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Thomas des Garets Geddes Profile
Thomas des Garets Geddes

@thomasdggeddes

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Newsletter: | Associate Fellow @RUSI_org | Formerly @merics_eu | @SOAS & @UniofOxford Alum | RTs, likes, shared articles ≠ endorsements

London
Joined February 2020
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
▫️ Distinguished 🇨🇳 economist Cao Yuanzheng: "A number of economies such as 🇦🇷, 🇹🇷, 🇱🇧, 🇳🇵, 🇲🇲, 🇵🇰 and 🇵🇪 are now at risk of defaulting on their debts, and many of them have #China as their largest creditor. This has become the biggest external threat to the Chinese economy"
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
In a widely relayed piece within 🇨🇳, Yang Jiemian (杨洁勉), a senior Chinese think-tanker and brother of China’s former top diplomat Yang Jiechi (杨洁篪), provides his views on 🇺🇸 Exceptionalism and why the #USA views #China as a threat. A SUMMARY 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
MUST READ for anyone interested in #Macron 's trip to #China and how #France is currently being assessed by Chinese analysts. 🔹The author: Mu Yangzi (慕阳子) is an associate researcher at CICIR – a key 🇨🇳 think tank linked to China’s Ministry of State Security. #MacronEnChine
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
One of the Global South's leading voices, 🇧🇷 Lula, is in #China . Prof. Cheng Yawen argues that "🇨🇳 and develop. countries need to break the current core-periphery world order" and build a new international system free from Western interference. THREAD
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Important read by Peking Univ. scholar Lu Feng (路风) on the 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 #CHIP War. ▫️ "Since the #UnitedStates has used its ‘nuclear weapon’ [i.e. tech] against China, #China should strike back and use its own ‘nuclear weapon’ [i.e. its market]." A SUMMARY:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
One of #China 's top Russia experts discusses why Beijing should have distanced itself from Moscow over #Ukraine . " #Russia does not have the capacity to shelter China from the wind and rain", he writes. His views in 10 key points. [THREAD]
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
The effect of the #UkraineRussiaWar on the EU's quest for #StrategicAutonomy according to CICIR analyst Zhang Jian. 🔹CICIR is one of #China 's most influential think tanks with links to the 🇨🇳 Ministry of State Security. EXCERPTS 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
How should #China respond to the growing political divide between China and the West? ▫️ Yang Ping (杨平) advocates building a new international system led by China and countries in the Global South rather than the West. 🧵🧵🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🪧 Ever wonder what #China 's intellectual elites are reading? Here are the top 4 books under the theme "global race for #chips " recommended by CICIR – one of China's most influential think tanks: (Hint... Their top choice is from an 🇺🇸 author and is a best seller in the West)
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
This is how Scholz's visit to 🇨🇳 + COSCO deal is being interpreted in China: "[COSCO's acquisition] underlines that German Chancellor Scholz is still relatively steady and pragmatic vis-à-vis developing relations with China." – Wu Huiping, Centre for 🇩🇪 Studies at Tongji Univ.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
10 months
Tsinghua Prof. Yan Xuetong: "De-globalisation driven by econ security is still confined to the high tech field and has not completely severed the economic and social ties between the superpowers, thus de-globalisation policies will not lead to the emergence of a new Cold War."
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
How to protect #China from #Russia -like sanctions? This question continues to be debated by Chinese analysts. ▫️ Ye Yan's solution: Beijing should build an international alliance of businesses to circumvent and neutralise Western #sanctions A THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
Recommend this report by Fudan researchers Jian Junbo and Chen Tenghan entitled: “Europe's Economic ‘Decoupling’ from China: Current Situation and Prospects”. The following thread provides a selection of quotes. 1/10
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
4 months
Must-read piece by one of 🇨🇳's top IR scholars, Shi Yinhong (时殷弘), on #China 's new approach to the #BRI and Beijing's "strategic priorities". With a commentary by @MoritzRudolf . What did Shi say? [THREAD]
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Quite the chart by @pewresearch . ▫️ 83% of US adults now have negative views of China Additionally: ▫️ 44% have VERY unfavourable views (+4 points yoy) ▫️ Approx. 4/10 Americans describe China as an ENEMY of the US, rather than as a competitor or a partner (+13 points yoy)
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
In today's edition of Sinification, PKU economist Yao Yang discusses the 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 #Chip War and China's Economy. A summary: 1⃣ If the US were to extend its chip ban too far, 🇨🇳 should retaliate and use the banning of rare earth exports as a potential weapon
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Former 🇨🇳 ambassador to the US, Cui Tiankai (崔天凯): "The US is engaging in the American 'two whatevers': whatever #China does must be opposed; and whatever China advocates the US must disapprove of."
