Mark Gubrud @mgubrud Twitter profile

Pinned Tweet

Mark Gubrud

6 years

Twitter won't let me pin an RT so I'll just HT @ron_eisele & steal his tweet since it's perfect. This is the forward defensive machine gun post on a Zeppelin.

10

22

143

Last Seen Profiles

@ppcantabria

@faccaodortmund

@and_monami

@DJSTELLAR

@thechoiceauthor

@MarianoOses

@LCTigerGBB

@shaktiarora

@abo__santos

@msirenesilver

@denverrefugee

@Tawon_k

@bnl6_

@CallMe_Nabill

@sjhsnewport

@looseolive

@rnoguez

@Green__Rays

@McmahanRylan

@LeDoctor

@BorkFur

@theinspired24

@cynalbr

@Keggton10

@DownRightMerch

@CafeconGoles

@bonitafrobum

@yuritaflowers

@BoruIDK

@fabricioblau

@CodyJinksMusic

@DAIKING_staff

@airon_muscle

@otterxXx69

@samzabell

@mikoviaa

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@ashishkjha @SenateHomeland This does not show "how politicized science has become." It shows how thoroughly corrupt the Republican Party has become. Nothing to do with science.

7

21

537

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@AstroKatie And after all that is said & done, the effectiveness of individual mask wearing is only fractional, whereas if everyone wears them the effect is exponential. I've put this meme up on Twitter many times but still don't understand why the point hasn't been made to the public.

12

61

492

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@RichLowry Drag Cuomo for his boasting. But NY's "highest death toll in the nation" (just wait) resulted from the city's urban density & connections into the suburbs, and the fact that its outbreak was already advanced when *the nation* woke up. Let's be clear about who deserves most blame.

54

42

393

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@NoahShachtman Folks stop scoring points against Trump and start calling for his RESIGNATION. The ONLY appropriate response to Trump's #EasterMassacre proposal is to demand his resignation. It doesn't matter if he will. It is just the only thing to say. Hell No, we won't die for him.

20

140

384

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

"When the facts didn't suit Donald Trump, he simply made up his own. After Nov. 3, Trump ramped up his stolen election lies." Why does it take an Australian television journalist to say what is irrefutable so plainly and with such force?

6

106

398

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@EricTopol Annotated. Any disagreements?

29

119

376

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@Cirincione 👏 The QI has severely undermined its own credibility by continuing to promote the NATO-expansion-caused-this narrative long after it became a clear-cut war of aggression, Putin's War, and urging the West to press Ukraine to acquiesce to Putin's demands.

18

13

307

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

9 months

@TheEconomist The Economist: Yes alright capitalism sometimes has fascist coups and murders thousands of people, but it's not really helpful to dwell on that.

0

16

321

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@nytimes

19

82

289

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 months

This is so important. Flu is bad. Covid is many times worse. It is a very aggressive virus, and we are not bats. Our immune systems are not good at fighting SARS-Cov-2. Americans are getting covid on average once a year. It is damaging our brains, hearts and immune systems.

tern

@1goodtern

2 months

Shall we finally put this farce into perspective? Put the final nail in the coffin of the pathetic and ridiculous comparison between Covid and Flu? Here are the hospitalisations by Covid (2023) and Flu (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017, 2017) in England. (data from SARI

60

2K

5K

18

88

288

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 months

As unappealing as it may sound, you really ought to wade through this to get a sense of how deranged Trump is these days. The NewsMax ads add just the perfect touch. This is an endless infomercial running on a screen nobody's watching at a retirement home. Still Biden may lose.

Aaron Rupar

@atrupar

3 months

Trump is about to speak at a rally in Waterford Township, Michigan. Follow along for a thread 👇

189

283

2K

19

65

277

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@wsbgnl All the reporting focuses on the excesses of Chinese lockdowns, such as the terrible fire in Urumqi, and misses the fact that US policies have cost a million lives. Almost as if it's a desperate effort to convince ourselves we did the right thing. +

4

33

260

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@dansac @chrislhayes @sahilkapur @nycsouthpaw Senator's spouse/aide/proxy: "The Senator could not be here because we have a national emergency and need all hands on deck in Washington. We are going to stop the damage Donald Trump is doing to America, and we need your help." Sorry, I know I'm just dreaming.

