Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan Profile
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

@skalemliozcan

7,243
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Mom, Economist, Professor, Avid Reader, Researcher, Writer, Women+Education Advocate. Views are my own.

Washington, DC; Istanbul
Joined January 2015
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
I am proud to give a congressional testimony on unequal global vaccinations and global supply chain disruptions. As the title of the hearing goes: A global crisis needs a global solution, here is the link: hearing and written testimony:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
This is insane. Turkish case should be studied in all econ textbooks: How can you sink your currency with colossal monetary policy mistakes, eroding policy credibility and driving your risk premia to the roof in an emerging market with good fundamentals!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Finally out! We share the capital flows by sector data with everyone and will update it regularly in real time!
@JEEA_News
JEEA
2 years
Forthcoming article by @StefanAvdjiev @BryanHardy9 @skalemliozcan @LuisServen1 “Gross Capital Flows by Banks, Corporates and Sovereigns” @EEANews @OUPEconomics Teaching slides available:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Our paper that constructs quarterly data for capital flows by sector since 1996q1 is forthcoming @JEEA_News and data is posted @BIS_org . To understand the vulnerability of corporates, banks and sovereigns to capital flows, this data is essential:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
4 years
All are welcome to our first women in international economics conference!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Super happy to see this paper finally out in RESTUD showing the risk channel of US monetary policy spillovers to emerging markets with amazing micro data from Turkey (we started working on this paper during 2010 US-QE!):
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
A long run started in 2012! Our "data paper" providing a guide for constructing representative firm data from ORBIS is in @AEAjournals . To show the importance of using representative data, we draw out implications for SME financing/concentration trends:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
5 months
I highly recommend this lecture on inflation by @IvanWerning and thanks so much for citing our work on inflation and supply chains! Proud to be in the endogenous cost push shock group since 2021 with our early paper on inflation!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Our paper is out, w/ @GitaGopinath and Mitali Das on the effects of pre-emptive policies to deal with capital flows related risk shocks for emerging markets; our work is related to IMF's influential IPF framework that I had the pleasure to contribute to:
@nberpubs
NBER
2 years
Emerging markets can reduce their external finance premia during risk-off shocks by employing preemptive policies before these shocks, from Mitali Das, Gita Gopinath, and @skalemliozcan
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 months
For all who are thinking about pursuing an Econ PhD and want to learn more about international econ, global connections over trade and finance, please come work with us at our new Global Linkages Hub @BrownUniversity ! Apply here:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
1st summer school in international was so much learning and fun in beautiful Crete! Thanks to organizers @JavierBianchi7 ,Martin Uribe, Costas Arkolakis, Natalia Ramondo, our host U. of Crete for giving us the opportunity to teach amazing students in trade & international macro!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
4 years
Emmanuel, my dear friend, we loved you, we miss you. You were so brilliant, so kind, so much to give, a spectacular economist, an incredible person, a true friend. The world is less bright without you.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Here is NBER video on our paper predicting, 9 months ago, the detrimental effect of supply chain disruptions on recovery with uneven global vaccinations. Rich gain from investing in vaccinating the poor: "no economy fully recovers, until everyone does":
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
20 days
Had a great time presenting our work w/ @pierredeleo @GitaGopinath and listening interesting papers on "Macro in EM" conference honoring Martin Uribe, organized by Vivian Yue and Pablo Ottonello!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 years
TL exchange rate since 1970s, the figure tells all:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
9 months
Excellent speech by @GitaGopinath on emerging markets; what should they do to weather the storms coming from a global uncertain economic environment!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Great program by IMF @IMFNews #ARCPOLAK , @pogourinchas , @GitaGopinath , to honor Maury Obstfeld, from whom I learned tremendously! Check out amazing papers below:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
9 months
Had a great time at this year's Jackson Hole! Great program, nature, excellent hosting and an amazing number of women economists! Thank you @KansasCityFed !