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
4 months
Part two of Yan Xuetong's outlook on the world in 2024 is now online. These are his main points. [THREAD]
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
4 months
"In 2024, the world will head towards more conflicts and confrontation, underpinned by the current [trend toward] deglobalisation" Yan Xuetong, 🇨🇳's most famous IR scholar, provides his assessment of the major structural changes currently underway in the world. What did he say?
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
10 months
#DeRisking ” is very much the buzzword at the moment within China’s EU and US watching circles. How have Chinese scholars been assessing this new slogan and its implications for #China ? Their views in 5 key quotes. THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
#Democracy is another field in which Beijing is competing with the West. #China ’s aim may not be to convince others to adopt its political system, but it appears intent on demonstrating that 🇨🇳 democracy is superior to what the West has to offer. THREAD🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🔹Most read article on Chinese aggregator of scholarly articles Aisixiang (爱思想) over the past 30 days: “Ten critical shifts in international politics in 2023 and their prospects” by CUHK scholar Zheng Yongnian (郑永年). 🧵 EXCERPTS
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
In today's edition of Sinification, SIIS analyst Liu Zongyi discusses 🇨🇳-🇮🇳 relations and #India 's growing antagonism towards #China . A summary: 1⃣ 🇨🇳-🇮🇳 ties will be defined by confrontation and competition in the short, medium and possibly long term.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
7 months
Top 🇨🇳 Russia expert, Zhao Huasheng (赵华胜), discusses why #China has preserved its strong ties with #Russia and not condemned Moscow in spite of the #UkraineWar . THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
9 months
Blinken, Yellen, Kerry and Kissinger have all travelled to #China in recent weeks. How have their visits been assessed by some of 🇨🇳's top international relations experts? Where do they see US-China relations heading? Their views in 4 key quotes: THREAD🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🇨🇳-🇷🇺 relations have almost always been marked by a certain amount of mutual distrust. Feng and Wen's critique of Putinism is a useful reminder that both sympathisers and sceptics of 🇷🇺 most likely coexist within the confines of Zhongnanhai. A SUMMARY 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
In today's edition of Sinification: a selection of five reactions by Chinese experts to the recent #spyballoon incident(s) and its impact on 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 relations. A SUMMARY
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
"The Chinese people have always appreciated the strategic autonomy and independent diplomatic spirit demonstrated by France in the changing international landscape ... Today, we can also see this in President Macron." - Global Times editorial.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
10 months
🇨🇳 official statements about #Prigozhin 's recent mutiny say little about Beijing's true assessment of the situation in #Russia . More interesting have been the reactions by Chinese experts to these events. THREAD🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
7 months
"A growing number of people are taking a more rational view of #Xinjiang -related issues, and the number of people agreeing with #China 's approach to governance in Xinjiang is gradually increasing." Wang Yao (王垚) is a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. 1/3
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
Long read by Li Chaomin (李超民) assessing the content and impact of the US Chip Act. Li is the deputy director of the Institute of Public Policy and Governance at Shanghai University of Finance and Economics. Below are some of his policy recommendations for #China 🇨🇳: 1/10
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
4 months
"In 2024, the world will head towards more conflicts and confrontation, underpinned by the current [trend toward] deglobalisation" Yan Xuetong, 🇨🇳's most famous IR scholar, provides his assessment of the major structural changes currently underway in the world. What did he say?
