NEW: We calculated 3 decades of the U.S. Senate popular vote & how many people each party represented, updated for 2022.
The results are striking: Republicans last won more support than Dems in the 1990s yet won the Senate half the time from 2000 onward
Important: Milwaukee, Wisconsin's City Council has unanimously voted to mail every one of the city's 300,000 registered voters an absentee mail ballot application with prepaid return postage. The GOP blocked efforts to do so statewide for April's elections
This would be easier if someone named Newt Gingrich hadn't led an entire party into becoming a vehicle for destroying the administrative capacity of the federal government when he was one of the three most powerful people in elected office
🚨NEWT GINGRICH🚨: I Am in Italy Amid the Coronavirus Crisis. America Must Act Now - “We should be planning for a worst-case pandemic and using the kind of intensity of implementation which served us so well in World War II.”
No exaggeration to say that Dems winning the Jan. 5 Georgia Senate runoffs is the single most important unknown shaping the next decade of U.S. politics. GOP will dominate 2020s redistricting, run SCOTUS, & block all Biden judges. A Dem Senate could curb all of those outcomes
You can't make it up: Every Wisconsin Supreme Court justice voted absentee, including the 4 conservatives whose ruling required in-person voting to proceed & blocked postponing the WI Supreme Court election to instead allow for expanded absentee voting
North Dakota has no voter registration, so proof of identity makes sense.
But Republicans made it so that one's address had to be a residential address instead of a P.O. box knowing full well that Native Americans on reservations rely exclusively on the latter in large numbers
SCOTUS just upheld voter ID law in North Dakota that could disenfranchise thousands of Native voters & cost Heidi Heitkamp her Senate seat. "The risk of disenfranchisement is large" RBG writes in dissent
NEW: We calculated 3 decades of the Senate "popular vote" & how many people each party represented. The results are astonishing: The GOP hasn't won more votes or represented more people than Dems since the 1990s but has run the Senate > half the time since
This is huge! Nancy Pelosi announces that House Dems' stimulus bill will include billions in grant funding for the states & requirements that they have 15 days of early voting, no-excuse absentee mail voting, & mailing all voters a ballot in emergencies
Just as I expected, Kentucky Republicans are now plotting to strip Democratic Gov.-elect Andy Beshear of certain executive powers after he defeated GOP Gov. Matt Bevin this month. Republicans simply refuse to respect Dems' legitimacy to govern
Big: Michigan is poised to vote on a ballot initiative in 2018 to end GOP gerrymandering by creating an independent redistricting commission. Michigan is one of the most viciously GOP-gerrymandered states
Today a grassroots group in Michigan is turning in over 425,000 signed petitions, over 100,000 more than needed, to put a state constitutional amendment on the 2018 ballot to create an independent district drawing commission.
"America is fundamentally conservative," which is why Republicans need the Electoral College, Senate malapportionment, House gerrymandering, Jim Crow-era felony disenfranchisement laws, & the Supreme Court enabling voter suppression & plutocratic campaign financing to win
Beto is and has always been fanfic. The sooner we all realize this the better.
America is fundamentally conservative — something enshrined by the United States Constitution — and Texas especially so.
Florida Republicans had tried to ban early voting locations from college campuses to burden transportation-limited college students. Thanks to a court ruling, that won't be happening this fall
"Stung by midterm losses, Republicans in some states are pushing to use their gerrymandered majorities to undemocratically usurp the powers of duly elected governors before Democrats move in." Fixed it for you,
@nytimes
The president of the United States just tweeted out a doctored video of his most senior political opponent, the Democratic speaker of the House, that deviously portrays her as drunk when she wasn't in reality. Be prepared, because 2020 is going to be a whole lot worse than 2016
The U.S. Postal Service warns it might have to shutter by June as the $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus package provides no funding. This would have cataclysmic effects for our ability to hold elections by mail amid the coronavirus pandemic
Financially rescuing the postal service is just as important for voters as Congress passing legislation mandating & funding that states expand mail voting. Some states will switch to greater mail voting without Congress telling them do so, but not if the postal service collapses
Anthony Kennedy should be remembered as a one of American democracy's great villains. Pivotal vote in Bush v. Gore, Citizens United, gutting the Voting Rights Act, refusing to do anything about gerrymandering, & then retiring to let Donald Trump replace him with Brett Kavanaugh
So between his scandals & resignation that elevated Kathy Hochul to governor, & his conservative NY court appointees striking down Dems' congressional map, ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo may have cost Dems up to 6 House seats yesterday.
