george berry, kate martin fan @george_berry Twitter profile

Pinned Tweet

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 days

now the bracket gets hard 😬

0

Last Seen Profiles

@DennarChin44643

@AbdeslamBenham3

@scotthurff

@paleotaissa

@MsEricaDixon

@VauSecondGrade

@LSHSRangers

@thomasbowell

@DaynaRoselli

@geartahna1

@saherslah

@oyoyoxxx

@hyperion_draws

@kdecommunity

@RusSwole

@adel_miller

@phenixpotin

@GeneralElectric

@JoshJHoover

@digitalling

@euro_lovelivers

@kru052325018232

@Abdquil

@Merlin_Land

@thaliamoding

@QueenBooksTO

@asal_boran

@LuckyLynx1

@Botina_BR

@SzabolcsGerber5

@tatty0ldthing

@JoyceManor

@StirileProTV

@CamdenFringe

@LaGrange2PBO

@AssaneGueye23

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 months

propensity score matching is like

Pericles 'Perry' Abbasi

@ElectionLegal

6 months

They both served one term in Congress in their 30s before deciding not to seek re-election

101

792

13K

2

117

1K

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I get asked for stats/causal inference book recs a lot. Here are some I find useful.

11

94

865

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

2 years

doing machine learning engineering by reading the wikipedia page for ordinary least squares again

8

22

663

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

A really good rule of learning to program is: go where the best community is. Tools can improve. Frameworks can get rewritten to be faster. Communities are difficult to change.

12

140

636

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

i got a phd and loved it. my time doing work-that-would-be-published-in-good-journals-but-at-a-company-so-it's-not-published has changed my mind on a lot of things in academia. (thread)

2

24

330

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

As for what's next: I'm really excited to be joining @reddit (after a bit of a break) as a data scientist focused on experimentation.

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Today is my last day working in Dem politics (for the moment, at least!). It's been a great 18 months, I've learned tons of stuff—both technical stuff (high level of rigor!) and about US politics.

2

0

38

30

4

219

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I’m getting a lot of q’s about being a “computational social scientist” in industry/tech working as a DS or ML eng. Here are a few thoughts in case they’re helpful for anyone

4

47

197

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I wrote a short and hopefully understandable intro to causal inference. I hope it'll be useful for infosci folks in particular. PDF: GitHub:

GitHub - georgeberry/causal-inference-intro: A short introduction to causal inference

A short introduction to causal inference. Contribute to georgeberry/causal-inference-intro development by creating an account on GitHub.

github.com

3

35

189

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

@EthanBWinter

0

4

166

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

kind of a subjective and personal question

5

38

161

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

brms is a staggering achievement

3

4

144

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

second, data is more important than models. you can't model your way out of bad data. endless "checks" by nitpicking reviewers are rarely worth the time. economics papers that are 60 and 70 pages on a single like 1500 observation dataset... i just shake my head lol.

2

6

138

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

lol

3

29

132

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

Are you studying social relationships online? Are you using predictions for node attributes? 👇You may want to check out our new preprint👇

4

34

121

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

7 years

@evansiegfried My perception could be wrong, but I do not think millennials are clamoring for less generous healthcare and lower corporate taxes.

6

108

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

TIL you can work with graphs in the tidyverse using tidygraph. It's wild. g %>% activate(nodes) %>% 🤯 g %>% activate(edges) %>% 🤯 GitHub:

3

20

115

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

first off, i think studies are less authoritative than i used to. single studies almost never settle things. i wish academics would optimize more for quantity than "quality". but not quantity of re-analyzing the same datasets over and over.

1

117

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

I can't get over this graph

Amihai Glazer

@AmihaiGlazer

4 years

States where physicians are highly paid have lower Covid-19 mortality per capita.

865

109

591

14

10

109

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

All of these attempts to monitor students for cheating make me think: why do we care so much about what students know without any reference material. That’s... not how life is. All the fun problems are ones where you have like 20 tabs open and you’re still scratching your head.

2

6

108

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

lol are you sure about this?

9

8

101

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 months

it is difficult for people to understand how wealthy the US is. we have big problems with deep poverty, but we also have a *lot* of people doing well.

Matt Darling 🌐🏗️

@besttrousers

4 months

"63% of Americans do not have $500 in the bank to pay for an emergency healthcare bill." This is inaccurate. Median household net worth is $192k, including $8k in checking accounts.

322

277

4K

2

7

103

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

third, so many questions are irrelevant in academic studies. the laser focus on "novelty" often overcomes what's important. sure, people have studied age voting gaps a ton. but that's because they are really important! there's still more to say. pile on!

