🧵: quickly deleted official cremation data indicates as many people may have died from Covid in a single province earlier this year as Beijing has said died in the mainland during the entire pandemic.
W/
@MaraHvistendahl
@jamesglanz
Since Dr. Li Wenliang’s death in February 2020, a fuller picture of his last days has remained elusive. We interviewed a doctor who witnessed Dr. Li’s resuscitation and we reviewed his medical records. Now we can fill in some gaps about Dr. Li's death.
EXCLUSIVE: Using satellite images of the Chinese balloon discovered by AI firm
@synthetaic
and analysis of the balloon's altitude, we are able to track its movement hours after launch from China's Hainan island and follow its journey to North America.
👇
We verified videos from Monday and Tuesday showing protesters in Haizhu district of Guangzhou city clashing with police. We examined the locations of videos and corroborated with witness accounts. W/
@amy_changchien
Today’s
@nytimes
newspaper with Dr. Li Wenliang’s story on the bench dedicated to him in NYC Central Park, near west 96th st entrance.
纽约中央公园纪念李文亮医生的长椅上:今天《纽约时报》报纸关于他的报道。
长椅在西96街入口附近。
长椅上写着:“一个健康的社会不应该只有一种声音。”
The world thought a $62 million van Gogh painting belonged to Chinese movie tycoon Wang Zhongjun, but paper trails and door knockings led
@PekingMike
@QianIsabelle
@vwang3
and I to the now-jailed influential billionaire Xiao Jianhua.
Following the tragic fire in Urumqi, protests erupted in China. We reviewed online videos and verified their locations. We saw protests and vigils on streets and campuses in Shanghai, Korla, Nanjing, Wuhan and more. W/
@ChuBailiang
@ZixuWang_News
Our latest: how 3 old tankers, acquired by young shell companies after Russia invaded Ukraine, faked their locations while moving oil from Russia to China. The oil was likely sold above a sanctions price cap, and all ships are insured by a U.S. company.
Twitter users were drowned with spam when they searched for information about the historic anti-lockdown protests in China. Through data analysis and interviews with people behind bots, we found that much of the spam is linked to commercial bot networks.
We analyzed videos that emerged during the latest round of Covid surge in China, they show how "zero Covid" measures can go extreme: children quarantined away from parents, people's needs of shelter & medical care ignored, harsh punishment for disobeying.
Don't think this is the case. I think the video is filmed here: 35.39059, 110.52704, near Beixin village in Ronghe town, Shanxi province 山西省万荣县荣河镇北辛庄村. From satellite image, the "field of stones" (~100m2) seems to be part of a small area that looks like some sort of…
Days later, videos of demonstrations are still visible on the Chinese internet. We looked into how they stretch China's censorship to its limits. “Once the anger spills on to the street it becomes much harder to censor.”
w/
@paulmozur
@JohnLiuNN
READ⬇️
Shanghai Dongjiao State Guest Hotel 上海东郊宾馆,where rumors say that China’s former Premier Li Keqiang had a heart attack, started a shut down that will last until Nov 7, according to their WeChat mini program.
Dr. Li alerted others about Covid-19 in late 2019 and was soon reprimanded by authorities. He then contracted the virus and died from it. We found no evidence his medical care was compromised. Eight U.S.-based Chinese medical experts reviewed Dr. Li’s medical records for us.
Videos emerged Monday showing heavy police presence at locations in Shanghai, Beijing and Hangzhou to head off planned gatherings. Some protesters still showed up at a shopping area in Hangzhou despite tight security. W/
@axelboada
@whitney_hurst
Dr. Li's condition deteriorated severely on Feb. 5, 2020. By the next morning, his breathing had become extremely labored. Several experts said his doctors should have at this point, or before it, considered putting him on an invasive ventilator to ease his breathing.
Experts said his illness was acute and severe. The treatment he received generally followed the norms for Covid patients. About a week into his hospitalization, Dr. Li was diagnosed as being in a depressive state, a detail that has not been previously reported.
We found an echocardiogram from around 9:10 p.m. that showed his heart had stopped. The hospital didn’t announce his death for another few hours. “I was just crying … it was like something in me crumbled,” said Dr. B, recounting the moment when he heard the announcement.
🏆
@nytimes
"An Invisible Cage: How China is Policing the Future" was awarded Excellence in Global Technology Reporting for a clear and effective visual narrative that leaves an indelible impression upon its viewers. Congratulations!
#SOPAwards2023
📰
The diagnosis did not attribute it to any specific factors. He was away from family, and weeks earlier, reprimanded by local police for spreading the word about Covid-19. His employer made him write an apology letter.
“President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia always seemed to thrive on chaos. Now it threatens to consume him.” By
@antontroian
Follow
@nytimes
’ live coverage:
We do not know why he was not intubated. Some doctors are more reluctant to intubate young patients; sometimes the patients themselves refuse it. To this day, there is no consensus on when invasive ventilators should be used on Covid-19 patients.
