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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Today we announce the resolution of a major controversy: Who was behind the 2013 chemical attack near Damascus? Many in the West blamed the Syrian government, while Syria and its allies claimed a “false flag” opposition attack, intended to bring about US intervention.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

48 hours have passed since the publication of new evidence that clearly implicates the Syrian opposition in the 2013 chemical attack. So far we've received many accusations and defamatory comments, but not one person was able to find a flaw in the report.

Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Today we announce the resolution of a major controversy: Who was behind the 2013 chemical attack near Damascus? Many in the West blamed the Syrian government, while Syria and its allies claimed a “false flag” opposition attack, intended to bring about US intervention.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Rootclaim’s 2017 analysis went against this Western consensus, calculating an 87% likelihood that the Syrian opposition carried out the attack. Following the discoveries discussed below this has now been updated to 96%, one of our most certain conclusions.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Probably our most surprising finding to date: COVID-19 has likely originated in a lab. A probabilistic analysis shows the proximity to a major coronavirus lab and anomalies in the genetic code are too unlikely for SARS-CoV-2 to have developed naturally.

What is the source of COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2)? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Following nearly a year of research, an independent open-source investigation reached a conclusion that corroborates Rootclaim's findings, by uncovering incontrovertible evidence implicating an opposition faction. Full report at

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Many confidently claim the Syrian army has used chemical weapons. We're putting $100,000 behind our analysis that found they didn't. So far no one applied. Somehow it is much harder to make over-confident claims when there is a real risk to being wrong.

$100,000 Syria Debate Challenge

Win a debate with a Rootclaim team member about the sarin attacks in Syria and take home $100,000.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

If you’re new to this debate, you probably had to read the last part a few times. Yes, there is a video actually documenting the opposition carrying out the chemical attack.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

3. The current crisis regarding the public’s trust in authorities and experts is not just about ‘fake news’. Experts are repeatedly failing to serve public interests, due to failures of human reasoning and heavy politicization.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

This alone disproves the prevailing hypothesis for gov't involvement (proposed by @Bellingcat ), which suggests a launch area (yellow) within the green area of government control. This is impossible, as a rocket shot from the north could not have penetrated the western wall.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

What would normally be considered the highest level of evidence was dismissed out-of-hand and wasn’t even mentioned in mainstream media, while unfounded overconfident accusations by the US government and false evidence reported by the UN made headlines.

Assad chemical attack is 'a fact' - US

The US Secretary of State John Kerry says "it is a fact" President Bashar al-Assad was responsible for the chemical weapons attack on Damascus in August.

www.bbc.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

4 years

Hospitals have a limited number of staff, rooms, and equipment. Slowing the spread of #coronavirus and #flatteningthecurve reduces stress on the health care system, which can save lives.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Promoting Rootclaim is quite a difficult task, when practically every person finds at least one of our findings deeply offensive. But we’re in it for the long run, and will continue to work to consistently provide highly accurate, unbiased analysis of major world events.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

The investigation began by examining the many videos of rocket impact sites that were uploaded following the attack. Each video was examined for clues pointing to its exact location and the trajectory of the incoming rocket.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

In 2013, a video surfaced, reportedly found on the bodies of “Syrian terrorists”. It shows Islamist fighters in gas masks launching rockets, identifying as Liwa al-Islam (the dominant opposition faction in Ghouta), and announcing the date as August 21.

#Syria: Alleged Liwa al-Islam rebels firing missiles 1 of 3

Enhanced version of youtube video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B25h0GIUXSgCreated at request of Sasa Wawa for http://whoghouta.blogspot.com

www.youtube.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Interestingly, the UN misreported this angle by 30(!) degrees and then misreported yet another trajectory, both of which conveniently intersected at a Syrian army base (today known to be out of rocket range). Even the @NYTimes was convinced.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Our analysis indicates that COVID-19 resulted from a lab leak in Wuhan, and we’re staking $100,000 against anyone who thinks otherwise. This is more than an academic debate, or about pointing fingers: it can inform decisions to prevent future pandemics.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

For example, in this video, the chemical rocket penetrated a wall on a roof and continued to the floor below. Several landmarks in the background can be matched to satellite photos, identifying the exact location (33.519130°, 36.354841°).

