Chris Carolan $=1/∞ Profile Banner
Chris Carolan $=1/∞ Profile
Chris Carolan $=1/∞

@spiralcal

21,525
Followers
520
Following
7,971
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19,291
Statuses

Artist, ex floor broker, ex market maker, technical analyst, author, historian, barista, early modern literary critic, and Charles H. Dow Award recipient.

Joined July 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
7 years
The $BTC time series is the purest expression of human fear/greed response cycles ever constructed. This series has confirmed the hypotheses outlined 25 years ago in "The Spiral Calendar text." Here are the footprints of gravitational waves effecting human behavior.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
$GC_F $GLD
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
Prediction. @elonmusk will test $BTC liquidity in the last week of June. 😏
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
I'd like to report a murder.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
How the modern world works. 1. Politicians work to keep the banks rich. 2. Banks work to keep politicians elected. 3. Neither give a f$%# about you.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
$BTC 100 mil Tether just moved from the Treasury to Bitfinex. Be careful shorts.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
@ZubyMusic Strangers smiling at strangers is what differentiates communities from tribes. Masked, we are being led backwards.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
$GC_F $GLD $XAU
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
well played
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Socialism for the rich has worked so well in the United States that now the poor want it too!
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
$SPX (ducking!)
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Pompeii AD 79. Mt Vesuvius erupts. The residents flee. The eruption stops with 3 inches of ash on the ground at Pompeii. The residents return to retrieve their valuables. Vesuvius explodes. On Friday, the residents of Wall St returned to retrieve their valuables.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
11 months
@DavidBCollum @DNC They don't care. Votes are now harvested, no longer cast. They can win with a vegetable.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
ECB and BOJ have updated their balance sheet numbers, and surprise, surprise!
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Who is pumping? It's not the FED.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Gold
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
@chigrl Such a fine line in China between billionaire and missing person.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Bitcoin continues its return trip from the moon. $BTC.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 months
$NDX You can ignore some of the single times it fires, but the multiples should be respected. Bulls on notice.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
I've noticed that the people who preach sustainable food and sustainable energy never seem to promote sustainable economic policies.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
This guy openly challenged me on twitter to revisit the gold price in 6 months. He told me I would be wrong. When I tweeted I was ready to resume the discussion, he blocks me. Remember, he trolled me when I expressed a longer-term bullish forecast. Total fraud. Please retweet.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
1. Obesity is a large risk factor for bad Covid outcomes. 2. 42% of US is obese (CDC) 3. Vaccines are known to be ineffective on the obese. See the problem?
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
"Niagara Falls!! Slowly I turned..." $SPX
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
Rocks $GLD $GC_F $XAU
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
1 year
Probably just a chart crime. $SPX
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
8 months
The mother of all bull traps will take time to set. They must all be rounded into the stockyard pens.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
Here's an end-of-the-week Special !! $SPX
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Imagine the Postal Service opening your mail and deciding whether or not to deliver it.
@zerohedge
zerohedge
4 years
Mailchimp Will Now Deactivate Accounts Sending 'False, Inaccurate, Or Misleading' Emails
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 months
$VIX Do you believe?
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
Bearish divergence today $SPX 4118. Most recent divergence was Bullish on June 17 at 3676.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
11 months
Are we celebrating lower inflation or the weak dollar? This move ain't small potatoes.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
7 years
This should be fun. $BTC #BTC More time than price.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
My contention in December was that the ONLY way for crash avoidance was a repeat of the January 2016 printing binge as depicted in my version of the "money printing pump." Now the question is... Can they keep it up? (Insert erectile dysfunction humor here)
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 months
$VIX 😂
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 months
The excitement is unbearable, but we'll manage. The 12.69 $VIX print at 12:35 PM ET is the clubhouse leader for a potential low VIX print of the month coming 5 hrs 24 min. before before today's 5:59 PM new moon.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
So meta for our times.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
9 months
@BergMilton discusses my "Autumn Panics, a Calendar Phenomenon" at the 56 minute mark of this podcast. Here is a link to that paper.