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Coverage of our inflation paper by @nytimes . The role of supply shocks/bottlenecks/labor shortages in driving consumer demand led inflation much higher is important to understand in a world of more supply shocks and a possible de-globalization.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
This is a "must-watch" lecture! Our session on EM capital flows, featuring 4 papers from @GitaGopinath @guido_lorenzoni @JavierBianchi7 @itskhoki @anusha_chari , Dima Mukhin, Kristin Forbes, with great discussants, contributing to New Foundations for International Macro Policy
@GitaGopinath
Gita Gopinath
1 year
It is time for "New Foundations for International Macro Policy" & to update our textbooks. You can watch my lecture here: @Susan_Athey 's kind introduction starts at minute 34 & my lecture at minute 40.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
1/Here is a great interview from @ecb chief economist Phil Lane @FT w/ @martinwolf_ on the current inflation debate in US and Europe. Our academic research on inflation with its sectoral network focus backs this up:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Looking forward to 2nd Women in International Economics Conference, here is the program, please join:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
4 years
I am honored to be featured with all these great women for the CEPR/UBS Women in Economics initiative!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
It was a pity that #ASSA2023 had fewer people but it had many celebrations! With much negative in global economy, 2023 needs to celebrate great research, great lectures, great leadership more and more! Thanks @AEAInformation @AEAjournals @Susan_Athey @GitaGopinath @itskhoki
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 years
There is nothing surprising in current Turkish situation: if such a credit boom is financed with foreign debt instead of structural reforms, this type of crisis and loss of value in currency is inevitable as I wrote 4 years ago:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Our new NBER @nberpubs paper on risk-taking and monetary policy transmission shows the importance of heterogeneity in macro-finance using detailed loan-firm-bank level data from the U.S.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Celebrating Calvo with dear friends, at this amazing conference organized by @Columbia @NYFedResearch @andyneumeyer , Martin Uribe. I am honored to present our work with @GitaGopinath @pierredeleo on monetary policy cyclicality in emerging markets:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Honored to present our work decomposing demand and supply drivers of Euro area and US inflation to central banking community and academics at #ECBForum , paper, slides and video of the presentation here:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Aynen. Üniversite eğitimi uzakdan olmaz. Bu çok ama çok yanlış. Üniversitelere, eğitime, bilgiye, bilime 20 yıldır değer verilmediği için zaten bu noktadayız. #TurkeyEarthquake @SelvaDemiralp @ugurses @HandeDemireltv @DidemArslanoglu @takyol96
@ProfUfukAkcigit
Ufuk Akçiğit
1 year
Yurt genelinde üniversitelerin uzaktan eğitime geçmesi depremin zararlarını geleceğe yayar. Hiçbir alternatif, yarınlara attığımız temellerimiz olan gençlerimizi kaybetmekten daha maliyetli değil. Temelleri zayıf atılan hiçbir şey ayakta kalamaz.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 month
Great macro annual! My discussion, the 2nd paper by Camara, Christiano, Dalgic-the International Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism-that shows both trade and financial channels work to contract EM output with FED hikes:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 months
Excited that our paper w/ @pogourinchas , Veronika Penciakova, Nick Sander is forthcoming @JEEA_News . A novel channel, tested with European firm data during COVID: firm exit during liquidity shocks depends on government support under financial frictions.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
9 months
My interview from yesterday @BloombergTV #JacksonHole2023 : 1) Stay with restrictive monetary policy until 2%. 2) Soft landing was always possible as shown in our 21-22 global production network papers. 3) Sectoral labor supply shocks are inflationary.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
1/3 of the US inflation, as of end of 2021 is from supply side factors, inflation would have been 6 percent w/o the 3 percent coming from supply shocks as we have argued at the #ECBForum
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
11 months
Looking forward to our @nberpubs presentation on emerging market monetary policies w/ @GitaGopinath @pierredeleo next week!
@GitaGopinath
Gita Gopinath
1 year
Do emerging market central banks raise rates when the US Fed does? They do not. However, even though they cut rates, market rates tend to rise from tightening global financial conditions, impairing monetary policy effectiveness. @pierredeleo @skalemliozcan
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Conference for the mind and the soul! Papers at Women in Macro conference @VeronicaGuerri7 @afogli001 @mazzimon77 range from macro-effects of exchange rates to homelessness!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 months
Thank you @IMFNews , @pogourinchas @GitaGopinath for the amazing conference honoring Ken Rogoff!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
10 months
Recent @TheEconomist coverage of our work with @GitaGopinath , @pierredeleo on emerging market monetary policies and why they can be ineffective in the face of importance of external factors/finance:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
I am honored to be part of the celebrations for Mark Gertler's birthday and BBVA award for Gertler, Bernanke, Kiyotaki and Moore at this amazing conference with super interesting papers:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Our work that makes the economic case for global vaccinations with my colleagues @SelvaDemiralp , @Cem_Cakmakli , Sevcan Yeşiltaş, and Muhammed Ali Yıldırım is featured in FT today!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
We are looking forward to applications from all graduate students who are interested in international!
