Dmitry Stefanovich @KomissarWhipla Twitter profile

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 months

The PDF version of our new book on international security is now available online on the IMEMO website:

Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

New big book on all things international security by our IMEMO team led by one and only A.G.Arbatov: #hyperhype by yours truly included.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most-awesome missiles of 2023 (THREAD) The most insecure one: LRHW Dark Eagle, which still do not dare to do a test launch.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

S-500, ladies and gentlemen.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Russian MoD claims that today at 10:40 MSK a Virginia-class SSN was detected IN Russian territorial waters near Urup island (one of the Kurils), near the zoned of Pacific Fleet exercise. Marsh.Shaposhnikov frigate found it, communicated the demand to surface immediately. 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

First Sarmat heavy ICBM test today. Plesetsk to Kura. Bad quality video, but anyway.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Future "Arctic" SSBN concept: "Arktur" and its companion UUV "Surrogat-V". Photos by @MuxelAero . Borei-A for comparison. #ARMY2022

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Russia continues the deployment of strategic assets towards Ukrainian border.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Well, I had to. #Checkmate #su75

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Toothless Akulas. Still impressive.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Demand was ignored, RU frigate used "special instruments" (probably counter-saboteur grenades?), SSN deployed a self-propelled imitator and left territorial waters at max speed. 2/

Против вошедшей в российские воды подлодки ВМС США применили спецсредства

Американская подводная лодка вошла в российские территориальные воды в районе Курил, против нее применили специальные средства, сообщило Министерство обороны. РИА Новости, 13.02.2022

ria.ru

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most evil one - Storm Shadow/SCALP-EG, which continue to bite painfully.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Look what I've found.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most complicated one - TAURUS KEPD 350, which is COMPLICATED to be sent to Ukraine.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most modest one - the PrSM, which has reached the stage of delivery to the Army without much fuss.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

The most detailed image of the DF-41 ICBM so far.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

1 year

If there was a loss of a heavy bomber at either Engels or Dyagilevo, the US will know for sure by the end of the week. #NewSTART

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

This is the most unexpected part of the Putin's address yesterday (which itself was way too long): "...the United States is developing the Standard-6 universal missile, which, along with solving the problems of air defense and anti-missile defense...

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

UPD: US military attaché summoned to the Russian MoD. Territorial waters violation is kinda big deal, although there are nuances in the region.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

To the best of my knowledge, this is the first time the Basic Principles of State Policy in the field of Nuclear Deterrence are made public in Russia. Stay tuned for a thread!

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Quality footage of Sarmat ICBM launch released.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Coverage of Russian early warning radars. Source: H/t @sandrermakoff

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most irresponsible one - Sarmat, which everyone is waiting and waiting for, but it is still late.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Everything old is new again! "Typical hypersonic missile flight trajectories: A - ballistic missile; B - ricocheting (skip-glide) missile; C - gliding missile". Who will guess the year?..

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

I wonder if it was discussed during Shoigu-Austin call earlier today. I am sure it WILL be discussed during Putin-Biden call later today.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Awesome photoset of Iskander-M launcher and loader, and aeroballistic missile, exclusively received from Evgeniy Kel'.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Temporary autonomous military camp and Bastion coastal missile system deployed on Matua, one of the Kuril Islands.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most (un)polite one is the Russian cruise missile that flew into Poland the other day, but changed its mind.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

1 year

New joint RU/CN aerial patrol over Sea of Japan and East China Sea. Tu-95MS, H-6K, 8 hours, supported by Su-35S and Su-30SM. Foreign fighter jets also appeared.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most provocative missile is the one that will end up in the Mk70 or Typhon, and kill the "post-INF moratorium".

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most fashionable one is a provisiona air-breathing hypersonic cruise missile, a mockup of which has now been shown even in Iran.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Tried my best to find something credible and citeable about that "special [osobyy] mode of combat readiness of the deterrence forces" (or per Kremlin translation, "high combat alert", ), but failed to do so. So only guesses and scraps of information. 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

And extra special for @giantcat9 .

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

I've scanned a brochure on Abakan missile defense system from #ARMY2022 for those who might be interested: In English! :)

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most dramatic missile is the ARRW, which screws up, then the project is shut down, then it is successfully tested, and maybe it will come back again.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Kinda niche, but personally this was one of the most interesting things I've seen at the #ARMY2022 : Monolith-B radar for coastal defense systems (Bastion, Bal, Rubezh-M) on commercial 3-axle chassis.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Just in case, Valentina Matviyenko, head of the Federation Council and the third highest ranking Russian official, just said that any talk about nuclear war possibility is unacceptable, it would mean the end of human civilization. 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Serious Ground Forces Air Defense action at Kapustin Yar: layered joint AD based on S-300V4/Buk-M3/Tor-M2 from Southern, Western and Eastern MDs, five units total. S-300V4 vs "aeroballistic missiles" Buk-M3+Tor-M2 vs "cruise missiles" and "strike aircraft" Tor-M2 vs UAV swarm

