WHAT'S GOT VIRAT KOHLI IN A SPIN?
Since IPL 2022, only 7 shot types have 150+ SR vs spin. The avg batter attempts them ~25% of the time.
Kohli? Under 14%. And he's bad at 3/7.
A deep dive into advanced data on Kohli's spin game ahead of
#RCBvGT
- A THREAD
#CricketTwitter
"Rohit Sharma destroys you once he is set" - The data says this is a total myth in T20s.
In fact, it says that Rohit is good at exactly nothing in T20s.
BUSTING 5 COMMON MYTHS about India's T20I captain ahead of
#MIvsLSG
using advanced data and sense (THREAD):
#CricketTwitter
IS HARDIK PANDYA EVEN AN AVERAGE T20 BATTER?
A deep dive into advanced shot-type and ball-tracking data on India's T20I vice-captain, vs pace and spin, ahead of
#KKRvMI
(A THREAD)
Look away if you're a Hardik fan - the numbers don't paint a pretty picture!
#CricketTwitter
Rishabh Pant's comeback has been mightily impressive, but his off-side range seems to have died completely.
Pant is scoring less than 34% of his runs through the off-side in
#IPL2024
. In IPL 2022, that figure was 54%.
What could be the cause? (THREAD)
Most of the myths surrounding Rohit are a result of format mixing.
In ODIs, he's excellent in the powerplay.
In Tests, he's superb against swing and sweeps spinners with aplomb.
In T20s, he's unequivocally terrible at all 3.
It's about time we realized that. Let's bust them.
MYTH
#1
: Rohit destroys you once he is set
Unlike in ODIs, he just doesn't. Despite the prevalent notion that his T20 problem is that he is being dismissed early, that isn't the case.
His SR after facing 20 balls is 142.4 in the IPL. In
#IPL2024
as well, it's under 150.
Rohit isn't good at preserving his wicket either. In the IPL, he averages 22.73 after facing 20 balls. This year, it's even worse, at 21.4.
Rohit has faced >30 balls only once in IPL 2024, during his ton vs CSK. In that knock, he had 135 SR in the 30-50 ball phase.
But it's time to talk about Rohit Sharma, with the T20 World Cup on the horizon.
He just isn't good enough in the shortest format. And he hasn't been good enough for so long that it's almost impossible to remember when he even was.
Let me preface this thread by saying that Rohit Sharma is one of my all-time favorite batters.
I'd pay good money to watch him bat on any day in any place, even the current T20 version of him that's somewhere between shockingly bad and even worse.
India's T20I captain has NO positive matchups among ALL 6 styles of bowling over the last 3 IPL seasons. Let that sink in. The data says that you can bowl literally anyone to him, and he won't do well.
MYTH
#2
: Rohit can replicate his ODI powerplay exploits in T20s
While the idea is believable, the reality is far from it. Since IPL 2015, he has 29.6 avg and 128.7 SR in the powerplay.
In
#IPL2024
, Rohit has 32.3 avg and 146.7 SR, but even then, his control rate is just 68%.
Wrote on Baz and Hitman, two superheroes with the same dreams, who are as unique as they are similar.
"Rohit will be associated with a great deal of things in his career, and gymnastics is not one of them. But it might be what he has become the best at."
This reflects in Rohit's struggles against left-arm pacers.
That's not the only thing he's bad at. He's terrible against leg-spinners and left-arm spinners too. He's also terrible against......you get the idea.
To summarize, the numbers suggest that Rohit Sharma is a player who isn't good:
-> In the powerplay
-> Against swing
-> Outside the powerplay
-> Against all styles of pace
-> Against all styles of spin
-> Against most lengths
One of the reasons behind people believing that Rohit can replicate his ODI powerplay exploits in T20s is his prowess against swing, which we've see in the longer formats.
But the data, and the eye test, suggests that he isn't very good at that either.
MYTH
#4
: Rohit Sharma is a good player of spin
Yes he is, in Tests, and to some extent ODIs. In T20s, he's downright horrible.
One of his biggest weapons in the longer formats, the sweep, doesn't yield any returns.
On merit, Rohit Sharma clearly doesn't belong in India's T20 World Cup squad.
That said, though, the world-class players always have a way of proving people wrong, even when the odds are as stacked as they seem to be against Rohit.
If Rohit does have a good World Cup, it will go down in history as one of the greatest achievements - a player defying all odds and overcoming all his weaknesses to somehow perform for his country on the quintessential big stage.
Until then, however, we can only wait and watch.
MYTH
#3
: Rohit can counter swing in T20s
Since IPL 2022, Rohit has 21 avg and 123.53 against balls that swing 2.5 degrees or more.
Even the average batter has similar numbers - 23.6 avg and 111 SR, with similar dot% and control%.