@JIntlEcon
Journal of International Economics
1 year
Announcing the first Summer School in International Economics. Hosted by University of Crete (Rethymnon, Greece) June 14-16, 2023. Lectures by @LucaFornaro3 , @skalemliozcan , Mendoza, Costinot, Eaton & Rappoport. PhD students, apply by January 30:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
11 months
Amazing women power!
@GitaGopinath
Gita Gopinath
11 months
Lots of good meetings at ⁦ @ecb ⁩ Forum in Sintra. ⁦ @Lagarde ⁩ ⁦ @Isabel_Schnabel ⁩ ⁦ @helene_rey ⁩, Silvana Tenreyro
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Having a wonderful time at Women in Macro Conference; great papers, amazing company! Thank you @VeronicaGuerri7 @mazzimon77 @afogli001 hosted by the UCSB, program chairs @Ale_M_Peter and Corina Boar, program here:
@mazzimon77
marina azzimonti
1 year
Group pic for Women in Macro! 🤩
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Looking forward to the NBER EFG meeting today! We are presenting our paper on U.S. monetary policy transmission during low interest rate period of 2012-2019 with heterogenous firms and banks!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 years
At first women on macro conference, #WomenInMacro
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Türkiye yabancı yatırıcımcıdan borç alan bir ülke, borçlanma faizi küresel risk prim i ile hareket eder (şekil), yabancı yatırımcı negatif real faiz den borç vermez, kaçar ve enflasyon ve kur daha kötüye gider: ,
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
5 months
Together w/ @BryanHardyEcon , @StefanAvdjiev , @luisser , we spent years on establishing this data, published @JEEA_News . It is the only data that can show capital flows/currency related vulnerabilities before crises. It is super that everyone can use it real-time thanks to @BIS_org !
@int_mon_econ
International and Monetary Economics Network
5 months
The literature has long ignored the sectoral composition of gross capital flows. Great to see the updated dataset of international capital flows and stocks by sector: @BIS_org @StefanAvdjiev @BryanHardyEcon @skalemliozcan @luisser Luis Servén
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
My new piece in Project Syndicate on the Neo-Fisherian experiment of Turkey and why this will not work in a small open economy that finances its growth with capital flows:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Martin Wolf's coverage of our work on the economic case for global vaccinations in FT:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
2/2 Our work calculated trillions in costs of not vaccinating the poor countries for the rich countries; a return on investment in COVAX of 166 times. @IMFNews shows even bigger returns with investing in increasing vaccine supply!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Had a wonderful time at the 10th Asian Monetary Policy Forum, discussing the great paper by Maury Obstfeld and visiting beautiful Singapore!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Listened great papers at the conference by the @IMFNews on Advances in Monetary Economics and honored to be speaking in the policy panel on inflation together with @ojblanchard1 , @pogourinchas and Phil Lane.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Super happy to be at the Women in Macro 2022 @WomenInMacro ! Great program put together by amazing @afogli001 @VeronicaGuerri7 @mazzimon77
@mazzimon77
marina azzimonti
2 years
Women in Macro 2022 kicking out soon! Check program here: (We will record all sessions!) @afogli001 @VeronicaGuerri7 @BeckerFriedman @WomenInMacro #WiM #WomenInMacro
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
28 days
Great article from @SoumayaKeynes . If you want to learn how to be a more useful economist, come and work with us at the Global Linkages Lab at @BrownUniversity and apply for the pre-doc position: last day to apply is tomorrow!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Looking forward to Pierre-Olivier's @pogourinchas presentation of our joint work today with Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander, and other talks, at the Jackson Hole conference,
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Why policy credibility is key for FX market? w/ @liliana_vvarela , in . Policy uncertainty can explain key puzzles for international risky arbitrage, more common for EMs. This is why UK is now an EM, fiscal credibility is questionable as in @Francesco_Bia
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 months
Great conference on Geoeconomics, thanks @MSchularick , @Ch_Trebesch , @cepr_org . It was a great honor for me to deliver the laudation for @GitaGopinath , recipient of Bernard Harms prize! Here is the video for the prize ceremony and paper presentations:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
We have worked on an extension of this paper that explains how much of the aggregate demand effect is due to fiscal stimulus: I will be presenting at the ASSA, Deglobalization session, January 6-"Quantifying the inflationary impact of fiscal stimulus under supply constraints"
@cepr_org
CEPR
1 year
From July #CEPRin2022 CEPR Discussion Paper - DP17449 Global Supply Chain Pressures, International Trade, and Inflation Julian di Giovanni @NewYorkFed , @skalemliozcan , @Asilvub @UofMaryland , Muhammed Yildirim @kocuniversity @HarvardCID
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 months
Great to be in Paris at the @cepr_org Symposium, and giving the keynote on US monetary policy transmission!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
I had a great interview with @colbyLsmith of @FT ! Thank you for this great article summarizing my views and others' on FED, interest rates and inflation!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Here is our new paper that decomposes "observed" inflation in US and Eurozone, during 2020-2021, into supply and demand side drivers based on influential network model of @DBaqaee and Emmanuel Farhi. We also calculate exported/imported inflation.
