This is the Russian Flagship
#Moskva
before she sank. It's impossible to fully assess the situation aboard based on one picture but marine salvage masters must make assumptions based on little information. As a ship captain and ship fire author here's what appears to be likely🧵
Fact: The US Navy is in charged of the Baltimore Bridge salvage effort
Fact: The US Navy has more Admirals that warships
Fact: there is not one Admiral in uniform today who is a salvage master
Fact: salvage masters were once among the Navy’s most respected officers
Fact:…
False
The rudders on these ships are massive.
They require large hydraulic pumps to move.
No electricity = no steering
They are tied to the emergency diesel generator so steering can be resumed before the main generators are restored but if the emergency bus fails too…
BREAKING: A NY tugboat captain has reported to
@gCaptain
“container ship APL QINGDAO lost power while transiting New York harbor. They had 3 escort tugs but 3 more were needed to bring her under control. They regained power & were brought to anchor near the verrazano bridge”
This ship killed my dreams of becoming a naval aviator.
I graduated college with plans to attend OCS but wanted to get my Merchant Marine license wet so I took a temporary job aboard this beast, the MV Cape Mohican
57,290 long tons of lethality. She could singlehandedly build a…
3) the calm weather, reserve buoyancy, and the fact she still had power means she could possibly have been saved
4) the fact the helideck was smoke-free
For these reasons my best guess is the captain of the Moskva abandoned his ship too early.
The first question any salvage expert will ask is how close is she to sinking. The red line on this photo shows the approximate location of the new waterline. As you can see by comparing the photos she has lost a significant amount of buoyancy and is listing to port.
What else do we know?
The Smoke is dark and heavy. This is a serious fire with a lot of heat. Dark smoke is a result of the burning of heavy fuels or synthetic materials and incomplete combustion. It's a very hazardous situation.
So it's likely been fully abandoned. It's possible that some people remain down below but staying in the engine room without proper boundary cooling and topside assistance from trained shipboard firefighters would be suicidal.
What else do we know?
The Lifeboats have been deployed and nobody is on deck, even back aft where it's smoke-free. Hoses are rigged to spray in the air. Those could have been rigged to help cool the ship but more likely are there to let nearby ships know when she lost power.
Finally, us captains don't care about equipment, we live and die by one rule during emergencies at sea. In an explosion of this magnitude, our job is not to save everyone but to save the highest percentage of people possible. This could lead to hard decisions.
2) The spraying water means they have at least emergency power which could be - if the crew had enough time - set up to help dewater the ship.
3) The weather is relatively calm. If the waves picked up the danger of sinking would increase exponentially.
She, however, is probably not in immediate danger of sinking for a few reasons:
1) She has some reserve buoyancy left because she has not reached deck edge immersion, which is the point where no freeboard is left and stability goes from bad to worse.
The next question is why? There is a rescue ship nearby (that ship took this photo) Is she not equipped with fire monitors capable of shooting water outward? Or is she keeping a safe distance because there is a real danger of a secondary explosion from munitions stored aboard?
We know the picture was taken relatively soon after the fire grew this large. We can assume this with some confidence because most of the grat paint is intact. Another hour under those conditions and the paint will likely peel and get covered in soot.
By most accounts, this flagship ship was critical to these war efforts. My best assumption - again based on too little evidence - is because of
1) the importance of this ship to the war effort
2) because the Montreux convention prevents Russia from sending a replacement
As a commercial ship captain, the likely correct answer here is to abandon the ship knowing she would likely sink, and let insurance cover the loss.. but a Navy captain does not have that luxury.
The biggest difference between a commercial ship captain and a navy captain is that we civilians only have to worry about our own crew. Navy guys don't have that luxury. They must think about their crew and the strategic mission.
We know don't see any nearby ships. Professional salvage teams require a lot of heavy equipment and firefighting gear. They would likely get a tugboat to spray the forward end with fire monitors to cool the ship before boarding with fireteams. No nearby ships are cooling her.
Remember the golden rule - "save as many people as possible" - well, the people a navy captain has to think about are not just the crewmembers but also the army and marines his ship provides air cover and artillery support for.
If this was a commercial ship the captain would likely have abandoned "non-essential" personnel and regrouped his fire teams at a "safe staging area" (likely the helideck) but this is a warship so the salvage team would have to know the location of all explosives before boarding
Next, we have to ask what's unusual about this photo? To me, the most striking part is the smoke is being blown forward and she has reserved buoyancy. This is a dangerous situation but the aft helideck is free of smoke and should be cool enough to work.