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

This next video was also reexamined. Its location was identified in 2013 (33.520415°, 36.356117°), and the rocket’s trajectory is clearly evident, since it lodged in the ground without bending, pointing to its source.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Key takeaways: 1. Having superior inference methods is far more important than gathering more evidence. 2. Sometimes a “smoking gun” is already available (this evidence was all online in 2013). This is especially true for videos and photos, where you can often dig further.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Many thanks to the researchers who uncovered these new findings: @MichaKobs , @CL4Syr , @ckabusk , and many others.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

In two shots from the video the camera is almost directly behind the rocket, and it is seen to align with a tree and buildings in the background. Connecting these features in satellite imagery provides the trajectory’s azimuth.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

In summary: A video shows opposition fighters with gas masks launching the rockets used in the chemical attack on the night of the attack. This video strongly matches a small field that lies right at the intersection of 7 trajectories from the impact sites, within rocket range.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

5 months ago we offered a $100,000 challenge to anyone claiming that vitamin D is ineffective vs. COVID-19, if they win a debate against us judged by unbiased professionals. Number of applications so far: 0.

$100,000 Challenge: Treating Covid-19 with Vitamin D

Studies show that high doses of vitamin D reduce the severity of Covid-19 in hospitalized patients.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Rootclaim will continue to contribute its part in furthering these goals, by continuing to improve our methodology and by disseminating our analyses to a wider audience. Join us at

Rootclaim. Calculating reality.

Rootclaim helps people understand complex issues by combining the power of crowdsourced information with the mathematical validity of statistics.

www.rootclaim.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

4. Our society needs to quickly improve its inference methods and especially how our intelligence agencies, courts, international bodies, NGOs, and media operate. The current state of affairs is dramatically increasing the probability of a global catastrophe.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

The investigation repeated the process above for seven impact sites, producing this map of all trajectories (triangles represent uncertainty of a trajectory). The trajectories all converge on a small area in opposition territory within the ~2 km range from the impact sites.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Stitching together a few shots from the video shows that the rocket first hit the far wall and then the floor below. Connecting these two impacts provides an estimated trajectory for the rocket, with a launch location to the northwest.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

4 months

And the winner of Rootclaim’s COVID-19 origins debate and the $100,000 prize is… Unfortunately, not us :). We would like to explain this result, but first, we would like to congratulate our opponent and Rootclaim’s first challenger, Peter Miller ( @tgof137 ). Miller showcased an

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@Rootclaim

4 years

We are offering a $100,000 bet that vitamin D cures Covid-19. Based on a recent study, we concluded that vitamin D treatment should be immediately implemented. We hope this challenge will expose that the reluctance to do so is irrational, and costs lives.

$100,000 Challenge: Treating Covid-19 with Vitamin D

Studies show that high doses of vitamin D reduce the severity of Covid-19 in hospitalized patients.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Continuing to support the government attack hypothesis in light of this new evidence would require constructing a very unusual scenario. Nevertheless, given the political interests surrounding this issue, we will likely witness such attempts soon.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Right in the middle of the identified area is this small field, with enough space from which to launch rockets, whose importance will soon become evident.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

2 years

Have mRNA vaccines killed more people than they have saved? That's what American entrepreneur Steve Kirsch claims in his Covid-19 challenge list. Today we are announcing that Rootclaim is taking on this challenge for $500,000. Detailed explanation below👇

Rootclaim accepts $500,000 challenge on COVID vaccine safety & efficacy - Rootclaim Blog

Have mRNA vaccines killed more people than they have saved?