Hands down MVP for worst Democrat of the last decade
NEW: Democrats just passed a law adding Minnesota to the National Popular Vote Compact, giving it 205 of the 270 Electoral College votes needed to activate.
This map shows how enough states could join the compact for it to activate in 2028. Details here:
Imagine the nonstop media freakout if this happened to West Virginia under Obama’s watch. Puerto Rico is Trump’s Katrina, & it barely grabs our attention any more
BREAKING: Michigan voters pass a sweeping voting rights amendment that includes automatic & same-day registration, no-excuse absentee voting, routine election audits, & more. MI will go from one of the worst states for voting to one of the best
Rejected absentee ballots in Georgia's gubernatorial race were disproportionately located in counties that Democrat Stacey Abrams won, particularly in the metro Atlanta area
Trump didn’t gut the Voting Rights Act
Trump didn’t blockade Merrick Garland
Trump didn’t invade Iraq on a lie
Trump didn’t threaten a financial crisis by taking the debt ceiling hostage to slash Social Security
Trump is but a symptom of a far greater disease within the GOP
Fixed it for you: The U.S. Postal Service is the most popular government agency by a wide margin because it's a public service, despite the GOP having passed a 2006 law to create a fiscal crisis by forcing it to prepay 75 years of retiree health benefits like no one else must
Republican Attorney General candidate Doug Wardlow says he'd fire all Democratic attorneys working in the office and replace them with Republicans if he wins.
We’re going to have a crisis if Democrats win the presidency & Mitch McConnell blocks everyone they try to appoint & all their major policy proposals because Democrats failed to take the Senate
.
@staceyabrams
told
@SenSchumer
today she will NOT run for the Senate, per a Dem familiar w the conversation.
Not a surprise at this point, but she joins Bullock, Hickenlooper and Beto in (for now!) declining Senate runs
(h/t
@jeffzeleny
, who had Abrams first )
Around a decade ago, conservatives controlled each of the state supreme courts in Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, & Wisconsin even though those states all voted for Obama.
Once the progressive who won today's Wisconsin race is seated, conservatives will control none of them
BREAKING: Massachusetts just passed automatic voter registration! GOP Gov. Charlie Baker signed a law that had passed the Dem-run legislature nearly unanimously. Here are all the states where automatic registration is law or could pass it via initiative:
BREAKING: With
@MassGovernor
's signature, Massachusetts has officially become THE 14TH STATE TO ADOPT AUTOMATIC VOTER REGISTRATION! Many thanks to the activists, lawmakers, and coalition members who brought
#AVRinMA
over the finish line. Here's to better elections in MA!
#mapoli
NEW: Backers of an Ohio ballot initiative to end GOP gerrymandering have won approval to start gathering voter signatures for November 2024.
We recently detailed how it would create an independent commission to draw fairer maps starting in 2025, if passed
Mississippi is the only state that lacks both early voting & no-excuse mail voting. This below used to be prevented by the Voting Rights Act until John Roberts gutted it’s preclearance protections in 2013. If we don’t reform the Supreme Court, stuff like this will keep happening
BREAKING: Election officials in Madison County quietly rezoned 2,000 Black & Hispanic voters out of a majority white precinct into an already-majority Black one.
Now, 3,670 mostly non-white voters must share 25 parking spaces and five voting machines.
This is wild: Democrats are currently leading in every House district touching the Pacific Ocean.
Uncalled races are
#AKAL
,
#CA26
,
#CA47
,
#CA49
, &
#WA03
. Those first four seem very likely to stay blue, while
#WA03
still has many ballots left.
Doubt this has ever happened before
Amazing: Not only does it appear the backlash to the North Dakota GOP's discriminatory voter ID law helped boost Native American turnout to historic highs (even higher than 2008 or 2012 in some places!), the law's chief sponsor lost to a Native American Democrat!