“This is a Chinese PLA Navy convoy, if you require any assistance, please contact via VHF Channel 16.” With 15 yrs of escort missions in the Gulf of Aden and waters off Somalia, PLA Navy has sent 1,600+ calls through Channel 16 and escorted 7,200+ vessels. Always mission-ready!
Red Sea attack watchers listen up!
Shipping experts do NOT understand naval operations.
Naval experts do NOT understand shipping.
Twitter “experts” have no clue about either.
If you want facts you MUST follow people who understand both.
🧵
US Navy says they don’t have enough warships to start Operation Prosperity Garden
🇺🇸 built 24 littoral combat ships but - for good reason - isn’t using them.
Question: If the LCS cannot defend a merchant ship against Hoothi drones, how is it going to defend itself in combat?
This is by far the craziest story I have reported on in the 15 years I’ve been CEO of
@gCaptain
BREAKING NEWS: Confirmation From Dr Sal on the news about
@cmacgm
and the French Navy I posted to my video this afternoon.
Next rumor to confirm is that
@JakeSullivan46
’s team at…
It appears that
#France
is withdrawing from
#OpProsperityGuardian
and will be conducting their own escort operation.
They are making overtures to other European Union nations to escort EU-owned vessels through the Bab el-Mandeb against the
#Houthi
.
The delays in the…
P.S. I shouldn’t just pick on the Navy. The Army’s in charge of waterways and bridges. Just 5 years ago the Army had salvage cranes and tugboats in Baltimore harbor. Not anymore
Guess where the Army’s
Most decorated 5-Star general of WW2 came from?
The Army Corps of Engineers!
All week I’ve been fielding questions from journalists, government leaders and really smart people about the Baltimore Bridge disaster
The same question keeps coming up… “how do you know so much about this”
My ship license doesn’t say Ship Captain, it literally says MASTER.…
People who have mastered a profession know intuitively how to do things the right way. Most people want to take pride in their work.
Boeing engineers saw the writing on the wall 22 years ago when outsourcing began under the reign of Ivy League MBAS
Except they literally aren’t responding to distress calls right now in the Red Sea despite having warships and a naval base there
They didn’t even help their own Hong Kong flagged ship Maersk Gibraltar
“This is a Chinese PLA Navy convoy, if you require any assistance, please contact via VHF Channel 16.” With 15 yrs of escort missions in the Gulf of Aden and waters off Somalia, PLA Navy has sent 1,600+ calls through Channel 16 and escorted 7,200+ vessels. Always mission-ready!
So USAA called me a few years back wanting me to sign up. This is no BS how the phone call went:
USAA: This is USAA would you like a quote on auto insurance?
Sure
Can you walk me through your eligibility?
Ok, I’m a captain in the US Merchant Marine
So you’re a marine?
No…
Psychologist friend: “what was the happiest moment of your early childhood?”
Me: “sitting on my dad’s lap in the office seat of a FDNY truck barreling through the smoke filled streets of the bronx en route to a major fire”
“Did he take you into the fire?”
“No I sat alone in…
In that case, the water stream pointing aft is likely coming from the tug & means there isn’t much heat stbd aft. Salvage tug monitors (like garden hoses) have straight spray and fan spray… you would use fan spray as a shield if heat and smoke were a problem. Example:
It is also possible the tug is made fast and is pulling the ship astern. That might explain why the smoke is streaming fwd and away from the heli-deck. Hard to tell for certain.
China could have the Baltimore ship channel fully cleared in weeks but yesterday
@POTUS
said yesterday for the Army Corps of Engineers it will take months 🤦♂️
I blame the West Point Mafia and their budget demon. Please let me explain…
Truth is bridges are an Army Corps of…
There is a *small* chance they hooked the tug pump into the ships’ main to provide water pressure to the pipe on the port side… so it’s possible the ship did lose emergency power.
No invention in human history has pulled more people out of poverty than the shipping container.
Yet this myth that it was a “wholly commercial invention” is both persist and false
Container shipping was an epic failure until the US Military poured billions of 💰into it 🧵
@johnkonrad
@TrentTelenko
Can it be so simple as when containerization happened out of necessity it was faster and simpler to let private companies take the investments needed than to allocate public funds for building a new fleet of containerships?
Many older fire monitors require special pumps that can’t be turned off and on with a switch… so they are probably just spraying it aft to keep it out of the way but available if the smoke and heat shifts.
