This week we mark 1 year since Dr. Li Wenliang sounded the alarm over a large number of SARS-like patients at his Wuhan hospital.
Li was silenced by the police and kept working with his patients.
In early January he caught the new disease and died from it in February aged 33.
A European source appalled by the staging of Chinese aid: "When we sent aid to them, they asked us to be discreet, they did not want to lose face."
Reminder: the EU has delivered 56 tonnes of medical equipment to China.
I've posted this chart before but I've never felt so strongly that the whole country needs to see it.
This wave is not the same as the first.
Hospital and ICU numbers are a fraction of where they were in April.
Deaths are only at 2.7% of peak.
Level 5 would be excessive.
Cork had Ireland's first case of community transmission.
When county data was first published, Cork had 18% of total cases. As of Thursday, it only had 10%.
The rate of growth in Cork is now only 8% daily.
Looks like they're taking it seriously down there.
Well done Cork!
Growth of 6.9%, the lowest since Italy's outbreak began.
Day 6 of single-digit growth. Encouraging.
Lockdown is working, but the burden on the healthcare isn't yet easing.
Messaging
@RiochtConor2
this morning.
He is doing ok but needs a break.
He will be back.
I'm really appreciative of his work lately. Sadly some haven't and they've been very vocal. There's only so much of that you can take before it's too much
Looking forward to his return.
Ireland has kicked out the posh boy government.
The Taoiseach will no longer be an apartment-owning Trinity grad, but a large-house-owning Trinity grad!
The Housing Minister will no longer be a privately educated Micheal's lad but a privately educated Blackrock lad!
#change
Everything here is in line with regulations with lots of cold breeze to blow away the virus if it's there.
Outdoor transmission is rare.
People need to calm down or we won't have an economy left.
And please ban cars from this street
@DubCityCouncil
so there's more space.
P*ddy C*sgrave is quickly becoming the new G*mma O'D*herty.
Wildly conspiratorial, prophet of doom, and "trolling the establishment" for the sake of it.
Whatever about doing so in normal times, doing so during a national emergency show just how far he goes for attention.
So Paddy,
@paddycosgrave
, we have never met personally or professionally. I don't do spin and aim to be straight with the public. You have your view and I have my responsibilities as CEO of
@HSELive
, which I cherish. Throwing rocks from the sideline doesnt help anyone
#COVID19
Apparently there's a pub in Wexford that has reopened without a kitchen, but insists on customers ordering from a local take-away with delivery to the pub.
If that doesn't win
@EY_Ireland
Entrepreneur of the Year 2020, I don't know what will.
Finally, I just want to thank everyone who has supported my work to date.
My account won't be deactivated so you can still review historic data.
I might do the odd Like / RT if I take a sneaky look at what's being said! 🤭
Otherwise, see you in a few weeks. 👋
Marathons 🏃♀️ going ahead this autumn:
🇬🇧 London
🇫🇷 Paris
🇪🇸 Barcelona
🇺🇸 Boston
🇩🇪 Berlin
🇬🇷 Athens
🇺🇸 New York
🇵🇹 Lisbon
🇨🇭 Jungfrau
🇺🇸 Chicago
🇳🇱 Amsterdam
🇩🇪 Frankfurt
🇺🇸 Los Angeles
🇳🇱 Rotterdam
🇮🇹 Rome
#OutlierIreland
🇮🇪 continues
Tomorrow Ireland enters Phase 3 and travel restrictions lift nationwide.
I'm taking a week off for a staycation in West Cork.
I won't be posting the virus data next week, so it brings an end to 4 months straight of doing so every day.
I will be back the week after.
Stay safe.
Paschal Donohoe is departing as Ireland's finance minister after 5 years
Highlights of his time:
🔵Balanced budget
🔵No recession
🔵Debt falling
🔵COVID supports
🔵Eurogroup President
🔵Record public services funding
🔵Full employment
Stability and integrity
@Paschald
I've visualised the doses administered at the Coombe hospital for perspective.
They managed to find 120 extra HCW *before* the 16 doses were given to family members.
Lessons to be learnt here, but it looks like management did their best to use every last drop.
Thinking tonight of:
- my brother (21) who can finally enjoy the nightlife that's so important at his age
- my sister (12) who can finally have a warm classroom, use of her locker and lunch time inside school
Our young people have sacrificed so much. Time they got it all back.