3

13

203

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@AstroKatie A good mask can give you 85% protection. If your neighbor wears one too, 98% protection. If everybody wears them, that 85% per person can kill the pandemic and suppress everybody's risk a millionfold. Collective action is literally, mathematically, exponentially effective.

5

34

203

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@dylanotes @mehdirhasan @AIPAC AIPAC isn't a Jewish or pro-Israel organization. It's an American hard right pro-Israeli hard right organization.

3

12

181

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 months

@marceelias Trump should have been investigated and prosecuted promptly after Biden's inauguration. I'm not a lawyer but I could have told you that if they waited until the third year Trump would be able to delay and politics would help bog the process down.

34

21

181

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@kristoncapps @LeighGiangreco That's one gorgeous building. Let's see, who else tried to ban modern art & architecture?

3

8

157

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@nytimes CLICKBAIT ALERT! “The initial assessment is that a leak through the bottom gate on the rail car may have developed in transit,” the statement said.

14

6

156

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@ClementYChow "High-risk individuals" has been one of the most damaging elements of the mixed-messaging we've been receiving. Without ICU care, people with severe illness will die, young or old.

4

49

155

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@CT_Bergstrom @Color Your results show clearly that longer isolation periods are more protective. But you argue that the benefit isn't that great, while the "benefit" of having people return to normal life while possibly still infectious is more substantial. So this is compromise, triage medicine.

3

12

149

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@wsbgnl There is so much space between Western "let it rip" and Chinese "weld them into their apartment blocks." Where are all the centrists and compromisers when they could be right about something?

4

14

151

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@SteveSchmidtSES @AOC @ProjectLincoln Admirable stance, Steve. But unless you are prepared to support initiatives like M4A, free tuition, GND, etc., you can't pretend there is no distance between you and @AOC et al. Perhaps you CAN join in alliance, as you propose, against the far Right. I hope so.

77

3

133

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@tylerkingkade Let's be clear, this isn't because Midwestern hicks think it will prevent infection. It is an expression of contempt for public health regulations by political partisans.

7

5

137

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 months

@Jerusalem_Post That's because the deal that Israel will agree to is not a ceasefire.

2

6

123

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@Clava_Stahel

9

6

126

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@brooks_rosa Teen behavior is predictive. You say it ought not be damning, statute of limitations & all that. Thing is he denied it. You know he's lying. In addition to his known lies under oath. Now he must be called back to testify to this under oath. And if he lies again...? You tell us.

15

7

115

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@steveg06 @brooks_rosa He categorically denied it but he is lying beyond a reasonable doubt. His victim has talked about the incident for years (documented), is a college professor, wanted to stay anonymous & has nothing to gain by coming forward except a lot of abuse.

15

5

113

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@nytimes @peytonology Or maybe, just maybe, it's possible to be strong-willed, taking charge and wanting to take on the world... and also be female? Dare I suggest, even, that if we didn't tell little girls they have to be this way, and boys they have to be that way, there'd be less gender dysphoria?

2

8

122

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@danwaterfield Could be a mix of actual electrical or software faults & accumulated anecdotes stemming from coincidences & people's mistakes. Once a myth like this gets started, it's perpetuated by people insisting things happened that actually didn't--or did, but differently than they tell it.

5

0

119

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@AstroKatie The most important point missing in the entire discussion: beyond protecting yourself, beyond protecting the next person, community masking is about suppressing community transmission, which is the MOST IMPORTANT factor in your personal risk. +

2

15

119

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@SenatorBaldwin The use of the terms soy milk, almond milk, oat milk etc. is by now conventional in the US and worldwide. To attempt to outlaw them is Orwellian corruption. A milk is an emulsion of water, fat, protein & carbs, and there can be a wide range of milks for people to drink.

5

1

114

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@steven_pifer @mfa_russia We should not "give in" but it is reckless to dismiss the risk that Putin will resort to nuclear use if he is unable to halt Ukrainian advances any other way. If Ukraine succeeds in pushing Russia out, Putin knows he cannot remain in power.