@JackFarley96
Jack Farley
9 months
In January 2023, when so many (including myself) were bearish, @BergMilton told me why he was extremely bullish and forecasted S&P 500 of 4650. 8 months later, here is how Milton is seeing things: - Big bull move in stocks is close to over as market has "very weak legs" -…
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
7 years
Tulips didn't decline sharply in 1637. They just stopped trading. Not a small exit door, rather it was no door at all.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
$BTC This road looks familiar. Analog implies $17k near the Ides of March.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
"Humans may have only 10 years left to save the planet from turning into a total frying pan." Al Gore 2006 Winter 2021 in Texas, Madrid Spain, Athens, Greece.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Totally legit.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
It's probably nothing. $SPX
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
The $crypto exit waterfall. Out of alts, into $ETH. Out of $ETH into $BTC Out of $BTC into US$.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
If you can tolerate big losses, you will be served more of them.
@stoolpresidente
Dave Portnoy
4 years
Down $700k and cool as the other side of the pillow. I love this shit. #DDTG
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Attn. @realDonaldTrump Perhaps it's Tariff Man, not Powell who is upsetting investors.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Who is doing the pumping? Answer: Everybody
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
1 year
@ggreenwald It's voters vs. donors.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
What % of my neighbors need to own guns for our street to achieve "herd immunity?"
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Some long-term perspective.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Yep - nothing to see here. Just another two y axes chart crime.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
She passed exactly one week later. Those five laps were a helluva ‘breadth thrust.’ pic, Mom doing what she loved most, at the place she loved most, and her favorite time of day, before breakfast. /end
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
@EricRWeinstein @P_McCulloughMD @joerogan Twitter just slapped the "intense" label on your attempt to defuse intensity, Eric.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
1 year
Running out of Time. $NDX $TSLA $NVDA
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
How does an asset drop 90%? First it drops 80%. And then it drops 50%. Not a $BTC forecast. Just a risk management lesson for bottom pickers.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
Inflation reduction measures are like antibiotics. If you don't take the full course of meds, the infection just comes back, and this time with greater resistance to those measures. I'm old enough to remember the 70s.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
The purpose of vaccine passports is not to control a disease, it is to control people. That should be obvious.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Explanatory thread for the candle charts I post. They contain 4 indicators I find that tend to signal at turns. Clusters of indicators suggest better turn probabilities. None of these indicators is 'the answer.' /1
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
Chart of interest. $SPX
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Not surprising for those who are prepared. $ETH
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Gold moving opposite of bonds today. I expect that to be the new normal in this next long-wave cycle.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Yesterday the FED yelled "No Fire" in a smoke-filled theater.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Recent Twitter. 1. Lots of people acting like lunatics. 2. Gorgeous pictures of the eclipsed, perigee moon. 3. People arguing the moon doesn't effect behavior.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
I'm challenging everyone to post a photo you've taken from a place you've been. The only thing is that you NOT appear in it. Just a pic, no description. Let's flood profiles with landscapes to ease this isolation. Copy this, post a photo & let's travel virtually around the world.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
The last three weekly bearish RSI divergences in $SPX were followed with a Monday Gap-n-Go™.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
As I was saying.... They know where your stops are.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Gold isn't falling on dollar rallies. Is this disconnect evidence of a shifting inflation narrative per @EpsilonTheory ?
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Never, Never, Never look at weekly charts on a Monday. But if $SPX is down this week, that sucker will signal.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
The Fed can put a cork in nature's cycles, but it can't turn them around. This one's gonna blow like a sabre'd bottle o' Dom.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
What CCP is doing. Burning Coal into Electricity. Turning Electricity into Bitcoin Turning Bitcoin into Dollars. Brilliant!
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Hypothesis. Lunar cycles are working so well in markets right now because Trump is a lunatic.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Qs. How many stops are under 5800? Where will they get filled? The 400 floor in ETH quickly became a 300 ceiling. We could see a 5000 ceiling on $BTC once the 6000 floor breaks.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
"You've got to ask yourself one question. Do I feel lucky?"
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Espresso Name another hobby that pays a satisfaction dividend first thing every morning!