* Dems held all of our seats in the state legislature (not easy) *and* flipped 3 seats (potentially 4 depending if there's a recount). One of those wins is Ruth Anna Buffalo, a Native American woman who unseated the prime sponsor of the 2013 voter ID law.
2/x
NEW: Michigan Democrats just passed a bill out of state House committee to join the National Popular Vote Compact:
The map & spreadsheet below show how enough states could join to activate the compact by 2028:
This has huge implications for November's elections: Milwaukee, Wisconsin city govt just passed a law to mail applications for absentee mail ballots with prepaid return postage to all 300,000 registered voters. Milwaukee is the biggest Dem stronghold in WI
Whoa: TLC calculates Beto O'Rourke won a 76-74 majority of Texas state House districts, giving Dems a clear path to flipping the 9 seats they need for a majority. This is the most crucial chamber up in 2020 for congressional redistricting (h/t
@trowaman
)
@RepThomasMassie
Thomas Massie in 1920: Women voting would be the end of our republic as we know it.
Thomas Massie in 1865: Black people voting would be the end of our republic as we know it.
Every Democrat complaining about Nancy Pelosi is targeting the wrong chamber's party leader. Between this & being totally unprepared for the GOP's unprecedented norm-breaking & constitutional hardball, Chuck Schumer should not be Democratic Senate minority leader
100,000 Kentuckians get to keep their healthcare
140,000 Kentuckians regained their voting rights
This is the result of Democrats winning last month's
#KYgov
election, & Gov. Andy Beshear hasn't even been in office a full week
Republican Brian Kemp oversaw his own election, did everything he could to suppress & misinform voters, & he left Georgia's election system vulnerable to security threats. He's just 0.2% above the majority needed to avoid a runoff, & voter suppression very well may have swung it
Last night was an utter catastrophe for stopping GOP gerrymandering next year. GOP is poised to draw 4-5 times as many congressional districts as Dems, likely closer to the latter number. That's similar to the GOP's 5:1 advantage after 2010. AZ, MI, PA legislatures still uncalled
Via
@NCSLorg
, the only legislative chambers to flip so far: GOP gained NH Senate/House & AK House. Dems may yet make gains in AZ (both) & possibly MI / PA Houses. GOP held supermajorities in KS & majorities in FL both, IA House, MN Senate, NC both, TX House. Dems hold CO, ME, NV
This is nuts: The Wisconsin GOP is now trying to pass a law to overturn a ruling from a judge *they appointed* so they won't have to hold special elections they could lose. Attacking the rule of law isn't just in vogue for Pennsylvania Republicans
.
@SenFitzgerald
: GOP leaders are working on legislation to respond to Judge Reynolds’ ruling on special elections. Says the ruling will lead to “chaos” in the two open districts.
#wipolitics
Brett Kavanaugh would not have been confirmed if America didn't disenfranchise 4 million citizens. Supporting the offer of statehood to D.C. & Puerto Rico must be a non-negotiable litmus test in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. Everything else depends on saving democracy
A law banning people from turning in someone else's mail ballot for them may seem like a minor inconvenience, but it isn't on Native reservations. Most residents live in remote areas & lack adequate postal service or a car, making many reliant on trusted community members to vote
In light of the Brnovich decision, re-sharing my deep-dive feature from last winter on the geographic/access barriers that Native American voters, esp those living on reservations, overcame in order to cast a ballot in 2020 in Arizona, Alaska, and beyond
Republicans & the media called Dem Sen. Bill Nelson (who lost by 10,000 votes in 2018) a liar for correctly claiming the Russians had hacked voting systems in Florida, & GOP Sen. Marco Rubio knew the truth yet said nothing. Now, it appears Trump’s FBI is blocking full disclosure
"driven more by Palin's unpopularity than national trends."
It's a good thing for Republicans that they're only running high quality candidates elsewhere such as Dr. Oz, Blake Masters, Herschel Walker, J.D. Vance, Doug Mastriano, Kari Lake, Darren Bailey, and Paul LePage
Final margin: Peltola (D) defeats Palin (R) 51.5%-48.5% in the final round of ranked-choice. This is a huge victory and pickup for Dems, driven more by Palin's unpopularity than national trends.