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

I've been unnaturally cool about the war in Ukraine up to now, even though I rated it more dangerous than the Cuban Missile Crisis. I didn't think Putin would "lash out" with a nuke, and I still don't. But I am deeply worried now. The annexations put us on a collision course. +

6

15

33

27

12

108

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@Telegraph "transphobic feminist" ≠ "feminist" The controversy is about her transphobia, not feminism.

28

0

111

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@justinhendrix 🤣😂😅😂🤣

5

23

104

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@ashishkjha And "low vax communities" include all our kids under 12, and the schools they will return to in Fall.

2

5

113

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

. @msnbc finds another clear voice for sane covid policy. Thank you Dr. @uche_blackstock for pushing out the message of a multi-layer strategy, discussing the need to address indoor air quality with filtration & ventilation in addition to rapid tests, masks & vaccination.

0

11

107

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@janetrosenbaum Thread hits the bullseye, except for this👇. No, even if people may think so, it isn't correct to imagine that eliminating mask mandates will stop fascists from staging disruptions. It isn't justifiable to appease them at the expense of lives & health.

@janet.bsky.social

@janetrosenbaum

2 years

Governors may believe correctly that preemptively eliminating public health measures will diminish public support for similar blockades in the US. Security concerns may justifiably override protections against disease spread.

15

148

2K

7

10

105

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@ASlavitt Some memes people can use. #EasterMassacre

6

41

98

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@tomaspueyo We have not exhausted "the low-hanging fruit." People are walking around with worn-out cotton masks dangling below their noses. For a tiny fraction of what the pandemic has cost us already, we could make high-quality N95s available everywhere for free. +

Tomas Pueyo

@tomaspueyo

3 years

Countries that stopped the virus from spreading got R from 2.7 to 1, a reduction of ~60%. Now, they need to reduce R by ~75%. But remember: all the low-hanging fruit is already used (masks, social distancing...). The next measures are all more expensive.

9

80

507

6

12

105

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@georgian_legion This is still the best of the genre.

2

8

94

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@HillelNeuer @AOC She is struggling to find words that won't be quoted out of context to misrepresent her position, or that won't lead the interview in a direction she doesn't want to go.

102

4

87

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@Chanalemusic Just an incredible lack of self-awareness, as well as of any awareness of the Palestinian experience. You might think "the Jewish people" would not play the role of the oppressor, but instead Israel seems to have learned that might makes right & the heavens do not darken.

2

9

91

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@nosmhnmh @jetjocko @EricTopol 1. "Sorry you're dying but it's not so bad per capita." 2. Per capita and national population have nothing to do with the growth of novel virus outbreaks. No, you do not expect an outbreak to grow faster in a larger country. The country where it grew faster had a crappy response.

5

37

88

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@ingeoppenheimer @Issaamro Do Israelis view Palestinians as not "evil"? Do they view them as fellow human beings? Or a lesser breed? If all the crimes of the IDF in the occupation are committed by "bad apples," I'd say there are a lot of bad apples. In fact, I'd say the occupation is one big rotten barrel.

0

2

83

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@FukuyamaFrancis The drones have proven to be effective weapons but they are hardly the only ones and it would be dangerous nonsense to suggest that they will enable Ukraine to overcome the Russian military in a main force battle.

5

0

86

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

10 months

@MaxAbrahms @haaretzcom Strikingly, you do not say how it is a misrepresentation. Because it really isn't. Yes, the law is not EXPLICITLY racist. But the "rape terrorism" charge on top of "rape" will obviously be applied only to Palestinians.

0

84

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@ASlavitt There will be no second wave because we're still in the first. We paused it and held it at a steady burn of 30k new cases/day for 6 weeks. Now we're going to restart exponential growth. It's insane non-policy & the myth of "waves" obscures this. The virus does not attack-retreat.

4

29

84

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@erikphoel Large language models have an exactly 0% chance of being sentient. Bing has not threatened anybody. It has modeled threatening language. It did not experience itself doing that. It did not have any emotion. Language models are a real form of intelligence, but not consciousness. +

9

3

82

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@EricTopol @CDCMMWR If individuals wear N95 masks, they get only around 80% protection. If everybody wears them, we can get exponential suppression of the virus in the community. Realistically, we need to combine masks with ventilation, testing & tracing, and vaccines--but YES WE CAN ELIMINATE COVID

19

13

81

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@latestinspace ONE MAN has made himself famous and wealthy with his aggressively promoted claims that there is some reason to think this object was created by extraterrestrials. Approximately NOBODY else with appropriate credentials buys this.