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Fudan Univ. researcher, Song Luzheng: "Why is [the 🇫🇷 satirical magazine] #CharlieHebdo always stirring up religious and racial tensions?" "Looking ahead, the clash between Western Christian civilisation and Islamic civilisation will be the central theme of global geopolitics"
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
3⃣ Deeply rooted ideas such as “American Exceptionalism,” “Manifest Destiny,” and “Anglo-Saxon Superiority” have misled Americans into a profoundly self-centred view of history that fails to account for the historical and cultural complexity of other global actors.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
Lan Jianxue (蓝建学) on the souring of #China - #India relations. 🪧 Lan is the director of the department for Asia-Pacific Studies at the Beijing-based China Institute of International Studies (CIIS) – one of 🇨🇳's most influential think tanks. THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
🔟 Meanwhile, culturally rich ideas from China such as “unity in diversity [和而不同]” and “harmonious coexistence [和合共生]” could lead to the reconciliation of seemingly opposed concepts, if only the U.S. were open to considering them.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
6⃣ Washington’s belief in the inevitability of great power conflict and zero-sum games has led to the “paranoid” construction of "imaginary enemies” like China.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
This is what PKU Prof. Lu Feng (路风) was saying in January about foreign companies such as #ASML complying with US #chip export controls. EXCERPTS 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
1⃣ Although the West will not admit it, China’s “whole-process people's democracy” is not only true democracy at play, but is also a more functional type of democracy than that practised in Western countries.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
4⃣ America consistently fails to look beyond its own narrowly defined interests as it continues to rely on the “Law of the Jungle” and militarism in its foreign policy.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
50% of all Americans support a US government ban on #TikTok vs only 29% of 18-29yr olds. Guess why. Nice poll by ⁦⁦ @pewresearch
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
2⃣ Russia’s invasion of Ukraine contravenes some of the United Nation’s most fundamental principles and the idea that #NATO ’s potential expansion into Ukraine could justify this so-called “special military operation” is simply wrong.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
#China ’s population is ageing, declining and may just have been surpassed by #India ’s. 🇨🇳 is getting old before getting rich. What should Beijing do? Immigration? No way. Top 🇨🇳 economist, Cai Fang, makes the following policy recommendations. THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
2⃣ The U.S. is determined to maintain its global hegemony and sees suppressing China as key to preserving its current international position. However, this very pursuit is set to accelerate America’s decline.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
5⃣ Since the U.S. refuses to share any aspect of international political, economic, or military leadership, it is unwilling to accommodate or even tolerate China’s rise.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
9⃣ Americans are accustomed to thinking in binaries, e.g. good vs. evil, #democracy vs. #autocracy , individualism vs. collectivism. They are therefore unwilling to recognise the potential merit of political cultures different from their own.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
7⃣ Yang: "There are three major schools of thought within American international relations theory: realism, liberalism and constructivism, each of which essentially serves U.S. hegemony and leadership."
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Another piece on #Macron and #VonderLeyen 's trip to #China and its implications for EU-China relations by seven 🇨🇳 scholars from Fudan, Tongji and Nankai Univ.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
▫️ 10-point summary of Yang's views: 1⃣ #America ’s increasingly entrenched view of China as its “main security threat” relies on a number of problematic cultural, ideological, and theoretical ideas.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
The first edition of Sinification is now out. Its main goal will be to provide a weekly round-up of key insights from Chinese think-tank and academic circles on a range of timely international topics. To subscribe for free:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
8⃣ A dysfunctional political environment in #Washington has created conditions where it is politically beneficial to demonise China and reject more benign approaches towards #Beijing that could lead to “win-win” outcomes.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
"Scholz is also sending a certain message to those within Germany, that is: although the Greens are currently running the country’s foreign ministry, Germany’s most important foreign policy-making power still lies in the hands of the chancellor." – Wu Huiping
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
Analysis of #China 's relationship with #Russia since the #UkraineWar tends to focus on official statements and diplomatic behaviour. But what do 🇨🇳 experts have to say about this? 🪧Their views in 7 key quotes. THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
▫️Feng's views in a nutshell: 1⃣ People in China have not paid sufficient attention to whether Russia’s war in Ukraine is a just or unjust one. The moral nature of this war is bound to affect its outcome.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
#Sinification is a newsletter focusing on the world as viewed from China. 📣 To receive weekly insights from Chinese think tanks and academic circles, don't forget to subscribe:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
One year after #Russia 's invasion of #Ukraine , Chinese experts assess the war's impact on 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 and 🇪🇺-🇺🇸relations and predict what may lie ahead. Hint: Uncertainty prevails... KEY TAKEAWAYS 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
New op-ed by one of 🇨🇳's key voices 'communicating with the West', ex-PLA colonel Zhou Bo in the FT yesterday: "Will the war in #Ukraine spill over into a third world war? The short answer is: not unless #China lends military support to #Russia ." 1/7
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
