Solutionist. Astrophysics PhD and scientific software engineer. Dad of 2. Let’s colonise the solar system together. Please visit the link below to read my blog:
The concerns about demand for Starship are overblown - just taking on the existing Falcon manifest plus Artemis will give it plenty of work for the remainder of this decade - but there is a kernel of truth there.
I think, ultimately, there has to be a new source of demand. The…
If you are in a position to turn your nose up at military rations, you are by definition not starving.
This stuff is just dense calories designed to be transported in large quantities in unrefrigerated cargo planes. It’s not supposed to be winning any Michelin Stars.
It was 7 minutes to midnight during the Cuban missile crisis. It is hilarious watching them inflate their scaremongering to try and maintain relevance.
This is a BIG deal - the first of Indian Point's nuclear reactors is shutting down this month & New York State is moving toward a 100%
#RenewableEnergy
future!
Be sure to check out
@Beyond_IP
and their incredible campaign!
#BeyondIndianPoint
The article admits its less than $2 a cubic metre, and the conversation they had was about drinking water. Yes, that is absurdly cheap, and it’s absurd anybody on this planet lacks clean water to drink.
Nobody would be trying (badly) to dunk on this if anybody else had said it.
I've upset some people, who follow me for space/tech/science, by supporting Israel in the current conflict with Hamas.
What did you expect though? Do you think that the society that builds this sort of thing and lives there is going to be a violent, bigoted theocracy like…
It’s absurd to expect scientists to appear on Joe Rogan. Do you really expect someone with a PhD to be prepared to explain his area of expertise and answer tough questions about it for 3 hours?
I am absolutely fine with people choosing not to have children. But if you do that and then become dependent on the state in later life, it is mathematically speaking a free rider problem.
Those without children should be diligently saving - they have a lot more spare cash after…
No, a child’s understanding would be ignoring the result of the closest thing to actual experiments we have done with national politics, because the results were very conclusive and bad for your ideology.
Watch carefully for dishonest critics of Starship moving the goalposts.
After IFT-1 they said that 30 engines couldn't be reliable. We have now had 2 back-to-back flights with zero failures on ascent.
After IFT-2 they said that the dynamics of the boostback were fatally…
The heuristic of "always side with the oppressed" is going to make you turn against progress because more advanced, open societies will always have the technological edge and enable their more primitive opponents to claim to be "oppressed" when in fact they are merely outclassed
At the start of the 20th century, recurring famine was a big problem for humanity. Fritz Haber came up with a tech solution. Lenin came up with a political solution.
Compare and contrast the results since.
The most insidious form of climate denial is no longer, "It's not happening," but the belief that incremental or tech solutions will solve this crisis.
1/6
The scaling back and scrapping of HS2 is one of the biggest symbols of failure in this country. But especially this - failing to have a direct connection between Manchester and Paris for want of a short tunnel in London. Brunel would’ve constructed this in a weekend as a side gig
Defending Elon Musk is my least favourite activity on here. He’s a billionaire, why bother, right? But his detractors are often just so far off the deep end, such as accusing him of endorsing Medvedevs fever dream instead of laughing at it, that people need to be talked down.
Images coming out of Israel prove something that a huge swathe of western society simply don’t get: weakness is not virtue.
The “oppressed” are so because they lack capability, not will. Every group that claims to be a victim of history would’ve done the same or worse to those…
In April, Tesla released a step-by-step plan to completely decarbonise the world economy. It was detailed, data-driven, and credible given that the source was a leading manufacturer of EVs, solar and battery technology.
It was ignored by the press and environmental activists.…
You could assume that the guy behind Tesla and SpaceX is a moron who doesn’t understand how courts work - and I guess that would be a good way of protecting your ego if you haven’t revolutionised any industries yet consider yourself an apex of the intellectual elite - or you…
@OldRowSwig
@FLmoon47
Then presumably that 8 million was contingent on allowing himself to be captured by that audience he didn't align with.
He probably made enough off his 15 minutes to make himself very comfortable without having to ride the wave of increasingly deranged political fans.
People keep saying we need to decarbonise our economies in a decade and pointedly ignore the single example of where an industrialised country managed to do exactly this.
Nobody wants to have the grown up conversation about children and taxation. Everyone just stakes out a position that financially benefits themselves and then pretends dissent is immoral and get emotional about it. People need to accept some brute facts:
1. Your taxes are spent…
@AltHistoryHub
Honestly this is probably closer to what actual ancient battles looked like that most stuff you seen in movies. Just picture the ultras wearing bronze breastplates and you're there.