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Other such key shots in the video provided further features, which were all modeled in 3D, creating a unified view of the area, which perfectly matches our field:

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

This breakthrough demonstrates the superiority of Rootclaim’s method, which was able to reach this conclusion years ago, without using the new findings, and with much less information and resources than the Western intelligence agencies who confidently claimed the opposite.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

The videos perfectly match that same field where all the rocket trajectories intersect. For example, fire from the rocket illuminates the area, exposing details such as trees in the background, a field with low vegetation, and a paved platform where the cameraman stands.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Rootclaim's method prevents this bias by requiring a thorough investigation of all evidence. We found that this video has features that are uncharacteristic of a fabrication. It was a major factor in our initial conclusion, and we now have an even deeper understanding.

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

In another shot we see a ditch or edge, while other shots show a few scattered trees and brush.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

8 years ago today chemical rockets landed in the residential neighborhood of Zamalka, in Ghouta, Syria. Since then, the identity of the party launching those rockets has been a hotly contested topic. Today, we finally know the answer. >>>

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@Rootclaim

5 months

COVID origins debate insights - Part 2: Does Huanan Seafood Market really point to zoonosis? While it's linked to many early cases, our debate shows significant disagreement on its role as evidence, questioning how much this coincidence truly favors the zoonosis theory.

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@Rootclaim

2 years

A great video by @MichaKobs summarizing the main findings of the June 2021 investigation that exposed that opposition forces were behind the 2013 chemical attacks in Syria.

Ghouta Sarin Attack - The Open Sources

Open Source Investigation into the Ghouta Sarin Attack on August 21, 2013Full report: https://docdro.id/hDXmIklRootclaim 2017: https://www.facebook.com/root...

www.youtube.com

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@Rootclaim

4 years

Five of the best books on critical thinking - selected by Nigel Warburton @philosophybites #rational #philosophy

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@Rootclaim

5 months

We are excited to announce we recently hosted the first COVID origin debate with a $100,000 prize, to determine whether the virus originated from a lab or nature. The winner will be announced in a few weeks. Until then we will share some of our insights.

Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️

@ESYudkowsky

6 months

Civil debate between people who understand likelihoods, on the Animal Origin vs. Lab Leak theories of Covid-19. Two impartial judges. $200,000 staked by both sides. 6 of 18 video hours initially posted.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Pfizer’s new COVID-19 drug exemplifies the public health failures of the pandemic. The market only incentivises pharma companies to trial new, expensive drugs. Expected cost? $700 a pop.

Pfizer Inc.

@pfizer

3 years

We’re proud to announce that our #COVID19 oral #antiviral candidate demonstrated significantly reduced risk of hospitalization or death in high-risk adults in new data. If approved, it could help to lessen the impact of COVID-19 on patients & society:

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Does anyone have a response or rebuttal? @bellingcat @EliotHiggins @Brian_Whit @ChrisDYork @Josiensor @ScottLucas_EA @_RichardHall @KreaseChan @DanKaszeta @tobiaschneider @gregkoblentz @MsJulieLenarz

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Lab leak hypothesis gaining ground. - US Intel claims 3 Wuhan lab staff hospitalized in Nov 2019. - Fauci says he's not convinced the virus has natural origins. Rootclaim found lab leak to be the most likely hypothesis in Dec 2020.

Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Probably our most surprising finding to date: COVID-19 has likely originated in a lab. A probabilistic analysis shows the proximity to a major coronavirus lab and anomalies in the genetic code are too unlikely for SARS-CoV-2 to have developed naturally.

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@Rootclaim

1 year

Update: We just signed with @stkirsch the contract setting the parameters of the $500,000 challenge on mRNA vaccines. There is still the challenge of selecting unbiased, professional judges, but it seems likely the debate will happen, setting a new standard for determining truth

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@Rootclaim

3 months

New blog post - Rootclaim's response to Scott Alexander's review of our COVID origins debate

COVID origins debate: Response to Scott Alexander - Rootclaim Blog

The following is a response to Scott Alexander’s post about Rootclaim’s debate on the origins of Covid-19. Prelude We were initially excited to have Scott cover the story, hoping that someone with an...

blog.rootclaim.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Great review by @ChrisMasterjohn of the current evidence on vitamin D and COVID-19 (spoiler: it's very effective).