Don't think this is the case. I think the video is filmed here: 35.39059, 110.52704, near Beixin village in Ronghe town, Shanxi province 山西省万荣县荣河镇北辛庄村. From satellite image, the "field of stones" (~100m2) seems to be part of a small area that looks like some sort of…
Resuscitation lasted for over seven and half hours until his official time of death at 2:58 a.m. the next day, but Dr. Li’s heart never restarted. We interviewed a colleague of Dr. Li who witnessed part of the resuscitation efforts. We are referring to him only as “Dr. B.”
But the doctors treating Dr. Li argued that it had been too late. The six physicians we talked to shared the same assessment. Dr. B also said that putting Dr. Li on an ECMO machine, given its invasive nature, would have been an “insult to his body.”
Dr. B arrived in the I.C.U. around 9 p.m.. He said that Dr. Li had already been “clinically dead” by then: “The normal process at this point would have been to pronounce him dead.” But he said hospital leaders pushed the doctors to use ECMO, an invasive life support system.
Honored to win a Loeb with colleagues at
@nytimes
&
@propublica
. Feels especially moving to see this series of work being recognized - it was our beloved late editor Carlos Tejada and his vision, commitment and dedication that made these stories possible.
🧵winning pieces:
Dr. Li entered cardiac arrest around 7:20 p.m. on Feb. 6. Though his medical records did not explicitly say that his heart stopped, it recorded that the medical team started performing CPR — a procedure that is applied in such an emergency.
.
@Synthetaic
's imagery analysis platform RAIC unearthed a dozen photos of the balloon from millions of square miles of satellite imagery based on a sketch drawn by the company's founder
@CoreyJaskolski
.
So honored that our video about the final days of Dr. Li Wenliang, who warned about Covid-19 in Dec 2019, and our investigative series about China's surveillance state, are both among this year's
@sopasia
finalists.
1️⃣
2️⃣ …
Emerging tech has become the latest battlefield for Chinese & American spies — China’s M.S.S. increasingly uses it to counter C.I.A. and both countries are working to pilfer scientific secrets. W/
@ewong
@julianbarnes
@ChuBailiang
A Moscow newspaper editor with Kremlin connections said that what once had seemed unthinkable was now possible: people close to Putin could seek to persuade him not to stand for re-election in Russia’s presidential vote next spring.
By
@antontroian
This also enables the calculation of the balloon's altitude using geometric properties of similar triangles. We measured the distance between the balloon's positions in two images,
@planet
provided the time the images were taken, height & speed of the 🛰️ and the image…
A satellite image from
@Maxar
captured on July 20, three days before the collapse of a middle school gym in China's Qiqihar city, shows gray tarp on the gym’s roof. It was likely to cover construction material underneath. The image on the right is from April 16.
w/
@ckoettl
The earliest image is captured by
@planet
🛰️ on Jan 15, off the coast of Hainan. U.S. officials confirmed to us that the launch time was mid-January. The officials also said that the launch didn’t require an established site and that it could use any one-acre plot of land.
If you are not a
@nytimes
subscriber, you can read the story here through the gift article. If you are a subscriber, you can now give our stories with links that anyone can read by clicking the gift box button on the page.
The balloon looks like multiple colorful blobs here because of the "parallax effect" –– the satellite captures images in different wavelengths of light at slightly different moments as it moves rapidly overhead. Later, images are stitched together to form natural color.
After reviewing the calculations, Rodger Farley, a retired NASA engineer who designed balloons similar to this one, says this balloon is an altitude-control balloon, operators can remotely steer the balloon up and down to ride wind currents that blow in different directions.
@paulmozur
@JohnLiuNN
Videos filmed from different angles of the same event and tactics including using filters, recording videos of videos and editing several videos together can trip up censorship algorithms, according to internet freedom researcher Xiao Qiang and and a former censor.
I found and archived a cached version of Zhejiang province's 2023 Q1 civil affairs statistical report:
It shows 171,000 cremations; that's 72,000 more than same period last year.
China's official tally for Covid toll in the mainland is about 83,700.
Last year, Xiao was sentenced to 13 years. Before his fall, he was a trusted financier for family members of Chinese political elites. Corporate documents obtained by
@nytimes
reveal for the first time a hidden offshore network worth more than $5 billion.
Our team is hiring!
@nytimes
Visual Investigations unit is looking for a journalist and a senior producer. International candidates encouraged to apply!
Journalist position:
Senior producer position:
Mr. Farley also says that launching altitude-control balloons is generally a bad idea in winter, when upper atmospheric winds are less predictable and there is not enough variation in wind direction for balloons to correct course.
According to
@HamedAlemo
, RAIC takes a novel approach to detecting objects in satellite imagery as its algorithm doesn’t have to be pretrained with lots of reference images for what an object looks like. Then users can quickly refine the results to “teach” it to be more accurate.