1

75

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@warmatters "Tactical Nuclear/Thermobaric weapons" should not be smooshed into one thing. Russia uses thermobaric weapons, which are conventional explosives engineered to couple more energy into the blast wave. There is no comparison or continuity with nuclear weapons use.

1

5

70

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

This is why the whole "mild" controversy is such a distraction. And anyone who figures "I'll be triple-vaxxed, I'll be OK" is basically thinking of their own skin and not of what is coming at us collectively. Besides, there's no guarantee you will be OK.

Malgorzata (Gosia) Gasperowicz

@GosiaGasperoPhD

2 years

A virus that spreads more rapidly, even if milder, could cause much more deaths Hypothetical ex. of 10x less deadly variant (IFR=0.08%) with 2x higher effective transmissibility (green) In 20+ days "Mild & Fast" outpaces Severe & Slow variants in the number of new ppl it kills

82

1K

2K

0

24

78

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@AthertonKD Lincoln Project is a group of talented Republican strategists & communicators who hate Donald Trump & want him beat. Oh, and they hate all the Republicans who support him, too. After that, they probably would like to see a new center-right power center... somewhere. That's it.

10

3

75

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@ValaAfshar Clearly an unpleasant segment of anyone's ride. But maybe it's short? Not a great way to site solar panels. Inefficient, hard to maintain. Awnings over parking lots as well as rooftops and solar farms are better.

24

0

73

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@hannahgais Corrugated polypropylene. Tough stuff. I love how the other guy takes it to see if he can do any better.

2

0

69

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@atrupar Masks are 60%-95% effective in blocking droplets & aerosols. That won't keep you safe if you are surrounded by infectious people. But it could be enough to kill the pandemic---if everybody would comply. Masks are all of us protecting all of us. Mask up, America. Crush the virus.

3

7

67

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@SylvrewolfeP @AliNouriPhD "Viral load" usually refers to the concentration of virus in tissues during infection. The correct term for the dose of virus causing infection is "inoculum." Presumably a large inoculum gives the immune system less time to respond before the viral load builds up after infection.

2

9

71

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

8 months

@merica @the_vello The only possible excuse for other Democrats not calling for Menendez's resignation is that they know he will resign on his own. Eternal shame on them if he does not. Fetterman is having none of it.

3

2

72

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@2ndNewMoon @lrozen @KevinRothrock @OksanaBoyko_RT @RusEmbUSA @Dpol_un The lady was an unregistered agent of the Russian government. If you have concerns about tabloid reporting, you should take it up with the tabloids. I'm sure female prisoners suffer abuse in various cases but given the high profile of this case I expect she's safe.

4

10

59

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@tomaspueyo We can mandate masks, clamp down on dangerous mass gatherings, provide support for home isolation, centralize quarantine, and so many other steps we have not taken or only perfunctorily pretended to take. What we don't need now is despair or defeatism.

5

3

71

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@glowybones STOP being polite. Also stop being clever, snarky, cynical, well-informed, professional, or anything but DEAD SERIOUS. The only response to the #EasterMassacre is to demand Trump's resignation. Stop pretending we have a president We can't fight COVID with The Enemy in charge.

4

32

64

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@DrRobDavidson @DailyCaller They're mostly wearing masks, but they're running around and bumping into each other, yelling, etc. You undercut your message & your credibility as a public health expert when you appear to offer political justification for some risky activities while criticizing others.

1

0

63

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

5 years

For a theorist, Sabine Hossenfelder @skdh has an amazing grasp of the awkward extremes of experimental physics involved in Google's 54-qubit machine, and the infeasibility of scaling it to the sizes needed for general, fault-tolerant quantum computation.

3

19

66

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@theaetist @gregggonsalves @DLeonhardt Yes, of course it can. Because masks leak. This is missing the point. Used conscientiously, high-quality masks can be effective protection. If everybody uses them, the impact on the virus is an exponential decrease in prevalence. This is why we need mask mandates.