If we are saying 2 degrees is unacceptable and 4 degrees is catastrophic; then it seems to me geoengineering is inevitable.
If someone can show 2 degrees can be averted with emissions reductions only, I’m open to that, but as best as I understand it we are talking about a Khmer…
If your first instinct is to try and deny or downplay the dire implications for our civilization clearly laid out in this graph, then you’re either profiting from the exploitation & decimation of life on this planet, or you’ve believed the lies of someone who is.
Energy is such a tricky problem. If only there was a magic metal that contains about a million times as much energy per kg as coal, and could liberate that energy in a controlled way without emitting any CO2.
Britain is to be left without backup coal power plants this winter after the energy companies Drax and EDF confirmed plans to close their remaining stations.
If you have a startup, the state just steals it from you when it becomes successful. They sell it to hedge funds to try and fund schools. But then something weird happens. Startups stop appearing. VCs all move to other countries. The schools are starved of funding.
Any politician who wants to make the world better has to reckon with this chart (even if they vehemently disagree with the source). It’s a distillation of all our problems.
How can we take the revolution in production that enabled the bottom half of the plot, and apply it to the…
@BasingerBr6482
That is literally impossible over time because ever current taxpayer was a child consuming services in past, and those services are a small fraction of the tax take.
The notion that slavery is the great sin of the British Empire is nonsensical and a result of American culture wars being copy and pasted into a context that doesn’t make sense.
It’s especially bizarre when muddled together with imperialism, given that the Empire forced…
@KonstantinKisin
I agree; this was actually a joke people outside academia haven't got. To get a PhD you have to defend your thesis in a length oral exam, so by definition we have all done what I described before.
I’m so fucking tired of this. So much technology, from nuclear energy to EVs, gets partisan coded and turned into a stupid culture war.
No, EVs don’t catch fire more than petrol cars, and no they don’t emit more once you take into account generation (even if it’s coal). No,…
This is mostly a worthless rant about how his team doesn’t control X anymore and are very salty about it, but this is astonishing: portraying a software update as evidence of cars being faulty, and ignoring over 90 successful Falcon 9 launches in favour of snarking about 2 test…
You can practically hear the gears of civilisation grinding to a halt in Britain.
Its truly heartbreaking to live through this. I expect to have a miserable old age, and fear for what my children will face. Maybe they will escape to a less moribund society.
If it ever became easy for Brits to emigrate to the US, our skilled labour market would violently implode. Few graduates would resist the offer of “3x the salary for the same job - apply now and get a free assault rifle!”
Is Boeing in true engineering freefall right now or is it simply that the attention is on them so every mishap with a Boeing aircraft is now a headline?
“The curious task of economics is to demonstrate to men how little they really know about what they imagine they can design” - F. A. Hayek
I’m no economist, but honestly the Nature puff piece about degrowth is such low hanging fruit I don’t think I need to be to make such a…
A load of people interpreting this as climate change denial, rather than frustration at people using climate change as a wedge issue for their political ideology. Doesn’t speak well of their reading comprehension.
Not giving Elonbux to the bait, but I’ll just say that this chap looks like somebody who, in 40 years or so, will be expecting a lot of money from those children he dislikes in the form of pensions and healthcare. Because the dogs aren’t going to pay, are they?
@mr_james_c
I believe there is food shortage in Gaza - if he is there and clearly not personally experiencing it, he is probably Hamas. They take all the aid for themselves
This ones calling me a fascist for preferring democratic Israel to fascist Hamas, which shows how detached from reality American progressives have become.
A free society can have many values and ideas of justice. The theocratic one I'm being chided for opposing only allows one…
This is bigger than whatever you think can do more scientific progress. Your focus leaves little room for complexity or humanity.
Any theory of justice requires balancing many different values and ideas. Futurism is a foolish viewpoint with which to observe the world.
The plan calls for 10 launches per day at 200 tonnes per launch. That is a little less than the current yearly rate, every day. And this needs to be in place by 2040 i.e. 16 years from now.
This would require continuous growth of mass-to-orbit by about 45% every year until then.…
A short word about an old XKCD cartoon:
The alt text reads: "The universe is probably littered with the one-planet graves of cultures which made the sensible economic decision that there's no good reason to go into space--each discovered, studied, and remembered by the ones who…
The fact the Fish and Wildlife Service haven’t even begun their assessment is fairly grim.