Take a look at protest footage from across China. The crowds mostly express frustration over stringent Covid measures, but some also demand freedom of speech and even the ousting of China's top leader. w/
@axelboada
@markscheffler
Thank you for writing this heart-felt essay
@Lingling_Wei
.
“…the current lack of engagement means that we have to do our jobs — and stay in touch with our loved ones — from afar. …. It is an uncertain and painful reality for me and my family.”
@ChuBailiang
@ZixuWang_News
threading some video geolocation:
This one is filmed around 31.887558°, 118.885186° at Communication University of China in Nanjing.
If you know where the painting is and the state of it, we would love to hear from you.
Here is the gift article for the story so you don't run into paywall:
💫 NEW! As a member of
@nytimes
visual investigations team,
@muyixiao
reports on her native China using a combination of remote tools & interviews to pierce the veil of the country’s censorship.
In this 10 Questions, Muyi shares challenges & insights:
The cremation data provides valuable insight into China's true Covid toll: 4 epidemiologists and demographers made rough estimates using it –– one team reached 1.54 million deaths from Dec through Mar in mainland China; another demographer said ~1.5 million in 2023 Q1 alone.
Protests against Covid restrictions have evolved into broader demands. Here’s what videos show about what demonstrators want — and the risks.
By Agnes Chang,
@Changxche
w/ contribution from
@vwang3
& me.
If you are in NYC next Wed, don’t miss this discussion between Liao Yiwu and
@iandenisjohnson
, hosted by
@ChinaFile
and
@PENamerica
: The Future of Dissent Inside and Outside of China
“Across America, investigators are increasingly being hired by a new kind of client — authoritarian governments like Iran and China attempting to surveil, harass, threaten and even repatriate dissidents living lawfully in the United States.”
Wuhan, where the first Covid19 outbreak happened, hasn't pubbed any civil affairs statistical reports since 2020 Q1. The last report was 2019 Q4.
It's unclear why Zhejiang province pubbed a quarterly report WITH a cremation count last week and soon deleted the page.
Who is Liu Hailong? The art world doesn’t know him. In the documents, he’s listed as the owner for four offshore companies under Xiao’s business empire, including the one that paid for the van Gogh. He’s just someone on the paperwork hiding the actual man behind the curtain.
This month, workers at several Covid testing kit manufacturers in China protested over furloughs and wages. We verified online videos coming out from Chongqing and Hangzhou and visited factories in Hangzhou. Read our latest. W/
@dhpierson
@KeithBradsher
Here is the story from 2014. It didn’t mention Zhao Tingting by name, but she was the representative of a company co-founded by Xiao Jianhua which helped Xi’s family members shed assets when he became China’s president.
Cremation data has been closely guarded across China since the Covid wave this past winter. Many local (including Zhejiang) and the national authorities left cremation count blank when they pubbed 2022 Q4 civil affairs statistics earlier this year.
.
@PekingMike
pulled out old documents, and found an address for the “Zhao Tingting” in his earlier story, it turned out to be the same address for Liu Hailong, printed on a phone bill in the current batch of docs.
Journalists, if you are not as lucky as I was to have received a 4-hour hands-on training from
@ckoettl
, this webinar is a good alternative to learn how to use remote sensing to elevate journalism. He talks about satellite imagery interpretation, AI, SAR and more.
🔴 Watch the latest
#SentinelHub
#webinar
where our special guest
@ckoettl
explained first-hand how
#RemoteSensing
tech can be used in
#journalism
🙌 Tune in as we dive into a compelling case study that shows a workflow for using 🛰️ imagery in reporting ▶️
Among the trove of docs from Xiao’s Tomorrow Group is a Sotheby’s invoice for the van Gogh painting. Why the invoice is here is intriguing, what adds to the mystery is that it was not billed to Wang Zhongjun who publicly won the auction, but to a man named Liu Hailong.
“Zhao Tingting 赵婷婷” is a common Chinese name, but
@PekingMike
pointed out that a key individual in a 2014 investigation he did with
@DavidBarboza2
about Xiao Jianhua’s dealing with President Xi Jinping’s family is also named “Zhao Tingting.” Could they be the same person?
I got Zhao’s phone number from someone familiar with the piano studio, which matched with the phone number printed on a package addressed to “Zhao Tingting” outside of Liu’s home, spotted by
@vwang3
.
When searching the city names in English, the results returned no spam among top tweets.
The comparison underscores the inefficacy of Twitter and other large American social media platforms’ content moderation work on non-English posts.
The findings match a report published today by David Thiel from
@stanfordio
who reviewed millions of tweets by searching for 30 Chinese cities and found that bots were active before the protests began and continued after they had ebbed.
News from
@Splash_247
this week: Data analytics firm Voretxa has reported that Chinese ports are increasing scrutiny...Qingdao port in Shandong province is focusing on "10+ years old foreign tankers that have changed hands in the past three years."