7⃣ China should remember that the Soviet Union’s collapse did not lead to the negative consequences that some had predicted. On the contrary, US-China relations ended up improving and Beijing was relieved of a major security concern across its northern border.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
5 months
In today's edition, I look at Chinese tributes to Henry Kissinger and explain what they might tell us about #China (and its relationship with America). Thank you very much to @niubi for featuring this piece in the one and only Sinocism.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🔹For more on this and other topics as viewed by Chinese scholars and think-tank analysts, subscribe for free:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🔹Cao Yuanzheng (曹远征) is a former chief economist at the Bank of China, professor at Renmin University of China and a member of the prestigious Chinese Economists 50 Forum. Source:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
3⃣ Moscow’s actions should be seen as part of a much broader strategy to rebuild its former empire and spheres of influence. They should also be viewed as an attempt to hedge against the potential shocks that the fourth industrial revolution and green transition are set to have…
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
" #DeRisking is [just like] using a scalpel to carefully peel off the key parts that connect the #USA & #China , and whitewash this with the excuse of safeguarding 'national security'." – Wang Wan (汪婉), director, Institute of International & Strategic Studies, Peking University.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
4⃣ Russia has become a second-rate country, which is in no position to protect China from the turbulences of international politics. Moreover, #China is in no need of such a "big brother" or "little brother".
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
3⃣ “Most of the increased military spending by European countries is still likely to go to the #US rather than European countries’ [own] military industries ... This is clearly not a good sign for [🇪🇺] strategic autonomy."
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
3 months
As the likelihood of a #Trump - #Biden rematch strengthens, Chinese scholars have begun to weigh up the pros and cons for China of having either of the two men back in power. Fudan University Prof. Wang Hao (王浩) provides his assessment. [THREAD]
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
🪧 The Author:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
5⃣ #Russia is in any case a fickle and interest-driven partner, which will be more than happy to shift its allegiances at the next given opportunity.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🪧 Zhang sees #France and #Germany as having a more pragmatic stance towards Russia but unable to impose their views due to “political correctness” (政治正确).
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🇺🇸 Tech and supply chain strategy: “The US's incremental adjustments allow resources to continue to be channelled into 🇨🇳 through ‘third countries’, ‘detours’ or even ‘transfers’, thereby allowing 🇨🇳 to make adjustments and repairs to its supply chains.” – Ma Xue, CICIR analyst.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
9⃣ Beijing must prevent the West and other parts of the world from transferring their dissatisfaction with Russia onto China. China’s approach to this war could have an impact on its future development and influence in the world.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
“Scholz's upcoming visit to 🇨🇳 is a sign of 🇩🇪's strong desire to encourage the further development of 🇨🇳-🇩🇪 cooperation at an important point in time – right after the 20th Party Congress and just as Chinese-style modernisation is embarking on a new journey.” – Tian Dewen, CASS
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
8 months
#China 's top diplomat Wang Yi has been in 🇷🇺 this week meeting with the likes of #Putin and #Lavrov . Both sides noted their "closeness" in views when it comes to 🇺🇸. This is a must-read by a senior 🇨🇳 scholar on anti-Americanism in #Russia . THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
🔟 China should ensure that it "stands on the right side of history". 📣 To receive free weekly analyses by China's intellectual elite, focusing on the PRC's international relations, subscribe here:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
6⃣ Moscow has an interest in exacerbating #USA - #China tensions so as to alleviate some of the pressures that it currently faces.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
"This is particularly positive at a time when the US is interfering in Europe's cooperation with China and at a time when the EU is calling for more stringent screening of foreign investments." – Tian Dewen, researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS)
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Also recommend this interview with the controversial 🇨🇳 ambassador to France #LuShaye and former journalist turned Fudan researcher Zheng Ruolin discussing #WolfWarrior diplomacy in 2021. Source:
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Fudan Univ. researcher and former journalist Zheng Ruolin's (郑若麟) take on 🇨🇳 ambassador to France #LuShaye 's recent interview. Source: (google translate)
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
5⃣ Western elections have become a “talent show”, where people vote for the best performer rather than for those who are best suited to govern.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
4⃣ Chinese democracy belongs to the majority, not to a minority as in the West. Unlike in the #UnitedStates , China is not “owned by the 1%, governed by the 1% and for the benefit of the 1%”. ->
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
5 months
"Much like the recent 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 summit, the 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 summit will not resolve the most serious disagreements ... But it can lay the political groundwork for resolving and easing these differences" – Jian Junbo, dep. director of Fudan's Centre for 🇨🇳-🇪🇺 Relations
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
📍 Feng's article was first published on 11 March 2022. He recently reposted it on social media to mark the second anniversary of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🪧 What is EU #StrategicAutonomy ? According to Zhang at least, it means the #EU “breaking away from US control and gaining the power to make strategic decisions on its own.”
