderful and thought-provoking interview with Rick Rieder, out tomorrow.
23
40
366
16
11
130
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 months
Yesterday’s #CPI data was highly anticipated by #markets , and particularly whether the elevated shelter #inflation from last month’s data ended up being a quirky aberration within service level inflation that is still quite a distance from the Fed’s 2% intermediate-term target.
Tweet media one
5
17
130
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
I’m very honored that @MorningstarInc has recognized me and our team with its Outstanding Portfolio Manager #MstarAwards ; it takes a lot of amazing people @BlackRock to help us deliver results for clients year after year.
@MorningstarInc
Morningstar, Inc.
1 year
Winners Announced for 2023 U.S. Morningstar Awards for Investing Excellence: #MstarAwards
Tweet media one
1
0
3
28
13
128
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
Today’s policy statement from the #FOMC , and Chair #Powell ’s press conference, were signals to economic observers and to market participants that the job of #inflation -fighting isn’t accomplished yet, but the trend is moving in the right direction.
6
15
127
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
17 days
CIO Chart of the Week: As of the first quarter of 2024, 68% of High Yield and 61% of Investment Grade issuance over the last 10 years happened when the Fed Funds rate was below 1%! Due to the 10+ years of low interest rates preceding the current policy rate hiking cycle, much of…
Tweet media one
1
25
123
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Specifically, we know from the recently released @NFIB survey data that a historically high percentage of firms are reporting difficulties in filling positions.
Tweet media one
4
47
113
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
20 days
Heading into the first weekend of the summer, what can a trip to the golf course teach us about inflation over the last 30 years? 🏌️ It turns out a whole lot. The change in how the costs of playing a round are distributed epitomizes the shift of pricing power from goods into…
Tweet media one
12
20
122
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
There’s a lot said on what type of landing we’ll see for the U.S. #economy , and how policy will try to manipulate that flight pattern, but one point to keep in mind is that #satellites don’t land and maybe that is a better analogy for a modern advanced economy like the U.S.?
14
13
110
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
In the big picture, today’s #CPI data displays continued slow progress toward a lower y-o-y rate of #inflation , having come down from a cycle peak of 8.9% in June 2022 to the 6.4% reading today, at the headline level, which is the lowest 12-month inflation gain since Oct 2021.
8
22
109
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
So, some cohorts are net creditors that are benefitting from higher rates and keeping services consumption robust, while others are net debtors that are struggling under the pressure of higher rates. In aggregate, though, rates are not slowing the consumer! If anything, we…
Tweet media one
24
12
110
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
7 years
Wow, @Twitter will only let me use 4 charts per tweet – this is going to be tough! #myfirstTweet
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
Tweet media three
Tweet media four
10
32
102
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
Today’s #JobsReport was a clear indication that #LaborMarket dynamics are softening. For example, the 3-mo. moving average of nonfarm #payroll growth sits at 247k jobs, after a higher-than-expected print of 223k jobs for Dec, in contrast to 2022’s average mo. #job gain of 375k.
6
13
105
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
8 months
Today’s October #JobsReport came in at 150,000 jobs gained, which was modestly below #economists ’ consensus estimate of 180,000 jobs, and the prior two months data were revised significantly lower, by more than 100,000 jobs.
3
18
107
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 years
As we’ve argued many times in the past, the #CashFlows generated by today’s #economy are accruing to fewer and fewer corporate players, which is why it’s not surprising that the top 5 companies in the $SPX by market cap comprise nearly 21% of the index total.
Tweet media one
9
24
98
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 months
. #Economic forecasters have finally accepted positive supply-side forces, such as increased levels of immigration, into their estimates of #LaborMarket growth, so it’s not surprising that consensus resided at near 250,000 jobs for April…
4
16
102
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 years
Indeed, as #retail sales surge, both retail and #industrial sector #inventories appear low, suggesting that if aggregate #demand can be maintained the #economic recovery likely has solid legs into 2021.
Tweet media one
3
24
84
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Today’s @ism manufacturing reading of 64.7 is the highest since 1983: Evidence continues to mount that we could be in the midst of the strongest #economic expansion in many decades.
Tweet media one
2
32
91
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
Policymakers ability to stick this landing for the economy and #markets is still very much up in the air.