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

1 year

More Bastion-P coastal missile systems deployed to Kuril islands. Now at Paramushir.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most promising one is an anti-ship missile, possibly ballistic, which the Houthis will use to hit an American warship next year.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

And another video of Yars (SS-27 Mod 2) road-mobile ICBM launch from Plesetsk today. Credit where credit is due, MoD learned to produce awesome ICBM launch footage.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Oh fuck. To make things clear: I will support our troops, but I still consider this a big mistake, and my support of the Russian government will further decrease.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

8 months

"...a second missile production line in Norway which will be ready in 2024...the new factory is expected to have an annual capacity of 400 NSM. In the near future, there will be two production lines in Norway, one in the United States and one in Australia."

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most unkillable missile is the U.S. nuclear-capable sea-launched cruise missile (SLCM-N) project, which they can't bury (and may now even stop trying).

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Not sure I've seen this type of photos posted by @mod_russia . Rather funny that Backfire did not get any missiles for the photo-ops.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

That feeling when you accidentaly bump into Russian-language patent by Indian DRDO on BrahMos road-mobile TEL.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

@AncientSubHunt Great! And a Russian bro: ("now its your turn to chase him")

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

Audience Award: the Arrow-3 missile interceptor, which made the first space victory under combat conditions.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

New video of Sineva (SS-N-23 mod. 2) SLBM launch from Tula (Delta-IV) SSBN released by the Russian MoD.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

21 days

Shoigu: S-500 next generation system to be deployed in 2024, in two modes - long range air defense and missile defense.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Putin meeting w/ Lavrov and Shoigu today. I expect smth like the one when Washington announced withdrawal from the INF Treaty. Should be interesting.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

1 year

Timofey got himself ready for winter.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most unexpected one is the Russian Kh-BD air-launched cruise missile, which was or was not demonstrated to Comrade Kim.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

6 years

Our Chinese friends delivered a nice render of Kh-59MK2 inside Su-57. @GuyPlopsky @StrategicSteb @JosephHDempsey

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

#sorrynotsorry

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Could not resist. #hyperhype

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most creative missile - a future high-precision surface-to-surface missile on the platform of the S-400 system.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

This map/scheme is more awesome than awesome. h/t Alexei Kostenkov

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

Looks like first footage of modernized Tu-22M3M via @zvezdanews .

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Today is Forgiveness Sunday. Not going to apologize for my country, armed forces or my ancestors - this is a very strange and pointless exercise. But there is smth I want to ask for forgiveness: the insufficient quality of my work as an expert. 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

Ran across nice photos regarding silo-based liqued-fuel ICBM refuelling process.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

"We are against Nuclear WINTER!" Ded Moroz Santa Claus "Krokodil" magazine, January 1987. Source:

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

@alxgraef I will laugh so hard when Putin's successor will pursue more agressive policies in the near abroad (and beyond), without any Soviet nostalgia and dreams about "Europe from Lisboa to Vladivostok". With even broader public support.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Belgorod special purpose nuclear submarine (first Poseidon multi-purpose nuclear-powered UUV carrier, among other things), delivered to the Navy today.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Sophie Pedder

@PedderSophie

3 years

Furious 🇫🇷 foreign minister Le Drian this morning on the 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇦🇺 deal: a "knife in the back", "betrayal of confidence", "allies don't do this to each other". Rare to hear quite this sort of language. France (which had its own conventional submarine contract with 🇦🇺) is very angry

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Hello, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

The most missile region is still the Korean Peninsula, both Koreas continue to deliver.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

...can hit both ground and sea surface targets. That is, the supposedly defensive US missile defense system is expanding and new offensive capabilities are emerging." Probably the highest official ever mentioning SM-6!

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Yet another counter-UAV "experiment" by the Russian military, now in the Central MD. Three episodes of the exercise: 1) Electronic warfare, detection of control frequencies and jamming preventing take-off the drones 2) detection, targeting and imitated strikes by Tor-M1 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 months

Given current volume of comments, my educated guess would be that this story about Russian destabilizing space nuclear capability might be related to the so-called Zeus nuclear-powered "space tug" and possible similar projects. Possible ASAT mission reported by media in 2021.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

Well hello there.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Uran-9 UGV at #Zapad2021 . BMP-3 w/Epokha and Nerekhta UGV as well.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

6 years

A friend in LJ sent a photo. Regular Russian traffic.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Not that I was asked, but I have some prepared points on Russian missile defense and can't keep myself silent. Mega-thread incoming! (Also expect some crazy schemes) 1/

Shashank Joshi

@shashj

3 years

I'd also be interested in expert views of how far Russia has invested in strategic missile defense, or plans to... @russianforces @heatherwilly @KofmanMichael @RALee85

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Interesting piece in Russian about Aegis Ashore capabilities. Bottom line - not very good against Iranian missiles, and even worse against Russian. Waiting for the third part... Part 1: Part 2:

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Novosibirsk SSGN (Yasen-M) floated today, as promised.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

We the Russians are the ones who actually stop others, those who have lost their limits. Yeah, that's what we do.

