Ben Rabidoux @BenRabidoux Twitter profile

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

11 months

Canada's population grew by 1.2 MILLION people in the past year as of Q2. All for thoughtful immigration, but this is an absurd, crazy, irresponsible number.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

US population: ~333 million Population growth in the past year: 944,000 Canada population: ~39 million Population growth in the past year: 703,000

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Canadian housing really is in a league of its own

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Canadian real estate right now

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

Canada is a unserious country led by unserious people

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Sri Lanka moves to organic fertilizers, collapses domestic agricultural production. Trudeau, listening to the same woke environmentalists who collapsed Sri Lanka, moves to reduce fertilizer use by 30%. To quote @DoombergT , we are governed by dangerously unserious people

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Whoa! 🇨🇦 population up 865,000 y/y and 360,000 last quarter alone. Let's drop all the political correctness and have a real discussion about this. I have no idea what the "right" number is, but this is a massive amount of growth that probably sets up for a future housing crisis

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

This is insane, but hear me out, protesters. There's still a loophole. Crowd-fund $ to buy property, then transfer ownership to numbered company whose beneficial owner is the convoy organizers. Done! It's perfect since the feds WONT FUCKING AUDIT money laundering in real estate.

Greg Price

@greg_price11

2 years

Oh my fucking goodness: Canada's Deputy Prime Minister says that, as part of the Emergencies Act, they are broadening Canada's "Terrorist Financing" rules so that they cover crowdfunding platforms and cryptocurrencies to the Canadian Freedom Convoy

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Globe and Mail editorial cartoon. Everyone knows it's a serious problem but no meaningful actions taken by the federal government. Why not? cc @cafreeland @JustinTrudeau @PierrePoilievre @rcmpgrcpolice @FINTRAC_Canada

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

Canada's labour force data is even softer than headlines suggest

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

Attorney General says final cost of ArriveCan app impossible to know due to poor project management. Can't track the number of people coming into the country. Can't track expenses on a basic project. Can we please get someone in Ottawa who can run a basic spreadsheet?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

It is truly wild that a company can be hired by the government to administer a grant program AND select recipients while simultaneously “helping” to write grant applications and take a cut of any grant received This is fked up

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

6 months

You know the Canadian consumer is hurting when...

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

An immigration system that’s lowering national wealth? Yes, the Liberals did that

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Toronto new single-family home sales fall 96% y/y in September. New condo sales down 89%. Data per BILD/Altus Group.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

11 months

Imagine growing the non-permanent resident cohort, almost all of whom are renters, by 730,000 in 1 year and then being surprised when we have a rental crisis. If you're a renter in this country, you are actively being screwed. cc @JustinTrudeau @HonAhmedHussen @SeanFraserMP

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Snippets from recent report to Toronto council. City planning department can't find and retain staff.....13% job vacancy rate. One main reason: High cost of housing. Can't make it up.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

10 months

A Nova Scotia lawyer who previously served as immigration minister where he oversaw a massive population boom in Canada is now being given the housing file and tasked with improving the acute shortage issues in southern Ontario and BC. The arsonist is now the fire marshal.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

6 months

Imagine having these thoughts AFTER ramping population growth to 1.2 million in one year, driving apartment vacancies to 20-yr lows and rental growth to 30-year highs. This govt is a menace

Toronto Star

@TorontoStar

6 months

Canada’s immigration planning will now take into account housing, health care and infrastructure, minister says

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

🇨🇦 beer and wine sales down 3.3% in Nov and down 7.5% y/y. No, it's not people switching to weed. Cannabis sales were down 6.2% m/m and down 11.8% over the past 3 months. What's going on out there?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

25 days

#BREAKING You’re literally the one person in the country in a position to do something about it.

Jagmeet Singh

@theJagmeetSingh

25 days

#BREAKING The Conservative handouts will continue. Justin Trudeau will keep Pierre Poilievre's $60 billion in taxpayer handouts to corporations. Thanks to Pierre and Justin, it's a good day for Greedy Galen Weston and a bad day for you.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Property investors in southern Ontario

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

6 months

Liberal's epic poll-slide, visualized

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

9 months

We have 2 colleges in Ontario that, per govt data, have international students as 80% of their total enrollment. EITGHY! Another 7 have more than 50% Those colleges get to charge much higher tuition but have no responsibility to provide housing This is wrong. Plain and simple

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

This is unbelievable. Every Canadian needs to watch this. Every grant program is a grift.

Jennifer Elle

@jenniferelle_

1 month

What the heck is going on in BC? @bcndp . Just watched Edison Motors video. For context:

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Federal MP telling me via DM that "high immigration supporting house prices" was one key consideration in today's announcement. Shocked, I tell you.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

Canadian GDP came in hotter than expected in Jan. See if you can spot the industry outlier...

