We need to accept we have failed. We've been pointing out for months that wearing face coverings is to protect others. Your choice determines my risk. Yet we haven't made the message sufficiently simple to educate ministers. Although maybe we have the wrong people as ministers?
Is anyone else getting fed up with people applauding Mr Johnson for success of ๐ฌ๐ง vaccine program? I thought it was due to Kate Bingham, the Oxford team, and above all the incredible work of NHS, volunteers & others.
It seems that it is easier to get a ยฃ120 million contract to run a COVID lab (no experience, or even having an actual lab required) than it is to get universal credit
I was wrong. I admit it. I thought the first โbenefitโ of Brexit for food supply would be allowing us to eat chlorinated chicken. I completely missed the radioactive vegetables ๐
๐ฌ๐ง๐ฏ๐ต Fish and vegetables grown near the old Fukushima nuclear plant in Japan can be freely sold in Britain after the Food Standards Agency scrapped a rule on radioactivity levels in produce
An unprecedented intervention by Association of Directors of Public Health - calling on UK government to delay easing lockdown until tracing system is robust. How on earth has it come to this?
Dear Prime Minister, Iโm told that my taxes support GCHQ, automatic number plate recognition, facial recognition technology & much else to keep public safe. Please reassure me this money isnโt wasted & the massive effort can tell us where someone with active infection went.
Weโll hear a lot in ๐ฌ๐ง over next few days about need to reduce spending on pandemic response. Fair enough. But can we use accurate figures, given that much of ยฃ spent wasnโt actually on useful countermeasures but on transfers from taxpayers to friends of ministers?
To all my amazing research collaborators across the world. Please don't judge us here in the UK by the idiotic words of our Education Minister. He may shock you (although you may just be laughing) but he embarrasses us just as much.
The pandemic is NOT over. The ๐ฌ๐ง may have given up but we on
@IndependentSage
haven't. Today we set out a 7 point plan
@bmj_latest
๐งต
1. Clear and consistent messaging concerning covid risk and risk mitigation, reinforced by public statements by those in positions of authority;
Iโve great respect for scientists who appear at the daily UK briefings but itโs unfair to ask them to appear with ministers. After todayโs charade we must separate science from politics & have scientists engage with science journalists.
I'm sensing widespread incredulity & shock at the messaging from Downing Street. This is an existential moment for the UK. Will the government deliberately act in a way that makes the country a pariah state? I fear it might. The seriousness of this simply cannot be overstated
So many times I was asked โBut Sweden โฆโ
Now we have a detailed, and damning account of what went wrong. โdrastic deviation from 280 years of respect for scientific factsโ A reminder that a well prepared country with expertise +++ can go terribly wrong
I'm old enough to remember when Jacob Rees Mogg told us that fish would be happier post-Brexit because they were swimming in British waters. I think he omitted some important details.
WATCH: Untreated sewage was released into Langstone Harbour, Hampshire for 49 hours.
Photographer Chris Pearsal, who captured the footage, tells
#BBCBreakfast
โit needs to stopโ.
Am I the only one of my generation from Northern Ireland (the one that experienced the Troubles at first hand) who finds the claim that international law must be broken to save the peace process utterly sickening?
Interesting how narrative is developing. Focus public attention on n Geoffrey Cox (actions unwise, easy to present, but not illegal) and divert from real scandals
- Cash for peerages
- COVID procurement
Follow
@GoodLawProject
not tabloid headlines
Two things we got wrong at beginning of pandemic that still have consequences. Failing to accept that:
1.
#COVIDisAirborne
2. COVID is a multi system disease
(yes, could add lots more but those 2 are key to much that followed)
So Boris Johnson thinks those of us working from home have had enough โdays offโ!
Has he any idea??
Some of us have been working 10-14 hours/day for a year across multiple time zones ... I always worked hard but never as intense as this year.
