Our
#EP2024
Voter-Advice-Application is now live (w/
@EumatrixEu
). You vote on 20 issues and we "match" you to the MEPs & national/Euro parties based on how they voted. Currently in English, but available next week in all official EU languages. Have fun!
France decided to go for teacher assessed end-of-school grades, and created 10,000 extra uni places, so no-one of this generation will miss out. That’s a “proper country”. England, in contrast, is a “make-do-and-mend” country
@toadmeister
Oh dear Toby. 50,000 is 1% of 5 million. So, that’s 10 times more deadly than seasonal flu, according to your own calculations. That’s the whole point!
The case for Scottish independence has never looked stronger. The weakest aspect of the case was always economic, but that has suddenly switched.
@NicolaSturgeon
and
@_KateForbes
seem safe pairs of hands by comparison to
@trussliz
and
@KwasiKwarteng
.
As others have pointed out: we will have had 2 general elections in 2 years, and 2 Tory leadership elections in 2 years, yet a narrow referendum result from over 2 years ago is untouchable. That’s British democracy for you folks!
Meanwhile, the gap between the amount of people who think Brexit was "wrong", in hindsight, and the amount who think it was "right" just keeps getting bigger and bigger
Too many MPs & pundits don’t realise that No Deal is NOT the end. It’s just the start of the next stage. UK will still need to do deals w/ EU on goods, services, medicines, data, security, research/educ, qualific’s etc. UK will have to compromise, and from an even weaker position
Corbyn would remain “neutral” in a second referendum. In other words, he has no position on the most important issue of the day, no, in fact, the most important issue of several generations. I find that astounding for someone who wants to be PM
Some news about me. Sad to be leaving LSE, which I have been part of in one way or another since 1987. But, I’m very honoured to be taking up the Stein Rokkan Chair, and really excited to be returning to the EUI.
Prof Simon Hix will be joining the EUI in September 2021 from
@LSEnews
.
He will take up the position of Stein Rokkan Chair in Comparative Politics at our Department of Political and Social Sciences. Welcome (back) Simon!
🔗
@simonjhix
Powerful and slick. These guys clearly know what they are doing. They make Change UK look like a bunch of kids who started a political party as a Year 9 school project.
"I served in the Royal Marines for over 10 years. I'm proud to be British, I'm proud of our tolerance, our diversity, of our liberal democracy.
But the MP's at Westminster right now, they're letting down the British public." -
@jaglancy
, veteran and Brexit Party candidate.
Interesting piece by
@JamesMelville
, explaining why many progressive Scots now support independence. I bet there are English progressives who feel the same: let Scotland go, so we can have at least one part of this island governed properly
@leonardocarella
Yep. And they are utterly rubbish at football; way below the usual standard required to host a World Cup (and so be in the tournament without qualifying)
Giving my last lecture at LSE today, after 24 years. Mixed feelings. Glad it’s GV101, which has been my favourite course to teach. But sad it’s online and not in person. 🥲
This is shockingly bad judgement. The analogy is disgusting: the EU is a voluntary union of democratic states that the UK was free to leave, while Russia is an aggressive authoritarian regime that is inflicting unthinkable suffering on the Ukrainian people.
Boris Johnson appeared to compare the British people’s vote for Brexit to the fight for freedom in Ukraine.
The prime minister was speaking at the Conservative Party’s spring conference.
Latest YouGov "Brexit: Right or Wrong?" tracker has the largest lead for "Wrong" since the survey began in July 2016: 12 points (50% Wrong vs. 38% Right). Here's a summary of the time series
So that's:
+888 for Remain parties
-1471 for Leave parties
-81 for Labour (no idea what their position is)
+662 for Independents
So, why is the main story from the local elections that Brexit needs to be delivered ASAP?
My last day at
@LSEnews
@LSEGovernment
. Thank you to all my colleagues and students over the last 24 years who have made it such a great place to teach and do research. I will miss you all! Off to
@EUI_EU
this evening. Looking forward to meeting my new colleagues and students.
My paper (with
@ggbenedetto
and
@mastrorocconick
) on "The Rise and Fall of Social Democracy, 1918-2017" has been accepted for publication in the American Political Science Review. Absolutely delighted!
55 SNP in Scotland? So, a mandate for Johnson and Brexit in England, and a mandate for Scottish independence in Scotland. This won’t end well!
#GE2019
#LSEGE19
It’s all the Commission’s fault, of course! In reality, the reason we are in this mess is because senior politicians in the UK refuse to understand how the EU works or to accept the relative weakness of the UK. A devastating mix of ignorance and arrogance
BBC doing it’s best to spin the Turing scheme, to make it sound as good or better than Erasmus (typical!). The key difference, barely mentioned here, is that the Turing scheme won’t pay fees. So, it’s essentially only open to kids with rich parents.