I think Boylan has crossed a line here.
These photos are the hospital chaplaincy service. They provide pastoral care to the sick and dying.
Most Irish hospitals have them and the service is optional.
1/ 🧵
Thank you to the person who sent me these pictures taken an hour ago in the “fully secular” St Vincent’s Hospital
Mass in hospital oratory ☑️
Mass on hospital TV ☑️
Blessed Sacrament exposed daily ☑️
Stations of the Cross ☑️
Core Values of Sisters of Charity posted on campus ☑️
New data from Israel show 90%+ effectiveness of the Pfizer vaccine 21 days **after just one dose**.
By end-April, Ireland should have over 3 million doses, enough to give one dose to 60%+ of the country.
Reopening could be end-spring, not mid-summer...
Why not just one dose?
I printed off the full 23 page document tonight.
I read through all the measures and underlined a few.
I could not, if you asked me on live TV, recite each one back.
Ok, I'm calling it.
(deep breath)
Ireland has passed the peak of the Omicron wave!
Too many data points are now showing it.
It's time to talk reopening 🔓
But first, some data 📊🙂🧵
1/
01:30am and the number 15 bus home is nearly full.
Not a nitelink, just an ordinary route running 24 hours.
I hope every bus route in Dublin will have this eventually
@dublinbusnews
Sinn Féin proposing increasing Jobseeker's Allowance by €42 a week.
That's €2,184 extra a year.
Ireland has made great progress in getting unemployment down from 15% to under 5% today.
It would be a mistake to introduce welfare traps which reverse that progress.
#ge2020
Tweets were widely shared last month of Sinn Féin TDs returning pay rises of €8,188 (8.5% of total salary).
Today we hear that
@LeoVaradkar
has refused a higher increase (12% of total, approx. €25,000).
He seems to have never tweeted about it.
I did a sweep of party manifestos (FG, FF, SF).
Keyword searches for
"Intensive care"
"Ventilators"
"Pandemic"
Not a single result.
No party saw this coming.
Claiming your party would have better prepared us is false.
We need unity not division.
I do feel sorry for
@WebSummit
employees. They had no part in fabricating the death of nurses, spreading fear, misinformation or Chinese propaganda.
A company that was once a beacon of Irish tech success now carries the label of petty attention seeking during a national crisis.
Lots of focus on Mountbatten, but let's not forget Paul Maxwell, a 15-year old Irish boy who was working on the boat that day.
He was one of two boys killed in the explosion.
He had his whole life ahead of him.
#TheCrownSeason4
Key words in initial statements by Irish universities on
#Ukraine
Trinity - "condemns"
UCC - "condemns"
NUIG - "condemns"
Maynooth - "condemns"
RCSI - "strongly condemns"
UL - "deplores and condemns"
UCD - "concern with the situation" 🤔
Every single taxi at the rank in
@DublinAirport
wouldn't accept card this morning. My business went to
@mytaxi_ie
instead. DAA should ban cash-only taxis at the rank until we can make card payments mandatory for all taxis. Most European cities do this!!
NPHET estimate 285,000-480,000 cases in the week to Jan 5th.
1,043 hospital admissions this past week, but at least 25% are incidental (so let's say 782).
So only 0.16% (1 in 625) to 0.27% (1 in 370) need hospital care.
Does it need to go lower before we say "it's over"?
Ireland's only non-white TD happens to be An Taoiseach
@LeoVaradkar
This week he:
- Spoke out against the "virus" of racism
- Condemned the US response to the protests
Yet, some are now accusing him of supporting institutional racism 👀
You couldn't make this up if you tried
Leo Varadkar justifies institutional racism in Ireland by saying that it's not as bad as the institutional racism ongoing in the US.
What a low bar to set. Pathetic.
This is so random but I'm remote working in a coliving house in Tenerife and I've convinced everyone to watch the
#LateLateToyShow
.
There's other houses nearby and everyone is coming over. Me and
@CDB_90
bought snacks to share 😀
A non-COVID chart for a change.
Fascinating discovery from
@eoinneylon
here on the voting patterns of Dublin City councillors on housing issues. This is just the 21 votes taken since 2019.
Dublin has an acute housing shortage and the issue will return after the pandemic.