8
10
91
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 months
With 303,000 jobs gained in the month of March the #JobsReport continued to look quite solid, and recent #unemployment claims, along with other separations indicators, still do not suggest the #LaborMarket is experiencing an “unexpected weakening.”
11
4
90
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
As was widely expected, the @federalreserve today halted the most aggressive policy rate #HikingCycle since 1980, leaving the Fed Funds range unchanged at 5.0% to 5.25%, a level that appears clear to us to be finally having an impact on the #economy .
5
11
89
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
After a year that gifted many a lump of coal to #investors , we believe that some silver linings can still be found in the #investment prospects for the year ahead. Here are some potential gifts for 2023 and a few #prognostications to boot:
10
16
87
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 months
With #LaborMarkets resilient and services #inflation firm, the watchword for the @federalreserve at today’s meeting was “patience,” as the #FOMC held rates steady while awaiting more data to gain “greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent.”
12
8
84
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 years
Recent actions by the @federalreserve have been awe-inspiring; I’m not sure what words would be stronger than that- but they’re required.
5
20
80
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
10 months
I want to thank @GoldmanSachs for a great conversation about #investing and #markets . It’s a confusing and uncertain time for the economy, but we discuss some of the critical factors to consider at all times.
@GoldmanSachs
Goldman Sachs
10 months
Three things matter in investing, says @BlackRock ’s @RickRieder . Listen to #GSExchanges :
24
39
102
3
12
85
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
6 years
#Facebook plans to spend $14B on ‘18 capex, rivaling Exxon’s oil/gas drilling capex; in 1Q alone, #Google spent $5.3B in capex, equivalent to the world’s largest miner’s entire ‘17 budget. #Tech + discretionary sector capex is on par with energy’s 2013 “Supercycle” (4/5)
Tweet media one
3
51
80
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
The @sffed visualized this very well in a recent analysis… the components of inflation that are “most responsive” to rates have completely normalized! It is the “least responsive” components that are responsible for the sticky inflation we are experiencing today... there is not…
Tweet media one
4
8
84
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
7 months
Yesterday’s #CPI report witnessed meaningful improvement and the overriding direction of travel is clearly toward lower #inflation , particularly when measured against levels witnessed in recent years, but the monthly rate of change may remain volatile.
4
8
83
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
It’s important to note that most of the “least responsive” components are in the services sector, which is a much larger share of the economy today than it has been historically. It used to be that slowing the rate-sensitive, goods-oriented, sectors was sufficient to slow the…
Tweet media one
3
10
82
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 month
@elonmusk @elonmusk Yes, I think high rates are severely stressing low-income Americans, who have more debt, especially high-rate types such as credit card, auto, and student loan. Lowering rates would alleviate some pressure and, surprisingly, could even help inflation moderate from here.
Tweet media one
7
8
82
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
With nonfarm #payrolls coming in at 517,000 #jobs for the month of January we have yet to see much slowing at the headline level from the solid pace of job gains witnessed over the past few quarters.
5
20
79
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Globally, #CentralBanks are attempting to quickly get a handle on #inflation , as we saw the @bankofcanada raise policy interest rates by 75 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, to 3.25%...
10
17
74
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
6 months
Last week’s #JobsReport for the month of November witnessed a solid 199,000 jobs gained, which was modestly above economists’ consensus estimate of 180,000 #jobs , and the prior two months data were revised slightly lower, by 35,000 jobs.
6
10
78
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Today’s robust #inflation data surprised in its strength and will likely persist in the short-run, and in some areas the intermediate-term, although we think that long-term the @federalreserve is largely correct in identifying real #economy price gains as mostly #transitory .
4
19
76
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 years
Though it hardly needs to be said, there are few historical precedents for us to look to that are truly comparable to recent #Fed policy moves. The 2008/09 #GFC is an obvious analogue, but the pace and extent of #policy moves is even eclipsing that.
3
15
76
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
Our latest @BlackRock Market Insights commentary argues that a remarkable shift in the market’s perception of growth, inflation and policy trajectories means #investors should consider calling the #market equivalent of a time-out to reassess #portfolios :
3
19
76
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
In his @federalreserve #JacksonHole speech #ChairPowell stated emphatically that the #FOMC ’s “overarching focus right now is to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal. Price stability is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve and serves as the bedrock of our economy.”
10
13
74
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
As we described in recent weeks, we think #markets have entered into a new #investment regime characterized by rising real rates and stable breakevens, as #investors continue to price in more robust real economic growth potential.