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Repeating myself... Politicians keep the banks rich. Banks keep the politicians elected. Nobody gives a f#+& about you.
@EpsilonTheory
Ben Hunt
5 years
Because the Oligarchy and the State are two sides of the same coin. Because this is a very stable political equilibrium.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
3 hr bars $BTC & $ETH I said months ago that $crypto was being embalmed. Those charts are zombies now. Fiat is the blood draining out. Tether is the formaldehyde pumped in.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
@SJosephBurns How an asset loses 90%. First it loses 80%, and then it loses 50%.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
re SoftBank In the pits it was known as the mythical "airport trade" where the account in trouble took one final size trade with money they didn't have and then headed to the airport where a call to the floor from the gate would determine whether or not one boarded the plane.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
The US says they want a stronger yuan. If the Chinese are pegging the $CNY to $GC_F, as it appears they are. All the U.S. need do is stop supressing the gold price via paper sales and voila, the yuan will strengthen! 😉🙃
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
1 year
Parabolas-R-Us Busted every one. $TSLA $NDX $NVDA $NKY
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
9 months
Another down day that leaves the bulls thinking they won, just like yesterday. That's how it always starts.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Nikkei vs S&P in yen.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
@spomboy So you're saying fentanyl, covid, and lockdowns aren't their only weapons?
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
7 months
$SPX breadth - unhealthy.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 months
The $VIX low print of the month has come on the new moon in three of the past five months. The moon is new Friday after the close.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
My view.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Light volume pump followed by volume dump at the highs. $BTC
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 months
I've been seeing term "Animal Spirits" describing seeming irrational behavior in markets of late. Which animals are we talking about? I'm a long-term advocate that at those times when markets become irrational, look to the moon for some answers. I suspect wolves are not the…
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
An economy that never has a recession is like a human that never sleeps. Cycles are healthy. Deny their existence at your own risk. "Sleep no more, Macbeth. Sleep no more."
@mtmalinen
Tuomas Malinen
4 years
The biggest economic perversions of our time is the aim to sustain economic growth by any means necessary. Business CYCLES have been with us for millenia. All phases, from a recovery to a recession, serve their purpose. Trying to stop a #recession by force yields nothing good.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
Compare & Contrast. "The Money Printing Pump" is surging. But CB balance sheets expressed in yen, not so much. The liquidity is courtesy of the short-term dollar crush. not balance sheets. /1
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
2 years
@INArteCarloDoss The tell of all tells. Feb. 2021
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
The 1929 and 1987 tops fell on new moons. Exact new moon in 11+ hours. It's a good day today to exit $BTC.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
10 months
The driver of human consciousness may be life's greatest mystery. I can finally articulate what I've seen for years. Humans react to gravity the same as light. In it's beam, we grow and thrive. In its shadows we become fearful. Some nights I don't sleep.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
5 years
"Could you send us a chart that goes back to credit crisis?" Remember that foreign CB balances increase in dollar terms when the dollar falls.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
6 years
Today's $crypto markets. Bulls who trashed talked bears at 7400 now unrepentant and are doubling down on their bullishness and positions. Manipulators desperately trying to defend prices. Bottom not in until $BTC separates the smart from the lucky.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
119 years of history indicates the bull market may have ended three weeks ago. #spiralcalendar
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@saxena_puru
Puru Saxena
4 years
100 years of history indicates US stocks are in a *secular* bull market which is likely to run for years. In the past, these cycles ended when the earnings yield of $SPX declined to ~60-65% of the FFR. We are nowhere near that level.
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Tidal rhythms were useless when the market was unemotionally advancing. But once traders exhibit irrational, LUNATIC behavior, the footprints of those rhythms reappear. I made that observation years ago, and it shows its efficacy once again. Full moon in 21 minutes.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
1 year
$SPX Breadth Doubling Down
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Chris Carolan $=1/∞
3 years
$DXY A balloon on the ceiling waiting for an open window.
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@spiralcal
Chris Carolan $=1/∞
4 years
Crush the $$ overnight to save $stonks Works every time!
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