The breakdown is as such (number of times group majority voted against a motion for housing development).
I4C 21, PBP 19, SF 16, SD 12, FF 2, GRN 2 LAB 2, FG 1.
(INDs not counted as a group)
For each vote details, see (3/3)
200 new cases today (+8%)
2,615 total cases.
This is lowest number of new cases all week, and the lowest % increase since the outbreak began.
Well done everyone! Small victory here, but more to be done, as cases continue to rise!
#FlattenTheCurve
294 new cases today (+14%).
2,415 total cases.
14% growth is the lowest growth recorded since the outbreak began.
Early signs that social distancing and other measures are having an impact.
#FlattenTheFeckinCurve
Share this around if it's useful. Thanks.
We're reaching petty levels of attack on our ministers who are trying to steer us through our country's greatest crisis.
This from a supposed journalist, who claims
@SimonHarrisTD
stole a video, when in fact, any embedded video automatically credits the creator at the bottom.
One of those days where there's more heat than light on this platform. Maybe it's the time of year, I don't know.
Anyhow, I put out some new charts tonight.
Can't let the bullies have their way around here 😉
By August 22nd, the vaccination of adults will still be ongoing. 40,000 will attend the All Ireland finals in Croke Park.
By September 24th, the vaccination of adults will be complete, yet 70,000 *won't* be allowed at Electric Picnic.
Makes sense.
Meanwhile in politics - a
@fiannafailparty
TD with a maths degree has had to explain discount rates to
@sinnfeinireland
's housing spokesperson after the policy was grossly misrepresented in a tweet which now has 3,000 likes.
@EOBroin
Taking 4% discount factor (which I believe is standard on treasury projects), allowing for 2% pa rent inflation, looking at at grossed up NPV of c. 340k. Take off the 2% and it’s 196k. Both a long way off 800k? Plus add the opportunity cost of capital now for other projects.
A ten-day-old baby 🍼 might soon become the youngest person in MHQ
Slow clap for everyone who supported this 👏👏👏
You can sleep easy knowing you've stopped up to 1% of cases
Well done 👍
The share of cases entering hospital with COVID is collapsing.
We began December with approx. 1 in 100 cases needing hospital treatment.
It's now 1 in 200.
The true picture is even better because of so many missing cases.
#Omicron
#Vaccinations
Being offline this week, I didn't get a chance to pay tribute to
@CMOIreland
as he steps back from the role.
I can't add much more to what's already been said about the service he has given his country.
I think this photo by
@HuskiesAgency
sums it up best.
#ThankYouTony
Deliveroo drivers crowdsourced a risk map of the city two years ago.
Sadly, they've known of these risks long before they reached mainstream attention.
I'm sure much of it is open to debate, but it's a starting point for understanding the city.
First he fabricates the death of 4 nurses.
Then he fabricates his own exit from Twitter.
He lasted 4 days.
Now he's back to scare the life out of anyone who has a relative in a nursing home, based on a WhatsApp message.
Just f**k off Paddy!
Dublin's old dilapidated buildings quite literally stand in the way of building high rise dense urban living.
If you believe in solving the housing crisis, then you must believe in knocking some old buildings to put up new ones, especially if knocking 1 leads to 105 more.
The day was bound to come.
PCR test done too which should confirm tomorrow.
I will finally be one of the statistics I've been following all this time 😅
A quick update on COVID-19 trends in Ireland.
I invested in a microphone and graphics pad, and I hope to do more videos like this.
If this is helpful, please share it around.
Those calling for
@LeoVaradkar
to spend more time with rough sleepers during the housing crisis now say "he has more important things to be doing" when he signs up to treat patients during the health crisis.
An expert in public health has called for the Taoiseach, Micheál Martin, to urgently introduce a minimum unit pricing on alcohol, in a bid to deter house parties
Strong words from Ivan Yates on the Irish government's position on Palestine. 🇮🇪🇵🇸
But his story about the trip to Washington... 🇺🇲 Did that actually happen?
(Path to Power podcast with
@cooper_m
by
@nkmanagement
)
RTÉ must be made accountable for its use of public money.
But context is important.
The HSE spends more money in four days than RTÉ receives in licence fee money each year.
Grants to 32,841 different NGOs is ~30x higher.
We've been told that lockdowns are meant to protect the health system from being overloaded.