#AKAL
Good news in Arizona: A judge has rejected the GOP's request to immediately stop counties from contacting voters to give them a chance to fix problems with their mail ballot signatures. Final ruling is expected on Friday. Roughly 4/5(!) of AZ votes by mail
Wow: Wisconsin Republicans may be considering using their gerrymandered legislative majorities to pass a bill in a lame duck session to attempt to remove Dem Gov.-elect Tony Evers' power to veto their future 2020s gerrymanders before he even takes office
Trump is sabotaging the postal service to stop voting by mail in the middle of a raging pandemic, & it’s having alarming consequences already. This is a national crisis
Neighborhoods across the Philadelphia region are experiencing significant delays in receiving their mail, with some residents going upwards of three weeks without packages and letters, leaving them without medication, paychecks, and bills.
Straight-up authoritarianism. The silence of those on the right who have long claimed to support "states' rights," "local control," & warn about "federal overreach" when a Democrat is in charge speaks volumes now when Trump is actually doing this
DHS Acting Secretary on the pushback to their crackdown in Portland, Oregon: "I don't need invitations by the state, state mayors or state governors to do our job. We're going to do that whether they like us there or not."
Props to Joe Manchin, Kyrsten Sinema, & even Mitt Romney for all doing the right thing today. Their courage makes Susan Collins' cowardice all the more disgraceful
D.C. has roughly 100,000 more residents than Vermont or Wyoming yet no representation in the House & Senate. Practically no other democracy disenfranchises its national capital, & it's long past time for
#DCstatehood
Virginia state House Democrats just passed automatic voter registration! Dems have also advanced same-day registration, an Election Day holiday, no-excuse absentee voting, repeal of the GOP's photo voter ID law, & more election reforms
My main takeaway from the Warren-Sanders spat is that Republicans are using the Supreme Court to entrench minority rule in America in place of democracy & that electing Democrats to the Senate in November is of the utmost importance for any Democratic presidential candidate
BREAKING: Democrats have flipped both chambers of Virginia's legislature & gained full control of state govt for the first time since 1993. This potentially paves the way for a huge expansion of voting rights in a state that's terrible on voting access
Huge news for election in Alaska: The AP has called Measure 2 as passing by 1%.
AK will replace traditional party primaries with a system where all candidates regardless of party run on a single primary ballot & the top-four finishers advance to a ranked-choice general election
North Carolina Republicans literally ordered data on the types of IDs that black voters were disproportionately less likely to have & made it so only those types of IDs satisfied their voter ID law requirement
#NCpol
BREAKING: North Carolina's GOP-gerrymandered state legislative districts have been struck down in state court for violating NC's constitution. NC's 6-1 Dem Supreme Court may uphold it & require fairer districts for 2020 that could see Dems win back power
AP calls VA SD-13 for Dem John Bell. Dems needed to net one seat to take Senate, and they got it. Now need to see if it'll be an outright majority or if Dems will need to depend on LG Justin Fairfax's tie breaking vote
Breaking: Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers (D) has signed new, fairer legislative districts to replace the GOP's gerrymanders.
The Senate has an 18-15 Biden majority; the Assembly is 50-49 Trump.
Interactive versions:
Senate:
Assembly:
BREAKING: I've promised from the beginning that I will always try to do the right thing. Today, I'm keeping that promise and I'm signing fair maps for Wisconsin.
Wisconsin, for the first time in over a decade, we will not have some of the most gerrymandered maps in America.
In retrospect, it’s America’s deeply undemocratic political institutions that make this true. Without Senate malapportionment, House gerrymandering, & the Electoral College all favoring the GOP, our federal government would have likely passed new gun-safety laws after Newtown
NEW: Dems just passed a constitutional amendment that, if passed again in 2025 & approved by voters in 2026, would add Nevada to the National Popular Vote Compact for 2028.
This map shows how enough states could join the compact for it to activate in 2028
NEW: After gaining full power in 2022, Minnesota Democrats have advanced a bill to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact.