MYTH
#5
: Rohit Sharma is good at picking the length against pace
Admittedly, Rohit is good against full lengths and out-and-out short balls. But his numbers are terrible in the 6-10m range (good + hard).
Rohit has 13.5 avg while playing the sweep since IPL 2022, a shot he plays 14% of the time. His SR, control% and boundary% are all worse than the average batter's.
The cut is the ONLY shot type against which Rohit has a 30+ avg (min 5 attempts). The misery doesn't end there.
Had the honor of interviewing Dinesh Karthik in June last year, when he said he dreams of making the
#T20WorldCup
squad.
1 year later, here he is. Wrote a lil something on his T20I rebirth, feedback always welcome!
#CricketTwitter
Among these weaknesses, some are exaggerated:
-> Left-arm pace
-> Wrist-spin (googlies in particular)
-> Left-arm spin
-> Strike rotation
-> Shot variety
-> Length conversion ability
Rohit's strike rotation vs spin is atrocious. He defends the ball 12% of the time and hasn't scored a single run off this shot since 2022.
He has terrible SRs while playing cover-drives, on-drives and flicks too (all <125). And he isn't good at any of the main scoring shots.
Wrote on one of my favs - on his
#WorldCup2023
selection and the stats that say
#Ashwin
is better than you think.
"Who is Ashwin? Is he the man fans love to hate? The man fans hate to love? Both? Neither?"
We know one thing: he's not bad in ODIs.
There isn't much else to say about Rohit's spin game. He doesn't have good numbers on any metric, and having him at the crease outside the powerplay could turn out to be a real problem for India.
Virat Kohli has come down the track more times (36) than any other batter in
#IPL2024
and is one of 4 batters to not be dismissed while doing it.
Kohli has the highest SR (191.67) among them (but the lowest control - 66.67%).
Ever-improving intent machine!
#CricketTwitter
Kohli doesn't paddle or reverse, so 2/7 are absent. He also has terribly low attacking output on the slog (122 SR and 3 dismissals in 9 attempts).
Kohli has excellent numbers in the remaining 4, but his attempt rate stands at a poor 13.96%, well below even the average batter.
🚨 EXCLUSIVE
@sooryasesha7
and I had the absolute honor of a freewheeling chat with
#TNPL2023
star G Ajitesh
"There's no such thing as the big stage" is one of the coldest quotes I've heard from an athlete, especially one as young as him!
#CricketTwitter
Head, Abhishek and Klaasen are destructive, but they aren't similar players at all. Their ideal innings construction methods are very different.
What does Klaasen need to get back to form? How can Abhishek get even better?
ADVANCED DATA THREAD ahead of
#SRHvsGT
#CricketTwitter
Kohli's masterclass in the last
#RCBvGT
game was a promising sign, and it needs to continue. Until there are results over a sustained period, he will be under scrutiny.
If we know anything about him, though, it's that he'll turn it around.
Pradosh Ranjan Paul, who recently led TN at just 22, will play for
#IndiaA
in the Emerging Asia Cup.
Had the pleasure of speaking to him about his joys, doubts and more in a tell-all chat!
#CricketTwitter
Interviews don't get more candid than this 👇
Comms suggest that the ball isn't swinging much in
#IPL2024
, but the data disagrees.
It has been constant over last 3 IPLs - in fact, swing in the first 4 overs is highest this year.
On the other hand, turn in the middle overs has appreciably decreased.
#CricketTwitter
@srini_r_twit
Always seems to be a basic lack of comprehension of the fact that Test cricket isn't limited to the first session of Day 1 😭
Nothing needs to be said about other formats, but at least Tests you'd expect a bit more than this
A player as great as Kohli, who has constantly developed his batting arsenal throughout his career, won't take long to dispel these demons.
But for that, he needs to understand that there's a problem. He isn't playing rewarding shots often enough with the necessary efficiency.
The best players of spin attempt these 7 shots very often and with great efficiency.
For context, Heinrich Klaasen has a mindboggling 300+ SR on 6/7 and has a ~31% attempt rate. Abhishek Sharma has an equally impressive 250+ SR on 6/7 and a ~25% attempt rate.
These 7 shot types (min 75 attempts each) are: straight drive, slog sweep, slog, pull, sweep, paddle sweep, reverse sweep.
Among these, straight drive, slog sweep, slog and pull generate very high attacking output (200+ SR).
Kohli's on-drive numbers are decent - 134 avg and 143 SR, with an attempt rate of 20%.
But when it comes to cover drives, he plays it way too safe. Kohli strikes at less than 102 and attempts them 11% of the time - sacrificing attacking output for control and strike rotation.
On these 2 shots:
Klaasen: ~170 SR, 13.6% attempt rate
Abhishek: ~150 SR, 34.7% attempt rate
In short: the best spin hitters maximize even low-risk shots, prioritizing attacking output over wicket preservation. And this is on top of destruction with the primary scoring shots.