Bureaucracies need a bit of time pressure I think. The presumption should be that these agencies must permit an action unless they can show an objection within a set (short) amount of…
17th landing of a booster.
SpaceX manufacture boosters at roughly the same rate as China makes LM-5/7 boosters in the same class, which are expendable. So the reuse count is approximately the factor by which SpaceX is beating them in medium lift launches.
No doubt China and…
The humanitarian situation in Gaza could be immediately remedied with an unconditional surrender by Hamas, the party responsible for the conflict. Or they could at least meet the IDF in open battle and stop hiding behind civilians like cowards.
At the time of independence, DRC had a higher GDP/Capita than South Korea. Blaming this on colonialism just lets crappy post colonial leadership off the hook.
The world has failed the people of Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)😔
There are no developments due to the massive exploitation of the country.
What are your thoughts on this?
A good law of history is that if you ever find yourself opposing a student movement while siding with the ruling class, you are wrong. Every single time. In every era. No matter the issue.
Tell me this isn't the most frustrating thing you've ever seen.
We're burying most of this train line for literally no reason at all. Ballooning costs, just so people don't have to look at a train in a flat field.
* big EV push, including electric busses
* high speed rail that can compete with domestic airlines
* nuclear marine propulsion for civilian and military purposes
A paranoid person might think that the PRC is hardening their economy against an anticipated oil embargo.
SpaceX is flying an exponentially increasing amount of mass to orbit with Falcon 9. The annual increase is about 44%. There are some caveats with this figure though, but I think its more useful to see how transformative Falcon 9 has been than tracking $/kg, as it incorporates…
The thing with degrowth is that, I'm very much in favour of doing more with fewer resources, because that makes you wealthier.
But that is definitely not what you will get if a bunch of sociology graduates with delusions of grandeur try to centrally plan the economy. What you…
Everyone! Calm down! The neural chips that ended up killing the recipients were put into the brains of TERMINALLY ILL monkeys! So all the monkeys that the neural chips killed were gonna die anyway! See? Totally normal stuff.
On the subject of snark again - when it goes wrong for you it goes really wrong in a way that earnest comment doesn’t.
Then you end up pretending to be “winning” by saying you are muting “Elon fan boys” when in fact it’s a bunch of grizzled developers trying to educate you on…
I have a deep loathing of pithy canned talking points like this. They are a substitute for thinking. My opinion of Obama dropped several notches from him saying this.
It sounds so clever, but falls apart on even the slightest serious examination
1. Sending people to Mars won’t…
Controversial take before I get down to work: "Food Waste" is a white guilt non-issue and campaigning against it makes people fat.
People aren't food insecure in the developing world because Doris in Bedfordshire let a salad go off in her fridge or because your kids won't eat…
The guy paid to remove tumours from someone’s brain may be paid less than the guy driving the train he takes to work (at an NHS hospital that’s likely falling to pieces)
@DaniLissie
During the Cuban Missile Crisis there was a 2-1 vote aboard a Soviet submarine against using a nuclear torpedo on the American fleet. Yes, the world is a lot safer now.
I'm a housing accelerationist. We need to simultaneously repeal the Town and Country Planning Act, have the government build a million or so houses and sell them at below market rate, and shift taxes from income to land with LVT.
Forget 'soft landings' and just destroy the…
At a certain point you’re just using political power to steal stuff. The US and other western countries aren’t Russia yet, but let’s not slide in that direction.
I find the notion of “uncontacted tribes” a bit troubling. We have chosen to intentionally shield certain people from the realities - and benefits - of technological civilisation because we think it’s best for them.
What Hunter gatherer society have, given a free choice, adopted…
I’m not overly worried about $TSLA - there is a concerted effort to generate noise around Musk, but the company is fundamentally sound. I’m not dumping my shares any time soon
I’ve had the social democracy beaten out of me by the outrageous taxpayer looting done by UK pensioners.
The idea is you let a market economy do its thing then take some of the wealth to help those in need. What actually happens is a bunch of comfortable middle class people use…
This seems to be part of a general pattern in the west.
Obey the rules - government is increasingly overbearing and intrusive in your life.
Ignore the rules - get soft touch treatment and sympathy.
This is unbelievably toxic for trust in society.
Yeah, US immigration is completely backwards: trivial to enter illegally and nightmarishly difficult to enter legally!
I strongly support increasing and expediting legal immigration.