Mikal Skuterud @mikalskuterud Twitter profile

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Mikal Skuterud

2 months

*NEW* Canada's GDP grew by 1.1% between the 4th quarter of 2022 and 2023, while its population grew by 3.2%. That means GDP per capita is now falling at 2% annually (roughly the difference). Zero economic growth in more than 6 years.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 months

If Canada’s foreign student program is about attracting and retaining the world’s “top talent,” why is there a moratorium on admissions of foreign PhD students in my faculty while admissions at strip-mall career colleges in my province are surging?

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

*NEW* Canada's non-permanent resident population now exceeds 2.5 million. We have a runaway train. The federal government has lost control of the system. Hard truth.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

*NEW* Canada's GDP per capita was higher in the 2nd quarter of 2018 than it was in the 2nd quarter of 2023. Five years with no economic growth. Stunning. Absolutely stunning.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

*NEW* Canada's real GDP per capita was lower in the 3rd quarter of 2023 than in the 2nd quarter of 2018. We are getting poorer.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

*NEW* Update of provincial excess mortality estimates. Interesting to think about how the differences here line up with public opinion on how well provincial governments have managed the COVID-19 pandemic.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 years

I moved to 🇨🇦 when I was 7. Within the first year I learned to speak English, had pals born in Jamaica and India, and was playing hockey. When I was 30 I got a PhD and at 45 I got 6 months of chemotherapy and radiation, which saved my life. And both were free! I ♥️ this country.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

The Foreign Student Program has shifted its objective from attracting and retaining top talent that boosts the population's average human capital to maximizing tuition revenues of postsecondary institutions, commissions of student recruiters, and low-wage labour for businesses.

Dr. Mike P. Moffatt 🇨🇦🏅🏅

@MikePMoffatt

5 months

Another way to look at the international student visa data. Here's the 100 schools that received the most int'l student visas from Jan 2022 - Apr 2023, with U15 universities highlighted in blue. Big shoutout to @mikalskuterud who gave me a much cleaner version of the data file.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 days

My dad became a Canadian citizen today. 🇨🇦 🎉

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

In December 2017 I was diagnosed w/ stage4 non-Hodgkin's. Within 36 hours I was admitted to @pmcancercentre to begin 6-month chemotherapy/radiation regimen. Treatments saved my life but wrecked my immune system. Got first vaccine dose today. Feeling grateful for modern science.🙏

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

11 months

I vividly remember visiting Buffalo in the 1980s and thinking “my god, this place is poor.” I was in Buffalo 4 weeks ago and in Winnipeg 2 weeks ago. I had the exact same thought in one of those places, and it wasn’t in Buffalo.

Globe editorial: There’s no alarm bell ringing – yet – for Canada’s economic emergency

The steps that Canada needs to take to boost prosperity are beyond obvious

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 month

The fact that "labour shortages" continue to dominate Canada's economic narrative tells you everything you need to know about corporate Canada's political power in this country.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

Amazing to me that people are *still* talking about a "labour shortage crisis" caused by aging demographics.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Conestoga College’s foreign students are paying for: 1) work rights, 2) PR status, 3) education. End off-campus work rights during studies + return to single PR pathway through CRS, and see what happens to Conestoga’s foreign applications. (source: )

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 years

Is the CERB disincentivizing work? From what I'm seeing, and I've been looking hard, the answer's a strong "no". While job search was exceptionally low in March-May, the share of jobless workers seeking new jobs has now reached levels comparable to what we saw in 2008/09 crisis.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

It's time that someone ask @R_Boissonnault about these data. Here's the % of Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA) applications for temporary foreign workers that have been approved under the Liberals' watch. 1/4

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Here are the addresses of some McDonald's restaurants that have received LMIA approvals since 2021. Can someone explain to me why there aren't domestic workers in these communities who could fill these jobs?