I’m getting really annoyed at people describing May’s Deal as a “soft Brexit”. It was only “soft” in the transition period. It ended FoM. No CU. No EEA. And possibility of ending in Canada+. In what way is that “soft”? Much closer to what ERG wanted than EEA+CU types
If you look across the five largest European countries, the UK is now clearly on a different (worse) trajectory. Daily deaths aren’t coming down as fast as they need to be. What are France and Spain doing that the UK is not?
Always thought Remainers would only have a chance of overturning the vote if they could articulate a programme to address the deep economic causes of Brexit, and how remaining in the EU would help deliver that. They have so far failed to do that, and so have won few Leavers over
And here's what I've got on turnout (ranked by biggest change since 2014). This may be the most important outcome of these elections, as it could mean a renewed legitimacy for the EP, and perhaps even for the EU project as a whole. Will be interesting to see the age breakdown.
Excellent piece by
@EdwardGLuce
, explaining how the US federal government is being massively irresponsible, eg. US has conducted fewer tests than the Netherlands is conducting daily, is refusing to buy foreign test kits, etc. Terrifying!
Okay, so here’s an essay question for all those people out there trying to argue that Labour should not choose a more centrist leader:
“Labour has had 11 party leaders since 1976; who is the only one to have won a general election, and why?”
In January 2019 I will be taking over from Prof. Julia Black as Pro-Director (Research) at LSE. Exciting times to play a role in shaping the research agenda for the social sciences
This is misleading and disengenuous nonsense. After Brexit, France will no-longer have to take back migrants who leave France for the UK, as the EU’s Dublin Regulation won’t apply in the UK. That’s what “taking back control of our borders” means folks
We also need the cooperation of the French to intercept boats and return migrants back to France.
I know that when the British people say they want to take back control of our borders – this is exactly what they mean.
One lesson from the exam grades disaster is not that algorithms are bad, but we need social scientists closely involved in designing algorithms in public policy. Any good social scientist could have told Ofqual the likely problems within 5 mins of seeing the initial output.
Amazing results confirming the positive effects of face masks:
“Among 139 clients exposed to two symptomatic hair stylists with confirmed COVID-19 while both the stylists and the clients wore face masks, no symptomatic secondary cases were reported”
Brilliant by
@Freedland
. The unity and power of the EU is now clear. In a scary geopolitical world, and with big tech picking off countries, the EU is a regulatory, trade, economic and geopolitical superpower. A “free UK” is a minnow in comparison
My new favourites for the EU’s top jobs:
Com Pres: Margrethe Vestager
Council Pres: Dalia Grybauskaitė
ECB Pres: Christine Lagarde
High Rep: Kristalina Georgieva
EP Pres: Mairead McGuiness
That would be a truly transformative line-up
Latest
@YouGov
Brexit Tracker finds that 38% of people think the vote to Leave the EU was the "Right" decision, against 49% who think it was the "Wrong" decision. And, looking across the data series, it appears that the trend towards "Wrong" has accelerated in the last 2 months
Disappointing. I'm normally a huge fan of Krugman. But, this reveals a really basic misunderstanding of British and EU politics amongst the American commentariat
If they'd thrown May a few crumbs, today might have looked very different. The arrogance of the EC, completely untempered by the disasters of austerity, is very much part of the British story 2/
The elite who like to claim they speak for "the people against the elites", inevitably want the elite to over-rule "the people" when the people don't do what they're supposed to. Classic populist nonsense.
Very sorry to see this. I had the privilege to chair
@NicolaSturgeon
when she spoke at LSE some years ago. I was massively impressed. She was one of the most charming, thoughtful, intelligent, and engaging politicians I ever saw speak at LSE.
You’ll end up having a bigger impact on the world through your teaching than your research. Take teaching seriously, and be good to your students. It will pay you back in the end
This really is an extremely articulate explanation of the problems of Brexit, far clearer and more sophisticated than anything I have heard from any politician recently
2-MINUTE VIDEO: In less than two minutes on
#BBCQT
last night, the woman in the maroon jumper explained how
#Brexit
is “going to be massively damaging long term for the UK.” She did better than any of the panellists. She should have been on the panel. Please share.
#FinalSay
@pmdfoster
@BorisJohnson
@JoeBiden
Great thread. I also love the irony of prominent Leavers claiming that they wanted to leave the EU because it is a "superstate", but now claiming that it is "merely an international organisation". If it is merely the latter, why did they want to leave it in the first place?
When appointing the senior judiciary is nothing more than tribal political sport, US democracy looks closer to Hungary and Poland than to most mature democracies
A salary that’s lower than the annual fees that international students will be paying to be taught by this person. The strange world of the HE economy in the UK
This is a terrible "puff piece" by
@bbclaurak
. It smacks of the need to write something about this, but then bending over backwards not to say anything that might actually be critical. Shockingly poor journalism!
From a doctor in a major hospital: “In Milan they are having to choose between intubating a 40-yr-old with 2 kids ...who is fit & healthy & a 60-yr-old with high blood pressure ...In the hallway, there are another 15 who are hardly breathing & need oxygen”
The customs issue in a nutshell: imagine a container of chlorinated chickens from the US arriving in Liverpool, with a plan to smuggle the load to Germany, via Belfast, Dublin, and Le Havre. Where are the EU customs checks going to be?