Vitamin D and COVID-19 - Chris Masterjohn (AHS21)

The decline in vitamin D status with indoor lifestyles is an example of the discordance hypothesis, wherein disease emerges because of the discordance betwee...

www.youtube.com

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@Rootclaim

4 months

Today’s insight from our Covid Origins debate is about the Furin Cleavage Site (FCS) - an amino acid sequence that facilitates Covid’s entry into cells. It is generally agreed the existence of an FCS supports the lab leak hypothesis, but to what extent?

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@Rootclaim

2 years

It is 87% likely that IDF aimed fire was responsible for Shireen Abu Akleh’s death. A 🧵:

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@Rootclaim

4 years

In a new study, vitamin D reduced COVID-19 severity 50-fold, but the study has limitations that call for a deeper dive. Our analysis found the true effect to be lower but still very high, and its adoption could bring the pandemic to its practical end.

Vitamin D Can Likely End the COVID-19 Pandemic - Rootclaim Blog

We estimate the probability that vitamin D reduces the severity of Covid-19, and analyze the risks of adopting the treatment now vs. waiting for further studies.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

@im_PULSE The article you attach doesn't contain any valuable evidence, just claims and interpretations. We now have clear-cut video evidence placing the opposition in the launch spot of the Aug 21st attack. It's time to update your beliefs. There is no shame in that.

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@Rootclaim

4 years

Another study joins the dozens connecting low vitamin D with severe COVID-19 outcomes. Of 69 patients who died, not one (!) had healthy vitamin D levels (>30 ng/ml). In line with the Cordoba randomized clinical trial that reduced severe outcomes 30-fold.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Does anyone have a response or rebuttal? @dancohen3000 @RotemShtarkman @CL4Syr @snarwani @benimmo @HRIMark @GregoryPWaters @MichaKobs @Mare_Indicum @EvaKBartlett @MoonofA

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@Rootclaim

10 months

Today is the tenth anniversary of the Ghouta chemical attack. Rootclaim's 2017 analysis originally found an 87% likelihood of opposition forces' responsibility – a stark contrast to the dominant Western narrative.

Who carried out the chemical attack in Ghouta on August 21, 2013? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

FYI @Elizrael @Tim_Hayward_ @aronlund @VanessaBeeley @Partisangirl @ClarkeMicah @nntaleb @MaxAbrahms @Jonathan_K_Cook @USUN @Chinamission2un @Dpol_un @PhilipWatson_ @ClimateAudit @GarethPorter @aaronjmate @MaxBlumenthal @caitoz @timand2037 @PiersRobinson1 @KyleKulinski @joerogan

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@Rootclaim

7 months

We have just invited @KimDotcom to a $100,000 challenge on whether MH370 videos are authentic.

Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

7 months

@KimDotcom We will make you a better offer. We analyzed MH370, and already have a $100,000 challenge for refuting our conclusions. We offer you a debate in front of agreed judges on the authenticity of these videos. The loser pays the winner $100,000.

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@Rootclaim

8 years

Announcing the launch of , a collaborative analysis platform that outperforms human reasoning

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@Rootclaim

3 years

The lab-leak hypothesis continues its entry into the mainstream. @billmaher "It would almost be a conspiracy theory to think it didn't start in the lab" On 27-Dec-20 Rootclaim calculated an 81% probability COVID originated in a lab.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

@Brian_Whit @aaronjmate We analyzed Ghouta 2013, and Khan Sheikhoun 2017, and found the opposition to be likely responsible for both. We also offered a $100,000 challenge to debate them and received zero applications.