Canadian Chamber of Commerce

@CdnChamberofCom

3 months

"When it comes to certain types of jobs, there’s just not a domestic population here at home that can fill them." Our SVP Matthew Holmes joins the "It's Political" podcast w/ @althiaraj to talk about the role of temporary foreign workers in 🇨🇦's economy.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

6 months

Statcan report released today suggests 19% of *all* study permit holders in 2019 were *not* enrolled in any postsecondary schooling. The line between Canada's International Student and Temporary Foreign Worker Programs is fuzzier than you think. 👉

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

This is becoming the chart of the COVID pandemic for me. Remarkable contrast. #cdnecon

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

An update. I'll leave the editorializing to others.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 months

@ViralRockets Already done. That's what the word "real" refers to in the chart title.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Canada struggles to attract young people into the skilled trades b/c they understand it doesn't pay well. How flooding these labour markets with temporary foreign workers is a progressive solution is beyond me. The mind boggles.

Adam Vaughan

@TOAdamVaughan

8 months

As we say wow! Imagine if the price of admission was to enter the building trades…and then leverage this new work force to build housing? Instead of looking for blame, how about we focus on building a solution to the housing crisis? And as always start by ending homelessness.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

If you care about Canada's historic and exceptional national consensus on immigration, this should worry you, a lot. The stony silence of Ottawa's opposition benches and Canada's labour leaders is deafening.

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

*NEW* Canada's non-permanent resident population now exceeds 2.5 million. We have a runaway train. The federal government has lost control of the system. Hard truth.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

The strategy of positioning immigration as a binary policy choice is unambiguously to pigeonhole critics of the government as anti-immigration. This does absolutely *nothing* to get us closer to solutions but only enflames the politics. Troubling.

Marc Miller ᐅᑭᒫᐃᐧᐅᓃᐸᐄᐧᐤᐃᔨᐣ

@MarcMillerVM

8 months

Stopping immigration won’t fix Canada’s housing crisis -

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

11 months

MASSIVE thank you to the world's cancer researchers. You're my heroes. Five years ago today, I finished 6 months of chemo/radiation therapy to treat stage-4 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. Grateful for every bonus day. #FuckCancer

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 years

Is the CERB disincentivizing work? 310K Canadian workers began new jobs between mid-June and mid-July this year. 42% of these jobs paid below $2000, which is *identical* to the equivalent number in summer 2019 and only 1 percentage point lower than in summer 2018. #cdnecon

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

9 months

“Although implementing a cap on international students may seem to provide temporary relief, it could have adverse effects on our communities, including exacerbating current labour shortages.” Wait! It’s a de facto temporary foreign worker program?

Quebec rejects cap on student visas floated by Ottawa to address housing crisis

Quebec’s reaction indicates that attempts to limit international student admissions could create conflict with the provinces as colleges and universities also voice concern

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

If you don't think runaway foreign student admissions in Canadian colleges is the consequence of fed policies, you've got your head in the sand. Combined with waiving off-campus work hours, this has a huge impact on demand for study visas. (source: )

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 years

Women with preschool-age children have experienced the biggest losses in total working hours as the result of the COVID-19 lock-down. Critical to address childcare when we begin to turn the corner. #cdnecon

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Falsely positioning critics of LPC immigration policies as "blaming immigrants" or wanting to "stop immigration" has a singular objective - to pigeonhole, divide, and make an economic issue a cultural war. That's dangerous. Very dangerous. I'll call it out every time.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

Square footage of housing per person in 🇨🇦 is higher than it’s ever been, yet we’re in a “housing crisis.” Maybe the problem isn’t a shortage of housing. Maybe the main problem is a *highly* unequal distribution.

The Globe and Mail

@globeandmail

10 months

Unable to downsize, more seniors are living in larger homes with empty bedrooms

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Tony's right -- explosion in Canada's non-permanent resident population wasn't part of its grand plan. Liberals' expansion of PR pathways for lower skilled migrants is *the* ultimate cause of the current dysfunction. 1/

Opinion: On immigration, the sum of Canada’s special interests is not the national interest

The Liberals gave stakeholders what they wanted, but the sum of a bunch of narrow special interests does not add up to the national interest

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

*NEW* Took some work to construct this, but this is a huge Canada-US difference that I'm not seeing any attention to. 🇺🇸 rate remains stuck more than 1 percentage point below its pre-pandemic rate while 🇨🇦 rate has now more than fully recovered.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

The doctor's claim here is alarming, to say the least. Anyone able to reconcile her "through the roof" claim with PHO's data? May I suggest we all have a responsibility to be *absolutely* clear about what exactly we're measuring when influencing public fears.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Dan, academic economists who’ve been studying 🇨🇦immigration for decades have concerns based on evidence. Their blame isn’t directed at immigrants, who are likely the folks feeling the brunt of growing pains; it’s directed at naive government policy. Happy to share a reading list.