CSK have made so many amateur errors (and repetitive ones too) in this
#SRHvsCSK
game
-> Intent-less batting powerplay
-> Jadeja at 5; Dhoni too low
-> Too full and too short in the bowling powerplay
-> Parking Moeen at slip and not bowling him
-> Reductive IP usage
The basic underlying numbers are telling: against 3 styles of spin, Kohli doesn't take enough risks, with strike rates under 130.
He's as tough to get out as any other batter, but that isn't always a great thing in T20s.
Hardik vs good lengths: 106 SR, 20 avg
What's the issue? Put simply, he plays too many low-risk shots - cover drives, on drives and flicks.
For example, the average batter on-drives 12% of the time.
Hardik? 22%.
To make matters worse, his scoring shot output is terrible.
This reflects in Kohli's scoring areas against spin. Without the paddle & the reverse, he doesn't make use of the area behind square at all.
And the 3 areas he accesses the most are dominated by relatively low-risk options - cover-drive, on-drive and flick.
The other attacking shots that produce decent returns (135-145 SR) are the on drive and the cover drive.
These are relatively low-risk shots, with control rates around the 85% mark.
Here, the difference between Kohli and the best spin hitters becomes even more apparent.
Had the distinct pleasure of a freewheeling chat with the ever-evolving, ever-philosophical
@saik_99
!
R Sai Kishore and the beauty of authenticity 👇
(PS: he can definitely bat)
#CricketTwitter
RCB have the 2nd-lowest SR and 3rd-lowest boundary% for any team against left-arm spinners in
#IPL2024
.
Harpreet Brar has an ER of 7.27 and 8 wickets in 6 matches vs RCB.
A shocking decision in
#RCBvsPBKS
that no cricketing logic can possibly justify.
Interesting that one team has replaced a bowler with a batting all-rounder and the other has done the exact opposite. But no Harpreet Brar against an RHB-heavy batting lineup and a team he loves bowling to - absolutely bizarre!
#PBKSvRCB
#IPL2024
We start off with Hardik's pace game, which is clearly the worse of the two.
Splitting based on length is one of the easiest ways to assess the strengths of a batter, since length is generally the primary indicator of intent and shot-making ability.
Disturbingly, Hardik's numbers are worse than those of the average batter against ALL lengths.
He's decent against full lengths (2-6m) but sub-par against all others.
He's especially handicapped against good (6-8m) and hard (8-10m) lengths, which are 50% of the balls he faces.
Hardik barely plays the slog, which is a productive shot (195 SR and 9% attempt rate on average). He attempts it <8% of the time, with terrible results (62.5 SR).
When he straight drives, he is expected to have ~280 SR. He has 166.7 SR.
The ball that dismissed Abhishek Sharma in
#SRHvsRR
was in the hard length (8-10m). He averaged 130 with 78.4% control in IPL 2022 & IPL 2023.
In
#IPL2024
, Abhishek has been dismissed 4 times by hard lengths. His average against it is ~10 and his control has dropped to ~50%.
Had a long chat with
@David_Wiese
and chronicled his remarkable journey!
▶️SA to ENG to NAM
▶️An Albie Morkel text that changed his life
▶️Playing with Kohli, AB, Gayle
▶️Namibia's T20 WC hopes
▶️Growing the Associate game
▶️Racism in SA
#CricketTwitter
@basedIITian
For some reason metros registered in my head as the trains and I spent a solid 10 seconds wondering where this man is finding malls and food inside metros, and why he wants even more activities 😭
Good start to the year
The graph below illustrates that. Hardik's SR is lower than that of the average batter while playing 5 of the most important shots against good lengths.
Inspired by an
@El_Chopernos
tweet, wrote something on
#ShaheenShahAfridi
, Rohit, Kohli and the
#AsiaCup2023
!
"The inswinger disturbed Rohit's stumps, but it wasn't the ball that got him out. If at all it did, it was the one he faced on Oct 24, 2021."
Pant's fitness (or lack thereof) has often been pinpointed as the reason behind his leg-side dominant play. But in IPL 2024, he seems to be in better shape than ever, at least visually.
Pant has labored between the wickets at times, but he looks lean and strong.
Generating power behind square on the leg-side isn't easy, particularly when bowlers try to take pace off.
In order to, Pant needs to swivel his body through the shot and rely on his handspeed (or whippage). It has come off at times, but he's also looked terribly ungainly.
The scoring areas graph reflects that: barely anything behind backward square - lack of reliance on important shots like the hook, the glance and the pick-up.
Ask Suryakumar how he plays it, Hardik! (if they're still on talking terms)
As India build towards the World Cup, they can't have a batter as one-dimensional as Pant, especially against quality oppositions.
The world's best players don't take long to make such changes, and Pant should be able to turn it around.