Tweet media one
3
12
71
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 months
We recently argued that after four years of extraordinarily abnormal economic conditions a great range of economic and market measures are now looking much more “normal,” with some areas of the #employment market still needing to reach capacity relative to pre-pandemic trend.
5
8
73
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
I want to thank @juleshyman and @BrianSozzi @YahooFinance for having me on to discuss #policy and #markets , very good discussion!
@YahooFinance
Yahoo Finance
3 years
"The markets are in good shape," BlackRock Global Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder says. "The demand for income, the demand for return — I've been doing this 35 years, [and] I've never seen the extraordinary amount of demand there is."
6
7
42
12
10
71
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #CPI report was highly anticipated, as one of the most critical indicators of the @federalreserve ’s unilateral directive toward bringing down excessive #inflation to levels more consistent with a normalized #economy and the intermediate-term policy goal of 2% inflation.
5
15
73
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
For 30 years, the U.S. consumer was a net debtor, but the incredible infusion of capital from the public sector has now resulted in the U.S. Household having no net debt in aggregate! This means that, in aggregate, U.S. Households are not deterred by higher rates! 5/13
Tweet media one
3
7
72
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Today’s #CPI report reinforces an environment of more stable, but not excessive, #inflation . We’re witnessing the end of a period of #disinflation in many places, and the re-rating of growth and #prices to impressively higher levels.
3
15
70
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
We can see below how pernicious the interest payments on these forms of debt have become as they have surged to eclipse mortgage payments for the first time on record… 7/13
Tweet media one
2
7
70
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
8 months
Yesterday’s #FOMC statement and press conference reflected a @federalreserve that is generally content with the progress they are seeing, expects to see more progress from here, and is ready to act if they don’t see it.
3
14
69
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
A few months ago, #markets expected U.S. #inflation to peak by mid-2022 at around 7% to 8% at the headline level and then anticipated that generalized #price gains would decline into year end, closing the year around 4%.
3
10
67
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 months
. #Markets continue to actively focus on the #CPI report, the PCE (and particularly #CorePCE ) readings, PPI, #wage -related releases, etc., and while the news on #inflation is increasingly one of “no news is good news,” today’s data did come in firmer than many expected.
5
9
69
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 months
After an eventful week for developed #market central banks, it’s worth keeping in mind that other countries’ #CentralBanks have already begun easing cycles.
Tweet media one
8
22
66
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
1 year
This week will provide #investors with an abundant amount of new information, which can help to discern the direction of the #economy , monetary policy and #markets .
8
7
65
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
11 months
Today’s #CPI report for June displayed notable moderation, which is good news for policy makers, #markets and households overall.
4
7
66
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #CPI report continues a consistent trend of elevated #inflation , the likes of which we haven’t seen in many decades.
11
8
65
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #JobsReport revealed an #economy that is producing #jobs at a slower pace than it has over the prior several months.
6
12
64
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
At yesterday’s #FOMC meeting, the Committee revealed more expected tightening and further steps toward #tapering #asset purchases than they had previously. We see these as steps in the right direction.
3
11
62
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Like the #payroll report a couple of weeks ago, today’s #CPI report showed that this year’s trends of persistent #inflation and an excessively tight labor market are taking longer to move toward the @federalreserve ’s targeted levels than originally expected.
10
11
63
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
For many months now @federalreserve Chair #Powell has described his ideal interaction between policy tightening and the #economy as a “soft landing,” and we’ve been more sanguine than many that this result might still be possible.
5
12
62
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
Importantly, it is the beneficiaries of high rates that make up the majority of consumption and ultimately drive the aggregate economy (especially in services). Hence, as these cohorts benefit from higher rates they are continuing to spend comfortably, which keeps pressure on…
Tweet media one
5
4
63
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
28 days
Though, looking under the hood, we see the bottom 50% of the wealth distribution does take on some stress. This cohort has less than $1 trillion of cash but holds $3 trillion of credit card & other non-mortgage debt. This is especially relevant as these forms of debt, which are…
Tweet media one
1
6
63
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
5 years
Market liquidity can always be challenging around month- , quarter-, and particularly, year-end, but this morning the short-term funding #markets witnessed worst #liquidity since 9-2016 money-market reform date: General Collateral traded around 4%, with large bid-offer spread.