As this cartogram shows, there's a tough but real path for enough states to join the compact so it takes effect by 2028
WA Gov. Jay Inslee never had a real shot at the Democratic nomination, but major props to him for running hard on a campaign to make the climate crisis part of the national conversation. We need more clear-eyed officeholders who realize the urgency of addressing this problem
Roughly 140,000 Kentuckians, 4% of the state's population, just regained the right to vote. Before today, KY had been one of just 2 states to impose a lifetime voting ban for any felony conviction. Now, those who've completed sentences for non-violent crimes regain their rights
Unreal. Half of North Carolina Senate Dems largely voted for the GOP's new modestly-less-gerrymandered map, likely in part because some Dems got favorable seats to protect neighboring GOP incumbents. This happened in MO, OH, & PA after 2010, now it's happening again
#NCpol
#NCGA
Just today I've seen news of Republicans in Montana & New Hampshire trying to repeal same-day voter registration, & Arizona GOP trying to purge countless voters from their "permanent" mail voting list.
Dems in Congress must pass laws to stop voter suppression or this will spread
NEW: Maine just passed a law to join the National Popular Vote Compact, giving it 209 of 270 electoral votes needed to activate.
(Maine will still award EVs by House district until then).
This map shows which states could join for it to activate by 2028
A Supreme Court justice, credibly accused of sexual assault & perjury, nominated by a president who lost the popular vote, will be confirmed by a majority party representing fewer people & having won fewer votes than the minority party, letting the court gut the Voting Rights Act
Oregon voters passed a 2022 constitutional amendment to prevent state legislators with 10+ unexcused absences from running again in the next election.
Most GOP senators are affected—they've repeatedly used walkouts since 2019 to block the Democratic majority from passing bills
Happening in Wisconsin’s state capital, which is overwhelmingly Dem. 11,000 voters dropped off their mail ballots there with city officials on Saturday, who ensured that each had a witness signature as required by law. GOP is threatening to invalidate them
BREAKING:
Five voters in Madison file a lawsuit after GOP attorney said city-organized events to collect absentee ballots were illegal
They are asking a Dane County judge to rule that the "Democracy in the Park" events were legal, despite GOP claims
Whoa, this is a major win for Native American voting rights in North Dakota. The GOP passed a voter ID law that blatantly excluded most tribal-issued IDs, but the backlash against it helped activists raise money to provide free IDs in 2018 & Native turnout hit historic highs
New: The North Dakota secretary of state settled two lawsuits brought by Native American tribes over the state’s strict voter ID law. The state agreed to accept tribal IDs and allow people who don’t have a residential address to vote
Been seeing quite a lot of discussion about Biden VP picks today, but my biggest concern is this: Do not pick someone who will likely forfeit a Senate seat to the GOP when Dems have the narrowest of paths to a Senate majority to begin with. A GOP Senate=no SCOTUS confirmations
Missouri GOP senators have passed a measure that uses gerrymandering to make it harder for liberals—but not conservatives—to amend MO's constitution.
How? It requires 57% statewide to pass or a simple majority both statewide & in 5 of 8 congressional districts—which the GOP drew
Ahead of a possible fight over abortion rights, the GOP-controlled Missouri Senate approved legislation that would make it harder for voters across the state to pass ballot measures.
#moleg
Every time
@DanCrenshawTX
tweets some anti-democracy nonsense, he should be called out for being an authoritarian thug who owes his congressional career to gerrymandering
Tomorrow I will start my 100 mile run across District 2. Follow my Facebook page
@crenshawforcongress
to see Facebook lives and to stay up to date with where I’ll be!
If you haven’t already returned your mail ballot, don’t mail it back in. Return it at a dropbox, polling place, or your local elections office. Otherwise, please vote in-person (preferably early if allowed), & take your unused mail ballot with you to surrender to election workers
US Postal Service on-time delivery times for First-Class Mail have dropped again — now nearly as bad as the worst period this summer. If you are voting absentee and haven’t returned your ballot, experts say drop it off in person. Do not rely on
#USPS
delivery at this point.