If MPs are willing to vote through a 2000 page agreement they cannot possibly have scrutinised, I hope they realise that they will be telling the world that they are essentially irrelevant as legislators & holding executive to account. This is very dangerous for democracy
1/7 Iโve been reflecting on work Iโve done over the past decade and attitudes to it. Maybe Iโm being unfair but I sometimes sense a bit of hypocrisy from some people
๐งต
Wanted: ๐ฌ๐ง Brexit negotiator to negotiate Brexit (thatโs already been done)
Essential requirements:
understanding of how EU works
2.Ability to take 1 step forward & 2 back
3.Views international law as optional
4.Willingness to be thrown under bus by PM
Iโve been a strong critic of
@PHE_uk
but it is completely unacceptable for ministers to give a story to a Sunday paper with no analysis of what problem is being solved, how it will be solved, and what the solution will look like. This government is incapable of governing
Right wing media: โpeople should make their own decisions based on the evidenceโ
CMO: โhere is the evidence and my expert interpretationโ
People: โweโve listened and we agreeโ
Politicians: โwe must stop people hearing evidence & expert interpretationโ
These are scenes I was familiar with growing up. Yet every time I warned during the referendum campaign that Brexit could lead to violence English Brexit supporters accused me of Project Fear. This behaviour is totally unjustified but Johnson & DUP must accept some responsibility
This thread, by
@jburnmurdoch
, may be the most important story in England this year - the NHS seems to be collapsing, 100s of people are dying each week who shouldnโt, and this is NOT happening elsewhere in Europe. We are now a failed state & govt is on holiday.
NEW: the collapse of emergency healthcare in England may be costing 500 lives every week, a close match for non-Covid excess deaths
Letโs look at how we reach that conclusion, by taking a deep-dive into non-Covid excess mortality and its possible causes
Any lingering doubt I might have had that the Rwanda policy was
a) even half thought through
b) anything other than a political game
has been completely dispelled by Ms Patel's arrogant & contemptuous performance in the Commons. And striking that it is opposed by Theresa May
Watching a tragedy unfold. MPs should not be promoting misinformation on vaccines. Period.
This claim is simply untrue and people will, reasonably ask why they should trust figures in authority.
As head of MHRA has said, the vaccine was approved under EU rules
Given ๐ฌ๐ง ministers seem to struggle with maths, maybe I can help.
Iโve 4 apples. You take 1 & leave me with 3. Iโve suffered a 25% cut in apples.
I ask for apple restoration. I need 1 more to have my original 4. Thatโs a 33% increase. Iโm back where I was. Itโs not โunreasonableโ
My admiration for
@Femi_Sorry
is unbounded - being willing to engage in this utter nonsense. How can professional TV presenters know so little about the EU
Possibly the most damning assessment of a UK government you will read in a mainstream newspaper (also citing paper by
@DrMikeWGill
@sarahwollaston
& me)
I know itโs very unfashionable for the U.K. to learn from elsewhere but maybe we should be aware of what is happening in Israel before we remove all
#COVID
restrictions?
I've been working with wonderful Ukrainian colleagues for over 20 years - my thoughts are with everyone there today. But also with my many good Russian friends, who I am sure are just as shocked as me. This is not a war between peoples.
@JohnSimpsonNews
@maitlis
Yea, but when one side of the argument is being put forward by 98% + of experts in the field and the other by a few eccentrics with track records of getting things wrong itโs hardly balanced. And this is what happened with science/health & Brexit
Given that the Cabinet Secretary will be busy for several weeks finding out if there was a party, who will take on the equally important investigation into why security at No 10 is so lax they have no record of who comes and goes and when?
If anyone want to understand why the UK has done so badly in the pandemic, this by Led
@ByDonkeys
narrated by
@gavinesler
is the best account Iโve seen. We cannot allow Johnson & Cummings to blame others for their failures
My colleague
@Kit_Yates_Maths
thinks we should try to reduce preventable deaths. I agree. But in ๐ฌ๐ง now weโre told we shouldnโt. It seems Iโve completely misunderstood what I should have been doing as a public health doctor over 35 years.
Iโm now persuaded (based on specific mutations & epidemiology) that new strain is more infectious. But so much time has been wasted as weโve all been unsure whether Johnson was just looking for an excuse to u-turn. This is what happens when you squander trust.
3/7 People concerned about the mental health of people affected by pandemic countermeasures, but were silent when we showed the mental health harm caused by
#austerity
4/7 People who want schools open for the sake of the children, whatever the risks, but supported policies that left our children with some of the worst health risks in Europe
So WhatsApps can't simply be handed to
@covidinquiryuk
on grounds of national security but:
a) Lady Hallett is security cleared
b) Highly classified/ sensitive material shouldn't be on WhatsApp anyway
c) Politicians already leak like sieves when it suits them
What am I missing?