@nberpubs
NBER
2 years
COVID-19 response policies aimed at stimulating aggregate demand would not have produced such high inflation without the negative sectoral supply shocks, from Julian di Giovanni, @skalemliozcan , @asilvub , and Muhammed A. Yildirim
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
New name for financial repression: monetary policy transmission. Macroprudential policy is used to cap risk premia evident in diverging lending rates and policy rates. Textbook case---why EMs w/o monetary policy credibility cannot also use macroprudential
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
I am honored to give the keynote lecture today at the Barcelona Forum, Firms in the Global Economy!
@MattDarst3
Matt Darst
3 years
Don’t miss the keynote delivered by my amazing co-author ⁦ @skalemliozcan ⁩ today on firms in the global economy at Barcelona GSE Summer Forum! Webinar Registration- Zoom
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Sevgili arkadaşım, @SelvaDemiralp dan Türkiye ekonomisi 101 dersi! Yanlış ekonomik politikalara rağmen nasıl büyüyoruz? My good friend and co-author @SelvaDemiralp explains why there is still growth in Turkey in spite of bad economic policies.
@SelvaDemiralp
Selva Demiralp
2 years
#BlackFriday effect” that lasted for half a year in the Turkish economy:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
So frustrating to see the same policy mistake again and again in a large emerging market such as Turkey. Our earlier PS piece predicts this crisis exactly the way it is unfolding based on lost monetary policy credibility:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Looking forward to my plenary at Midwest Macro tonight @SMUEconDept , @SposiMichael and also Esteban's @HansbergRossi tomorrow. Great papers on the program, including young women economists and grad students!
@SposiMichael
Michael Sposi
2 years
Reminder: The Fall 2022 Midwest Macro will be hosted by @SMUEconDept in Dallas on Nov 11-13. The submission deadline is one week away.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Results so far in the most important election of 2023 that will have global implications: 33 percent of ballots opened. Kılıçdaroğlu is in the lead with 47.71!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
11 months
Looking forward!
@SHouseofFinance
Swedish House of Finance
11 months
Welcome Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan ( @skalemliozcan ), from the University of Maryland ( @UofMaryland ), as keynote speaker to SHoF’s annual conference. She will present insights from her research on international transmission of US monetary policy index. Register:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Check out our Symposium on US Private Firms, financing, regulation and impact on aggregate macro- economy, organized by the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business bringing together academics, regulators and data providers, will be livestreamed:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
This was a great conference @IMFNews with timely papers on EM capital flows. I am honored to take part in the policy panel discussing current inflation, effects of strong dollar on EM and what EM can do.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Thank you for everyone's prayers, messages and interests in #TurkeySyriaEarthquake . You can make donations to FusunSayek Foundation below setup in the Hatay-Iskenderun region, on the ground, to help victims directly with immediate care and future rehabilitation/education needs.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Quantifying drivers of 2021-2023 inflation in the US is @AEAjournals : demand-amplified supply chain issues are important. We are now working on quantification for other countries through the global production network linkages.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Thank you all for your messages and prayers #TurkeyEarthquake . This is a catastrophe beyond words. Many of you asked how can you help. Anything counts, you can donate the items listed here:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Looking forward to our Annual Conference at Central Bank of Chile! Covering all the key and super timely topics for EMs!