1
16
63
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
As in recent months, November’s #inflation data displayed a strong growth in #prices , which will lead to many alarmist stories in the media.
4
15
62
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #JobsReport data saw a gain of 390,000 #jobs last month, bringing the three-month moving average for #NFP gains to 408,000 jobs, which marks a deceleration in trend job growth since the start of the year, when the measure resided at 580,000.
8
9
59
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
6 months
We learned from the @federalreserve ’s statement, #economic projections, and press conference that this #Fed is still fighting #inflation , yet with a tacit acknowledgement that policy is extremely restrictive today and needs to be adjusted over the coming quarters.
1
7
61
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
10 months
As the #JobsReport data out today displayed clearly, the underlying momentum in hiring continues to moderate, and while we’re witnessing some signs of weakness in certain sectors, the jobs market does not appear to be falling apart and still has real need of people in some areas.
3
14
60
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
5 years
That would allow for an effective transition from reliance on rate #policy to a focus on #liquidity conditions: Rates that are too high or too low can hurt an #economy – and so can a shortage of liquidity: #RatesCutBothWays
Tweet media one
3
13
61
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
I want to thank @SquawkCNBC and @BeckyQuick for a great conversation this morning, clearly a very eventful day!
@SquawkCNBC
Squawk Box
2 years
"The Fed has got to get off emergency conditions," says Rick Rieder. "You got to get out of the QE program which I think has taken too long...we are going to get that first rate hike in, then we are going to talk about--can you start to drain some of that excess liquidity."
2
3
21
3
3
62
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
3 years
Today’s #CPI report reinforces that we’re entering a period of strengthening, but not excessive, #inflation , and we’re witnessing the end to a long period of #disinflation in many parts of the economy.
3
13
59
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
7 days
Lastly, we believe it’s important to note that a vast majority of Household Deposits are held by the wealthiest cohorts (which also tend be older cohorts). These households are net creditors that are earning the highest real rates in >25 years on their net cash today. Meanwhile,…
Tweet media one
8
8
67
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
4 years
It’s a well-known axiom that #markets hate #uncertainty , and lately with the focus on the U.S. election, #Brexit , a degree of #financial market over-speculation, and a dizzying array of changes/reversals in the prospects for further #fiscal policy: uncertainty has been abundant!
7
12
56
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Essentially, what we’re witnessing is a slowing #economy , experiencing the long and variable lags typically involved with #MonetaryPolicy transmission, which is taking a long time to appear in the #inflation data.
2
5
61
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #JobsReport was generally in-line with expectations, albeit marginally stronger, within a broad #LaborMarket data context that is still not softening enough for the @federalreserve to pause its aggressive #tightening cycle.
3
15
60
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
In our latest @BlackRock Market Insights commentary, we describe the elements of a #portfolio that can withstand the unique and complex “5 Category” #financial hurricane that is hitting #markets today:
5
10
60
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
9 months
Today’s #JobsReport was a reminder of how important certain segments of the #LaborMarket have been over the past year, or so, and especially the less cyclical areas of #employment , such as education and healthcare.
5
13
59
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
The @federalreserve ’s #FOMC has now moved in 75 basis point increments four times this year to get to a sought-after #policy destination very quickly.
5
13
59
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
10 days
CIO Chart of the Week: While Friday’s payrolls report was robust, if we take a step back, we are seeing a healthy moderation of labor demand from nearly three and a half years of an extremely hot labor market. We believe the labor market is “underheating,” meaning we expect to…
Tweet media one
3
20
60
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
Today’s #JobsReport was another interesting read into an extraordinarily tight #labor market.
3
11
59
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
16 days
Labor demand has normalized, and even looks a bit weak in certain areas. Balance is returning to the labor market. The Fed can find a lot of comfort in the progress here.
Tweet media one
2
6
60
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 years
As was widely expected, the @federalreserve ’s Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range for the Federal Funds #policy rate by 50 basis points (bps), to between 0.75% and 1.0%, and announced the start of #runoff of the central bank’s balance sheet.
2
9
57
@RickRieder
Rick Rieder
2 months
We think that today’s report should delay the #Fed ’s anticipated policy rate cut this summer, and it’s probable that cuts will be pushed off until late in the year, or beyond. Both we and the Fed will be keenly focused on all the inflation and growth data as we move forward.
5
12
56