Daniel Bernhard

@dbernhardCAN

8 months

I'm getting so tired of #cdnpoli pundits casually blaming every 🇨🇦 problem on #Immigration . It's lazy and dangerous and simply incorrect. Wrote it down for @globeandmail / @GlobeDebate .

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

9 months

The silence of Canada's labour movement on the expansion of the low-wage stream of Canada's Temporary Foreign Worker Program is deafening. What explains it? Simple. The low-skill workers who are adversely affected are no longer who Canada's unions represent.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Hey progressives! Labour shortages are NOT a problem. Real wages of workers in this country are falling fast. You're being hoodwinked. Time to wake up!

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Your regular reminder that real wages in Canada's low-skill jobs are *falling* at the same time as we're told labour shortages are what's holding Canada's economy back.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

*THREAD 🧵* If your inclination in hearing about Canada's "labour shortage crisis" is to ask "where did all the workers go?" you've got the wrong economic model in your head. Canada’s labour force is, in fact, now bigger than it’s ever been! 1/

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

“The only way to feel confident about future living standards is to avoid looking at the data.” (I don’t know David or Jock, but if anyone does, please let them know they knocked it out the park with this one.)

Opinion: Canadians face 40 years of stagnant incomes – government’s economic strategy is failing

The only way to feel confident about future Canadian living standards is to avoid looking at the data

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 months

I’d argue that ignoring the growing pains of surging local populations felt by real people on the ground is reckless.

Joseph Wong

@JosephWongUT

4 months

Tying international students to the housing crisis is reckless. Feelings of economic uncertainty alongside xenophobic sentiments can become explosive, and very difficult to walk back. Wish governments and journalists would be more careful.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 months

What problem's this policy solving? If these places have genuine labour shortages, why aren't good wages enough to attract immigrants? And if they're sufficiently unattractive to make good wages ineffective, why do we think new immigrants will stay?

More small towns in Canada will be able to choose which immigrants can settle, minister says

Marc Miller announced plans to make permanent a pilot program to help address labour shortages in sectors such as health care, retail, manufacturing, and science

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Canadian policymakers stand to learn much from Australia's 2010 experience in stemming an explosion in foreign student visas in its college sector. How'd they do it? Sector-wide cap? No. Solution was shutting down PR pathways for lower skilled migrants.

Australia's new visa capping bill to hit Indian students

Chefs, hair dressers, accountants, hospitality personnel and a host of other trade professionals... A few years ago, Australia opened its doors to overseas students, luring them with these vocational...

www.deccanherald.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

In May 2014, @JustinTrudeau argued that "the Temporary Foreign Worker Program needs to be scaled back dramatically over time" because it "drives down wages and displaces Canadian workers." 1/5

Justin Trudeau: How to fix the broken temporary foreign worker program

The Liberal leader says the program must be scaled back and refocused on its original purpose: to fill jobs on a limited basis when no Canadian workers can be found.

www.thestar.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

Really wish someone else was tracking this. Seems important when we're keeping 2 million Ontarians in the 5-19 age group from going to school.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

It’s a beautiful country. 🇨🇦

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

11 months

"These students do not travel thousands of kilometres to study hotel management at a small college for the academic thrill. They make the journey for the chance of getting permanent residency."

Globe editorial: Immigration: Canada’s economy can’t rely on temporary workers and study permits...

We need bright young people to build their future here, but exploitative programs aren’t the way to do it

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Funny?