1

3

102

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

i learned a new pattern in R, this is the modern tidyverse way to do regressions on subgroups library(tidyverse) library(broom) df %>% nest(dat=-grouping_col) %>% mutate( fit=map(dat, ~lm(y~x, data=.), tidied=map(fit, tidy) ) %>% unnest(tidied)

2

94

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 years

I read “The New Geography of Jobs” by Enrico Moretti after seeing @Noahpinion recommend it. Rather than just giving it effusive praise, here are three things if changed my mind about, and three beliefs it reinforced.

2

17

87

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

2 months

i sort of feel like this is true! the Serious Economists did the recovery after 08 and it sucked and now we have Meme Economists who are doing a better job lol.

James Medlock

@jdcmedlock

2 months

The academic economists had their chance. Now we have a non-economist as fed chair and posters as economic advisors

18

52

487

2

8

88

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

judea pearl's work is a towering intellectual achievement wrapped in petty academic turf wars

6

3

85

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

one widely applicable lesson from FTX: you can - get good grades - have everyone tell you you're smart - do things which publicly indicate intelligence - convince yourself you're smarter than other people and still be really bad at your job

1

11

83

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

7 years

@evansiegfried Just speaking from my experience, the healthcare/tax reform plans would prob make my life worse, and would certainly hurt many of my friends

4

2

69

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

i see a ton of academics for example insisting the democrats should do X, and it's almost always wrong for reasons obvious to practitioners. living inside a set of constraints makes those constraints visible, and they are often invisible to outsiders (even smart outsiders!)

1

82

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

i guess my final thought is that i hope for tigher academia/practitioner integration. academics can do long timeline stuff that industry people really can't, and that's their competitive advantage. but that also means feedback loops are slow.

1

80

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

fourth, there's just a lot of puzzlement in the social sciences about what to do with evidence from outside academia. i think the right answer is that we should default to thinking whatever practitioners in a competitive field are doing is well thought out.

1

3

77

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I won an #icwsm2019 Best Reviewer award and I’m unreasonably happy

5

0

72

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I can’t believe my most liked tweet of all time is a picture of stats books. What a strange website this is.

2

1

73

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Happy our new paper is out, "Estimating Homophily in Social Networks Using Dyadic Predictions" We address the question: when we use classifiers to estimate network measures, what properties does the classifier have to satisfy?

1

11

67

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I just realized @mmolinamaydl and @ProfFilizGarip 's paper "Machine Learning for Sociology" is on @socarxiv : If you're a sociologist who wants to know what all the fuss is about, check it out, it's a really good intro.

Machine Learning for Sociology

Machine learning is a field at the intersection of statistics and computer science that uses algorithms to extract information and knowledge from data. Its applications increasingly find their way...

osf.io

3

24

67

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I guess I should make this Twitter official, I switched jobs from Twitter to Civis. I was sad to leave some great colleagues at Twitter, but excited for new challenges.

8

0

62

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

they sent me my phd diploma so that's cool 🎓

2

0

61

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

8 months

you really lack compassion and empathy for cash-strapped people if you think a 3-5% reduction of rent doesn't matter

Jake Anbinder

@JakeAnbinder

8 months

YIMBYism has been successful enough that the criticism is apparently now "yeah but it doesn't lower rents 25%"

63

66

2K

2

4

60

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

@JoePostingg it's actually true, cars and healthcare are the top two i think

1

0

57

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 months

it's probably not great that i'm a phd sociologist who has worked on misinfo and @Sander_vdLinden 's debate with nate silver convinced me to be much more skeptical of misinfo research

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

4 months

The consensus of the US government and the scientific community is now that COVID origins are highly uncertain. Lab origin was incorrectly dismissed as misinformation and often as a conspiracy. Misinformation researchers would have more credibility if they acknowledged the error.

210

185

2K

10

7

57

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Life update: I quit my job. I’m thankful I got to work alongside so many great people. I’m also really excited about having some time to finish up collaborations and think carefully about next steps.

5

1

55

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

one reason i am not bullish on GOP reforming from the inside is that they don't seem to understand why they lost the midterms

David Weigel

@daveweigel

1 year

Ted Cruz on one of the reasons Democrats did better than expected: "They went hard left, they energized their base, they governed as left-wing lunatics, and their base showed up in big numbers."

158

67

453

3

7

57

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

in general academics can "steal" fast feedback loops by working with those in faster/competitive environments. thanks for coming to my ted talk

2

1

53

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

my year in review: i built bayesian models which helped get joe biden elected while trying to avoid a literal pandemic

1

51

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

folks if you are predicting things in networks, and then analyzing those predictions, please read our paper here for some pitfalls to avoid

2

12

50

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Are you getting a PhD? Want to spend a summer working on hard problems with smart people? You should apply to intern on the Computational Social Science team at @facebook .

