PhD, former librarian, pessimistic utopian. History of tech, disasters, & doom-saying. Wrote my dissertation on Y2K (currently turning that into a book).
“We can look at certain technologies, certain modes of domination, and say: No.”
With “Blood in the Machine”
@bcmerchant
has written an engaging history of the Luddites, which further asks us to consider what Luddism means (and can mean) in the present:
I know we’re all tired of being on Zoom, but some important Zoom etiquette reminders:
- everyone wants to see your cat
- don’t just say “my cat is here,” hold your cat up to the camera so we can see it
- when your cat is on camera, either say “cat” or type “cat” in the chat
Bears are not lazy, they’re bears.
That humans have created an economic system wherein every waking moment must be used productively and efficiently is not an indictment of animals who “seem born to laze” it’s an indictment of that economic system.
Scientists found that wild grizzlies, like humans, seem born to laze. The findings suggest that the innate urge to avoid exertion plays a greater role in how all creatures, great and small, typically behave.
A lot of the “red states” that people are starting to angrily bash this morning aren’t really “red states” they’re “voter suppression states” - and that’s an important distinction to remember.
Let’s say it again...
Studying history will sometimes disturb you.
Studying history will sometimes upset you.
Studying history will sometimes make you furious.
If studying history always makes you feel proud and happy, you probably aren’t studying history.
That so many people are emotionally and intellectually exhausted by their workday and wind up only having energy for idle distraction at the day’s end is not an indictment of those people but an indictment of the society they live in that keeps them so wrung out…
Willem Dafoe says more challenging movies don’t do as well on streaming.
“People now go home, they say, ‘Hey, honey, let's watch something stupid tonight.’”
(Source: )
All joking aside, I know quite a few people who aren’t worried about saving for retirement because they’re confident that society as we know it will have collapsed before they reach retirement age…
The fact that people today feel comfortable looking back at Y2K and laughing is because enough people took the problem seriously and fixed it before anything catastrophic could occur.
It was a real problem, fixing it took real work. Even if many just remember it as a joke. 🧵
A good summary of American politics is that Republicans think Democrats aren’t “real” Americans but an enemy that needs to be suppressed and destroyed, while Democrats think Republicans will change their ways/minds if they’re sent sheet cakes frosted with lines from Hamilton.
The Millennial generation, born between 1981 and 1996, control just 4.6% of U.S. wealth even though they are the largest in the workforce with 72 million members.
@BSteverman
@atanzi
In the saga of Lizzo and the crystal flute one of the interesting divisions is that library/archive professionals (and historians) are pretty uniformly saying “this is great” and the people who are having meltdowns have never actually used special collections material.
One of the things I learned when I was working as a reference librarian is that there are a lot of people who really just want to be able to talk to someone.
This is an interesting example of what it means to take a holistic view of peoples’ needs in mind when designing places:
A Dutch supermarket chain introduced slow checkouts for people who enjoy chatting, helping many people, especially the elderly, deal with loneliness.
The move has proven so successful that they installed the slow checkouts in 200 stores.
I can’t help but think that much of the Boeing stuff is just a symptom of a deeper uncomfortable truth about how so much of the infrastructure and technology we depend on is in terrible shape (and shoddily built) and that it’s all starting to come apart at the seams.
It’s a really bizarre coincidence that two sets of parents thought to name their daughters “Two women,” and that both of the girls named “Two women” would grow up to win the Nobel prize.
The names of those two women are Emmanuelle Charpentier and Jennifer A. Doudna.
This is your periodic reminder that the Luddites were not anti-technology. They were skilled craft workers who were convinced that the factory owners would use the new machines to impoverish, disempower, & exploit them. They were right.
Stop using Luddite as an insult.
The reason we can joke about Y2K today is because many people took it seriously and as a result the real problems were fixed in time.
If you take a threat seriously and prepare for it, people scoff at the work that was done. When a threat isn’t taken seriously you get disaster.
Historians are like: I read fifty books to make sure that the non-controversial claim I’m making in this paragraph is properly supported.
Op-Ed columnists are like: here’s one study that I’m misinterpreting but that proves my grand narrative of human history and culture.
Let me clear it up for you: sci-fi is when you’re depressed about the future, fantasy is when you’re depressed about the past, and literature is when you’re depressed about the present.
Let’s say it again, when a studio shelves a completed film so they can get a tax write off that film should be entered in the public domain. The Library of Congress and National Archives should host all those films on a site from which you can stream them for free.
Netflix is scrapping ‘THE MOTHERSHIP’, a sci-fi thriller starring Halle Berry, which had completed filming but the studio now plans to never release the film.
(Source: )
Academics will say “now that my grades are submitted, I can relax” and by “relax” they mean write three articles, spend a week in an archive, read seventy new books, and do all of the prep for their courses that start in a couple of weeks.
Yes, AI requires an absolutely massive amount of energy, but you have to keep this in perspective. It also generates terrible images and the worst writing you’ve ever read.
Interviewer: Where do you see yourself in ten years?
Me: Scavenging for food in the climate catastrophe ravaged wasteland.
Interviewer: What?
Me: I mean, in a management role.
Studying history will sometimes make you uncomfortable.
Studying history will sometimes make you feel deeply upset.
Studying history will sometimes make you feel extremely angry.
If studying history always makes you feel proud and happy, you probably aren’t studying history.
A lot of people in the tech industry read/watched cyberpunk fiction and thereafter devoted their lives to trying to recreate the technology and aesthetic of those works without stopping to consider that those works were warnings not instruction manuals.