I've had most incredible onslaught of abuse since tweeting link to
#ZeroCOVID
petition. Many people misunderstand what it means (and seem willing to accept uncertainty of endless cycle of lockdowns, economic/social harm & impossibility to plan anything)
A thought...
Lots of people saying that we accept thousands of deaths from flu every year, so why not also accept deaths from COVID.
Leaving aside how the two viruses & infections are completely different, maybe we should ask why we accept so many flu deaths?
As someone who grew up during The Troubles, hearing a UK minister (worse, a law officer) claiming their breach of international law is to preserve peace in Ireland is sickening beyond belief. The Attorney General is a disgrace.
When I challenged the Attorney General on what she has done to defend the rule of law in the face of the Govtโs intention to break international law she retaliated to calling me โemotionalโ. Disappointed to receive personal attacks for trying to defend the rule of law.
OK, I work on both
#COVID19
&
#Brexit
so maybe itโs just me. Yet I canโt help feeling thereโs some connection between wanting to tear up rules on state aid & a Moonshot project that could give ยฃ100 billion to a small group of companies without open competition
This is incredible - UK govt gave PPE contracts worth millions to a chocolate company, a company insolvent with no employees, and of course the usual friends. Amazed Johnson wants to claim he was giving pandemic response all his attention - most would want to blame others
Israel, with over half its population vaccinated, is giving us a warning against opening up too soon. The vaccine is hugely important but itโs not magic. We need a comprehensive strategy.
Still think herd immunity is a good idea? We've set out in detail why it is unethical, impossible, and an all round bad idea in
@TheLancet
More details at
#JohnSnowMemo
The
#COVID19
situation is now critical in UK. We
@IndependentSage
have just called for an emergency circuit break (with support for affected businesses) to "save Christmas"
A recent ๐บ๐ธ study found good evidence linking
#COVID
in children with diabetes. Some critics worked very hard to dismiss it (even though many criticisms could be rebutted from data in paper). Now an even more detailed German one gets similar results
Maybe those arguing UK can lift restrictions once older people vaccinated might look at Israeli experience? But then that would involve looking at experiences of others and we don't do that.
2 pensioners went to a UK
#COVID19
test site. This is their experience. Sheer insanity (others letters here reinforce view that system is not fit for purpose)
3. Installing and/or upgrading ventilation/air filtration in all public buildings, with schools an urgent priority over the summer holidays;
4. Provision of free lateral flow tests to enable everyone to follow existing public health guidelines;
This is one of the most important graphs I've seen in many years. For a very long time life expectancy in ๐ฌ๐ง and ๐ฎ๐ช tracked each other. Thanks for drawing it to our attention
@GabrielScally
We should hear from every Conservative leadership candidate on this issue
Comparing life expectancy in UK and Ireland shows two things. That the UK has had a significant
#publichealth
crisis in the last 10 years and, also, just how badly the UK dealt with
#COVID19
in its first year compared with our nearest neighbour
It is simply misleading to say that criticisms of UK response are being made with hindsight - our reports from
@IndependentSage
since April 2020 challenged what was done
This โฆ
@guardian
โฉ editorial that refers to our โฆ
@TheLancet
โฉ letter is spot on. ๐ฌ๐ง decision to remove
#COVID
precautions is entirely political - science doesnโt come into it
When the inquiry is eventually held, some time far in the future, I predict that the efforts to underplay the role of schools in
#COVID19
transmission will feature prominently. Great scoop by
@carolecadwalla
w/ comments by
@dgurdasani1
&
@chrischirp
So what will happen with vaccines for 12-15 yr olds in ๐ฌ๐ง? JCVI are entitled to reach their own judgement but when itโs so far out of line with evidence others can see (& decisions elsewhere) they must explain & not just assert.
@joymorrissey
I am increasingly concerned at politicians who promulgate policies that are contradictory & incoherent, defy basic principles from physics and biology, and answer sensible questions with schoolboy alliteration
#CovidIsAirborne
- voting that it isn't doesn't change the facts
@jburnmurdoch
This is a great thread John but, for avoidance of doubt, many of us drawing attention to higher rates in U.K. have always been clear that there are multiple factors. Our criticism of U.K. govt is that it doesnโt seem to care
BBC refers to โMrsโ
@vonderleyen
with medical degree & doctorate in medicine. WSJ attacks
@DrBiden
for using Dr despite doctorate in education. What must highly qualified women do to be recognised?