2

6

67

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@hardmaru Now show us the part where the cat falls down the hole.

0

63

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@mlipsitch @StephenKissler @ctedijanto @yhgrad Birx & Fauci appear to be trying to hold onto their influence knowing they are replaceable & if Trump dismissed them he'd be unrestrained. They compromise with him again & again. Will they balk at compromise on reopening? If not, presto: #EasterMassacre

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

Dr. Birx selling lethal pseudoscience: A "laser-focused approach" that is supposed to say "the problem is there not here" when we know that without strong social distancing it will soon be EVERYWHERE. This is criminal malpractice. #EasterMassacre #EasterSundayMassacre

1

15

16

5

31

64

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@Archer83Able We've all seen this in the movies. But this is real and it's happening now. All you cheerleaders for war, you need to watch this on repeat until you feel too sick to continue watching it.

25

0

62

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@Bioshocking1 @JCisnerosTX Who knows what actual leadership could lead to?

2

0

58

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@mdbuckley @dgurdasani1 @BylineTimes I got called out myself on this not long ago; this is simply untrue. Vaccines do not promote mutations. Having a large pool of infection promotes mutations. Vaccines only reduce the size of that pool. +

6

1

60

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@steveg06 @brooks_rosa Possibly, but predictive means only statistically more likely. Rosa denied teen behavior was "predictive." Kavanaugh may or may not have assaulted more women & they may or may not come forward. He did assault one. And lied about it.

8

3

52

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@EricTopol Yo people on here minimizing this "4th wave": it's still more than twice as bad as the first.

17

1

59

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@SimonWilliams81 @ThomasVLinge Did you even listen to the speech? Where in the world is the US seeking to rearrange internationally-recognized borders for the reasons claimed by Russia: irredentism, the belief that history left you with the wrong borders? Where are we reopening old wars?

1

0

57

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@paraAax @2ndNewMoon @lrozen @KevinRothrock @OksanaBoyko_RT @RusEmbUSA @Dpol_un OK, I presume then that you have no objection to the investigation going forward and her eventually standing trial to establish her guilt or innocence.

2

5

51

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@ylecun A lot of your comments lately seem to be about characterizing "AI doomers" and none of them seem to be about actually engaging with and responding to their arguments. To the extent there is a conversation on this subject, it appears to be only getting more toxic.

8

0

57

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@sinz54 @AliHMokdad WRONG. Understanding aerosols means you are not safe at 7 feet. It also means that the closer you are (and longer you are that close) the greater danger you are in. Spreading people out DOES help, it's just not enough.

2

1

56

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@thomas_m_wilson 1. The overall system efficiency (wallplug efficiency) is less than 1%. 2. Nobody thinks this form of fusion (laser-driven ICF on tiny, exquisite fuel capsules) is a viable candidate for energy production. 3. NIF is basically a playground for nuclear weapons designers.

8

5

55

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@Rdirenna1 @K_G_Andersen Because it was only spreading months before we originally thought on those conspiracy sites you read. Also, it would have infected most of the US population by now if we hadn't very belatedly moved to social distancing, but Trump is pushing hard to give it a second chance.

5

2

53

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@BillGertz You're so right! I agree it's imperative to remove Chairman Trump and make his mindless minions stand down ASAP!

3

50

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@CoyoteDen @JonahFurman It does not, because it means workers are still incentivized to work when sick, which creates an unsafe workplace.

0

2

57

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

4 years

@erlichya Super thread, thanks so much. Both Israel & the US had the resources & knowledge to beat covid, & Israel even managed to do it, but both countries sabotaged by corrupt right-wing leaders & torn apart by the political forces they unleashed. +

1

5

52

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@David_Hambling @AndrewDesiderio @laraseligman It's just completely implausible, after all this time and all these reports, that this is a microwave weapon but they haven't recorded a microwave signal or located a source device. And if they had, there would be no plausible reason not to show that to the world. Aluminum tubes.

2

8

54

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@I_Katchanovski Further to the right than Netanyahu, and less competent, Bennett is certain his initiative could have saved the world, but alas, it didn't. We heard a lot of this, one intervener or another was on the verge of a breakthrough. NOBODY BUT PUTIN DECIDED TO LAUNCH THE WAR.