Aesthetically, this is basically how you have to dress to make things like the Vision Pro and Cybertruck look cool. These things mainly look bad in public bc there's no congruity between the business casual gear most ppl wear and these futuristic designs
At the outset let me state that I wrote my doctoral dissertation on Y2K (which I’m currently working on turning into a book). I’ve spent years reading tens of thousands of pages of documents on this, and talking to people involved, I’m not just making a quick observation.
Some reminders on Zoom etiquette:
- if you see a cat on a screen (or if your cat arrives) you should say “cat” (it is fine to say this in the chat).
- if your cat is on screen with you, you should introduce them.
- it is fine to briefly excuse yourself so you can go get your cat
This may sound hyperbolic, but I mean it with complete seriousness: the executives that bear responsibility for this should be dragged before The Hague.
Let’s say it again...
Studying history will sometimes disturb you.
Studying history will sometimes upset you.
Studying history will sometimes make you furious.
If studying history always makes you feel proud and happy, you probably aren’t studying history.
Now, to be clear at the outset, there was hyperbolic media coverage and some fringe apocalypticism, but beneath this all was a real technical problem that required a real solution. That the media often focused on the “fringe” is an issue with the media, not Y2K.
Maybe it’s just me, but I’m starting to think that the prominent op-Ed columnists were wrong when they claimed that woke college students with their pronouns in their bios are the greatest threat to democracy.
The Unabomber hated leftists, and much of his manifesto is a diatribe against leftists. One of the sections in his manifesto is even called “the danger of leftism.” This is in no way meant as a defense of the Unabomber, but to call him a leftist is absurd.
Here a key piece of the story of Y2K is recognizing that people knew it was going to be a problem long before the 90s! Bob Beamer was warning about it in 1971! The NY Times had its first article about it in 1988! The SSA was working on fixing it in the late 80s.
The origins of Y2K go back in the history of computing. Memory used to be expensive and anything programmers could do to save space also saved money. So many started truncating dates. Using 6 digits instead of 8 in their code.
Remember:
When something goes wrong in a socialist country, it’s proof that socialism doesn’t work.
When something goes wrong in a capitalist country, that’s also proof that socialism doesn’t work.
The irony of Y2K is that it shows that if you fix a problem well enough, many people will later be convinced that there never was a problem in the first place.
Especially if the work that went into fixing it goes unseen by most people.
The important thing to know is that truncating dates worked! It saved memory so it saved money, and in many places it became standard procedure. Programmers knew all along this would eventually be a problem…but they figured someone else would fix it.
I’m old enough to remember when the people who reacted to the videos of these robots dancing by warning that this would happen were told they were being alarmists.
Remember: every story you see today about long lines, broken voting machines, insufficient ballot quantities, demands for ID to vote, voter intimidation, & polling places moved at the last moment would be touted as proof of a failing democracy if they took place elsewhere.
You don’t need to give Mark Zuckerberg credit for taking out a fire extinguisher to help fight the raging wildfire after he spent years selling gasoline and matches to pyromaniacs.
I’ve said it before, and I’ll keep saying it g it, the AI apocalypse does not look like Terminator, it looks like societies drowning beneath a deluge of AI generated misinformation and bullshit that leaves people unable to trust or make sense of the world around them…
If ten years ago someone had written a satirical novel about a pandemic hitting the US in which there’s a sequence where people refuse to take the vaccine but instead ingest a horse dewormer, reviewers would have accused the book of being too over the top.
It was a technical problem, one the IT community knew about, and one that they were working on (at least kind of) long before Y2K blew up into the cultural phenomena it became.
Alas, the progress on the repairs was going quite slowly and not enough attention was being paid to it
The CDC says that if you awake one morning from uneasy dreams and find yourself transformed in your bed into a gigantic insect that you should still go to work.
It isn’t that middle schoolers are too fragile to learn about history’s darkest chapters, it’s that too many of their parents are too fragile to talk about those things with them when those kids get home from school.
The issue was that checking/fixing/testing was going to be a big (expensive) task, and speaking in ominous terms was a tactic to help get business leaders and government bureaucrats to really pay attention.
And pay attention they did.
This is also the time when you start to see some of the folks in and around IT really going public about the scale of the problem. Sometimes they were using deliberately hyperbolic language in order to get bosses/managers/officials to pay attention.
Fast forward to 1993 and Peter de Jager publishes a piece called “Doomsday 2000” (he didn’t choose the title) in Computerworld. This is generally seen as the “wake up call” article that really got IT to start paying attention.
I feel like the argument “if humanity feels doomed, there’s good news: it felt that way in the 1920s, too” isn’t a particularly reassuring argument if you know anything about what happened to humanity in the 1930s and 1940s.
And in the following couple years (still early 90s), IT is really starting to get to work on this problem.
If you look at the technical literature and technical publications, 93-95 is where you see the first real burst of attention and activity.
And no major problems occurred! Which is a good thing! When people fix stuff and it doesn’t collapse that’s great! When things keep working that’s not a bad thing (unless you actually want society to collapse)!
In this period lots of IT experts are expressing frustration about how they’ll talk to a journalist for hours, explaining the technical issues, only for that journalist to go around and write an article about people prepping for the apocalypse.
All joking aside, this version of the “this is fine” meme is a pretty perfect encapsulation of a lot of cyberpunk fiction: people surrounded by a collapsing world who convince themselves they are free by escaping into a high-tech world of fantasy.
If this footage was coming from a city in a different country, every major media outlet would be describing the country as a failed state collapsing into authoritarianism, and most members of Congress would be agitating for regime change.
In 1996 Senator Moynihan asked the Congressional Research Service to do a report on Y2K, a report that concluded the problem was very real and which advised more government attention to the problem. And in 96, Moynihan writes to Clinton warning him about Y2K.