The anchor was dropped before the Dali hit the
#baltimorebridge
But the scene from the movie battleship when they drop the anchor and turn on a dime is 💯unrealistic.
What happens when you drop the anchor while going 8knots?
First you can’t just let it go! If you do the…
I was skeptical of Biden’s Gaza Pier plan but wasn’t expecting it to go this bad
The MAJORITY of the fleet sent over had mechanical issues creating multiple delays
One CAUGHT FIRE & a rescue vessel was dispatched to save her 😳😳
Why isn’t this the headline in defense news?
USNS 2nd Lt John P Bobo Has Engine Fire and Aborts Gaza Mission | Status of Other Ships
1️⃣ USAV Besson delayed in Azores
2️⃣ USAV Wilson Wharf stuck in Tenerife
3️⃣ USNS
#Bobo
engine fire and return to Jacksonville
Today’s Army Generals seem to have forgotten Eisenhower’s darkest hour.
After Pearl Harbor, Eisenhower was assigned as the Deputy Chief in charge of Pacific Defenses. Every soldier in the Army desired one thing above all else: to send carriers to Manila Bay to relieve the…
This deserves a share… Through our namesake, the
@USArmy
is baked into the very soul of USS Dwight D. Eisenhower’s 100 thousand tons of American steel.
BREAKING NEWS: More Trouble for US Red Sea Operation
The good news is Denmark agreed to send ONE staff officer to help protect the Red Sea
The bad news is Spain and Italy are out of the operation and France will only remain if they don't have to follow 🇺🇸 orders
The French Navy consented to continue its participation in the US-led coalition, provided that its vessels operate exclusively under French command.
Spain, Italy, France Decline US Command Of Red Sea Operation Prosperity Guardian
A story on how
@ChowdahHill
is making a real impact:
For years, I've been trying to get my son Jack interested in the sea services, but he always rolls his eyes.
Last year, we toured dozens of schools, but he only wanted to apply to two:
@EmbryRiddle
&
@Cornell
to study…
If you’re one of the few selected for “IKE Warrior of the Day,” you get the privilege of taking the helm and moving around 4.5 acres of sovereign US territory.
This young lady works on catapults and was chosen among 200 others b/c she is amazing.
I was 20. He was 53. He had two or three bronze stars. I don’t remember. A moment of clarity emerged from the chemo. In 10 days he’d be in Arlington. I said Dad knowing all you know now. The loss of friends. The loss to the nation. The loss of innocence. Years of painful chemo…
Vice Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of U.S. Naval Forces Central Command (NAVCENT), U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces, holds a video conference Dec. 20 from Manama, Bahrain, with merchant shipping industry representatives to discuss Operation Prosperity Guardian. Led by…
True story: in California the local police and USCG stopped boarding my yacht after word got out that I have buckets of safety gear aboard and love giving long detailed lectures about how every single piece of kit works 😜
Can coast guard just jump on your boat for a “safety check”. Is she your mommy that needs to make sure you have all vests in the correct place? Seems intrusive to me. People may slam me but I’m a rider not a boater.
What would I do to deter Iran??
Let me tell you the story of a dark & stormy night on an offshore oil rig
Captain was really sick so I as Chief Mate was in charge & received a call that a crewman fell down a ladderwell
We had over 100 people aboard, a hospital, and a fully…
good luck Europe, you're on your own
NOBODY CARES ABOUT YOUR SHIPS IN THE RED SEA
Biden wants airstrikes, not solutions
At today's critical hearing the public, congress, US Navy, & media voted with their feet. Do you see cameras? See one admiral? Do you see White House reps?😪
Third 155mm factory to suffer explosion/fire this week.
2 in the United States
1 in the UK
2 Russian saboteurs were arrested in Germany.
Russia has a long track record of this
Since 2014 they have blown up
6 in Ukraine
2 in the Czech Republic
1 in Bulgaria
I have been told repeatedly that the reason the US Navy doesn’t need 500 ships is because of the combined strength of our allies.
But only one ally has fully signed up to help in the Red Sea and…
We could clear the bridge in weeks IF
1) our federal maritime agencies
@DOTMARAD
&
@USCG
were fully funded and functional
2) we had heavylift, salvage and offshore construction ships on hand.
We don’t
The Navy sold off almost its entire fleet of salvage ships. We don’t…
IMHO most comments are missing the point
The point is not that we, as a nation, built 1.5 liberty ships per day during WW2
The point is we did it with half the population we have today
They keep telling us they can't find shipyard workers but we have 200 MILLION more people…
When a ship experiences a full blackout, you immediately lose all steering.