12

0

53

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

6 years

@2ndNewMoon @lrozen @KevinRothrock Now she's a "journalist"? Come on, if you do rights advocacy, don't pick a losing battle.

1

5

45

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@tinea10 @_jack_poulson @CBP Video evidence of premeditated murder as a policy.

Footage of Border Patrol Vandalism of Humanitarian Aid, 2010-2017

See our new report, Interference with Humanitarian Aid: Death and Disappearance on the US-Mexico Border at www.thedisappearedreport.org.

www.youtube.com

1

3

54

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

11 months

@gay_lumberjack @abughazalehkat You just say anything, don't you?

1

0

54

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@EricTopol Flip side is solid evidence that vaccine efficacy is less against many variants, i.e. the virus is making progress. The higher the fraction of the population vaccinated, the stronger selection for more resistant variants. We need to crush the pandemic to call off this experiment.

11

4

53

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@johnbruso @trvrb @PangoNetwork @nextstrain @WHO Endemic just means there is sustained community transmission. That could well be the case already; Fauci says there are no reported US cases but we have poor genomic surveillance. If it is as infectious as they say, you may as well call it endemic as soon as it lands here.

1

55

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@steven_pifer Do US officials want a [not a proxy] war in which Ukraine's capabilities are defined by what we give them, and NATO weapons are landing on Russian soil, but Russia can't strike NATO targets? And expect Russia to play by those rules? Are willing to bet the whole world on that?

25

4

45

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@joshtpm WHY IS THIS A QUESTION OF POLITICAL POSTURE & whether kids should or shouldn't be in school, instead of a question of HEALTH and whether we are CURRENTLY facing an EMERGENCY that makes it NECESSARY to close our still-unprepared schools temporarily???

2

4

50

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@HuXijin_GT Young Chinese are ashamed of their "government."

25

3

52

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

8 months

@stavridisj Shipshape and ready to sail, Admiral.

4

0

51

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 years

@CT_Bergstrom From the beginning of the pandemic I have noted the high prevalence of bad reporting in our nation's premier liberal elite newpapers and magazines, mostly by journos semi-literate in science & sold on the notion that moderation means setting the appropriate tone & +

1

4

49

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

1 year

@Rainmaker1973 The water molecules don't amplify the signal (would violate energy conservation). All of the energy is coming from the key fob. But its antenna is small compared to the ~1m wavelength. She's using her body as an antenna to couple the key fob more strongly to the radiative field.

2

1

51

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 months

@Phyzzique @IhabHassane The genocide supporters are anonymous cowards now.

3

0

50

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

3 months

@phuckfilosophy If I'm not mistaken it would have been pocket change for him not only to support you in comfort but to hire someone to look after you full-time if trust was the issue. This kind of cruelty is not an unfamiliar story in families, or in rich families.

2

3

51

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

Great essay by @DrRadchenko . All the people who insist we must brace for war with Russia, or capitulate to Putin's demands, should fix themselves a warm, non-intoxicating drink, read this and think on it awhile.

The Berlin Crisis, Ukraine, and the 5 Percent Problem - War on the Rocks

Could World War III start over Ukraine? Probably not — at least not in the short run. There would be little appetite in the broader region for a military

warontherocks.com

3

17

51

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@mgerrydoyle It isn't organic politics, it's a fascist gambit. Once you are able to delegitimize and strip rights from one group, you have power you can use against anybody. They tried with immigrants and Muslims. But trans people are the perfect goat, because no one will speak up for them.

2

46

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

11 months

@sandersted This methodology is fundamentally unsound. Who says these are the distinct gateways? Yet you invent a set of them, pull out poorly-supported estimates, and finally multiply all the numbers together. If you'd thought of a few more, you could have got you P down way further.

8

2

50

Mark Gubrud

@mgubrud

2 years

@Snowden @washingtonpost Read the room, Ed. I know, it's tough times being a world-famous whistleblower down on his luck in Putin's Russia. To think, you were once all-American boy standing up for freedom & privacy. Quite a bit of tarnish on your halo these days. You're still free, at least. Or are you?

13

2

46