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@Rootclaim

4 months

Our last debate insight will be about simplifying the entire Covid origins debate. It is easy to get lost in all the evidence and calculations, which is exactly why issues like this remain unresolved despite years of research and discussions by very intelligent people.🧵

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@Rootclaim

3 years

A new randomized control trial showed that vitamin D dramatically improved COVID-19 inflammation markers. Additionally, a retrospective study showed that vitamin D was correlated with a drop in mortality rate from 20% to 5%. Read more in our blog post:

Vitamin D Can Likely End the COVID-19 Pandemic - Rootclaim Blog

We estimate the probability that vitamin D reduces the severity of Covid-19, and analyze the risks of adopting the treatment now vs. waiting for further studies.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

6 years

A rough guide to spotting bad science from @compoundchem

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Congratulations @veritasium , on winning this $10,000 bet. Public wagers are a good tool for promoting rational discourse. We offer $100K challenges on topics such as the Syrian chemical attacks and the origin of COVID-19.

A Physics Prof Bet Me $10,000 I'm Wrong

A UCLA Physics Professor bet me $10,000 that my video about going downwind faster than the wind was wrong. This video is sponsored by Brilliant. The first 20...

www.youtube.com

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@Rootclaim

4 months

4. That 12 nucleotide sequence does not appear anywhere else in SARS2 or related viruses and contains the rare CGGCGG genetic sequence, meaning that it didn't happen in the standard way insertions happen in nature, but instead, the sequence came from some foreign source.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

Watch Rootclaim founder @saarwilf interview about the new evidence clearly implicating the Syrian opposition in the 2013 chemical attack.

Aaron Maté

@aaronjmate

3 years

New @PushbackShow : A new open-source study concludes that Syrian insurgents carried out the Ghouta sarin chemical attack in August 2013 -- not the Syrian government, as the US and other Western sources publicly alleged.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

@ChrisMasterjohn provides the most comprehensive review of the studies on vitamin D and COVID-19. Despite the absence of a large high-quality trial, there is more than enough evidence on efficacy and risk to immediately adopt vitamin D for prevention and treatment of COVID-19.

Chris Masterjohn

@ChrisMasterjohn

3 years

Vitamin D and COVID-19: The Current State of the Evidence Here is my comprehensive review of the literature to date, covering 98 observational studies, 6 randomized controlled trials, with 173 references. This is a topic we can't afford to ignore!

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@Rootclaim

4 years

Two weeks have passed since a randomized clinical trial has found a near cure to #COVID19 , and still no action by governments. Decision makers lack the tools for analyzing rationally and probabilistically. We will continue working to close this gap.

Vitamin D Can Likely End the COVID-19 Pandemic - Rootclaim Blog

We estimate the probability that vitamin D reduces the severity of Covid-19, and analyze the risks of adopting the treatment now vs. waiting for further studies.

blog.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

1 year

Mahsa Amini’s death, which led to widespread protests in Iran and abroad, was most likely (87%) due to natural causes, and not violence by the Guidance Patrol, commonly known as the “morality police” - Why? A summary of our analysis is below.

How did Mahsa Amini die? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

3 years

FYI @mck_beth @patrickwintour @James__Harkin @NYTBen @malachybrowne @ckoettl @NatalieReneau @singhvianjali @babimarcolini @YousurAlhlou @SominiSengupta @rafaelshimunov @sarcasmstardust @jimmy_dore @RealScottRitter @PeterSweden7

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@Rootclaim

2 years

Mahsa Amini’s death, which sparked widespread protests throughout Iran and the world, was most likely (87%) due to natural causes. Our analysis explains why.

How did Mahsa Amini die? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

4 years

A new clinical trial has concluded that vitamin D is not effective against Covid-19. See why their conclusion is incorrect, and why @rootclaim continues to offer a $100,000 bet that vitamin D is highly effective.

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@Rootclaim

3 months

@ESYudkowsky Except no one was able to show anything remotely similar ever done by natural evolution. In the last session, Peter brought up a new claim about HKU1 having a similar insertion, which we didn't have an opportunity to properly respond to (probably why this looked strong to you).