2

23

49

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

folks it has happened after nine years of programming i have finally used recursion

6

1

48

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

Well, it finally happened. I burnt out at work. Got next week off to rest, which is nice. I want to reflect a big on burnout in a fast paced DS environment.

2

49

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 months

one of my strong political beliefs is that if you advocate for X and X happens and you don't reward the party that delivered X with praise and votes, that party will pay less attention to you in the future and you will get less of X

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 months

look at those gains for low income people!

0

1

10

0

8

47

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

paper conditional accept 🥲🥲🥲

0

45

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

feels like it was a good choice to spend my last year trying to get dems elected

1

0

45

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

it took me a long time (> 10 years) to realize it, but rhetoric like this is positively correlated with the status quo, and is often against increasing human welfare. i think the two places we see it most are housing and climate.

1

0

46

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

I'm just a humble sociologist, but it seems to me that most news outlets are not adequately conveying the the scale of the coronavirus mismanagement in the US. Very open to pushback on this. But this is my current perception.

3

1

44

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

7 years

@evansiegfried What does the party's rhetoric/platform offer millennials and minorities, though? Surely the policy has to be appealing to recruit.

1

38

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 years

Representing #dota2 heroes in two dimensions - @opendota for match data - @PyTorch for neural network embedding - ggplot2 + ggrepel for viz

4

8

45

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Today, I got a paper rejected. That's OK! I learned a lot of stuff writing it and the reviewers had sensible comments. Looking forward to revising & improving it.

1

2

43

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

I should just wake up every day and tweet "Pandas indexes are a terrible design choice"

4

0

44

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Hey social science folks, cool open job at Reddit as a DS focused on communities and moderation. Job is looking for people with experience. Happy to answer q’s if you’ve got em.

3

19

42

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

6 years

Im *so* happy our paper “The Opacity Problem in Social Contagion” is out in Social Networks! Big point: contagion processes hand us data with error. I’d recommend you read it if you study social contagion (for real).

2

10

40

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Having a beer and thinking about random effects models AMA

7

1

41

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I have thoughts about this (a thread). @cristobalyoung5 is largely correct. The hype around ML is out of line with its usefulness for sociology. On the other hand, ML has two advantages that haven't been fully incorporated into sociology yet. 1/

2

16

42

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I learned so much at #ICWSM2019 ! Here are 10 papers I thought were interesting (in no particular order).

1

13

40

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

My last year working with people with extremely deep domain knowledge (but without PhDs) has convinced me that there's really a lot to be learned from listening to practitioners This is not a sentiment I have encountered frequently in academic social science circles

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538

3 years

TBH it's kind of astonishing you think that I (an econ grad, btw) wouldn't know that. And part of an annoying pattern of academics underestimating the knowledge of non-academics. Matt brought it up recently in the context of COVID and I thought it was appropriate to refer to him.

37

30

1K

2

3

36

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

@NateSilver538 If you start with something it’s not supposed to answer, it will keep not answering. But if you re-ask in a different way you can get actual answers.

3

0

38

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

A very weird thing about contemporary American life is 1) the unflinching exhortation to work 2) the genuine desire of most people to work 3) the large incentives to classify work as “non-work” or “not real work”

UChicago GSU - UE⚡

@uchicagogsu

5 years

While this new policy increases the amount of guaranteed funding for certain cohorts in these divisions, it also caps total enrollment in individual programs and redefines graduate lectureships and TAships as “mentored teaching experiences.”

1

6

31

0

9

39

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

(i'm generalizing here for sure, there is a ton of good work in academia! but i also eyeroll a lot these days.)

1

0

38

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Today is my last day working in Dem politics (for the moment, at least!). It's been a great 18 months, I've learned tons of stuff—both technical stuff (high level of rigor!) and about US politics.

2

0

38

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Walking around NYC I’m just struck by how wildly inefficient cars are. - Huge amount of space needed to transport small numbers of people, both in terms of roads and parking - Discourage pedestrians and cyclists from using the same space - Dangerous - High carbon emissions

5

1

38

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

Pretty insane that people expect me to understand this code I wrote

3

37

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

every time i procrastinate the thing i'm avoiding takes like 7 minutes

3

10

37

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I also think Hernán and Robins is useful

1

3

36

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I’m an industry researcher with a sociological background. It’s wildly helpful. The weird thing is a lot of companies don’t know they need sociologists (but they do).

0

10

36

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

it's just shocking how much easier i find it to read through code implementing statistical methods compared to the traditional math notation of the methods am i the only one like this?