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Y'all got Tiffed!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

I pulled no punches in my submission to @globeandmail 's annual Canadian economic chart-fest. This is the single biggest policy failure of the past decade. cc @MarcMillerVM @SeanFraserMP @JustinTrudeau @PierrePoilievre

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 years

Canadians: "CLIMATE CHANGE!" Also Canadians:

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

Cry me a goddam river @CollegesOntario You cannot enrich yourselves by blowing out local rental markets, causing significant damage to the financial wellbeing of low income Canadians and not expect the feds to come to their senses eventually. Provide accommodations or shut up

Colleges Ontario

@CollegesOntario

4 months

Check out this Toronto Star article by @nkeung and @krushowy on the impact of the federal announcement this week on international student study permits, with quotes from our statement: #cdnpse #onpoli

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

5 months

Canada's population has grown by 1.25 MILLION in the past yr...800,000 of which have been non-permanent residents (NPRs). I testified before the Standing Committee on Finance back in '21 and warned that NPR growth was major concern back then when it was under 200,000. Deaf ears!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Latest 🇨🇦 population data is absolutely bonkers. I suspect the silent majority of Canadians are both in favor of strong immigration but very concerned with negative externalities associated with THIS level of growth. Is too much of a good thing still a good thing?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Risk happens fast. Going from 4% monthly price gains with insane bidding wars to flat pricing in Toronto creates all sorts of problem.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Bank of Canada has updated their housing affordability measure as of Q2, and it...is...FUGLY!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Trudeau's immigration policy in a nutshell

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

Oh boy

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Countries ruled by the CCP Cc @TerribleMaps @scoopercooper @JustinTrudeau @cafreeland @PierrePoilievre

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

8 months

This is one heck of a tone change after years of playing the xenophobia card on anyone questioning immigration policy. Housing crisis was obvious for years. Only now that the polls have turned against them are they open to this. Time to go!

CTV Kitchener

@CTVKitchener

8 months

Canadian government won’t rule out changing immigration targets to address housing challenges, Fraser says

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

1/ This uptick in 🇨🇦 business insolvencies is remarkable. Almost unbelievable. Highest # of filings since 2006 in Jan. Here's the question: With CERB payments due in January, how much of this is due to fake firms that were set up to collect pandemic benefits and are now folding?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

. @scoopercooper doing his thing. Wild stuff here "Since 2015, the whistleblower concluded, more than 10 Toronto-area HSBC branches issued at least $500M in loans to diaspora buyers claiming exaggerated incomes or non-existent jobs" = great subscription

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

House prices in Canada have risen so quickly that a 20% correction would only bring them back to September 2020 levels

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

6 months

We've got fraudsters and money launderers running amok in Canada, and @CanRevAgency is busy focusing on auditing and disallowing medical travel claims for folks likes my mother in law who they argue should have gotten cancer treatment at a SLIGHTLY closer hospital. Bullshit!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 years

My tech guys put together this amazing animation showing the magnitude of the COVID19 job losses in Canada last month

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

Canadians: We want thoughtful immigration policies and affordable housing This government:

Justin Trudeau

@JustinTrudeau

4 months

Live: We’re announcing an agreement to build more homes in Guelph, Ontario – and to build them faster. Tune in here to find out more about the work we’re doing:

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

I can't believe the Star is giving a platform to these chuckleheads. Markets go up and down. If you don't want that risk, buy resale. Had prices surged (as I'm sure they expected), there would be no talk of returning those gains to the developer. 6/

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Just saw a home in the GTA that sold, was scheduled to close in April. Buyer couldnt close. It was relisted and sold again this month for 18% BELOW prior sale price.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

11 months

This is the sort of insanity you get when you add 600,000 non-permanent residents, almost all of them renters, into the Canadian population in one year. This is policy failure writ large Cc @JustinTrudeau @cafreeland @SeanFraserMP @PierrePoilievre

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

Banger op-ed in The Bureau this morning. Standing Committee on Finance just officially recommended implementing direct income verification with CRA. If this govt wants to look serious on this file, they would get this implemented immediately

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

I’ve got kids. I’m concerned about climate change. I want a cleaner, better future for them. But I also worry about short-sighted, unrealistic policies that risk food and energy security. Thoughtful policies and less pandering to environmental extremists pls. Cc @JustinTrudeau

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 years

Think food's expensive? Just wait. Canada Farm Product Price Index rose 24.4% y/y in June, tied for highest reading since late 1970s.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

9 months

Imagine asking the feds and province for a bailout while backing a plan to burn $9 million changing a fking street name? Let the insanity begin!