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@Rootclaim

4 years

There is now a consensus among researchers that every patient should be quickly brought to at least 30-40 ng/ml, but hospitals are still lagging behind. Rootclaim's analysis of vitamin D and COVID-19:

Vitamin D Can Likely End the COVID-19 Pandemic - Rootclaim Blog

We estimate the probability that vitamin D reduces the severity of Covid-19, and analyze the risks of adopting the treatment now vs. waiting for further studies.

blog.rootclaim.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

7 months

@KimDotcom We have recently concluded our first $100,000 judged challenge on the origins of Covid, with details to be announced soon. So we already have a proven process that can be quickly executed. Looking forward to getting this done.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

We at Rootclaim analyzed the evidence years ago, and our model reached a 87% probability that this was an opposition attack, contrary to the confident claims made by western intelligence.

Who carried out the chemical attack in Ghouta on August 21, 2013? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

To expose that all the experts arguing for government responsibility are not as confident as they claim to be, we even offered a $100,000 challenge to win a debate judged by independent unbiased experts. And, indeed, none of them applied.

White Paper

People exhibit certain mental patterns that lead them to draw inaccurate conclusions regarding probabilities. On almost every complex issue, intelligent people who have been exposed to the same...

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

4 months

The attached alignment of SARS2 to BANAL-52 may help get a feel for how out of place this mutation looks. Gray letters are synonymous SNVs, and blue are non-synonymous.

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@Rootclaim

3 years

US Intelligence recently released an updated assessment on the origins of COVID-19. It is the same, regular collection of human reasoning failures.

Office of the DNI

@ODNIgov

3 years

ODNI today issued a declassified assessment on the origins of COVID-19 based on the report provided to the President and policymakers at the conclusion of the IC’s 90-day review. On August 27, ODNI released the declassified key takeaways of this assessment.

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7 months

@KimDotcom We will make you a better offer. We analyzed MH370, and already have a $100,000 challenge for refuting our conclusions. We offer you a debate in front of agreed judges on the authenticity of these videos. The loser pays the winner $100,000.

White Paper

People exhibit certain mental patterns that lead them to draw inaccurate conclusions regarding probabilities. On almost every complex issue, intelligent people who have been exposed to the same...

www.rootclaim.com

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@Rootclaim

4 months

In conclusion, though a complete probabilistic analysis would provide a more accurate result, by canceling out evidence in this manner, we can see in broad strokes how one can reach high certainty that a lab leak is the most likely hypothesis.

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@Rootclaim

4 months

In our next and last insight from the debate, we will try to simplify our whole analysis into a few intuitive bullet points demonstrating lab leak is the most likely origin of COVID-19.

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@Rootclaim

1 year

ההסתברות שרומן זדורוב, שהורשע ברצח תאיר ראדה ב-2006 ושבית המשפט העליון דן כעת בהרשעתו במשפט חוזר, הוא אכן הרוצח, נמוכה ביותר (1.3%). לאחר ניתוח הראיות, רוטקליים מצאה כי ההיפותזה לפיה אולה קרבצ'נקו היא הרוצחת של תאיר, היא הסבירה ביותר (98.4%).

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3 years

A video of opposition fighters launching the same chemical rockets was shown to have been shot right at the intersection of all rocket trajectories calculated from images of the impact sites. Read more in this thread:

Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Today we announce the resolution of a major controversy: Who was behind the 2013 chemical attack near Damascus? Many in the West blamed the Syrian government, while Syria and its allies claimed a “false flag” opposition attack, intended to bring about US intervention.

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3 years

Learn how public monetary challenges can elevate the level of public discourse. If people know there would be negative consequences for spreading false information, they would research more honestly and evaluate their confidence more objectively.

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@Rootclaim

4 months

That single insert also happens to be a) a long insert, b) from a foreign source, and c) inserting the key feature of SARS2 in the exact location it’s needed - an action described in the DEFUSE proposal to which WIV was a party.