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
1⃣ “The crisis in #Ukraine has rendered the already unpromising prospects of the EU's strategic autonomy even bleaker.”
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 months
8⃣ To see the #RussiaUkraineWar as a strategic opportunity for China would be wrong. Such opportunities derive from clearly articulated strategies and do not simply fall into one’s lap like pennies from heaven.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
2⃣ “In the field of defence, the EU's aspiration [意愿] for strategic autonomy has clearly declined. Central and Eastern European countries, especially #Poland and the Baltic states, have become more dependent on the United States and #NATO ."
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
7⃣ Chinese leaders are “tested through practice, not through votes”. Democracy in China thus ensures that “political amateurs with no experience or qualifications” cannot become its leaders.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Chen Shuguang (陈曙光) on how China's "community with a shared future for mankind" can lead the way in building a new world order. → Chen is the deputy director of the School of Marxism, Central Party School of the Communist Party of China (National School of Administration).
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
2⃣ 🇨🇳 democracy outclasses West. democratic electoral systems because of the complex processes it has developed which have allowed it “to move closer towards the people being the masters of their own house.” Procedural rather than substantive democracy best defines West. democ.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
11 months
3⃣ Chinese democracy recognises the existence of “the people” in its holistic sense. Only by doing so can one ensure the people’s “overall, long-term and fundamental interests”.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
“🇩🇪's upcoming visit to 🇨🇳 has also released a signal that despite all the clamour in 🇩🇪 ... Chancellor Scholz, 🇩🇪's business community and others still want to ... continue to promote economic and trade cooperation with 🇨🇳” – Ding Chun, Fudan University
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Tweet media one
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
"The #MunichSecurityConference is clearly no longer 'neutral'. The number of unfriendly voices against #China may increase in future. This will make it more difficult for us to use this platform to make our own voice heard." 🔹Wu Shicun – Found. Pres. Nat. Inst. for SCS Studies.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🔹The author: Yang is the head of the highly regarded Beijing Cultural Review (BCR). He is also the director of the Longway Foundation which publishes BCR. The foundation describes its publication as “the most influential magazine of intellectual thought and commentary in China”.
Tweet media one
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 month
"If #Trump is reelected, I believe it will be very difficult for #China to engage in rational and pragmatic exchanges with him", argues top CPPCC foreign policy adviser, Jia Qingguo. His views on #Taiwan , Trump and 🇺🇸-🇨🇳 relations in 6 key points: [THREAD]
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
7 months
Ke Jing’s (柯静) analysis of the 🇺🇸 and 🇪🇺’s de-risking approach to #China is a must-read for anyone interested in how Chinese analysts have been interpreting the recent transatlantic rejection of #Decoupling in favour of #DeRisking . THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
🪧 Zhang also highlights the EU’s loss of the 🇷🇺 market, the weakening of the euro and 🇪🇺's growing dependence on 🇺🇸 gas as further increasing the EU’s dependence on the US. He worries that rifts in the 🇫🇷-🇩🇪 relationship may also hamper the EU’s push towards strategic autonomy.
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
Fudan Prof. Jian Junbo (简军波) discusses the European Union's #StrategicAutonomy , 🇪🇺-🇨🇳 relations in 2023 and provides his government with a few suggestions. THREAD 🧵
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
2 years
"The fact that Scholz has decided to visit China despite internal and external pressures [not to] shows his political courage and political competence as well as his willingness to exert a positive influence on German domestic public opinion vis-à-vis China" – Cui Hongjian (CIIS)
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@thomasdggeddes
Thomas des Garets Geddes
1 year
4⃣ "In the economic sphere, the EU's capacity for strategic autonomy is also trending downwards in the long term ... The economic disparity between the EU and the #USA is widening ... [and] the economic relationship between the US and Europe will become [increasingly] unequal.”
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