Denis Trailin

@DenisTrailin

1 year

@mikalskuterud Funny that you don’t add the UK or NZ to this chart.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Surging immigration is the result of the housing crisis? 🤔

Century Initiative

@CI2100

3 months

"Surging immigration isn’t a cause of the housing crisis, but a result of it. And if the number of immigrants coming to the West falls, it will take economies down with it." Excellent commentary on the dynamic between housing, immigration and the economy:

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

Need an example of how Corporate Canada is coddled thereby undermining productivity and growth rates in per capita GDP? Look no further than the low-wage stream of the Temporary Foreign Worker Program. cc: @jthorpe11

Demand for low-wage foreign labour is surging

Companies are increasingly tapping the Temporary Foreign Worker program to fill jobs

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 months

The next time someone asks you what went wrong with Canada's immigration system, point them to Keller's column in today's Globe. And when they ask you how it can be fixed, point them to the same place. 👇

Opinion: How the Liberals can fix the immigration system that they broke

Canada’s immigration system is supposed to be about recruiting the best and brightest. Let’s get back to that

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

A decade ago I watched governments and postsecondary institutions depart on the foreign student train to riches. Soon joining them were student recruiters, landlords, immigration consultants, and banks. The train's now crashed and everyone's pointing fingers at who's to blame. 1/

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

“We usually see maybe 200 or 300 people but today we're all surprised to see this high number. Everyone is looking for a job.” Canada’s runaway foreign student program has become its guest worker program.

CTV Kitchener

@CTVKitchener

8 months

Over 700 people attended a job fair at Crowne Plaza Hotel in downtown Kitchener Tuesday afternoon, the majority of them, international students.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Two facts: 1) Unionized government employees in 🇨🇦 earn average higher wages than non-unionized private sector employees of similar age, education, and job tenure. 2) Their wage advantage has been dwindling since 2010, and especially since 2020.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

Want to know what happens to the price in a competitive market when there's a genuine shortage? Look to Canada's housing markets, not its low-skill labour markets. How "labour shortages" continue to be seen as a first-order economic problem in this country is stupefying.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

9 months

It became apparent when @SeanFraserMP was Immigration Minister that one of two things must be true. 1) He genuinely doesn’t understand how markets work; or 2) he’s betting that many Canadians don’t understand. Unsure which one troubles me more.

Rob Gillezeau

@robgillezeau

9 months

I think the new housing minister, @SeanFraserMP , is officially a bust with this new talking point that the federal government has no desire to reduce the price of housing.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Organized labour and LPC were up in arms when the Harper government allowed the Temporary Foreign Worker Program to grow to record levels in 2014. That growth pales in comparison to what we're seeing now and *nobody* is ringing alarm bells. Why? 4/4

Justin Trudeau: How to fix the broken temporary foreign worker program

The Liberal leader says the program must be scaled back and refocused on its original purpose: to fill jobs on a limited basis when no Canadian workers can be found.

www.thestar.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

We had a change in our *federal* government in 2015.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

Want your economy back? Get a vaccine!

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

In May 2014, @JustinTrudeau argued that the Harper government should "tighten the LMIA approval process to ensure that only businesses with legitimate needs are able to access the program." (👉) Here's what's happened to LMIA approvals under his watch. 👇

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 months

There you have it. The single academic economist on Morneau's Advisory Council on Economic Growth did not support the Council's 2016 recommendation on heightened immigration rates. 👇 cc: @CharlieHBuckley

Chris Ragan

@ctsragan

4 months

@mikalskuterud @CharlieHBuckley I saw no reason then, and I see no reason now, to think that increases in immigration can be the central plank of a growth strategy, at least not the kind of growth we should care about. I fought that fight on the Council and lost.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

"🇨🇦's population growth will likely slow from its current frantic pace ... but not by all that much. Barring a vast improvement in productivity, 🇨🇦’s per-capita GDP – and our standard of living – appear headed for an outright decline."

That time when Canada’s population and prosperity both boomed, unlike now

After the surge in Canada’s population is taken into account, the country’s real GDP per capita is where it was at the end of 2017

www.theglobeandmail.com

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

It’s a beautiful country. 🇨🇦

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Reminds me of the bankrupt son who told his dad "the problem's not my spending" (his choice); "it's my income" (his constraint). The fed's choice is immigration (they unilaterally set levels). Their constraint is the housing stock (overwhelmingly determined by cities).

Andrew Coyne 🇺🇦🇮🇱

@acoyne

8 months

My latest: It’s not that we have too many people. It’s that we have too few houses.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

Meanwhile, the Canadian government believes that tight labour markets are a first-order economic *problem* that they need to solve.