1/2
BREAKING:
@thequentinletts
backs the UK:
1) joining Schengen, so there are no passport checks between UK & EU,
2) joining EU single market, so there are no regulatory checks, and
3) reaching a customs agreement, so there are no customs checks.
Or maybe he's clueless! You decide
Starting to dawn on me that perhaps the reason I like May’s Deal is that I trust Brussels to set the regulatory standards for my country more than I trust the unconstrained and arbitrary majority in the House of Commons, let alone the quality of the politicians in that majority
@toadmeister
@spectator
Jeez. You are so full of joy and happiness Toby! I'm sure if pupils were striking for a low-tax, low-regulation, libertarian state you'd be all in favour.
This is nuts! If taken literally, it means Karl Marx, Thomas Paine, Rousseau, and many others are now banned from UK school curriculums. Is this really your intention
@NickGibbUK
? If so, that’s totalitarianism (nb. I guess Arendt is also banned!)
The de facto expulsion of CEU from Hungary is a stark symbol of EU failure. An authoritarian regime in the EU’s midst undermines any claim the EU is liberal and democratic. The EPP, in particular, should be deeply ashamed of their complicity (
@ManfredWeber
@alexstubb
)
Our son, Ben, starts at
@sciencespo
in Reims today. Very exciting, although I will miss him terribly :-(. Really impressive induction and orientation programme, btw.
My first day as the Pro-Director for Research at
@LSEnews
. Excited to get stuck in. My remit covers REF, UK and EU research funding, research centres, LSE Press, PhD training, postdocs, LSE library, research metrics, etc. Fun!
Applications for Max Weber (Post-Doctoral) Fellows at
@EUI_EU
for 2024-25 have just opened. If you are interested in a Fellowship in
@eui_sps
please get in touch.
I senior UK cabinet minister admits that he lied to parliament, and he's going to get away with it because no-one in his party, including the Prime Minister, is willing to take him on. If the rest of the world wasn't laughing at us already, they certainly are now
#DavisMustGo
"Mr Barnier said the UK keeps repeating that they are negotiating as 'sovereign equals', but the 'reality' was that an agreement was being sought between a massive bloc and a smaller nation". Ouch!
Exclusive:
EU has blown big hole in Rishi Sunak's bailout package under state aid rules
Grants & 'tax advantages' capped at €800,000 *per company*
Big retailers & hotel chains will see little benefit from Sunak’s pledged £20bn business rates holiday
@toadmeister
That’s really low Toby. Guy did not use the Holocaust to support the EU, whereas you DID invoke the Holocaust to make a petty little point about sovereign nation states. Think about that for a moment.
Shocking from the PM! Describing a No Deal outcome as the "Australia option" is deliberately misleading and disingenuous. Australia has a Framework Agreement with the EU, has been trying to negotiate an FTA since 2018, and it's trade with the EU is tiny compared to ours!
Expelled by May for refusing to oppose EP condemnation of Orban. Just shows you who she thinks her allies are. British media should be making a much bigger deal out of this, eg.
@bbcnickrobinson
@bbclaurak
This is great! I now have an outstanding example for my students of “policy based evidence” (as oppose to “evidence based policy”) - ie. we’ve decided what the policy is, and now we’re going to make up evidence to support it
“No to NATO”, but no mention of Putin. Tells you everything you need to know. I really wouldn’t be surprised if Stop the War is indirectly funded by Russia.
It amazes me how so many British commentators/journalists cannot bring themselves to praise Germany. Why are you guys still fighting the second world war FFS?
Sorry but Germany finally being humiliated into doing the absolute bare minimum asked of it by contributing to its own defence is not an excuse to get the bunting out.
How did we get here? I can almost imagine a military conflict of some kind between the UK and the EU. It wouldn’t take much to spark it, eg. Gibraltar, fish, refugees, who knows. The jingoism in parts of the British press, egged on by some extremist politicians, is terrifying
The last day of UK MEPs in the EP in Strasbourg. I was an intern in the EP during my PhD in 1994, and got to know many great UK MEPs from across the political spectrum. They worked hard to represent their constituents, for little thanks or acknowledge back home. Sad day for me.
Last espresso in Strasbourg before train home. This week we defended EU27 & UK citizens rights, debated path to Mid East peace, passed a key biodiversity resolution & detailed climate change policy (European Green Deal). UK voice on all this will now be lost
@LibDemMEPs
Fine! But because the UK thinks it voted to cherry-pick only the parts of the EU it likes, it doesn’t mean that the EU has to give it to us. The EU27 are perfectly within their rights to say “no way”. The PM needs to be honest with the British people
UK COVID deaths flat-lining. We locked down too late, and are coming out of lockdown too early. Meanwhile people ignoring the guidance, as they've lost confidence in the government and public health officials. If R0 goes above 1, we'll be back to square one