@andresfernanm
Andres Fernandez Martin
3 years
Thrilled about our virtual @bcentralchile Annual Conference next week on EM Credibility, Investors Risk Perceptions & Capital Flows. 10 new papers, 2 keynotes by @carmenmreinhart & M. Obstfeld. Joint with @skalemliozcan . Hard to find a more relevant topic for EMEs these days!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Had an amazing time at JacksonHole! Academics and policy makers' interactions were great! Excellent presentations by @GitaGopinath @Francesco_Bia and others point to key sources of inflation: fiscal stimulus and supply side-cost push shocks. We quantify how much each accounts for
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
My dear friend Selva @BloombergHT Hayatta dogru yoldan yuruyup, adil olup, insanlari ezmeden ve haksizlik yapmadanda basarili olundugunu cocuklarina ogretmek isteyen anne-babalar icin mutlak seyir.
@BloombergHT
Bloomberg HT
3 years
📢 Bir Hayat Hikayesi: Prof. Dr. Selva Demiralp ❓ Küresel ekonominin merkezi FED'e giren ilk Türk olmayı nasıl başardı? 📝 Aşı eşitliği çalışmalarıyla dünya basınına nasıl damga vurdu? 🤔 Bir kadın iktisatçı olarak iş hayatında neler yaşadı? #Profil ▶️
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
I had a great interview with @petercoy @nytimes on the global role of strong dollar and what does this imply for the FED and global policy coordination:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Super excited for our conference on fragmentation and supply chains this week! @nberpubs @pol_antras @CBChileresearch @pogourinchas
@CBChileresearch
Central Bank of Chile Research
1 year
Next Wednesday March 1st and Thursday March 2nd the “International Fragmentation, Supply Chains, and Financial Frictions” conference will be held together with the @nberpubs . Check the program out at . Don’t miss it!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Please join!
@cepr_org
CEPR
2 years
Call for Papers: WE_ARE_IN Macroeconomics and Finance - Basel - September 29-30, 2022 -
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Our paper's summary @voxeu with @GitaGopinath @pierredeleo on emerging market monetary policy cyclicality, US monetary policy and risk premia leading to a short-rate disconnect for emerging markets.
@voxeu
VoxEU
1 year
Global risk perception challenges emerging economies' monetary policy. Gap between policy rates & short-term market rates reveals countercyclical measures may fall short for stimulus. @pierredeleo @UmdEcon @GitaGopinath @IMFNews @skalemliozcan @UofMaryland
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Great conversation with @EliasPapaioann2 on COVID and Turkey and Emerging Markets.
@Wheeler_LBS
Wheeler Institute for Business and Development
3 years
One year on... how has #Turkey performed during the #COVID19 crisis? We invited @skalemliozcan – Neil Moskowitz Professor at @UofMaryland – to share her views. Watch here:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Absolutely brilliant AEA/AFA luncheon address from @GitaGopinath ; honored to be there; must reading for academia and policy world and for all the students in international macro!
@GitaGopinath
Gita Gopinath
1 year
Just gave the AEA Joint luncheon address on “New Foundations for Macro Policy” Great to see old friends, including brilliant women @Susan_Athey , President of AEA, & @skalemliozcan .
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Please join, this great conference starts tomorrow and will last for 2 days!
@andresfernanm
Andres Fernandez Martin
3 years
Thrilled about our virtual @bcentralchile Annual Conference next week on EM Credibility, Investors Risk Perceptions & Capital Flows. 10 new papers, 2 keynotes by @carmenmreinhart & M. Obstfeld. Joint with @skalemliozcan . Hard to find a more relevant topic for EMEs these days!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Great piece on US/Europe inflation @TheEconomist @COdendahl on our research with Julian di Giovanni, and also @IvanWerning @guido_lorenzoni @VeronicaGuerri7 , on the importance of demand and supply factors, structural shifts and differences in US vs Europe:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
5 months
Incredibly sad news, a dear friend, great economist, wonderful human being. A tremendous loss.