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1 year

ניתוח הסתברותי של הראיות בתיק תאיר ראדה מעלה ממצאים מפתיעים: הסבירות שרומן זדורוב אשם הוא כמעט אפסי (1.3%). בעוד שההיפותזה שאולה קרבצ׳נקו רצחה את תאיר מגיעה ל-98.4%. לקריאת הניתוח המלא:

Who Killed Tair Rada? | Rootclaim

Rootclaim is an open website that uses real-world data and proven mathematical models to analyze complex cases at an accuracy that surpasses human reasoning.

www.rootclaim.com

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4 months

p(genetic features|FCS,ZO)=0.1 is a reasonable estimate. Dividing the two conditional probabilities gives us a strong ratio (or Bayes factor) of 200x favoring a lab leak.

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4 months

An alternative way to evaluate these coincidences is by focusing on the SARS2 genome alone: There are over 1,000 mutations in SARS2 compared to its relatives BANAL-52 and RaTG13, and only one of them is an insert.

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5 months

All the attempts to connect lineage A to the market or claim that lineage B spilled earlier are based on mistakes. In addition to the lineages, several other pieces of evidence indicate humans and not animals brought the virus to HSM.

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5 months

This is a new finding we discovered during the debate. The area of HSM with more positive samples, which some tried to associate with the wildlife stores, also happens to be the least ventilated area, with no connection to the outside.

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3 years

Some things are more important than winning an argument online. Thank you.

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2 years

@chrislhayes Note that the evidence points to an extreme Islamist faction gassing innocent civilians, not themselves. Also - the issue was recently resolved, and should no longer be considered in dispute.

Rootclaim

@Rootclaim

3 years

Today we announce the resolution of a major controversy: Who was behind the 2013 chemical attack near Damascus? Many in the West blamed the Syrian government, while Syria and its allies claimed a “false flag” opposition attack, intended to bring about US intervention.

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3 years

We know this is a very emotional political issue to many people. Still, we urge everyone to examine the new evidence with an open mind, even if it means painfully admitting a mistake.

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4 months

1. a pandemic-causing virus is expected to have some unique infectious feature. Still, several such possibilities exist, and having an FCS is notable since the Wuhan Institute of Virology expressed interest in adding FCSs to viruses.

Leaked Grant Proposal Details High-Risk Coronavirus Research

The proposal, rejected by the U.S. military’s research agency DARPA, describes the insertion of human-specific cleavage sites into bat coronaviruses.

theintercept.com

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3 years

Big news coming! We recently became aware of (and even contributed to) an online effort by several talented researchers to investigate who was behind the 2013 chemical attack near Damascus, Syria. 1/3

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3 years

Ivermectin💊: good or bad? Answering the question isn’t the point, and the black and white approach of both sides is killing people. A probabilistic approach to treating COVID-19 is the only way forward. Read our blog to find out why.🔬

Ivermectin: both sides are wrong - Rootclaim Blog

Do you think ivermectin cures COVID-19? Think carefully: in the age of culture wars, your answer defines your politics. If you think ivermectin is useful, you are an anti-vaxxer, Trump-supporting...

blog.rootclaim.com

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5 months

But this is forgetting that density has an exponential effect, meaning high-density areas will have more than a proportional number of infections, especially in the early stages. And indeed the only lineage A case with a known location is to the south of HSM, in the densest area.

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3 years

A few months ago a group of independent citizen investigators uncovered incontrovertible evidence confirming Rootclaim's conclusion. This brought our model to over 96% - one of our most confident conclusions ever.

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2 years

Important finding from our analysis of #ShireenAbuAkleh ’s death: the forensic calculation used by major media outlets to determine the shooter’s distance is incorrect. This was used by @bellingcat @CNN @wapo to implicate an @idf shooter, and by @elderofziyon to exclude the IDF.

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