5

0

36

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

made my first shiny app today

1

0

34

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Programming in the tidyverse just got a lot more readable

mikefc

@coolbutuseless

5 years

Exciting #rlang changes are coming in v0.4 Using {{}} for quasiquotation/interpolation looks like a quantum leap in readability (and teachability). #rstats

11

95

421

5

3

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

I gave this a straight RT before but it bears additional praise. @red_abebe has seriously engaged with the sociology literature on inequality, and it informs her work on AI/ML, which is amazing. I can't speak highly enough about her process.

2

5

33

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

Check out my new Python package, Pandas2, which is identical to Pandas in every way except it calls .reset_index() after every operation.

Jonathan Tannen🥉

@jtannen215

4 years

@george_berry .reset_index() after every 😎 single 😎 call 😎

1

0

6

2

3

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 months

a cumulative science shouldn't demand people do close readings of 150 year old texts, nobody in stats is like *reading* gauss

Branko Milanovic

@BrankoMilan

3 years

It is the only social science uninterested in its founders, so it can perpetually reinvent the same thing claiming it is something new.

16

151

959

1

3

32

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Siri, show me the transit equivalent of throwing a GPU farm at a classification problem for a 2% boost over logistic regression.

edburmila.bsky.social

@edburmila

5 years

I know Twitter is limited to NYC/DC concerns but I can't emphasize enough that this is a *real map* of what El*n M*sk is proposing for Chicago and it literally runs parallel to a train that costs $2.25 and leaves every 7 minutes. I am not kidding, this is it. 1/3

335

4K

12K

0

7

33

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

1) If you’re (for instance) a sociologist, nobody knows what that is. They don’t know the set of skills you have. It’s very important to have a clear story about what you do.

1

0

33

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

4) Learn SQL

1

33

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

2 years

today I get to use the world's most powerful data science tool, the `lm` command in R

1

0

32

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

folks we are hiring data scientists. if you're interested in progressive politics and hard DS problems, check out the job posting feel free to DM with questions

Blue Rose Research

Blue Rose Research is a project with OpenLabs to develop a wide range of cutting-edge products used by the most important progressive organizations in the country. Our research undergirds short-term...

boards.greenhouse.io

0

6

33

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

Confession time: for years I had to look up Type I and Type II errors to remember which was which. Please give your concepts descriptive names. 🙏🙏🙏

Matthew Kay

@mjskay

4 years

If a Type I error is a false positive, a Type II error is a false negative, and a Type III error is getting the right answer to the wrong question, is a Type IV error GIVING IMPORTANT CONCEPTS NUMBERS INSTEAD OF NAMES FOR NO GODDAMN REASON AND CONFUSING GENERATIONS OF STUDENTS

25

364

2K

5

2

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I hate to be that “weekends increase your productivity” guy but I just drank coffee, grilled, and played video games for 4 hours and now I have a good work idea

0

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

2 years

this week, i get to do regressions in r 😎

3

0

28

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

4 years

is it bad that I just googled "Python to COBOL transpiler"

1

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

1

2

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

We should do workflow demos. Example: if you write a paper with a methods section, you should walk people through how you did the work, from data collection to plotting. Emphasis on the tools you use and how they fit together.

1

7

32

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I am logging off for good as it’s all downhill from here

2

0

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Just got my first vaccine dose. Grateful for both science and state capacity.

0

1

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

i guess i'm now the "your confidence intervals are too tiny" guy yikes

2

1

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Have I been tricked into becoming a a Bayesian? Send help.

6

1

28

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 month

in a vacuum it's impossible to tell if you should care about the line or the noise around the line. in some domains this kind of finding would be amazing, in some it would be terrible. it depends!

prerat

@prerationalist

1 month

the statistics heuristic i want to teach everyone is to LOOK AT THE SCATTERPLOT i want people to be going around saying "SHOW ME THE SCATTERPLOT" and then they show you some ridiculous noise with a line drawn thru it. you can literally just ignore the line

58

300

5K

0

3

31

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

Sometimes you keep coming back to a paper and finding it useful for different projects. "Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data" by @kinggary and Langche Zeng is one of those papers. Link:

2

4

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

I am slowly compiling a set of practical illustrations for different experiment types, and it feels like a superpower. One of them helped stakeholders on a big project understand what was happening.

3

0

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

i have 10 days off and this makes me so happy. vacation and rest are good.

0

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

5 years

@Noahpinion @IDoTheThinking 7) Oppose locating services for homeless people in town because it would “increase crime”

0

29

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

1 year

There is the persistent accusation that social media companies are politically biased in their content moderation decisions. My time at Facebook working on Election Integrity convinced me that there is a *pro-conservative* bias in moderation. 1/

1

9

30

george berry, kate martin fan

@george_berry

3 years

Have a short story about your research and the problems that motivate you. In my experience, a lot of folks are pleasantly surprised that there is a discipline which has been thinking about social networks since the mid 20th century.

1

0

30