Ireland's hospital and ICU occupancy (for COVID patients) is among the lowest in Europe right now.
This is a reply from a Sinn Féín TD on Facebook to a comment about the
@HSELive
response to COVID-19.
It's worthy of an entire Masters dissertation, but for now a thread on what it means will have to suffice.
1/20
NPHET modelling is out.
This is their central scenario.
No repeat of January hospital peak.
500 in hospital by September 6th.
That gives you ***10 weeks*** to put measures in place like vaccination check to prevent hospital overrun.
We could have opened. Very disappointing.
700,000 cases is 1 in 7 people in this country catching COVID...
In the summer...
With the majority of us vaccinated...
Folks, these outcomes won't happen.
It's absolutely scandalous these numbers went to cabinet.
I emailed Conor Riordan
@RiochtConor2
to check in since he paused his account.
He says all is well and that he just needed a break. He hopes to be back around Easter.
Like many of you, I look forward to seeing his analysis back here soon.
SF's
@EOBroin
describes the hundreds of millions wiped of the Irish stock exchange this week as "fictional changes".
This isn't fiction Eoin, it's real life, real losses.
You're scaring vital international investment away from Ireland.
#TonightVMTV
Ireland 🇮🇪 is likely to pass 9% of the population with a first dose this weekend
The number of days taken to vaccinate each % of the population is falling as we go 📉
It took 5 weeks to get the first 3% vaccinated
The next 3% took 4 weeks
The last 3% has taken just 2 weeks!
The usual Irish COVID-19 data comes out at 6pm/8.45pm.
But what number should we look out for?
What number shows us working to
#FlattenTheCurve
?
I've made a new table to preview the daily numbers.
For today <335 new cases will be progress.
Please share if this is useful.
While cases are rising again, there are two key differences from April:
1) The age profile is younger, so hospital and ICU admissions should be lower, and deaths fewer.
2) Contact tracing and testing are much better. New outbreaks can be brought under control quickly.
Ireland 🇮🇪 reports 51 new cases today.
Italy 🇮🇹 reports 813, equivalent to 68 Irish cases (adjusted for population).
Ireland's restaurants 👩🍳 won't open for another 6 weeks. 🔒
Hairdressers 💇♂️ in 9 weeks 🔒
Pubs 🍺 in 12 weeks. 🔒
In Italy they're all open today... 🔓
You'd have to feel sorry for Eamon Ryan.
He spent his life since 2011 rebuilding a political party from the ground up, only for members who were children at the time to take a pop at him the second he does something wrong.
Ireland's colonial past drives a lot of the sympathy towards 🇵🇸.
But Irish freedom wasn't won by targeting civilians (like Oct 7th) and the world wouldn't have backed us if we did.
The Palestinian cause probably goes nowhere until the genocidal strategy from Hamas changes.
I feel sorry for the IDA executive caught up in this story. She was supposedly "humiliated" by Cosgrave at an event.
The IDA do fantastic work and their staff should be supported by all Irish businesses, just as they support them back.
The decision to now test asymptomatic nursing home staff for C19 isn't a "should have happened sooner" decision.
It's a "wasn't possible until now" decision.
We had a backlog of 35,000 tests, all with symptoms.
Who from the backlog should we have pushed down the list?
Finally got to meet
@logical_conor
in person for the first time.
Lovely guy who gave so much of his time to keeping everyone up to date.
We are both enjoying COVID-chart-retirement.
Chart bros for life 😋
Next week's
@ClaireByrneLive
Amarach panel poll:
"Do you support removing all taxes, moving the island to a warmer climate and winning the world cup?"
Yes 95%
No 3%
Don't Know 2%
We're missing the good news in the Coombe story:
1) A hospital administered over ONE THOUSAND doses in ONE DAY
2) The vials are giving us more doses than the hospitals are planning for. That means we just need to line up more people from the priority groups to avoid this again.
Good COVID news today:
- Ireland at ~6% with a first dose
- Hospitalisations now below 500
- J&J one dose vaccine to be approved in 9 days
New research shows:
- T-cell response is strong against all variants
- One AZ/Pfizer dose cuts serious illness by >80% in over 80s
Something we should never forget.
When 5Gemma O'Doherty is de-platformed, it reflects a platform she had to begin with.
And who gave her that platform?
The Irish left.