@S_Stantcheva
Stefanie Stantcheva
5 months
Devastated that Philippe Martin has passed away. A great economist, and a wonderful mentor and colleague at the @CAEinfo . It was always such a pleasure working and talking with him. Rest in peace dear Philippe, you’ll be deeply missed.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Here is an excellent short video at NBER by @pogourinchas describing our joint work with Veronika Penciakova and Nick Sander on COVID-19, SME failures and Fiscal Policy:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Grateful to attend to this beautiful event for remembering, celebrating Emmanuel's life, work, and all that he brought to our lives organized by @helene_rey @PAghion @JeanTirole @IvanWerning @DBaqaee @pogourinchas and @cdf1530 @cepr_org @banquedefrance , @ERC_Research @INSEAD
@helene_rey
Hélène Rey
2 years
Tomorrow starts in Paris the conference in the honour of Emmanuel Farhi . @cepr_org @cdf_InnovLab Important to reread the beautiful article written by Jean Tirole on Emmanuel’s work in the Annual Review of Economics.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Tremendously important work from @DBaqaee and my dear friend Emmanuel. If you want to understand COVID related global supply chain issues and all the implications, this is your first stop. Not a day goes by without thinking what a huge loss to the world, losing Emmanuel is.
@DBaqaee
David Baqaee
2 years
I think about Emmanuel's absence every day. He was a force of nature. I'm thankful I managed the final mile on this paper without him (with help from colleagues). My life, let alone research, will never be the same without him.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Please attend #econmetoo @AEACSWEP panel; need to understand what is working and not working: The best practices report that I worked with Bayer, Pande, Rouse, Smith, Serrato, and Wilcox provides practical advice, not sure they are all applied.
@jenniferdoleac
Jennifer Doleac
2 years
Finally - a message from the AEA about #econmetoo ... Looking forward to this @AEACSWEP panel discussion!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
3 years
Selva, basarili olmak isteyen kadinlar icin bir rol model, mutlaka seyredilmesi gereken bir video, AEA de genc kadin akademisyenler icin director of mentoring gorevini yaparken arayip bulamadigimiz videolardan.
@SelvaDemiralp
Selva Demiralp
3 years
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
This is coming out in AER P&P. We are now working on the open econ version, stay tuned!
@nberpubs
NBER
1 year
US inflation is driven by demand and supply shocks in 2/3, 1/3 proportion respectively, where fiscal stimulus accounts for more than half of the demand side, from Julian di Giovanni, @skalemliozcan , @Asilvub , and Muhammed A. Yildirim
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
5 years
So true! We should do more microdata-based evidence to understand macro!
@JustinWolfers
Justin Wolfers
5 years
Microeconomic decisions create macroeconomic phenomena...
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
6 months
Alvaro @Asilvub is a fantastic UMD student on the market; studying inflation in SOEs using global networks that can amplify/smooth inflation without nominal rigidities. Quantitative impact of shocks is different relative to standard SOE model+ closed economies with networks!
@Asilvub
Álvaro Silva
6 months
Link to the paper:
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
My @BloombergTV interview w/ @Kathleen_Hays . FED will not cut rates in 2023 as services inflation is sticky. We are not in an econ-wide banking crisis. Small business borrow from big regulated banks. Credit demand matters more when labor market is tight.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Looking forward to two days of great discussions in beautiful Paris at this amazing conference by @banquedefrance @cepr_org @UniSurreyEvents @WorldBank ; honored to give one of the two keynotes together with incomparable @pol_antras
@SZignago
Soledad Zignago 🇺🇦
2 years
Paris, 16-17 May: Globalisation, Strategic Autonomy and Economic Resilience in Times of Crisis, @banquedefrance @cepr_org @UniOfSurrey @WorldBank Conference Keynotes: @pol_antras & @skalemliozcan #BdFeco
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 months
Finally! Science, knowledge, education and good work is winning, Turkish democracy is alive and well, as always : “it is the economy”—one cannot govern the economy, should not govern! Erdogan Set for Shock Defeat in Turkey’s Municipal Elections
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
4 years
Gita in Vogue on Road to Recovery!
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
2 years
Foreign shocks are important for Euro area inflation even before the war/energy/food crisis. Our model based decomposition shows 2/3 of the observed inflation in the EA is due to foreign shocks; inflation would have been 2 percent in the absence of foreign shocks that add 3%.
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@skalemliozcan
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan
1 year
Having a great time at the #ASSA2023 , many great papers, our session on deglobalization yesterday and exchange rates today, check out the papers!
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