The bigger problem is the rudder is locked whenever it was when the power went out.
Ships never move in a straight line. Attached is a picture of a ship course recorder. Notice how the heading is not a…
@johnkonrad
If they lost steering capability due to the loss of electricity then how did they steer it right into the bridge column? The ship clearly turned, and that was not done without steering it.
The Pacific ocean is vast. If war breaks out ships & planes will get hit and helicopters do NOT have the range or capacity to pick up survivors.
If my son joins the Navy (which he is considering) I will be screaming at the top of my lungs for DoD to a few dozen of these
The ShinMaywa US-2 is a large Japanese short takeoff and landing amphibious aircraft that employs boundary layer control technology for enhanced STOL and stall suppression performance
[📹 nobuya0827]
UPDATE: The French Navy is back in the US lead Naval Coalition! 🇫🇷🎉
(Under the condition they can refuse any 🇺🇸 orders, not commit any more warships, and focus on helping French merchant ships… so not really)
FRENCH HAVE PULLED OUT FROM NAVAL COALITION
FRENCH CONVOYING THEIR OWN VESSELS, CMA CGM BEING ESCORTED BY FRENCH NAVY
Great scoop from
@johnkonrad
and
@mercoglianos
A quick note on the Governor
I’m in Baltimore and interviewed a few sources working on this project
Note that all are reticent to talk and it’s a small sample size but… I’m hearing rhat Governor Moore stepped up when few other leaders wanted to (don’t forget that Biden…
Conversation with a European shipping executive this week:
“Are you going to DC to talk with the Navy or natsec think tanks?”
“No”
“Why? Because you dislike the Navy?”
“No I love the US Navy. Their ineptitude in the Red Sea is making us millions. Why would go I help them?”
Why did you join?
"To drop warheads on foreheads" Airman
"To storm the gates of hell" Marine
"To deliver death at depth" Submariner
"To keep
@ChowdahHill
stocked with cookie dough" Merchant Mariner
Joshua Hanlon visits the Brickmania Mare Island Store to check out the 28-meter-long LEGO USS Missouri made with more than 600,000 pieces
[📹 Beyond the Brick]
As a federally licensed Master Mariner of unlimited tonnage and based on my extensive experience working in shipyards here’s my assessment of the submarine damage 🧵
US coalition is falling apart with rumors France is leaving to go protect 🇫🇷ships while DoD has virtually abandoned 🇺🇸ships idle right NOW within Houthi missile range
I'm also deeply troubled by the sea of US Naval officers & experts here who push back hard on my concerns.
So yesterday I was asked... if tugboats were tied up alongside the M/V Dali they could have prevented the
#BaltimoreBridgeCollapse
?
I said absolutely yes.
I received dozens of comments and DMs (mostly from people with limited at sea experience) saying I was wrong. As a…
The US Navy has an extreme shortage of fuel delivery ship drivers that’s so acute they are offering new college grads over $200k to join
@MSCSealift
And THIS is why the DoD budget is over $1.5T. Multiple DoD organizations have said that fuel delivery in the Pacific is among our…
I’m a merchant ship Captain who runs a large news company for commercial shipping.
Five years ago I had zero interest in Naval or military affairs but this guy
@mercoglianos
just kept calling me telling me shipping is in BIG trouble if the US Navy keeps ignoring the concerns of…
Peter Thiel: Meaning is found in doing things that are important, that otherwise wouldn't get done.
Aim to work on things which without you, wouldn't / couldn't get done by anyone else.
Guess how many salvage ships the Navy has here to clear the waterway?
Guess how many fireboats San Diego
has to rescue & treat victims or put out a fire if a tanker crashes into it?
Guess how many critical port upgrades the Navy made after the 2020 Bonhomme Richard inferno?
@cdrsalamander
@johnkonrad
And a reminder that a vast portion of the US Navy’s Pacific assets all berth behind this bridge, completed in 1969, almost 55 years ago.