(END OF THREAD)-------------
@dweplea
@sportscull
Mentor, original captain, coach, new captain, origin city, home ground, social media admin - LSG have really assembled the most unlikable combination 😭
Apart from the cut and the pull, Hardik plays a ton of low-percentage shots. He plays cover drives 9.2% of the time against hard lengths, at just 63 SR.
The average batter does this only 5.5% of the time, with much better results (157 SR).
An obvious tell in Pant's game is that he's trying to access areas behind square on the leg-side too much.
He's shaping up to play it towards fine leg even when the ball is on the stumps, taking shots like the cover drive and anything through point out of the equation.
5 seconds after I finished reading this thread, got a call from a random
number
A man said "card number ends with" and then the last 4 digits of one of my debit cards
And then cut the call (6 seconds total)
What's going on 😂
Pant has always been unconventional - his is a technique that somehow works for him. He did take down Mohit Sharma through the off-side earlier this year, but it's been few and far between.
Siraj vs LHB in ODIs in 2022: 17.1 avg, 5.01 ER
Shami vs LHB in ODIs in 2023: 14 avg, 4.94 ER
Imagine the team's riches to think about changing from a 17.1 avg bowler to a 14 avg bowler
Oh, and there's Bumrah at the other end 👍
Just a random thought, given Shami & Bumrah are India's best pacers this WC, should they open the bolwing in the final? Esp if they face Aus with two monster LHBs. Shami's round the wkt to LHB needed one feels.
@exceedingxpuns
@randomcricstat
There too, there are players who try to protect their FG%, which is significantly less important to a basketball stat sheet than batting average is to a cricket stat sheet
Thakur shouldn't have bowled Over 6 in
#CSKvsPBKS
.
Powerplay RR has shot up in
#IPL2024
, with the important Over 6 going for 10+. But teams still aren't consistently using their "closer".
Only Rashid, Natarajan, Curran, Dayal have bowled Over 6 5+ times.
#CricketTwitter
What has gone wrong for
#CSK
in the last two
#IPL2024
matches? And how do they fix it?
Here's my take:
▶️ Gaikwad at No. 3 with Rachin-Rahane opening
▶️ Only 2 overs of Chahar in the powerplay
▶️ Dhoni up the order
Do give it a read,
#CricketTwitter
!
Hitting through the off-side is, in itself, an act that is supremely dependent on momentum (shoulders, arms and body in general) going through the shot. Suresh Raina's masterful inside-out shots were the prime example of this.
@srini_r_twit
To put this into perspective, a guy who averages 80 at 70 SR in FC cricket isn't getting picked because Ponting can't decide where to bat him in T20s 😭
Had the pleasure of speaking to
@chakaravarthy29
!
Does he consider himself a mystery spinner? How did he feel after T20 WC 2021? What went wrong in IPL 2022? What are his goals with Tamil Nadu?
Check out the answers to these questions and much more!
[Part 1]
#CricketTwitter
🚨 SK EXCLUSIVE 🚨
“The Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy is a very important platform for me”-
@chakaravarthy29
looking at India return through Syed Mushtaq Ali Trophy and IPL 2023 performances
✍️ -
@parkedatcover
#CricketTwitter
He isn't wrong 😂
In the IPL, Gaikwad's strike rate when the required run rate is less than 8 is 128.09.
While batting first, it's 145.5.
Should he take more initiative to close out games? Or is this approach good enough, given his role?
#CricketTwitter
Hardik vs hard lengths: 116.61 SR, 41 avg
These numbers are marginally better, but the SR is well below that of the average batter (135).
His go-to shots are the cut and pull, as expected. While his output on the cut is excellent, the same can't be said about the pull.
When Pant is shaping up to hit through square leg, and not even midwicket or long-on, it's near-impossible to adjust his body orientation to access the other side.
A simple tweak such as trying to hit it mildly straighter could be enough to unlock the cover and long-off areas.
Hardik vs SPIN:
There's more optimism here. The numbers (and eye test) suggest that he has the ability to be a truly elite spin hitter, but for that, he needs to take more risks.
@DineshKarthik
on the mic. Thoughts on his comms so far?
Imo he adds a fresh dimension to the panel; just needs to be careful not to jinx😭
This is what he had to say when I interviewed him earlier this month:
#dineshkarthik
#WTC2021
#IndiaVsNewZealand
@rsudharshan95
Thanks!
Suryakumar is an outlier in all senses - the areas he accesses, shots he plays, etc - so wouldn't have been ideal imo
Agree about Samson - he strikes at 180+ not only in 5 of the main 7 but with on and cover drives as well
On the whole, Hardik's issues are tough to solve.
He has a clear lack of versatility and length conversion ability against both styles of bowling, particularly pace.
And the intent won't change overnight, even though it seems simple enough to fix on paper.