Brexit: EU offer 'unacceptable' as trade talks continue
A personal note. Even if only for a few minutes each day,
@AuschwitzMuseum
makes me pause and reflect. Iโll never forget visiting Auschwitz in early 1990s, 2 weeks after crossing front lines to leave friends in besieged Sarajevo. Please follow them, and never ever forget
In August, we had 106 million tweet impressions.
As we do not use promoted tweets, the only way people learn about our account is your activity. Thank you for every RT & mention.
Please, support our mission here & help the
@AuschwitzMuseum
account grow. We remember together.
I spent many hours today listening to Dominic Cummings. Maybe he is settling scores but his account fits well with everything we know and weโve been hearing. But it raises wider questions about the U.K. government - my thoughts
@bmj_latest
As a doctor Iโm extremely angry. Theresa May, with complicity by Jeremy Corbyn, are pursuing policy that they know will kill people. This is utterly inexcusable given they could come together & withdraw Art50 - even if itโs too late for a
#PeoplesVote
just stop this madness
So David Cameron
@covidinquiryuk
doesnโt think his austerity policies weakened ๐ฌ๐ง preparedness. Well maybe we can help. We wrote loads on this and while we donโt expect him to read it you would think someone would have briefed him
5. Financial and other support for all workers to self-isolate if infected;
6. Systematic promotion of the use of FFP2/FFP3 masks in indoor public spaces and public transport when infection rates are high;
Earlier today
@LiamFox
criticised my friend
@chrischirp
for being partisan in her comments on the UK's
#COVID19
response. Worth reading the responses to her - anyone would be delighted to get such as outpouring of support! It's clear who is trusted here.
Some thoughts on numbers:
Weโre rightly horrified by ๐บ๐ธ gun deaths ~38k/yr - equates to ~7.6k in ๐ฌ๐ง population
But @ current ๐ฌ๐ง rates we could expect ~50k COVID deaths/yr
And weโre meant to learn to live with that?
How did we get to a place where we normalise so much suffering?
Some people have asked whether it matters that the U.K. has one of Europeโs highest COVID rates. It does, for those who die, families left behind, & those with Long COVID. But also for why we are even asking & the dystopian discourse behind the question-
@dgurdasani1
explains ๐
I recently did an interview where I was asked to give my opinion on recent changes in UK border policy as an expert. After I did this, the two hosts discussed me, suggesting that I was out of touch, & didn't understand that we need to 'accept' risk.
๐งต on 'accepting' risks.
So far weโve rightly focused on failures of test & trace to explain UKโs dreadful COVID response. Now becoming clear that incompetent & possibly corrupt procurement playing a major role too -
@JolyonMaugham
is doing an amazing job revealing it
An FOI request of the Health and Safety Executive in relation to PPE supplied to the Department of Health by Pestfix has turned up some quite extraordinary material. THREAD
I've been doing quite a bit of media today. Yesterday's PHE report on the new dominant variant B.1.617.2 was not good news. Cases, hospitalisations & deaths have all risen quite a bit this week. Not great.
On
@SkyNews
just now, I may have lost my patience half way through.
Others have commented on the incoherence of Sunakโs speech on extremism and how some of his MPs have fuelled it. But thereโs something else to consider ๐งต
Really don't know where to begin. Testing, tracing, vaccine roll out, Brexit planning are all really difficult things to do. Yet UK govt insists on handing responsibility to people with NO qualifications and wonders why they mess up
Can we move on from the nonsense about herd immunity? โฆ
@devisridhar
โฉ sets out a clear view plan to get
#COVID19
under control - using the same approach as advocated by โฆ
@IndependentSage
โฉ & countries that are successes
If this report is correct, the Education Secretary is making policy based on a โฆ
@PHE_uk
โฉ study that is not even available as a pre-print. This is utterly unacceptable and PHE should say so
I've been asked by a few journalists today about the latest testing fiasco but have stressed that the person they really should be talking to is
@JolyonMaugham
This is primarily a procurement/ governance failure - technical issues are secondary