Julia Pollak

@juliaonjobs

3 months

Tight labor markets can increase labor productivity because companies find ways to generate more output per hour when they're paying more wage $$ per hour

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

Tough to reconcile absence of real wage growth with ongoing claims that shortages of skilled trades is the bottleneck in Canada's housing supply.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

One of the bigger users of the Low-Wage Stream of Canada's Temporary Foreign Worker Program is Northland Properties, owner of Denny's Restaurants. Here are their approved positions in recent years.

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

And here are some (there are more) of Canada's Tim Hortons restaurants relying on the Low-Wage Stream of the Temporary Foreign Worker Program to meet their labour needs.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

A different growth path. 🇨🇦

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

*NEW* Here is today's update of Ontario hospitalizations. Note that we're now seeing *declining* numbers exactly two weeks after the *reopening* of Ontario's schools. Not everyone predicted this but a few (noticeably quieter) voices did. Here are the rates ... 1/2

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

Worth noting that Canadian academic economists who study Canadian immigration have been drawing attention to these absorptive capacity issues since 2016. Ignoring the tradeoffs doesn’t make them go away.

The Globe and Mail

@globeandmail

10 months

Alberta, and the rest of Canada, are woefully unprepared for the coming immigration boom

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

14 year-old son has a close friend who’s a Pakistani immigrant. They were discussing if going anywhere this summer. Son said grandparents’ cottage. Friend told him he thought “cottages” were a religious place for white people because only white people say they’re going there.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 months

The average wage of Canada's low-skill workers, after adjusting for inflation, was *lower* in June 2023 than it was in June 2019. Good if you employ low-skill workers. Not so good if you are one. 1/4

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

2017-2023: "Maximum Canada" 2024: "Responsible Population Growth"

Century Initiative

@CI2100

3 months

Century Initiative advocates for responsible population growth – not growth at all costs. Our Scorecard is designed as a roadmap to help policymakers navigate Canada’s aging population to secure our long-term prosperity. Check it out here:

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Canada's real GDP per capita has now fallen for two consecutive quarters. Is that a per capita recession? It was lower in the 4th quarter of 2022 than in the 4th quarter of 2018. Not good.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 months

If healthcare was bought and sold in competitive markets, the effects of heightened population growth would be playing out in prices, like housing, instead of longer queues.

Toronto Star

@TorontoStar

4 months

'No one wants to spend 20 hours waiting': Canada's doctors say our ERs are in crisis In a statement, the Canadian Medical Association is calling upon the country's ministers of health to swiftly act to ease long wait times in emergency departments.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Stopping eating won't fix Canada's obesity crisis.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

9 months

This is blatant dishonesty. The government is surely aware that job vacancies in this country have been in decline since May 2022. 👉 Total number of job vacancies: May 2022: 1,036,755 May 2023: 781,000 That's a 25% reduction in only 12 months.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

And here are the 25 public postsecondary schools with the most approved study permits over the same period of time.

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

IRCC approved 469,887 study permits between January 2021 and April 2022. 9.4% went to foreign students at private career colleges (PCCs). Here's the 25 PCCs with the most approved study permits and the % of applications to those schools that were refused. h/t @smeurrens

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28

101

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

8 months

Wow, this is a tremendous piece of evidence-based journalism from @FriesenJoe . Must read. 👇

Ontario colleges are fuelling unprecedented growth in international students

As foreign enrolment grows, some say the influx is feeding the housing crisis

www.theglobeandmail.com

9

25

101

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

Here is @statcan 's 2019 forecast of future growth in Canada's non-permanent resident population. We reached 2.5 million on October 1, 2023. (source: )

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21

99

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

5 months

*NEW* Canada had 0.6 job vacancies for every job seeker in October 2023, which is pretty much where we left off before the pandemic.

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25

99

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

11 months

Wondering how that Tim Hortons worker getting your coffee and donut today are doing? Not so good. 1/3

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24

102

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

6 months

Thought for the day: Canada's low-skill workers haven't seen an increase in the purchasing power of their wages in nearly 6 years.

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28

100

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Some perspective on the federal government's 2023-2025 immigration targets.