Toronto Star

@TorontoStar

9 months

Mayor Olivia Chow is standing by a plan to rename Dundas Street, even as one councillor who voted in favour of the project claims there’s no money for it.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Canadians this morning

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Canadians have become conditioned to believe that: i) Any rate hike is temporary and rates will drop soon ii) Long-term trajectory of rates is always down iii) Housing downturns are always short and shallow The BoC's reaction function has absolutely conditioned people here.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

5 months

"...as we always have, we're doing it responsibly and at a pace that our cities, municipalities and rural regions can absorb" Of all the BS statements this man has made, this may the most patently absurd.

Shazi

@ShaziGoalie

5 months

When asked about reducing immigration numbers to soften demand on housing, 🇨🇦 PM Justin Trudeau claims his government has always been doing immigration responsibly and at a pace that our cities can absorb. 👇🏽

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Really surprised that none of the big Cdn media outlets have done any investigative pieces on mortgage fraud in Canada. An undercover piece would not be difficult. A bigger issue than ppl think, and not hard to show it. DM me, I'll lay it out. @cbcmarketplace @CTVW5

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Currently on trial for defrauding investors but still court side at the raps game. That’s how we roll in Canada

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

GODDAMMIT!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

10 months

My friend, maybe sit this one out

Ahmed Hussen

@HonAhmedHussen

10 months

Now is the time for solutions, not political theatre. While Pierre Poilievre & the Conservatives are focused on cuts & far-right rhetoric,we are focused on one thing: bringing everyone to the table to get the affordable homes Canadians need, built now.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

If Poilievre didn’t voice housing policies out loud, would the liberals have any of their own?

Globalnews.ca

@globalnews

4 months

Housing Minister Sean Fraser says he supports the idea of tying the number of immigrants to Canada with the number of homes built; something Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre is also proposing. READ MORE:

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 years

Canada's daily vaccination rate now the lowest in the G7

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

If @Tesla has negative free cash flow outside of regulatory credits, does that mean they should be labeled as government funded? @elonmusk

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

In the Greater Toronto Area, a metro region of nearly 6 MILLION people, there were a total of 45 *NEW* single-family homes sold by developers last month. In case you're wondering the state of that industry at present...

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

THREAD: According to new data from the @bankofcanada , a major source of incremental housing demand in Canada has come from "investors"....loosely defined by the BoC as buyers who already own at least one other property. 1/

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Just finished some great meetings with RE contacts in Toronto. I swear to god you can’t swing a dead cat in this city without hitting a couple people with crazy mortgage fraud stories. This is a much bigger issue than most realize. Just wait.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

The trend in corporate bankruptcies in Canada is something else. Another record high in Dec. ht @trevortombe who flagged this last month

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

There are now nearly a quarter of a million more 20-29 year old men in Canada than women....a 9% imbalance that has widened significantly since 2010.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

29 days

Guys....this is a BIG deal

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

22 days

Money laundering in 🇨🇦 is a five alarm fire right now and we have all of 545 ppl at FINTRAC. The agency is toothless 2x as many work @ Library/Archives Canada and more in Atlantic Opportunities Agency than at FINTRAC. No offense to Atlantic Canada, but you know... #Priorities

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Residential investment in Canada is nearly 3x as large as investment in machinery, equipment, and all R&D expenditures combined. Building and selling progressively more expensive housing to each other is the new perpetual energy machine.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

Surprised no one in the media reached out over this. To be clear, Canadian banks are giving mortgages for new condos at +100% LTV which r going on the books at sub-80% LTV and somehow @OSFICanada is okay with the practice. I have the proof. This isn't hard to suss out. Hit me up

Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

1/ Maybe @OSFICanada can comment on the emerging practice of "blanket appraisals" by big banks on new condos. I've heard this from many in the industry and verified it myself via land registry data on some new builds. @SteveSaretsky discusses it here

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

8 months

LEAKED: The Canadian government's economic growth plan

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 years

Mortgage deferral requests in Canada hit 500,000. That's just over 8% of all households with a mortgage. Unbelievable!

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

As the @globeandmail picked up on, this is the most important Canadian macro/housing chart at the moment. Something has to give...either rates or prices.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 years

Is there a bigger dickhead in the whole world than the guy running a sea-do on quiet lake in the morning?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Levered $250k off HELOC to put deposits on 3 preconstruction condos at $600k each. Half ownership in 2 of them. Probably legally on the hook for the full $1.8M, but let's call it $1.2M. Also has a mortgage on principal residence. $70k income 😳 cc @MarkinMetaForm @ScrinkoCa

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 year

Canadians hate the idea of privatizing gains and socializing losses except when it's their own ass on the line and they're upside down on a preconstruction investment

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 years

WOW. From numbers this morning it looks like Ontario processed over 7,000 (!!!) COVID19 tests overnight. That is unreal! Share of positive tests was just 2.8%. Backlog of tests has fallen sharply over past few days.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