@cmacgm
One major difference between Baltimore and New York is the US Coast Guard operates Vessel Traffic Service in NY
VTS is like air traffic control. They monitor all ships and tugs and can respond quickly to emergencies
Baltimore did not have VTS service
The Ocean Jazz is not just a “U.S. owned” ship like some of the recent targets
It’s a us owned & 🇺🇸 flagged ship that is manned by US Merchant Mariners & routinely carries oversized US military equipment for
@US_TRANSCOM
Here she’s delivering Black Hawk helicopters in 2018👇
BREAKING: MV DALI IS POTENTIALLY SITTING ATOP HIGH PRESSURE UNDERWATER GAS LINE
Source at ICS reports ship salvage effort will likely be delayed while line is surveyed and additional risk can be assessed
For those who don’t know the US has massive US Merchant Marine ships fully crewed and loaded with weapons, vehicles and military supplies ready to sail at a moments notice in case a choke point - like the Red Sea - gets shut down and troops need to be flown into a conflict zone.…
@johnkonrad
All comments are relevant, and we mariners can always say we knew this would happen. Looking at the coastline of Yemen on the Red Sea, it is hard to understand why defensive forces were not put in place sooner. The Maritime Prepositioning program has also been stripped down.
Either
@SecretaryPete
violated a major OSHA regulation yesterday or he had no intention of getting near the salvage operation
I’ve been the chief of multi-billion offshore projects. I say this because most if you who have worked in critical emergencies will say that politicians…
Over the past 4 years I've watched nearly every US Navy congressional hearing & many CNO press briefings
Almost EVERY TIME a major deficiency was brought up ADM Gilday said: the strength of the US Navy is with our allies and partners
Well, where are those partners now Admiral?
MAJOR fire aboard US Navy
@MSCSealift
ship USNS Button
We’re working on getting more details but a senior source tells me the White House directed the Navy/USCG to 🤐 because it doesn’t want more ship news hitting the media this week
You know what to do
I repeatedly get the same words applied to my national security posts calling for drastic change including serious Army cutbacks. People call me “ridiculous”, “silly”, and “idiotic”
It must be nice to take such a view. I would love to argue that this service deserves an extra…
If you have family serving on a US Military base overseas (especially on islands like Okinawa or Guam) please ask congress:
If the Army & Navy combined can’t build a simple pier in Gaza to deliver food in peace without multiple ships breaking down & catching fire… how will we…
I was skeptical of Biden’s Gaza Pier plan but wasn’t expecting it to go this bad
The MAJORITY of the fleet sent over had mechanical issues creating multiple delays
One CAUGHT FIRE & a rescue vessel was dispatched to save her 😳😳
Why isn’t this the headline in defense news?
Can you imagine if the Captain of every Navy, US Coast Guard and Merchant Marine ship posted like this? Half our nation’s sea-blindness and sea service recruitment problems would vanish overnight.
Instead my Merchant Marine is being directed not to post “because of OpSec” 😭
Unsuspecting Petty Officer called to the bridge and placed in the Captain’s chair. Cookie offered. Cookie consumed.
To his wife: “I love you with all my heart.”
Returns to hangar bay to reposition aircraft prior to operations.
Says: “This is the way,” as he departs.
the us navy imposed freedom of navigation disproportionately benefits poor countries
if the unholy alliance of far right isolationists and far left anti-interventionists gets what it wants, only countries w advanced navies will be able to benefit from trade
It’s not just a navigation problem. The Suez canal is an incredible driver of economic prosperity. Hence the name Operation Prosperity Guardian.
Without both canals the world would have to build twice as many ships and burn millions of barrels of extra oil each year.…
What unified command is calling the “largest crane on the eastern US seaboard” is in Baltimore. It can lift 1,000 tons.
But they are wrong, it’s not the largest.
The Left Coast Lifter (used to construct New York’s Mario Cuomo bridge is in Staten Island. It can lift 1700 tons…
The scene in
#Baltimore
requires more heavy lift than is currently on location.
Two assets that should be considered is the Left Coast Lifter, used in the construction of the Tappan Zee which can lift 1700 tons.
Also, the VB-1000 can lift up to 6,800 tons.
“Konrad knows F all about maritime construction”
True
Now please enjoy the maritime construction photo I took of a maritime construction crane lifting the derrick of the offshore drilling & construction ship I captain’d during it’s construction at Samsung Heavy Industries
I’m told Admirals can be recalled to active service
I believe all the Admirals who assured us the LCS could fight in the littorals should crew one up a go prove it
Ray Maybus
@SECNAV75
can be CO
If only we had a fleet of ships to fight in the littorals, quickly redeploy, and be produced in such numbers that we could use them against a low-tech enemy like the Houthi.
BREAKING: Tugboats were released from the ship 17 minutes before impact with the
#baltimorebridge
. A tug escort was not required for the transit but was offered.
Two pilots were aboard at the time. One a graduate of
@UsmmaO
and one a graduate of
@MaritimeCollege