Ben Hodges

@general_ben

3 years

The Russians will stop only when they are stopped.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

And yet another Tsirkon launch footage! Gorshkov, against land target, 350+ km range, 8+ Mach speed. #hyperhype

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Uber-exclusive Yars launchers from Mnevniki by Alexei Bock.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Big and interesting interview on Moscow Missile Defense published today: Lots of tasty details, stay tuned for a thread. In the meantime, enjoy a rare photo by Evgeniy Kel'. 53T6xx missile interceptor in launch canister leaving...somewhere. 1/

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

12 engines ready for UA Grom-2 SRBM (300 km export version for KSA, 500 km domestic, claimed possibility of 1500 km extended range). First flight tests of KSA version rumored this Autumn.

Andrei_bt

@AndreiBtvt

5 years

Для ОТРК «ГРОМ-2» собрала 12 ракетных двигателей

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

18.03.2022: first battle use of a hypersonic weapon. Kinzhal against underground munitions storage in the Ivano-Frankovsk region. Might very well be a former nuclear storage near Delyatin, Ivano-Frankovsk-16. PS not that I am in any way happy about it.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

1 year

Fresh 53T6M (?) ABM interceptor missile launch. Reported as successful.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

S-300V4 looks epic. Photos by Alexei Bock.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

Sometimes it is nice to look at retired missiles. Behold R-39/SS-N-20 SLBM!

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

6 months

"The South Korean military assesses that North Korea might seek to transport a trio of newly developed SRBMs to Russia. These missiles include the KN-23, the KN-24 and the "super-large caliber" multiple-rocket launcher known as the KN-25"

Ankit Panda

@nktpnd

6 months

Grim, if unsurprising; suspect we should have Western intel corroboration soon enough: S. Korean military detects signs of NK supplying ballistic missiles to Russia

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Firat ever public Tsirkon launch shot. The thing that starts is definitely something new, while the next angle might be showing smth old (Oniks?). Against naval surface target, 450 km, 8M. #hyperhype Stay tuned.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 months

Lifetime Achievement Award: the Topol ICBM, finally retired. PS additions welcome!

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Ran across epic 1959 video about Burya strategic cruise missile. What a beast!.. Was a big fan ever since first heard about it on a lectur on air-space tech. Atompunk incarnate. Part I: Part II:

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Nice artwork by Norwegians (from FOKUS 2020, ) #Poseidon #Sarmat #Burevestnik #Kinzhal #Avangard #Peresvet

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Looks like more or less official updated Chinese H-20 next gen heavy bomber rendering. Via Dambiev

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Brace yourselves, updated Russian National Security Strategy approved.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

I know you like maps of the offensive operations...

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

🎇Personal news alert🎇 Now that's official (more or less): I am joining @IMEMO_RAN Center for International Security as a Research Fellow.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

5 years

Why don't we take a look at missile defense penetration aids?

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Some photos from the aerial parade over Moscow today, by #vatfor friend. MiG-31K (hypersonic missiles look good), Tu-160 (fresh from minor modernization) , Tu-22M3.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

2 years

@NuclearAnthro @tkassenova @TEDTalks While we are at it.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

I have a new favourite gif.

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Well, it is real: I have a piece published in @TheNonproReview : Many thanks to @tjaplant and @Joshua_Pollack for providing this opportunity, and Rhianna Kreger for making it happen. And to the reviewers, of course! Will make a thread later.

Proliferation and threats of reconnaissance-strike systems: a Russian perspective

Russian military officials, scholars, and politicians have long been aware of reconnaissance-strike systems, and have developed a sophisticated set of military countermeasures, as well as a number ...

www.tandfonline.com

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Alarm! Alarm! @mfa_russia released English translation of new Russian nuclear deterrence document! Behold, "Basic Principles of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence":

Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

To the best of my knowledge, this is the first time the Basic Principles of State Policy in the field of Nuclear Deterrence are made public in Russia. Stay tuned for a thread!

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

3 years

Russian shipbuilding is facing many challenges, but still kicking. Photos by @saidpvo and @Convoker

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Dmitry Stefanovich

@KomissarWhipla

4 years

Sources claim that Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missile was succesfuly tested in the Arctic mind-November. MiG-31K took off from Olenegorsk, the missile succesfully hit a land target at Pemboy training range. #hyperhype

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