29 days

This housing plan from the current government is full of excellent ideas that could actually move the needle. Unfortunate that it comes 8 years too late and only after the public has lost trust in their ability or willingness to actually follow through.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

6 months

Good question here from @adamchamb to @ronmortgageguy re direct income verification

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 months

Here are 5 things you should be doing: 1) START 2) PUTTING 3) THIEVES 4) IN 5) JAIL

Kamal Khera

@KamalKheraLib

2 months

Auto-theft is a serious issue, and our government is delivering a serious response. Here’s 5 things we’re doing to stop auto-theft in its tracks.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

This may blow ur mind, but there's no such thing as "privacy" in real estate. If you own a home in 🇨🇦, ownership details r public info, fully searchable on land registry database...your name, sale price, prior price, and your mortgage details...amount, lender, interest rate, etc

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

From the guy whose government oversaw an irresponsible ramp in non-permanent residents that blew out the rental market.

Justin Trudeau

@JustinTrudeau

2 months

Young Canadians put a lot of their hard-earned money towards rent every month. We think that should count for a lot more – like towards your credit score.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

🇨🇦 employment continues to surprise to the upside but gains are still being driven by the public sector which grew by 48k in January, offsetting a 10k decline in private sector and self-employed

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Canadians:

*Walter Bloomberg

@DeItaone

2 years

CHINA SAYS HOUSING IS FOR LIVING, NOT FOR SPECULATION-STATE MEDIA

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Implementing a foreign buyer ban without a beneficial ownership registry is like trying to stop a leak with Swiss cheese

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

I'll take "Really fucking predictable ahead of time" for $1000 Alex ht @Tablesalt13 cc @fordnation @JillDunlop1 @SeanFraserMP @MarcMillerVM @PierrePoilievre

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 years

The mother of all revisions in the ADP Cdn jobs report today. How does that happen?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

11 months

Record 183k non-permanent resident admissions into Canada in April. This cohort is not included in fed government's permanent immigration targeting. No limits/targets in spite of significant impact on local rental markets.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Yes, strong population growth Yes, low resale inventory Yes, strong economy I get all that But when the monthly mortgage payment to buy the typical home in Canada jumps $700 in 6 months, the rest doesn't matter. Housing is in trouble if this trend continues.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

Canadas housing crisis visualized. There was never any hope of building enough units to meet the needs of 1.2 million new residents. It was always a disaster in the making. Policy failure of the highest order Great work as always from Hanif and the team at @WOWA_Canada

Hanif Bayat

@HanifBayat

3 months

🇨🇦 Population Growth vs. New Residential Units (1955-2023) 1. New construction lags behind recent population growth 2. New housing has stabilized at ~200K units/year for 50 years 3. Last 2 years saw unprecedented population growth 4. 1971's population boom was also remarkable…

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Gasoline heading to $2.20/L in Canada based on current WTI pricing. And that’s before carbon tax increases.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

Liberals break promise, vote against ban on foreign buying of Cdn residential real estate. Actively voting against their own promise is a new one. Lack of any meaningful progress on the housing file is one of this government’s biggest failings. Ht ⁦ @mindingottawa ⁩

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

1 month

Bank of Canada deciding between saving consumers and not decimating the currency

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 months

This 2014 @JustinTrudeau oped is wild. What hypocrisy! Temp workers and those with study AND work permits have grown by 550,000 in the past year alone. @PierrePoilievre Justin Trudeau: How to fix the broken temporary foreign worker program

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

4 months

This is nonsense. There's no silver bullet, but there were common sense policy measures that could have been implemented years ago, including more thoughtful approaches to non-permanent resident growth. This is deflection.

Marc Miller ᐅᑭᒫᐃᐧᐅᓃᐸᐄᐧᐤᐃᔨᐣ

@MarcMillerVM

4 months

There are no simple answers to the immigration and housing question | CBC News

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

9 months

Thought I'd look into the ownership of some of these private, for-profit colleges that partner with public colleges and primarily cater to international students. This is the first one I pulled. Two of the founders are from China. Seems kind of weird, no?

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

2 years

This is insane. Consumers in Ontario are nearly as pessimistic as in the early days of COVID when we had a novel pathogen locking down the world and we all thought we might die. Might be worth noting that Ontario accounts for 40% of Cdn retail sales. Data per Bloomberg/Nanos.

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Ben Rabidoux

@BenRabidoux

3 years

I remember having dinner w @scoopercooper years ago in Vancouver. The stuff he told me....threats to him/his family, harassment and intimidation he endured...it was wild. He paid a real price to dig up and expose this stuff, all as a public good. The guy is a hero in my books

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