Joe Biden's huge lead in South Carolina is a good remind that this primary would likely be going very differently if the first two states hadn't been two of the whitest in the country & their results informed an avalanche of media coverage about which candidates had "momentum"
Top Kansas Republican caught on video vowing to gerrymander Dem Rep. Sharice Davids out of her seat in 2022 if the GOP maintains veto-proof legislative majorities this November. Dems only need to flip 1 state House seat & a few Senate seats to uphold Dem Gov. Laura Kelly's vetoes
🚨 Gerrymandering Alert 🚨
Kansas Senate President Susan Wagle (R) told donors that Republicans must maintain their
#ksleg
supermajority so they can create gerrymandered state & federal districts to undermine the will of voters & ensure complete Republican control of the state.
The median American lives in a:
Clinton+2.1% country
Trump+0.8% state
Clinton+5.9% county
Trump+2.2% House seat
Remember these divergent stats when some talk about the geographic distribution of the parties. All these lines are inherently political, & nothing is natural about it
If Virginia Democrats hold onto their state House majority on Tuesday, one critical reform they should pass is a constitutional amendment to move state elections from odd to even years. Turnout could *double* & become much more demographically representative of the citizenry
By voting against restoring the Voting Rights Act, Rep.
@JustinAmash
Amash just demonstrated the key problem with Never Trumpers: They admirably reject Trump but don't recognize & fight back against the Republican attacks on democracy that brought us Trumpism in the first place
Breaking: House Democrats have passed a bill to restore the preclearance protections of the Voting Rights Act after the Supreme Court's conservatives gutted it in a 2013 ruling that led to a new wave of GOP voting restrictions across the South & AZ
HARRISBURG, Pa. (
@AP
) _ In a lawsuit filed Tuesday night in a statewide appellate court, Republican US Rep. Mike Kelly of Pennsylvania and five other plaintiffs want to block counties from allowing voters whose mail-in ballots were disqualified to vote by provisional ballot.
Throwing out 100,000 ballots after the fact that were cast curbside to avoid COVID would be outright election theft. Texas GOP has successfully blocked letting Dem-leaning voters under 65 vote by mail without an excuse & blocked the in-person voting mask mandate as alternatives
Texas Republicans have asked a federal judge to throw out 100,000 ballots in Harris County cast through curbside voting. They drew Judge Andrew Hanen, one of the most notoriously partisan Republican judges in the entire federal judiciary. This is alarming.
THIS IS HUGE! Democrats hold a majority on Pennsylvania's Supreme Court & could strike down one of the worst GOP congressional gerrymanders in time for 2018!
A major blow to voting rights. The Supreme Court's GOP majority just allowed the Florida GOP's poll tax to remain in effect, disenfranchising nearly 800,000 disproportionately Black citizens. The case proceeds on the merits, but this guarantees they can't vote in August's primary
New: Supreme court denies request to lift 11th circuit order blocking lower court ruling ordering Florida to allow people with felonies to vote if they can't afford to. The ruling is a preliminary loss for voting rights groups
Excellent voting rights news: Now that Dems regained unified govt, state Sen. Ron Rice will introduce a bill to end felony disenfranchisement *entirely*, even for the incarcerated
SOUTH Dakota literally exists because Republicans split the Dakota territory into two so that they could have two more senators. It was part of a broader GOP effort to gerrymander the Senate by admitting 6 thinly populated northwestern states in 1889-1890
Nevada Dems this year have enacted:
Universal mail voting (with guarantees for in-person voting)
Expanded automatic voter registration beyond the DMV
A modernized & more efficient voter registration system
Ending the presidential caucus in favor of a primary
And more
Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R) narrowly won in 2018 after overseeing his own election, doing everything he could to suppress voters, & abusing his power to baselessly accuse Dems of hacking days before Election Day.
The breakdown of free & fair elections → a public health disaster
This is another big win against Republican gerrymandering in one of the absolute worst states for it. Republicans have won kept control of a legislative chamber despite losing the popular vote in 6 of the last 9 elections
BREAKING: Michigan plaintiffs win - Michigan maps struck down under federal law as partisan gerrymanders...(am still reading it! read along here.. )
#FairMaps
@rickhasen
Republicans won gerrymandered legislative majorities despite Democrats winning more votes in 2018 in Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, & Wisconsin, denying Democrats full control of state government. The same thing happened in 2012 legislative elections in several states