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29

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 months

I appreciate the intention but when demand increases in a market where supply adjusts sluggishly ("is price inelastic") prices go up. Is demand or supply to blame? That's as silly as asking if the right or left blade of the scissors was responsible for cutting the paper.

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15

94

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

11 months

Please take some time to read. The question isn't whether Canada needs immigrants; it is how to do immigration in a way that achieves objectives while maintaining strong public support. To do that, we need to be more honest about the challenges.

What’s the right number of immigrants for Canada?

A growing number of critics are challenging the logic behind Ottawa’s great immigration ambitions

www.theglobeandmail.com

22

30

96

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 months

2021: Feds begin to carve out exemptions in skilled immigrant selection system (Express Entry) to appease lobbyists. 2023: System unravels as non-permanent resident population explodes with applicants lured by new carveouts. 2024: Feds blame provinces. See a parallel here?

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21

99

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

10 days

Lots of money to be made off the dreams of the world’s poor and desperate.

Conestoga is a foreign student mecca. Is its climb to riches leading it off a cliff?

KITCHENER, Ont. - The smell of South Asian spices wafts from the "Blends and Curries" food counter.

www.thestar.com

11

15

100

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

9 months

Tough to reconcile real estate developers' (and immigration advocates') claims of construction labour shortages with absence of real wage growth among these workers over the past decade.

Tamara Mosher-Kuczer

@TTRRMK

9 months

More newcomers needed to stem construction labour shortage and build more housing, RBC says via @torontostar

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2

3

15

27

96

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

4 years

The overriding story of COVID-19 for me is that the economic burden of the pandemic and shutdowns has fallen overwhelmingly on Canada's lowest paid and most vulnerable workers. If you're looking for a story, that's it. #cdnecon #cdnpoli

2

73

96

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

If Ontario's COVID policies have been "murderous," what adjective do we use to describe BC's?

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24

94

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

Sign-on bonuses, free iPhones, free meals, and higher wages. This is what tight low-wage labour markets look like. Coming to 🇨🇦 soon? #cdnecon

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15

93

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

1 year

Big thanks to @carastern for having me on. Excellent discussion on an important issue.

TVO Today | The Agenda

@TheAgenda

1 year

Does Canada’s current immigration approach set up newcomers, and everyone, for success? @spaikin asks @mikalskuterud ( @CLEForum @UWEconDept ), Alfred Lam ( @CICS_Canada ), @DeenaLadd ( @workersac ) & @MikePMoffatt ( @SP_Inst @iveybusiness ) at 8/11pm | Producer: @carastern #cdnpoli

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13

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

I'm watching Denmark closely. 1. Similar fully vax rate 2. 8-week lead in (ongoing) case surge 3. Hospitalizations showing signs of leveling off 4. Death rate now less than half of Canadian rate in Jan2021 and falling for past 4 weeks

5

16

91

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 years

Schools are closed in Ontario because why?

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38

92

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

Lots of downsides to the pandemic, but being stuck at my desk for a year certainly boosted my production. Found out this morning I won an Outstanding Performance Award from @UWaterloo for 2020. Feeling energized now.

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2

92

Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

2 months

Ben is right - the 5% target is a big deal for 2024-2026 population growth rates. Still a question of how best to do it but kudos to @MarcMillerVM for making the tough decision. If you care about immigrants and protecting public support for immigration, it’s the right one.

Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

Taking heat on this. Guys, do the math. NPRs are currently ADDING 800k annually to population growth. IF the feds do what they say (big if, I know) it means that cohort will be SUBTRACTING nearly 150k annually for the next 3 years. That is an insane delta

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193

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

3 years

If you care about the how Canada's jobs recovery compares to the U.S., this is the chart you should be paying attention to. Despite claims to the contrary, there is no evidence (to date) that our recovery is lagging the U.S.. #cdnecon #cdnpoli

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Mikal Skuterud

@mikalskuterud

15 days

Polite, indeed. The show’s producer emailed me and my coauthors in advance asking for questions on immigration to pose to the PM. We offered two hard balls. Neither was asked.

Marc Miller ᐅᑭᒫᐃᐧᐅᓃᐸᐄᐧᐤᐃᔨᐣ

@MarcMillerVM

16 days

Canada Polite 👇👇👇

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91